Capital Budjeting Main report

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    INTRODUCTION

    INTRODUCTION OF CAPITAL BUDGETING:

    Capital budgeting is an essential part of every companys

    financial management. Capital budgeting is a required managerial tool. One

    duty of a financial manager is to choose investment with satisfactory cash

    flows and rates of return. Therefore a financial manager must be able to

    decide whether an investment is worth undertaking and be able to choose

    intelligently between two or more alternatives. To do this, a sound

    procedure to evaluate, compare, and select Projects is needed.

    Capital budgeting is represents a long term investment decision,

    involves the planning of expenditures for project with life of many year,

    usually requires a large initial cash outflow with the expectation of future

    cash inflows, uses present value analysis, emphasizes cash flows rather than

    income

    Capital budgeting is the planning process used to determine a

    firms long-term investment such as new machinery, replacement

    machinery, new plants, new products and research and development

    projects.

    NEED FOR THE STUDY:

    Capital budgeting decisions are of paramount importance in

    financial decision-making. Special care should therefore be taken in makingthese decisions on account of following reasons.

    Heavy investments.

    Long term commitment on funds

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    Irreversible decisions

    Long term impact of profitability

    Most difficult to make.

    Wealth maximization of shareholders.

    Cash forecast.OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

    The objectives of the study are:

    To understand the need of organizations to identify and invest in high

    quality capital projects.

    To prepare a list of the main financial variables required for a project

    appraisal.

    To evaluate capital projects using traditional methods of investment

    appraisal and discounted cash flow methods.

    To illustrate the important differences, which can arise in evaluating

    projects when using net present value (NPV) and internal rate of

    returns (IRR).

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    SCOPE OF THE STUDY:

    The scope of the study is that the following areas:

    How money is acquired and from what sources?

    How individual capital project alternatives are identified andevaluated?

    How minimum requirements of acceptability are set?

    How final project selections are made?

    How post mortem are conducted?

    METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY

    DATABASE:

    This studywill be based on both primary and secondary data. The

    primary data will be collected interact with financial Manager of HAL

    company and The secondary data will be collected from various books,

    journals, newspapers, websites, reports and other published sources of

    company.

    PERIOD OF STUDY:

    The present study is made during the IVth semester of the

    MBA course. i.e., from 17th December 2007 to 10th may 2008.

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    CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISIONS

    Capital expenditure decisions are of considerable significance asthe future success and growth of the firm depends heavily on them. But they

    are best with a number of difficulties.

    The benefits from investment are received in some future period.

    The future is uncertain. Therefore, an element of risk is involved. Future

    revenue involves estimation of the size of his market for product and

    expected share of the firm. These estimates depend on the variety of factors,

    including price, advertising and promotion, sales effort and so on. The cost

    incurred and benefits received from a capital budgeting decision occurred in

    different periods. They are the time value of the money.

    So a firm must replace worn and obsolete plant and machinery,

    acquired fixed assets for current and new products and makes strategic

    investment decisions. This will enable the firm to achieve its objectives of

    maximizing profits either by the way of increased revenues or cost

    reduction. The quality of these decisions is improved by capital budgeting.

    Capital budgeting decisions can be of two types and are as follows:

    (a) Expanding revenues

    (b)Reduce costs

    INVESTMENT DECISIONS AFFECTING REVENUES

    Investment decisions are expected to bring in additional revenues

    there by raising the size of the firms total revenue. That can be the result of

    the either expansion of present operations or the development of new

    product lion.

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    INVESTMENT DECISIONS REDUSING COST

    Cost reduction investment decisions are subject to less uncertainty

    in comparison to the revenue affecting investment decisions. This is so

    because the firm has a better feel for potential cost savings as it can examine

    past production and cost data. So it is difficult to precisely estimate the

    revenue and cost resolution from a new product line.

    KINDS OF DECISIONS

    Accept / reject decision

    Mutually exclusive project decision

    Capital rationing decision

    Accept / reject decision:

    This is the fundamental decision in capital budgeting. If the project is

    accepted the firm would invest it, if the proposal were rejected, the firm does

    not invest in it. In general those entire proposal, which yield a rate of return

    greater than a certain required rate of return or cost of capital, are accepted

    and the rest are rejected. Under accept-reject decision, all independent

    projects that satisfy the minimum investment criterion should be

    implemented.

    Mutually exclusive project decision:

    Mutually exclusive project decisions are those, which compete with

    other projects in such a way that the acceptance of one will exclude

    acceptance of the other projects. The alternatives are mutually exclusive and

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    only one may be chosen. Some technique has to be used to determine the

    best one. The acceptance of the best alternative automatically eliminates the

    other alternatives.

    Capital rationing decision:

    In a situation where the firm has unlimited funds, all independent

    investments proposal-yielding returns greater than some predetermined level

    are accepted. However, the situation does not prevail in most of the firms in

    actual practice. They have fixed capital budget. A large number of

    investment proposals compete for these limited funds. The firm must

    therefore ration them. The firm allocates funds to projects in a manner that

    maxims long term returns. Thus capital rationing refers to a situation in

    which a firm has more acceptable investment that it can finance. It is

    concern with the selection of the group of investment proposals out of many

    investment proposals accepted under accept or reject decisions. The projects

    are ranked in the descending order rate of return

    TECHNIQUES OF CAPITAL BUDGETING

    Capital budgeting is the process of making investment in capital

    expenditures. A capital expenditure may be defined as expenditure and the

    benefits of which are expected to be received over a period of time

    exceeding one year. The main characteristics of capital expenditure incurred

    at a point of time and benefits of expenditure incurred at one point of time in

    future are realized. The following are some examples of capital expenditure.

    (a) Cost of acquisition of permanent assets i.e. buildings, plant and

    machineries etc.

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    (b) Cost of replacement of old permanent asset.

    Investment decisions required special attention because of the following

    reasons:

    (a) They influence the firms growth path.

    (b) They affect the risk of the firm.

    (c) They involve large amount of funds of the firm.

    (d) They are unchangeable or reversed at high cost.

    (e) They are most difficult decisions to make.

    Capital expenditure involves non-flexible long-term commitment of funds.

    Thus capital expenditure decisions are also called as long-term investment

    decision-making, capital expenditure decisions, planning capital expenditure

    and analysis of capital expenditure.

    DEFINITIONS: -

    Capital budgeting is long term planning for making and

    financing proposed capital outlays.

    --Charles T Hangmen.

    According to GC Philppatos, Capital budgeting concern

    with allocation of firms scarce financial resources among the available

    market opportunities. The considerations of investment opportunities

    involve the comparison of the expected future of the streams of earning from

    a project, with immediate end subsequent streams of expenditure for it.

    Capital budgeting decision from day to day is: -

    Capital budgeting decision involves the exchange of the current

    funds for the benefits future.

    The future benefits are expected to be realized over a series of years.

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    The funds are invested in non-flexible and long-term activities.

    They have long-term and significant effect on the probability of the

    concern.

    They are invariable decisions.

    INVESTMENT EVALUATION CRITERIA

    Three steps are involved in the evaluation of an investment.

    (a) Estimation of cash flows.

    (b)Estimation of the required rate of return.

    (c) Application of the decision rule for making the choice.

    Characteristics:

    It should consider all cash flows to determine true value of the project. It

    should help in ranking the various projects according to their true benefits.

    It should recognize the fact that the bigger cash are preferable than the

    smaller ones and early cash flows are preferable than later ones.

    It should help to choose among mutually exclusive projects that project

    which maximizes the shareholders wealth.

    It should be a criterion, which is applicable to many conceivable

    investment projects independent of other.

    The capital budgeting technique, which has all these characteristics, is

    the method to be used for the project appraisal purpose. A number of capital

    budgeting techniques are in use in practice. They may be grouped in two

    categories that the following chart tries to show:

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    EXHIBIT-II.1

    INVESTMENT CRITERIA

    TRADITIONAL OR NON-DISCOUNTING TECHNIQUES:

    1) Payback period:

    The payback period is one of the most popular and widely recognized

    traditional methods of evaluating investment proposals. It is defined as the

    number of years required to recover the original cash outlay invested in a

    Investment criteria

    Discounting criteria Non-discounting criteria

    Net

    presentvalue

    Profitability

    index

    Internal

    rate ofreturn

    Payback

    period

    Accounting

    rate of return

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    Average income = Total income / Number of years.

    Acceptance rule:

    This method will accept all those projects whose ARR is higher than

    the minimum rate established by the management and reject those projects

    which have ARR less than the minimum rate. This method would rank aproject as number one if it has higher ARR and lowest rank would be

    assigned to the project with lowest ARR.

    DISCOUNTING TECHNIQUES:

    1) Net present value (NPV):

    The net present value (NPV) method is the classic economic method of

    evaluating the investment proposals. It is a method in which we can convert

    future cash profits to todays cash profit based on the interest rate by which

    we can equate todays value of the future profit. The interest rate is nothing

    but cost of capital or the inflation rate or the rate expected by the investor. If

    the rate of interest is not given, in India maximum return expected is 10% so

    find out the NPV at 10% only. If the NPV is positive(+) we will get profits

    on projects. Accordingly accept / reject decision will be taken.

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    Net present value = Summation of present value of cash inflows in each year

    The summation of present values of the net present value of two mutually

    exclusive projects X and Y.

    Acceptance of project:

    NPV0 accept

    NPV=0 May accept

    2) Internal rate of return (IRR):

    The second discounted cash flow or time-adjusted method for apprising

    capital investment decisions is the internal rate of return (IRR) method. This

    technique is also known as yield on investment, marginal efficiency of

    capital, marginal productivity of capital. The internal rate of return is usually

    the rate of return that a project earns. It is defined as the aggregate presentvalue of cash outflows of a project.

    Acceptance of project:

    Accept if IRR > cost of capitalReject - if IRR < cost of capital

    3) Profitability Index (PI):

    IRR = Lower rate of return + present value of Cash at lower rate present

    value of investment / Different between present values Different between

    the discount rate chosen.

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    Another time adjusted capital budgeting technique is profitability index

    or benefit cost of ratio. It is similar to the NPV approach. The profitability

    index approach means the present value of returns per rupee invested, while

    the NPV is a base on the difference between the present value of future cash

    in inflows and the present value of cash outlays. A major disadvantage of

    NPV method is that being an absolute measure, it is not a reliable method to

    evaluate projects requiring different initial investments. The PI method

    provides a solution to this kind of problem. It may be defined as the ratio,

    which is obtained dividing the present value of future cash in flows by

    present value of cash outlays.

    PI = Present value cash inflows / Present value of cash outflows

    Acceptance of project:

    If the present value sum of total of the compounded reinvested cash

    inflows (PVTs) is greater than the present value of the outflows (PVO), the

    project is accepted if:

    PVTs > PVO accepted.

    PVTs < PVO rejected

    A variation terminal value method (TV) is net terminal value

    method (NTV) it can be represented as NTV = PVTs PVO.

    If the NTV is positive, accept the project. If the NTV is negative,

    reject the project. The NTV method is similar to NPV method. Initially the

    values are compounded, and in the later they are discounted. Both the

    methods will give the same results. The same interest rates are used for both

    the discounting and compounding.

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    EVALUATION OF PROJECT CASH FLOWS

    The role of finance manager is to coordinate the different

    departments and obtain information from departments, ensure that the

    forecast are based on set of consistent economic assumptions, keep the

    exercise focused on the relevant variables and minimize the problems in

    cash flow fore casting.

    (a) Times factors for the analysis.

    (b) Physical life of the plant.

    (c) Technological life of the plant.

    Investment planning horizon of the firm. For the capital budgeting cash

    flows have to be estimated. There are certain ingredients of cash flow

    streams.

    Tax effect:

    It has been already observed that cash flows to be considered for the

    purpose of capital budgeting are net of taxes. Special consideration needs to

    be given to tax effects on cash flows if the firms is incurring losses and,

    therefore paying no taxes. The tax laws permit carrying losses forward to set

    off against future income. In such cases, therefore, the benefits of tax

    savings would accrue in future years.

    Effect on other projects:

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    Cash flow effects of the projects under the consideration. For

    instance if the company is considering the production of new product, which

    competes with the existing products in the product line, it is likely that as a

    result of new proposal, the cash flows related to the old product will be

    affected.

    Effect on indirect expenses:

    The indirect expenses/overheads are allocated to the different products

    on the basis of wages paid, materials used, floor space occupied or some

    other similar common factor. The question that arises is should such

    allocation of the overheads be taken into the account in the cash flows? If

    yes, it should be taken into account. If however the overheads will not

    change as a result of the investment decision, they are not relevant.

    Effect of depreciation:

    Depreciation, although a non-cash item of cost, is deductible

    expenditure in determining taxable income. Depreciation provisions are

    prescribed by the companys act for accounting purpose and by the income

    tax for taxation purposes. The act that prescribes that rate of depreciation for

    various types of depreciable assets. On written down value (WDV) basis as

    well as straight-line basis. It also permits companies to charge depreciation

    on any other basis provided it has the effect of writing off 95% of the

    original cost of the asset on the expiry of the specified period and has the

    approval of the government.

    Depreciation is the charged with a view to simplify computation, not

    on individual assets. A block of assets defined as group of assets, being

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    building, machinery, plant or furniture in respect of which the same rate of

    depreciation is prescribed.

    Depreciation is computed at the block-wise rates on the basis of

    written down value (WDV) method only. Presently, the block-wise for plant

    and machinery are 25%, 40% and 100%.

    The depreciation allowance on office buildings, and furniture and

    fitting is 10%. Where the actual cost of plan and machinery does not exceed

    Rs.5000 the entire cost is allowed to be written off in the first year of its use.

    If an asset acquired during a year has been used for a period less than

    180days during the year, depreciation on such assets is allowed only a 50%

    of the computed depreciation according to the relevant rate.

    Working capital effect:

    Working capital constitutes another capital ingredient of the cash flow

    stream, which is directly related to an investment proposal. The term

    working capital is used here in neatness, i.e. current assets current

    liabilities (Net Working Capital). If investment is expected to increase sales

    it is likely that there will be an increase in current assets in the form of

    account receivable, inventory and cash. But part of these increases in current

    assets will be offset by an increase in current liabilities in the form of current

    accounts and notes payable. The difference between these additional current

    assets and current liabilities will be needed to carryout the investment

    proposal. Sometimes, it may constitute a significant part of the total

    investment in the project. The increased working capital forms part of an

    initial cash outlay.

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    The additional networking capital will however be returned to the

    firm at the end of the projects file. Therefore, the recovery of the working

    capital becomes the part of the cash in flows stream in the terminal year.

    Determination of relevant cash flows:

    The data requirements for capital budgeting are cash flows, outflows

    and inflows. Their competition becomes on the nature of the proposal.

    Capital proposals can be categorized into:

    (a) Single proposal.

    (b)Replacement situations.

    (c) Mutually exclusive.

    Single proposal:

    The cash outflows, comprising cash outlays required to carryout the

    proposal capital expenditure, while the computation of the inflows after

    taxes (CFAT).

    Format:

    Cash outflows of the new project (beginning of the period at ZERO TIME)

    Cost of new project xxx

    + Installation of plant and equipment xxx

    +/- Working capital requirement xxx

    Determination of cash inflows: Single investment proposal (t=n-1)

    TABLE II.1

    Single investment proposal format

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    Years

    Particulars 1 2 3 N

    Cash sales revenues

    (-) Cash operating cost

    Cash inflows before taxes (CFBT)

    (-) Depreciation taxable income

    (-) Tax earnings after taxes

    (+) Depreciation

    Cash inflows after tax(CFAT)

    (+) Salvage value (in Nth year)

    (+) Recovery of the working capital

    Replacement situations:

    In case of replacement of an existing machine by a new one the

    relevant cash outflows are after tax incremental cash flows. If anew machine

    is about to replace an existing machine the proceeds so obtained from its

    sales reduce cash out flows required to purchase the new machine and part

    of relevant cash outflows.

    Mutually exclusive:

    In case of mutually exclusive proposals the selection of one proposal

    preludes the choice of other. The calculation of the cash flows is on lines of

    similar to the replacement situations.

    Element of cash flows streams:

    To evaluate a project, we must determine the relevant cash flows,

    which are the incremental after the cash flows associated with the project.

    The cash flow stream of the conventional project, a project which involves

    cash outflows followed by cash inflows comprises three basic components:

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    (a) Initial investment.

    (b)Operating cash flows.

    (c) Terminal cash flows.

    The initial investment is after tax cash outlay on capital expenditure and

    networking capital.

    The operating cash inflows are the after tax cash inflows resulting

    from the operating of the project during the economic life.

    The terminal cash inflow is after tax cash flow resulting from the

    liquidation of the project at the end of its economic life.

    Time horizon for analysis:

    This time horizon for cash flow analysis usually established

    generally the minimum of the following:

    Physical life of the plant:

    This refers to the period during which the plant remains in a

    physically usable condition. This is the number of years the plant would

    perform the function for which it had been acquired. This depends upon the

    wear and tear which plant is subjected to. Suppliers of plant may provide the

    information of the physical life under normal operating conditions. While

    the concept of the physical life may be useful for determining the

    depreciation charge, it is not very useful for investment decision-making

    process.

    Technological life of the plant:

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    New technological developments tend to render the existing plant

    obsolete. The technological life of the plant refers to the period of the time

    for which the present plant would not be rendered obsolete by a new plant. It

    is very difficult to estimate the technological life because any law does not

    govern the phase of the new development. While it is almost certain that a

    new development would occur when it would occur is anybodys guess. Yet

    an estimate of the technological life has to be made.

    Product market life of the plant:

    A plant may be physically usable, its technology may not be

    obsolete, but the market for its products may disappear or shrink and hence

    its continuance may not be justified. The product life of the plant refers to

    the period for which the product of the plant enjoys reasonable satisfactory

    market.

    Investment horizon of the firm:

    The time period for which a firm wishes to look ahead for the

    purposes of investment analysis may be referred to as its investment horizon

    planning. It naturally tends to vary with the complexity and size of

    investment. For small investments (installation of lathe) it may be five years.

    For medium size investments (expansion of the plant capacity) it may be ten

    years. For large size investment (setting up a new division) it may be fifteen

    years.

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    COMPANY PROFILE

    Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) came into existence on

    1st October 1964. The Company was formed by the merger of Hindustan

    Aircraft Limited with Aeronautics India Limited and Aircraft Manufacturing

    Depot, Kanpur.

    The Company traces its roots to the pioneering efforts of an

    industrialist with extraordinary vision, the late Seth Walchand Hirachand,

    who set up Hindustan Aircraft Limited at Bangalore in association with the

    erstwhile princely State of Mysore in December 1940. The Government of

    India became a shareholder in March 1941 and took over the Management in

    1942.

    Today, HAL has 16 Production Units and 9 Research and Design

    Centers in 7 locations in India. The Company has an impressive product

    track record - 12 types of aircraft manufactured with in-house R & D and 14

    types produced under license. HAL has manufactured 3550 aircraft (which

    includes 11 types designed indigenously), 3600engines and overhauled over

    8150aircraft and 27300 engines.

    HAL has been successful in numerous R & D programs developed

    for both Defense and Civil Aviation sectors. HAL has made substantial

    progress in its current projects:

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    Dhruv, which is Advanced Light Helicopter (ALH)

    Tejas - Light Combat Aircraft (LCA)

    Intermediate Jet Trainer (IJT)

    Various military and civil upgrades.

    Dhruv was delivered to the Indian Army, Navy, Air Force

    and the Coast Guard in March 2002, in the very first year of its

    production, a unique achievement.

    HAL has played a significant role for India's space programs by

    participating in the manufacture of structures for Satellite Launch Vehicles

    like

    PSLV (Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle)

    GSLV (Geo Stationary Launch Vehicle)

    IRS (Indian Remote Satellite)

    INSAT (Indian National Satellite)

    There are three joint venture companies with HAL:

    BAeHAL Software Limited

    Indo-Russian Aviation Limited (IRAL)

    Snecma HAL Aerospace Pvt Ltd

    Apart from these three, other major diversification projects are Industrial

    Marine Gas Turbine and Airport Services. Several Co-production and Joint

    Ventures with international participation are under consideration.

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    HAL's supplies / services are mainly to Indian Defense Services, Coast

    Guards and Border Security Forces. Transport Aircraft and Helicopters have

    also been supplied to Airlines as well as State Governments of India. The

    Company has also achieved a foothold in export in more than 30 countries,

    having demonstrated its quality and price competitiveness.

    HAL has won several International & National Awards for achievements in

    R&D, Technology, Managerial Performance, Exports, Energy Conservation,

    Quality and Fulfillment of Social Responsibilities.

    HAL was awarded the INTERNATIONAL GOLD MEDALAWARD for Corporate Achievement in Quality and Efficiency at

    the International Summit (Global Rating Leaders 2003), London, UK

    by M/s Global Rating and UK in conjunction with the International

    Information and Marketing Center (IIMC).

    HAL was presented the International - ARCH OF EUROPE Award

    in Gold Category in recognition for its commitment to Quality,

    Leadership, and Technology and innovation.

    At the National level, HAL won the "GOLD TROPHY" for

    excellence in Public Sector Management, instituted by the Standing

    Conference of Public Enterprises (SCOPE).

    The Company scaled new heights in the financial year 2004-2005 with a

    turnover of Rs. 4534 Crores and export over Rs. 150.05 Crores.

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    EVOLUTION AND GROWTH OF THE COMPANY

    The companys steady organizational growth overthe years with consolidation and enlargement of its operational base bycreating sophisticated facilities for manufacture of aircraft / helicopters, aero

    engines, accessories and avionics is illustrated below.

    EXHIBIT-III.1

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    HAL MISSION

    " To become a globally competitive aerospace industry while working as an

    instrument for achieving self-reliance in design, manufacture and

    maintenance of aerospace defense equipment and diversifying to related

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    areas, managing the business on commercial lines in a climate of growing

    professional competence

    HAL VALUES

    CUSTOMER SATISFACTION

    HAL is dedicated to building a relationship with its customers

    where it becomes partners in fulfilling their mission. It strives to understand

    our customers needs and to deliver products and services that fulfill and

    exceed all their requirements.

    COMMITMENT TO TOTAL QUALITY

    It is committed to continuous improvement of all its activities. It

    will supply products and services that conform to highest standards of

    design, manufacture, reliability, maintainability and fitness for use as desired

    by our customers

    COST AND TIME CONSCIOUSNESS

    It believes that our success depends on their ability to continually

    reduce the cost and shorten the delivery period of its products and services.

    It will achieve this by eliminating waste in all activities and continuously

    improving all processes in every area of our work.

    INNOVATION AND CREATIVITY

    It believes that our success depends on our ability to continually

    reduce the cost and shorten the delivery period of our products and services.

    It will achieve this by eliminating waste in all activities and continuously

    improving all processes in every area of our work.

    TRUST AND TEAM SPIRIT

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    It believes in achieving harmony in work life through mutual

    trust, transparency, co-operation, and a sense of belonging. It will strive for

    building empowered teams to work towards achieving organizational goals.

    RESPECT FOR THE INDIVIDUAL

    It values its people. it will treat each other with dignity and

    respect and strive for individual growth and realization of everyone's full

    potential.

    INTEGRITY

    It believes in a commitment to be honest, trustworthy, and fair

    in all our dealings. It commits to be loyal and devoted to its organization. It

    will practice self-discipline and own responsibility for its actions. It will

    comply with all requirements so as to ensure that its organization is always

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    EXHIBIT-III.2

    BOARD OF DIRECTORS

    29

    CHAIRMAN

    PART TIME OFFICIAL

    DIRECTORS (2)

    WHOLE TIMEDIRECTORS (7)

    PART TIME NON-

    OFFICIALDIRECTORS (6)

    MD (MIG COMPLEX)

    DIRECTOR (PERSONNEL)

    DIRECTOR (CORP PLG & MKG)

    MD (ACCYS COMLLEX)

    DIRECTOR (DESIGN & DEV)

    DIRECTOR (FINANCE)

    MD (BANGALOOR COMPLEX)

    JOINT SECRETARY(HAL)ADDL.FA (AM) & JS

    G P GUPTHA

    RATAN NAVAL TATA

    R N BHATTACHARYA

    M.K.MOITRA

    S.RAVI

    VICE ADMIRAL

    RAMAN PURI (Retd.)

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    EXHIBIT-III.3

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    TABLE III.1

    HAL CUSTOMERS

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    International Customers Domestic Customers

    Airbus Industries, France APPH Bolton, UK

    BAE Systems, UK Chelton, UK Coast Guard, Mauritius Corporate Air,

    Philippines Cosmic Air, Nepal Dassault Aviation,

    France Dowty Aerospace

    Hydraulics, UK EADS, France ELTA, Israel Gorkha Airlines, Nepal Hampson, UK Honeywell International,

    USA Island Aviation Services,

    Maldives Israel Aircraft Industries,

    Israel Messier Dowty Ltd., UK Mistubishi Heavy

    Industries, Japan MOOG, USA Namibian Air Force,

    Namibia Peruvian Air Force , Peru Rolls Royce Plc, UK Royal Air Force, Oman Royal Malaysian Air

    Force, Malaysia Royal Nepal Army,

    Nepal Royal Thai Air Force,

    Thailand

    Air India Air Sahara

    Airports Authority of India Bharat Electronics Border Security Force Coal India Defense Research & Development

    Organization Govt. of Andhra Pradesh Govt. of Jammu & Kashmir Govt. of Karnataka Govt. of Maharashtra Govt. of Rajasthan Govt. of Uttar Pradesh Govt. of West Bengal Indian Air force Indian Airlines Indian Army Indian Coast Guard Indian Navy Indian Space Research Organization

    Jet Airways Kudremukh Iron ore Company ltd. NALCO Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. Ordnance Factories Reliance Industries United Breweries

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    Smiths Industries, UK Snecma, France Strong field

    Technologies, UK

    The Boeing AircraftCompany, USA

    Tran world Aviation,UAE

    Vietnam Air Force,Vietnam

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS:

    Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) has cruised past the

    Rs.7,500-crore mark for the first time with a sales turnover of Rs.7,783.61

    crores ($1.82 billion) during the Financial Year 2006-07, The Value of

    Production has also gone up by 55.54% to Rs. 9,201.88 crores, while the

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    Profit of the Company (Profit Before Tax) soared to Rs.1,743.60 crores,

    which is an increase of 54.88% over the previous year's performance.

    The highlights are given below:

    Rupees in Crores

    Particulars 2005-06 2006-07

    Growth over

    Previous Year

    Sales 5342 7783 45.69%

    VOP 5916 9202 55.54%

    Profit before tax 1126 1744 54.88%

    Profit after tax 771 1149 49.03%

    Gross Block 1694 2081 22.85%

    Welcome to the Avionics Division, Hyderabad of Hindustan Aeronautic

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    s Limited.

    In early sixties, it was strongly felt that our defense services

    should be more self reliant in defense related equipment, electronics in

    particular. This resulted in HAL setting up a full - fledged unit to cater to the

    aviation electronics (AVIONICS). Thus Avionics Division, Hyderabad was

    born in the year 1965.

    To begin with, the Division's dedicated design team took up the task of

    indigenising, the following critical avionics.

    Identification of Friend or Foe

    UHF Communication set

    V/UHF Communication System

    Automatic Direction Finder (ADF)

    Radio Altimeter

    These systems were developed, qualified, flight tested and inducted

    into the various MiG aircraft manufactured under license in India. Later on,

    the same equipments were fine tuned to meet the requirement of other

    aircraft like Kiran, Jaguar, Dornier, AN-32 and Helicopters.

    Today the Division has spread its wings further to meet the

    Communication and Navigation requirements of our defiance customers and

    the Division is fully geared to enter the international market too.

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    Products in Current Manufacturing Range

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    SI.

    NO.EQUIPMENTFUNCTION HIGHLIGHTS SPECIFICATIONS

    1. IFF 400Identification ofFriend or Foe

    More than 2000in service

    Power output: >350W< (24.5 dbw)PEAK No. of codesavailable 4096

    2. IFF 1410A

    Automatic replies toappropriate groundor airborneinterrogators

    ModularConstruction

    Additional securemode

    3. ADFAutomatic DirectionFinder

    About 1000flying in variousaircraft

    Accuracy: 2%

    4. VUC-201 A

    A combined V

    /UHF maincommunication set

    More than 2000in service

    100-156 MHz (2240

    channels) 225-400MHz (7000 channels)

    5.INCOM-1210A

    Integrated RadioCommunicationSystem

    ECCM FacilityCommunication inAM/FM/Data/ECCMMode

    6. COM-150AUHF standbyequipment

    Fully solid-stateOperating Freq.: 225-400 MHz 7000channels, 5 w

    7. COM-1150AUHF standby

    equipment

    Hybridized

    Version10 Preset Channels

    8.COM-104A/105A

    VHFCommunicationEquipment

    Fully Solid -state

    Operating Freq.: 116-136 MHz 720channels, 4W

    9. HFSSBHF Single SidebandCommunication set

    Fitted in allmilitaryTransport A/C

    2 to 27 MHzChannel spacing: 100HzSensitivity: 100 dbm

    10. SPEEDETMeasure speed ofmoving object

    Supplied tomany state

    policedepartments

    Range: 5 to 200KMPHAccuracy: 1 KMPH

    A combined V/UHFCommunication set

    More than 150Operation invarious ships

    Freq. Range: 100-156MHz

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    ANALYSIS OF THE PROJECTS

    This project deals with the analysis of certain running

    projects of HAL. The analysis is carried out based on the method of risk

    analysis discussed in earlier chapter. Since H.A.L is a organization under the

    ministry of the Defense which is engaged in the production of different

    Defense products to be supplied to its various customers viz. Indian air

    force, Indian army, Indian navy etc. The project names that are bean

    analyzed in further chapters have been codified for data security.

    Accordingly four running projects of H.A.L. have been

    selected for analysis and are coded as PROJECT 1, PROJECT 2,

    PROJECT 3, and PROJECT 4. Brief description of the project is

    discussed below.

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    TABLE IV.1

    YearQty

    SaleValue

    TotalCost

    GrossEarnings

    TotalDep

    NetEarnings

    Tax31% PAT

    Add.Dep. CFA

    1 2 3 4 5=3-4 6 7=5-6 8 9=7-8 10 11=9

    1 3 265.5 238.55 26.538.92 -12.42 -3.85 -8.57

    38.92 30.35

    2 5 441.75 397.58 44.17 51.9 -7.73 -2.4 -5.33 51.9 46.57

    3 151325.25

    1192.73 132.52

    77.85 54.67 16.95 37.72

    77.85 115.5

    4 252208.75

    1987.88 220.87 98.6 122.27 37.9 84.37 98.6 182.9

    5 252208.75

    2017.69 191.06

    103.8 87.26 27.05 60.21

    103.8 164.0

    6 30 2650.52047.96 602.54

    103.8 498.74

    154.61 344.13

    103.8 447.9

    7 30 2650.52078.68 571.82

    103.8 468.02

    145.09 322.93

    103.8 426.7

    8 353092.25

    2810.86 281.39

    103.8 177.59 55.05 122.54

    103.8 226.3

    9 353092.25

    2853.02 239.23

    103.8 135.43 41.98 93.45

    103.8 197.2

    10 353092.25

    2895.82 196.43

    103.8 92.63 28.72 63.91

    103.8 167.7

    11 353092.25

    2939.26 152.99

    103.8 49.19 15.25 33.94

    103.8 137.7

    12 252385.45

    2266.18 119.27

    103.8 75.14 23.29 51.85

    44.13 95.98

    Total

    300

    1201.15 2239

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    PROJECT -2

    This project is recording system with a capital investment is a

    bout Rs.92.54 lakhs.

    CASH FLOW AFTER TAX FOR PROJECT 2

    TABLE IV.2

    YearQty

    SaleValue

    TotalCost

    GrossEarnings

    TotalDep

    NetEarnings

    Tax31% PAT

    Add.Dep. CF

    1 2 3 4 5=3-4 6 7=5-6 8 9=7-8 10 11

    1 3 37.14 33.43 3.71 3.67 0.04 0.01 0.03 3.67 3.7

    2 12148.56 133.7 14.86 4.62 10.24 3.17 7.07 4.62 11

    3 15 185.7167.13 18.57 6.94 11.63 3.61 8.02 6.94 14

    4 15 185.7169.64 16.06 6.94 9.12 2.83 6.29 6.94 13

    5 25 309.5278.55 30.95 6.94 24.01 7.44 16.57 6.94 23

    6 25 309.5282.73 26.77 6.94 19.83 6.15 13.68 6.94 20

    7 25 309.5278.55 30.95 6.94 24.01 7.44 16.57 6.94 23

    8 45 557.1501.39 55.71 6.94 48.77

    15.12 33.65 6.94 40

    TOTAL165

    101.88 15

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    PROJECT- 3

    This project is Adv. Computer system with a capital investment

    about Rs.220.00 lakhs.

    CASH FLOW AFTER TAX FOR PROJECT- 3

    TABLE IV.3

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    PROJECT 4

    This project is Radar Eqpt. With a capital investment is about

    Rs.160 lakhs.

    YearQty

    SaleValue

    TotalCost

    GrossEarnings

    TotalDep

    NetEarnings

    Tax31% PAT

    Add.Dep. CFA

    1 2 3 4 5=3-4 6 7=5-6 8 9=7-8 10 11=

    1 8 566.56 509.9 56.66 0.85 55.81 17.3 38.51 0.85 39.

    2 25 1770.51593.45 177.05 0.85 176.2

    54.62

    121.58 0.85 122

    3 271912.14

    1720.93 191.21 0.85 190.36

    59.01

    131.35 0.85 132

    TOTAL 60291.44 293

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    CASH FLOW AFTER TAX FOR PROJECT 4

    TABLE IV.4

    YearQty

    SaleValue

    TotalCost

    GrossEarnings

    TotalDep

    NetEarnings

    Tax31% PAT

    Add.Dep. CFAT

    1 2 3 4 5=3-4 6 7=5-6 8 9=7-8 10 11=9

    1 5 5546.3

    5379.9

    1 166.39 24 142.39

    44.1

    4 98.25 24 122.2

    2 44437.04

    4215.19 221.85 24 197.85

    61.33

    136.52 24 160.5

    3 44437.04

    4320.57 116.47 24 92.47

    28.67 63.8 24 87.8

    4 44437.04

    4406.98 30.06 24 6.06 1.88 4.18 24 28.18

    TOTAL 17302.75 398.7

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    CALCULATION OF PAYBACK PERIOD

    Payback period can be computed by dividing cash outlay by the annual cash

    flow.

    Payback period =Lower year + Original cost of product AACIF of lower

    year / AACIF of upper year AACIF of lower year

    In the case of unequal cash flow, the payback period can be found out by

    adding of the cash inflows until the total is equal to the initial cash outlay.

    Acceptance rule:

    Payback method is the simplest and easy to understand and easy to

    calculate. Companies used the payback period to accept or reject or it is used

    as a method of ranking the project. As a ranking method, it gives highest

    ranking to the project, which has the shortest payback period and lowest

    ranking to the project with highest payback period. If the firm has to choose

    among two mutually exclusive projects, the project with shorter payback

    period is selected.

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    TABLE IV.5

    THE PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT-1

    (Rs in lakhs )

    Year Annual cash inflows Cumulative cash inflows1 30.35 30.35

    2 46.57 76.92

    3 115.57 192.49

    4 182.97 375.46

    5 164.01 539.47

    6 447.93 987.4

    7 426.73 1414.13

    8 226.39 1640.47

    9 197.25 1837.72

    10 167.71 2005.43

    11 137.74 2143.17

    12 95.98 2239.15

    Investment is Rs 1038 lakhs.

    Payback period =Lower year + Original cost of product AACIF of lower

    year / AACIF of upper year AACIF of lower year

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    Payback period= 6+(1038-984.40)/(1414.13-987.40)

    = 6.1 years.

    Interpretation:

    In this project the initial investment is Rs1038 lakhs are recovered in

    6th year of 1st month.

    TABLE IV.6

    THE PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT-2

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Annual cash inflows Cumulative cash inflows

    1 3.7 3.7

    2 11.69 15.39

    3 14.96 30.35

    4 13.23 43.585 23.51 67.09

    6 20.62 87.71

    7 23.51 111.23

    8 40.59 151.81

    Investment is Rs 92.54 lakhs.

    Payback period =Lower year + Original cost of product AACIF of lower

    year / AACIF of upper year AACIF of lower year

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    Payback period = 6+ (92.54-87.71) / (111.23-87.71)

    = 6.2 years.

    Interpretation:

    In this project the initial investment is Rs 92.54 lakhs are

    recovered in the 6th year of 2nd month.

    TABLE IV.7

    THE PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT-3

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Annual cash inflows Cumulative cash inflows

    1 39.36 39.36

    2 122.43 161.793 132.2 293.99

    .

    Investment is Rs 220.00 lakhs.

    Payback period =Lower year + Original cost of product AACIF of lower

    year / AACIF of upper year AACIF of lower year

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    Payback period = 2 + (220 161.79) / (293.99 161.79)

    = 2 + (58.21 / 132.2)

    =2 + 0.44

    = 2.4 years

    Interpretation:

    In this project the initial investment is Rs 220.00lakhs are

    recovered in the 2nd year of 4th Month

    TABLE IV.8

    THE PAYBACK PERIOD OF PROJECT-4

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Annual cash inflows Cumulative cash inflows

    1 122.25 122.25

    2 160.52 287.77

    3 87.8 370.57

    4 28.18 398.75

    Investment is Rs 160 lakhs.

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    Payback period =Lower year + Original cost of product AACIF of lower

    year / AACIF of upper year AACIF of lower year

    Payback period = 1+ (160-122.25) / (287.77-122.25)

    = 1.2years.

    Interpretation:

    In this project the initial investment is Rs 160.00 lakhs are

    recovered in the 1st year of 2nd month.

    FIGURE IV.1

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    6.1 6.2

    2.4

    1.2

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    YEARS

    1 2 3 4

    PROJ ECTS

    PAYBACK PERIOD OF DIFFERENT PROJ ECTS

    1

    2

    34

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    CALCULATION OF ACCOUTING RATE OF RETURN

    The accounting rate of return thus is an Average Rate of Return,

    which can be determined by the following equation.

    Accounting rate of return = average income / Average investment.

    Average investment = (Original investment Scrap value)/2Average income = Total income / Number of years.

    Acceptance rule:

    This method will accept all those projects whose ARR is higher thanthe minimum rate established by the management and reject those projects

    which have ARR less than the minimum rate. This method would rank a

    project as number one if it has higher ARR and lowest rank would be

    assigned to the project with lowest ARR. However, in HAL capital

    investment in different projects is less since the company has already

    established necessary infrastructure facilities. The expected rate of return

    expected by the management from the entire project is 10%. Except for

    certain exceptional projects such as TOT projects where the probability

    values based on nature and Transfer of Technology. Based on this the ARR

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    of HAL is always likely to be higher. The ARR of four projects under

    analysis is as below:

    TABLE IV.9

    THE ARR OF PROJECT-1

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year NPAT

    1 -8.57

    2 -5.33

    3 37.72

    4 84.37

    5 60.21

    6 344.17 322.9

    8 122.5

    9 93.45

    10 63.91

    11 33.94

    12 51.85

    Total 1201.2

    Accounting rate of return = average income / Average investment.

    Average investment = (Original investment Scrap value)/2

    Average income = Total income / Number of years.

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    Investment is Rs1038 lakhs

    Average investment = 1038/2=519.

    Average income =1201.15/12

    =100.10

    ARR= (100.10/519) 100

    =19.28%

    TABLE IV.10

    THE ARR OF PROJECT-2

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year NPAT

    1 0.03

    2 7.07

    3 8.02

    4 6.29

    5 16.57

    6 13.687 16.57

    8 33.65

    Total 101.9

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    Accounting rate of return = average income / Average investment.

    Average investment = (Original investment Scrap value)/2

    Average income = Total income / Number of years.

    Investment is Rs.92.54 lakhs.

    Average investment = 92.54/2 = 46.27

    Average income = 101.88/8 = 12.73

    ARR = (12.73/46.27) 100 = 27.51

    ARR = 27.51%

    TABLE IV.11

    THE ARR OF PROJECT-3

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year NPAT

    1 38.512 121.6

    3 131.4

    Total 291.4

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    Accounting rate of return = average income / Average investment.

    Average investment = (Original investment Scrap value)/2

    Average income = Total income / Number of years.

    Investment is Rs220.00 lakhs.

    Average investment = 220/2

    = 110

    Average income = 291.44/3

    = 97.14

    ARR = (97.14/110) 100

    ARR = 88%

    TABLE IV.12

    THE ARR OF PROJECT-4

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year NPAT

    1 98.25

    2 136.5

    3 63.8

    4 4.18

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    Total 302.8

    Accounting rate of return = average income / Average investment.

    Average investment = (Original investment Scrap value)/2

    Average income = Total income / Number of years.

    Investment is Rs.160 lakhs.

    Average investment = 160/2

    = 80

    Average income = 302.75/4

    = 75.68

    ARR = (75.68/80) 100

    =94.6%

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    FIGURE IV.2

    19.28

    27.51

    88

    94.6

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    ARR@%

    1 2 3 4PROJECTS

    ARR OF DIFFERENT PROJ ECTS

    1

    2

    3

    4

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    CALCULATION OF NET PRESENT VALUE OF HAL:

    The following steps are involved in the calculation of NPV. Incase of

    NPV is positive accept the project, if the NPV is negative reject the project.

    NPV > 0 ACCEPT

    NPV < 0 REJECT

    NPV = 0 MAY ACCEPT

    NPV is the true measure of an investments profitability. The NPV

    method, therefore, provides the most investment rule. First, it recognizes the

    time value of money. A rupee received today is worth more than a rupee

    received tomorrow.

    It uses all cash flows occurring over the entire of the project in

    calculating its worth. The NPV relies on the time value of the estimated cash

    flows and the discount rate rather than any arbitrary assumptions or

    subjective considerations.

    The NPV method can be selected between mutually exclusive

    projects; the one with higher NPV should be selected. Using the NPV

    method, projects would be ranked in order of net present values; that is, first

    rank will be given to the project with the highest positive net present value

    and soon

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    TABLE IV.13

    NET PRESENT VALUE OF THE PROJECT-1

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year1

    Cash flow2

    P.V.factor@10%3

    Cash flows of P.V4(2*3)

    1 30.35 0.909 27.58

    2 46.57 0.826 38.46

    3 115.57 0.751 86.79

    4 182.97 0.683 124.96

    5 164.01 0.621 101.85

    6 447.93 0.564 252.63

    7 426.73 0.513 218.918 226.39 0.467 105.7

    9 197.25 0.424 83.63

    10 167.71 0.386 64.73

    11 137.74 0.35 48.2

    12 95.98 0.319 30.61

    Total 1184.05

    Total CF of PV = 1184.05

    (-) Investment = 1038.00

    NPV = 146.05

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    Interpretation:

    NPV of project-1 is positive (+) i.e. Rs 146.05 lakhs, so project is

    acceptable for HAL.

    TABLE IV.14

    NET PRESENT VALUE OF THE PROJECT-2

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year1

    Cash flow2

    P.V.factor@10%3

    Cash flows of P.V4 (2*3)

    1 3.7 0.909 3.36

    2 11.69 0.826 9.65

    3 14.96 0.751 11.234 13.23 0.683 9.03

    5 23.51 0.621 14.59

    6 20.62 0.564 11.62

    7 23.51 0.513 12.06

    8 40.59 0.467 18.95

    Total 90.49

    Total CV of PV = 90.49

    (-) Investment = 92.54

    NPV = -2.05

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    Interpretation:

    NPV of project-2 is Negative (-) i.e. Rs 2.05 lakhs, so project is reject

    for HAL.

    TABLE IV.15

    NET PRESENT VALUE OF THE PROJECT-3

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Cash flow P.V.factor@10% Cash flows of P.V1 39.36 0.909 35.77

    2 122.43 0.826 101.12

    3 132.2 0.751 99.28

    4 Total 236.17

    Total CF of PV = 236.17

    (-) Investment = 220.00

    NPV = 16.17

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    Interpretation:

    NPV of project-3 is positive (+) i.e. Rs 16.17 lakhs, so project is

    acceptable for HAL.

    TABLE IV.16

    NET PRESENT VALUE OF THE PROJECT-4

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Cash flow P.V.factor@10% Cash flows of P.V

    1 122.25 0.909 111.12

    2 160.52 0.826 132.58

    3 87.8 0.751 65.93

    4 28.18 0.683 19.24

    5 Total 328.87

    Total CV of PV = 328.87

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    (-) Investment = 160.00

    NPV = 168.87

    Interpretation:

    NPV of project-4 is positive (+) i.e. Rs 168.87 lakhs, so project is

    acceptable for HAL.

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    CALCULATION OF PROFITABILITY INDEX (PI)

    The profitability index method provides a solution to this kind of

    problem; it may be defined as the ratio, which is obtained dividing the

    present value of future cash flows by the present values of cash outlays.

    PI = PV of cash inflows / initial cash outlay

    ACCEPTANCE OF THE PROJECT:

    Using the B/C ratio or the PI, a project will accept if its PI exceeds

    one. When the PI = 1, when the PI is greater than, equal to or less than 1, the

    net present value is greater than or equal to or less than zero. In other wards,

    the NPV will be positive when the PI is greater than one; NPV is negative

    when the PI is less the one.

    Therefore NPV and PI approaches give the same results regarding

    the investment proposals.

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    TABLE IV.17

    PROFITABILITY INDEX OF PROJECT-1:

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year

    1

    Cash flow

    2

    P.V.factor@10%

    3

    Cash flows of P.V

    4(2*3)1 30.35 0.909 27.58

    2 46.57 0.826 38.46

    3 115.57 0.751 86.79

    4 182.97 0.683 124.96

    5 164.01 0.621 101.85

    6 447.93 0.564 252.63

    7 426.73 0.513 218.91

    8 226.39 0.467 105.7

    9 197.25 0.424 83.6310 167.71 0.386 64.73

    11 137.74 0.35 48.2

    12 95.98 0.319 30.61

    Total 1184.05

    PV of cash inflows = 1184.05

    (-) Investment =1038.00

    NPV =146.05

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    PI = PV of cash inflows / initial cash outlay

    PI = 1184.05/1038 = 1.14

    Interpretation:

    The profitability index value is 1.14, which is more than the value 0,

    and also the NPV is positive hence the project is viable to HAL.

    TABLE IV.18

    PROFITABILITY INDEX OF PROJECT-2:

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year1

    Cash flow2

    P.V.factor@10%3

    Cash flows of P.V4 (2*3)

    1 3.7 0.909 3.36

    2 11.69 0.826 9.65

    3 14.96 0.751 11.234 13.23 0.683 9.03

    5 23.51 0.621 14.59

    6 20.62 0.564 11.62

    7 23.51 0.513 12.06

    8 40.59 0.467 18.95

    Total 90.49

    Total CV of PV = 90.49

    (-) Investment = 92.54

    NPV = -2.05

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    PI = PV of cash inflows / initial cash outlay

    PI = 90.49/92.54 = 0.97

    Interpretation:

    The profitability index value is 0.97, which is more than the value 0,

    and also the NPV is negative hence the project is not viable to HAL.

    TABLE IV.19

    PROFITABILITY INDEX OF PROJECT-3:

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Cash flow P.V.factor@10% Cash flows of P.V

    1 39.36 0.909 35.77

    2 122.43 0.826 101.12

    3 132.2 0.751 99.28

    4 Total 236.17

    Total CF of PV = 236.17

    (-) Investment = 220.00

    NPV = 16.17

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    PI = PV of cash inflows / initial cash outlay

    PI = 236.17/220= 1.07

    Interpretation:

    The profitability index value is 1.07, which is more than the value 0,

    and also the NPV is positive hence the project is viable to HAL.

    TABLE IV.20

    PROFITABILITY INDEX OF PROJECT-4:

    (Rs in lakhs)

    Year Cash flow P.V.factor@10% Cash flows of P.V1 122.25 0.909 111.12

    2 160.52 0.826 132.58

    3 87.8 0.751 65.93

    4 28.18 0.683 19.24

    5 Total 328.87

    Total CV of PV = 328.87

    (-) Investment = 160.00

    NPV = 168.87

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    PI = PV of cash inflows / initial cash outlay

    PI = 328.87/160 =2.05

    Interpretation:

    The profitability index value is 2.05, which is more than the value 0,

    and also the NPV is positive hence the project is viable to HAL.

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    FIGURE IV.4

    1.14

    0.971.07

    2.05

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    VALUES

    1 2 3 4

    PROJ ECTS

    PROFITABILITY INDEX OF DIFFERENT PROJ ECTS

    1

    2

    3

    4

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    INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR):

    The second discounted cash flow or time-adjusted method for

    apprising capital investment decisions is the internal rate of return (IRR)

    method. This technique is also known as yield on investment, marginal

    efficiency of capital, marginal productivity of capital. The internal rate of

    return is usually the rate of return that a project earns. It is defined as the

    aggregate present value of cash outflows of a project.

    IRR = Lower rate of return + present value of Cash at lower rate present

    value of investment / Different between present values Different between

    the discount rate chosen.

    (OR)

    IRR = r (PBP DFR) / (DFRL DFRH)

    Where PBP = Pay back period

    DFR = Discount factor for interest Rate r

    DFRL = Discount factor for Lower interest Rate r

    DFRH = Discount factor for Higher interest Rate r

    Acceptance of project:

    Accept if IRR > cost of capital

    Reject - if IRR < cost of capital

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    IRR = 6%

    Interpretation:

    The expected rate of return of HAL is 10%. Since the IRR of

    project-2 i.e. 6% is less than expected rate of return, so it is observed that

    project is not viable to HAL.

    CALCULATION OF IRR OF PROJECT 3

    Pay Back Period = 2.4 years

    Present value of annuity for PBP lies between 12% and 13%

    12% ------------------------- 2.402

    13% ------------------------- 2.361

    IRR = 13 (2.4 2.361) / (2.402 2.361)

    IRR = 11.88%

    Interpretation:

    The minimum expected rate of return of HAL is 10%. Since the IRR

    of ject-3 i.e 11.88% is grater than expected rate of return, it is observed that

    project is viable to HAL.

    CALCULATION OF IRR OF PROJECT 4

    Invest of Project-3 is Rs.160 Lakhs.

    NPV= 0

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    (Cash inflow - Investment) = 0

    The IRR is the value of r, which satisfies the following equation.

    160 = 122.25 + 160.52 + 87.80 + 28.18(1+r) (1+r) 2 (1+r) 3 (1+r) 4

    The calculation of r involves a process of trail and error. We try different

    values of r till we find that the RHS of the above equation is equal to

    Rs.160Lakhs. Let us, to began with, try r=62%. This makes the RHS equal

    to:

    39.36 + 122.43 + 132.20 = 161.37(1+0.62) (1+0.62) 2 (1+0.62) 3

    The value is slightly Higher than our target valueRs.160lakhs. So we

    increase the value of r from 62% to 63%.

    39.36 + 122.43 + 132.20 = 159.68(1+0.63) (1+0.63) 2 (1+0.63) 3

    Since this value is now less than 160, we conclude that value of rlies

    between 62% to 63%. From most of the purposes this indication sufficient.

    If a move-refined estimate of r is needed, use the following procedure.

    (1) Determine the NPV of Two closest rates of return.

    (NPV/62%) 1.37

    (NPV/63%) 0.32

    (2) Find sum of the absolute values of the NPV obtained in step 1:

    1.37 + 0.32 = 1.69

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    (3) Calculate the ratio of the NPV of the smaller discount rate identified in

    step 1: to the sum obtained in step2:

    0.32/1.69 = 0.18

    (4) Add the number obtained in step3: to the smaller discount rate:

    62+0.18 = 62.18%

    Interpretation:

    The minimum expected rate of return of HAL is 10%. Since the IRR

    of ject-4 i.e 62.18% is grater than expected rate of return, it is observed that

    project is viable to HAL.

    FIGURE IV.5

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    12.3

    6

    11.88

    62.18

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    IRR (%)

    1 2 3 4

    PROJECTS

    IRR OF DIFFERENT PROJECTS

    1

    2

    3

    4

    FINDINGS / CONCLUSIONS

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    The study concerned with the capital budgeting with reference to HAL the

    data is collected, organized, analyzed and interpreted. HAL has a good

    organization culture, excellent working environment and a very precious

    asset that is highly dedicated, hardworking, and well-qualified efficient and

    knowledgeable workforce.

    The following findings are obtained from the analysis of data:

    1. The project is for supply of Eqot. For a helicopter and its total investment

    is Rs.1038 lakhs.

    The non-discounted pay back period is 6.1 years. The

    investment will recover in 6years and 1 month.

    The ARR is 19.28% more than the required rate of return.

    Therefore, accept the project on ARR basis.

    NPV is positive (+) i.e.Rs146.05 lakhs, so accept the project.

    The profitability index is 1.14 times > 1.

    The IRR is 12.3% more than the required rate of return

    2. The project is recording system with a capital investment is about Rs

    92.54 lakhs.

    The non-discounted pay back period is 6.2 years. The

    investment will recover in 6years and 2 month.

    The ARR is 27.51% more than the required rate of return.

    Therefore, accept the project on ARR basis.

    NPV is negative (-) i.e. 2.05 lakhs, so reject the project on

    NPV basis.

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    The profitability index is 0.97 times 1.

    The IRR is 11.88% more than the required rate of return.

    4. The project is Radar Eqpt. With a capital investment is about Rs.160lakhs.

    The non-discounted pay back period is 1.2 years. The

    investment will recover in 1year and 2 month.

    The ARR is 94.6% more than the required rate of return.

    Therefore, accept the project on ARR basis.

    NPV is positive (+) i.e.Rs168.87 lakhs, so accept the project.

    The profitability index is 2.05 times > 1.

    The IRR is 62.18% more than the required rate of return

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    TABLE V.1

    ACCEPT / REJECT THE NEW SCHEMES:

    Project ARR PBP NPV IRR PI Accept/Reject

    1 A A A A A Accept

    2 A A R R R Reject

    3 A A A A A Accept

    4 A A A A A Accept

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    TABLE V.2

    COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ALL THE 4 PROJECTS:

    Project ARR (%) PBP (Yrs)NPV (Rs inlakhs) IRR (%) PI (Times)

    1 19.28 6.1 146.05 12.3 1.14

    2 27.51 6.2 -2.05 6 0.97

    3 88 2.4 16.17 11.88 1.07

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    4 94.6 1.2 168.87 62.8 2.05

    The ARR of all the projects is more than the companies minimum

    required rate of return.

    All projects are recovering the investment in their project duration.

    Except the 2nd project, all of them are having positive NPV.

    Except the 2nd project, the IRR of all the projects is more than the

    companies minimum required rate of return.

    The above projects profitability is more than 1 but again the 2nd

    project fails and earns a profit of Rs.0.97 at per rupee of

    investment.

    RECOMMENDATIONS / SUGGESTIONS

    1. The advanced computer system project is high quality project. Its

    profitable in all contexts PBP, ARR, NPV, IRR, PI are positive, accept the

    project.

    2. The recording system is not a profitability project; it is generating losses

    at present. Therefore, Reject it.

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    3. The project of supply of Eqot. for a Helicopter is having a PBP of 6.1yrs,

    NPV, IRR, ARR & PI are indicating a positive sign. Therefore accept the

    project.

    4. The project of Radar Eqpt is having a PBP of 1.2yrs, NPV, IRR; ARR &

    PI are indicating a positive sign. Therefore accept the project.

    BIBLIOGRAPHY:

    BOOKS:

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    1) A Murthy, S Gurusamy, Management Accounting, Vijay

    Nicole, 2006.

    2) I M Pandey, Financial Management, 9/e, Vikas publishing,

    2004.

    3) M Y Khan and P K Jain,Financial Management,Tata Mc

    Graw-Hill, New Delhi- 2003.

    4) S.N.Maheswari, Financial Management, Vikas Publishers,

    New Delhi-2003.

    5) V K Bhalla, Financial Management and Policies, Anmol

    Publications Pvt.Ltd. New Delhi.

    WEB-SITES:

    1) www.hal-india.com2) www.wikipedia.com3) www.google.com

    http://www.hal-india.com/http://www.wikipedia.com/http://www.google.com/http://www.hal-india.com/http://www.wikipedia.com/http://www.google.com/