52
i Capacity Development and Strengthening for Energy Policy Formulation and Implementation of Sustainable Energy Projects In Indonesia CASINDO Regional Energy Efficiency Planning 2011 Regional CASINDO Team of Yogyakarta Center of Regional Energy Management of Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta (PUSPER UMY) Author: 1. Pamungkas Jutta Prahara (PUSPER-Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta) 2. Ir. Tony K. Hariadi, M.T. (PUSPER-Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta) Steering Committee:

Capacity Development and Strengthening for Energy Policy ...€¦ · Consumers of PT. PLN (Persero) APJ Yogyakarta from year 2007 to 2008 are respectively around 745 thousand and

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  • i

    Capacity Development and Strengthening for

    Energy Policy Formulation and Implementation of

    Sustainable Energy Projects In Indonesia

    CASINDO

    Regional Energy Efficiency Planning 2011

    Regional CASINDO Team of Yogyakarta

    Center of Regional Energy Management

    of Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

    (PUSPER UMY)

    Author:

    1. Pamungkas Jutta Prahara (PUSPER-Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta)

    2. Ir. Tony K. Hariadi, M.T. (PUSPER-Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta)

    Steering Committee:

  • ii

    1. Raouf Saidi, M.Sc. (Energy research Centre of the Netherlands)

    2. Nico van der Linden, M.Sc. (Energy research Centre of the Netherlands)

    © 2012 CASINDO Program, Pusat Studi Pengelolaan Energi Regional Universitas

    Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta (PUSPER-UMY) and Energy research Centre of the Netherlands

    (ECN)

    http://www.casindo.info

  • i

    Preface

    This report is deliverable No.24 of the project ‘Capacity development and strengthening

    for energy policy formulation and implementation of Sustainable energy projects in

    INDOnesia (CASINDO)’. The CASINDO project aims to establish a self-sustaining and self-

    developing structure at both the national and regional level to build and strengthen human

    capacity to enable the provinces of North Sumatra, Yogyakarta, Central Java, West Nusa

    Tenggara and Papua to formulate sound energy policies and to develop and implement

    sustainable energy projects.

    The CASINDO project is funded by NL Agency and implemented by a consortium co-

    ordinated jointly by the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and the Energy

    research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN), comprising the following organisations:

    Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Recourses, Jakarta.

    Muhammadiyah University of Yogyakarta, Yogyakarta.

    Diponegoro University, Semarang.

    University of Sumatra Utara, Medan.

    University of Mataram, Mataram.

    University of Cenderawasih, Jayapura.

    Institute of Technology of Bandung (ITB), Bandung.

    Technical Education Development Centre (TEDC), Bandung.

    Technical University Eindhoven, Eindhoven.

    ETC-Nederland, Leusden.

    Energy research Centre of the Netherlands ECN, Petten.

    The sole responsibility for the content of this report lies with the authors. It does not

    represent the opinion of NL Agency and NL Agency is not responsible for any use that may

    be made of the information contained herein.

  • ii

    List of Abbreviations: DIY : Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta/Special Region of Yogyakarta

    AC : Air Conditioning

    BOE : Barrel of Oil Equivalent

    RUED : Rencana Umum Energi Dareah/Regional Energy Master Plan

    JAMALI : Electricity Interconnection System of Jawa-Madura-Bali

    MVA : Mega Volt-Ampere

    TWh : Terra Watt Hour

    PLN : Perusahaan Listrik Negara (National Electricity Company of Indonesia)

    IDR : Indonesia Rupiah

    CFL : Cloro-Fluoro Lamps

    TDL : Tarif Dasar Listrik/Basic Electricity Tariff

    MWh : Mega Watt Hour

    CRT : Cathode Ray Tube

    BPS : Biro Pusat Statistik/Center of Statistic Bureau

    kVA : Kilo Volt-Ampere

    kWh : Kilo Watt Hour

    NPV : Net Present Value

    EE : Energy Efficiency

    NGO : Non-Government Organization

    GWh : Giga Watt Hour

    HP : Horse Power

    EPC : Energy Performance Contracts

    ESCO : Energy Services Company

  • iii

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Preface ................................................................................................................................. i

    TABLE OF CONTENTS .......................................................................................................... iii

    CHAPTER 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................... 1

    CHAPTER 2. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 2

    2.1. Background 2

    2.2. Energy Efficiency Objectives: 3

    2.3. Overview Energy Sector In Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta 3

    2.3.1. Energy Policy 3

    2.3.2. Electricity 4

    2.3.3. Fossil Fuel 5

    2.3.4. Target Groups 7

    CHAPTER 3. ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................................................. 8

    3.1. External Factors 8

    3.2. Local Assumptions 9

    3.3. Key Data 9

    3.3.1. General Assumptions 10

    3.3.2. Household Sector 10

    3.3.3. Commercial Sector 10

    3.3.4. Industrial Sector 11

    3.3.5. Social Sector 11

    3.3.6. Public Sector 11

    CHAPTER 4. RECOMMENDATION SCENARIO ........................................................................ 12

    4.1. Determining Energy Efficiency Target 12

    4.2. Household Sector 12

    4.3. Commercial, Industrial, Social, and Public Sector 25

    CHAPTER 5. CONCLUDING ANALYSES AND DISCUSSIONS ...................................................... 35

  • iv

    CHAPTER 6. APPENDICES WITH ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................... 40

  • 1

    CHAPTER 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Increasing energy demand and decreasing energy supply has to be faced by

    strategic measures. Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta (DIY) faces the same problem with

    more burdens since DIY depends on energy supply from other region.

    One strategic measure is to reduce energy consumption across sectors. There

    are, in total, 805.468 electricity consumers in Yogyakarta in the household, social and

    industrial sector. Through direct measures electricity consumption can be reduced and

    financial resources can be saved. One of the measures is energy conservation

    campaign to all sectors in the region which expected to reduce the energy spent, for

    example to switch off electronic devices totally instead of to put them in standby

    mode.

    Survey in the region indicated there are various use of electronic devices in

    household dominated by refrigeration, television, and AC’s. In industries and social,

    AC and motors are dominating the sector. By applying inverter technology and

    refrigerant retrofitting to air conditioner can reduce significantly the energy

    consumption. Changing from old refrigerator with new energy saver refrigerator

    would also reduce energy consumption.

    Strategic energy policy and tools has to be identified to push the community to

    apply the recommended measure. Energy labeling, tax reduction program and energy

    price increase would make the energy conservation program more feasible and create

    an environment where inventing in energy efficiency is more attractive. Furthermore a

    financial resource policy has to be prepared for community education through

    promotion and campaign on energy conservation program.

  • 2

    CHAPTER 2. INTRODUCTION

    2.1. Background

    The share of national primary energy in Indonesia in 2009 reached 1,065 million BOE

    with the composition of 50.3% petroleum, natural gas 22.9%, coal 22%, 3% hydro, and

    geothermal 1.6%. Energy elasticity of 1.63, 66.7% electrification ratio, energy consumption

    growth rate average of 7% per year, and the subsidy amounted to 98.96 trillion rupiah.

    If the national energy management conducted business as usual, projected year 2025 share of

    national primary energy reached 5,100 million BOE with oil composition 41.7%, coal 34.6%, 20.6%

    natural gas, and renewable energy 3.1%.

    Conversely, if following the direction of national energy policy which is reflected in the

    25/25 vision of renewable energy, projected share of national energy in 2025 reached 3,200

    million BOE. Means there are savings of 37.25% obtained through energy conservation.

    Composition of energy also has been changed into 20% of petroleum, natural gas 23%, coal

    32%, and 25% renewable energy obtained through energy diversification efforts.

    In relation to environmental issues, including climate change mitigation, carbon trading, and

    reduction of carbon emissions the government of Indonesia is committed to reducing carbon emissions

    by 26% from the current state in 2020. Reducing carbon emissions is obtained from the forestry sector

    by 14%, 6% of energy, and waste management at 6%.

    According to Law no. 30 of 2007 on energy, among others, stated that in formulating

    national energy plan includes the Central Government and the Regional Command attention

    to the opinions and input from the community. Furthermore, in the Local Government Act

    mandated to plan regional energy referring to the national energy plan. Thus the general plan of

    national and regional energy required interaction between central and local governments. To increase the capacity of Institutional Resources in the central and regional levels in order interactions were

    delivered five (5) provinces to join the program CASINDO.

    The CASINDO program aims to build and strengthen capacity of institutional resources in the

    Provinces of North Sumatra, Yogyakarta, Central Java, West Nusa Tenggara, and Papua in formulating

    policies on renewable energy and energy efficiency, and develop and implement renewable energy

    projects.

    This program aims to support Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta Province in realizing a

    vision to make energy as infrastructure protection and welfare of the people through a policy

    combining the efficient use of fossil fuels and developing low emission renewable energy

    technologies.

  • 3

    2.2. Energy Efficiency Objectives:

    The purposes of energy efficiency master plan are as follows:

    a. Utilize energy efficiently and rationally without limiting the function in support of national development.

    b. Using the optimal energy needed to reduce the cost incurred (cost-effective energy saving).

    c. Maintaining the sustainability of natural resources in the form of an energy source through a policy of technology selection and use energy efficiently, rationally, and to

    realize a sustainable energy supply capability.

    d. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and emissions of other gases (SOx, NOx) to become an important part in preventing or mitigating climate change.

    2.3. Overview Energy Sector In Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta

    2.3.1. Energy Policy

    Energy policy in DIY, especially as related to energy efficiency are adopted directly

    from the national energy policy. This is because there is no regional master plan and local

    regulations are published as the elaboration of a national energy policy.

    National energy policy refers to:

    a. Presidential Regulation No. 5/2006 on National Energy Policy. Implementation of energy conservation and energy efficiency, energy audit,

    partnership programs with stakeholder.

    b. Law No. 30/2007 on Energy.

    Energy conservation becomes responsibility of government together with local

    government, entrepreneur, and community. Implementation of conservation program

    was set with Government Regulation or Regional Regulation. These also include

    preparation of academic manuscript of RUED.

    c. Law No. 15/1985 on Electricity. d. Presidential Instruction No. 2/2008 regarding energy and water efficiency

    Innovation action for energy and water savings in institution / state own

    company / local company, formatting energy task force, conducting monitoring and

    evaluation of energy savings.

    e. Government Regulation no. 70/2009 concerning energy efficiency. Energy conservation becomes responsibility of government together with local

    government, entrepreneur, and community. Guidance and supervision by government

    and local government, formatting energy task force, training and technical assistance,

    monitoring and evaluation of energy savings.

    f. Minister Regulation of Energy and Mining Resources as Chairman of Bakoren No. 100.K/48/M.PE/1995 on Rencana Induk Konservasi Energi Nasional / National

    Energy Conservation Master Plan (Riken 1995 and 2005).

  • 4

    Information Policy, Set up Policy, Incentive Policy, Market Transformation

    Policies, training, forum, energy audit, partnership program, DSM program (energy-

    efficient lightings for RT and offices).

    g. Law No. 28/2002 on Buildings; Government Regulation No. 36/2005 on Implementation Guidance of UU No. 28/2002; Minister Regulation of PU No.

    29/PRT/M/2006 on Technical Requirements for Building Guidelines.

    h. Government Regulation No. 3/2005 on provision and utilization of electricity.

    2.3.2. Electricity

    The region has no large scale generator systems and Yogyakarta is in the grid system of

    JAMALI. DIY also has no fossil fuel reserves, and the potential for renewable energy is not

    being utilized yet. Because the electricity energy needs will be fulfilled by JAMALI

    interconnection system, so the generator system plan will also be in-line with the generator

    system development throughout in JAMALI interconnection system. With this system,

    electricity supply in Yogyakarta may come from several generators within that

    interconnection. Now, Yogyakarta electricity needs are supplied by a substation spread over

    five regions with a total capacity of 616 MVA. This can be seen at table 1 (Annex).

    Consumers of PT. PLN (Persero) APJ Yogyakarta from year 2007 to 2008 are

    respectively around 745 thousand and 770 thousand. Most of them are in the household

    sectors; 93.21%. The biggest consumer is in the household sector; 55.95%, and the total value

    about IDR 920 million, also biggest contributor is households with 50.33%. In the figure 2.1

    below can be seen that electricity market share of industry increase of 1% in 2008 compare

    with year 2007, and as otherwise the household has decrease 1%. But for total electricity

    market share are increased by 6.75%. The electricity markets in year 2007 to 2008 are

    respectively around 1.48 TWh, and 1.58 TWh. For the total number of electricity consumer in

    Yogyakarta is shown in this table 2 (annex).

    (a)

  • 5

    (b)

    (c)

    Figure 2.1. (a). Electricity market share by cathegories for year 2007, (b). Electricity

    market share by cathegories for year 2008, and (c). Comparison of total Electricity market for

    year 2007 and 2008.

    2.3.3. Fossil Fuel

    In DIY, fossil fuels are energy carriers that are used for the household, industry,

    commercial, and transportation sector. Transportation is the biggest consumer of oil energy,

  • 6

    which is using premium as much as 2.03 million BOE in year 2007 and increase to 2.12

    million BOE in year 2008, and diesel oil as 466 thousand BOE in year 2007 and increase to

    485 thousand BOE in year 2008. Growth rate for premium and diesel oil are 4%. Energy

    consumptions for transportation sector, are shown at the figure bellow:

    (a)

    (b)

    Figure 2.2. (a) Energy used in transportation sector year 2007, (b) Energy used in

    transportation

    sector year 2008

    Motorcycles dominate the energy consumption by type in transport in D.I. Yogyakarta

    province. It reached 908 thousand BOE in 2007 and 965 thousand BOE in 2008. This is

    followed by passanger cars with energy consumption as 906 thousand BOE in 2007 and as

    948 thousand BOE in 2008, and dominated with passenger car that use premium for its fuel,

    which is 864 tousand BOE in 2007 and 900 thousand BOE in 2008. Energy consumptions for

  • 7

    truck and bus in 2007 is respectively 528 thousand BOE and 133 thousand BOE, and in 2008

    is 534 thousand BOE and 139 thousand BOE. Detailed energy consumptions for

    transportation sector in 2007 and 2008 are shown in table 3 (annex).

    The activities was not produce analysis for transportation sector because it has technical

    difficulty in calculating and draw assumptions to calculate total energy savings, eventhough

    the most potential energy savings are came from this sector. The sector is dominated by

    private vehicles. To be analyzed, widely use of public transport and fewer private vehicles

    must be achieved. The condition implies that the infrastructure financing for development of

    public transport will costs very high.

    2.3.4. Target Groups

    The biggest consumer groups are the household (about 54.94%), business and industries

    (33.38%), social and government agencies (11.68%) sectors, thus these sectors are being

    targeted for energy efficiency efforts. Surveys in the region indicate there are various uses of

    electronic appliances in households such as air conditioning (AC), refrigerator, television, and

    desktop personal computer (PC). In industry, business, and social, AC and motors are

    frequently used. Thus electrical appliances and equipments are the target for energy efficiency

    strategies.

  • 8

    CHAPTER 3. ASSUMPTIONS

    It was decided to take DIY as research objects with data retrieval method are random

    sampled survey combine with existing data due to limitations. Combination method is expected to

    produce valid data to represent the supply and demand for electricity with very good

    comparison.

    3.1. External Factors

    National energy conservation program is implemented through: (1) the creation of

    public awareness on energy conservation, (2) education and training, (3) opens as the central

    clearinghouse of information about energy conservation activities, (4) a joint program of

    energy conservation, competency certification program manager energy for buildings and

    industrial sectors, and (5) labeling program of efficiency level of electric equipment.

    Target energy efficiency is obtained by the elasticity of energy smaller than 1 in 2025 and a

    decrease in energy intensity of 1 percent per year until 2025. The target levels of efficiency labeling

    programs are like tables 3.1 and 3.2 below:

    Table 3.1. Target of electrical equipment labeling

    Y

    ear Appliances

    Ye

    ar Appliances

    2

    010

    CFL, refrigerator and

    television

    20

    13

    Wash machine and rice

    cooker

    2

    011 AC, fan

    20

    14 Other appliances

    2

    012 Ballast and electric motor

    Table 3.2. CFL Labeling

    Power

    (Watt)

    Efficacy (Lumen/Watt)

    5 - 9 45 – >49 – >52 > 55

  • 9

    49 52 – 55

    10 –

    15

    46 –

    51

    > 51 –

    54

    > 54

    – 57 > 57

    16 –

    25

    47 –

    53

    > 53 –

    56

    > 56

    – 59 > 59

    ≥ 26 48 –

    55

    > 55 –

    58

    > 58

    – 61 > 61

    3.2. Local Assumptions

    Until now, regulations and policies on energy conservation / energy efficiency in DIY

    does not exist, so it is assumed to refer to national regulations.

    3.3. Key Data

    Key data used includes the value of equipment investment costs, energy consumption of

    equipment, the amount of electrical energy can be saved by more efficient electrical

    equipment or through changes in behavior in using the equipment, the price of electric energy,

    and how long the investment cost can be returned if the use of equipment more efficient.

  • 10

    3.3.1. General Assumptions Discount rates 12 % per year

    Implementing Variable

    Speed Drive

    1,000,000 IDR/kWh

    equipments

    Occurs on motors, split AC’s

    and central AC’s

    Retrofitting Refrigerant 280,000 IDR per unit AC’s Occurs on commercial,

    social, and public with split

    AC’s

    Price of Electrical energy Increase maximum 20 % Political situation difficulties

    to establish regulation

    Allowance of Subsidy

    Scenario

    Limit to 50 %

    Equipment Technical

    lifetime

    5 years In line with ministry standard

    analysis

    3.3.2. Household Sector Electricity Price Using Basic Electricity

    Tariff (TDL) 2010

    Consist of 2 groups of customers:

    R-1/TR 450 - 900 VA price is 495

    IDR/kWh

    R-1/TR 1,300 – 2,200 VA price is 790

    IDR/kWh

    Household with power connected above 3,500 VA only applied for behavior approach and

    exclude in analysis because they already implement energy efficiency equipment obtained

    from survey

    Survey Data Total respondent is 320

    (urban 200, suburban 120)

    Own refrigerator: 66%

    Own CRT TV: 55 %

    Own AC: 29 %

    3.3.3. Commercial Sector

    Analysis are performed on hotels and lodging. Data about hotels and lodging were

    obtained from PLN, government, and BPS, in detail:

    Electricity Price Using Basic Electricity Tariff

    (TDL) 2010

    Consist of 2 groups of

    customers:

    B-1/TR 2,200 – 5,500 VA

  • 11

    B-2/TR 6,600 VA – 200

    kVA

    Price is 900 IDR/kWh

    Split AC’s Average 12 pieces per hotel Applied by non star hotels

    Most of star hotels use central AC’s in systems

    Hotel amount Star hotels: 38

    non star hotels: 1030

    3.3.4. Industrial Sector Electricity Price Using Basic Electricity Tariff

    (TDL) 2010

    I-3/TM above 200 kVA price

    is 750 IDR/kWh

    Analysis performed Leather, limestone, food and

    wood industries

    Leather: 20 industries

    Limestone: 49 industries

    Food: 36 industries

    Wood: 30 industries

    Improvement of Unbalance

    Voltage

    25,000,000 IDR Used to hire consultant

    Energy savings 15,500

    kWh/year

    3.3.5. Social Sector Electricity Price Using Basic Electricity Tariff

    (TDL) 2010

    S-2/TR 3,500 VA - 200 kVA

    price is 755 IDR/kWh

    Analysis performed Type C hospitals and above Total is 63 hospitals

    3.3.6. Public Sector Electricity Price Using Basic Electricity Tariff

    (TDL) 2010

    2 groups of customers:

    P-1/TR 2,200 – 5,500 VA

    P-2/TR 6,600 VA – 200 kVA

    Price is 900 IDR/kWh

    Analysis performed Government building P-1/TR 270 buildings

    P-2/TR 146 buildings

  • 12

    CHAPTER 4. RECOMMENDATION SCENARIO

    Recommendations scenarios involve determining the energy efficiency target,

    calculating the potential savings (energy and energy costs), and analyze the obstacles in

    implementing energy efficiency in the DIY.

    4.1. Determining Energy Efficiency Target

    Energy efficiency can be done through two ways, namely by changing:

    (1) technology from energy-intensive equipment to more energy-efficient equipment

    (2) consumer behavior.

    Both these changes require an initial investment. This can be to purchase modern and

    efficient technology, improved regulation or training in the field of improved energy

    management. For an energy user - be it in the household, industrial, transport, commercial or

    public sector - the interest to invest in an energy efficiency measure is dependent on:

    1. the size of the initial investment,

    2. the payback period of that investment,

    3. the total energy and cost savings.

    4.2. Household Sector

    Energy efficiency measures are found for refrigeration, television, and air conditioning

    (AC).

    a. Refrigeration

    A refrigerator works 24 hours and operates effectively for about 16 hours and is in

    standby mode for roughly 8 hours. The amount of customers and energy savings potential of

    refrigerator is high.

    Assumptions of refrigerator replacement

    Current type of refrigerator : 1. 0.120

    kW and

    2. 0.07

    kW IDR O/fridge

    Operation time : 16 hours/day

  • 13

    New type of refrigerator : 0.03 kW

    Price IDR

    1,500,000

    Generating costs : IDR 1,300 at normal time

    and IDR 1,500 at peak time (5 pm to 10 pm)

    From the calculation, the electrical energy cost savings and domestic customers

    for the replacement of refrigerator are:

    Figure 4.1. NPV Difference for 0.12 kW and 0.07 kW refrigerators with price IDR 495

    and IDR 790

    Only a household with a 0.12 kW refrigerator at an energy cost of IDR 790 will return

    their investment of IDR 1,053 after 44 month. The next potential customer is a household

    with a 0.12 kW at energy cost of IDR 495 but didn’t have NPV savings. For 0.07 kW groups

    were not potential for NPV savings calculations.

    From survey and customer’s data, we can obtain an amount of potential

    customers that can be implemented for replacement program. This shown in below:

    Table 4.1. Household Customers for Refrigerators

    Group Total connected Total with

    fridge

    0.12 kW fridge 0.07 kW fridge

    Case 1 (495

    IDR/kWh)

    671,102 436,216 256,059 180,157

    Case 2 (790

    IDR/kWh)

    76,411 49,667 15,893 33,744

  • 14

    Figure 4.2. Energy Savings for 0.12 kW and 0.07 kW at price IDR 495 and IDR 790

    This shown that the largest total technical potential is for people with a 0.12 kW

    refrigerator in case 1, and the largest potential group is the IDR 495/kWh group. The

    second potential is for people with 0.07 kW refrigerators in case 1. It’s on a same level

    of potential for case 2, for people with a 0.12 kW and 0.7 kW refrigerators. Total

    energy savings are identified around 950 GWh within five years or 190 GWh in one

    year. The percentage is 6% from total energy consumption in households in 2010 with

    assumption growth 6.75% per year and base year is 2008.

    Barrier analysis

    From the above two analyses, the following barriers have been identified:

    Financial barriers:

    The upfront investment cost of 1.5 million is probably too high, especially for the lower

    income 495 IDR group and the payback period is too long to offer the household any financial

    benefits. This is caused by a combination of a relatively high investment cost and a very low

    price for electricity.

    Social barriers:

    Consumers could benefit from increased knowledge about the benefits of EE

    refrigeration. This could be in the form of labeling, which can be used for consumers who are

    already thinking about buying a new refrigerator.

    Policy Measures

  • 15

    For the 790 group with 0.12 kW, increasing the electricity price by 20% reduces

    the payback period from 44 months to 36 months.

    For the 495 group with 0.07 kW, the barrier is the same as the 495 group with

    0.12 kW, which is upfront investment cost and does not offer the household financial

    benefits. From a household perspective the IDR 495 group the following scenarios are

    possible:

    Figure 4.3. Policy options for a weighted average of 0.12 kW and 0.07 kW refrigerators

    in the 495 group

    For this group we see that when using these measures, the electricity cost is still

    too low to make a large impact on the total savings after 5 years. The only real benefit

    is the reduced investment cost for consumers. From this we can conclude:

    1. Only the options with a subsidy break even

    2. Only the option with a subsidy and a higher energy price will generate savings for the

    household

    This demands a different approach where instead of looking at consumers immediately

    changing their refrigerator, we only analyze consumers who are in the market for a new

    refrigerator. Here consumers have a choice between a 75 w unit at 1.75 million IDR and more

    efficient 30 w unit at 1.5 million IDR. Below is the NPV analysis for this situation:

  • 16

    Figure 4.4. NPV Difference for New Refrigerator Consumers at price IDR 495 and IDR

    790

    Here we see that the financial conditions are far more favorable, and no financial

    barriers exist. The remaining barrier is related to why consumers would choose for the

    more efficient option. Due to a lack of information, consumers are not able to judge

    the energy use of each refrigerator. However, a gradual increase in energy costs could

    improve the financial conditions drastically, and create more motivation for choosing

    an Energy Efficient refrigerator.

    Policy scenario for the entire region

    For the scenario where all consumers immediately replace their refrigerator, the

    subsidy and increased price policy options mentioned above will be investigated using

    the following penetration scenarios for both groups:

    Table 4.2. Penetration Scenario for Refrigerator

    Group Tot

    al

    connected

    To

    tal with

    fridge

    0.

    12 kW

    fridge

    0.

    07 kW

    fridge

    Pene

    tration

    Opti

    mistic

    Pene

    tration

    Mini

    mal

    Case 1 (495

    IDR/kWh)

    671

    ,102

    43

    6,216

    2

    56,059

    1

    80,157

    30% 20%

    Case 2 (790

    IDR/kWh)

    76,

    411

    49,

    667

    1

    5,893

    3

    3,744

    40% 25%

  • 17

    Figure 4.5. Subsidy, Household Savings, and Government Savings for Refrigerators

    In this two policy options, subsidy and increase electricity tariff plus subsidy, offers

    small amount of benefit with differences are not significant. So it is not interesting enough to

    be implemented. Yet, this should be done for energy efficiency and conservation purpose

    because the energy savings are quite high. In Government Savings, the point which compared

    is the amount of subsidies to be borne by government that can be saved, did not calculate

    savings gained from raising electricity tariff as a whole. Increase the electricity tariff can be

    used to increase or gained public awareness and wisdom in energy usage.

    For the scenario concerning only consumers who are in the market for a new

    refrigerator, the assumption is made that the total number of refrigerators sold in Indonesia

    (956 thousands units per year) is spread equally amongst all of the population and remains

    constant for the next 5 years.

    From the figure below we can see that there is still a considerable potential that the

    largest effects are long term and that policy efforts should focus on stimulating consumers to

    choose energy efficiency refrigerators, to have penetration rates above 50% and realize large

    savings.

  • 18

    Figure 4.6. Potential Savings for New Refrigerator Consumers at price IDR 495 and

    IDR 790

    b. Television

    Energy efficiency of the use of television is difficult as it relates to consumer behavior. If hours of

    normal use of television on average is 10 hours a day and it can be reduced to 8 hours, and put it in turn

    off.

    Assumptions conditions of reduce operating time of television

    Normal operating time: 10

    hours

    29 inch television use 0.15 kW

    Reduce operating time: 2 hours 21 inch television in standby

    mode use 0.005 kW

    21 inch television use 0.1 kW 29 inch television in standby

    mode use 0.0075 kW

    Generating costs : IDR 1,300 at normal time and IDR 1,500 at peak time (5 pm

    to 10 pm)

    Penetration scenario for reduce operating time of television with optimistic 40% and moderate

    scenario 30%, and the calculation can be resumed as follows:

  • 19

    Figure 4.7. Subsidy, Household Savings, and Government Savings for Television

    This measure requires a change of behavior and habits. Investments are borne by government to

    encourage public awareness (campaign) and change of behavior for implementation of policy measures.

    The investments would be payback from the target achieved that being established from the programs.

    Then government gives a lot of effort and hard work.

    Barrier analysis:

    The main barrier is current behavior and a lack of knowledge regarding energy conservation. For

    reduce operating time of television 2 hours from 10 hours become 8 hours, and it is especially difficult

    during peak hours between 5 pm to 10 pm. People are also not aware about the benefits of energy

    conservation.

    Policy Measures and Recommendation

    The attitude of the general public is an important aspect of the policy framework. A supportive

    public opinion towards energy efficiency is beneficial for policy implementation supporting energy

    efficiency, and the continuity of such policy. A supportive public opinion will influence the market – either

    directly through the creation of a larger demand, or indirectly through stimulating demand and supply by

    the commercial sector. Also, the public plays an important role in consultation processes in many

    permitting procedures. To create positive attitude towards energy efficiency, and allow a demand driven

    market to develop, awareness is a first step. Awareness of environmental problems, climate change, or

    other drivers behind energy efficiency would form part of this. Measures to create awareness are

    awareness and promotion campaigns, creation of institutions that provide access to information, and

    education on energy efficiency.

  • 20

    Voluntary approaches can also be done for successful campaigns. Introducing efficient electricity is

    available to customers on a voluntary basis. The customers of this efficient electricity are prepared to pay

    a premium on their electricity price, and guarantees that they use energy efficient appliances. This is

    monitored by an independent organization, often NGO’s. Efficient electricity pricing is a voluntary market

    initiative of the electricity sector. Private individuals can also contribute to efficient electricity by

    financing investments. Within the private sector, several means have been developed to stimulate

    investment in efficient electricity, such as efficient funds and shareholder programs.

    c. Air Conditioning (AC)

    Replace an old AC with energy efficient one that is AC with inverter. Perhaps AC is

    secondary or tertiary needs hence not quite high in household, which is 29% of total

    household customers. But considering AC are include in high energy capacity for household,

    the calculation should be done to give perspective of energy savings potential that is quite

    high.

    Assumptions of Air Conditioning replacement

    Old type of AC’s : 0.7 kW IDR

    0/AC’s

    Operation time : 8 hours/day

    New type of AC’s : 0.175 kW

    Price IDR

    5,000,000

    Generating costs: IDR 1,300 at

    normal time and IDR 1,500 at peak

    time (5 pm to 10 pm)

    From the calculation, the electrical energy cost savings and domestic customers for the

    replacement of AC are:

    Figure 4.8. NPV Difference for 0.7 kW AC’s replacement with price IDR 495 and IDR 790

  • 21

    This shown that only a household at case 2 will return their investment of IDR 46,079 after 51

    month, and at case 1 household will return their investment more than 10 years and also customers are

    quite low, and yet for case 1 group are not feasible to implement the program in that reasons. From here

    on we will only analyze the 790 IDR group as the 495 group normally cannot afford an air conditioning

    and will not have any effects on the analysis.

    Figure 4.9. Energy Savings for 0.7 kW AC’s replacement with price IDR 495 and IDR

    790

    Total technical potential savings is for people with air conditioning in case 2, and does

    not significant savings for people with air conditioning in case 1. This savings in case 2 group

    does not quite high but worth to use as consideration to settle a policy in energy efficiency

    usage and energy conservation. Total energy savings are identified around 167.5 GWh within

    five years or simply 33.5 GWh in one year. The percentage is 1% from total energy

    consumption in 2010 with assumption growth 6.75% per year and base year is 2008.

    Barrier analysis:

    From the above analyses, the following barriers have been identified:

    Financial barrier:

    The upfront investment cost of 5 million is probably too high and the payback period is

    too long to offer the household any financial benefits.

    Regulatory barrier:

    No energy labeling, no policy for both inefficient product and efficient product. Not a

    lot similar product that available on the market, only one brand that has issued such

    equipment which is feared will lead to monopoly if it does not handle wisely.

  • 22

    Social barriers:

    Consumers could benefit from increased knowledge about EE air conditioning. This

    could be in the form of labeling, which can be used for consumers who are already thinking

    about buying a new air conditioning.

    Policy Measures

    From household perspective for price IDR 790 the following scenarios are

    possible:

    Figure 4.10. Policy options for 0.7 kW AC’s replacement at price IDR 790

    For this group we see that when taking these options, the electricity cost give an

    impact on total savings after 5 years, which is all scenarios are break even. But for two

    scenarios which are no policy intervention and 20% higher energy price did not give

    much benefit that are break even on 51 and 42 month, hence not yet attractive

    considering the investment is for secondary needs purpose. The main benefit is the

    reduced of energy usage by consumers. From this we can conclude:

    1. Only the options with a subsidy is attractive for investment

    2. The option with a subsidy and a higher energy price with subsidy will give attractive

    options for household

    This demands a different approach where instead of looking at consumers immediately

    changing their air conditioning, we only analyze consumers who are in the market for a new

    air conditioning. Here consumers have a choice between a 700 w unit at 3 million IDR and

    more efficient 175 w unit at 5 million IDR, as depicted in the scenario above. Below is the

    NPV analysis for this situation:

  • 23

    Here we see that the financial conditions are far more favorable, even thought

    financial barriers still exist, the difference investment cost of 2 million IDR gives

    payback period for EE air conditioning in 21 months. The other barrier is related to

    why consumers would choose for the more efficient option. Due to a lack of

    information, consumers are not able to judge the energy use of each air conditioning.

    However, a gradual increase in energy costs could improve the financial conditions

    drastically, and create more motivation for choosing an EE air conditioning.

    Figure 4.11. NPV Difference for New Air Conditioning Consumers at price IDR 790

    Policy Scenario for the region

    For price IDR 790 we will investigate the three options mentioned above, and

    that are subsidy and increased price policy options, with the following penetration

    scenarios for each group:

    Table 4.3. Penetration Scenario for AC’s replacement at price IDR 790

    Scenarios Total

    Connected

    Total

    with AC

    Penetra

    tion

    Optimistic

    Penetra

    tion Minimal

    20 % higher

    price and 10 %

    subsidy 76,411 22,159 20%

    25 %

    Subsidy

  • 24

    20 % higher

    price

    8%

    Figure 4.12. Subsidy, Household Savings, and Government Savings for AC’s

    replacement

    From the figure above, it can be seen that there are savings for household cases, even

    the comparison is not significant between two policy options, 25% subsidies and 10%

    subsidies plus raise electricity tariff, but both scenario options feasible to be implemented. For

    raise electricity tariff option offers small amount of benefit, but it also have to be done within

    the framework of energy conservation. In Government Savings, the point which compared is

    the amount of subsidies to be borne by government that can be saved, did not calculate

    savings gained from raising electricity tariff as a whole. Increase the electricity tariff can be

    used to increase or gained public awareness and wisdom in energy usage.

    For the scenario where only consumers who are in the market for a new air

    conditioning, the assumption is made that the total number of air conditioning sold in

    Indonesia (410 thousands units per year) is spread equally amongst all of the population and

    remains constant for the next 5 years.

  • 25

    Figure 4.13. Potential Savings for New Air Conditioning Consumers at price IDR 790

    From the figure above we can see that there is still a considerable potential that the

    largest effects are long term and that policy efforts should focus on stimulating consumers to

    choose energy efficiency air conditioning, to have penetration rates above 50% and realize

    large savings.

    4.3. Commercial, Industrial, Social, and Public Sector

    a. Implementation of Variable Speed Drive (VSD)

    AC mostly used in hotels and lodging, and hospitals. AC equipment commonly used

    there are two types, namely split and centralized type. In industry, the biggest loads are

    motors. Energy efficiency can be done with implementing variable speed drive.

    Assumptions of Implementing Variable Speed Drive (VSD)

    In Commercial sector: split AC

    and centralized AC

    Operation time AC: 8 hours/day

    In Social Sector: split AC Operation time motor: 24

    hours/day

    In Industrial Sector: motors

    Variable Speed Drive Cost:

    IDR 1,000,000 / kW equipment

    Generating cost: IDR 1,300 at

    normal time and IDR 1,500 at peak

    time (5 pm to 10 pm)

  • 26

    The calculation for implementing VSD shows below:

    Figure 4.14. NPV Difference for Implementing VSD in Commercial, Industrial, and

    Social Sector

    From figure above, it can be seen that there are savings for implementing VSD at all

    four sectors that being analyzed. The most interactive return investment is at commercial

    sector that use centralized AC’s and also split AC’s. They will return their investment of IDR

    187,144 after 25 month for centralized AC’s and of IDR 20,142 after 29 month. At all four

    sectors, scenario of implementing VSD are feasible because payback period is less than 36

    month.

  • 27

    Figure 4.15. KWh Difference of Implementing VSD for Commercial, Industrial, and

    Social Sectors

    This shown that the largest total technical potential is for commercial sector with

    a centralized AC’s, and the second potential is for industrial sector. This potential are

    common because in the two sectors using motor with large power capacity for their

    loads. For the social sector should also be seen its KWh difference in line with

    commercial sector with split AC’s because both use split AC’s. The KWh difference is

    the lowest but the KWh savings is quite high. Total energy savings are identified

    around 42.6 GWh within five years or simply 8.52 GWh in one year. The percentage

    is 2.4% from total energy consumption in 2010 with assumption growth 6.75% per

    year and base year is 2008.

    Techniques such as the use of variable speed drives can adjust the speed of the motor so

    that the conversion in accordance with the load. Because the motor is used constantly without

    stopping, then little improvement inefficiency will be very influential in the energy efficiency and can

    bring many benefits through cost savings.

    b. Refrigerant retrofit

    Refrigerant retrofit can be done for split AC. This AC used in Commercial, Social, and Public Sector.

    Hydrocarbon Refrigerant has many advantages when compared with other type of

    refrigerants.

    Assumptions of Refrigerant retrofit

    Split AC on Commercial, Operation time AC: 8 hours/day

  • 28

    Social, and Public Sector

    Investment Cost for AC:

    IDR 280,000 / HP equipment

    Generating cost: IDR 1,300 at

    normal time and IDR 1,500 at peak

    time (5 pm to 10 pm)

    The calculation for refrigerant retrofit shows below:

    Figure 4.16. NPV Difference for Refrigerant retrofit in Commercial, Social, and Public

    Sector

    From figure above, it can be seen that there are savings for refrigerant retrofit at all

    three sectors that use AC’s. Its scenarios of refrigerant retrofit are feasible because payback

    period is less than 30 month.

  • 29

    Figure 4.17. KWh Difference for Refrigerant retrofit Commercial, Social, and Public Sector

    Total technical potential are does not significant for this scenario. This savings are does

    not quite high but worth to use as consideration to settle a policy in energy efficiency usage

    and energy conservation.

    The steps that are usually applied to the retrofitting of buildings technology upgrades and

    conditioning equipment for energy saving behavior of the occupants of the building.

    c. Improvement of Unbalance Voltage

    Improvement of unbalance voltage can be done in industry that connected to the grid with three-

    phase line (3ø) or use own generator in their production process. Unbalance voltage condition is more

    often caused by a variation of the loads. Perfectly balanced condition will never be achieved for the three-

    phase line, but efforts should be made to minimize.

    Assumptions of Improvement of Unbalance Voltage

    Investment for hiring

    Consultant: IDR 25,000,000

    Energy savings 15,500 kWh per

    year

    The calculation for improvement of unbalance voltage shows below:

  • 30

    Figure 4.18. NPV Difference for Improvement of Unbalance Voltage in Industrial Sector

    From figure above, it can be seen that there are savings for improvement of unbalance

    voltage. Its scenario is feasible because payback period is less than 24 month.

    Figure 4.19. KWh Difference for Improvement of Unbalance Voltage in Industrial Sector

    This shown that large total technical potential is for improvement of unbalance

    voltage in industrial sector. This potential are common because in the sector using

    motor with large power capacity for loads. The KWh difference is quite high hence

    energy savings also high. Total energy savings are identified around 10.5 GWh within

    five years or simply 2.1 GWh in one year. The percentage is 0.6% from total energy

    consumption in 2010 with assumption growth 6.75% per year and base year is 2008.

  • 31

    Barrier Analysis

    Common barriers to the financing for implementation of recommendations are high up-

    front capital cost and inadequate accessibility to finance. There are no effective supporting

    investment and financing mechanisms available.

    Second, there are no supporting policies or incentive mechanisms formulated by the

    legislative requirements for implementing the recommendations. The existing policies are not

    integrated, lacking power, stability and consistency.

    Third, lack of knowledge of the energy users about energy efficiency and conservation.

    The critical part of any energy management program is commitment to the saving of energy

    by the manager or owner, who has not been a priority in most organizations in Indonesia.

    Policy Measures

    From the perspective for all four sectors, the availability of financing enhances

    affordability and stimulates further demand which in turn leads to further development.

    Strategic policy options in source of finance can be categorized in two main scenarios, which

    are possible:

    1. Increasing financing by private/public financial institutions with improvement of

    portfolio lending such as revolving funds and guarantee funds.

    2. Enhance private sector financing with two delivery instruments: leasing and energy

    service company (ESCO) performance contracts.

    3. Promote trainings for managers in the respective sectors, and create a platform through

    regular seminars to exchange best practices.

    Many methods of managing and conserving energy have been discussed in many

    researches. The critical part of any energy management program is commitment to the saving

    of energy by the manager or owner. These people must be convinced that energy management

    saves them money and is important for our energy resources. Managers and owners should

    always keep energy conservation in mind and develop realistic objectives for energy use. The

    key element is “awareness”.

    Policy Scenario for the region

    For the commercial, industrial, social, and public sector, the three energy

    efficiency measures mentioned above, implementing VSD, refrigerant retrofit, and

    improvement of unbalance voltage, the following penetration scenarios for each

    options are below:

  • 32

    Table 4.4. Penetration Scenario for Commercial, Industrial, Social, and Public

    Sectors

    Secto

    rs

    Tot

    al

    Connected

    Implementing

    VSD

    Refrigerant

    Retrofit

    Improvement of

    Unbalance Voltage

    Pen

    etration

    Optimistic

    Pene

    tration

    Minimal

    Pene

    tration

    Optimistic

    Pene

    tration

    Minimal

    Pene

    tration

    Optimistic

    Pene

    tration

    Minimal

    Comm

    ercial 1 1,0

    30

    40

    %

    25

    %

    35

    %

    25

    %

    Comm

    ercial 2 38 25

    %

    15

    %

    Indus

    trial 135

    25

    %

    15

    %

    30

    %

    20

    %

    Socia

    l 63

    40

    %

    25

    %

    35

    %

    25

    %

    Publi

    c 416

    35

    %

    20

    %

    Implementing Variable Speed Drive (VSD)

    Figure 4.20. Loan, NPV Savings, and Government Savings for Implementing VSD in

    Social Sector

    From the figure above, it can be seen that there are always give savings for sectors. The

    policy that applied would give benefit by hastened the implementation of energy efficiency

    equipment. But the NPV savings for sectors would decrease a bit because of a significant

  • 33

    consequence of benefit shares with third party. Again, it has to be done within the framework

    of energy efficiency and conservation. In Government Savings, the point which compared is

    the amount of subsidies to be borne by government that can be saved, did not calculate

    savings gained from raising electricity tariff as a whole. Investments are from sectors themselves

    or from third party in implementing the programs.

  • 34

    Improvement of Unbalance Voltage

    Figure 4.21. Loan, NPV Savings, and Government Savings for Improvement of

    Unbalance Voltage in Industrial Sector

    From the figure above, it can be seen that there are always give savings for sectors. The

    policy that applied would give benefit by hastened the implementation of energy efficiency

    equipment. But the NPV savings for sectors would decrease a bit because of a significant

    consequence of benefit shares with third party. Again, it has to be done within the framework

    of energy efficiency and conservation. In Government Savings, the point which compared is

    the amount of subsidies to be borne by government that can be saved, did not calculate

    savings gained from raising electricity tariff as a whole. Investments are from sectors themselves

    or from third party in implementing the programs.

  • 35

    CHAPTER 5. CONCLUDING ANALYSES AND DISCUSSIONS

    Households

    Policy mechanisms and recommendation

    Support the development of internal test procedures and measurement standards. Effective implementation of energy efficiency policies for

    appliances and equipment relies upon the use of accurate energy performance

    measurement standards and protocols. National energy efficiency policy

    objectives will be undermined by energy measurement standards that fail to

    reflect actual energy use and/or provide a true in-use efficiency ranking of

    equipment. It is encouraging to have energy performance measurement

    standards and protocols in place and is regularly updating these. This will

    assist performance comparison and benchmarking for traded products.

    Household should return older appliances (i.e. refrigerator, television, and air conditioning) to make sure that inefficient ones are indeed replaced and not

    added to the total market.

    Introduce recycling scheme, in these case, manufacturer and stores could participate. Government involvement is very important to promote these

    schemes and stimulate the private sector.

    Limiting appliances conditions, it could be 5 years or maximum 8 years that usually used in analysis, and also depend on the manufacturer specifications.

    Labeling or standardizing. Energy labeling is done by dissemination of information to consumers that contain important clues about the efficiency of energy utilization at the level of sales through product labels. Labeling program will influence the

    people to use equipments for energy saving.

    Manufacturer involvement. Scheme could be share subsidy because they get benefit from labeling and also warranty for equipment 5 years as used in

    analysis.

    Ensure adequate resources allocated to maintaining stringency of energy efficiency requirements for appliances.

    Ensure appropriate policies are in place to encourage company to deliver a product which is as energy efficient as possible.

    Subsidies are not recommended because it is difficult to implement without any market distortion, and can have greater negative than positive impacts. In

    addition subsidies are more likely to be at a national level which will not take

    into account the considerations in Yogyakarta.

    Payback Period: higher energy costs are necessary to promote energy efficiency

    behavior.

    More information can lead to improved consumer knowledge and more reason

    to choose for energy efficient technology.

    Increase the electricity price in a gradual and structured manner. This would also reduce subsidy costs and could be allocated to another development, such

    as the utilization of renewable energy technologies.

  • 36

    Commercial, Industrial, Social, and Public Sectors

    Policy mechanisms and recommendation

    The perception of high risk and high transaction costs of equipment transactions,

    combined with limited affordability by income consumers are common barriers to commercial

    banking playing a significant role in financing access to products and services. The policy

    options envisaged aim is to increase energy efficiency in the portfolio of banks.

    Establish a fund guarantee system for implementation of recommendation, involving the government, social benefits organizations, equipment special

    capitals and development funds.

    Increase government intervention that establishes new financial institutions operating on preferential market terms; and introduce mechanisms to reduce

    the interest rate for commercial lending.

    The main solutions to solving the problem of gaining the financial capital needed for implementation are to combine state guidance investment with

    social multi-channel investment.

    Revolving Funds

    Revolving funds use repaid loan funds are cycled back into the fund for relending for a

    new project. Money in the revolving fund is fully dedicated to energy efficiency lending.

    Revolving funds are typically publicly supported, through subsidized interest rates or through

    partial or full public funding of the principal investment. Moneys for the fund may come from

    dedicated taxes on energy sources (e.g., fuel taxes, utility surcharges). Operation of the fund

    itself may be set up in cooperation with commercial banks. Such an arrangement allows

    evaluation of loan applications, monitoring of loans, and collection of loan payments to be

    managed by commercial banks that have existing expertise in these areas. Government

    offices, as a consequence, do not need to become bankers to administer the fund. The public

    funding involved makes loan money available for energy efficiency projects that are currently

    not available strictly through the sectors. Thus, energy efficiency projects seeking funding

    through the revolving loan fund do not need to compete against more traditional investments

    for bank funding. Finally, the public funds provided to commercial banks are usually

    provided at zero or well below market interest rates. This enables the banks in turn to provide

    loans for energy efficiency projects at rates below market. In return for receiving public

    funds, banks can be asked to assume some or all of the risk of repayment associated with the

    loans.

    Guarantee Funds

    Guarantee funds help cover the credit risks associated with financing energy efficiency

    projects with a medium to long term. In such schemes, public or donor funding is pledged to

    guarantee some of the risk of principal repayment for these loans. Typically, the loan recipient

  • 37

    pays an annual fee (usually 1 to 3 percent of the total outstanding balance on the loan) to the

    guarantor in order to obtain a guarantee for the loan. As a consequence, guarantee funds can

    help alleviate the barriers to energy efficiency lending that are associated with collateral

    requirements, the higher risk nature of new technologies, and the risk of longer-term lending.

    Like revolving funds, guarantee funds can be helpful in building the capacity and willingness

    of banks to offer energy efficiency loans by subsidizing risks until the banks become familiar

    with the market and can manage the risks on their own.

    Lease Energy-efficiency projects are frequently funded via capital leases, a financing

    structure under which an entity (“lessee”) pays for equipment not at contract signing, but instead via scheduled installments to the capital provider (“lessor”) over the term of the lease. One primary appeal of leasing as a means of funding is the flexibility leases afford in scheduling payments, which can be timed to coincide with projected energy cost savings from an Energy Performance Contracts (EPC).

    The lessee’s obligation to make timely payments under the lease is absolute and not dependent on realization of the EPC’s projected energy cost savings. The energy services company (ESCO) guarantee on energy use savings can make up shortfalls in the realization of energy cost reductions, thereby assisting the building owner in making the lease payments, but this settlement is made apart from the building owner’s obligation to the lessor. If the lessee should default on the lease payments, the lessor may remove and sell the equipment to minimize its losses. Since ESCO shortfall payments, in the event of dispute resolution, may not occur immediately, the lessee is therefore advised in all lease (and loan) arrangements to both a) incorporate a stiff penalty for non-timely ESCO shortfall payments into the EPC contract, and b) hold sufficient funds in reserve to ensure timely lease payments to the lender in the event of energy cost savings shortfalls.

    Lessors may require a claim not only to the equipment itself, but also to the lessee’s

    general economic resources (tax revenues, tuition revenue, endowment, etc.) as security for

    the lease. Lessors set rates and terms according to the strength of these resources, the

    availability of adequate operational cash flows, and the lessee’s borrowing history. A lessee’s

    credit rating and borrowing capacity thus play a role in determining the interest rate for a

    capital lease.

    Energy Service Company (ESCO) Performance Contracts

    In a case of performance contracting, the ESCO will perform an energy efficiency audit

    and develop recommendations and designs based on the audit. The ESCO will then secure

    financing for the project (upon agreement with the customer concerning recommendations).

    That financing typically will be based on the stream of energy cost savings that are expected

    as an outcome of implementing the recommended changes. The ESCO then implements the

    project. The ESCO assumes the risk of performance of its recommendations. If the changes

    do not produce savings, then the customer does not pay the ESCO. Typically, all costs

    associated with the project – beginning with the audit and design – are bundled together, so

  • 38

    the customer does not incur any costs until the stream of savings begins. The appeal of

    performance contracts is that the customer incurs almost no upfront costs for its energy

    efficiency investments – all payments come out of energy savings.

    There are a number of ways that ESCO Performance Contract projects can be

    structured:

    1. Guaranteed Savings:

    It is the customer who actually borrows the funds and takes on the obligation to repay the loan.

    The ESCO guarantees that stream of savings from the project will be sufficient to cover the loan payments.

    The customer taking out the loan is subject to the same evaluation as for any other loan, and the loan will appear on the customer’s balance sheet.

    2. Shared Savings:

    The ESCO assumes both the performance risk and the credit risk associated with the project.

    The customer generally must pay a higher percentage of the project’s savings to the ESCO than for a guaranteed savings project.

    If bank financing is used, the bank typically receives rights to the stream of payments as security for the loan or takes a security interest in any equipment

    that is installed as part of the project.

    The customer does not have to borrow, so the project will not appear on the customer’s balance sheet.

    3. Pay from Savings:

    This type of arrangement is a subset of guaranteed savings projects. Under this

    arrangement, the payment schedule depends on the level of savings. If savings are greater

    than anticipated, repayment will be faster. If savings are lower than expected, the contract can

    be extended to allow the ESCO to recover its agreed payment. A related arrangement is the

    “first out” model, in which the ESCO receives all energy cost savings until it has received its

    agreed payment. Generally, this arrangement is lower risk for the ESCO, since it receives its

    full payment more quickly than under the traditional guaranteed savings approach.

    Establish the energy management teamwork. To be effective, energy must be saved by

    a team. An individual, in reality, cannot do this alone. This person might be helped by a

    specialist in a particular area of energy conservation, and possibly a contractor. In a larger

    organization, a team might consist of a leader who is either a technician or a member of

    management, plus a specialist in each system area.

    One method of promoting energy management teamwork is a managers and employees.

    The purpose of such a team should be to observe energy use and recognize areas where

    energy could be saved. The team should recommend changes that would help conserve energy

  • 39

    in the area where they work. By involving several people on a team, an awareness of energy

    conservation should be apparent throughout the organization. Several companies have tried

    the team approach to energy cost and thus saved money. A good energy management effort

    requires detailed planning, organizing, and controlling. This requires a definite commitment

    from top management to the energy conservation effort.

    There are several suggestions that managers and owners should consider when

    developing an energy management program.

    1. Plan the program with care.

    2. Hire or contract with an energy specialist to make an analysis of energy use in the

    works.

    3. Delegate someone dependable to supervise the overall energy management effort.

    4. Collect and analyze data on fuel and energy cost.

    5. Maintain control over the way in which energy is used in the works (develop a

    “policy” regarding energy use).

    6. Hire professional consultants (if it is financially feasible) to analyze energy use in the

    works and make recommendations for modifications that will save energy.

    7. Maintain accurate records of equipment operating schedule and other activities that

    use energy.

    8. Urge employees to help in the conservation effort.

    Conduct periodic checks to evaluate the effectiveness of the energy management

    program and suggest ways of improvement.

  • CHAPTER 6. APPENDICES WITH ASSUMPTIONS

    Table 1. Number of substation, supply units and capacity

    N

    o

    Sub

    station

    Work Area

    supplying

    Cap

    acity

    (MV

    A)

    Pick

    Load

    (MV

    A)

    Ca

    pacity

    (%

    )

    Nu

    mber of

    Fee

    der

    1

    .

    Kent

    ungan

    Sleman, Northern

    Yogyakarta, Kalasan

    60 44,5 74,

    16

    7

    60 17,2 28,

    67

    3

    2

    .

    Bant

    ul

    Sedayu, Southern

    Yogyakarta, Northern

    Yogyakarta, Bantul

    60 23,7 39,

    50

    4

    60 34,6 57,

    67

    8

    3

    .

    Geja

    yan

    Northern

    Yogyakarta, Southern

    Yogyakarta, Kalasan

    60 25 41,

    67

    4

    60 25 41,

    67

    4

    4

    .

    Wiro

    brajan

    Northern

    Yogyakarta, Southern

    Yogyakarta, & Sedayu

    60 27,5 45,

    83

    5

    5

    .

    Gode

    an

    Sleman, & Sedayu 30 8,5 28,

    33,

    3

    30 14,1 47,

    00

    3

    6

    .

    Med

    ari

    Sleman 30 21 70,

    00

    6

  • Source: PT. PLN (Persero) APJ Yogyakarta, 2008

    Table 2. Number of consumer of PT. PLN (Persero) APJ Yogyakarta

    No

    .

    Types of

    Consumer

    Number

    of Consumer

    (

    %)

    1. Social 19.684 2,

    44

    2.

    Household 757.725 9

    2,7

    R1-450 VA 465.568 5

    8,78

    R1-900 VA 205.534 2

    9,31

    R1-1300 VA 53.241 7,

    59

    R1-2200 VA 23.170 3,

    31

    R2 6.373 0,

    91

    R3 626 0,

    08

    7

    .

    Wate

    s

    Wates 30 11 36,

    67

    3

    16 6,5 40,

    63

    2

    8

    .

    Sem

    anu

    Wonosari 30 21,3 71,

    00

    3

    30 12,4 41,

    33

    2

    Total 616 292,

    3

    47,

    45

    57

  • 3. Business 30.562 3,

    79

    4. Industry 476 0,

    06

    5. Public 5.564 0,

    69

    6. Others 2.613 0,

    31

    Total 805.468 1

    00

    Source: PT. PLN (Persero) APJ Yogyakarta2010

  • Table 3. Energy Consumption in in transportation sector in 2007

    N

    o. Subsector

    Energy Consumption in 2007 (BOE)

    Premiu

    m ADO Avtur Total

    1

    Passenger Car

    (unit)

    863,653.02

    42,816.28

    -

    906,469.30

    2

    Motorcycle

    (unit)

    908,149.79

    -

    -

    908,149.79

    3 Bus (unit)

    -

    133,258.96

    -

    133,258.96

    4 Truck (unit)

    259,150.87

    268,531.87

    -

    527,682.74

    5

    Railway

    (1000 Km)

    -

    22,041.52

    -

    22,041.52

    6

    Aero plane

    (1000 Km)

    -

    -

    218,420.04

    218,420.04

    Total

    2,030,953.68

    466,648.63

    218,420.04

    2,716,022.36

    Source: Energy Profile Yogyakarta Province 2007

    Table 4. Energy Consumption in transportation sector in 2008

    N

    o. Subsector

    Energy Consumption in 2008 (BOE)

    Premiu

    m ADO Avtur Total

    1

    Passenger Car

    (unit)

    901,623.06

    46,571.71

    -

    948,194.77

    2

    Motorcycle

    (unit)

    964,824.86

    -

    -

    964,824.86

    3 Bus (unit)

    -

    139,282.08

    -

    139,282.08

    4 Truck (unit)

  • 256,766.73 277,210.41 - 533,977.15

    5

    Railway

    (1000 Km)

    -

    22,112.92

    -

    22,112.92

    6

    Aero plane

    (1000 Km)

    -

    -

    233,750.40

    233,750.40

    Total

    2,123,214.66

    485,177.13

    233,750.40

    2,842,142.19

    Source: Energy Profile Yogyakarta Province 2008

  • Figure 1. Loan, NPV Savings, and Government Savings for Implementing VSD in Commercial Sector

  • Figure 2. Loan, NPV Savings, and Government Savings for Refrigerant Retrofit for Commercial, Social, and Public Sectors