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Strengthening Capabilities for Inclusive and Sustainable Industrial Policy in Developing Countries UNIDO / GDC / GIZ / DIE Policy Workshop 15 16 September 2014 German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn

Capabilities for I Sustainable Industrial P D Countries · 2014-09-11 · small. What, then, can industrial policy do to deal with informality and small-scale productive activities

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Page 1: Capabilities for I Sustainable Industrial P D Countries · 2014-09-11 · small. What, then, can industrial policy do to deal with informality and small-scale productive activities

Strengthening Capabilities for Inclusive and Sustainable Industrial Policy in Developing Countries

UNIDO / GDC / GIZ / DIE

Policy Workshop

15 – 16 September 2014German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn

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Policy Workshop

“Strengthening capabilities for inclusive and sustainable industrial policy

in developing countries”

Venue: German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Tulpenfeld

6, 53113 Bonn

Date: 15 – 16 September 2014

In order to catch up with more advanced countries, low- and lower-middle income countries

need to diversify their economies and accelerate structural change. In view of multiple

market failures and huge capability gaps between local companies and their foreign

competitors, few experts question the need for industrial policies. But two major issues are

very much open to controversial debate:

First, what does “inclusive and sustainable industrial policy” mean in the context of low- and

lower-middle income countries? In many of these countries, the bulk of the workforce is

engaged in informal microenterprises; the share of reasonably productive and internationally

competitive firms and jobs (those usually targeted by industrial policies) tends to be very

small. What, then, can industrial policy do to deal with informality and small-scale productive

activities in an inclusive way? At the same time, an increasing number of low- and lower-

middle income countries have adopted “green growth” strategies, but these are not yet well

aligned with their industrial development strategies. What does “green industrial policy” imply

for these countries? Do they have to set the course for a new type of resource-efficient

growth to avoid being locked into unsustainable growth paths, or should they first of all

exploit their growth potential to reduce poverty quickly, taking into account that their per

capita resource consumption is generally low?

Second, how much hope can we set in strategic industrial policies in environments where

public administration typically lacks resources and capabilities, and informal institutions are

deeply entrenched in public decision-making processes? Many developing countries do not

have established routines of evidence-based policy-making and also face a shortage of

adequately trained national analysts and programme implementers. This may lead to an

extensive dependency on international advisers, unrealistic strategic objectives, ad-hoc and

uninformed decision-making, and the deployment of inappropriate policy tools. Moreover,

public and private spheres of decision-making are never clearly separated, as in an ideal-

type Weberian welfare-oriented agency. Hence, clientelism and collusive behaviour are

hardly evitable, especially when policies target specific firms, sectors or regions. In such

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conditions, attempts to correct market failures may actually lead to even worse outcomes. In

a nutshell, the countries that most urgently need industrial policies may be the least capable

of managing them well. While this dilemma is widely acknowledged, there is little agreement

on how to deal with it. Some scholars are hopeful, pointing to the fact that some of the most

successful economies started their industrial take-off despite weak governance; many Asian

countries created institutions for industrialization and growth and started improving their

governance only later. More pessimistic scholars show that selective policies are particularly

prone to political capture and may thereby “fuel” corruption and stabilize exclusive political

arrangements; hence, they argue for a certain minimum of transparency, accountability and

good public management practices before major selective interventions are made.

These questions are enormously relevant for practitioners who need to take tough decisions

about reform sequences; invent and test innovative ways of ensuring service delivery in an

environment of limited government capabilities; help creating pockets of efficiency in the

bureaucracy and scaling them up, and so on. In this context, UNIDO and GIZ have joined

forces to develop an integrated methodological toolbox and a capacity-building package for

industrial diagnosis. The project “EQuIP – Enhancing the Quality of Industrial Policies” aims

to support policymakers in developing countries to formulate and design evidence-based

strategies for inclusive and sustainable industrial development. At the core of EQuIP is an

institutional capacity-building package to train public servants and analysts for public policy

to be based on informed decisions and a critical examination of empirical evidence. EQuIP

compiles globally available industrial performance and capability measurement approaches

as well as a number of tailor-made new methodologies that also take the social and

environmental dimensions of industrial development into account. The different modules of

the toolbox will cover topics such as industrial growth, sectoral performance, diversification,

export quality, productive employment generation, and greening of industry.

This two-day workshop will bring together industrial policy experts to discuss the key pillars

of inclusive and sustainable industrial development, review the rationale underlying the

EQuIP approach, and validate a preliminary version of the EQuIP toolbox. The workshop

addresses international scholars, donor agencies, international development agencies and

practitioners from both developing and advanced economies.

Day 1 of the workshop will feature discussions at a more conceptual level on industrial

policy-related capabilities and governance issues for inclusive and sustainable industrial

development. The last session of the day then introduces the EQuIP toolbox. Day 2 of the

workshop will focus more narrowly on the EQuIP toolbox and concentrates on a more

technical appraisal thereof. The idea is to validate the different tools in their preliminary

version. A draft version of the toolbox will be shared with all participants at the beginning of

September. The workshop is intended to be very interactive, and all participants are strongly

encouraged to share their views and comments on the issues discussed.

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Day 1 (Monday 15 September, 10:00 – 18:00)

10:00 – 10:15 Welcome and introduction: “Industrial policy challenges in low- and lower- middle income countries” – Tilman Altenburg (DIE) and Michele Clara (UNIDO)

SESSION 1 THE TARGET SYSTEM OF INCLUSIVE AND SUSTAINABLE INDUSTRIAL POLICY Which trade-offs are relevant in low- and lower-middle-income countries?

10:15 – 10:35 Raphael Kaplinsky (The Open University): Industrial policies when most people are poor

10:35 – 10:55 Anna Pegels (DIE): The need for green industrial policies and how to link them with the inclusiveness agenda

10:55 – 11:10 Coffee break

11:10 – 11:35 Q&A and open discussion Moderator: Hubert Schmitz (Institute of Development Studies, IDS)

11:35 – 12:35 Panel discussion: Inclusive and sustainable industrial policies for low- and lower-middle-income countries

Raphael Kaplinsky (Open University), David Kaplan (University of Cape Town), Tilman Altenburg (DIE), Cornelia Staritz (Austrian Foundation for Development Research)

12:35 – 13:15 Open discussion Moderator: Wilfried Lütkenhorst (DIE)

13:15 – 14:15 Lunch break

SESSION 2 THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY GOVERNANCE CHALLENGE Industrial transformation or good governance – what comes first?

14:15 – 14:35 Mushtaq Khan (School of Oriental and African Studies, Univ. of London): Good governance is not a precondition of successful industrial policy

14:35 – 15:35 Panel discussion: Industrial policy without good governance? Michael Hansen (Copenhagen Business School), Mushtaq Khan (SOAS), Akbar Noman (Columbia University), Robert Wade (London School of Economics), Lindsay Whitfield (Roskilde University)

15:35 – 16:15 Q&A and open discussion Moderator: Tilman Altenburg (DIE)

16:15 – 16:30 Coffee break

SESSION 3 IMPROVING INDUSTRIAL POLICY MANAGEMENT CAPABILITIES What can the EQuIP toolbox contribute?

16:30 – 17:00 Philipp Neuerburg (UNIDO) & Eiko Kauffmann (GIZ): The EQuIP toolbox: Strengthening industrial policy management capabilities to increase policy effectiveness in low and lower-middle income countries

17:00 – 18:00 Q&A and open discussion

18:00 – 18:15 Wrap-up and key take-aways Moderator: Natascha Weisert (BMZ)

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Day 2 (Tuesday 16 September, 09:00-17:30)

9:00 – 9:15 Philipp Neuerburg (UNIDO): Introduction to EQuIP and the toolbox

SESSION 4 INDUSTRIAL GROWTH, STABILITY, DIVERSIFICATION, EXPORT PERFORMANCE AND THE ROLE OF THE DOMESTIC MARKET

9:15 – 9:45 Input: Thomas Bernhardt (UNIDO) 9:45 – 10:45 Discussants: Cornelia Staritz (Austrian Foundation for Development Research),

Annalisa Primi (OECD Development Centre) Q&A and open discussion

10:45 – 11:00 Coffee break

SESSION 5 SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT: INCLUSIVENESS & PRODUCTIVE EMPLOYMENT

11:00 – 11:30 Input: Amanda Janoo (UNIDO) 11:30 – 12:30 Discussants: Tilman Altenburg (DIE), José Manuel Salazar (ILO)

Q&A and open discussion

12:30 – 13:30 Lunch break

SESSION 6 ENVIRONMENTAL DIMENSIONS OF INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT: GREENING OF INDUSTRIES AND GREEN INDUSTRIES

13:30 – 14:00 Input: Stephan Lutter (Vienna University of Economics and Business) 14:00 – 15:00 Discussant: Georgeta Vidican (DIE), Olivier Vardakoulias (New Economics

Foundation) Q&A and open discussion

15:00 – 15:15 Coffee break

SESSION 7 IDENTIFYING THE DRIVERS OF INCLUSIVE AND SUSTAINABLE INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND DERIVING IMPLICATIONS FOR INDUSTRIAL STRATEGY FORMULATION

15:15 – 15:45 Antonio Andreoni (SOAS, University of London and Cambridge University) 15:45 – 16:15 Discussant: Hubert Schmitz (IDS), Lindsay Whitfield (Roskilde University)

Q&A and open discussion

SESSION 8 MULTIPLE TARGETS, INCREASING COMPLEXITY, GOVERNANCE CHALLENGES: WORKSHOP INSIGHTS FOR POLICYMAKERS AND THE EQuIP TOOLBOX

16:15 – 17:15 Open discussion Moderator: Antonio Andreoni (SOAS, University of London and Cambridge University)

17:15 – 17:30 Susanne Dorasil, BMZ: Final remarks and closing

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Your directions to the German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE)

Tulpenfeld 6 D - 53113 Bonn

From Bonn Central Station (Hauptbahnhof): Take the U-Bahn U 16/ U 63 or U 66 to “Heussallee/Museumsmeile”. Take the exit Heussallee. Turn right after 50 m onto the footpath towards the office complex 'Tulpenfeld'. Follow the signs across Tulpenfeld to the building of DIE at Tulpenfeld 6.

The buses No. 610 and 611 run from the train station Bonn Hauptbahnhof to the bus stop “Heussallee/Museumsmeile”. Turn onto the footpath towards the office complex 'Tulpenfeld'. Follow the signs across Tulpenfeld to the building of DIE at Tulpenfeld 6.

Page 7: Capabilities for I Sustainable Industrial P D Countries · 2014-09-11 · small. What, then, can industrial policy do to deal with informality and small-scale productive activities

Tulpenfeld 6 53113 Bonn

Dr. Tilman Altenburg Email [email protected] Telephone + 49 (0) 228 - 94 92 7 - 182 Fax + 49 (0) 228 - 94 92 7 - 130 [email protected] | www.die-gdi.de | www.facebook.com/DIE.Bonn

For organizational questions:

Dr. Sonja Neweling Email [email protected] Telephone + 49 (0) 228 - 94 92 7 - 244 Fax + 49 (0) 228 - 94 92 7 - 130 [email protected] | www.die-gdi.de | www.facebook.com/DIE.Bonn

Philipp NeuerburgEmail [email protected] Telephone + 43 -1 26026 - 0 Fax + 43 -1 2692-69

[email protected] | www.unido.org