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Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? Edouard Davin 1 , Philippe Ciais 2 , Albert Olioso 3 , Sonia Seneviratne 1 1 ETH Zurich, Switzerland 2 IPSL–LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France 3 INRA, Avignon, France 27.10.2011 WCRP OSC

Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

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Page 1: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves?

Edouard Davin1, Philippe Ciais2, Albert Olioso3, Sonia Seneviratne1

1 ETH Zurich, Switzerland 2 IPSL–LSCE, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

3 INRA, Avignon, France

27.10.2011 WCRP OSC

Page 2: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

No-till farming

  Planting system in which tillage is suppressed or reduced and in which a large fraction of the soil remains covered by crop residues

  Reduces erosion, water losses and limits weed growth   Carbon sequestration potential (Smith et al., IPCC WGIII, 2007)

27.10.2011 2 WCRP OSC

Source: www.notill.org

Page 3: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Motivations

  Biogeophysical impacts (e.g., albedo) of no-till agriculture largely overlooked (Lobell et al., 2006)

  Large potential for expansion of no-till agriculture in Europe

27.10.2011 3 WCRP OSC

Page 4: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Model experiments

  COSMO-CLM RCM coupled to Community Land Model (CLM3.5)   ERA40-driven runs over Europe for 1980-2005 (1986-2005 analysed)   CTL: control run; NOTILL: 100% no-till scenario, with empirically

prescribed albedo increase (~ +0.1) over croplands.

27.10.2011 4 WCRP OSC

Crop distribution (%)

Page 5: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Observational constraints

  ~0.1 increase in albedo under no-till conditions   Comparable to the 50% (relative) increase of soil albedo assumed by

Lobell et al., (2006) 27.10.2011 5 WCRP OSC

Wheat field, Avignon (FR)

No-till

Page 6: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Summer mean change (NOTILL–CTL)

27.10.2011 6 WCRP OSC

Albedo change 2-meter temperature change

Page 7: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Change in temperature distribution

  Asymmetric effect: larger impact on warm extremes

27.10.2011 7 WCRP OSC

EasternEurope,crop>60%

Page 8: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

TOA shortwave radiation change (NOTILL–CTL)

  Radiative perturbation more pronounced for warm days associated with clear sky conditions

27.10.2011 8 WCRP OSC

Summermeanchange Changeforthe10%warmestdays

Page 9: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Mitigation potential

  Cooling effect ~3-times larger during a heat wave day compared to a normal summer day

27.10.2011 9 WCRP OSC

EasternEurope,crop>60%

Ch

an

ge

in T

ma

x

Page 10: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Summer 2003

27.10.2011 10 WCRP OSC

France,crop>60%

Page 11: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Conclusions

  No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase

  Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear sky conditions exacerbate the radiative perturbation

  Up to 3-4 K temperature reduction during extremes like 2003 summer in France

27.10.2011 11 WCRP OSC

Page 12: Can no-till farming help mitigate heat waves? · No-till farming may have a cooling influence owing to albedo increase Mitigation potential is larger for warm events, because clear

Caveats and future directions

  Albedo effect of no-till is poorly constrained synthesis from multiple sites over Europe is in preparation

  Albedo is not the only biogeophysical impact incorporate effect on soil evaporation

27.10.2011 12 WCRP OSC