30
Adaptation solutions for BC and Metro Vancouver 1. What do adaptation measures look like? already happening future solutions 2. Resilience 3. Low-carbon attractive resilient communities Heat mapping data: Natural Resources Canada Visualization, John Danahy, U of Toronto

CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Adaptation solutions for BC and Metro Vancouver

1. What do adaptation

measures look like?

• already happening

• future solutions

2. Resilience

3. Low-carbon attractive

resilient communities

Heat mapping data: Natural Resources Canada

Visualization, John Danahy, U of Toronto

Page 2: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Adaptation

to higher

temperatures

• Technological Solutions: – Better insulated buildings

– Reflective roads/walls

– Built in cooling systems (not AC!)

• Administrative Solutions – Weather warning systems

– Encourage tree planting

– Heat-waves plan for vulnerable

• Personal Behavioural Solutions – Maintain hydration

– Wear less formal clothing

– Change working hours

– Enjoy it!

Courtesy of Chris West, UKCIP

Page 3: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Risk of debris flooding

Increase through MPB

desease

Climate Change:

Increase of winter

precipitation

Kimberley: Fire, flooding, and heat risks

Visualization: Olaf Schroth/Courtney Miller, CALP

Page 4: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

June 9, 2009 Community Open House

Kimberley Climate Adaptation Project Visualization Presentation

Adaptation and

Mitigation:

Resilient low-carbon

options

Image credit: Miller/Muir

Owen/Pond/CALP

Page 5: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Adapting to What?

NORTHSHORE VULNERABILITY TO

CLIMATE CHANGE

• High elevations, steep slopes

• Sensitive recreation and water

resources

• High rainfall

• Extensive forest areas

• Fragile salmon habitat/riparian ecosystems

• Critical stream flows and high run-off

• Low-lying shoreline areas

Page 6: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Recognizing Local Adaptation

6

Page 7: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

ADAPTATION SOLUTIONS

Stormwater swale, 15th Street, West Vancouver

Page 8: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

West Vancouver’s climate

change planning:

• Beach adaptation

(& ocean heat exchange)

8 Photos: Stephen Jenkins, District of West Vancouver

Page 9: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Current

Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP

Page 10: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

2050

Page 11: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

2100

2100

Page 12: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

2100

Page 13: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

How to Adapt?

Assessing 3 scenarios:

Hold the Line

Managed Retreat

Build Up

Delta Regional Adaptation Collaborative (RAC) Policy Report

(Barron et al., 2012)

Page 14: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Hold the line – 1.2m

Page 15: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Hold the line – 1.9m

Page 16: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Build Up

Ladner Dike View

1.2 m Sea Level Rise, Year ~2100

Value of Land & Buildings Agricultural Land Area Road & Dike Length

Page 17: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Build Up

Page 18: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Resilience – ability to absorb disturbances while retaining

the same basic structure and ways of

functioning; capacity to adapt.

Credit: Megan Voigt, UBC Landscape Architecture

Page 19: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Adaptation to crop suitability

Source: Royal BC Museum/Richard Hebda

Page 20: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Developed by Professor Nicholas Coops and Rory Tooke, UBC

for District of North Vancouver

Online interactive maps of solar roof potential

Page 21: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Northshore storyline: a high-carbon, high-risk aesthetic Existing

Housing

Mosquito

Creek

Grouse

Mountain

Mosquito Creek

High Risk of Blow

Down

Mod- High Forest Fuel Potential

Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP

Page 22: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

2050

LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED AND

ERODED; BURNT AREAS

(SHOWN IN HIGHER FIRE RISK AREAS); NEW HOUSING AT HIGHER RISK

Expansion of homes at higher elevations

Burnt areas

Kelowna, 2004

Page 23: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Renewable Energy Capacity Mapping

Example: Northshore biomass and micro-hydro

23

Page 24: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Low-carbon, Attractive, Resilient Communities

High-carbon, nondescript, vulnerable communities

Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP

Page 25: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Lo-CAR sustainability:

1. Low-Carbon

– 80% reductions of GHG emissions by 2050

– Hard target

2. Attractive/acceptable/‘awesome’ – Sense of identity, character/fit, and quality of life

3. Resilient

– Adapt to climate disruption, high energy prices,

etc., while maintaining core functions

Page 26: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Visualization: Jon Laurenz, CALP

Page 27: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

Local food market

Live / work development

60% reduction in home energy consumption

Multifamily suites

Community gardening

Electric commuter

vehicles

Smaller, efficient cars

Increased public transit

Stormwater drainage swale Passive solar

conservatory

Page 28: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

How much money do we want to spend to

safeguard our community?

Photo: Mark van Manen, Vancouver Sun

Page 30: CALP The Collaborative for Advanced Landscape …/media/7C68FCF4A2834FEDAB8893665958C49E.pdfIncrease through MPB desease Climate Change: ... LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED

THINK BIG!

Daylighting the Cheong Gye

Cheon in Seoul, South Korea.

Courtesy of Dr. In-Keun Lee.