Connecting for a Resilient America1

CONNECTING FOR A RESILIENT AMERICA

Ramesh Kolluru, Ph.D.Executive Director, NIMSAT Institute

June 3, 2010

Connecting for a Resilient America

To enhance disaster resiliency by Conducting research Developing innovative tools to support homeland

security & emergency management Education, training, outreach and operational

support

Research and consequence modeling Critical infrastructures Supply chains People and communities

Mission

Connecting for a Resilient America 3

NIMSAT Institute’s Response to Gustav/Ike

• Consequence Models for Critical Infrastructures– Post-disaster analysis of 120 petroleum, natural gas, chemical

and electricity facilities (CITGO Refinery, Entergy, Henry Hub, LOOP, Port Fourchon, etc.)

– Economic impact to Oil & Gas industry: $7.6B - $8.3B

• Public-Private Partnerships– Mobilized private sector supply chains, as needed: $23.8

million– Enhanced Situational Awareness: shortages of fuel

• Decision Support Tools– Recommended closures of PODs & Allocation of generators to

gas stations

Connecting for a Resilient America

Research: Regional CIKR Analysis

• Performing interdependency and supply chain analysis of all CIKR assets across the Gulf of Mexico region

• Analyze consequences resulting from hazards to CIKR in support of homeland security and emergency management (HSEM), across the 18 CIKR sectors

• Collecting asset-level data to be utilized when analyzing consequences

• Work with local, state and regional HSEM to prioritize CIKR based on risk

Connecting for a Resilient America

National/Regional Gasoline Supply Model

Two pipelines: Colonial and Plantation. Shortages in Alabama

Connecting for a Resilient America

Development: Advanced Technologies

• Supercomputing, Visualization and GIS Technologies

• 3D Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis

• Decision Support Tools and Applications

Connecting for a Resilient America

Development: CIKR Economic Impact

• Based on the “Hazard Profile” (storm surge):

• Develop predictive and post-event models that quantify economic impact of disruptions to CIKR

Connecting for a Resilient America

Development:Fuel Demand-Supply

Model

• Based on Hurricane Evacuation Models:– Develop model to predict gasoline demand by

evacuating traffic

– Monitor & Mobilize fuel supply chains

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223240

100002000030000400005000060000700008000090000

100000

Fuel Demand (3 days before hurricane)

Connecting for a Resilient America

Development: Points of Distribution

• Based on the “Hazard Profile”:

• Determine the need for PODS, optimal locations and phased teardown, based on private sector

Connecting for a Resilient America

Outreach: LA BEOC (www.labeoc.org)

A Partnership Of

Connecting for a Resilient America

LA BEOC Mission

To support disaster management in Louisiana by• developing an accurate understanding of economic impacts

to critical infrastructures and major economic drivers• coordinating businesses and volunteer organizations with the

public sector

Through the Louisiana BEOC, the State of Louisiana will• improve disaster preparedness and response• reduce reliance on FEMA and other federal assistance• maximize business, industry and economic stabilization• return the business environment to normal operations quickly 

CONNECTING FOR A RESILIENT AMERICA

NIMSAT Role:Decision Support

• Develop models, as illustrated

• Composite models and provide outputs for “Decision Support” based on best available situational awareness

• Unified Incident Command Decision Support (UICDS)