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By: TaranveerBirk, KhalimHusian, ShilpaSoni, Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan Demographic Analysis

By: TaranveerBirk , KhalimHusian , ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

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Demographic Analysis. By: TaranveerBirk , KhalimHusian , ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan. Population Size and Structure. Total population as of July 1 2011: 43, 675 which accounts for 0.1 percent of the total Canadian population. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

By: TaranveerBirk, KhalimHusian, ShilpaSoni, Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Demographic Analysis

Page 2: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Total population as of July 1 2011:43, 675 which accounts for 0.1 percent of the total Canadian population.

Population growth has shown a steady incline over past 20 years.

Slightly Larger proportion of males than females in both the major cities and overallin the province.

Median age of the population: 32.2 Population aged 15 and over: 78.5 %

CITY 2006 2001 1996

Yellowknife 18,700 16,541 17,275

Hay River 3,648 3,510 3,611

Inuvik 3,484 2,894 3,296

Population By Largest Cities

Population Size and Structure

Page 3: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Population(2009)

Low-growthscenario(2036)

Medium-growthscenario (M1)(2036)

Medium-growthscenario (M2)(2036)

Medium-growthscenario (M3)(2036)

Medium-growthscenario (M4)(2036)

High-growthscenario(2036)

Northwest Territories Population (Current and Projected) 43465 48 600 52 700 52 800 58 400 52 600 56 900

Historic and Projected Population Growth Based on Growth Scenario’s

Page 4: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Age pyramids (in relative value) of the Northwest Territories population, 2009 and 2036 (scenario M1)

Statistics Canada. Table   051-0001 -  Estimates of population, by age group and sex for July 1, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (persons unless otherwise noted),  CANSIM (database).

Page 5: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Age Structure Indicators•population dependency ratio (2011) =><15yrs 0.31 60yrs and older 0.14 •low dependency ratio•Total fertility rate•2005=> 2.11 2009=>2.06•increases in life expectancy

Changes to Age and Sex Structure •In 1991 the %65+ ratio was 3.1: old-age dependency was 4.1•In 2000 the %65+ ratio was 4.1: old-age dependency was 5.9•Birth Rate•NWT 2004/05=> 16.2 2009/10=> 17.0•Canada 2004/05=> 10.6 2009/10=>11.2•median age in 2001 was 30.1 which was much younger national median age => 37 •second youngest (youngest Nun)•Sex ratios in the NWT have been going down for the past few years•In 1956 it was 138.6 and in 2006 it was 104.6...males to 100 females•Currently the sex ratios are males: females => 22405:21270

Page 6: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Geographic Distribution of the pPopulation•Third largest territory•almost 43000 people, almost half live in the capital Yellowknife rest are spread across the territory. •1/3 aboriginal, mainly Metis (French native •decent)•Aboriginal to non-aboriginal => 22241:21434•most populated area in the NWT is the Mackenzie Valley area•Vast northern areas are sparsely populated:•the Northwest Territories, Yukon and Nunavut •makes up 39% of Canada’s total area but had•only 0.3% of its population in 2007.

Projected Population Changes Projections:2015 => 452812020 => 466162025 => 47626•between 85-06 majority of the population lived in ontario, alberta, and BC increased•and everywhere else dropped but the •territories stayed stable (NWT)

Page 7: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Migration• Between October 2010 – 2011

–0.7% decrease in population–3,156 persons moved away and 2,336

persons moved in• Net loss 820 persons

• No steady trends present

Statistics Canada (2011).

Page 8: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Inter-provincial Migration• Most immigrants to the NWT are from other provinces• Alberta is the largest contributor of migrantsBetween October 2010 – 2011

- Approximately 31% of total in-migrants are from Alberta• Net out flows also occurred between Nunavut, Yukon,

British Columbia, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, New Brunswick, and Newfoundland

– Net flow of -471 persons• Nova Scotia, Ontario, Quebec, and PEI migrants produce a

net increase • Especially NS, who contributed +184 persons

In-Migrants 538 persons

Out-Migrants 1,118

Net Flow -580

Page 9: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Net Inter-provincial Migration by Province and Territory 2010-2011 Data (Statistics Canada, 2011)

Page 10: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

International migration

• Approximately 5% of immigrants come from outside Canada

• Between October 2010 – 2011• 14 persons left • Highest been in past 2 years

• Between 2002- 2011, there has been steady trend of increasing outmigration and decreasing in-migration

– Except 2008 and 2010

• Between July 2010/2011 = 0 out-migrants returned

Page 11: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Why are People Migrating?

Page 12: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Origin of Migrants

– Philippines have been the largest contributors since 1991 – Before 2000, Viet Nam contributed the second largest amount of

immigrants (13.8% between 1991 and 1995)– Large decrease seen in African immigrants (specifically Nigeria and

Rwanda) between 1996-2000 and 2001 – 2006 (decreased from 8.7% and 5.8% to 0)

– Currently most immigrants within NWT are of Pilipino and British descent

• Changing trend as UK contribution down to 0

Country of Origin Immigrant Population (Counts)

% Distribution

Philippines 195 32.5%

Ghana 100 16.7%

United States 55 9.2%

Page 13: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Compared to Canada

– Low rates of international migration• Proportion of foreign born (2001) 6.4% vs 18.4% CAN• Seventh lowest of all provinces and territories • But one of only three provinces and territories with

relatively significant increase of proportion of foreign born between 1991 and 2001 (1.6%)

Page 14: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan
Page 15: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Income

• In 2005, Median for full-year, full-time earners was $60,119– Higher than Canadian average of $41,401

• In 2000, Median for full-year, full-time earners was $40,443– Again, higher than Canadian average of $40,443

• Median income in NWT showed 7.1% increase– Higher than Canadian average of 2.4% increase

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-563/T801-eng.cfm?Lang=E&T=801&GH=4&SC=1&SO=99&O=A

Page 16: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Socio-demographic Characteristics of the Northwest Territories

Page 17: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Ethnic CompositionTop 10 Ethnic Composition of the Northwest Territories (2003)Canadian 7255English 6175Scottish 5190Irish 4470Inuit 4140French 3860North American Indian 3375German 3005Métis 2955Ukrainian 1270Dutch (Netherlands) 750

Page 18: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

NWT: Languages

• There are eight different languages in the Northwest Territories:

• English, French, Chiewyan, Dogrib, Slavey (north & south), and Gwich’in (Loucheux)

• 77% -chose English first language• 2.8% -chose French first language

Page 19: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

NWT: Family and Household Composition

• Family Age Composition– 0-14 : 25%– 15-64: 71%– 65 and over: 4%

Page 20: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

NWT: Nuptuality and Divorce Characteristics

Marriages Divorces

Number Rate per 100,000

Number Rate per 100,000

Canada 159,350 526 67,408 223

NWT. 210 311 79 117

Page 21: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

NWT: FertilityFertility Rates in Northwest Territories (2002-2008)

NWT NWT CanadaYear Births (#) Mortality (%) Mortality (%)2008 721 9.7% 5.1%2007 725 4.1% 5.1%2006 687 10.2% 5.0%2005 712 4.2% 5.4%2004 698 N/A 5.3%2003 701 5.7% 5.3%2002 635 11.0% 5.4%

Page 22: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-563/T803-eng.cfm?Lang=E&T=803&GH=4&SC=1&SO=99&O=A

Less

than high

school

High sc

hool

College

Universi

ty below bach

elor

Trades/A

pprenticesh

ip

Bachelor

Post-Bach

elor$0

$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000$90,000

$100,000

$45,014$54,819

$62,655 $63,379 $64,697$75,822

$89,128Impact of Education on Income

Page 23: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Labour Force• Labour force consisted of 23,825 people in 2006

– 12,735 males and 11,095 females– 17% 15-24 years old, 71.2% 25-54, 11.7% over 55– Median age: 39.0 years old

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-559/T601-eng.cfm?Lang=E&T=601&GH=4&SC=1&SO=99&O=A

17.00%

71.20%

11.7%

Labour Force

15-24 years old25-54 years old55 and older

Page 24: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Employment

• In 2006, 21,350 were employed– 11,190 males and 10.160 females– Median Age: 39.9 years old (40.7 for males, 38.8

females)• In 2001, 18,810 people were employed

– 9,555 males and 8,855 females– Median age: 38.3 years old (38.7 for males, 37.8 for

females)• Overall 13.5% gain between 2001 and 2006

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-559/T601-eng.cfm?SR=1

Page 25: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Unemployment

• In 2006, unemployment was 10.4%– Males: 12.1%, females: 8.4%

• In 2001, unemployment was 9.5%– Males: 10.4%, females: 8.4%

• Increased 0.9% between 2001 and 2006– Increased 1.7% for males, 0.0% for females

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-559/T601-eng.cfm?SR=1

Page 26: By:  TaranveerBirk ,  KhalimHusian ,  ShilpaSoni , Anna Mathews and Drew Brennan

Major industries and occupations

• In 2006, leading industry employments:– Public Administration, Retail Trade, Health Care and Social

Assistance, Transportation and Warehousing• In 2001, leading industry employments:

– Public Administration, Health Care and Social Assistance, Retail Trade, and Educational Services

• Greatest Percentage Changes from 2001 to 2006– Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (-26.8%),

Manufacturing (+42.6%), Transportation and Warehousing (+29.4%) and Retail Trade (+20.3%)

Information from: http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/hlt/97-559/Table602S.cfm?Lang=E&T=602S&SC=1&GID=61&GU=1