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BUSINESS OVERVIEW 18 November 2019

BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

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Page 1: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

BUSINESS OVERVIEW

18 November 2019

Page 2: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

Except for historical information, the statements

made in this presentation constitute forward

looking statements. These include statements

regarding the intent, belief or current expectations

of GE Shipping and its management regarding the

Company’s operations, strategic directions,

prospects and future results which in turn involve

certain risks and uncertainties. Certain factors may

cause actual results to differ materially from those

contained in the forward looking statements;

including changes in freight rates; global

economic and business conditions; effects of

competition and technological developments;

changes in laws and regulations; difficulties in

achieving cost savings; currency, fuel price and

interest rate fluctuations etc. The Company

assumes no responsibility with regard to publicly

amending, modifying or revising the statements

based on any subsequent developments,

information or events that may occur.

Page 3: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

Dry Bulk

CORPORATE PROFILE

Shipping (Bulk) Offshore

(Through wholly-owned subsidiary Greatship (India) Limited)

Tankers• Crude• Products/LPG

Logistics Drilling

India’s largest private sector shipping company over 71 years of experience

3

Page 4: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

Shareholding Pattern as on 30 September 2019

SHAREHOLDING

PATTERN

FII/FPI20% Promoters

30%

Govt./FI24%

Public19%

4

Page 5: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

FLEET

PROFILE

SHIPPING

Fleet DWT Number of Ships Average Age (Yrs.)

Crude Carriers 1,608,683 12 14.14

Product Carriers 987,207 17 12.04

Gas Carriers 224,113 5 18.17

Dry Bulk Carriers 1,026,462 13 7.05

Total 3,846,465 47 11.94

OFFSHORE

Fleet Number of Units Average Age (Yrs.)

Jack Up Rigs 4 8.09

Platform Supply Vessels 4 10.25

Anchor handling Tug Cum Supply Vessels

8 10.11

Multipurpose Platform Supply & Support Vessels

2 9.57

ROV Support Vessels 5 8.27

5

Page 6: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet
Page 7: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

4 KEYS TO

OUR SUCCESS

Dynamically managing

cycles

Diversified Fleet

In-House technical & commercial

management

Strong balance

sheet

7

Page 8: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

NET DEBT/EQUITY & TOTAL CAPITAL

EMPLOYED (CONSOLIDATED)USD Mn

8

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

FY1

99

3

FY1

99

4

FY1

99

5

FY1

99

6

FY1

99

7

FY1

99

8

FY1

99

9

FY2

00

0

FY2

00

1

FY2

00

2

FY2

00

3

FY2

00

4

FY2

00

5

FY2

00

6

FY2

00

7

FY2

00

8

FY2

00

9

FY2

01

0

FY2

01

1

FY2

01

2

FY2

01

3

FY2

01

4

FY2

01

5

FY2

01

6

FY2

01

7

FY2

01

8

FY2

01

9

Total Capital Employed Net Debt/Equity (RHS)

Page 9: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

DIVIDEND/SHARE

(30+ YEARS CONTINUOUS DIVIDEND)

INR/Share

99

1%

3%

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

17%

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

FY1

99

3

FY1

99

4

FY1

99

5

FY1

99

6

FY1

99

7

FY1

99

8

FY1

99

9

FY2

00

0

FY2

00

1

FY2

00

2

FY2

00

3

FY2

00

4

FY2

00

5

FY2

00

6

FY2

00

7

FY2

00

8

FY2

00

9

FY2

01

0

FY2

01

1

FY2

01

2

FY2

01

3

FY2

01

4

FY2

01

5

FY2

01

6

FY2

01

7

FY2

01

8

FY2

01

9

Dividend/Share Dividend Yield (RHS)

Page 10: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

ROE & ROCE

(CONSOLIDATED)

10

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%

ROCE (Consolidated) ROE (Consolidated)

Average ROCE Average ROE

Average ROCE: 12%

Average ROE: 18%

Page 11: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

BWTS & SCRUBBER

INSTALLATION SCHEDULE

9

35

79

12

7

25 5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Installed To be Installed CY2020 CY2021 CY2022 CY2023+

No

. of

Ve

sse

ls

BWTS Scrubber

• Total 9 Vessels have been fitted with BWTS and 35 vessels are scheduled to be installed with BWTS

• 2 Vessels have been fitted with Scrubbers and 5 Vessels are scheduled to be installed with Scrubbers in CY2020

11

Page 12: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet
Page 13: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

IMO REGULATIONS ON

BALLAST WATER TREATMENT SYTEM

Source – Industry Reports

513

What is Ballast Water Treatment System(BWTS) IMO regulations?

1. Ballast water has to be taken onboard by ships for stability and can contain thousands of aquatic or marine microbes, plants and animals, which are then carried across the globe. Untreated ballast water released at the ship’s destination could potentially introduce a new invasive marine species.

2. The International Convention for the Control and Management of Ships' Ballast Water and Sediments was adopted in 2004 to introduce global regulations to control the transfer of potentially invasive species. With the treaty in force from September 2019, ships need to manage their ballast water.

3. Under the Convention, all ships in international traffic are required to manage their ballast water to a certain standard which can be done by installing a Ballast Water Treatment system onboard.

4. The Compliance Date: New Vessels

On delivery (post September 2019)

Existing VesselsFirst scheduled drydocking after September 2019

Page 14: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

IMO 2020

Source – Industry Reports

514

What is IMO 2020?

1) The International Maritime Organization (IMO) will require shipowners to reduce sulfur emissions from 3.5% currently to 0.5% starting 1st January, 2020.

2) There are two options for shipowners to comply with IMO 2020 sulfur regulations:• Installing a scrubber to enable the vessel to continue to burn High Sulfur Fuel Oil

(HSFO)• Change to burning 0.5% compliant fuel which may be Very Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (VLSFO)

or Marine Gas Oil (MGO)

3) HSFO market for bunker fuels is currently at 3.5-4 million barrels a day. Of which, approximately 2-2.5 million barrels a day may need to be replaced by MGO or VLSFO.

4) Scrubbers can cost $2-$5 million to install depending on the size of the ship.

5) Scrubber Economics favors larger vessels that consume more fuel and have trading patterns consisting of more time at sea.

Page 15: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

IMO 2020

Source – Industry Reports

515

Type of Fuel Sulfur Content Composition 2020 Possible issues post 2020

HSFO 3.5%Fuel oil from refinery

Scrubber Installed Vessels

Low Availability, Higher CAPEX for scrubbers

MGO 0.1%Diesel from the refinery

Allowed including ECA Areas

Expensive

LSFO 0.5%

Blends HSFO with a straight run LSFO or other low sulfur intermediate refinery fuels

Allowed in Non-ECA areas. Currently being tested.

Compatibility, Stability, Standardization & Availability

Page 16: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

KEY POINTS ON TANKER MARKET•VLCC 5 yr old asset prices increased about 8% Y-O-Y*

•Suezmax 5 yr old asset prices increased about 11% Y-O-Y*

Asset Prices

•BCTI fell by 13% & BDTI rose 41% during Q3CY19 sequentiallyFreight Rates

•U. S. production is up about 1.0 million barrels a day year-on-year, U. S. exports were up

about 0.80 million barrels a day, whereas, imports have been down 1 million barrels a day

year-on-year Q3CY19.

•In Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y, overall crude loadings were down by 1.4 million barrels a day with MEG

loadings down by 1.7 million barrels a day due to Iran Sanctions and Saudi Crude disruptions.

Crude Market

•In Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y, overall trade growth for Core Refined Products was higher by 0.45

million barrels a day.

•This was largely driven by Gas oil trade globally. The trade was also supported by Naphtha

trade growth within Asia Pacific.

Product Market

•US VLGC exports grew by 18% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y, due to significantly improved arbitrage

between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia

•Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet growth.

Correspondingly Baltic LPG index averaged US $66/ton during Q3CY2019 up 65% Y-O-Y.

LPG Market

•Crude tankers net fleet growth in Q3CY19 is 1.34%, product tankers net fleet growth is 1.01%

and VLGC growth in net fleet is 1.09% sequentially

Fleet Growth

Source – Industry Reports

516* 5 yr old prices in Q3CY2019 are for Eco Tankers whereas in Q3CY2018 for Non-Eco

Page 17: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

TANKERS – ASSET PRICE MOVEMENT

(5-YEAR OLD)

Sh

ip P

ric

e (

in m

illi

on

$)

Sh

ip P

ric

e (

in m

illi

on

$)

Source – Industry Reports

517

Wet Bulk asset prices has improved by 10% to 12% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

VLCC Suezmax Aframax

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q42017

Q12018

Q22018

Q32018

Q42018

Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

VLCC Suezmax Aframax

Page 18: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

BALTIC DIRTY & CLEAN INDEX

Source – Industry Reports

518

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

No

v-1

4Fe

b-1

5M

ay-1

5A

ug-

15

No

v-1

5Fe

b-1

6M

ay-1

6A

ug-

16

No

v-1

6Fe

b-1

7M

ay-1

7A

ug-

17

No

v-1

7Fe

b-1

8M

ay-1

8A

ug-

18

No

v-1

8Fe

b-1

9M

ay-1

9A

ug-

19

No

v-1

9

BALTIC CLEAN TANKER INDEX

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

1,900

2,100

No

v-1

4Fe

b-1

5M

ay-1

5A

ug-

15

No

v-1

5Fe

b-1

6M

ay-1

6A

ug-

16

No

v-1

6Fe

b-1

7M

ay-1

7A

ug-

17

No

v-1

7Fe

b-1

8M

ay-1

8A

ug-

18

No

v-1

8Fe

b-1

9M

ay-1

9A

ug-

19

No

v-1

9

BALTIC DIRTY TANKER INDEX

Page 19: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

TOTAL OIL

SUPPLY & DEMAND

mil

lio

n b

arr

els

per

day

In Q3CY19 Y-O-Y, refinery throughput growth has been down by $1 mbd mainly

due to planned maintenance (IMO 2020 related) and upgrades. As well as due to

PES closure in the US and Saudi Crude facility attack.

millio

n b

arre

ls p

er d

ay

Source – Industry Reports

519

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99

101

103

Q12017

Q22017

Q32017

Q42017

Q12018

Q22018

Q32018

Q42018

Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Supply Demand Refinery Throughput (RHS)

Page 20: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

CRUDE & PRODUCT

GROWTH

• Crude demand growth was marginally negative at approx. 1.4 Mn barrels a day in

Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y

• Core refined products demand growth was marginally positive by approx. 0.28 Mn barrels

a day largely due to negative light distillate demand growth especially Naphtha offset by

strong Gas oil demand growth.

Source – Industry Reports

520

Page 21: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

REFINERY MARGINS

Refining Margins in Asia and Europe were largely flat Y-O-Y whereas in US it was

significantly positive due to strong product crack in both light and middle distillates

Source – Industry Reports

521

Page 22: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

CRUDE OIL IMPORTS (US & China)

US

Cru

de

Oil

tota

l Im

po

rts

(‘0

00

bp

d)

Ch

ina

Cru

de

Oil

tota

l Im

po

rts

(‘0

00

bp

d)

In Q3CY2019, China imported 12% higher crude oil than

Q3CY2018 as new refineries were ramping up.

Source – Industry Reports

522

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

3,500

4,500

5,500

6,500

7,500

8,500

9,500

10,500

11,500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Page 23: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

CRUDE OIL EXPORTS (US)

In Q3CY2019, US exported 40% higher crude oil than

Q3CY201823

US

Cru

de

Oil

tota

l Exp

ort

s (‘

00

0 b

pd

)

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct* Nov Dec

2019 2018 2017 2016 2015

Page 24: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

US LPG EXPORTS OF PROPANE,

PROPYLENE, BUTANE & ISO BUTANE

US VLGC exports grew by 18% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y

24

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

US LPG Exports of Propane & Propylene (y-o-y growth in %) US LPG Exports of Butane & Iso Butane (y-o-y growth in %)

*Butane & Iso Butane data is for Jul-Aug’19 as September 2019 data has not yet been released.

Page 25: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

WORLD FLEET GROWTH

CRUDE TANKERS

Tanker Fleet - mn Dwt 30-Oct-19 1-Jan-19 1-Jan-18 1-Jan-17 1-Jan-16

VLCC 244.70 233.34 225.10 213.80 200.00

Suezmax 86.20 81.86 80.60 74.60 71.09

Aframax 69.71 67.07 67.20 66.40 64.37

Total (80k+)* 406.23 381.70 378.90 355.00 335.46

Order Book (mn Dwt) 2019 2020 2021+ Total

Orderbook as % of

current fleet1.1% 4.7% 2.9% 8.7%

Source – Industry Reports

Slippage(YTD2019)

About 5-10%

525

*Includes panamax crude tankers

Page 26: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

WORLD FLEET GROWTH

PRODUCT TANKERS & VLGC

Product Fleet - mn Dwt 30-Oct-19 1-Jan-19 1-Jan-18 1-Jan-17

LR2 40.80 37.9 36.60 33.50

LR1 27.70 26.9 26.51 25.20

MR/Handy (35k+) 86.44 83.3 82.40 80.40

Total (35k+)* 158.25 150.93 147.61 139.40

Order Book(mn Dwt) 2019 2020 2021+ Total

Orderbook as % of current

fleet0.6% 3.2% 2.4% 6.3%

Order Book (No. of Vessels) 2019 2020 2021+ Total

Orderbook as % of current

fleet1.8% 7.6% 3.6% 12.9%

Slippage Product (YTD2019)

About 5-10%

Source – Industry Reports

526

Fleet - No. of Vessels 30-Oct-19 1-Jan-19 1-Jan-18

VLGC 278 265 260

*Suezmax Product Tankers included

Page 27: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

KEY POINTS ON DRY BULK MARKETS

• Capesize 5 yr old asset prices were down 20% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y

• Panamax & Supramax 5 yr old asset prices were flat to marginally up in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y

Asset Prices

• BDI hits 2,518 on 04-Sep-19 due to supply tightness at loading area.

• Q3CY2019, BDI rose about 35% from 1,354 to 1,823

Freight Rates

• China total coal imports for Q3CY2019 have risen by 16% Y-O-Y. Indian coal imports have

been largely flat Y-O-Y in Q3CY2019

Coal Market

• China’s Iron Ore imports increased by 4.3% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-YIron Ore

• Dry Bulk net fleet growth in Q3CY2019 was about 1.12% sequentiallyFleet

Growth

Source – Industry Reports

527

Page 28: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

BULKER ASSET PRICES

5-YEAR OLD

Capesize asset prices were down 20% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y. Panamax asset prices were flat Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y while Supramax asset prices

were up 10% in Q3CY2019 Y-O-Y.

Sh

ip P

ric

e (

in m

illi

on

$)

Sh

ip P

ric

e (

in m

illi

on

$)

Source – Industry Reports

528

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Q42017

Q12018

Q22018

Q32018

Q42018

Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

Capesize Panamax Supramax

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Capesize Panamax Supramax

Page 29: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

250450650850

1,0501,2501,4501,6501,8502,0502,2502,4502,650

No

v-1

4

Feb

-15

May

-15

Au

g-1

5

No

v-1

5

Feb

-16

May

-16

Au

g-1

6

No

v-1

6

Feb

-17

May

-17

Au

g-1

7

No

v-1

7

Feb

-18

May

-18

Au

g-1

8

No

v-1

8

Feb

-19

May

-19

Au

g-1

9

No

v-1

9

BALTIC DRY INDEX

Baltic Dry Index hit 9 years high of 2,518 in Sep’19 after recovering

from lows of 595 in Feb’19. Currently it is trading close to 1,364

Source – Industry Reports

529

Vale’s Dam Incident

Page 30: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

CHINA IRON ORE & STEEL PRODUCTION

China Steel Production

increased 8% in

9MCY2019 Y-O-Y

China’s iron ore import

shrunk 2% in 9MCY2019

Y-O-Y

Source – Industry Reports

Ste

el

Pro

du

cti

on

(in

Mil

lio

n t

on

ne

s)

Iro

n o

re i

mp

ort

(in

Mil

lio

n t

on

ne

s)

530

9.8%

13.8%

2.4%

7.4%5.0%

-1.1% -2%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9MFY2019

China Iron Ore Imports % Change Y-o-Y

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9M20189M2019

World Steel China Steel % Growth World % Growth China

Page 31: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

CHINA COAL IMPORTS

China coal imports change (Y-O-Y)

Source – Industry Reports

Mn Tonnes

531

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

Jan

-17

Feb

-17

Mar

-17

Ap

r-1

7M

ay-1

7Ju

n-1

7Ju

l-1

7A

ug-

17

Sep

-17

Oct

-17

No

v-1

7D

ec-

17

Jan

-18

Feb

-18

Mar

-18

Ap

r-1

8M

ay-1

8Ju

n-1

8Ju

l-1

8A

ug-

18

Sep

-18

Oct

-18

No

v-1

8D

ec-

18

Jan

-19

Feb

-19

Mar

-19

Ap

r-1

9M

ay-1

9Ju

n-1

9Ju

l-1

9A

ug-

19

Sep

-19

Oct

-19

Page 32: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

WORLD FLEET GROWTH

DRY BULK

Fleet - Mn Dwt 30-Oct-19 1-Jan-19 1-Jan-18 1-Jan-17

Capesize 345 335 324 315

Panamax 216 207 202 196

Handymax 207 201 196 189

Handysize 105 98 96 94

Total 873 841 818 794

Orderbook

(mn Dwt)2019 2020 2021 2022+ Total

Orderbook

(%Fleet)1.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.3% 10.1%

Slippage(YTD2019)

About 0-5%

Source – Industry Reports

532

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SCRAPPING

Scrapping is low for all the sectors

Vessel

Category

Fleet

(mn Dwt)Scrapping (% of beginning world fleet)

30 Oct 19 9MCY2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

Crude 406.23 0.56% 4.62% 2.35% 0.35% 0.23% 1.60%

Product 158.25 0.31% 1.64% 1.42% 0.62% 0.61% 1.19%

Dry Bulk 873.00 0.64% 0.54% 1.77% 3.67% 4.03% 2.25%

Source – Industry Reports

533

Page 34: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

Greatship (India)

Limited(a 100% subsidiary)

Page 35: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

OFFSHORE BUSINESS

FLEET PROFILE

Fleet Utilization

Category

Extent of coverage of

fleet's operating

days (FY20)

PSV 47%

ROVSV 87%

AHTSV 95%

MPSSV 37%

Jackup Rigs 96%

Current Owned Fleet

TypeFleet Count

Jack Up Rigs (350ft) 4

Platform Supply Vessels (PSV) 4

Anchor Handling Tug cum

Supply Vessels (AHTSV)8

Multipurpose Platform Supply

and Support Vessels (MPSSV)2

Platform / ROV Support Vessels

(ROVSV)5

535Source – Industry Reports

As on 30th September2019

Page 36: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

KEY POINTS ON E&P MARKETS

Q3 CY2019

Source – Industry Reports 36

• Charter rates and utilization have started to pickup form the lows in certain

geographies. We have started to see the impact in Indian market as well.Day Rates

• Rigs: Total fleet remains broadly same compared to last quarter and over

one year.

• OSV’s: Total fleet remains broadly same compared to last quarter however,

there is a decline of about 1.34% over one year. .

Fleet Growth

• Rigs: 60-70% (Term) (Increased by about 8% over last 1 year)

• Vessels: 40-50% (Term) (Increased by about 5% over last 1 year)

Fleet Utilization

• OSVs: 80%-90%(CY2018)

• Rigs: 70% - 80%(CY2018)Slippage

Page 37: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

OFFSHORE E&P SPENDING

Source – Industry Reports 37

According to various industry reports, after the sharp fall over last 3 years, the E&P spending

declined marginally in 2018 and is expected to remain flattish in 2019.

Page 38: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

GLOBAL FLEET SUPPLY

OFFSHORE

Fleet & Orderbook

Number Jackup Rigs AHTSVs PSV

Current Fleet 521 1993 1619

Orderbook 56 73 125

O/B to current fleet 10.75% 3.66% 7.7%

• YTD CY2019 actual deliveries have been far lower than scheduled. Due to bleak

employment scenario owners have refrained from taking delivery. Going forward slippage is

expected to remain high. About 42% of Jackup rig fleet is currently 25 years and above.

• The activity has started to pick up in the OSV space and we have seen improvement in the

charter rates. Similarly, for Jackups, activity has improved and we have seen recent tenders

being awarded at a significantly higher rate.

• In case of PSVs and AHTSVs more than half the fleet is either idle/stacked or working in

spot market at a very low utilization.

Source – Industry Reports 38

Page 39: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

FINANCIAL

RESULTSQ2 FY 2019-20

39

Page 40: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Q2FY20 Q2FY19 H1FY20 (Amount in Rs. Crs) Q2FY20 Q2FY19 H1FY20

Income Statement

685.01 701.74 1310.35 Revenue (including other income) 899.12 886.09 1726.85

220.03 34.94 384.91 EBITDA (including other income) 321.56 124.93 582.56

241.42 175.40 515.30 #EBITDA (including other income) 339.35 330.13 700.13

4.75 (186.22) (45.46) Net Profit (18.93) (223.47) (72.89)

Balance Sheet

9628.70 10708.14 9628.70 Total Assets 13482.99 14949.09 13482.99

4836.03 4681.07 4836.03 Equity 6585.33 6467.44 6585.33

3691.32 4539.49 3691.32 Total Debt (Gross) 5414.91 6643.46 5414.91

1800.82 2020.73 1800.82 Long Term Debt (Net of Cash) 2403.33 2850.03 2403.33

Cash Flow**

212.59 87.10 430.74 From operating activities 276.23 273.16 581.35

(4.06) (236.20) 60.11 From investing activities 27.03 (242.04) 52.98

(847.66) (223.94) (933.45) From financing activities (1035.52) (308.66) (1201.85)

(639.13) (373.04) (442.60) Net cash inflow/(outflow) (732.26) (277.54) (567.52)

GE Shipping Q2FY20 consolidated Net Loss at Rs. 18.93 CroresStandalone ConsolidatedKey Figures

740

Page 41: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Q2FY20 Q2FY19 H1FY20 Q2FY20 Q2FY19 H1FY20

Key financial figures

32.12% 4.98% 29.37% EBITDA Margin 35.76% 14.10% 33.74%

3.13% -3.34% 3.93% *#Return on Equity (ROE) 2.43% 0.78% 2.58%

5.64% 2.26% 5.95% *#Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.80% 4.51% 5.31%

0.76 0.97 0.76 Gross Debt/Equity Ratio 0.82 1.03 0.82

0.37 0.43 0.37 Net Debt/Equity Ratio 0.36 0.44 0.36

70.02 69.28 69.74 Average Exchange rate USD/INR 70.02 69.28 69.74

70.88 72.54 70.88 End of Period Exchange rate USD/INR 70.88 72.54 70.88

Share related figures(in Rs.)

0.32 (12.35) (3.03) Earnings per share, EPS (1.27) (14.82) (4.86)

0.32 (12.35) (3.03) Diluted earnings per share (1.27) (14.82) (4.86)

11.05 5.81 23.18 Cash Profit per share 15.64 13.72 31.42

- - - Dividend per share - - -

Standalone ConsolidatedKey Figures

41

# Excluding Unrealized Gains/Losses on Derivatives and Foreign Exchange*Annualized figures

** Non GAAP Measures and Placement of Bank deposits and sale and purchase of Mutual Funds are not considered in Cash flow as they are considered as cash and cash equivalent

Page 42: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

Breakup of Revenue Days

Revenue Days Q2 FY20 Q2 FY19

Owned Tonnage 4,040 4,285

Inchartered Tonnage 7 115

Total Revenue Days 4,047 4,400

Total Owned Tonnage (mn.dwt) 3.85 3.98

Average TCY Details

Average (TCY $ per day) Q2’FY20 Q2’FY19 % Change

Crude Carriers 16,509 10,373 59%

Product Carriers (Incl.

Gas)16,022 10,323 55%

Dry Bulk 13,131 12,447 5%

Mix of Spot & Time

Days (in %) Q2’FY20 Q2’FY19

Dry Bulk

Spot % 84% 79%

Time % 16% 21%

Tankers

Spot % 70% 80%

Time % 30% 20%

Total

Spot % 74% 80%

Time % 26% 20%542

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Page 43: BUSINESS OVERVIEW · 2019-11-19 · between US & Far East LPG Prices and Ramp-up of petchem demand in Asia •Overall VLGC loadings is up by 1.6 Mt Y-O-Y Q3CY2019 with 1.09% fleet

THANK YOU

visit us at www.greatship.com

THANK YOU

43