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Business, Law, and Innovation
Mechanics of Building Value
Lecture 4Spring 2014
Professor Adam Dell
The University of Texas School of Law
Every company that is NOT cash flow positive is on it’s way to going “OUT OF BUSINESS”.
Only the $ provided by VCs (and other sources) keep these companies alive.
So, the goal is to find a way to get an investment CF positive as quickly as possible.
This is why VCs look for business that are “capital efficient” (software, services, etc.) and for the losers to “fail fast”.
Basics:
How do you get Cash Flow positive? Growth….
Exponential, non-linear growth that yields positive cash flow…..fast!
Growth is necessary, but it isn’t necessarily sufficient….you also need a business model
Crossing the Chasm – When a new innovation moves beyond “early adopters” and becomes widely accepted.
Critical Mass – Enough participation in a system such that its growth becomes self-sustaining. Often occurs when a product or service reach mass market.
Tipping Point – Point at which a new innovation achieves critical mass. Can occur through word of mouth, contagiousness, connectors & experts.
How Do You Get There?
Ne
w a
do
pte
rs
Time
Crossingthe Chasm
- Geoffrey Moore
Critical Mass
TippingPoint
- Malcolm Gladwell
When Selling to Businesses..there is a “HYPE CURVE”
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Case Study: OpenTable
Electronic reservation book, table management and Internet reservation system for the restaurant industry.
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OpenTable: State of the Nation, circa 1999
10-15 competitors, many venture backed
All doing essentially the same thing (Expedia for restaurants)
Some giving away the terminals for free
Lots of noise in the space
Very few restaurant reservations flowing through the system
Mechanics of Building Value
So, once you decide to invest what do you do?
1)Ensure sufficient capital to get to the next milestone
2)Ensure the right management team / board
3)Access to the right relationships / partnerships
4)Ensure the right strategy is pursued.
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Mechanics of Building Value
MONEY: Benchmark Capital, Impact Venture Partners ($5mm)
BOARD: Restaurateur Danny Meyer
PARTNERS: American Express, Zagat, IAC, AOL, CitySearch
STRATEGY: Own the restaurant relationship, focus on delivering value independent of the rest of the world.
TEAM: President of MICROS, then Thomas Layton
PATIENCE / COMMITMENT: We doubled down in 2002 with very little achieved in 3 years.
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OT.com: State of the Nation, circa 2008
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OT.com: State of the Nation, circa 2007
14,000 restaurant customers
Dominant, global position
Great team (Matt Roberts)
Great partners (Amex, AOL, Zagat)
Great business model
…Perhaps a natural legal monopoly
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3 Outcomes in every VC investment:
Shutdown
Sale / Merger
IPO
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3 Outcomes in every VC investment:
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Tipping Point ;)
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""If you can book dinner on OpenTable or a flight on Southwest or United online, then why shouldn't you be able to make an appointment at your local Social Security office the same way?"
President Barak Obama, Jan 14th 2010.
Jeff Jordan, CEO of OpenTable: Steve Ballmer was in the audience and came over, gave me a high five and said “What did you pay for THAT placement?!"
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Risk & Reward
HIGHLY RISKYHIGHLY REWARDINGHIGHLY FUN
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