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Business & Financial PresentationFY 2004-05
April 29, 2005
The Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd.
1
Forward Looking StatementsExcept for historical information, the statements made in this presentation constitute forward looking statements. These include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of GE Shipping and its management regarding the Company’s operations, strategic directions, prospects and future results which in turn involve certain risks and uncertainties.
Certain factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements; including changes in freight rates; global economic and business conditions; effects of competition and technological developments; changes in laws and regulations;difficulties in achieving cost savings; currency, fuel price and interest rate fluctuations etc.
The Company assumes no responsibility with regard to publicly amending, modifying or revising the statements based on any subsequent developments, information or events that may occur.
2
A year of record performance
Total income of Rs. 2119 cr.up by 48%
PAT at Rs. 809 cr. up by 72%
EPS of Rs.42.34 (PY Rs.24.29)
Highest ever equity dividend payout of Rs. 194.24 crores ( includes tax)
Committed capex as on date - USD 399 mn towards 16 vessels
3
Financial ComparisonYear on Year
4
471809PAT*
492791PBT
201285Depreciation
4783Interest
7401159EBIDTA
14262119Total Income
FY 2003-04FY 2004-05
(in Rs. Cr.)
* includes prior period adjustments
Financial ComparisonQuarter on Quarter
5
185252PAT*
190217PBT
6074Depreciation
1522Interest
265313EBIDTA
479571Total Income
Q4FY 2003-04
Q4FY 2004-05
(in Rs. Cr.)
* includes prior period adjustments
Balance Sheet Comparison
6
0.610.47Net Debt Equity Ratio
1.030.95Debt Equity Ratio
125-Deferred Taxation
15342080Debt
14972189Shareholder’s Funds
Company Owed:31564269Total Assets
25523201Asset (incld. Vessels under Construction)
Company Owned:FY 2003-04FY 2004-05
(in Rs. Cr.)
Delivering through the years ..
7
50 53 6279
115139
282
846767
19.5
43.8
34.8
17.4815.96
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
Rs.
per
sh
are
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
%
BV NAV ROE%
-8
Growing bigger … … . & stronger
FY 1999-00? Capital Employed Rs. 2112 cr.? Net worth Rs. 1107 cr.? Net Debt Equity Ratio 0.78
Cash outflows between FY 2000-01 to FY 2004-05 ? to shareholders Rs. 785 cr.? spent on Capex Rs. 3050 cr.
FY 2004-05? Capital Employed Rs. 4269 cr.? Net worth Rs. 2189 cr.? Net Debt Equity Ratio 0.47
9
Offshore Oil Field Services
10
The Market-CY 2004Demand for rigs rose :? Worldwide by around 6%? In India by around 9%
Utilisation and day rates improved? Rig utilisation by around 5%? PSV utilisation by around 4%
India, Mexico, Russia, and West African countries initiated plans for oil security
Of the 20 blocks offered under NELP V, 8 are offshore
ONGC’s success in deep-water exploration campaign “Sagar Samriddhi” 11
Global Rig Demand
442
468
430
435
440
445
450
455
460
465
470
2003 2004
Num
ber
of
R
igs
Source: RS Platou12
Charter hired Rigs in India*
19
23
25
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
2002 2003 2004
Num
ber
of
Rig
s
13* Excludes ONGC owned rigs
Rig Utilisation (On Total Supply)
79%
84%
76%77%78%79%80%81%82%83%84%85%
2003 2004
Source: RS Platou,
Day Rates, 300 ft IC Jack Up in US Gulf (USD 1000)
34
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2003 2004
Rig Utilisations and day rates on the rise
14
N Sea PSV utilisation
79%
84%
76%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
2003 2004
Source: Seabroker
N Sea Pool PSV day rates (GBP/ day)
5018
6884
4000
5000
6000
7000
2003 2004
Increase in PSV Utilisations and day rates
15
Overview of the year - 2004-05
Enhanced the OSV fleet - deep water capability
Ordered new building – 2 AHTSVs and 2 PSVs
Increased operational presence in North Sea / Middle East with major international operators
3 yr contract for Kedarnath renewed at higher rates commencing October 2005
16
Market Outlook CY 2005
Increased pressure to explore and produce oil? World oil estimates 6% increase in offshore drilling activities
Budgetary allocations of oil companies reconsidered
? Thrust on reserve accretion
Marine construction market to absorb more vessels? Increased activities envisaged in platform maintenance and allied jobs
OSVs expected to witness improved utilisations
Earnings from Harbour Tugs business to remain satisfactory
17
Offshore Wells Drilled Globally
2963
3046
3228
2800
2850
2900
2950
3000
3050
3100
3150
3200
3250
2003 2004 2005 E
Num
ber
of w
ells
Source: World Oil18
Addressing Business Concerns
Restricted marketability of older assets
? Adapting to clients specific requirements through upgradation
? Building an OSV fleet through NB orders - 4 New Buildings to join the fleet
during the year
Increasing competition from foreign flags
? Diversifying risk by increasing operational presence in global markets
? Leveraging on domain expertise – repeat business
19
The Emerging Scenario !International Market
High oil & gas prices and reducing large opportunities resulting in increasing pressures on oil companies to explore & produce
Major increase in oil co. spending underway. In 2005, initial indications of 8-10% growth
Strength in rigs market to continue through 2005 with companies unfurling exploration plans
Domestic MarketONGC has committed USD 2 bn in 2005 for its exploration campaign
Commitment by Reliance, GSPCL, BGEPIL, Cairn towards increased activities is apparent from their budgetary allocations
20
Revenue Visibility: FY 2005-06
Revenue of Rs 292* cr. covers OPEX by 1.2 x
Drilling UnitsDry
Docking27%
Covered73%
Rs. 87 CrOffshore Support Vessels
Covered45%
Open55%
Rs.125 Cr
Harbour TugsOpen36% Covered
64%
Rs. 29 Cr Marine ConstructionOpen86% Covered
14%
Rs. 6 Cr
21
@
@Inchartered by Deep Water Services * Includes Project Income of Rs.45 Cr.
Oil fuels growth
22
High Oil Prices Depleting reserves
leading tohigher E&P activities
Shipping
23
2004-05: The year of the ship owner
BDTI was up by 26 %
Second hand values gained 35%
NB price Index up by 32 %
Drybulk
BHMI was up by 32 %
Second hand values gained 45 %
NB prices up by 32%
Container
Earnings were up by 52%
10 yr second hand values 57%
NB prices up by 26%
Tanker
24Source: Clarkson Research
Tanker earnings(Average for each year)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
US
D /
day
VLLC 1990-91 Suezmax 1990-91 Aframax 1900-91 MR Product
Source: Clarkson Research25
Record Second Hand Asset Values( for 5 year old tankers)
15
35
55
75
95
115
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
USD
mn.
VLCC Suezmax Aframax 45K MR Product
Source: Clarkson Research26
Record New Building Prices
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
US
D m
n.
VLCC Suezmax Aframax 47K MR Product
Source: Clarkson Research27
Average Dry bulk earnings(Handymax)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
USD
/ day
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
Handymax Av Trip Earnings
Source: Clarkson Research28
Record Second Hand Values( 5 year old 45K Handymax)
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
US
D m
n
Handymax
Source: Clarkson Research29
Record New Building Handymax Prices
15
20
25
30
35
40
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
USD
mn
Handymax
Source: Clarkson Research30
VLCC AG_Japan WS rates Jan2002 onwards(Monthly High Lows)
0
50
100
150
200
2 50
300
3 50
400
Jan-02 Apr-02 Jul-02 Oct-02 Jan-03 Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05
31
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000Ja
n-02
Feb-
02
Mar
-02
Apr
-02
May
-02
Jun-
02
Jul-0
2
Aug
-02
Sep
-02
Oct
-02
Nov
-02
Dec
-02
Jan-
03
Feb-
03
Mar
-03
Apr
-03
May
-03
Jun-
03
Jul-0
3
Aug
-03
Sep
-03
Oct
-03
Nov
-03
Dec
-03
Jan-
04
Feb-
04
Mar
-04
Apr
-04
May
-04
Jun-
04
Jul-0
4
Aug
-04
Sep
-04
Oct
-04
Nov
-04
Dec
-04
Jan-
05
Feb-
05
Mar
-05
BHMI Jan 2002 onwards(Monthly High Lows)
32
Overview of the year - 2004-05
Tonnage crossed 3 Mn dwt mark (growth of 22%)
Capex committed / spent USD 291 mn
Contracted 3 NB - MR Product tankers and acquired 3 second hand tankers
Contracted 3 modern Handymax dry bulk carriers
Enhanced inchartering exposure
Time Charters renewed at higher rates commencing FY2005-06 onwards
33
Market Outlook CY 2005
Tankers:
? Oil demand growth above 5 year averages but below last year
? 4% growth in tonne mile demand expected
? Expected deliveries - 30 mn dwt; Net fleet growth of 6 -7%
? Quantum of scrapping important
? Healthy spot rates expected
? Asset values to remain firm
34
Growth Rate in Oil demand
2.1%
2.4%
1.4%
1.1%0.8%
3.4%
2.3%
2.5%
0.7%
1.4%
2.1%
2.8%
3.5%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005E
IEA OPEC DoE35
5 year average 1.8%
Market Outlook CY 2005
Dry Bulk:? China to drive trade
? 6 % growth in tonne-mile demand expected
? Expected deliveries - 20 mn dwt; Net fleet growth of 7%
? Scrapping to remain minimal
? Healthy spot rates envisaged
? Asset values to remain firm
36
China’s share in incremental Iron ore trade
37
60
52
38
68
56
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2003 2004 2005 E
(M T
ons.
)
China World37
Potential Risks & UpsidesTANKERS
RISKS ? Slower than anticipated growth in oil demand ? Low scrapping
UPSIDES? Disruption in supply? Harsh winter? Decline in production in consuming areas
DRY BULKRISKS ? Slowdown in steel sector particularly China
UPSIDES? China surprises yet again? Port congestion builds
38
Revenue Visibility: FY 2005-06
Revenue of Rs.705 cr covers OPEX by 1.4x
Crude TankersOpen53%
Covered47%
Rs.222 cr
Product Tankers
Covered70%
Open30% Rs. 387 cr
Drybulk CarriersOpen78%
Covered22%
Rs. 96 cr
39
Business Philosophy
Growth at the “right” price
? Lower break evens enabling sustenance through downturns with strong
upside potential
Managing risks
? Blend of Spot & Period covers
Build capacity through operating leverage
40
Timing acquisitions and ordersGES Tanker Purchases in last 5 FYs
(Basis Commitment in FY)
300
400
500
600
700
Mar
-00
Mar
-01
Mar
-02
Mar
-03
Mar
-04
Mar
-05
19% 12% 11% 31% 27%
Clarksons Second Hand Tanker Price GES Purchase Points
(2) (2)(2)
(2)
(2)(3)
(2)
41
Thank You
Visit us at:www.greatship.com
42