Upload
others
View
6
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Business Economics
Theory of Consumer BehaviorThomas & Maurice, Chapter 5
Herbert Stocker
Institute of International Studies
University of Ramkhamhaeng
&
Department of Economics
University of Innsbruck
Simple Model Economy
Circular flow model
Two actors with different goals
HouseholdsBuy and consume goods and servicesOwn and sell factors of production
FirmsProduce and sell goods and servicesHire and use factors of production
Circular Flow Model
Households
QD
QS
Price
Quantity
Firms
LD
LS
Wage
Working Hours
Modeling Household Decisions
Plan of the chapter
1 Find a general way to describe what consumers(households) want ⇒ preferences
2 Map these preferences in a utility function
3 Describe the choices available (restrictions)⇒ budget constraint
4 Use a technique to perform the optimization:
→ Unconstrained vs. constrained maximization(see Th&M: Ch.3, Appendix)
Result: Demand curve of an individual household!
Consumer Choice
Preferences(exogeneous!)
Utility function
Budgetrestriction
Optimization
Decisions(Demand function)
The description of
Preferences
Preferences
Assumptions
Consumers obtain benefits (utility) from theconsumption of goods & services
Consumers have complete information aboutcharacteristics and availability of all goods &services
Consumers decide between different bundles ofgoods and services!
Preferences
Example for two different bundles:
Bundle P Bundle R
3 kg of rice2 shirts5 beer
1 trip to Paris0 trips to Rome
...10 ballpen
,
7 kg of rice3 shirts4 beer
0 trips to Paris1 trip to Rome
...5 ballpen
Bundles can be written as vectors!
Preferences
If a consumer chooses bundle P when bundle R isavailable, we can say that the consumer prefers bundleP to bundle R. We write
P ≻ R,
or
Bundle P Bundle R
3 kg of rice2 shirts5 beer
1 trip to Paris0 trips to Rome
...10 ballpen
≻
7 kg of rice3 shirts4 beer
0 trips to Paris1 trip to Rome
...5 ballpen
Preferences
All bundles of goods can be ranked based on theirability to provide utility:
P ≻ R: P-bundle is strictly preferred to theR-bundle
R ≻ P: R-bundle is strictly preferred to theP-bundle
P ∼ R: P-bundle is regarded as indifferent to theR-bundle
P � R: P-bundle is at least as good as (preferredto or indifferent to) the R-bundle
Preferences
Preferences are relationships between bundles!
Individuals choose between bundles containingdifferent quantities of goods
In the following we rely on only two goods(Theory also works with more than two goods)
⇒ Assumption: Consumers always prefer more of anygood to less: More is better!
Preferences & Indifference Curves
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wine
Bread
b E
b R
b P
More is better:Bundle R = (3, 3)is preferred to bundleE = (2, 2), whichis preferred overP = (1, 1)
More generally: Theconsumer prefers Eto all combinationsin the magenta box(e.g., P), while allthose in the yellowbox (e.g., R) arepreferred to E
Preferences & Indifference Curves
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Wine
Bread
b E
b R
b P
b
b
b
b
A
B
C
D
What about bundles B & C?
Bundles A & D havemore of one goodbut less of another,compared to E
More informationabout consumerranking is needed!
Consumer might beindifferent betweenA, E and D
We can then connectthose points with anindifference curve
Preferences & Indifference Curves
Any bundle lying above (northeast of) anindifference curve (e.g. C) is preferred to anybundle lying on the indifference curve
Points on the curve are preferred to points below(southwest of) the curve (e.g. B)
Indifference curves slope downward to the right(negatively sloped)
Otherwise, they would violate the assumption thatmore is preferred to less: Bundles with more ofboth goods would be indifferent to baskets withless of both goods
Indifference curves and -map
To describe preferences for all combinations ofgoods/services, we use a set of indifference curves⇒ Indifference map
Each point represents a bundle
of different quantities of bread
and wine
Each indifference curve con-
nects the bundles among which
the consumer is indifferent
Preferredbundles
Wine
Bread
Notice: The higher the indifference curve, the higher an individual’s utility!
Question: Is it possible that indifference curves cross?
Assumptions about preferences
Assumptions about preferences
complete: Any two bundles can be compared
reflexive: Any bundle is at least as good as itself
transitive: If Q ≻ R and R ≻ S , then Q ≻ S
⇒ Preferences can be represented in a utility
function
In addition, it is often useful to assume convexpreferences
Preferences
Convex preferences
bc
bc
Qy
Qx
“Averages are preferred toextremes”
i.e., goods are consumedtogether (e.g., bread andwine)
This is the ‘normal’ case!
Special Preferences
Concave Preferences
bc
bc
Qy
Qx
Goods are normally notconsumed together (e.g.,beer and wine)
→ time horizon!
→ corner solutions!
Special Case: Satiation (bliss point)
→ Not Monotonic!
Above the bliss point util-ity decreases, nobody willconsume there!
b
Bliss-PointQy
Qx
Special Preferences
Perfect Substitutese.g., U(Qx ,Qy) = Qx + Qy
Qy
Qx
Constant rate of trade-off be-tween two goods (e.g., red pen-cils and blue pencils)
Perfect ComplementsU(Qx ,Qy ) = min{Qx ,Qy}
Qy
Qx
Always consumed together infixed proportions (e.g., rightshoes and left shoes; coffee andcream)
The shape of indifference curves
Utility
Utility Function
A utility function assigns a number to each bundle ofgoods so that more preferred bundles get highernumbers, that is,
U(Qx ,Qy) > U(R1,R2)
if and only if
(Qx ,Qy) ≻ (R1,R2)
Utility
Two ways of viewing utility:Old way: measures how “satisfied” you are
not operational, many other problems
New way: summarizes preferences, i.e. theranking of bundles.
Utility functions are just a shorter and more elegantway to summarizes preferences.only the ordering of bundles counts, so this is a theoryof ordinal utilitygives a complete theory of demand; operational
Cobb-Douglas Utility Function
A very simple and ‘well be-haved’ utility function:
Cobb-Douglas Function
U = U(Qx ,Qy ) = QaxQ
by
(a and b are positive param-
eters determining the kind of
preferences)
Example:
U = Q0.3x Q0.7
y
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
0
2.5
5
7.5
10
U
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
Cobb-Douglas Utility Function
Indifference Curves (red) can also be drawn withutility functions → connect points with equal utility:
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
0
2
4
6
8
10
U
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
Cobb-Douglas Utility Function
Indifference Curves (red) are like contour lines:
02
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
02468
10
U
02
4
6
8
10
Q1
Special Preferences
Perfect Substitutes: e.g., U(Qx ,Qy ) = Qx + Qy
⇒ Constant rate of trade-off between the two goods
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
0
2
4
6
8
10
U
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
Qy
Qx
Special Preferences
Perfect Complements: U(Qx ,Qy) = min{Qx ,Qy}⇒ Always consumed together
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
0
2
4
6
8
10
U
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
Qy
Qx
Marginal Utility
Extra utility from some extra consumption of oneof the goods, holding the other good fixed
This is a derivative, but a special kind ofderivative, a partial derivative (∂)
This just means that you look at the derivative ofU(Qx ,Qy) keeping Qy fixed, treating it like aconstant
∂U
∂Qx
≡dU
dQx
∣∣∣∣dQy=0
Marginal Utility
Examples:
U = Qx + Qy ⇒ MUx ≡∂U
∂Qx
= 1
U = QaxQ
1−ay ⇒ MUx ≡
∂U
∂Qx
= aQa−1x Q1−a
y
U = QaxQ
1−ay ⇒ MUy ≡
∂U
∂Qy
= (1− a)QaxQ
−ay
Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)
Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS):Measures how a consumer is willing to trade offconsumption of good X for consumption of Y
⇒ Slope along an indifference curve, keeping utilityconstant
MRSxy ≡ −dQy
dQx
=MUx
MUy
≡∂U∂Qx
∂U∂Qy
(for dU = 0)
Sign: Generally, indifference curves have anegative slope
Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)
Discrete
∆Qy
∆Qy
∆Qy
∆Qx ∆Qx ∆Qx
Qy
Qx
Slope:∆Qy
∆Qx
Infinitesimal
bc
bc
bc
Qy
Qx
Slope:dQy
dQx
MRS diminishes along an indifference curve!
Derivation of MRS
Consider U = U(Qx ,Qy)
Totally differentiating this utility function yields
dU =∂U
∂Qx
dQx +∂U
∂Qy
dQy = 0
Re-arranging this expression gives
−dQy
dQx
=∂U∂Qx
∂U∂Qy
≡ MRSxy �
What we can afford
The Budget Constraint
Budget Constraint
The Budget Constraint
M = PxQx + PyQy
shows for given prices Px and Py all combinations ofQx and Qy a household with given income can afford
No lending and no borrowing
Rewriting gives
Qy =M
Py
−Px
Py
Qx Slope:dQy
dQx
= −Px
Py
Budget Constraint
MPy
∆Qx
∆Qy
M = PxQx + PyQy
Qy =MPy
− Px
PyQx
∆Qy
∆Qx= −Px
Py
Qy
Qx
Changes in income and in prices changes the
shape of the budget line!
Budget Constraint
The price ratio Px/Py shows how many units ofthe second good can be obtained on the market
for one unit of the first good.
Example: when QB is the quantity of bread,and QW the quantity of winethen PB/PW gives the price of one unit bread inunits of wine.
Example:
PB
PW
=
2 Eurokg Bread4 Eurolt Wine
=2 Euro
4 Euro
lt Wine
kg Bread=
0.5 lt Wine
kg Bread
Budget Constraint
012345
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Qy
Qx
α
β
−dQx
dQy
=Py
Px
= tan β = 2
M = PxQx + PyQy
Qy =M
Py
−Px
Py
Qx
−dQy
dQx
=Px
Py
= tanα = 0, 5
one unit of Qx costs 0.5units of Qy (= tanα)!
or, one unit of Qy costs2 units of Qx (= tan β).
Changes in the Budget Line
What happens when all prices and the incomemultiply? (e.g. inflation)
Multiply all prices and income with a constant t:
tM = tPxQx + tPyQy
but this is the same as the initial budget constraint
M = PxQx + PyQy
therefore “a perfectly balanced inflation doesn’tchange consumption possibilities”!
Changes in the Budget Line
What happens when all prices double, but theincome remains constant?
Multiply all prices with a constant t:
M = tPxQx + tPyQy
this is the same as
M
t= PxQx + PyQy
therefore it makes no difference whether all pricesdouble or income is halved, multiplying all prices by aconstant t is just like dividing income by t.
Changes in the Budget Line
What happens when a specific tax is levied onQx?
A specific tax (quantity tax) T raises the price of Qx
to Px + T , d.h. the budget line becomes steeper.
What happens when a ad-valorem subsidy s ispaid on Qx?
the budget line becomes
M = (1− s)PxQx + PyQy
i.e. Qx becomes cheaper, the budget line flatter!
Changes in the Budget Line
What happens when the consumer gets one unit of Qx
for free?
0
1
2
3
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
Changes in the Budget Line
What happens when the consumer gets the second twounits of Qx for half the price of the first two units?
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Qy
Qx
Combining preferences and budget constraint
Optimal Choice
Decisions (in a neoclassical perspective)
Preferences(exogeneous!)
Utility function
Budgetrestriction
Optimization
Decisions(Demand function)
Decisions: neoclassical point of view
Preferences
U = U(Qx ,Qy)
M = PxQx + PyQy
max : U(Qx ,Qy )s.t. M = PxQx + PyQy
L = U(Qx ,Qy) + λ[M − PxQx − PyQy ]
Q∗x = Qx(Px ,Py ,M),
Q∗y = Qy (Px ,Py ,M)
Consumer ChoiceCobb-Douglas utility function and linear budgetconstraint
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q2
0
2
4
6
8
10
U
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1
Optimization
Problem
maxQx ,Qy
U(Qx ,Qy)
s.t.: M = PxQx + PyQy
Two possibilities for optimization
Substitution method (rather awkward)
Lagrange method (simple and elegant)
Lagrange Method
Joseph Louis Lagrange (1736 - 1813):
an Italian-French mathe-matician and astronomerwho made important con-tributions to all fieldsof analysis and numbertheory was arguably thegreatest mathematician ofthe 18th century.
Developed a simplemethod for constrained
optimization.
Lagrange Method
Step 1: Problem
maxQx ,Qy
U(Qx ,Qy)
s.t.: M = PxQx + PyQy
Step 2: Lagrange function(goal function plus Lagrange multiplier λ timesthe restriction in implicit form)
L = U(Qx ,Qy) + λ [M − PxQx − PyQy ]︸ ︷︷ ︸
=0
Lagrange Method
Step 3: Set partial derivatives of the Lagrangefunction with respect to the endogenous(decision) variables Qx and Qy as well as theLagrange multiplier λ equal to zero:
∂L
∂Qx
=∂U
∂Qx
− λPx!= 0
∂L
∂Qy
=∂U
∂Qy
− λPy!= 0
∂L
∂λ= M − PxQx − PyQy
!= 0
⇒ First order conditions (FOC)
Lagrange Method
Step 4: Solve the equation system for theendogenous variables Qx , Qy and λ
Q∗x = Qx(Px ,Py ,M), Q∗
y = Qy (Px ,Py ,M)
λ∗ = λ(Px ,Py ,M)
The solutions to Q∗x and Q∗
y are the demand
functions for an individual household
Describe the optimal decisions of an householdunder given restrictions
Lagrange Method: Example
U = U(Qx ,Qy ) = QxQy
With M = PxQx + PyQy , we have
L = QxQy + λ[M − PxQx − PyQy ]
The FOC read as
∂L
∂Qx
= Qy − λPx!= 0 (1)
∂L
∂Qy
= Qx − λPy!= 0 (2)
∂L
∂λ= M − PxQx − PyQy
!= 0 (3)
Lagrange Method: Example
From (1) and (2), we have
Qy
Qx
=Px
Py
or Qy =Px
Py
Qx
Inserting Qy in (3) gives
M − PxQx − Py
(Px
Py
)
Qx = 0
Solving for Qx we obtain demand for X
Q∗x =
M
2Px
Similarly, demand for Y is Q∗y = M
2Py
Optimal Choice
The FOC allow some more insights in the problem ofoptimal consumer choice
L = U(Qx ,Qy) + λ [M − PxQx − PyQy ]
∂L
∂Qx
=∂U
∂Qx
− λPx!= 0
∂L
∂Qy
=∂U
∂Qy
− λPy!= 0
∂L
∂λ= M − PxQx − PyQy
!= 0
⇒ λ =∂U∂Qx
Px
=
∂U∂Qy
Py
orMUx
Px
=MUy
Py
Example
Suppose, M = 140. All income is spend on 20 units of X withPX = 4, and on 30 units of Y with PY = 2:140 = 4 · 20 + 2 · 30
Further, assume that MUx = 20 and MUy = 16
MUx
Px= 20
4= 5 < 8 = 16
2=
MUy
Py
It is optimal for the consumer to spend more money on Y :
Spending one EUR on Y increases utility by 8 units
Reducing consumption of X by one unit induces a utility loss of only 5units
Note: Budget remains constant at 140
⇒ Consumer maximizes utility if income is allocated in a way that
the marginal utility per money unit spent on each good is
identical
Optimal Choice
Since on an indifference curve utility is constant bydefinition it follows
dU = 0 = MUxdQx +MUydQy
Hence,
MRS = −dQy
dQx
=MUx
MUy
Therefore:
Px
Py
=∂U∂Qx
∂U∂Qy
≡MUx
MUy
= −dQy
dQx
≡ MRSxy
Optimal Choice
0
2
4
68
10
x1
0
2
4
68
10 x2
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
2
4
68
10
x1
0
2
4
68
10 x2
MRS = dQy
dQx
= MUx
MUy
= −Px
Py
A
Good X (Qx) →
←
Good
Y(Q
y )
Uti
lity
(U)
Indifferencecurves
Budget-
constraint
Utility function
Optimal Choice
Condition for optimality: MRS = Price ratio
Qy
Qx
Slope:dQy
dQx
∣∣∣dU=0
Slope: −Px
Py
∣∣∣dM=0
bc
bcbc
bc
Income-
Consumption-Curve
Optimal Choice
Implications of MRS condition:
Why do we care that MRS = − price ratio?
If everyone faces the same prices, then everyonehas the same local trade-off between the twogoods. This is independent of income and tastes.
Since everyone locally values the trade-off thesame, we can make policy judgments. Is it worthsacrificing one good to get more of the other?Prices serve as a guide to relative marginalvaluations!
MRS condition: Recap
The MRS is an indicator for the willingness to pay
A budget constraint shows the ability to pay
When we combine the MRS with the ability to
pay, i.e., the budget constraint, we can derivedemand
Demand and Changes in Income
Demand and Changes in Income
Income-consumptioncurve: Normal good
Clothes
Food
Income-Consumption
Curve
Engel Curve: Normalgood
Income
Food
EngelCurve
Demand and Changes in Income
Inferior good
Beefsteak
Hamburger
Income-Consumption
Curve
Engel Curve: Inferiorgood
Income
Hamburger
EngelCurve
b
normal
inferior
Demand and Changes in Price
→ Demand Curves
Cobb-Douglas Preferences
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Px
Qx
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
bc
maxQx ,Qy
U(Qx ,Qy ) = QxQy
s.t.: M = PxQx + PyQy
Budget constraint
for M = 4, Py = 1 : ⇒ 4 = PxQx + 1Qy
Qy = 4− PxQx
Px = 4, 4, 2, 1,33, 1, 0,8, 0,5, Solu-tion:
Q∗
x =M
2Px
=2
Px
This is the usual demand curveQD
x = Q(Px ,M)
Special Cases
The usual methods for maximization (e.g., Lagrangemethod) are not applicable when preferences areconcave or indifference curves are not differentiable inthe relevant point (e.g., kinky, linear, . . . )
Examples:
Perfect Substitutes (⇒ corner solution)
Perfect Complements
An analytical solution is in these cases more difficult(i.e., Kuhn-Tucker conditions)
Perfect Substitutes
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Px
Qx
bcbc
bc bc bc
maxQx ,Qy
U(Qx ,Qy ) = Qx + Qy
s.t. M = PxQx + PyQy
[Graph: M = 3 und Py = 1]
MRS = −dQy
dQx
= 1,Px
Py
= 33/2, 1, 3/4, 3/5
Q∗
x =
0 wennPx > Py[
0, MPx
]
if Px = Py ,
MPx
if Px ≤ Py .
Perfect Complements
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Px
Qx
bc
bc
bcbc
maxQx ,Qy
U(Qx ,Qy ) = min{Qx ,Qy}
s.t. M = PxQx + PyQy
[Graph: M = 4, Py = 1]Lagrange not applicable!!!Insert efficiency-condition Qx = Qy in bud-get constraint:
M = (Px + Py )Qx
Q∗
x =M
Px + Py
Preferences and Demand
The kind of assumed preferences determines theproperties of the demand functions!For example, Cobb-Douglas preferences imply
a linear income-consumption curvea horizontal price-consumption curvethe price elasticity of demand is always −1the income elasticity of demand is always +1cross price elasticities are always zeroexpenditure shares are always constant
Effects of Price Changes
Slutsky- and Hicks Decomposition
Consumer Choices: Examples
The theory of consumer choice, inter alia, addressesthe following questions:
What happens with labor supply when wagesincrease?
Do people save more when interest rates go up?
Do the poor prefer to receive cash or in-kindtransfers?
Do all demand curves slope downward?
Price Changes
A fall in the price of a good has two effects:
First, relative prices change
Second, the purchasing power changes
Slutsky-decomposition: What happens withdemand, when relative prices change, but the
purchasing power is held constant?
Hicks-decomposition: What happens withdemand, when relative prices change, but the
utility is held constant?
Slutsky-decomposition
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
max U = QxQx
s.t. M = PxQx + PyQy
(for M = 4 and Py = 1)
bc bc
bc
SE IE
Optimal decision when Px = 4:Qx = 0.5, Qy = 2
Optimal decision when Px = 1:Qx = 2, Qy = 2
Slutsky Substitution Effect(=SE): new price ratio, butconstant purchasing power!
Income effect (=IE): constantprice ratio, but purchasingpower increases!
Hicks-Decomposition
0
1
2
3
4
0 1 2 3 4
Qy
Qx
max U = QxQx
s.t. M = PxQx + PyQy
(for M = 4 and Py = 1)
bc bc
bc
SE IE
Optimal decision when Px = 4:Qx = 0.5, Qy = 2
Optimal decision when Px = 1:Qx = 2, Qy = 2
Hicks Substitution Effect(=SE): new price ratio, butconstant utility!
Income Effect (=IE): constantprice ratio, but higher income!
Substitution- and Income Effects
When preferences are convex the substitutioneffect can never be positive!
The income effect can either be positive ornegative
If the income effect is negative ⇒ inferior goods
If the income effect is negative and larger as thesubstitution effect ⇒ Giffen-good
Giffen-Good
Qy
Qx
bc
bc
bcbc
SE
IE
TE
Although Qx be-comes cheaper lessof Qx is demanded!
Market Demand
Market Demand
Market Demand, D, is the horizontal sum ofindividual demands
Dx = Q1x (Px ,Py ,M
1) + Q2x (Px ,Py ,M
2)
+ · · ·QNx (Px ,Py ,M
N)
Note: The subscript denotes good x and y , the superscript consumer i ∀i = 1, 2, ...,N
Market Demand
Attention: Quantities can never be negative, onlyzero!
0
1
2
3
0 1 2 3 4 5 61.5
P
Q2.5 5.5
The market demand function
has kinks!Q
d1= 1 − P
Qd2
= 3 − 1.5P
Qd3
= 1.5 − 0.5P
D =
0 forP ≥ 3
1.5 − 0.5P for 2 ≤ P ≤ 3
4.5 − 2P for 1 ≤ P ≤ 2
5.5 − 3P for 0 ≤ P ≤ 1