37
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82, No. 2, pp. 683-719, April 1992 SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY, QUEBEC, EARTHQUAKES BY DAVID M. BOORE AND GAIL M. ATKINSON ABSTRACT Source spectra are obtained for the 1988 Saguenay, Quebec, earthquake (m N ~- 6.5), its foreshock (m N = 4.8), and largest aftershock (m N = 4.1), using recordings from analog and digital seismographs on rock sites at epicentral distances from 40 to 700 km. The source spectra of the foreshock and the aftershock are well matched by a single-corner-frequency ~-2 model, with seismic moments of 2.2 x 1022 and 2.2 x 1021 dyne-cm, respectively, and a stress parameter of 65 bars for both events. By contrast, the spectrum of the mainshock differs dramatically from this simple shape. A stress parameter of 500 bars is required to match the observed high-frequency amplitudes, using the seismic moment determined from teleseismic observations as a constraint. This single-corner-frequency model, however, overestimates amplitudes at frequen- cies near 1 Hz by a factor of about 2. The relative radiation of short- and long-period energy for the mainshock is inconsistent with that from other intraplate earthquakes; the fore- and aftershocks appear typical in this regard. The extraction of source spectra from the regional data required a careful examination of attenuation. Azimuthal variations were observed, with the attenu- ation being most severe to the southeast (normal to the St. Lawrence Valley and the dominant structural grain of the region). The St. Lawrence River coincides in part with the boundary between the Grenville and Appalachian tectonic provinces, and the difference in attenuation may be related to the difference in tectonic province. The distribution of data, however, makes it difficult to obtain good estimates of the attenuation in each province. Lumping the data from both provinces and the three earthquakes together results in an anelastic attenuation factor given by Q = 755f °'s for frequencies, f, from 0.6 to 18 Hz, using data at distances, R, beyond 100 km from the sources and assuming 1 I ~ geometrical spreading. This attenuation is similar to that obtained in a number of other studies in the general area. Three-component recordings were available at a few stations, and from these the following frequency-dependent ratio of horizontal-to-vertical motion was obtained: HI V = 1.14-I- 0.118f- 0.00638f 2, for frequencies from 0.2 to 15 Hz. Different methods of correcting observations for attenuation, in order to derive source spectra, were examined. Source spectra derived by simple regression analyses of observed data, assuming a uniform medium, are very similar to those based on a more complicated synthetic seismogram correction, which accounts for wave propagation in a layered Earth. INTRODUCTION Predictions of ground motion in eastern North America are hindered by a lack of data for the large events of most engineering interest. For this reason, the occurrence of the Saguenay, Quebec, earthquake on 25 November 1988 is of exceptional interest. With a short-period magnitude (mN) of 6.5, this is the largest earthquake to have occurred in eastern North America within the last 50 years. The earthquake is an enigma in several respects: it was deeper than most events (28 km rather than 5 to 15), it occurred in a region essentially devoid of seismicity (North et al., 1989), and the high-frequency spectral level of 683

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82, No. 2, pp. 683-719, April 1992

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY, QUEBEC, EARTHQUAKES

BY DAVID M. BOORE AND GAIL M. ATKINSON

ABSTRACT

Source spectra are obtained for the 1988 Saguenay, Quebec, earthquake (m N ~- 6.5), its foreshock (m N = 4.8), and largest aftershock (m N = 4.1), using recordings from analog and digital seismographs on rock sites at epicentral distances from 40 to 700 km. The source spectra of the foreshock and the aftershock are well matched by a single-corner-frequency ~ -2 model, with seismic moments of 2.2 x 1022 and 2.2 x 1021 dyne-cm, respectively, and a stress parameter of 65 bars for both events. By contrast, the spectrum of the mainshock differs dramatically from this simple shape. A stress parameter of 500 bars is required to match the observed high-frequency amplitudes, using the seismic moment determined from teleseismic observations as a constraint. This single-corner-frequency model, however, overestimates amplitudes at frequen- cies near 1 Hz by a factor of about 2. The relative radiation of short- and long-period energy for the mainshock is inconsistent with that from other intraplate earthquakes; the fore- and aftershocks appear typical in this regard.

The extraction of source spectra from the regional data required a careful examination of attenuation. Azimuthal variations were observed, with the attenu- ation being most severe to the southeast (normal to the St. Lawrence Valley and the dominant structural grain of the region). The St. Lawrence River coincides in part with the boundary between the Grenville and Appalachian tectonic provinces, and the difference in attenuation may be related to the difference in tectonic province. The distribution of data, however, makes it difficult to obtain good estimates of the attenuation in each province. Lumping the data from both provinces and the three earthquakes together results in an anelastic attenuation factor given by Q = 755f °'s for frequencies, f, from 0.6 to 18 Hz, using data at distances, R, beyond 100 km from the sources and assuming 1 I ~ geometrical spreading. This attenuation is similar to that obtained in a number of other studies in the general area. Three-component recordings were available at a few stations, and from these the following frequency-dependent ratio of horizontal-to-vertical motion was obtained: H I V = 1.14-I- 0 .118 f - 0.00638f 2, for frequencies from 0.2 to 15 Hz.

Different methods of correcting observations for attenuation, in order to derive source spectra, were examined. Source spectra derived by simple regression analyses of observed data, assuming a uniform medium, are very similar to those based on a more complicated synthetic seismogram correction, which accounts for wave propagation in a layered Earth.

INTRODUCTION

Predictions of ground motion in eastern North America are hindered by a lack of data for the large events of most engineering interest. For this reason, the occurrence of the Saguenay, Quebec, ear thquake on 25 November 1988 is of exceptional interest. With a short-period magnitude (mN) of 6.5, this is the largest ear thquake to have occurred in eastern North America within the last 50 years. The ear thquake is an enigma in several respects: it was deeper than most events (28 km ra ther than 5 to 15), it occurred in a region essentially devoid of seismicity (North et al., 1989), and the high-frequency spectral level of

683

Page 2: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

684 D. M. B O O R E AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

the radiation at the source was surprisingly large. The mainshock was preceded by a foreshock with m g = 4.8. There were only a few significant aftershocks, the largest of which had a magnitude of m N = 4.1. These events were also deep (25 to 30 km) but, in contrast to the mainshock, their radiation was not particularly rich in high-frequency energy. (Information about the events is summarized in Table 1; the terms "foreshock" and "aftershock" will refer to the events in the table.)

The earthquakes were well recorded on a variety of instruments. The main- shock was recorded on a network of three-component, film-recording strong-mo- tion accelerographs (hereafter referred to as the SMA network) at distances of 40 to 150 km (Munro and Weichert, 1989). Regional seismographic stations of the digital Eastern Canada Telemetred Network (ECTN) recorded the foreshock and aftershocks in addition to the mainshock, although the L g phase of the mainshock was clipped at the closest stations. The mainshock was also recorded at about a dozen digital accelerograph stations in the northeastern United States (NCEER network) (Friberg et a l . , 1988). The locations of recording stations with respect to the focus of the earthquakes (the events are approxi- mately co-located) are shown on Figure 1. The mainshock was recorded at teleseismic distances and on a broadband instrument at Harvard (Zhao and Helmberger, 1992).

The Saguenay mainshock has been studied by several authors: Boatwright and Choy (1992) derived the source spectra up to a frequency of 2 Hz from teleseismic P waves; Somerville et al. (1990) modeled the event using a combination of teleseismic and strong-motion data; and both Gariel and Jacob (1989) and Ou and Herrmann (1990) fit models to the peak acceleration data. The Boatwright and Choy and the Somerville et al. studies find that the event is not well described by a simple e-2 source model, and the results of all the studies are consistent with the conclusion that the mainshock was particularly energetic at high frequencies. The anomalous high-frequency energy manifests itself in different ways for each of these studies: to model the observed high- frequency amplitudes, Gariel and Jacob use a moment almost 10 times larger than the moment derived from long-period data at teleseismic distances; Ou and Herrmann use the observed moment, with a high stress parameter (320 bars); Somerville et a l . ' s model uses the observed moment with an overall stress drop of 160 bars, but they base their source-time function on the recording at SMA station $17, thus guaranteeing the enrichment of high-frequency motions neces-

TABLE 1

SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES: LOCATIONS AND MAGNITUDES

Event MM/DD/YY HH:MM:SS Latitude (°N) Longitude (°W) Depth (kin) m N M

FS 11/23/88 09:11:27 48.13 71.20 28 4.8 4.2 MS 11/25/88 03:46:04 48.12 71.18 29 6.5 5.8 AS 11/26/88 03:38:08 48.14 71.30 30 4.1 3.5

Epicenter information from Geological Survey of Canada (R. WetmiUer, oral comm., 1989, 1991). Depths of 26 k m for the MS and 25 k m for the AS have been reported by Somerville et al. (1990) and Nor th et al . (1989), respectively.

m N (Nuttl i magnitude; also known as m b L g ) from North et al. (1989). M (moment magnitude) for the FS and AS from the determinat ions of seismic moment in this

paper and for the MS from G. EkstrSm (personal comm. to J. Boatwright , 1991).

Page 3: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 685

4 9 ° N I I I i

8 1 6 5 5 O N I I I I I I I I I I I I $ 1 7 I : . . . . .-.']"

• -...'. '.! ".-... ~.L-

48 ° - - ~] /~: , -

A 2 0 K M

4 7 ° L.J ~ : ~ l y ~

{ I I

- - c~." 7 2 ° 7 1 ° 7 0 ° 6 9 o w A

. . . . - . . - . . . . . . . . , .

5 0 ° . - ' . . . . . . . . . . . . .:

A

- i A ~ A A A

- A A

4 5 ° _ a . . . . . . . . . . -.!-.-.

- A r - I

f - 1 0 0 K M _ I I

4 0 ° I I I I I I '1 I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I .I

?,4 o 7 2 ° 6 0 ° W

Fro. 1. Map showing epicenter of mainshock (star) and locations of the strong-motion analog recorders (filled circles), ECTN stations (triangles), and NCEER stations (squares). The landward edge of the shoreline is stippled. While the locations of the stations are accurately plotted, the shoreline has been depicted crudely (except on the inset); it only serves as a rough reference to geographic features. The heavy line represents the boundary between the Grenville tectonic province (to the left) and the Appalachian tectonic province (to the r ight) . T h e aftershock and foreshock locations were located within 10 km of the mainshock and have not been plotted in this figure.

sary to fit the peak accelerations and peak velocities. The enrichment of high-frequency motions is also supported by the simple observation that the short-period magnitude, m N = 6 .5 , is unusually large relative to the moment magnitude, M = 5.8.

The complicated shape and the enhanced high-frequency radiation of the mainshock are not reflected in the simple source model assumed in the deriva- tion of theoretical ground motion relations for eastern North America (Boore and Atkinson, 1987; Toro and McGuire, 1987; Atkinson and Boore, 1990). For this reason, the ground motions from the Saguenay earthquake were substan- tially larger at high frequencies than predicted by the published relations, as shown in Figure 2.

Our primary goal in this study is to obtain the source spectra of the largest Saguenay earthquakes. To do this, we use the S and L g phases on all available

Page 4: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

686 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

I • SMA 0 ECTN -F NCEER -- Atkinson & Boore, 1990 )

1 0 0 . 0 ( ~ I i

~" 10.0 O)

1.0

0.10

0.01

mlmmm + •

%o o

1 . 0 s e c 0 . 2 s e c o

i,0 , l , 100 1000 10 100 1000

R (km) R (km)

FIG. 2. Pseudo-relative velocity spectra (PSV) for 5%-damped oscillators with periods of 1.0 and 0.2 sec. The symbols are values computed from data recorded on the indicated networks, and the solid line is the prediction using the equations in Atkinson and Boore (1990), using M = 5.8. The abscissa is hypocentral distance. The SMA and NCEER points are the average of the logarithms of the PSV from the two horizontal components; the ECTN values are from vertical components (horizontal components are not available), corrected for the difference between horizontal and vertical components by adding 0.12 and 0.20 to the log PSV values, for the 1.0- and 0.2-sec oscillators, respectively. These correction factors were guided by the results in the text and by the log H / V values computed from the SMA and NCEER data (0.08 and 0.17 for 1 sec and 0.08 and 0.34 for 0.2 sec). Data from more NCEER stations are available at greater distances, but these data exhibit obvious quantization steps and have been excluded for that reason (see Atkinson, 1991, for an example).

componen t s of the SMA and E C T N s t a t ions to der ive source spec t r a for the foreshock, m a i n s h o c k , a n d a f t e r shock for f requenc ies f rom abou t 0.5 to 20 Hz. The source spec t r a a re ob t a ined for a h ighe r - f r equency r a n g e t h a n t h a t covered by p rev ious s tud ies of t he m a i n s h o c k , l a rge ly because we use d i f ferent da t a and ana lys i s me thods . The source spec t r a for t he fore- and a f t e r shocks h a v e not been p rev ious ly s tudied. We f i rs t der ive t he source s p e c t r u m of the m a i n s h o c k f rom the closest recording, u s ing a s imple model to correct for w a v e p r o p a g a t i o n effects. We t h e n p r e s e n t bo th the f r equency -dependen t a t t e n u a t i o n m e a s u r e d for the d o m i n a n t e n e r g y beyond 100 k m a n d the r a t io of hor izon ta l to ve r t i ca l mot ion . This i n f o r m a t i o n is used to der ive the source spec t ra for the th ree events , u s ing d a t a recorded a t m a n y d i s tances and az imuths . Th ree di f ferent schemes for r e l a t i n g the obse rved spec t ra to the source spec t r a a re employed , two of wh ich use syn the t i c s e i s m o g r a m ca lcu la t ions to correct for the source exc i t a t ion and w a v e p r o p a g a t i o n in a l aye r ed E a r t h . F ina l ly , we discuss in a n append ix some i n t r i g u i n g di f ferences in h igh- f requency spec t ra l decay of records f rom the SMA s ta t ions .

INITIAL ANALYSIS OF THE MAINSHOCK FROM SMA DATA

To ob ta in a n in i t i a l e s t i m a t e of the source s p e c t r u m of the ma inshock , we use t he d a t a col lected a t s t a t i on S16. A t a n ep icen t r a l d i s tance of 43 km, th i s is t he SMA s t a t i on closest to t he source. The a d v a n t a g e of u s ing th i s s t a t ion is t h a t p a t h effects should be min imized ; as d e m o n s t r a t e d by the syn the t i c s e i s m o g r a m s of Somerv i l l e et al. (1990), the d i rec t S w a v e s should domina t e the record. (As we no te in Append ix A, however , the e n e r g y in t he record is

Page 5: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR T H E 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 687

drawn out over a much longer time than predicted by the synthetic seismo- grams; this is presumably due to strong scattering in the region. Fig. A2, however, shows that the spectra are not particularly sensitive to the presence of the coda). Another advantage to using S16 is that our calculations of the radiation patterns for a collection of published focal mechanisms (summarized in Haddon, 1992) show that neither the direct S V nor the direct S H waves are near nodes.

The source spectrum of the mainshock was estimated from the two horizontal components of the S wave recorded at $16, using the following relation between the source spectrum (Sa(f)) and the observed acceleration spectrum (Aobs(f)) (e.g., Boore and Atkinson, 1987):

S a ( f ) = [4Vpo/~03R] exp ~ o A°~8' (1)

where Po and /~0 are density and shear velocity near the source, R is the hypocentral distance, and the frequency-dependent attenuation parameter Q is determined by the regression analysis of the data, as discussed later (at the short distance to station S16 the Q correction is relatively unimportant; it corresponds to a factor of about 1.3 at 30 Hz). Equation (1) was derived with the assumption that the product of the free-surface factor, the radiation pattern, and the factor partitioning the motion into the horizontal components is unity. Synthetic seismogram calculations, discussed later, give support to this simple connection between the observed and the source spectra, at least for station $16. The source spectra estimated from the two horizontal components at S16 are shown in Figure 3.

Theoretical source spectra are compared with the estimated source spectrum in Figure 3. The curves show the theoretical spectra for the constant-stress parameter, single-corner-frequency Brune (1970) model for a suite of stress parameters (the equations used for the theoretical curves are given in Appendix B). The assumed moment for the comparisons is 6.3 × 1024 dyne-cm (G. EkstrSm, personal comm., 1990, based on broadband teleseismic data). (Other values for the mainshock include 5 x 1024 (Somerville et al., 1990), 8 × 1024 (North et al., 1989), and 8.9 x 1024 (Boatwright and Choy, 1992).) The values for the mate- rial properties Po and ~o were taken from Somerville et al.'s (1990) velocity model for the region.

Comments on Spectral Shape and Ampli tude

The comparison in Figure 3 contains the essence of our conclusions regarding the mainshock source spectrum, which are merely reinforced by the more detailed analyses presented subsequently. The figure shows that the source is deficient in spectral amplitude around 1 Hz and is enriched in amplitude at higher frequencies. In particular, a stress parameter in excess of 200 bars is needed to explain the spectral level at high frequencies, but a simple o~ -2 model with this stress parameter and the teleseismic moment would greatly overpre- dict amplitudes at lower frequencies. The S16 spectrum could be fit by an ¢0 -2 model (note that t h e spectra are level at high frequencies, as expected for the commonly-used ~-2 source model), but the required M o is much lower than the value obtained from the longer-period teleseismic data, and the required stress

Page 6: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

688 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

1 0 26

u)

E 0

t -

"tD v .,_; 1 0 2s

0

O9

Q) 0 0 <

0 =,_ 1 0 24

0

I

$ 1 6 - T r a n s v e r s e

- - $ 1 6 - R a d i a l

800 bars

400

200

Mo= 1 O0

6.3x 1024

dyne-cm

I I

0.1 1.0 10 .0 1 0 0 , 0

F r e q ( H z )

FIG. 3. Source acceleration spectra (as defined in equation B1) computed for the two horizontal components, rotated into transverse and radial directions, of the station ($16) closest to the mainshock (43 km epicentral distance). A low-cut filter at a frequency of 0.67 Hz was employed in the processing of the records (Munro and Weichert, 1989), and therefore the spectra have not been shown below that frequency. The observed acceleration spectra were computed using a 20-sec window; they were smoothed and reduced to source acceleration spectra by using equation (1) with Po = 2.9 gm/cm s and fl0 = 3.7 km/sec. This is the simplest correction factor, but synthetic calcula- tions using a layered Earth model show that the assumption is adequate for the purposes of this figure. The light lines show theoretical spectra for the indicated moment and stress parameters.

p a r a m e t e r exceeds 1 kba r . We accept the t e l e se i smic e s t i m a t e of the m o m e n t and the re fo re a re led to the conclus ion t h a t for the m a i n s h o c k the source s p e c t r u m is not cons i s t en t w i t h a n ¢o -2 mode l , a f ind ing also r eached by B o a t w r i g h t a n d Choy (1992). A n a l y s i s of d a t a f r o m the nex t closest s t a t ion (S17) leads to s im i l a r conclus ions (see Fig. A1 for a plot of the Four i e r spec t ra f rom S17).

The Case of the Missing Moment

The low a m p l i t u d e s a r o u n d 1 Hz are m a n i f e s t e d in the u n u s u a l l y l a rge low-frequency cutoffs used in t he p rocess ing of the s t rong-mot ion records. These cutoff f requenc ies r a n g e f rom 0.33 to 0.80 Hz; s t a t ion S16 h a d a cutoff f r equency of 0.67 Hz (Munro and Weicher t , 1989). These cutoff f requenc ies were based on a compar i son of t he s p e c t r u m f r o m the e a r t h q u a k e s igna l w i th t he s p e c t r u m ob ta ined by p rocess ing one of t he two digi t ized f ixed- t races as if t h e y were acce l e rog rams ( sub t r ac t i ng the o the r f ixed t r ace to r e m o v e long-per iod errors) . The l a rge va lue of the cutoff f requenc ies used in the h igh-pass f i l ter prec ludes an i nves t i ga t i on of the b e h a v i o r of the spec t r a a t low f requenc ies f rom the s t a n d a r d processed acce le rograms . To f u r t h e r i n v e s t i g a t e the Case of the Miss- ing Momen t , we ob t a ined the r a w digi t ized d a t a (for all the SMA da ta ) and did

Page 7: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 689

our own processing. Unfortunately, the results are equivocal. Although there is no question that the spectral ampli tudes are low around 1 Hz, the spectra of the unfiltered data generally f lat ten toward lower frequencies and approach the levels expected from the seismic moment (a flattening of a spectrum does not by itself imply the existence of a noise floor). They also approach (but are usually somewhat above) the noise est imates obtained from the fixed-trace analysis. In general, we support the cutoff frequencies used by Munro and Weichert (1989), but there is the possibility that useful signal is present at lower frequencies. As this portion of the spectrum is less important to us than the higher-frequency portion, we have not pursued the mat ter further.

Because of the possibility of azimuthally dependent source and propagation effects, we are reluctant to base our conclusions about the source spectrum of the mainshock on just the few closest stations. Fortunately, by combining the SMA and ECTN data we can est imate the source spectrum for a range of azimuths exceeding 270 °. A number of these data are at distances for which the Lg is the dominant phase. As noted by Shin and Herrmann (1987), the Lg phase at regional distances might actually be a more robust indicator of source properties than near-source data: it samples more of the focal sphere and provides a wide range of incident angles at receiver stations. For these reasons, we proceed in the rest of the paper to incorporate all of the SMA and ECTN data in an est imate of the source spectrum. (The NCEER data are excluded due to the low resolution at most stations, as discussed by Atkinson (1991).) This also allows us to determine the source spectra for the foreshock and aftershock, which were not recorded on the SMA stations.

ANALYSIS OF COMBINED DATA

Data Processing

Three-component data from the SMA network for the Saguenay mainshock were digitized and corrected for instrument response by Munro and Weichert (1989). Most ECTN stations record only the vertical component. The ECTN records were corrected for instrument response using the transfer functions provided by W. Shannon (personal comm., 1989) to obtain the Fourier accelera- tion spectra. For data from both the SMA and the ECTN stations, a tapered window with a duration of approximately 20 sec (longer for stations at greater distances) beginning at the onset of the Lg phase was used to window the strongest shaking. The optimal window length involves a trade-off between short durations, which give the best signal-to-noise ratio, and long durations, which are required to include all of the significant motion at large distances. Tests of the sensitivity of the spectra to the selected window length indicate that the selected window length is not a critical factor.

Noise is generally not an important consideration in the analysis of SMA data, due to the strength of the signal. For the ECTN data, however, care must be taken to ensure that an adequate signal-to-noise ratio is maintained for all analyzed data. This was accomplished through inspection of the noise spectrum for each record, obtained from a sample taken immediately before the Lg-wave onset.

The appropriate window selection for the analysis of noise warrants discus- sion. Analysis of the Lg phase is often confounded by the high-frequency Sn phase, and by the P coda. At close distances, the Sn phase is embedded in the

Page 8: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

I .00

D. M. BOORE A N D G. M. A T K I N S O N

Lg signal, or precedes it by only a short time, so that the Lg phase begins within the Sn coda. At larger distances, there is a good separation of Sn from Lg, enabling Lg to be more easily isolated. When pre-Lg "noise" samples are taken such that much of the Sn phase is included, it appears that the high- frequency portion of the Lg spectrum (e.g., 3 Hz and above) is not significantly stronger than this "noise" signal. This is shown on Figure 4. Note, however, that in the frequency range 3 to 15 Hz the Lg spectrum does not rise with increasing frequency, as would be expected if it were contaminated by noise; note also that the "noise" spectrum actually exceeds the Lg spectrum for all frequencies above 3 Hz. These observations suggest that a pre-Lg noise sample that includes Sn overestimates the actual noise contained in the Lg signal. For this reason, one might choose to define the noise as that which precedes all seismic signal, accepting that in some distance ranges the Lg spectrum will contain some or all of the Sn phase.

: ....... A ..... i B i i

E O

v

E 0 . 3 2

t-" 0

0.10

<

0 . 0 3 2

0.1

690

0 50 100 150 2 0 0 T i m e ( s e c )

I

~ o.°,

\ : • /

: / \ / A .

: o°

I •

G G N , V e r t i c a l C o m p o n e n t

I

I 10 100 F r e q u e n c y ( H z )

FIG. 4. Comparison of P-coda spectrum (dots) including Sn as shown in time window A with Lg spectrum (lines) as shown in time window B. Mainshock recorded at ECTN station GGN (472 km epicentral distance).

Page 9: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 691

An additional consideration in selecting the noise window, however, is ensur- ing consistent treatment of P-coda noise in analyzing the Lg spectral levels. Figure 5 shows bandpassed seismograms from the foreshock at one of the ECTN stations. A high-frequency ringing persists from the P onset throughout the signal (this is more pronounced at some stations than at others). The low- frequency amplitudes of the P coda, by contrast, are small compared to those of the Lg phase• The use of a pre-P noise window therefore may lead to an overestimate of the Lg spectrum at high frequencies. To avoid this potential bias, we have opted to define the Lg noise window as that immediately preceeding the Lg onset. This decision led to the elimination of many of the high-frequency data points, due to their contamination by Sn or the P coda.

Fourier acceleration amplitudes were computed for all records. The ampli- tudes were obtained by correcting the Fourier spectra of the recorded motions

I . . . . . . . . . I . . . . . . . . . I I

6 lb ' ' ' 2'o 3o Time (sec)

FIG. 5. Ban@ass-filtered seismograms from foreshock recorded at ECTN station LPQ (123 km epicentral distance). Records show (from top to bottom): unfiltered velocity, 0.5 to 2, 2 to 7, > 7, and > 15 Hz. Traces have been individually normalized; vertical scale is unimportant for the purposes of this figure.

Page 10: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

6 9 2 D . M . BOORE AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

for the response of the instruments to ground acceleration. The correction factors, normalized to uni ty at 1 Hz, are shown in Figure 6 for the various systems used in the ECTN. We found in general that the corrected spectra were not t rus tworthy above the upper corner frequency for each response, and for that reason the spectra above that corner were not used in the analysis. The amplitudes were smoothed by applying a t r iangular smoothing function with 0.44 Hz half-width to the squared amplitude spectrum and then taking the square root of the result. Spectral values were read off the graphs at a series of seven frequencies equally spaced in log frequency (from 0.56 to 18 Hz). To minimize scatter in ground motion values due to inter-frequency variabili ty (i.e., the locations of peaks and troughs of the spectra), some subjective smooth- ing of the spectra was done in the vicinity of the frequencies for which the spectral values were tabulated.

Attenuation Plots of the Fourier acceleration spectra as a function of distance suggested

that the data may contain high- and low-amplitude subsets. This is not critical to the estimation of source spectra, which are intended to be an average over the focal sphere, but we discuss the issue briefly because it may have some geophysical significance. When plotted on maps (Fig. 7), the subsets appeared to be related to the source-to-station azimuth, with the contours elongated to the southwest. Hough et al. (1989) came to the same conclusion from their analysis of NCEER data. The intensity data (Drysdale, personal comm., 1990) also

1 0 0 0 0 e'- o

",7. 0 Q

o 1 0 0 0 0

ID

E 100

¢.-

N 10

E 0

Z

I I

T y p e I I

. . . . . T y p e I I I

m . _ T y p e I I I I

- - - T y p e I V I I ,' / #

IV

III

, /

I II / / I & II

i I ,<,/

1

I I

0.1 1 10 100

Frequency (Hz)

FIG. 6. The ins t rument correction factor (inverse response to ground acceleration) for the systems used by the ECTN. Most of the stations use system II.

Page 11: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 693

5 6 N -

Foreshock Mainshock

48 t -1 4

-1.4 -1

80 76 72 68 64 W

56 N

52

48

r i t J t i

80 76 72 68 64 W

Aftershock 56 N

4 8 :~ . :":"

-?-3 2.0 2 0 " -2.3 " ' , .,': '

4 4

80 76 72 68 64 W

FIG. 7. Map of the logarithm of the 3-Hz Fourier acceleration spectra for the vertical component of ground motion for the mainshock, foreshock, and aftershock. The landward edge of the shoreline is stippled. The lines are speculative contours, at 0.5 log unit intervals. The nonisotropic radiation is apparent on these figures.

support the existence of an azimuthal dependence of amplitude for the main- shock.

It is tempting to attribute an azimuthal dependence to differences in attenua- tion. The subsets of amplitude seem to correspond to tectonic province, with the motions being larger in the Pre-Cambrian provinces, in which most of the stations are located, than in the Appalachian tectonic province to the southeast (the approximate boundary between the provinces is shown in Fig. 1). On the other hand, the smaller amplitudes correspond to waves traveling perpendicular to the structural grain of the St. Lawrence Valley (i.e., southeast and

Page 12: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

694 D. M. B O O R E A N D G. M. A T K I N S O N

northwest); studies of isoseisma] maps of historical earthquakes suggest that the intensities are elongated in the direction of the structural grain (Armbrus- ter and Seeber, 1987; D. Weichert, personal comm.).

Radiation pattern and source directivity, as well as wave propagation in purely elastic but laterally nonuniform media (including local site amplification or attenuation), can also cause apparent differences in attenuation. To distin- guish between these effects requires many stations along various profiles radiating from the source, a requirement that is only partially met with the recordings of the Saguenay earthquakes.

We have plotted the Fourier acceleration spectra in Figure 8 for three of the seven frequencies used in our analysis; note that the amplitude differences between the data from the three events decrease with increasing frequency, in qualitative agreement with source theory. The filled symbols correspond to stations in the Pre-Cambrian tectonic provinces (primarily the Grenville

102 !

G" G)

E o 10 0

Q- 0.2 cO 1

<

10 .4

1 Hz

" ° " . =T . . L~

o

3 Hz

I

1 0'0 1 0 0 0 n R ( k m )

Q) u)

PreCambrian Provinces E O

• Mainshock

• Foreshock

• Aftershock CL

Appalachian Province cO

O Mainshock o o

[ ] Foreshock <

A Affershoe~

10 0

10 .2

10 .4

O@

10 Hz

I

100 1 0 0 0

FI (km)

FIG. 8. Fourier acceleration spectra for the vertical component of ground motion for the main- shock (circles), foreshock (squares), and aftershock (triangles) as a function of hypocentral distance for three frequencies. The mainshock data include records from the SMA and ECTN networks; the spectra for the other events were obtained from ECTN records only (the SMA network did not record these smaller events). The lines show the a t t enua t ion curves fit to the combined data, using the model in equat ion (2). (Similar analyses were made for four other frequencies evenly spaced in log frequency.) Notice the decreasing separat ion between the curves as frequency is increased, in accord wi th seismological source theory.

Page 13: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A F O R T H E 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 695

province); the other data come from stations in the Appalachian province. The separation between data is most pronounced for the fore- and aftershocks at a frequency of 3 Hz, but overall it is arguable whether the differences are pervasive enough to warrant explicit t rea tment in the estimation of source spectra. We have lumped the data together in the analyses discussed in the rest of the paper.

The at tenuat ion of the waves from the lumped data set has been determined by fitting the following model to the combined foreshock, mainshock, and aftershock data:

l O g A o b ~ = a I " F S + a 2 " M S + a 3 " A S - O . 5 " l o g R - k " R , (2)

where A o b s , a l , a2, a 3 and k are functions of frequency. F S , M S , and A S are variables that take the value 1 if the data are from the fore-, main-, and aftershock, respectively, and 0 otherwise. The coefficient 0.5 is the geometrical spreading factor for surface waves; its application to the data regressions is supported by synthetic calculations described later. In order to measure the at tenuat ion for a phase that nominally follows the same geometrical spreading relation, we used only data beyond 100 km in fitting the model. The resulting coefficients are given in Table 2 and the at tenuat ion curves plotted in Figure 8. Residuals measuring the difference between the observed spectra and the model given by equation (2) are plotted as a function of azimuth and distance in Figures 9 and 10, respectively. Some systematic trends are apparent. For example, on the average the observed values are low for the fore- and after- shocks at azimuths between 45 ° and 135 ° , compared to the motions at azimuths between 180 ° and 270 ° . (This is, of course, consistent with the previous discus- sion of azimuthal changes.) The mainshock shows a different trend, with the largest motions being recorded at azimuths near 180 ° . This trend, which may be due to source directivity, is compromised by the trend with distance shown in Figure 10. Unravel ing the various influences on the residuals is beyond the scope of the paper. The systematic trends revealed in Figures 9 and 10 are not such that they will impact our est imated source spectra in any important way.

For ease of comparison with other est imates of at tenuat ion in the general region, the k values have been converted to Q using the equation in the footnote to Table 2. The values are plotted in the top panel of Figure 11, along with their 68% confidence limits. The frequency dependence of the at tenuation

T A B L E 2

COEFFICIENTS FOR REGRESSIONS OF OBSERVED VERTICAL-CoMPONENT FOURIER SPECTRA

a 1 a 2 a 3 k

f (Hz) (FS) (MS) (AS) (kin - 1) Q~b s Q~red A Q(%)

0.6 - 0 . 9 9 1 0.940 - 1.951 0 .000394 556 560 - 1 1.0 - 0 . 5 5 8 1.332 - 1.522 0 .000559 697 755 - 8 1.8 - 0 . 2 1 5 1.546 - 1 . 0 5 6 0.000595 1165 1018 14 3.2 0.064 1.649 - 0 . 6 2 2 0 .000814 1515 1374 10 5.6 0.332 1.750 - 0 . 2 1 9 0 .001392 1575 1853 - 1 5

10.0 0.378 1.704 - 0 . 0 3 1 0 .001682 2318 2500 - 7 17.8 0.171 1.614 - 0 . 1 4 3 0 .001891 3666 3372 9

* C a l c u l a t e d f rom Q = ( r log e)(f/(kv)), wi t h v = 3.5 k m / s e c . t F r o m Q = 7 5 5 f °-52 (a l ea s t - squa re fit to t h e l o g a r i t h m of t h e v a l u e s in t h e c o l u m n to t h e left).

Page 14: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

1.0

L L

E O

r c

o ._1

i

>

{D

O

O ._J

0.5

0.0

-0 .5

-1 .0

1.0

0.5

0.0

-0 .5

-1 .0

1.0

0.5

0.0

-0 .5

-1 .0 0

, I , I ,

Mainshock- From Regression

47

696 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

I I

Foreshock- From Regression

I

Vert ical Comp

I

I

I I

, I , I

Aftershock- From Regression

Vert ical Comp

I

i I i

5

Vertical Comp

4

® 2

I I !

90 180 270 360

A z i m u t h ( d e g r e e s )

FIG. 9. The residuals of the data about the regression fits, plotted against source-to-station azimuth (clockwise from north). Only stations at distances beyond 100 km are included. The numbers indicate the frequency, increasing from 0.6 Hz for 1" to 17.8 Hz for "7' (the set of seven frequencies is given in the first column of Table 2); the circles are the averages of the residuals over frequency for each station.

is well described by the funct ion Q = 7 5 5 f °'52 (recall t h a t this assumes a geometr ical spread ing of 1 / v / R ) . The der ived Q funct ion is consis tent with, bu t somewha t la rger than , most o ther m e a s u r e m e n t s over s imilar t rave l pa ths (a mix tu re of Shield and Appalach ian) in eas te rn C a n a d a (bottom panel); the appa ren t ly h ighe r Q m a y be a t t r ibu tab le to the l a rger - than-average focal depth. The resul t s are incons is tent wi th the H o u g h et al. (1989) de terminat ions , which were based on the N C E E R da ta f rom the S a g u e n a y ea r thquake . We suspect t h a t this difference is due to the sens i t iv i ty of the i r resul ts to the

Page 15: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 697

1.0

0 .5

0 . 0 7

- 0 . 5

. m

u_ -1 .0 t -

O 1.0 ( , 9

e 9

0 .5

¢r

o 0 .0 . . _ 1

- 0 . 5 m,_

( 3 )

" -1 ,0 O

1.0 O ' )

O

J

0.5

0 .0

-0 .5

-1 .0

t t I ! I I ! I ~ ! I I ! I I I I

Mainshock - From Regression

2 4

6 6

7 4 2

V e r t i c a l Comp • ' " ' ' ' ' I ' ' ' ' ' ' '

I , , , , , , m ! i i i i I i i

Foreshock- From Regression

" ' " | ' ' ° I

I n ! I i J n n |

V e r t i c a l Comp , ~ m i i |

t n a 0 m m m |

A f t e r s h o c k - F rom R e g r e s s i o n

7

2

' ' f I

100

Vertical Comp , , , , , , ,

1

D i s t a n c e ( k i n )

100

FIG. 10. The residuals of the data about the regression fits, plotted against hypocentral distance. The abscissa s tar ts a t 10 km for ease of comparison with a la ter figure for which data at less t h a n 100 km are plotted. The numbers indicate the frequency, increasing from 0.6 Hz for "1" to 17.8 Hz for "7" (the set of seven frequencies is given in the first column of Table 2); the circles are the averages of the residuals over frequency for each station.

amplitudes at the closest NCEER station (DCKY). DCKY is about 200 km from the source, and the next nearest station is over 300 km from the epicenter. Furthermore, DCKY was used in the Q determination for both subsets of their data. If the spectral amplitudes at DCKY are anomalously large relative to the rest of the data set, then their Q values would be biased downward (a point recognized by Hough et al. in their paper). This seems to be the case, as evidenced by the fact that the DCKY amplitudes are significantly larger than those from several GSC stations at comparable distance and azimuth (e.g., Fig. 2).

Page 16: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

698 D. M. B O O R E AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

1 0 4

103 0

1 0 2

1 0 4

lO 3

o

1 0 2

101

I I I I I I ] I I I I I I I I I

• O b s e r v e d ( + 6 8 % C . L . )

Q = 7 5 5 f 0.52

' ' ' ' [ ' ' ' ' ' ' ' t

I I I I i I I I a I a a a I

o

x

Q = 7 5 5 f o.s2 0 × 0 H o u g h e t a l , A d i r o n d a c k

x H o u g h e t a l , M a i n e

- - - - - S h i n & H e r r r n a n n

W o o d g o l d , r e g i o n C

. . . . . . A t k i n s o n

' ' ' ' I ' ' ' ' ' ' I

1 lO

F r e q u e n c y (Hz) FIG. 11. Measured a t tenua t ion as a function of frequency. The top panel shows the Q values

determined in our study (see Table 2), along wi th the least-square fit of a s t ra ight line to the data. The error bars are 68% confidence l imits of Q. The bottom panel compares our resul ts (heavy solid line) wi th those of several other studies for s imilar t ravel paths (a mixture of Shield and Ap- palachian) (Shin and Her rmann , 1987; Atkinson, 1989; Hough et al., 1989; Woodgold, 1990).

Ratio of Horizontal to Vertical Spectral Amplitudes

Most ECTN stations recorded only the vertical component of ground motion; for this reason the regressions were based on vertical component data. Horizon- tal component data are available, however, from the SMA network for the mainshock and from ECTN stations GAC and Axx (where the "xx" represents the number of the station in the Charlevoix array, which we consider to be part of the ECTN) for the fore- and aftershock. These data can be used to derive the horizontal-to-vertical component ratio (HI V) needed in some comparisons of the vertical data to theoretical predictions for the horizontal component. Fur- thermore, these results were used in est imating the response spectra shown in Figure 2. The ratios were computed from Fourier amplitude spectra, using

vf(H12 + H22)2 as the measure of the horizontal spectra ( H 1 and H 2 are the spectra of the two horizontal components). For each frequency, the logarithms of

Page 17: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 699

the ratios were averaged over all stations. No systematic trends were found when the ratios from individual stations were plotted against distance for each earthquake separately (which gives some assurance tha t the at tenuat ion of Lg waves is similar for spectral amplitudes computed from vertical and horizontal components, an assumption made in some of the later analyses). The computed H~ V ratios for all three-component stations are shown as a function of fre- quency (of the Fourier amplitudes) on Figure 12. Results are shown for both unsmoothed and smoothed data, where the smoothing was over the square of the amplitude spectra for each component (and therefore before division to form the ratio). Also shown in Figure 12 are lines representing the H~ V ratio of 1.4 assumed in the ground motion relations of Atkinson and Boore (1990) and a quadratic fit to the ratios obtained from smoothed spectra. The quadratic fit gives the equation

H / V = 1.14 + 0 . 1 1 8 f - 0 .00638f 2 (3)

for the ratio of horizontal-to-vertical ground motion. The observed ratio is slightly lower than 1.4 for frequencies less than 4 Hz, and slightly higher for greater frequencies. The increasing size of the horizontal component relative to

0

>

I

- - H / V = 1.14 + 0.118f- 0.00638f 2

o unsmoothed spectra

• smoothed spectra

0

o o o

°° o oo ~°o ° o o

.=_ o o o . q , . o O o o OoooO I

I o~_~ "*--~ * . ~ . ol I o oOUoo.

_ o _ _ _ _ _ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ; , . . . . . . . .

0 5 10 15

F r e q u e n c y ( H z )

FIG. 12. Observed H~ V ratios for Saguenay data. Filled circles are based on smoothed horizon- tal and vertical spectra; circles use unsmoothed spectra. The dashed line shows H~ V ratio of 1.4, and the solid line shows quadratic regression fit to data.

Page 18: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

700 D. M. B O O R E A N D G. M. A T K I N S O N

the vertical component as the wavelength is decreased may be due to the presence of lower velocity materials close to the surface (R. Herrmann, writ- ten comm., 1991). If so, the lack of systematic differences between the widely separated stations used to determine H / V argues that the low-velocity materials are not unique to one site.

Estimation of Source Spectra To make a quanti tat ive assessment of the source spectra requires some way of

extracting the source spectra from the observed spectra (most of which are for Lg waves). We present three approaches. The first (method 1), and the simplest, assumes 1/R geometrical spreading over all distances and a uniform medium. The second and third methods both use synthetic seismograms to account for the source excitation and propagation for an ear th structure in which the velocity and density vary with depth (but not laterally). The lat ter two methods differ from each other in the way that averages are taken over distance and azimuth: method 2 uses the synthetic seismograms at the specific distance, azimuth pairs corresponding to the observations to make est imates of the source spectrum for each site; method 3 averages both the synthetic seismograms and the observations over distance and azimuth before extracting the source spec- trum. In all cases, we are at tempting to est imate a source spectrum that is an average over the focal sphere, for such an average spectrum is of direct use in estimating average ground motion parameters.

Method 1: Uniform Media, 1/ R Spreading. A number of studies have found that the shapes of the amplitude spectra for Lg waves are unaffected by propagation effects, and that the simple formula in equation (1) can be used to relate the Lg spectra and the source spectra (Street et al., 1975; Herrmann and Kijko, 1983; Campillo et al., 1984; Ou and Herrmann, 1990). Thus regression analysis of the combined SMA and ECTN data may be used to simultaneously determine source levels and at tenuat ion parameters, as in Atkinson (1989). We fit the vertical-component data for the three events simultaneously, assuming that the spectral ampli tudes decayed with a geometrical spreading of R-1 and an anelastic a t tenuat ion of the form 10 -k'R, using data at all distances. Note that we represent the anelastic a t tenuat ion by the coefficient k' rather than the k used earlier; k was associated with the assumption of 1 / v / R geometrical spreading, which is generally considered appropriate for distances greater than 100 km. The 1 / R spreading was imposed as a computational convenience in handling both direct-wave and Lg-wave data in a simple regression format. Atkinson (1989) found that 1/R spreading could be justified for the Lg data because the scatter in the data does not allow a distinction between a steep slope with gentle curvature and a gentle slope with pronounced curvature. Furthermore, the ground-motion predictions were not strongly dependent on the assumed form.

The inversion of the Saguenay data was done frequency by frequency. For each frequency, the coefficient k' was used to correct for the effect of anelastic attenuation, and the corrected intercepts of the regression equations were used in equation (1) to obtain the source spectrum Sa(f). The spectral amplitudes for the vertical component were multiplied by H / V factors given by equation (3) to approximate the est imates tha t would have been obtained from horizontal-com- ponent spectra. The results are presented in a later figure comparing the outcome of the three methods of est imating the source spectrum.

Page 19: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 701

Because of the azimuthal dependence of attenuation, the regressions investi- gated the effects of subdividing the data into sets parallel (_+30 ° ) and perpen- dicular (+ 30 °) to the St. Lawrence, as well as the effect of using just the data from Grenville Province travel paths (there are not enough Appalachian path data for a meaningful regression). The results from the subdivided data sets are similar to those obtained using the entire set. Similar results were also ob- tained for an assumed geometrical spreading factor of 1/x/R- for distances greater than 100 km.

Wave Propagation in a Layered Earth (Methods 2 and 3). There are several questions concerning method 1 that have motivated us to develop two other methods for the extraction of the source spectrum from observed spectra. These questions are: (1) In view of the complications introduced by wave propagation in a layered crust (e.g., Somerville et al., 1990), is it valid to use a simple power law to extrapolate distant observations back to the source? (2) Does the source depth (about 28 km for the Saguenay events) compromise the relationship between Lg amplitudes and source amplitudes? This latter question arises because the previous studies documenting such a relationship were for shal- lower sources. More recent studies (Gariel and Jacob, 1989; Ou and Herrmann, 1990) considered sources as deep as 30 km and found a dependence of the inferred spectral level on source depth.

An alternative method of projecting the observed spectra back to the source is to base the relation between the observed and the source spectra on synthetic seismograms. We pursued this approach, using a reflectivity program (provided by Harley Benz), with the crustal structure model and mainshock focal mecha- nism of Somerville et al. (1990). A step-function source with a nominal moment of 1.0 × 1020 dyne-cm was assumed for all simulations. This source spectrum is not intended to model the Saguenay source. The step-function source was selected because it allows a simple determination of how the amplitudes propa- gate with distance; this is all that mat ters for our purposes. Three-component seismograms were calculated for a sotirce at 26 km and azimuths and distances corresponding to the stations providing data from the mainshock. In addition, we computed the motions for two profiles at azimuths of 0 ° and 45 ° clockwise from north. For the sake of comparison, we also generated the motions for a source at a depth, of 5 km.

For each time series, the Fourier spectra were computed for the dominant motion. Plots of the spectra indicate that wave propagation produces little frequency dependence in the spectra: the spectral level remains essentially flat from 1 to 10 Hz, as it would be in a whole space of uniform velocity (this finding has been noted by others, e.g., Her rmann and Kijko, 1983; Campillo et al., 1984). A typical example is given in Figure 13.

Method 2: Estimation from Individual Stations. The spectral level of the synthetic seismograms provide a direct calibration of the source excitation, radiation pattern, wave propagation, and free-surface effects that can be used to estimate the source spectra from the individual observations (including partit ioning of the energy into vertical and horizontal components). In equation form,

A'obs(f) Sa ( f ) Dsya - 1020 ' (4)

Page 20: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

702 D. M. B O O R E A N D G. M. A T K I N S O N

E (D O

f l (D

~3

1 .E -5

-1 .E -5

0

10-5

E L, .

10 -6 O.

09

0 E ~ 1 0 - 7 o

e~ ffl

121

1 0 -8 .1

R F

50 100 Time ( sec )

I I I I , , , I i , a i | i L a I

1. 10.

F r e q u e n c y (Hz)

FIG. 13. Displacement t ime series and Fourier spectrum for the portion of the t ime series indica ted by the bracket. The t ime series is a synthet ic seismogram at 467 km. The source-time function was chosen so t ha t the spectrum in a uniform whole space would be flat. Note t ha t the spectrum of the calculated motion is essential ly flat between about 0.7 and 10 Hz, implying t ha t wave propagation produces l i t t le distort ion in the spectrum. (The spectrum was cut off a t 10 Hz, a l imit imposed by the synthet ic seismogram calculations.)

which can be solved for Sa(f). In this equation, Dsy n is the frequency-indepen- dent spectral level of the synthetic ground displacement at the azimuth and distance of the station providing the data A'ob s. The factor 102° is the seismic moment, in dyne-cm, of the source used in the synthetic seismogram calcula- tions. The calculations were for perfectly elastic media, and therefore a correc- tion for anelasticity has been applied to the observed spectral amplitudes Aobs(f) , using the following equation:

A'ob~( f ) = Aob~( f ) × 10 k(f)R, (5)

where the frequency-dependent anelastic coefficient k( f ) was determined by the regression analysis discussed earlier (equation 2, Fig. 8, and Table 2). Combin- ing equations (4) and (5) gives

log Ha(f ) = 20 + log A o b s -'}- k ( f ) R - log Dsy n. (6)

Page 21: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 703

To apply equation (6), we computed Dsy n by averaging the smoothed Fourier spectra for the appropriate t ime series over the frequency band 1 to 10 Hz. The values of Dsy n are plotted in Figure 14, and Figure 15 contains the source spectra derived from individual stations and from the average at each frequency over the individual station estimates.

The radiation pat tern and changes in amplitude due to critical-angle reflec- tions have been included in the synthetic seismograms. If they reproduce the actual effects for the Saguenay earthquake, then a plot against azimuth of the residuals between the source spectrum computed for each station and the average source spectrum should reveal source directivity effects (such effects have been proposed for the Saguenay ear thquake by Haddon (1992))• We show such a plot in Figure 16. An azimuthal variat ion does seem to be present, with high values at an azimuth of about 135 ° for the vertical component and 180 ° for the horizontal components, and low values at 17 ° for both the vertical and horizontal components. The degree to which the radiation pat tern and wave propagation have been accurately accounted for by the synthetic seismograms is difficult to assess, but the residuals against distance shown in Figure 17 suggest that we have not been completely successful in this regard. The source spectrum estimates from the cluster of data at distances beyond about 300 km (all from ECTN stations) are systematically low relative to the estimates from closer stations (all from the SMA network). This may be due to the choice of the at tenuat ion coefficient k (see Figs. 8 and 10). To get a sense of how this bias affects the azimuthal variation, we have indicated the residuals from the more distant stations with x's in Figure 16. Shifting these points upward by about 0.3 log units (the approximate bias from Fig. 17) would decrease the azimuthal variation (ignoring the unusual ly low value at 17°).

¢ ,

|

E 10 -4 . O

O O

o') 10-s ¢--

<D

E O

m 10 -s Q .

~9

a

5 km depth

o o • o 6 1 1 1 ~ D

I

26 km depth

o

o o II 41 i i o

+ ° o

I I

0 100 1000 0 100 1000

R (km) R (km)

Fro. 14. Fourier spectra for windows encompassing the dominant motion in synthetic vertical ground motions, as a function of hypocentral distance. The ground motions were computed along profiles with azimuths of 0 ° (due north, filled circles) and 45 ° east of north (circles), as well as for distance and azimuths for which data were obtained in the mainshock (X's). The synthetics used the crustal model and focal mechanism of Somerville et al. (1990). A step displacement source-time function, with a moment of 1.0 × 10 ~° dyne-cm, was placed at depths of 5 and 26 km. The ordinate is the average from 1 to 10 Hz of the square root of the displacement spectrum (squared and smoothed over a 0.4-Hz smoothing window). This processing best approximates the smoothing done to the actual data.

Page 22: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

704 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

0 0 U')

E 0 i

0 t -

" 0 v

E

'5 (9

O9

t - O

O O o < O O

O 09

1 0 27

1 0 26

1 0 25

1 0 27

1 0 26

1 0 25

I I I

M a i n s h o c k

9 8

0 0

0

o 8 o o II ~ o

9 9g g A o v 8 o 8

Avg H o r i z C o m p

I I I

I I I

M a i n s h o c k

0 0 0 0

o g 8 o o

i t o 0 V e r t i c a l C o m p

0

I I I

0.32 1.0 3.2 10.0 32

Freq (Hz)

FIG. 15. Source acceleration spectra (as defined by equation B1) for the mainshock, using vertical component (SMA and ECTN data) and horizontal component data (SMA data). The horizontal component data are the average of the logarithms of the individual components. The synthetic seismograms computed for the azimuth and distance for each station (X's in Fig. 14) were used to correct the observed spectra for radiation pattern, source excitation, wave propagation, and free- surface interaction effects. The estimates from individual stations are given by the small circles; the averages of the logarithms of the individual stations are indicated by the large filled circles.

Method 3: Estimation from Averages over Stations. The method embodied in equa t ion (6) for ex t rac t ing the source spec t rum from the observed spec t rum puts a large p r e m i u m on the correctness of the focal m e c h a n i s m and velocity model used in the calculat ions. In par t icu lar , the synthe t ic va lues plot ted in F igure 14 indicate t h a t large va r ia t ions occur in the mot ions for s ta t ions wi th in smal l dis tance ranges . These va r i a t ions are due to differences in the rad ia t ion pat- tern. Also not iceable are the changes over la rger distance ranges , due to the a r r iva l of waves cri t ical ly reflected f rom the major crus ta l discontinuit ies. As others have pointed out (e.g., Somervi l le et al., 1990; B o w m a n and Kennet t , 1991), these reflect ions can lead to nonmonoton ic decay of the peak ground

Page 23: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 705

1.0

E

"5 O.S Q. 09 ¢P O =. 0 . 0

O O9

,==1: - 0 . 5

O ._1

|

E - 1 . 0

,-- 1 .0

~ 0 .5

0

e - o 0 . 0

o - 0 . 5 ._1

- 1 . 0

, I

M a i n s h o c k

I i f i

7 3 2 6

2 1

2

Avg Horiz Comp

I I I

= I I = I

M a i n s h o c k 4

547

6

3 2

Vertical Comp

' I ' I ' I

0 90 180 2 7 0 3 6 0

Azimuth (degrees)

FIG. 16. Residuals (log of source spectrum estimated at a particular frequency and station minus the log of the average source spectrum) plotted against source-to-station azimuth (clockwise from north). Unlike Figure 9, the synthetic seismograms calculated at each station's azimuth and distance were used in extracting the source spectrum from the observed spectrum. The numbers indicate the frequency, increasing from 0.6 Hz for "1" to 17.8 Hz for " 7 " (the set of seven frequencies is given in the first column of Table 2); the circles are the averages of the residuals over frequency for each station, and the x's indicate those stations beyond 300 km.

motion, even for the Lg phase. One way to blunt the sensitivity of the synthetic seismograms to the part icular focal mechanism and crustal structure would be to perform a Monte Carlo experiment, varying the parameters within a speci- fied distribution function. This is a computer-intensive and costly exercise and is not warranted for the purposes of this paper. We have taken a simpler approach that averages out, to some extent, the variations in ground motion produced by the crustal s tructure and the radiation pattern. As seen in Figures 8 and 14, the spectral levels beyond 100 km can be approximated by a simple monotonic at tenuat ion law. For this reason, for method 3 we use data only at distances beyond 100 km (unlike methods 1 and 2 for extracting the source

Page 24: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

706 D. M. B O O R E AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

1.0

E

• g o.5 Q .

O9

O ,.. 0.0

O O3

> ~: -0.5

O ._1

e

E -1.0

=- 1 . 0

~ 0 . 5 o

o if) e -

o 0 . 0

o - 0 . 5 ._1

i i i

M a i n s h o c k

I I i

M a i n s h o c k

, , , , , I

7

7

6

2 1

' ' ' ' I

i i i i I

2

i ® 3

Avg Hor iz Comp

o , , , , , ,

i I i I I I i i

6

3 2

- 1 . 0 . . . . . . . i

10 1 0 0

4

6

Ver t ica l Comp

| ~ | "m i i i i

1 0 0 0

Distance (km) FIG. 17. Residuals (log of source spectrum est imated at a par t icular frequency and s tat ion minus

the log of the average source spectrum) plotted agains t hypocentral distance. Unl ike Figure 10, the synthet ic seismograms calculated at each s ta t ion 's az imuth and distance were used in extract ing the source spectrum from the observed spectrum. The numbers indicate the frequency, increasing from 0.6 Hz for "1" to 17.8 Hz for "7" (the set of seven frequencies is given in the first column of Table 2); the circles are the averages of the residuals over frequency for each station.

spectrum, which use data from all distances). The inherent assumption is tha t the positive residuals tha t would be expected in some distance ranges will be averaged out by the low residuals from other distance ranges, to obtain the correct average source spectrum. Therefore, the observed spectral levels can be fit to equation (2), with coefficients given in Table 2. Now assume tha t the spectral levels from the synthetic data can be described by the equation

log Dsy n = d - 0.5 • log R (7)

(recall that no a t tenuat ion was included in the theoretical model, and therefore the factor k does not enter this equation). This equation has been fit to the

Page 25: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 707

spectral levels in Figure 14, for data beyond 100 km. The value d, determined by combining all the synthetic data (the resulting line is shown in Fig. 14), is - 4 . 4 3 4 . Combining equations (2), (4), (5), and (7) gives the following equation for the source acceleration spectrum:

log Sa(f) = 20 + a l ( f ) " FS + a 2 ( f ) . M S + a3 ( f ) . A S - d. (8)

The resulting estimates of the source spectra for the foreshock, mainshock, and aftershock are shown in Figure 18. This figure also contains theoretical fits (discussed later) and the estimates from the method assuming 1 / R geometrical spreading and uniform media (method 1) and the method based more closely on the synthetic seismograms (method 2). The bars indicate 68% confidence limits, primarily controlled by the uncertainty in the regression coefficients a 1, a 2, and a 3. The source spectra from method 3 were estimated using vertical component data only, for not many horizontal component spectral levels are available for distances beyond 100 km.

1 0 2 7 ~ ~ , ; ; ; I ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ = ~ I

10 as 0 (D (/1

E i

= 02s >, 1 " O

f..)

G)

E)..

(1) - - 1024

O ~ 9 <

O L_

o 1 0 e~ oO

Mo=6.3x 1024 dyne-cm

A a = 5 ~

!

Mainshock []

Foreshock []

Mo22x1022

~ y Aftershock

/ I - .Th o . .

-,- f . . . . [ ] Method 1 - Vert. Comp Mo=2.2xlO z' " " M°=2"2xlOZ~ X M e t h o d 2 - Vert. Comp.

Aa=65 • Method 3 - Vert. Comp.

1 0 2 2 . . . . . ' ' I . . . . . . . I

1 10

Freq (Hz)

FIG. 18. Source acceleration spectra for the three events studied in this paper, based on vertical component data, compared with theoretical spectra. Three methods were used to extract the source spectra from the data (see text for full descriptions): Method 1 used the uniform whole space model (equation 1); method 2 used the ratio of observed and synthetic spectra at individual stations; in method 3 the observed and synthetic spectra were averaged over distance and azimuth before the source spectra were estimated.

Page 26: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

708 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

An important conclusion from Figure 18 is that the source spectra derived under simple assumptions about source excitation and wave propagation are similar to those based on the more complicated synthetic seismogram correction approach. The agreement is striking, considering the very different nature of the analysis methods and the number of factors which a simple regression necessarily neglects. This result gives confidence that the derived spectra are robust and demonstrates that simple regression of data from regional distances can provide reliable source spectral estimates.

DISCUSSION

The source spectra estimated for the earthquakes are intended to represent an average over the focal sphere; the actual radiation would vary with azimuth and take-off angle because of radiation pattern and source directivity. The various estimates of the spectrum shown in Figures 15 and 18 are similar to one another and give us confidence that our estimates are a good representation of the overall radiation from the earthquakes. Within the uncertainty in the estimations, the acceleration spectra for all the events approach a level value, as expected for an ~-2 source model, for frequencies above about 2, 4, and 6 Hz for the mainshock, foreshock, and aftershock, respectively.

Modeling the Source Spectra

The spectra for the foreshock and the aftershock can be well modeled by an ~-2 spectra with a single corner frequency, as shown in Figure 18. For the mainshock, the observations do not extend to low enough frequencies to reach a conclusion in this regard (i.e., we cannot observe the o~ 2 portion of the accelera- tion spectrum). The theoretical fits in Figure 18 are based on the equations for the Brune model, given in Appendix B, which have seismic moment (Mo) and stress (Aa) as parameters . For the mainshock, we used M o from the teleseismic observations (6.3 × 1024 dyne-cm) and adjusted Aa to match the high-frequency level (the required Ao was 500 bars). For the fore- and aftershocks no indepen- dently determined seismic moments are available, but sufficient bandwidth is available for us to determine both M o and Aa by trial and error; the resulting values are shown on the figure.

The theoretical spectrum for the mainshock significantly overestimates the observed spectrum at frequencies near I Hz. This confirms our initial analysis of the source spectrum based solely on the record at SMA station $16. The stress parameters for both the fore- and aftershock have a value of 65 bars, which is much lower than that required to fit the mainshock spectra (500 bars).

The apparent lack of energy at intermediate frequencies for the mainshock source spectrum is intriguing. A more complete view of the source spectrum for the mainshock is obtained by combining our results with those of Boatwright and Choy (1992). They determined the source spectrum for the Saguenay mainshock from teleseismic P waves and provide est imates at lower frequen- cies than are available from the regional data. Their result is shown in Figure 19, along with the spectrum inferred by the three methods we have used to extract the source spectrum from the observed spectra. Boatwright and Choy's spectrum and ours overlap somewhat in frequency and are reasonably consis- tent in the region of overlap. Figure 19 also contains the theoretical spectra for the ¢o -2 model, using the independently determined seismic moment for the ear thquake and two values for the stress parameter (100 bars, used in our

Page 27: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 709

SaguenayMainshock

I I

o o 500 b a r s ~ I T ~-

• ° o26 I i t

E ~ m

? 100 b a r s (D ¢.-

~ 02 s t

0

Q. CO

0 1 0 24 0

<

• 7 ~ Theory o

/ • Teleseismic Bounds o / M0=6.3x10 ~ o) • Method 3 - Vert. Comp.

1023 • dyne-cm * Method 2 - Avg. Horiz. Comp.

I I I

0.01 0 . 1 0 1 .0 10 .0

Freq (Hz) FIG. 19. Source acceleration spectrum of the mainshock estimated from many sources. The

teleseismie bounds are from the analysis of P waves by Boatwright and Choy (1992). The rest of the estimates are from the dominant motion (S and Lg) at distances within 1000 kin, using the two methods, discussed in the text, that rely on the synthetic seismograms. Note the difference in ordinate and abscissa scales between Figure 18 and this figure. Theoretical estimates are shown for two stress parameters, 100 and 500 bars, and use the moment determined from long-period data at teleseismie distances. The error bars are estimates of the 68% confidence limits for the source spectrum determined from the estimation method using averages over distance and azimuth before combining the observed and synthetic spectra; the error includes uncertainty in measuring the spectra as well as uncertainty in the regression fits shown in Figure 8. A complete estimate of the uncertainty would include the uncertainty in the velocity model and focal mechanism.

predict ions of g round mot ion (Boore and Atkinson, 1987), and the 500 bars value needed to m a t c h the h igh-f requency spectral level). Clearly, the spectral shape is not well described by an c0-2 model wi th a single corner frequency. In spite of this, the simple model can be used to predict h igh-f requency spectral levels wi th appropr ia te ly chosen pa ramete r s , and thus can still be useful in predict ions for g round mot ions at f requencies above the corner frequency.

Comparison with Other Intraplate Earthquakes

As we have demons t ra ted , the spectral exci ta t ion produced by the mainshock is very different f rom t h a t of the two smal le r events. In this section, we compare var ious s u m m a r y measures of the spectral exci ta t ion of the three S a g u e n a y e a r t hquakes wi th those from other e a r t h q u a k e s in in t rap la te envi ronments .

The re la t ion be tween the short-period magn i tude (m~) and the seismic m o m e n t ( M o) for m a n y E N A ea r thquakes is shown in F igure 20. This is a simple way of showing the re la t ion be tween short- and long-period spectral

Page 28: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

710 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

6

(D

t -

t~ 5

d

I I I I I

1 : 3/01/25 Quebec

2:8/12/29 New York

3:11/01/35 Quebec M S 4:12/20/40 New Hampshire

5:9/05/44 Ontario •

AS

D 2

FS A

8 O B

9

6 C

7 4

E 5

6:1/09/82 New Brunswick

7:1/11/82 New Brunswick

8:3/31/82 New Brunswick

9:6/16/82 New Brunswick

A: 8/19/79 Quebec

B: 1/19/82 New Hampshire

C: 10/07/83 New York

D: 1/31/86 Ohio

E: 12/25/89 Quebec

I I I I I

021 1 0 23 1 025 1 0 2 7

M o m e n t ( d y n e - c m )

FIG. 20. Short-period (Nuttli) magnitude (mN) versus seismic moment for earthquakes in eastern North America. The Saguenay values are indicated by the large filled circles. The values for the Saguenay earthquakes are from this paper; those for the rest are tabulated in Boore and Atkinson (1987, 1989), using the redeterminations of m N in Atkinson and Boore (1987). Multiple estimates of moment have been averaged geometrically. For all the older earthquakes (pre-1950) except for the 1925 Charlevoix event, the moment estimates of Ebel et al. (1986) were used in preference to Boore and Atkinson's (1987) revision of the Street and Turcotte (1977) moments; J. Ebel (personal comm., 1991) has indicated that the Ebel et al. (1986) moment for the 1925 event is in error.

ampl i tudes . As o the r s h a v e noted (Nor th e t a l . , 1989), the m a i n s h o c k is a n o m a l o u s in t h a t i ts m N is h igh c o m p a r e d to i ts M o. This obse rva t ion ag rees w i th the spec t ra l f ind ings f r o m our s tudy. The r e l a t i on b e t w e e n the shor t -per iod m a g n i t u d e and the se ismic m o m e n t for the fore- and a f t e r shocks a re cons i s ten t w i th o the r E N A e a r t h q u a k e s . I n t e r e s t i ng ly , the 1925 Char l evo ix e a r t h q u a k e also a p p e a r s " a n o m a l o u s . " The va lue s of bo th M o and m N used for the 1925 even t in F i g u r e 20, however , a re poor ly cons t ra ined: the m o m e n t e s t i m a t e is c u r r e n t l y u n d e r r ev i s ion by bo th J . Ebe l (personal comm. , 1991) and Ben t (1992), and the m N e s t i m a t e , which was l a rge ly m e a s u r e d a t per iods m u c h g r e a t e r t h a n 1 sec (Atk inson and Boore, 1987), m a y not be ind ica t ive of shor t -per iod spec t ra l energy .

For m a n y e a r t h q u a k e e n g i n e e r i n g purposes , the h igh- f requency source spec- t r a l level is of p a r t i c u l a r concern. The h igh- f requency spec t ra l levels f rom the S a g u e n a y e a r t h q u a k e s , e s t i m a t e d f rom F i g u r e 18, a re c o m p a r e d to those f rom m a n y o ther i n t r a p l a t e e a r t h q u a k e s in F i g u r e 21. The f igure also shows the

Page 29: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S

1 0 27 I I I I I

711

cq

0

E 0

e,-

v

MS

- ~ + o [ ] + +

" • 1 0 25

J

0

09

t..3 0 <

Con • . >

+m + ~ +

=, • Saguenay

• Miramichi

[] Nahanni

other ENA

+ non ENA intraplate

1 0 23 I I I I

1 0 21 1 023 t 0 2 5 1 0 27

Moment ( dyne -cm)

FIG. 21. Observed high-frequency spectral levels for ENA (all symbols except pluses) and other intraplate earthquakes (pluses, from Boatwright and Choy, 1992). The key to the symbols follows: filled circles = 1988 Saguenay, Quebec, foreshock, mainshock, and aftershock; filled squares = 1982 Miramichi, New Brunswick, mainshock and aftershocks; squares = 1985 to 1988 Nahanni, North- west Territories, mainshocks and aftershocks; asterisks = other ENA mainshocks. Multiple estimates of either spectral level or moment for a particular earthquake have been averaged geo- metrically. See Table 3 in Be•re and Atkinson (1989) for sources of data.

predictions of the ¢o -2 model for stress parameters of 10 and 100 bars. The high-frequency level of the Saguenay mainshock is clearly larger than those for other ENA and intraplate events of similar size (including the 1925 Charley•ix earthquake). The foreshock and aftershock are consistent with the other data. Be•re and Atkinson (1989) note that the scaling of aftershock sequences (squares in Fig. 21) may be different from that of the corresponding mainshock (stars for ENA and pluses for intraplate ear thquakes in other part of the world), with the mainshock having a larger stress parameter than the aftershocks.

Implications for Predicting Ground Motions: Some Comments

A key question is to what extent the Saguenay mainshock should influence the prediction of future ground motions and earthquake-resistant design. We do not have an answer to this question. The Saguenay mainshock is clearly anomalous relative to other intraplate ear thquakes (and, based on our experi- ence, relative to plate margin events as well). On the other hand, the event did occur and, unless physical reasons for the peculiar nature of the event can be

Page 30: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

712 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

identified that do not exist elsewhere, the event cannot be ignored for design purposes. The relatively normal stress parameters of the fore- and aftershocks suggest that the focal depth (about 28 km for the three events) is not solely responsible for the high stress parameter for the mainshock. On the other hand, studies of aftershocks near Oroville, California (Fletcher et al., 1984) found that the m a x i m u m stress drop increases with depth; thus stress parameters as large as 500 bars might not be possible for shallower sources.

To improve the prediction of ground motions from future large earthquakes, it may be necessary to consider more complex spectral models than the usual single-corner-frequency model. For example, Atkinson (1990) has suggested that the use of two corner frequencies for larger ENA earthquakes might form the basis of a model with which most of the current data could be reconciled (only one corner would be required for earthquakes smaller than magnitude 5.5). This would be consistent with the theoretical concepts suggested by a number of authors, including Joyner (1984) and Boatwright (1988), and the intraplate data analyses presented by Choy and Boatwright (1988) and Boatwright and Choy (1992). The lower corner might be related to overall fault rupture characteristics and be consistent with a constant-stress parameter of, say 50 bars. The second (higher-frequency) corner, which could be related to the stress required to break the highest-stress asperities on the fault surface, might vary widely from one earthquake to another. Obviously, a key to the success of such a two-corner model for the prediction of motions in future earthquakes is the specification of the higher-frequency corner. This may be difficult unless it is related to physical characteristics of certain local areas or tectonic regimes.

The utility of two-corner-frequency models has been demonstrated in several studies of the Saguenay mainshock. Atkinson (1992) used a general two-corner spectral model, defined by moment magnitude M and raN, to generate stochas- tic time histories for a Saguenay-type event. This model could be useful in predicting motions for "what if?." studies. Boore (1992) performed similar computations using a two-corner source spectrum fit to Boatwright and Choy's (1992) source spectrum inferred from teleseismic recordings. In both studies, information about the high-frequency radiation was incorporated into the stud- ies (indirectly through the specification of m N in Atkinson's case and directly in Boore's study), and as a result the models used in the studies may have little predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

Source spectra were derived from data at distances from about 50 to 700 km, using three different schemes to correct the observed spectra for source excita- tion and wave propagation effects. Two of the schemes made use of synthetic seismograms, but the results using these methods differ little from those using a simple model in which 1 / R geometrical spreading and uniform media are assumed.

The source spectral shape for the mainshock is not well described by an ~-2 model with a single corner frequency. The spectrum lacks energy at intermedi- ate frequencies (the "Case of the Missing Moment"). For frequencies above about 3 Hz, the source acceleration spectrum is relatively flat, consistent with the ¢o -2 model. The implied stress parameter required to match this level is very high (on the order of 500 bars).

The foreshock and the largest aftershock, which occurred at depths similar to

Page 31: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 713

that of the mainshock, have source spectra that are well described by a single-corner-frequency ~0 -2 model. Most importantly, a moderate stress param- eter of about 65 bars is required to match the high-frequency spectral level. Seismic moments of 2.2 × 10 e2 and 2.2 x 1021 dyne-cm were estimated for the fore- and aftershocks, respectively.

The spectra at the two closest stations show little evidence of an fmax for frequencies less than about 25 Hz. This was expected for the hard-rock sites in the region. In contrast, a distinct frnax at about 10 Hz is evident at many of the other sites (which differ from the two closest sites both in azimuth and distance). This may be due in part to whole-path attenuation, but the sharpness of the corner suggests that local site effects are also acting to influence the spectral decay.

A frequency-dependent Q given by Q = 755f °52 is a good representation of the average anelastic attenuation for data beyond 100 km, assuming a geomet- rical spreading of 1/x/R-. We find support for the observations of Hough et al.

(1989) that the attenuation of motion is not isotropic about the source. Waves propagating along the strike of the St. Lawrence River (which is also the strike of the structural grain) appear to attenuate less rapidly than those propagating perpendicularly to this strike. The boundary between the Grenville and Ap- palachian tectonic provinces largely coincides with the St. Lawrence River. Whether the different attenuation is due to different anelastic and structural properties in the tectonic provinces or to an anisotropy induced by the struc- tural grain is impossible to determine given the azimuthally nonuniform distri- bution of data. Accounting for the differences in attenuation makes little difference in the azimuthally averaged source spectra that are the primary goal of this paper.

Estimates of the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio from the three-compo- nent recordings yielded the relation H / V = 1.14 ÷ 0 . 1 1 8 f - 0.00638f 2. No dependence of this ratio on distance was found.

The high-frequency amplitudes from the Saguenay mainshock are of particu- lar interest, since they exceed median predicted levels (e.g., Boore and Atkin- son, 1987; Toro and McGuire, 1987; Atkinson and Boore, 1990) by a significant margin. Based on a comparison of magnitude-moment relations for large east- ern earthquakes, and evaluation of high-frequency spectral levels from a suite of intraplate events, we conclude that the high-frequency radiation from the Saguenay mainshock is not typical of large eastern events.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank the Geological Survey of Canada, and in particular Phil Munro and Bill Shannon, for providing us with the ground-motion data. Paul Friberg provided data from the NCEER-Lamont network in the United States, and J. Drysdale provided the intensity data. Phil Munro and Bob North were very helpful in the interpretation of the instrument-corrected data. We also acknowl- edge useful discussions with Jack Boatwright, Bill Joyner, and Tom Hanks; Jack and Bill provided constructive and critical reviews of the paper, as did C. B. Crouse and Bob Herrmann. Chuck Mueller's data analysis programs (Mueller, 1990) were invaluable. Special thanks goes to Harley Benz for computing the synthetic seismograms that were used to extract the source spectra from the recorded spectra. This work was partially supported by Ontario Hydro and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. We thank these agencies for their continued support of our work.

REFERENCES

Armbruster, J. G. and L. Seeber (1987). Seismicity and seismic zonation along the Appalachians and the Atlantic seaboard from intensity data, in Proc. Symp. Seismic Hazards, Ground

Page 32: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

714 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. ATKINSON

Motions, Soil-Liquefaction, and Engineering Practice in Eastern North America, K. H. Jacob, Editor, National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research Report NCEER-87-0025, 163-177.

Atkinson, G. M. (1989). Attenuation of the Lg phase and site response for the Eastern Canada Telemetred Network, Seism. Res. Lett. 60, 59-69.

Atkinson, G. M. (1990). A comparison of eastern North America ground motion observations with theoretical predictions, Seism. Res. Lett. 61, 171-180.

Atkinson, G. M. (1991). Reply to comment by Hough et al. (1991), on "A comparison of eastern North America ground motions with theoretical predictions," Seism. Res. Lett. 62, 147-149.

Atkinson, G. M. (1992). Simple ground motion prediction for the Saguenay earthquake, Proc. EPRI/USGS/Stanford Workshop on Ground Motion Modeling (in press).

Atkinson, G. M. and D. M. Boore (1987). On the raN, M relation for eastern North America, Seism. Res. Lett. 58, 119-124.

Atkinson, G. and D. Boore (1990). Recent trends in ground motion and spectral response relations for North America, Earthquake Spectra 6, 15-36.

Bent, A. L. (1992). A re-examination of the 1925 Charlevoix, Quebec, earthquake, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 82 (in press).

Boatwright, J. (1988). The seismic radiation from composite models of faulting, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 78, 489-508.

Boatwright, J. and G. Choy (1992). Acceleration source spectra for large earthquakes in northeast- ern North America, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 82, 660-682.

Boore, D. M. (1992). Predictions of response spectra for the Saguenay earthquake, Proc. EPRI/ USGS / Stanford Workshop on Ground Motion Modeling (in press).

Boore, D. and G. Atkinson (1987). Stochastic prediction of ground motion and spectral response parameters at hard-rock sites in eastern North America, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 77, 440-467.

Boore, D. and G. Atkinson (1989). Spectral scaling of the 1985-1988 Nahanni, Northwest Territo- ries, earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 79, 1736-1761.

Bowman, J. R. and B. L. N. Kennett (1991). Propagation of Lg waves in the North Australian craton: influence of crustal velocity gradients,Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 81, 592-610.

Brune, J. (1970). Tectonic stress and the spectra of seismic shear waves from earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. 75, 4997-5009.

Campillo, M., M. Bouchon, and B. Massinon (1984). Theoretical study of the excitation, spectral characteristics, and geometrical spreading of regional seismic phases, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 74, 79-90.

Choy, G. and J. Boatwright (1988). Teleseismic and near-field analysis of the Nahanni earthquakes, Northwest Territories, Canada, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 78, 1627-1652.

Cranswick, E. (1988). The information content of high-frequency seismograms and the near-surface geologic structure of "hard rock" recording sites, Pure Appl. Geophys. 128, 333-363.

Cranswick, E., R. Wetmiller, and J. Boatwright (1985). High-frequency observations and source parameters of microearthquakes recorded at hard-rock sites, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 75, 1535-1567.

Ebel, J. E., P. G. Somerville, and J. D. McIver (1986). A study of the source properties of some large earthquakes of northeastern North America, J. Geophys. Res. 91, 8231-8247.

Fletcher, J., J. Boatwright, L. Haar, T. Hanks, and A~ McGarr (1984). Source parameters for aftershocks of the Oroville, California, earthquake, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 74, 1101-1123.

Friberg, P., R. Busby, D. Lentichia, D. Johnson, K. Jacob, and D. Simpson (1988). The M = 6 Chicoutimi earthquake of Nov. 25, 1988 in the Province of Quebec, Canada: Preliminary NCEER Strong Motion Data Report, Lamont Doherty Geological Observatory, Palisades, New York.

Gariel, J.-C. and K. H. Jacob (1989). The Saguenay earthquake of November 25, 1988: the effect of the hypocentral depth on the peak acceleration attenuation--a modeling approach, in The Saguenay Earthquake of November 25, 1988, Quebec, Canada: Strong Motion Data, Ground Failure Observations, and Preliminary Interpretations, K. H. Jacob, Editor (preliminary ver- sion of NCEER report, dated January 89), 83-100.

Haddon, R. A. W. (1992). Waveform modeling of the strong motion data for the Saguenay earthquake of 25 November 1988, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 82, 720-754.

Hanks, T. C. (1982). fmax, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 72, 1867-1879. Herrmann, R. and A. Kijko (1983). Modeling some empirical vertical component Lg relations, Bull.

Seism. Soc. Am. 73, 157-171.

Page 33: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 715

Hough, S. E., K. Jacob, and P. Friberg (1989). The 11/25/88, M = 6 Saguenay earthquake near Chicoutimi, Quebec: evidence for anisotropic wave propagation in northeastern North America, Geophys. Res. Lett. 16, 645-648.

Joyner, W. (1984). A scaling law for the spectra of large earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 74, 1167-1188.

Mueller, C. (1990). Computer programs for analyzing digital seismic data, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 90-35, 100 pp.

Munro, P. and D. Weichert (1989). The Saguenay earthquake of Nov. 25, 1988: processed strong motion records, Geol. Surv. Canada Open-file Rept. 1996.

North, R., R. Wetmiller, J. Adams, F. Anglin, H. Hasegawa, M. Lamontagne, R. DuBerger, L. Seeber, and J. Armbruster (1989). Preliminary results from the Nov. 25, 1988 Saguenay (Quebec) earthquake, Seism. Res. Lett. 60, 89-93.

Ou, G.-B. and R. B. Herrmann (1990). A statistical model for ground motion produced by earth- quakes at local and regional distances, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 80, 1397-1417.

Shin, T.-C. and R. B. Herrmann (1987). Lg attenuation and source studies using the 1982 Miramichi data, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 77, 384-397.

Somerville, P. G., J. P. McLaren, C. K. Saikia, and D. V. Helmberger (1990). The 25 November 1988 Saguenay, Quebec earthquake: source parameters and the attenuation of strong ground motion, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 80, 1118-1143.

Street, R. L. and F. T. Turcotte (1977). A study of northeastern North America spectral moments, magnitudes, and intensities, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 67, 599-614.

Street, R. L., R. B. Herrmann, and O. W. Nuttli (1975). Spectral characteristics of the Lg wave generated by central United States earthquakes, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc. 41, 51-63.

Toro, G. and R. McGuire (1987). An investigation into earthquake ground motion characteristics in eastern North America, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 77, 468-489.

Woodgold, C. (1990). Estimation of Q in eastern Canada using coda waves, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 80, 411-429.

Zhao, L.-S. and D. V. Helmberger (1992). Broadband modeling along a regional shield path, Harvard recording of the Saguenay earthquake, Geophys. J. 105, 301-312.

APPENDIX A: VARIATIONS OF fmax

A feature in the observed spectra at station S16, as shown in Figure 3, is the apparent lack of a high-frequency corner (commonly known as fm~x, after Hanks, 1982) for frequencies as high as 25 Hz. This is in accord with our view (Boore and Atkinson, 1987; Atkinson, 1989) that, unlike rock sites in western North America (with fm~x commonly around 5 to 15 Hz), those in eastern North America produce little attenuation at high frequencies. Such a difference has a profound influence on predictions of peak acceleration and high-frequency re- sponse spectra at distances small enough that the whole-path anelastic attenua- tion has not removed the high frequencies from the ground motion. The lack of an f~ax, at least on the horizontal components, is shared by the next closest station to the earthquake (S17), as shown in Figure A1. A striking feature of Figure A1, however, is that the spectra from almost all the other stations have an fm~, usually at frequencies near 10 Hz. As far as we know, there is nothing unusual about the site conditions of $16 and S17 relative to the other sites; they are all hard-rock, glaciated sites. $16 and S17, however, are closer to the earthquake and are at distinctly different azimuths than the other stations (Fig. 1). This might mean that the difference in the high-frequency behavior is a source or propagation effect rather than a local site effect. Source directivity can produce shifts in the corner frequency defined by the change from a rising acceleration spectrum at low frequencies to the level portion at higher frequen- cies; to our knowledge, however, shifts in the higher-frequency frnax a r e not explained by source theory. If a source property is the origin of fro,x, however (a view that is actively debated), then the azimuthal dependence could well be a source property.

Page 34: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

716 D. M. B O O R E AND G. M. A T K I N S O N

100

o

~100 E

o

0

0 <

i i

$17, AZ--291, D=64

7 I t

i i

S08, AZ=123, D=93

i

/ I L J ;~:

/ 1

I I

i i

S 0 1 , A Z = 1 6 6 , D = 1 1 4

• ". °, £'.2

I I

1

$ 1 6 , AZ=17, D=43 /, o'-

..'/ t "J ' : ~

I h I

i i

S09, AZ=122, D=123

. . . 0 I I

i i

$10, AZ=128, D=114

," I I

I I

S02, AZ=183, D=149

I I

100 1 100

i i

$20, AZ=134, D=90 ,,~

/ ..'/ | ~ J ,."

, ." "•

1 F r e q u e n c y ( H z )

Transverse ........ Radial

Vertical

F r e q u e n c y ( H z )

00

FIG. A1. Fourier acceleration spectra (not corrected back to the source) for all SMA rock sites, a r ranged by source-to-station az imuth ( AZ, in degrees clockwise from north; the epicentral distance in km is given by D). The window length for computing the spectra was general ly 15 or 20 sec, with an 11 sec window used for $20.

To emphasize the difference in the spectra, we show in Figure A2 a direct comparison between the spectra at S16 and S10. Also shown are the accelera- tion time series. In addition to the obvious difference in fma=, this figure also points out another interesting feature in the records: the unusual ly complicated time series at S16 relative to tha t at S10 (the t ime series at S17 shares this feature, and S10 is not alone in having a relative short-duration time series). Synthetic seismograms (e.g., Fig. 11 in Somerville et al., 1990) predict that stations S16 and $17 should have a short duration of large motion, in distinct disagreement with the observations.

As a first step in investigating the possibility that a path effect is responsible for the differences in fmax, we show in Figure A3 that a simple model with a constant Q of about 1000 acting over the entire travel path produces the observed spectral decay for the more distant station but predicts too much at tenuat ion for the closer station. On the other hand, the frequency-dependent Q found in our analysis of the Lg data does not produce enough at tenuat ion at the more distant station. Cranswick et al. (1985; see also Cranswick, 1988) argue that although whole-path a t tenuat ion can model the overall spectral decay, such at tenuat ion produces smooth changes in the spectrum. They further

Page 35: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

S O U R C E S P E C T R A FOR THE 1988 S A G U E N A Y E A R T H Q U A K E S 717

' l i i , i i i i , I i i . i | , i i i I ' i i , i i i i ,

'!1" '1 ' 63 cm/sec 2

113 cm/sec ~ l , i J = i , i i I J , J i , i i I i I | , , J i , , , J

0 10 20 30 Time ( sec )

lOO I

T r a n s v e r s e C o m p o n e n t

{D

E 10 o , v S16 ,...;~ Q

t..-i

-- 1

SIO

0 . 1 i i

0 . 1 1 1 0 1 0 0

Frequency (Hz)

FIG. A2. Time series and Fourier acceleration spectra for the transverse component at S10 and S16. Notice the pronounced difference in the high-frequency attenuation of the spectra, even though both sites are on apparently competent rock. The time series for the two traces are shown above (labeled with peak amplitudes on the right). To show the effect of window length, spectra were computed using a short window of 6 sec (dots) and long windows of 15 and 20 sec for stations S10 and S16, respectively.

a rgue t h a t sharp changes , such as seen a t $10, migh t indicate t h a t the spectral decay is associated wi th local site resonances (the peak in the S10 spec t rum at 7 Hz migh t be due such a resonance) . The da ta necessary to assess the re la t ive cont r ibut ion of source, pa th , and site effects to the observed f ~ have yet to be collected.

APPENDIX B: THEORETICAL SOURCE SPECTRUM

Al though publ ished in m a n y other places, for convenience we repea t here the equa t ions for the source accelera t ion spectra corresponding to the cons tant stress pa ramete r , s ingle-corner-frequency model. The source accelerat ion

Page 36: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

718 D. M. BOORE AND G. M. A T K IN SO N

100

10

5"

E 0

E

~ 0.1 Q . .

O9 100 t -

O

m

~ 10 o o <

0.1

O.

I , , • . . , , I I I I I l l I

$16 - Transverse Component

Q = 7 5 5 f °-52

° ~ Q = I 000

• ° ' ' ' ' ' ' 1 , , i , , , i , I

i , z = , , , . ~ i i i i i i i i I

$10 - Transverse Component

I I I i i l l

I I I I I I

• ~ - ~ - Q = 7 5 5 f ° ' 5 2 "~ ~ .~1[

Q = I O 0 0

' ' ' ' ' ' 1 ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' l , , , , , , , ,

1 lO lOO

F r e q u e n c y (Hz)

FIG. A3. The spectra for the transverse component of motion at S10 and S16 (computed for the short time window shown in Figure A2), compared with whole-path attenuation using Q = 1000 and Q = 755f °'52. The observed spectra are shown by filled circles, and the theoretical spectra are shown by lines; the curves have been adjusted vertically to approximately match the observed spectra at 3 Hz. The frequency-dependent equation for Q was obtained by fitting the attenuation of the Lg waves (although the motions at S10 and $16 are not Lg waves, the Lg attenuation should be a good approximation to the overall attenuation in the crust).

s p e c t r u m Sa(f) i s

S a ( f ) = ~ 2 S ( f ) , (B1)

w h e r e ~ = 2 v f a n d t h e m o m e n t - r a t e f u n c t i o n S ( f ) a p p r o a c h e s t h e s e i s m i c m o m e n t M o for l ow f r e q u e n c i e s . F o r t h e B r u n e (1970) ~ - 2 m o d e l , S(f) is g i v e n

b y

S( f ) = M o / [ 1 + (f/fo)2]. (B2)

Page 37: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82 ...ww.daveboore.com/pubs_online/1992bssa_ba92_saguenay.pdf · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 82,

SOURCE SPECTRA FOR THE 1988 SAGUENAY EARTHQUAKES 719

The source corner frequency fo is related to the seismic moment (Mo) and the stress parameter (Aa) by

fo = 4.9 × 106~o(Aa/Mo) 1/3, (83)

where the shear velocity near the source (~o) has units of km/sec, and the units of M o and Aa are dyne-cm and bars, respectively.

U. S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY 125 DUNBAR ROAD SOUTH MAre STOP 977 345 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD WATERLOO, ONTARIO N2L 2E8

MENLO PARK, CALIFORNIA 94025 CANADA (D.M.B.) (G.M.A.)

Manuscript received 17 May 1991