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”Meat”ing Millennials!”
HOW MILLENNIALS ARE CHANGING THE MEAT CASE:
What to expect as Millennials mature
Larry Levin and Chris DuBois NAMI/FMI Meat Conference
3 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
1
3 4
Why Millennials matter
Millennial shopping behavior
Millennial impact on the meat department
5 Implications
2 Millennial myths
4 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
OUR METHODOLOGY
1 2 3 Time
Periods
Latest 104
Weeks
12/21/15;
Geography
MULO
Syndicated
Categories
Fresh and
Packaged Meats
4 Measures
Dollar Sales
The Shopper
National
Consumer
Panel
ShopperSights
The Voice of
Our Consumers
PEW Center
5
5 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
THE CONSUMER LANDSCAPE: DYNAMIC CHANGE; ENORMOUS OPPORTUNITY FOR GROWTH
Major Consumer/Shopper Trends
Changing family makeup and
decision making process
Importance of convenience and
shopping experience
Multi-channel shopping and
channel blurring
Increasing shift to mobile - $105B in ad
spend by 2020 on mobile platforms
alone
Quest for value = quality, price and
assortment
Increasing ethnic diversity among
US shoppers
eCommerce replacing brick & mortar with new business models (home delivery, click and pick)
From the 1970’s 500 to today’s 5,000 ads per
day
…with increasingly varied needs
…in a fragmenting
retail landscape
…with dramatically
more complex
media stimuli
Shoppers are more diverse
than ever
A tailored shopping experience including available product mix and availability plus specialized offers
The new path-to-purchase leverages
digital, social, mobile media
…requiring personalization
6 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
SILENT
BOOMER
GEN X
MILLENNIALS
DEMOGRAPHICS MATTER! MILLENNIALS BECAME THE LARGEST POPULATION SEGMENT IN 2015
Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of U.S. Census Bureau population projections released 12-2014
Projected Population by Generation (in Millions)
NOTE: Millennials refers to the population ages 18 – 34 as of 2015
7 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MORE PRIME AGE WORKERS
Source: BLS / www.calculatedriskblog.com
+12MM by
2030
8 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
2 MILLENNIAL MYTHS
9 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIAL MEDIA BUZZ
10 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS ARE OF THE MOST NEGATIVELY STEREOTYPED GENERATIONS IN HISTORY
To connect emotionally with this generation, brands and advertisers must: Move past simplistic generalizations
Understand the misconceptions
Identify with Millennials as unique individuals
11 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS ARE THE MOST SELF-ABSORBED GENERATION EVER 1
90%
Equate success with being a good friend
68%
Equate success with working for a cause
they believe in
58%
Equate success with contributing to the
community
50%
Share information about causes on
social media
12 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS REJECT ‘TRADITIONAL’ LIFE PATHS 2
73% Employed
28% are Married
37% Own a Home
38% Have Kids
Timing of Lifestage Milestones Aren’t Linear
90% Work / Life Balance
83% Owning a Home
83% Being a Great Parent
75% Career Accomplishments
SUCCESS =
13 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS AREN’T BRAND LOYAL 3 44%
say they’re loyal to the brands they buy
41% GenX
45% Boomers
In the absence of meaningful differentiation, Millennials will switch for economical payoff.
62% store brands as good as
national brands
72% will switch
for the right price or deal
88% saving money
makes them feel smart
83% enjoy finding
the best deals
70% choose price over brand
54% GenX
58% Boomers
2in3 working with limited
grocery budgets
51% GenX
61% Boomers
14 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Item Price
Requests from a Household Member
Shopper Loyalty Cards/Discounts
Recommendation from a Friend/Family Member
In-Store Coupons
Coupons Received in the Mail
In-Store Circulars
Product Label/Packaging
Signs or Displays In-Store
Coupons Downloaded on My Smartphone/Tablet
Product reviews online
Newspaper Circulars
Information or Promotion from a Retailer App on my…
Print Ads in Newspapers or Magazines
Information or Promotion from a Retailer Website or Email
TV advertising
Information or Promotion from a Manufacturer Website or…
Factors Influencing Millennials’ Brand Purchase Decisions
Millennials are strongly influenced by the
recommendations of others in person, on social and in product
reviews.
MILLENNIALS AREN’T INFLUENCED BY TRADITIONAL MARKETING 4
15 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
3 MILLENNIAL SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
16 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS ARE CHOOSING BRANDS THAT MATCH THEIR NEEDS AND BELIEFS
HEALTHY/NATURAL
COST SAVINGS INNOVATION
17 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS ARE USING DIGITAL TODAY
Own a smartphone
48%
say they’re unable to function
without their smart phone
6 hrs/day
average time spent online
45% say they’re
early adopters of technology
29% use a mobile app to pay for
purchases
52% prefer brand updates in email vs.
text
18 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
DIGITAL PLAYS A VARYING ROLE IN PRE-TAIL ACTIVITIES ACROSS CATEGORIES SIGNIFICANTLY MORE MILLENNIALS USED DIGITAL PRE-TAIL THAN SHOPPERS AGED 35+
xxx xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxx xxx
xxx
% USING ANY DIGITAL DEVICE PRIOR TO GOING TO THE STORE
48% personal
care
46% frozen food
42% OTC
medications
37% non-alcoholic
beverages
36% meat/ poultry
35% snacks
29% dairy
26% beer/wine/
spirits
19 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MORE MILLENNIALS (83%) MAKE GROCERY LISTS THAN OLDER SHOPPERS (72%)… …AND THE VAST MAJORITY HAND-WRITE THEM
xxx xxx xxx
80%+ OF SCHOOL SUPPLY, PAPER PRODUCTS AND PERSONAL CARE
SHOPPERS MADE LISTS
82% 83% 83%
xxx xxx xxx 62% 69% 74%
LIQUOR, SNACKS AND NON-ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGE SHOPPERS
WERE LEAST LIKELY TO MAKE LISTS
20 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
4 IMPACT ON THE MEAT DEPARTMENT
21 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
LIST MAKING AMONG MEAT/POULTRY BUYERS
81% Of Meat/Poultry
buyers made a list
Q14. Which of the following did you do before you shopped for insert category from S.2? Q15. Did you make a note (mental or written) to buy…?
YET 90% Do not list a brand
22 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
FINAL DECISIONS ON THE SPECIFIC MEAT/POULTRY ITEM(S) OFTEN HAPPEN AT SHELF
36%
32%
19%
13%
Base = Past Week Buyers of Meat/Poultry Products
Planning vs. Openness in the Item Decision Process
Decided what to buy before
shopping and bought the
planned item
Planned to buy category, but decided on exact item in store
Unplanned decision in
store
Decided what to buy before
shopping but was open to changing
mind at shelf
64% of Meat/Poultry buyers
are open to being influenced in store
23 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MEAT/POULTRY BUYERS SHOPPING ON DEAL
34%
33%
28%
26%
23%
20%
14%
11%
10%
7%
4%
Looked for special/sale pricing at the shelf
Selected a product because it was on sale
Checked the in-store circular/flyer for sales/deals
Looked for special promotions
Selected a product because it had the lowest price per unit/volume
Selected a product because it was the lowest-priced item
Looked for special displays
Selected a product because I had a coupon for it
Looked for coupons at the shelf
Used a digital device (smart phone, tablet) during the shopping process
Interacted with/asked questions of store personnel
In-Store Activities Among Past Week Meat/Poultry Buyers
Base = Past Week Buyers of Meat/Poultry Q21. Which of the following did you do while you were shopping for category from S.2 ?
24 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
23.0%
8.1%
14.9%
EDIBLES
26.0%
11.3%
14.7%
MILLENNIALS W/KIDS ARE A LARGER PERCENTAGE AND ARE GROWING FASTER THAN THOSE W/O KIDS
TOTAL POPULATION
+0.8
+0.2
MILLENNIALS MILLENNIALS NO KIDS MILLENNIALS W/KIDS
+0.6
TOTAL STORE
+0.8
+0.1
+0.7
24.1%
8.2%
15.9%
+1.0
+0.2
+0.8
Source: IRI CSIA Total Store View, Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
Total U.S. All Outlet
25 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
98% 91% 90%
81% 74%
60%
-0.3
-0.4 -0.6 -0.4
-0.4
+0.3
Total
CHICKEN BEEF/VEAL TURKEY SEAFOOD/
FISH
Source: IRI CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
THE PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLDS BUYING MEAT HAS DECLINED SLIGHTLY
% Households Buying Total U.S. All Outlet
PORK
26 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
$502
$107
$190
$90 $79
$36
+6%
+4%
+6%
-0.3
-0.0 -0.9
Total
CHICKEN
BEEF/VEAL
TURKEY
SEAFOOD/ FISH
HOWEVER, SPENDING REMAINS STRONG
+9%
+1% +7%
Source: IRI CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
$ Per Buyer Total U.S. All Outlet
PORK
27 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
$473
$125
$167
$81 $65
$35
+10% 91
+4% 117
+10% 84
+13% 90 Total
CHICKEN
BEEF/VEAL
TURKEY
SEAFOOD/ FISH
Source: IRI CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
MILLENNIALS SPEND MORE ON CHICKEN BUT OTHER PROTEINS ARE SEEING FASTER GROWTH
+17% / 79
+4% / 97
$ Per Buyer Total U.S. All Outlet
PORK
28 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
$522
$137
$191
$90 $67
$37
+17% 103
+9% 128
+16% 100
+18% 100 Total
CHICKEN
BEEF/VEAL
TURKEY
SEAFOOD/ FISH
Source: IRI CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
MILLENNIALS W/KIDS SPEND AVERAGE ON ALL FRESH MEAT EXCEPT CHICKEN
+27% / 85 +11% / 102
$ Per Buyer Total U.S. All Outlet
PORK
29 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIAL SPEND MORE THAN DOUBLES WHEN FRESH MEAT IS IN THE BASKET
$39 out of basket
$81 in basket
108% More $ Spent
per Trip
Source: IRI CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
$ Per Buyer Total U.S. All Outlet
Total
30 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS W/KIDS
99% 92%
52%
35%
12%
98% 93%
45%
35%
9%
MILLENNIALS W/KIDS INDEX HIGHEST AT WALMART AND OTHER MASS
TOTAL HHs
-0.3
-0.7
+2.3
-1.3
ALL OUTLET GROCERY X WALMART CLUB M SC X
IRI: CSIA Total Fresh Meat (FW & RW), Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
+0.6
MILLENNIALS
97% 91%
46%
31%
11%
-0.6 -1.5
+4.5
+1.7
-2.0
99 98
101
88
126
-0.4
-1.8
+3.9
+2.0
-2.2
101 99
115
99
135
% Households Buying Total U.S. Total
31 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS SEEKING PROTEIN
32 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
MILLENNIALS SEEKING HIGH PROTEIN CLAIMS, INDEX AT 114 TO TOTAL EDIBLES
Source: IRI CSIA Total Store View, Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
11%
42% 23%
24%
Generation X Baby Boomers
Retirees Seniors Millennials
10%
39% 24%
27%
Generation X Baby Boomers
Retirees Seniors Millennials
% OF EDIBLE $ SALES % OF EDIBLE $ SALES W/PROTEIN CLAIMS
33 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
24%
27% 26% 25%
14%
% of $ Spent
Total Edibles
+1.0
+0.7 +1.8 -0.1
+0.6
MILLENNIALS MAKE UP A HIGHER % OF TOTAL DOLLARS IN MANY HIGH PROTEIN CATEGORIES
100
112 106 105
58
Yogurt Peanut Butter
Jerky Snack nuts
Source: IRI CSIA Total Store View, Total U.S. All Outlet, 52 Weeks Ending 12/31/2015
34 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
SOURCES OF PROTEIN CONTINUE TO EXPAND
35 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Activating a Key Millennial Segment
“New Traditionalists”
36 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Free Spirits
Young, Single, Involved, Hispanic, College, Social, Impulsive, Trendsetter, Success =
Things/Power/Admiration/Entrepreneurship
Struggling Wanderers
Not Highly Educated, Struggling Financially, Many Not Employed, Store Pricing Drives
Purchasing, Not Strongly Digitally Connected
New Traditionalists
Affluent, Educated, Married, Faith-Involved, Values-Driven, Healthy, Role
Model, Good Financial Habits
Concerned Aspirationalists
Female, Struggling Financially, Moms, Worried, Smokers, Time-Strapped, Social
Media Devotee, Convenience Driven, Shopping is Therapy, Price Driven
Conscious Naturalists
Female, Moms, Happy but Often Overwhelmed, Eco-Conscious, Minimal Processed Food,
Homeopath, Planner, Buys Natural/Organic, Locally-grown, Fiscally Responsible
Confident Connectors
Affluent, Ethnically Diverse, Positive, Confident, Social, Successful, Leader, Socially Conscious, Success = External Validation, Healthy, Foodie,
Specialty Store Shopper, Digitally Savvy
13% 21
%
21%
13%
15%
17%
MILLENNIALS ARE NOT A ONE-SIZE-FITS-ALL GENERATION, SIX DISTINCT SEGMENTS EMERGE
37 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Conscious Naturalists
13% 21
%
13%
Involvement with Purchasing Refrigerated and Frozen Chicken
Free Spirits
% purchasing: 9% 69 Index
Struggling Wanderers
% purchasing: 21% 100 Index
15%
% purchasing: 19% 127 Index
Confident Connectors 17%
% purchasing: 12% 71 Index
% purchasing: 11% 85 Index
Concerned Aspirationalists
New Traditionalists
21%
% purchasing: 28% 133 Index
38 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
21%
MEET THE NEW TRADITIONALIST SEGMENT DREAM BIG. PLAN WELL. WORK HARD. ENJOY LIFE.
39 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
START ACTIVATING WHERE NEW TRADITIONALISTS LIVE
ShopperSights 6.4 TV Markets
Target Definition: Experian Mosaic Segments where MilleniaLink Segment HH Penetration 120+
Salt Lake City, UT 47.2%
195
Austin, TX 39.6%
164
Top 10 Markets Ranked on Pen. Index & where Target HHs 150K+
Dallas/Ft. Worth 32.5%
134
Denver, CO 35.0%
144 Las Vegas, NV
33.5% 139
Kansas City, MO 31.0%
128
Portland, OR 30.7%
127
Phoenix, AZ 30.7%
127
Minneapolis/St. Paul 30.9%
128
Columbus, OH 30.8%
127
Highest Indexing Markets
2nd Highest Indexing Markets
3rd Highest Indexing Markets
40 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Sports Stadiums & Arenas Elevator Ads Bus Ads
Outdoor & Alternative
Ads
Source: ShopperSights 6.4 – Simmons National Consumer Survey Dec 2014
START ACTIVATING NOW IN MEDIA NEW TRADITIONALISTS CONSUME
41 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
START ACTIVATING NOW IN MEDIA NEW TRADITIONALISTS CONSUME
Preferred Websites
Source: ShopperSights 6.4 – Simmons National Consumer Survey Dec 2014
42 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Source: ShopperSights 6.4 – Simmons National Consumer Survey Dec 2014
Favorite Cable TV Networks
START ACTIVATING NOW IN MEDIA NEW TRADITIONALISTS CONSUME
43 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Source: ShopperSights 6.4 – Simmons National Consumer Survey Dec 2014
START ACTIVATING NOW IN MEDIA NEW TRADITIONALISTS CONSUME
Preferred Magazines
44 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
ShopperSights 6.4 Chain Store Guide & InfoScan Major Food-Club-Mass–Drug-Dollar Retailers
START ACTIVATING NOW WHERE NEW TRADITIONALISTS SHOP
Selected Representative Retailers Target ACV $1B Top Indexed Retailers
45 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
5 IMPLICATIONS
46 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
WAYS TO CAPTURE THE MILLENNIAL SHOPPER
Increase focus on in-store marketing;
both digital and conventional
1 2 Aggressively
shift marketing spend
into digital
47 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
3 4 Invest in social
media marketing and capabilities
WAYS TO CAPTURE THE MILLENNIAL SHOPPER
Move beyond demo groups to activate targeted segments
48 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
5 WAYS TO CAPTURE THE MILLENNIAL SHOPPER
Scream “the
original source of protein”
49 Copyright © 2016 IRI. Confidential & Proprietary
Larry Levin 818.450.7614
Chris DuBois 312.342.8916