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The Logic of Logic Modelling Complexity of health technologies and systems Strong assumptions about the structure, content and objectives of a health technology as well as its implementation Negligence of system within which the intervention is intended to act and the potential interplay and co- evolution Describes components of complex interventions and relationships between them Makes underlying theories of change and assumptions about causal pathways explicit Describes interactions between the intervention and the system within which it is implemented Logic Models “… a graphic description of a system … designed to identify important elements and relationships within that system”. Logic Models “… a graphic description of a system … designed to identify important elements and relationships within that system”.
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Building a logic model of reinforced models of palliative care
Anke Rohwer, Andrew Booth, Lisa Pfadenhauer, Louise Brereton, Ansgar Gerhardus, Kati Mozygemba, Wija
Oortwijn, Marcia Tummers, Gert Jan van der Wilt, Eva Rehfuess
The INTEGRATE-HTA project is co-funded by the European Union under the Seventh Framework Programme (Grant Agreement No. 306141)
The logic of logic models
The Logic of Logic Modelling
Complexity of health technologies and systems
Strong assumptions about the structure, content and objectives of
a health technology as well as its implementation
Negligence of system within which the intervention is intended to act and the potential interplay and co-
evolution
Describes components of complex interventions and relationships between them
Makes underlying theories of change and assumptions about causal pathways explicit
Describes interactions between the intervention and the system within which it is implemented
Logic Models“… a graphic description of a system … designed to identify important elements and relationships within that system”.
Added value of using logic models in systematic reviews
Scoping the review
• Refining review question• Deciding on lumping or splitting a review topic• Identifying intervention components
Defining and conducting the review
• Identifying relevant study inclusion/exclusion criteria • Guiding the literature search strategy • Explaining the rationale behind surrogate outcomes used in the review• Justifying need for subgroup analyses (e.g. age, sex/gender,
socioeconomic status)
Making the review relevant to policy and practice
• Structuring reporting of results• Interpreting results based on intervention theory and systems thinking• Illustrating how harms and feasibility are connected with interventions• Interpreting results based on intervention theory and systems thinking
(Anderson et al, 2011)
Method of development of logic models: four step process• (i) systematic searches for published examples of
logic models• (ii) searches for existing guidance on the use of logic
models in primary research, SRs and HTAs• (iii) development of two draft templates for system-
based and process-orientated logic models and • (iv) application of these templates in three SRs and
one HTA of different complex health technologies.
Logic models in HTA and Systematic Reviews
HTA/SR research question
Check literature for published logic models
Adoption of published logic model Adaptation of logic model
De novo logic model
Type of logic model
Subtype of logic model
A-priori logic model Iterative logic model Staged logic model
Process-based logic model System-based logic model
Three types of logic model
Label Meaning
Type
A priori logic model
A logic model that is specified as close to the inception of an HTA or SR as scoping the literature and/or stakeholder consultation permit and that remains unchanged during the HTA/SR process.
Iterative logic model
A logic model that is subject to continual modification and revision throughout the course of an HTA or SR.
Staged logic model
A type of iterative logic model that pre-specifies points at which major data inputs are anticipated to prompt a subsequent version of the logic model, thereby increasing transparency and minimising problems with version control.
Subtype: System-based logic model
Subtype: Process-oriented logic model
Populating the logic model template
SAP and expert input
Discussion within team
Literature review
Logic models in the INTEGRATE-HTA Process
Create specific logic model regarding the
theme e.g. palliative care based on the data from
step 1
Create logic model architecture and attributes for specific technologies according to a generic logic model template
Review and adaptaptation of specific model by SAPs and HTA researchers
Construction of the ELMMAR (Extended Logic Model to Map the
Assessment Results) Model: Integration of the assessment
results (effectiveness, ethics etc.)
Evidence summaries about different assessment aspects (e.g.
effectiveness, ethics)
Selection of theme for assessment e.g. palliative
care
Specific scoping
procedures for each
assessment aspect
considered
Decision-making body, HTA commissioning agency
Scoping literature overview
Literature review, SAP consultations
Identify and assess patient preferences, moderators, context and
implementation
Result
Definition of HTA research question, assessment criteria and preliminary
definition of technologies e.g. models of care and relevant issues
ResultSpecific logic model to start evidence
collection including A,B,C,D,E
Scientific assessment of evidence
Result Evidence reports and evidence summaries for each assessment
aspectResult
ELMMAR Model and synthesised evidence according
to the HTA research questionResult HTA decision/ recommendation
Step 1: HTA Objectives and Technology Step 2: Logic Model to define evidence needs Step 3: Evidence assessment Step 4: Mapping of the evidence Step 5: HTA decision-making
Summarizing and structuring the assessment results into specific assessment criteria of the HTA
research question
Review by stakeholders (HTA researchers, SAPs, decision-maker)
Selecting a tool to structure a deliberative discussion (in
cooperation with the decision committee)
Refinement of A,B,C,D, E:A) Definition of specific technologiesB) Relevant issuesC) Outcome parameterD) Relevant patient characteristics (preferences, moderators)E) Context and implementation issuesDefinition of relevant issues and
assessment criteria regarding the assessment theme (e.g. access,
continuity)
Deliberative reflections of stakeholders/decision-makers
about unanswered issues/ uncertainty/
limitations of the assessment process (steps 1- 4)
Deriving conclusions from the ELMMAR Model (HTA researchers,
SAPs, decision-maker)
Definition of stakeholder
advisory panel (SAP)
Definition of functional
requirements of the decision-making body HTA researchers
Specific requirements and evidence needs according to the specific logic model, context, implemantation and
patient groups (moderators/preferences), relevant issues
Evidence collection for all assessed aspects (effectiveness, economics,
ethical, legal, cultural, and social aspects, relevant issues)
Review of the assessment results by HTA researchers and SAPs
Completing evidence summary templates
about different assessment aspects (e.g. effectiveness,
ethics)
Presentation of HTA results obtained from steps 3 and 4 to a decision committee comprising stakeholders/decision-makers
INTEGRATE-HTA model
Ideal application of Logic Models in INTEGRATE-HTA: Staged system-based logic model
Based on the agreed HTA question and a combination of team discussions, literature and SAPs.
Initial Logic Model
1
Based on an analysis of context and implementation, patient preferences and moderators of treatment.
Iteration 1
2Based on the results of the effectiveness review and economic assessment, as well as insights generated through the socio-cultural, ethical and legal assessments.
Iteration 2
3
Based on any additional findings generated through an assessment of context and implementation.
Final Logic Model
4
System-based logic model of reinforced and non-reinforced home-based palliative care (Brereton et al. 2015)
Discussion
• Added value– Getting team on same page– Integrating various types of evidence/knowledge– Structuring subsequent SR/HTA process– Graphical means of communication
• Strenghts and limitations:– parallel development of methods and application in
demonstration HTA– Empirical testing in various SR– Each type and subtype of logic models has its specific
strengths and limitations
Conflict of Interest
• The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare
<DISCLAIMER: The sole responsibility for the content of this presentation lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the European Union. The European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the
information contained therein.>
References
• Anderson LM, Petticrew M, Rehfuess E, Armstrong R, Ueffing E, Baker P, et al. Using logic models to capture complexity in SRs. Research Synthesis Methods. 2011;2(1):33-42.
• Rohwer, A., Booth, A., Pfadenhauer, L., Brereton, L., Gerhardus, A., Mozygemba, K., Oortwijn, W., Tummers, M., Van Der Wilt, G.J., Rehfuess, E. (2015) Guidance on the use of logic models in health technology assessments of complex interventions [Online]. Available from: http://www.integrate-hta.eu/downloads/