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1 THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT

Budget 1996 Bud

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  • 1THE BUDGET MESSAGEOF THE PRESIDENT

  • 2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DOLLAR

    WHERE IT GOES...

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    DIRECT BENEFITPAYMENTS FOR

    INDIVIDUALS48 %

    NETINTEREST

    16 %

    NATIONALDEFENSE

    16 %

    OTHERFEDERAL

    OPERATIONS5 %

    GRANTS TO STATES

    & LOCALITIES15 %

    WHERE IT COMES FROM...

    OTHER4 %

    EXCISETAXES

    3 %

    CORPORATEINCOMETAXES

    10 %

    FISCAL YEAR 1996 ESTIMATES

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    SOCIALINSURANCERECEIPTS

    32 %

    BORROWING12 %

    INDIVIDUALINCOMETAXES

    39 %

    RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEFICITS(In billions of dollars)

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

    Receipts ................................ 1,257.7 1,346.4 1,415.5 1,471.6 1,548.8 1,624.7 1,710.9Outlays ................................. 1,460.9 1,538.9 1,612.1 1,684.7 1,745.2 1,822.2 1,905.3

    Deficit () ............................. 203.2 192.5 196.7 213.1 196.4 197.4 194.4On-budget deficit () ........ (258.8) (251.8) (262.0) (284.5) (274.8) (283.3) (288.6)Off-budget surplus ........... (55.7) (59.3) (65.3) (71.4) (78.4) (85.9) (94.2)

  • 3THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENTTo the Congress of the United States:

    The 1996 Budget, which I am transmittingto you with this message, builds on theAdministration's strong record of economicprogress during the past two years andseeks to create a brighter future for allAmericans.

    When I took office two years ago, theeconomy was suffering from slow growth,inadequate investment, and very low levelsof job creation. We moved quickly and vigor-ously to address these problems. Workingwith Congress in 1993, we enacted the largestdeficit reduction package in history. We cutFederal spending by $255 billion over fiveyears, cut taxes for 40 million low- andmoderate-income Americans, and made 90percent of small business eligible for taxrelief, while increasing income tax rates onlyon the wealthiest 1.2 percent of Americans.And while we placed a tight ``freeze'' onoverall discretionary spending at 1993 levels,we shifted spending toward investments inhuman and physical capital that will helpsecure our future.

    As we fought for our budget and economicpolicies, we moved aggressively to open worldmarkets for American goods and services.We negotiated the North American Free TradeAgreement with Canada and Mexico, con-cluded negotiations over the Uruguay Roundof the General Agreement on Tariffs andTrade, and worked with Congress to enactimplementing legislation for both.

    Our economic plan helped bring the deficitdown from $290 billion in 1992, to $203billion in 1994, to a projected $193 billionthis yearproviding three straight years ofdeficit reduction for the first time sinceHarry Truman was President. Measured asa percentage of our economythat is, GrossDomestic Product (GDP)our plan will cutthe deficit in half.

    By reassuring the financial markets thatwe were serious about getting our fiscalhouse in order, our plan also lowered interest

    rates while holding inflation in check. Thathelped to stimulate private investment andexports, and sparked the creation of 5.6million new jobsmore than twice the numberin the previous four years.

    Now that we have brought the deficitdown, we have no intention of turning back.My budget keeps us on the course of fiscaldiscipline by proposing $81 billion in addi-tional deficit reduction through the year 2000.I am proposing to save $23 billion byreinventing three Cabinet departments andtwo other major agencies, to save $2 billionby ending more than 130 programs altogether,and to provide better service to Americansby consolidating more than 270 other pro-grams. Under my plan, the deficit will con-tinue to fall as a percentage of GDP to2.1 percent, reaching its lowest level since1979.

    Despite our strong economic record, however,many Americans have not shared in thefruits of recovery. Though these Americansare working harder and harder, their incomesare either stagnant or falling. The problemis particularly acute among those with lesseducation or fewer of the skills needed tocompete in an increasingly global economy.To build a more prosperous America, onewith rising living standards for all Americans,we must turn our attention to those whohave not benefited from the current recovery.

    My budget proposes to do that.

    Promoting a Rising Standard of Livingfor All Americans

    I am proposing a Middle Class Bill ofRights, which will provide tax relief to middle-income Americans. The Middle Class Billof Rights includes a $500 per child taxcredit for middle-income families with childrenunder 13; expands eligibility for IndividualRetirement Accounts and allows families tomake penalty-free withdrawals for a rangeof educational, housing, and medical needs;and offers a tax deduction for the costsof college, university, or vocational education.

  • 4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Also as part of my Middle Class Bill ofRights, I am proposing to revamp our confus-ing array of job training programs by consoli-dating some 70 of them. In my G.I. Billfor America's Workers, I propose to offerdislocated and low-income workers ``Skillgrants'' through which they can make theirown choices about the training they needto find new and better jobs.

    The G.I. Bill for America's Workers isthe final element of my effort to improvethe education and skills of Americans, ena-bling them to compete in the economy oftoday and tomorrow. In the last two years,we enacted Goals 2000 to encourage Statesand localities to reform their education sys-tems; revamped the student loan programto make post-secondary education affordableto more Americans; and pushed successfullyfor the School-to-Work program that enablesyoung Americans to move more easily fromhigh school to training or more education.

    And I am proposing to pay for this MiddleClass Bill of Rights with specific spendingcuts. In fact, I am proposing enough spendingcuts to provide more than twice as muchin budget savings$144 billionas the taxcuts will cost$63 billionover five years.

    Creating Opportunity and EncouragingResponsibility

    By itself, the Federal Government cannotrebuild America's communities. What it cando is give communities some of the toolsand resources to address their problems intheir own way. My national service programprovides incentives for Americans of all agesto volunteer their services in local communitiesacross the country, and earn money fortheir own education. The budget proposesto invest more in our urban centers aswell as in rural areas, and to continueour efforts to build stronger government-to-government relations with American Indianand Alaska Native Tribes. And I will workwith Congress to enact comprehensive welfarereform that embodies the principles of workand responsibility for abled-bodied recipients,while protecting their children.

    My Administration has worked with Stateand local law enforcement agencies to helpretake the streets from the criminals and

    drug dealers who, in far too many places,now control them. Congress enacted my crimebill last year, finally answering the criesof Americans after too many years of debateand gridlock. We pushed successfully forthe ``three strikes and you're out'' rule forviolent criminals, and we are making signifi-cant progress on my promise to put 100,000more police on the street. Congress alsopassed the long-overdue Brady Bill, whichprovides for background checks that willkeep guns out of the hands of criminals.In this budget, I am proposing new fundswith which States and localities can hiremore police, build more space in prisonsand boot camps, invest in prevention programsfor first-time offenders, and provide drugtreatment for many more drug users.

    My Administration inherited deep-seatedproblems with the immigration system, andwe have gone a long way toward addressingthem. This budget proposes the strongestefforts yet, including funds for over 1,000new Border Patrol agents, inspectors, andsupport staff. While working to fulfill theFederal Government's responsibility to secureour borders against illegal immigration, thebudget also proposes funds to assist Statesthat are unduly burdened with the health,education, and prison-related costs associatedwith illegal immigrants.

    We must redouble our efforts to protectthe environment. My Administration hassought more innovative, effective approachesto do so, and this budget would build uponthem. In particular, I am proposing to workmore with State and local governments, busi-nesses, and environmental groups on collabo-rative efforts, while seeking more funds forhigh-priority programs.

    Because investments in science and tech-nology pay off in higher productivity andliving standards down the road, I am seekingsignificant new funding for the AdvancedTechnology Program at the Commerce Depart-ment's National Institute of Standards andTechnology, NASA's New Technology Invest-ments, the Defense Department's TechnologyReinvestment Project, biomedical research atthe National Institutes of Health, and researchand development at the National ScienceFoundation. I am also seeking to strengthen

  • 5THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT

    our coordinated efforts through the Adminis-tration's National Science and TechnologyCouncil and to improve the payment systemfor federally-sponsored research at collegesand universities.

    I remain committed to comprehensive healthcare reform. The problems that promptedme to send Congress the Health SecurityAct in November 1993 have not gone away.Health care costs have continued to soarfor individuals, businesses, and all levelsof government. More Americans are losingtheir health coverage each year, and manyothers are staying in jobs only out of fearof losing their own coverage. I am askingCongress to work with me on a bipartisanbasis, to take the first steps toward guarantee-ing health care coverage to every Americanwhile containing costs.

    Projecting American Leadership Aroundthe World

    We have begun the post-Cold War eraand welcome one of its most significantfruitsthe continuing efforts of Russia andthe newly-independent states to move towarddemocracy and economic freedom. We proposeto continue our support for this fundamentalchange that clearly serves the Nation's long-term interests.

    My proposals for international affairs alsopromote and defend this Nation's vital inter-ests in Central Europe, the Middle East,and Asia. The budget supports the importantrole we play in fostering our historic peaceprocess in the Middle East.

    With the global economy offering the pros-pect of new markets for American goods,we are redoubling our efforts to promotean open trading system in Asia, as wellas in Latin America and the rest of theglobe. I am, for instance, proposing increasedfunding for our trade promotion agencies,such as the Export-Import Bank, whichstrengthen our trade position. I am alsoasking for continued support for the bilateraland multilateral assistance to less-developednations that can prevent humanitarian crises,as well as support for a strong Americanresponse to these crises.

    Our military strength works in synergywith our foreign policy. Our forces defendour interests, deterring potential adversariesand reassuring our friends. My Defense Fund-ing Initiative, a $25 billion increase in defensespending over the next six years, marksthe third time that I have raised defensespending above my initial funding plan inorder to support and maintain the mostcapable military force in the world. I amdetermined to ensure a high level of readinessof U.S. military forces, to continue to improvethe pay and quality of life for the menand women who serve, and to ensure thatour forces are modernized with new systemsthat will be available near the end of thecentury.

    Making Government Work

    None of our efforts can fully succeed unlesswe make Government work for all Americans.We have made great progress with the Na-tional Performance Review (NPR), which Iestablished early in the Administration andwhich Vice President Gore has so ably runat my direction.

    Specifically, departments and agenciesacross the Government have made substantialprogress on each of the NPR's four themes:putting customers first, empowering employeesto get results, cutting red tape, and cuttingback to basics. The departments and agencieshave established customer service standardsand streamlined their operations. They alsoare working with my Office of Managementand Budget to focus more on ``performance''what Federal programs actually accomplish.And they are doing all this while we arecutting the Federal workforce by 272,900positions, bringing it to its smallest sizesince John Kennedy was President.

    We also greatly improved the Federal regu-latory system, opening it up more to publicscrutiny. We plan to build upon our efforts,to make sure that we are protecting thepublic while not unduly burdening any oneindustry or group. We also overhauled theFederal procurement system, cutting moun-tains of red tape and enabling the Governmentto buy high-quality goods and services atlower cost.

  • 6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Despite such progress, however, we areonly beginning our efforts. I recently an-nounced a major restructuring of the Depart-ments of Housing and Urban Development,Energy, and Transportation, the General Serv-ices Administration, and the Office of Person-nel Management. The budget contains detailsof these restructurings and our related propos-als that affect hundreds of other programs.

    In the coming months, the Vice Presidentwill lead Phase II of our crusade to reinventGovernmentan effort to identify other agen-cies and programs to restructure or terminate,to sort out responsibilities among the Federal,State, and local levels of government, andto choose functions better performed by theprivate sector.

    Conclusion

    Our agenda is working. By cutting thebudget deficit, investing in our people, and

    opening world markets, we have begun tolay the foundation for a strong economyfor years to come. And by reinventing theFederal Government, cutting red tape andlayers of management, we have begun tomake Government more responsive to theAmerican people.

    This budget seeks to build upon thoseefforts. It seeks to spread the benefits ofour economic recovery to more Americansand give them the tools to build a brighterfuture for themselves. It also seeks to continueour reinvention effortsto eliminate or re-structure agencies and programs, and tobetter sort out responsibilities among theFederal, State, and local levels of government.

    These proposals will help us to createa stronger economy and more effective Govern-ment. I will ask for Congress's help inthese efforts.

    WILLIAM J. CLINTON

    February 6, 1995

  • 7PROMOTING A RISINGSTANDARD OF LIVINGFOR ALL AMERICANS

  • 9PROMOTING A RISING STANDARD OFLIVING FOR ALL AMERICANS

    The Administration's central economic objec-tive is to improve living standards for thegreatest possible number of American families.Since 1993, the President has laid a firmfoundationwith a series of budget, trade,education, and other policies that have helpedgenerate the remarkable economic recoveryof the last two years. With his new MiddleClass Bill of Rights and this budget, thePresident is building upon that foundationto raise take-home pay for Americans todayand help them acquire skills and more finan-cial security tomorrow.

    Two years ago, ballooning Federal budgetdeficits were the greatest barrier to risingstandards of living. The Government soakedup so much private saving that interestrates soared and businesses could not affordinvestments to make our economy more pro-ductive, and our workers more prosperous.With a balanced package of spending cutsand revenue increases, the President's pro-gram brought the deficit down steeplyfrom$290 billion in 1992 to a projected $193billion in 1995marking three straight yearsof deficit reduction for the first time sinceHarry Truman was President. Through theVice President's National Performance Reviewand subsequent legislation, Federal employ-ment has fallen by nearly 100,000 and soonwill drop to its lowest level since JohnKennedy was President.

    On the tax side, the President and Congressincreased the earned income tax credit, whichcut income taxes for 40 million Americansin 15 million working families. The taxcuts provided relief where it was neededmost and, by augmenting low wages, fulfilledthe President's pledge to ``make work pay.''The President also made 90 percent of Ameri-ca's small businesses eligible for tax relief.

    Deficit reduction and spending restraintbrought interest rates down. Lower interestrates and targeted tax relief jump-startedwhat had been a weak recovery from the1990 recession. Since this Administration took

    office in January of 1993, the economy hasproduced a whopping 5.6 million new jobs,compared to 2.4 million in the prior fouryears. Yet, inflation remains at the slowestpace in decades.

    Rapid job growth and low inflation areprerequisites for rising living standards, wide-ly shared. But, alone, they are not enough.

    While freezing total discretionary spendingfor three budget years, the President shiftedbillions of dollars to investments in humanand physical capital that will help raiseproductivity and, with it, living standardsdown the road. He focused on better educatingthe young, making college more affordablefor millions of students, improving workers'skills, and reforming the welfare system toreduce dependency and increase opportunity.He worked with Congress to create theGoals 2000 program, which rewards localschools that set and pursue their own edu-cational milestones, and a direct studentloan program, which cut the cost of Federalsupport for higher education. At the sametime, he focused on investments in scienceand technology and in physical capital.

    The economy has improved far more thaneven the most optimistic forecasters predictedtwo years ago, and the deficit is muchlower than anticipated. And yet, not everyonehas joined in the economic recovery. Millionsof Americans continue to work harder andharder, only to see their real incomes stagnateor even decline and their jobs remain uncer-tain. The problems are particularly acuteamong those with little education or fewskills. With this budget, the President buildsupon his economic plan with the MiddleClass Bill of Rightsboth short- and long-term policies to raise the living standardsof those hard-working, middle-income Ameri-cans. His goal is straightforward: Havingcreated millions of new jobs, he now wantsto create jobs that are better and moresecure.

  • 10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    The President's Middle Class Bill of Rightshas the following four elements:

    For tax relief, the President proposes amiddle-income tax cuta tax credit forfamilies with children under age 13thatwill help Americans with the day-to-daycosts of raising families.

    To increase the Nation's savings and thefinancial self-reliance and retirement re-serves of American workers, the Presidentproposes expanded eligibility for Individ-ual Retirement Accounts (IRAs). With thisprovision, most American families willhave a tax incentive to make their owninvestments in their futures. And to helpwith the major challenges of buying a firsthome, paying for catastrophic health costs,withstanding the financial pressure of jobloss, and financing education (to increaseour skills for the competitive economy oftomorrow), the President would create op-portunities for penalty-free withdrawalsfrom IRAs.

    To nourish the skills workers need in to-morrow's economy, the President proposesa tax deduction for the costs of post-sec-ondary education. This gives averageAmerican families a tax cut if they invest

    in their children'sor their ownedu-cation and skills.

    To equip today's workers, and tomorrow's,with the education and job skills they needto compete effectively in the global econ-omy, the President proposes a G.I. Bill forAmerica's Workers that empowers individ-uals by awarding them skill grants andprovides greater flexibility for State andlocal governments.

    At the same time, the President proposesto build upon his successes in opening foreignmarkets, to generate more of the high-payingjobs associated with rising U.S. trade. Hewill negotiate to expand membership in theNorth American Free Trade Agreement, imple-ment the recent General Agreement on Tariffsand Trade, and seek other bilateral andmulti-lateral opportunities to open new mar-kets. He also will restructure U.S. tradepromotion programs to target assistance toexporters.

    In short, this budget builds on a baseof deficit reduction and economic strengthby continuing to pursue sound fiscal policiesand investments to bolster and further spreadour improved living standards. It will makean enviable economic record even better.

  • 11

    1. Sharing the Benefits of EconomicGrowth

  • 13

    Table 11. AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME, BY QUINTILE(Incomes in constant 1993 dollars)

    Quintile Top 5PercentLowest Second Third Fourth Highest

    1993 ......................................................... 7,411 18,647 31,260 48,572 98,589 163,2281980 ......................................................... 7,567 18,834 31,079 45,787 81,638 121,998Absolute Growth, 198093 ..................... 156 187 181 2,785 16,951 41,230Percent growth 198093 ........................ 2.1 1.0 0.6 6.1 20.8 33.8

    Source: Bureau of the Census

    1. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMICGROWTH

    A MIDDLE-CLASS TAX CUT

    The Problem of Lagging Incomes

    On the domestic front, the President's high-est priority is to spread the benefits ofour economic growth to average Americanswhose incomes have remained stagnant oreven declined.

    The roots of the problems of working Ameri-cans date back over 20 years. Rapid techno-logical advances have put a premium oneducation and job skills. Generally speaking,those with high education and sophisticatedskills have benefited in the last two decades;their standards of living have risen. Thosewithout the requisite education and skills,however, have had to work longer hoursor more than one job just to maintaintheir living standards. Even that wasn'tenough for the many whose living standardsdeclined.

    In recent decades, the middle class hasnot fully shared in the benefits of a growingeconomy. From 198093, real incomes ofthe middle one-fifth of households rose byonly 0.6 percent, an average of under $200each (Table 11). Incomes of the top fifth,however, grew by 20.8 percent, or about$17,000 each. Even more striking, incomesof the top five percent grew by over 33percent, or over $41,200.

    As a result, the share of total householdincome enjoyed by the middle class fell.The share going to the middle three-fifthsof households fell from 51.8 percent in 1980to 48.2 percent in 1993. The share of incomeenjoyed by the top fifth rose from 44.1percent to 48.2 percent. Thus, by 1993,the top fifth of households was receivingthe same share of income as the middlethree-fifths.

    Moreover, the top five percent enjoyedmost of the growth in income of the topone-fifth; its income share rose from 16.6percent of all household income in 1980to 20 percent in 1993. Meanwhile, the shareof income of the lowest fifth fell from 4.2percent to 3.6 percent.

    Millions of working American families clear-ly have lagged behind the pace of growingeconomic prosperityeven in the last twoyears, when growth in the overall economyhas been especially brisk. The President'sprogram is designed to help lift the incomesof the broad middle class of American workers.

    A First Step: The 1993 Tax Cut

    Two years ago, the President and Congresstook a major first step to raise the limitedincome growth and reduce the tax burdensof lower-middle-income American workers:They made the earned income tax credit

  • 14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    1 By comparison, the Republican ``Contract with America'' propos-als would give 49.9 percent of their benefits to families with in-comes over $100,000, and 28.3 percent to those with incomes over$200,000 (the 2.2 percent of families with the highest incomes).Families with incomes under $75,000 would get only 35.3 percentof the benefits. Thus, the small group of families that enjoyed thebiggest income gains in recent years would get the biggest tax cuts,while the vast bulk of middle-income families that experienced onlymodest gains would get a smaller share.

    (EITC) more generous and extended it tomore people. Their action greatly reducedthe tax burden on these people and, bylifting working families with children abovethe poverty line, fulfilled the President's com-mitment to make work pay.

    The EITC, which dates back to 1975,was originally designed to offset the burdenof the Social Security payroll tax for low-wage workers with children, and to supple-ment wages as a way to encourage work.Congress extended it for two years in 1976,and increased it while making it permanenttwo years later. Since then, Congress hasperiodically increased and refined it. In 1993,the President and Congress chose to makethe EITC available for the first time topoor workers without children. Today, theEITC is ``refundable''that is, individualswho owe no income taxes still may beeligible for a Federal refund. Consequently,the EITC helps to raise average incomesof working families with incomes in thebottom fifth of Americans.

    In 1996, when the recent changes becomefully effective, low-income families with twoor more children will receive a 40-percentwage subsidy on earnings up to $8,900.That is, each $100 of earnings will entitleworkers to a $40 EITC. The maximum creditwill be $3,560 for workers who earn between$8,900 and $11,620. The credit is phasedout for workers earning between $11,620and $28,520.

    In 1993, the imperative of reducing thedeficit precluded the President and Congressfrom extending middle-income tax relief tomore Americans. Now, with the deficit ex-pected to fall again in 1995, the Presidentcan continue the tax relief he began in1993 while maintaining his commitment tofiscal discipline: Under the President's pro-gram, every dollar of tax cuts is offsetby spending cuts described, in detail, laterin this budget.

    The President's New Proposal

    The President targets his new tax cutsquarely at the middle class. More than60 percent of the benefits will go to familieswith incomes below $75,000; 87 percent will

    go to families with incomes below $100,000.1(See Table 12.)

    The President's tax cut has three mainelements aimed at strengthening families,promoting education, and encouraging saving:

    $500 non-refundable credit for each de-pendent child under the age of 13: Thiscredit will be fully available to taxpayerswith adjusted gross income (AGI) of lessthan $60,000, then phased out for incomesfrom $60,000 to $75,000. To insure thatthe tax cut does not increase the deficit,the credit is phased in only as fast asspending can be cut. That is, the creditwill be $300 for 1996, 1997, and 1998,and $500 for 1999 and beyond.

    This credit will provide substantial taxrelief. For example, a two-parent, two-childfamily with $50,000 of wage and salaryincome (in 1995 dollars) and $7,500 of itemizeddeductions will enjoy a 21 percent cut intaxesfrom $4,875 to $3,875once the creditis fully in place. For hard-pressed workingfamilies, this tax saving could serve as amortgage payment or as a reserve againsta significant medical bill or other importantexpenses.

    Deduction for up to $10,000 in post-secondary education and training ex-penses: This benefit will be available fortuition and fees (for the taxpayer, spouse,or dependents) for any college, university,or vocational program eligible for Federalassistance. Also, taxpayers will be able totake the deduction ``above the line''; it willreduce their AGI and not be limited totaxpayers who itemize deductions.

    The maximum allowable deduction will bephased in. It will start at $5,000 in 1996and rise to $10,000 in 1999 and beyond.Taxpayers with AGI (before the deduction)below $100,000 will be eligible for the fulldeduction; it will be phased out for taxpayerswith AGI between $100,000 and $120,000.

  • 151. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    Table 12. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THEPRESIDENT'S MIDDLE-CLASS TAX CUT PROPOSAL

    (1994 income levels)

    Family Economic Income Class 1(In thousands of dollars)

    Number ofFamilies inFEI Income

    Class(millions)

    President'sMiddle-Class

    Tax Cut(percent)

    010 ........................................................................................... 14.9 0.11020 ......................................................................................... 18.4 1.12030 ......................................................................................... 16.0 4.33050 ......................................................................................... 22.4 23.35075 ......................................................................................... 17.4 32.575100 ....................................................................................... 9.9 25.6100200 ..................................................................................... 8.8 12.4200 & over ................................................................................ 2.4 0.6Total 2 ........................................................................................ 110.7 100.0

    Source: Department of Treasury, Office of Tax Analysis, January 9, 1995.1 Family Economic Income (FEI) is a comprehensive income concept that is broader than adjusted

    gross income.2 Families with negative incomes are included in the total line but are not shown separately.

    (For taxpayers filing as single or head-of-household, it will be phased out over theAGI range of $70,000 to $90,000.) Whenfully implemented, this deduction could pro-vide tax savings of $1,500 to $2,800 formiddle-income families.

    Because college costs hit in large lumpsums, even upper-middle-income families findthem hard to swallow. The prospect of suchexpenses and a burden of debt upon gradua-tion can deter some familiesespecially thoseof lower incomefrom making this key invest-ment. This deduction will strengthen theeconomic incentive for doing so, thus promot-ing long-term increases in productivity andeconomic growth as well as broadening eco-nomic opportunity.

    It also will help level the playing fieldbetween investments for physical capital andthose for human capital. Investments forphysical capital, such as plant and equipment,are eligible for deductions for depreciation.Individuals' investments in skills and training,however, generally are not eligible for suchdeductions.

    Greatly expanded Individual RetirementAccount (IRA) options: Today, couples withAGI of up to $40,000 can make fully deductiblecontributions of up to $2,000 to IRAs. The

    President would double the income limitto $80,000 (phased out at $100,000) forfamilies, and raise it to $50,000 (phasedout at $70,000) for individuals.

    The President's proposal would extend fullydeductible IRAs to the vast majority of tax-payers. Moreover, it would index these incomelimits, as well as the $2,000 maximum con-tribution, for inflation; eligibility and incomelimits would increase over time. In addition,taxpayers eligible for deductible IRAs couldselect a new ``Special IRA,'' which providesits tax benefits at the time of withdrawal,not contribution. Rather than receive a taxdeduction for contributions, individuals couldelect to pay no taxes on the money theywithdraw from IRAs after at least five years.Finally, individuals with AGI below the eligi-bility levels could convert an existing IRAto a Special IRA.

    Individuals also could withdraw funds earlyfrom an IRA without paying the 10-percentpenaltyif they use the money for:

    Post-secondary education;

    Purchase of a first home;

    Unemployment spells of 12 weeks or more;

  • 16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Care of an incapacitated elderly parent orgrandparent; or

    Medical expenses in excess of 7.5 percentof AGI.

    From the IRA expansion, too, the taxcut could prove substantial. Taxes for middle-income families could fall $600 to $1,120if both spouses work and contribute themaximum $4,000 to their IRAs.

    Expanded IRAs will promote savings, help-ing families and the economy as a whole:They will encourage middle-income familiesto save, enhancing their long-term economicindependence; and they will increase theavailability of capital to U.S. business, expand-ing investment and speeding the growth ofproductivity and incomes.

    Currently, the U.S. personal savings rateis low in historic terms and by internationalcomparison, handicapping investment and eco-nomic growth. The expanded IRAs will senda signal to Americans that saving is important.The availability of these new opportunitieswill encourage private financial institutionsto spread the word.

    SECURING HIGHER INCOMES

    Education . . . has a bigger impact on earningsand job security than ever before . . . Every Americanneeds the skills necessary to prosper in the neweconomy . . . So let's invest the fruits of today's recov-ery into tomorrow's opportunity.

    President ClintonAddress to the NationDecember 15, 1994

    The President's G.I. Bill for America's Work-ers, the fourth element of his Middle ClassBill of Rights, will ensure that all Americansincluding those who don't benefit from thetax cutshave the opportunity to get theskills they need. This initiative not onlycomplements other parts of the Middle ClassBill of Rights but also builds on the Adminis-tration's success, working with the last Con-gress, in improving the education systemfrom preschool through college, thus helpingto insure that the next generation will enterthe workforce better prepared than previous

    ones. By focusing on adults as well asyouth, this education and training initiativewould make lifelong learning opportunitiesfor all Americans a reality.

    The Lifelong Learning Agenda

    The comprehensive set of initiatives forlifelong learning began with successful, bipar-tisan legislation of the last two years toincrease educational opportunity and qualityfor young people and make college moreaffordable:

    Head Start Act;

    Goals 2000: Educate America Act;

    School-to-Work Opportunities Act;

    Improving America's Schools Act; and

    Student Loan Reform Act.

    Through these laws, the Administrationand Congress are making pre-school moreeffective, helping States set challenging stand-ards for our schools, helping schools incor-porate those standards into system-wide ele-mentary and secondary education improve-ments, enabling high school students to moresuccessfully move from school to work andfurther education, and making college loansmore affordable. These laws help States andlocalities raise the achievement and skilllevels of all students and workers in orderto build a sounder economy, and strongdemocracy, in the future.

    The final component of this agenda isthe President's new skills initiative. Workingwith States, communities, and the privatesector, it will produce a thorough restructuringof the wide array of Federal education andtraining programs, make job search assistancemore effective, and put more dollars directlyin the hands of workers and job seekerswho need and want new skills.

    For the major components of the LifelongLearning Agenda, the budget proposes $27.7billion, an increase of $2.5 billion over the1995 leveland an increase of $5.2 billion,or 23 percent, over 1993. (See Table 13.)

    What We Have Achieved

    In the U.S., education is mainly a State,local, and private sector responsibility. The

  • 171. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    Table 13. THE BUDGET INCREASES INVESTMENT IN MAJOR PRO-GRAMS FOR LIFELONG LEARNING BY $2.5 BILLION OVER 1995, ANINCREASE OF $5.2 BILLION, OR 23 PERCENT OVER THE 1993 LEVEL

    (Budget authority, in millions of dollars)

    1993Actual

    1995Estimate 1

    1996Proposed

    Change:1995 to

    1996

    Change:1993 to

    1996

    Head Start ............................................................... 2,776 3,535 3,935 +400 +1,159Goals 2000 ............................................................... .............. 403 750 +347 +750Education for the Disadvantaged (Title I) ............ 6,686 7,233 7,441 +208 +755Professional Development (Title II) ....................... .............. 320 735 +415 +735Charter Schools ....................................................... .............. 6 20 +14 +20Education Technology (ED and DOL) ................... .............. 40 98 +58 +98Safe and Drug-Free Schools 2 ................................. 582 482 500 +18 82School-to-Work (ED and DOL) [included in G.I.

    Bill for America's Workers entry]G.I. Bill for America's Workers .............................. 12,426 13,186 14,202 +1,016 +1,776

    Total BA, lifelong learning ............................ 22,470 25,205 27,681 +2,476 +5,211

    Loans for education and training (in millions ofdollars) .................................................................. 17,873 25,757 28,356 +2,599 +10,4831 Includes proposed supplementals and rescissions.2 Reflects Congress' cut below the appropriation request in 1995.

    Federal Government provides less than 10percent of total public funds spent for thesepurposes. This tradition of local responsibilityand control precludes the possibility of top-down reform. If schools are to improve,States, local school districts, and individualschoolstogether with parentsmust take thelead and play active roles. Quality, equity,and access to education are, however, criticalnational concerns. Acting as a partner withStates, local communities, and the privatesector, the Federal Government invests itsresources in three primary areas:

    To stimulate reform (e.g., Goals 2000 andSchool-to-Work);

    To supplement State and local resourcesfor particular, high-priority purposes (e.g.,educating the disadvantaged and makingschools safer and more drug-free); and

    To make postsecondary education more af-fordable (e.g., Pell grants, student loans,and the new tax benefits for training).

    Head StartReforming the PreschoolSystem: Head Start provides comprehensiveservices, such as education, health care, and

    nutritious meals, for disadvantaged three-to-five-year-old children and their families.The new infant and toddler initiative thatthe President and Congress enacted in 1994as part of the Head Start Act, allocatesabout four percent of 1996 Head Start fundsto reach children under age three and theirfamilies.

    Evaluations of Head Start children havefound short-term gains in IQ scores, betterreading and math skills, better emotionaladjustment, and improved health. FormerHead Start children are likelier to be promotedto the next grade and less likely to beassigned to special education classes. To as-sure that all Head Start programs consistentlydeliver the high-quality services needed toproduce such results, the Administration andCongress enacted major quality improvementsto Head Start in the 1994 reauthorization.

    The 1994 Act supports investments to at-tract and retain workers at Head Startcenters, thereby increasing the stability ofthe program environment and improving thequality of instruction. These investments en-able Head Start centers to improve teacher-

  • 18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Chart 1-1. 32 THOUSAND NEW HEAD START OPPORTUNITIES FOR CHILDREN IN 1996

    Note: Slots for the age 0-3 initiative in 1993 and 1994 show participation in the Comprehensive Child Development Projects (CCDP) and Head Start Parent Child Centers (PCC).

    THOUSANDS

    1993 1994 1995 1996675

    700

    725

    750

    775

    800

    722

    749 753

    784

    REGULAR SLOTS ALL DAY SLOTS SLOTS FOR AGE 0-3 INITIATIVE

    0

    child ratios, hire education and health special-ists, upgrade facilities, and make otherchanges that local managers deem appropriateto raise the quality of their programs. ByMay 1995, the Department of Health andHuman Services will develop performancemeasures for evaluating the quality of localprograms. The Department is working toensure accountability and will take promptaction against poorly performing grantees,including termination if necessary.

    Having begun the process of improvingHead Start's quality, the Administration willfocus as well in 1996 on increasing thenumber of children who benefit from theprogram. The budget would create 31,500new opportunities for children, including theprovision of full-year, full-day slots, part-time slots, and slots for the new infantand toddler initiative. (See Chart 11.) Alltold, the budget provides for 784,000 slotsin 1996, for which it proposes $3.935 billion

    for Head Start, an increase of $400 million,or 11 percent, over the 1995 level.

    Goals 2000: Educate America Act: The1994 enactment of Goals 2000 marked anew era in education reform, one that engagesall schools and students. Goals 2000 codifiesthe National Education Goals, gives Statesnew reform resources, and sets the expectationthat all children will achieve the high stand-ards that States develop. It helps Statessupport local districts and schools in theirefforts to align curriculum, instruction, andprofessional development with challenging newstandards. And it helps States make schoolsmore accountable to parents, students andthe public.

    Goals 2000 draws on research and inter-national comparisons that show that all stu-dents can reach far higher academic standardsthan we have asked of them. It incorporatesa strategy far different from prior Federalreform endeavors; it addresses a national

  • 191. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    problem with a national, not a Federal,strategy. Rather than impose a top-downapproach filled with mandates, it focuseson fostering bottom-up, local reform guidedby challenging State standards. The goal:To create a long-term, productive partnershipamong local schools, school districts, States,and the Federal Government to bring allstudents to higher levels of achievement.

    Goals 2000 calls for maximum State flexibil-ity, as reflected in the Education Department'simplementation strategy. It imposes no addi-tional constraints and offers States new waiverflexibility through which to bring almostall Federal elementary and secondary edu-cation programs into their reform efforts.Each State is tailoring its reform approachto its needs. For example, some States maybegin with improved teacher training, otherswith curriculum redesign, and still otherswith enhanced parent involvement.

    Under Goals 2000, the Federal Governmentwill work with States to carefully evaluatereform. It will help the States learn fromeach other while it conducts national levelresearch and collects information that Statesneed to support their efforts. Over time,the Federal Government will work with Statesto create performance indicators for systemicreform, which might include:

    The pace by which States establish objec-tive, high-quality academic content andperformance standards, and align profes-sional development and assessment withthem;

    The change in the percentage of studentswho meet or exceed reading and math pro-ficiency levels, as measured by the Na-tional Assessment of Educational Progress;and

    The performance of students in high-pov-erty schools, compared to those in otherschools.

    The budget proposes $750 million for Goals2000, an increase of $347 million, or 86percent, over 1995.

    Improving America's Schools Act (reau-thorization of the Elementary and Second-ary Education Act of 1965): Title I providesfunds to raise the educational achievement

    of children in low-income areas. In 1994,the President proposed and Congress adoptedchanges to focus Title I resources betteron areas with the largest concentrations oflow-income children; set the same high stand-ards for those children as for others; andhold schools accountable for making progresstoward achieving those standards. States nowhave much more flexibility to use fundsas they deem necessary to achieve bettereducational results for children. The budgetincludes $7.441 billion for Title I, an increaseof $208 million, or three percent, over the1995 level.

    The new Title II Professional Developmentprogram provides funds to States and edu-cational institutions to support the intensive,high-quality training of teachers and adminis-trators. The program will enable educatorsto achieve higher levels of professional excel-lence and help students achieve the newacademic standards and learn in accordancewith new State curriculum designs. The budg-et includes $735 million for Professional Devel-opment, an increase of $415 million, or130 percent, over 1995.

    Of the other elements in the new Act,three are especially significant:

    Charter SchoolsFunds for States andschool districts to support the developmentof new types of public schools that en-hance parental choice and operate sub-stantially free of Federal, State, and localregulations that may impede better stu-dent achievement. The budget includes$20 million for Charter schools, an in-crease of $14 million over 1995's first yearfunding.

    Technology for EducationActivities(including a ``Technology Learning Chal-lenge'') to create a partnership amongStates, schools, and the private sector toraise education and training achievementby innovatively using technology. Thebudget proposes $83 million for the Edu-cation Department and $15 million for theLabor Department; the $98 million totalrepresents an increase of $58 million, or145 percent, over 1995's first year funding.

    Safe and Drug-free Schools and Com-munitiesThe restructuring of programs

  • 20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    of drug abuse prevention and school vio-lence reduction, giving States and schoolsmore flexibility to use funding to meettheir needs. The budget proposes $500million for these activities, an increase of$18 million over 1995.

    School-to-Work Opportunities Act:School-to-Work supports State, local, and pri-vate efforts to build an education and trainingsystem that helps all youth get the knowledgeand skills to move smoothly from schoolto career-oriented work or to more educationor training. States and localities tailor theiractivities to local needs, such as by developingnew curricula that integrate academic andoccupational learning; linking high school andone or two years of postsecondary technicaleducation; using mentors to help young peoplelearn the requirements of the workplace;and providing ``skill certificates'' that employ-ers can trust in choosing a qualified youngperson.

    For example:

    Boston builds on a youth apprenticeshipmodel, integrating paid work experiencewith new curriculum; and

    Oregon's South Coast Region uses the skillcertificate approach, focusing on careers inhealth care, finance, tourism, manufactur-ing, shipping, forest products, and com-mercial fishing.

    Recognizing the link between schools andthe labor market, the Labor and EducationDepartments administer School-to-Work jointlythrough a single office that works with States,localities, and the private sector. The budgetproposes $400 million for School-to-Work, anincrease of $150 million, or 60 percent, over1995. (For more discussion, see ``HelpingYouth,'' below.)

    Reforms of the Student Loan System:The guaranteed loan program structure thatevolved over the past 30 years was verycostly, hard to administer, and subject toabuse. In response, the President proposedthe Student Loan Reform Act, which Congressenacted in 1993.

    The Act launched the Federal Direct StudentLoan Program to replace the guaranteedlending program, which works through 7,500

    lenders and 46 State and non-profit intermedi-aries (``guaranty agencies''). The new programfinances loans efficiently by sending themdirectly to students and schools through simpleelectronic transfers. It greatly simplifies bor-rowing for students, parents, and schools.And for the first time, it gives borrowerssubstantial repayment flexibility, particularlythrough the ``pay-as-you-can'' optionborrow-ers only repay each year what their incomepermits. Under this option, nobody needsto fear that borrowing for school might leadto loan defaults or that loan burdens mightbe too great. The Act extends the Pay-as-you-can option to all borrowers underthe old program through ``consolidation loans.''The Act will save an estimated $6.8 billionfrom 19952000.

    Direct lending began successfully in 1994,with 226,000 new loans. To maximize thebenefits of direct lending for students, familiesand schools, and to further lower taxpayercosts, the Administration is proposing tospeed up Direct Loan implementation sothat all new loans are direct loans by July1, 1997, saving an additional $5.2 billionfrom 19962000. (See Chart 12.)

    THE AGENDA AHEAD

    During its first two years, the Administra-tion focused on improving education frompre-school through college. These investmentsare critical to the Nation's future. But wealso must provide better opportunities forthose adults who are already in the workforceand whose education may prove insufficientto meet the challenges of today's economy,or whose skills may prove equally insufficientto move them into new or better jobs.

    The Problem with Job Placement and JobTraining Programs

    Today's patchwork of Federal job placementand training programs grew up over morethan 60 years. Each element was designedwith the best of intentionsto respond toa specific concern. In the end, however,the system does not meet the needs oftoday's economy or fit the President's goalof a streamlined, more effective system.

    The many programs, with their conflictingrules and administrative structures, con-

  • 211. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 20002.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    Chart 1-2. STUDENT LOAN PROGRAM COSTS WOULD BE REDUCED 12 BILLION DOLLARS OVER SIX YEARS, 1995-2000

    OUTLAYS IN BILLIONS

    NOTE: Pre-SLRA baseline is adjusted for interest rate, inflation and loan volume differentials, to make them comparable.

    SLRA SAVINGS:$6.8 B, 1995-2000

    1996 BUDGETADDITIONAL SAVINGS:

    $5.2 B, 1996-2000

    1996 BASELINE

    PRE-STUDENT LOAN REFORMACT OF 1993 (SLRA) BASELINE

    1996 BUDGET POLICY

    0

    fuse the people they are intended to help,add bureaucracy at every level, and wastetaxpayer money.

    Not surprisingly, States and localitiescomplain about the problems of copingwith so many different Federal rules andreporting requirements.

    In many programs, bureaucrats makechoices about jobs and training for individ-uals, as if individuals cannot choose forthemselves; nor is the private sectorplugged in enough to help.

    Job seekers and those who seek skill train-ing do not receive high-quality informationand assistance. Pell grants and studentloans do permit ``choice''recipients usethe Federal aid at the institution theychoosebut recipients cannot make in-formed choices because they do not get re-liable information on job and career oppor-tunities or on the quality of training pro-viders to choose from.

    The quality of training and related serv-ices is uneven, and the programs often donot require accountability for results; in-stitutions continue to get Federal funds re-gardless of performance.

    The Solution: Reinventing Programs byEmpowering People, States, and LocalCommunities

    The President intends to help workers,job seekers, local governments, and the privatesector meet the demands of the new economyby scrapping the confusing maze of Federaltraining programs. He would break downtraditional hierarchies and bureaucracies, put-ting most resources directly into workers'hands. Funds also would go directly to Statesand localities, so they could design the jobsearch and training-related systems that theydetermine are needed to help youth andadults to qualify for, and get, good jobs.

  • 22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

    1,176

    2,682

    277

    1,784

    2,829

    0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500

    6,578

    7,107

    Chart 1-3. 1.6 MILLION MORE GRANTS AND LOANS FOR PEOPLE TO MAKE THEIR OWN CHOICES OF TRAINING AND EDUCATION

    DISLOCATED WORKER SKILL GRANTS

    LOW INCOME SKILL GRANTS

    PELL GRANTS FOR AAs AND ABOVE

    B. INDIVIDUAL EDUCATION ACCOUNTS (STUDENT LOANS)

    A. SKILL GRANTS AND PELL GRANTS

    THOUSANDS OF LOANS

    1996

    1996

    1995

    1995

    1995

    1996

    1996

    THOUSANDS OF AWARDS

    0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500

    0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

    Able to acquire the skills and informationthey need to compete, workers will havemore control over their own futures. Giventhe opportunity, States and communities willdesign the job training and related servicestheir citizens need. The Federal Governmentwill ensure that services continue to beprovided to the disadvantaged and that theFederal funds in question produce measurableresults. Thus, this initiative is based onseven key principles:

    1. Empowering individuals;

    2. Providing good data to guide choices;

    3. Insuring accountability to consumersand taxpayers;

    4. Creating leaner government;

    5. Providing greater flexibility to Stateand local communities;

    6. Making the private sector a partner;and

    7. Creating effective paths from schools towork.

    Of the 163 Federal job training programsthat the General Accounting Office identifiedin January 1995, this proposal would incor-porate all those that directly support generaljob search and job training assistance. Thebudget reflects the inclusion of 70 programs,representing over 60 percent of 1995 fundingfor the programs GAO identified. (See Table14.) Of the rest, some were terminatedor not funded in 1995 and the others arenot appropriate for inclusionfor example,some primarily assist business development;others provide physical rehabilitation for thedisabled. Thus, they do not fit the descriptionof general job search or training.

    While proposing to streamline programs,the President also seeks to increase overallfunding by $1 billion, reflecting his beliefthatnow more than evereducation andtraining are the ladder into the middle-class and the best insurance that workershave against economic change.

  • 231. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    Table 14. THE G.I. BILL FOR AMERICA'S WORKERS COMBINES 70 PROGRAMSINTO ONE WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT SYSTEM, AND INCREASES FUND-ING $1 BILLION OVER 1995

    (Discretionary budget authority, in millions of dollars)

    Sets of Categorical Programs 1995Enacted System Components1996

    Proposed

    JTPA adult programs ........................................Dislocated worker programs .............................Pell grants ..........................................................Employment service ...........................................State postsecondary renew program ................Research, evaluation and demonstrations .......One-Stop Career Centers ..................................JTPA and other youth programs ......................School-to-Work (ED and DOL) ..........................Vocational education programs .........................Adult education and family literacy programs

    9971,2966,247

    9122048

    1201,630

    2501,178

    488

    Skill and Pell grants to individuals:Dislocated workers .........................................Low-income persons .......................................Pell grants for AA degrees and above ..........

    Subtotal, individual grants ........................

    State-defined services system:Adults (including One-Stop) ..........................Adult and family literacy ..............................Youth (including School-to-Work) .................

    5823,0594,480

    8,121

    2,685490

    2,906

    Total: Total:.Categorical programs ................................ 13,186 Better Jobs and Skills System ................ 14,202

    Loans for education and training (in millionsof dollars) ........................................................ 25,757

    Loans for education and training (in millionsof dollars) ........................................................ 28,356

    The new jobs and skills initiative willallow each State to devise an integratedstrategy that unifies all elements of thetraining and education system. The buildingblocks are described separately below (thoughthe Federal Government would no longerrequire States to maintain separate programs).

    Helping Adults: The President's proposalwould create ``Skill grants'' for unemployedand low-income workers and job seekers.States would create systems to give individualsthe information they need to make informedchoices with these grants and ensure thatworkers are not defrauded by incompetentor unscrupulous providers. The proposal wouldmake 1.6 million more grants and loansavailable in 1996 than in 1995. (See Chart13.) It also would support State effortsto design new, more flexible, integrated sys-tems that will provide information aboutjobs and training, counseling, placement as-sistance, and other services.

    Individuals would get Skill grants or Pellgrants of up to $2,620 a year for training;

    The budget proposes $3.6 billion in 1996for Skill grants for technical education and$4.5 billion for associates and bachelor'sdegree courses through Pell grants. The

    student loan programs will provide an-other $28 billion in loan capital to helpfinance training and higher education;

    Low-income persons would get Skill grantsbased on family income and cost of edu-cation, in the same way they do now underPell grants; and

    Dislocated workers who need trainingwould qualify for Skill grants without anincome test. Adults who lose their jobs andneed skill training to get a new one wouldreceive income support.

    The proposal would build upon progressunderway through ``One-Stop Career Centers''to encourage States and localities to designand implement new systems of placementand training-related services within five years.

    It would provide $2.7 billion, most of itto States to design and operate the newsystem; and some for Federal activitiessuch as oversight, research, evaluation,and response to multi-State layoffs andnatural disasters; and

    It would provide $490 million for adultand family literacy, which the States coulduse as they want for basic skills instruc-

  • 24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    tion, GED preparation, and English-as-a-second language training.

    Helping Youth: Too many young peopledo not now get the necessary preparationfor jobs or for more education by the timethey leave high school. Many do not evenfinish high school, in part because theysee no connection between schooling andsuccess in the job market. As discussedabove, the School-to-Work Opportunities Actlaunched a national reform of education andworkforce preparation programs for America'syouth. Now, to build on and intensify thateffort, the President's proposal will helpStates, communities, and the private sectorcompletely restructure the primary Federalyouth training programs.

    Under the proposal, States and localitieswill continue to receive School-to-WorkOpportunities Act funds to link school sys-tems, postsecondary education, and theprivate sector. These funds phase out by2001 as systems are implemented;

    The proposal would consolidate most fundsunder the Perkins Vocational EducationAct into one in-school youth grant toStates;

    It would consolidate most funds under theJTPA IIC (year-round youth programs),JTPA Summer Youth Jobs programs, andother youth programs into one grant toStates to serve dropouts and high-riskyouth; and

    It would strongly encourage States and lo-calities to implement an integrated School-to-Work system to serve in-school and out-of-school youth. They could submit a singleplan to the Education and Labor Depart-ments to combine Perkins, JTPA, ESEATitle I, and other youth funds. The Fed-eral Government would quickly waiveupon request any remaining Federal re-quirements that impede success.

    Maintaining and Enhancing the PrivateSector Role: The private sector has animmediate, direct stake in the quality ofjob training and related systems. It is estab-lishing skill standards that can serve asthe basis for holding training providers ac-countable for results. Under the President'sproposal:

    Business and labor will be key partnersin designing adult and youth programsand in providing essential data on jobsand skill demands; and

    Government will recognize and giveawards to firms that have enjoyed themost success in upgrading the skills oftheir workforce. The most competitive andproductive firms are improving such skillsby way of formal training, on-the-job train-ing, and investments in mid-career edu-cation, and by empowering workers to takegreater responsibility on the job.

    Improving the Pell Grant Program: ThePell grant program provides need-based grantsto 4 million low- and middle-income under-graduates for vocational training and associ-ates and bachelors degree programs. Abouthalf the recipients come from families withunder $10,000 in income, and over 90 percentcome from families with under $30,000 inincome. Awards range from a minimum of$400 up to a maximum limited by annualappropriations.

    Studies show that Pell grants help raisethe participation rates of low-income studentsin post-secondary programs. As such, theyare another important ladder into the middleclass. Currently, about one-third of Pell fundsare used for non-degree programs and arenot integrated with other Federal and Statetraining activity. Individuals who use thesefunds get little information about career op-tions or the quality of vocational schools.

    In the new skills initiative, Pell grantfunds for vocational training would become``Skill grants'' (as described above). Recipientswould benefit from information about jobsand careers before enrolling in training andwould learn the quality of training at eachschool.

    For 1996, the budget would raise themaximum Pell grant to its highest levelever at $2,620, the same as the new Skillgrantsa $280, or 12-percent increase, overthe 1995 level.

    More Accountability at all Levels

    The President proposes to make the neweducation and training system meet the testthat businesses face every day: it must deliver

  • 251. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    value to its customers or risk losing resources.The system will reflect the principles ofperformance-based management at all levels.

    Individuals will have the resources to buytraining, and the detailed reports on thequality and track records of eligible edu-cation and training institutions to let themmake sound choices. Ineffective institu-tions will not survive.

    Individuals will be able to use their Fed-eral dollars only at institutions with goodtrack records, in terms of their students'achievement against recognized skillstandards and their success in the jobmarket.

    State-designed job search, job information,and training-related services will have toprovide data to the public and to the Fed-eral Government on how effectively theyare using resources.

    Training providers will have to meet mini-mum quality standards in order to receiveFederal funds.

    Training providers will have to producecustomer-friendly ``Report Cards,'' spellingout how well they perform on such factorsas job placement of hard-to-employ per-sons as well as others, and the earningsof graduates in relation to program costs.

    The Labor and Education Departmentswill assess the system's overall perform-ance at the national level and make itsperformance the basis for future budgetproposals.

    WELFARE REFORM

    Under true reform, the welfare systemwould support the President's goal of ensuringthat everyone, including welfare recipients,receive the training they need to go towork. It would provide temporary help forAmericans who have fallen on hard times,while giving them the tools to return tothe economic mainstream.

    By that standard, the current system isbadly flawed. The vast majority of Americansseem to agree, according to public opinionpolls:

    75 percent believe that welfare is rife withfraud and waste and does little to helppoor people;

    85 percent believe that it should be trans-formed into a program that creates jobsfor the low-income; and

    89 percent support a two-year welfarelimit, after which able-bodied recipientsshould get a job or do community service.

    Today's system does too little to preventthe conditions that lead to welfare dependency,such as teen pregnancy and poor education.It also provides a series of roadblocks forthose who want to get off welfare. It doesnot give many the training they need tobe self-sufficient or help them find jobs.Nor does it force most fathers to take respon-sibility for their families. Low-income parentswho want to work often cannot get daycare or health care for their children, orfind a job with wages high enough to movetheir families out of poverty.

    The President has pledged to ``end welfareas we know it.'' Last year he submittedlegislation, the Work and Responsibility Act,to accomplish that goal. This year, he willwork with Congress to enact comprehensivewelfare reform that embodies the principlesof work and responsibility for able-bodiedwelfare recipients and protects their children.

    A Brief History of Our Welfare System

    At the turn of the century, our welfaresystem still reflected the English poor laws.Assistance went to the poor, but often onlyto those willing to live in poorhouses orto place their children in institutions orwith other families as apprentices or inden-tured servants. Responding to public concernsabout the living conditions of large numbersof children, President Theodore Roosevelt con-vened the first White House Conference onChildren in 1909. Conferees agreed that,where possible, children should remain withtheir families. As a result, many Statesenacted mothers' pension laws to keep familiesintact.

    The Great Depression spurred furtherchanges to America's decentralized, loose-knitsocial welfare system. Private and publicagencies could not handle the massive needs

  • 26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Chart 1-4. HOW LONG DOES THE AVERAGE AFDC RECIPIENTSTAY CONTINUOUSLY ON WELFARE ?

    UP TO1 YEAR

    56%

    8+ YEARS9%

    3 - 7 YEARS

    21%

    2 YEARS14%

    SOURCE: 1994 Greenbook, p. 442.

    of so many destitute families. In August1935, President Franklin Roosevelt signedthe Social Security Act, establishing severalassistance programs with shared Federal-State responsibility, including Aid to Depend-ent Children (now Aid to Families withDependent Children, or AFDC), which isconsidered the Government's main welfareprogram.

    Welfare Today

    First designed primarily to aid widowswith young children, AFDC has expandedover the years to serve children whose fatheror mother is absent, disabled, or unemployed.Rising rates of divorce and out-of-wedlockchildbearing, along with an expansion ofeligibility and higher participation ratesamong the eligible, swelled the populationof AFDC recipients. In 1936, a half-millionindividuals received AFDC assistance. Today,14 million individuals (two-thirds of themchildren) get such help each year, and the

    Federal and State governments spend nearly$23 billion a year. (Despite perceptions tothe contrary, however, Federal spending onAFDC amounts to less than one percentof the Federal budget.)

    Length of Time on AFDC: Today, manybelieve AFDC fosters long-term dependency.Once a family begins to receive welfare,critics contend, parents may begin to relyon monthly cash payments instead of seekingwork. While the charge is true of a smallcore of people that tend to stay on therolls for a long timeabout 9 percent staycontinuously for at least eight yearsmostAFDC recipients receive assistance only tem-porarily, as Chart 14 shows.

    Large numbers of recipients find jobs, andothers marry and leave welfare. About 70percent leave AFDC within two years, accord-ing to a recent study. But while they maywant to remain independent, many familiesreturn to welfare. Some have trouble combin-

  • 271. SHARING THE BENEFITS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

    1970 1980 1985 1990 19910

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Chart 1-5. OUT-OF-WEDLOCK BIRTH RATES IN THE U.S.NEARLY TRIPLED BETWEEN 1970 AND 1991

    SOURCE: 1994 Statistical Abstract of the U.S., p. 80.

    11%

    18%

    22%

    28%30%

    PERCENT

    ing work and family responsibilities; otherslack the social and work-related skills tokeep a steady job.

    Changes in the Family: Critics also con-tend that the welfare system promotes out-of-wedlock childbearing. To be sure, the per-centage of such births nearly tripled between1970 and 1991; by 1991, 30 percent ofall births were by unmarried women. (SeeChart 15.) But numerous studies have foundlittle or no relationship between these trendsand the level of welfare benefits. Instead,out-of-wedlock childbearing seems rooted inbroader economic and cultural changes thathave affected all segments of society.

    Non-Payment of Child Support: Due tochanges in the family, by 1992 nearly oneof every four children under age 18 inthe U.S. lived in a family where the motherhad never married or the father was absentbecause of divorce, separation, or death. Aserious related problem is that large numbers

    of absent parents never assume responsibilityfor paying child support. In 1989, only 43percent of low-income women were awardedchild support through the court system. (SeeChart 16).

    Nor does a court award always translateinto child support itself. Only about halfof low-income women who receive a legalorder mandating support receive any money.The result is that three-quarters of thesefamilies are getting no help from the child'sfather (57 percent with no award, and 18percent with no payment, as Chart 16shows).

    While the federally-sponsored, State-runchild support system has made great strides,collecting about 14 percent more child supportin 1992 than 1991 for AFDC-supported fami-lies, the system still needs vast improvement.In 1992, only about 12 percent of parentsthat were absent from AFDC families andbeing pursued by State agencies actually

  • 28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1996

    Chart 1-6. MOST POOR WOMEN RECEIVENO CHILD SUPPORT

    RECEIVED SOMECHILD SUPPORT

    25%

    HAD AWARDS BUT RECEIVED NO PAYMENT

    18%

    HAD NO CHILDSUPPORT AWARD

    57%

    SOURCE: 1994 Greenbook, p. 463.

    paid up. The Urban Institute estimates thatanother $34 billion in outstanding child sup-port potentially could be collected each year,for AFDC and non-AFDC families combined.

    The 1988 Family Support Act andInnovative State Programs

    In 1988, Co