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Bucharest, 23 October 2008www.sagora.eu
Transform CRD Mandatory Requirements into Business Benefits
Dr. Mathias Schmit
2© sagora.eu
Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Agenda
• Basel II: What is it about?
• Does Basel II achieve the level playing field objective?
• How does Basel II impact my business opportunities?
• Conclusions
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Basel II: A new framework
CAPITAL DISCLOSURESUPERVISION
FINANCIAL STABILITY
capital requirements
based on market, credit, and
operational risk
disclosure including the
control of risks
qualitative supervision internal process & risk control
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Basel II or CRD?
• First draft of Basel II in 1999
• EU Official Journal on 30/06/2006 Ref: L 177/201
• How far along is the national transposition process?
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
In Romania
The Capital Requirements Directive and the Lease
Industry in Romania1st Edition
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Cover credit risk
new risk weights for
capital requirements
Credi spreads will change
credit spreads will change
ROE will be impacted
Balance sheet
RRE/CRE
Loan
Leasing
Other
Capital
Capital
Debt
Off-balance instruments
Debt
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
And to avoid….
• Kerviel, Jérôme US$ 7.1 billion France Société Générale
• Hunter, Brian US$ 6.5 billion Canada Amaranth Advisors
• Meriwether, John US$ 4.6 billion United States Long Term Capital Management
• Hamanaka, Yasuo US$ 2.6 billion Japan Sumitomo Corporation Copper
• Flöttl, Wolfgang US$ 2.5 billion Austria BAWAG
• Citron, Robert US$ 1.7 billion United States Orange County
• Leeson, Nick US$ 1.4 billion United Kingdom Barings Bank
• Schimmelbusch, Heinz US$ 1.3 billion Germany Metallgesellschaft Oil Futures 1993
AND
• Subprime Crisis
• Northern Rock
• Just to name a few….
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Additional Requirements
Challenging areasChallenging areas
Organizational StructureOrganizational Structure
Management BodyManagement Body
Internal ControlInternal Control
TransparencyTransparency
Capital Adequacy vs. Capital Adequacy vs. Economic CapitalEconomic Capital
Set of Set of guidelines to guidelines to
be be implemented implemented and followed and followed
in order to in order to achieve achieve these these
objectivesobjectives
ValidationValidation
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Agenda
• Basel II: What is it about?
• Does Basel II achieve the level playing field objective?
• How does Basel II impact my business opportunities?
• Conclusions
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Regulatory capital for real estate investment
• Capital may differ from a ratio of 1 to 5 in respect to:
– The approach adopted by the credit institution• STD: product vs. counterparty approach• IRB approaches (PD, LGD)
– The type of product / Counterparty (STD)• CRE/ Lease/ Specialized lending• Retail / Corporate / PSE• What if a lease to a PSE?
– Qualitative requirements are met or not• Independent valuation• Legal certainty• Insurance
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Source: Schmit M., Journal of Banking and Finance, April 2004.
Basel I I vs. Internal Model - Automotive leasing -
(age: 12-23 months, maturity: >47 months)
0123456789
10
Standardised IRBF(corporate;LGD: 40%)
IRBA (retail) Internal Model
%
Standardised
IRBF (corporate;LGD: 40%)
IRBA (retail)
Internal Model
Hiiiiiiiiiiiii !!!
Yeahhhhh!!
OK but…
Regulatory capital for equipment lease
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Impact on pricing
Capital Requirement RAROC / ROE Pricing
=(margin constant)
=
(decrease margin)
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Agenda
• Basel II: What is it about?
• Does Basel II achieve the level playing field objective?
• How does Basel II impact my business opportunities?
• Conclusions
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Thoughts from the current crisis
• Unsustainable products and practices
• Buyer biais and wishful thinking
• Unsound credit processes
• Slice and gambling finance
• Regulators under the spotlights
Embrace rather than resist market conduct regulation: by preventing from the worst abuses, it protects the legitimate responsible players
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Risk governance methodology
Mission & VisionMission & Vision
Internal ControlInternal Control&&
DocumentationDocumentation&&
ReportingReporting
ValidationValidation
AssessmentAssessment
ImplementationImplementation
Guidelines &
Guidelines &
Requirements
Requirements
UsageUsage
Rev
iew
Rev
iew
© Sagora
Internal Internal governancegovernance
Internal Control&
Documentation&
Reporting
Assessment
Implementation
Guidelines &
Requirements
Usage
Rev
iew
© Sagora
ValidationValidation
CorporateCorporate governancegovernance
Strategy & Objective & Risk Appetite
Mission & Vision
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Risk Management & Business Support
• New practices are about an integrated approach of Risk Management
• Risk management – Is a process effected by people at every level of the organisation– Is applied in strategy setting– Is applied across the enterprise and includes taking an entity-level
portfolio view of risk– Is designed to identify events potentially affecting the entity and
manage risk within its risk appetite– Provides reasonable assurance to an entity’s management and
board– Is geared to the achievement of objectives in one or more separate
but overlapping categories
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Agenda
• Basel II: What is it about?
• Does Basel II achieve the level playing field objective?
• How does Basel II impact my business opportunities?
• Conclusions
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
Conclusions
• A deep knowledge of (all) risks is key
– Regulated and non-regulated
– Lease specificities (low LGD in the car leasing !!)
• An integrated risk management framework will allow to better identify
and assess business opportunities
– Risk governance & business support
• Rethinking leasing business relationships will offer new opportunities
• Start with a high level gap analysis
– A few days (interview based) – Know yourself !!
– Analyse all aspects of risk governance in order to support the business
– Define a roadmap and implement
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Managing Risk in Leasing Business
For More Information
Dr. Mathias Schmit
Partner
SAGORA, Lease and Risk Management
Avenue de Haveskercke, 28
B-1190 Brussels
Mobile: (32)-496.93.22.70
Email: [email protected]
Website: www.sagora.eu
Thank you for your attention !