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Knowledge Empowered Decision Enabling Solutions Grains & Pulses Oils & Oilseeds Bio-diesel Softs & Plantations Laurics & Oleo-chemicals Polymers & Packaging materials Spices & Condiments Precious & Industrial Metals Energy & Petrochemicals Dairy and Dairy products Currencies FMCG Trading Pharma  Automobile Textile Petrochemicals Tyre & Auto Ancillaries Breweries & Distilleries Commodity Processors & Refiners Plantations Metals & Mining Banks      C     o     m     m     o      d      i      t      i     e     s      I     n      d     u     s      t     r      i     e     s com mod ity mar ket men tor s CONSULTING GRAPH TRANS COMMODITY PRICE FORECASTING & RISK MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS

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Knowledge Empowered Decision Enabling Solutions

Grains & Pulses

Oils & Oilseeds

Bio-diesel

Softs & Plantations

Laurics & Oleo-chemicals

Polymers & Packaging materials

Spices & Condiments

Precious & Industrial Metals

Energy & PetrochemicalsDairy and Dairy products

Currencies

FMCG

Trading

Pharma

 Automobile

Textile

Petrochemicals

Tyre & Auto Ancillaries

Breweries & Distilleries

Commodity Processors & Refiners

Plantations

Metals & Mining

Banks

     C    o    m    m    o     d     i     t     i    e    s

     I    n     d    u    s     t    r     i    e    s

c o m m o d i t y m a r k e t m e n t o r s

C O N S U L T I N GGRAPHTRANS

COMMODITY PRICE FORECASTING

&

RISK MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS

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Business Challenges

Buyers Sellers

Timing the purchase Avoid & Manage budget overshoot

Realizing higher selling priceManaging margins

Margin Protection & Maximization

Buy Side Risk Margin at Risk   Sell Side Risk 

Traders/Processors/

Refiners

*Mapping the Market Thought

to forecast the prices

Price Driver Analysis

Hedge Modeling

Risk Management Policy 

 Value Chain Analysis

P

P

P

P

P

Mapping the market thought is an unique approach developed by TransGraph which employs

Fundamental, Technical and Statistical Analysis for forecasting the prices.

*

Achieved through...

Solutions

Procurement/selling strategies

Trading strategies

Hedge / Un-hedge DecisionsStructuring the suppliers contract

Cost saving calculators

Knowledge Sharing Training

 Active Engagement Support

P

P

P

P

P

P

P

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FPrice risk – trend and volatility

FLevel of Procurement efficiency

FBudget overshoot

FTender price-at-risk

FSoftware / MIS bottlenecks

F

management policy.

FAllocate funds in case of 

financial hedging.

FNegotiate with suppliers on

the changes in pricing formula

Approve hedging and risk

 Audit:

F

Physical purchaseFHedge position

FTrading performance

F

processFSuitable price forecasting

framework

FHedge model

FRisk management policy

FValue chain analysis

FTraining

FCustomizing Risk management

software

Understand the client business

F

price outlook

FProcurement / selling / trading/

hedging strategies

F Active engagement

FVaR, net exposure, profitability

calculations

Regular market analysis and

Benefits:

FKnowledgeFProcess

FFinancial

Identify the problem

Develop customizedsolution

Client acceptance

Deploy the solution

Review the projectresults

Satisfied client

Not into trading /BrokerageP Unbiased market outlook P

One stop for comprehensiveservices and softwareP

Secure process to ensuredata confidentiality of clientP

Benefits are visible :

TransGraph believes in delivery based consulting. Clients can quantify the financial benefits from the project

execution using well established performance measures from our audit stable.

Justified ROI:

Our client relationships result in win-win partnerships. Cost of the project and benefits derived from it could potentiallyrange between 5 to 20 times based on the industry, market dynamics, client's business, etc. Our service charges

are significantly competitive

Process improvements:

Our working & delivery style is like client's own internal team combined with the professional expertise

gained by working with the industry leaders. We inculcate and improve the process based decision making

in procurement, marketing and hedging of commodities.

Improved procurement efficiency:

Purchase (marketing) managers are supported with un-biased view on the price trend & volatility with

appropriate reasoning & analysis resulting in informed, pro-active decisions & procure raw material

at a price better than market / industry.

Support the internal teams:

 Analysis & execution responsibilities require different kinds of skills & mindsets. We bring in decision

enabling analysis & supplement the efforts of client's managers to take better & efficient decisions.Industry's best practices:

We work with multiple industries connected to the economy and commodity value chain and implement the

best practices

 Approach

 Why TransGraph

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   S  e  r  v   i  c  e   S  p  e  c   t  r  u  m 

>

> Price Driver analysis

> Knowledge based procurement

Market Analysis and Price Outlook 

Commodity Consulting

Price Risk Management Solutions

>

> Risk analytics

Hedge framework 

Market Risk Management Software

> Net exposure analytics

> Reporting framework 

> Commodity profiling

> Value chain analysis

> Commodity budgeting support

> Risk Management Policy 

> Risk compliance support

> VaR Engine

> Limits & Alerts

c o m m o di t y m a r k e t m e n t o rs

C O N S U L T I N GGRAPHTRANS

Enter/Check the corresponding values in input cells and click on button to see the material mix quantities and pricing for a givenquantity of standardised milk 

Output

Input

c o m m od i t y m a r k et m e n t or s

C O N S U L T I N GGRAPHTRANS Global LDPE Capacity Vs Demand 

More capacity additionsthan demand growth

More demand growththan capacity additions

c o m m o d it y m a r k e t m e n t o r s

C O N S U L T I N GGRAPHTRANS

Mentor’s Price Outlook :

Mentor’s Explicit Strategy

zinc prices are likely to extend its bearish trend towards USD 1800/1700 in the coming3 months.

 

>

>

TransGraph Consulting Pvt. Ltd.

6-3-655/2/1, AP Civil Supplies Bhavan Lane,

Somajiguda, Hyderabad. India. 500 082c o m m o d i t y m a r k e t m e n t o r s

C O N S U L T I N GGRAPHTRANS

Tel: +91-40-30685000 – 04 (5 Lines),Fax: +91-40-30685002.

e-mail: [email protected] www.transgraph.com