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Lisbon, 26th October 2017
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering Workshop
5Brexit, defence
main trends and Portuguese innovation
8Why Portugal,
European funds opportunity
and EY team
3Portuguese
factsheet and defence sector
values
2
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopPortugal factsheet
3
42 years of democracy
30 years of UE membership
9 centuries of history
38° 42‘ N9° 10‘ O
Time zoneUTC/GMT
Portuguese
PT €Republic of
Portugal92 km2 10 million people Capital
LisbonCurrency
EuroMinimum wage
€557
1.4 6.0 6.8 0.2 2.1 9.4Annual Growth Rate of GDP in
2016
Annual Growth Rate of Exports
in 2016
Annual Growth Rate of Gross Fixed Capital Formation in
2016
Annual Growth Rate of Public
Consumption in 2016
Annual Growth Rate of Private Consumption in
2016
Unemployment rate in 2016
1.5%Defence spending on GDP
Source: Instituto Nacional de Estatística (INE); European Defence Agency (EDA); Banco de Portugal
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopDefence Industry in Portugal
4
+4,3% -93,4% +120,5% -55,1% +1,2%Staff expense Infrastructure
and construction expense
Investment O&M Spending per capita
National spending on Defence
2.53 2.51 2.42 2.542.77 2.78 2.67
2.372.59 2.50 2.53
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Billi
ons
of e
uros
€2.5bn Total Defence expenditure in 2015 breakdown► € 2.0b Personnel► € 343m Equipment procurement► € 157m Operations and maintenance► € 2.5m Infrastructure ► € 2.4m R&D
1.5%GDP allocated to Defence expenditure in 2015
>30kNumber of military personnel
€ 353m Imports in 2014 - Mainly communication
€ 157mExports in 2014 - Mainly components
Portuguese defence in numbers
Source:: European Defence Agency ‘EDA
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopBrexit
5
Routes for leaving the EU: Triggered withdrawal under Article 50 of Treaty of Lisbon
► 29 March 2017;► Sets the start of the leaving process – initiates
negotiations for the terms of exit;► EU treaties cease to apply in the UK into force of a
withdrawal agreement.
Although the UK is leaving the EU, it is still integrated in NATO, and has historical relations with Portugal in the Defence Industry
Major macro environment areas of impactEconomy & Tax environment
► Slower growth forecast► Access to the Single Market: impact on trade► Changes at several levels (Customs and excise, VAT,
withholding tax, treaties, labour mobility, state Aid, EU tax initiative)
Politics► Two new departments created, dedicated to delivering
BREXIT► Northern Ireland has the right to leave the United
Kingdom and join the European Union as part of the Republic after BREXIT
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopDefence Industry – Main Global Trends
6
Defence Clusters
Aeronautics
Aerospatiale
Naval
Security
ITC
Military force (human capital) is losing strength Hardware cost is rising faster than inflation
► The British army plans to reduce its military personnel to 82 thousand (20% cut) until 2020;
► The US army has decreased its numbers for the first time since the 80s.
► The annual inflation of military weapons, munitions and defence equipment usually ranges between 12% and 15%;
► In the US, naval construction inflation surpassed GDP prices’ inflation during the majority of the last three decades.
Local defence production is increasing Defence agencies search for an effective response to cyberattacks
► India has reformed its acquisition policies and procedures and increased its FDI limit from 24% to 49%;
► The United Arabic Emirates want to become a key player in weapon exports and craft maintenance in the next 5 to 10 years.
► British military systems register more than a million suspicious incidents each 24 hours;
► USA Defence Department has plans to build a cyber mission force (133 teams) until 2018 to avoid cyberattacks.
Modernisation of defence equipment is becoming a focus area
Rising of global tensions will increase the demand for defence
► Between 2012 and 2016, around two thirds of the Russian defence budget was dedicated to buy new military equipment;
► The global aerospace and defence industry is likely to experience strong growth in 2017;
► Between 2014-22, 50% of the Indian defence budget (US$620bn) will be dedicated to capital expenses.
► The UK plans to deepen defence cooperation with the Gulf region and the US;
► Rising global tensions will lead to increasing demand for defence and military products in the Middle East, Russia and Asia (China, Japan, India and South Korea);
► Increased focus on strengthening the US military (demand for defence equipment will rise significantly).
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopDefence Industry trends in Portugal
7
Innovation and main trends► Portugal’s national strategy has taken into account these
trends and sets as its main goal ‘to value knowledge, technology and innovation’;
► The increasing awareness of cyber attack threats;► The modernisation of defence forces.
Legal framework
► Companies or entities that wish to entry the industry of military goods and technology must be previously authorised and must comply with certain requirements;
► After being granted presence in the industry, companies that want to export/import, must comply with the specifications and request authorisation to import and export Defence-related products.
Defence Technological and Industrial Base (“DTIB”)Network of companies and entities with ‘the ability to intervene in one or more stages of the Defence system and equipment life cycle.
Joint effort of: Ministry of National Defence; Ministry of Economy; Armaments and Infrastructures Directorate; Offsets Permanent Commission; AICEP and other relevant entities
The national DTIB focus areas:1. Research and development.2. Production.3. Modernisation.4. Maintenance, repair and modification, demilitarisation and disposal.
The network includes 350 companies organised in clusters :► Aeronautics;► Textiles;► Automation;► Robotics;► Construction;► Engineering;► Software development;► others.
Portuguese defence industry attractiveness
Is integrated with:
Aeronautics
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopWhy to invest in Portugal?
8
Portugal’s attractiveness
15th
In overall infrastructure out of 190 countries
25th
In ease of doing business out of 190 countries
25%Students with
degrees in science, engineering and
technology
60%Speaks at least one
foreign language
2Financial Times
Top 25 of the best in europe
24th
In air transport infrastructure out of 190 countries
37th
In e-government development index
out of 190countries
64th
In overallperformance out of 138 countries
87%Total of production
exports in the defence industry
Space
Main players► OGMA► Critical software► Tekever► Indra Sistemas Portugal, S.A.► EID – Empresa de investigação e
desenvolvimento► Arsenal do Alfeite► Edisoft► Deimos Engenharia (Group Elecnor)► Sodarca► Eurofiresafe
90%Percentage of SME’s looking for business opportunities to
escalate their businesses
Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017, World Economic Forum, 2016; Doing Business 2017, World Bank, 2017; IAPMEI
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopDefence Industry in Portugal – European opportunity
9
Budget expectation Until 2020 After 2020 Eligibility
► Only collaborative projects are eligible with at least 3 participants from several member states;
► Proportion of budget earmarked for projects with cross-border participation of SME’s;
► EU will only co-fund development of prototypes if one of the member states commits to buy the final product;
► Projects conceived in the framework if PESCO will benefit from a higher EU co-financing rate (10% bonus).
Research100% EU funding
€90 million total €500 million/year
DevelopmentAt least 80% €2 billion total €4 billion/year
OthersUp to 20%
€500 million total €1 billion/year
Research
EU funding
Development
Pooling of national contributors
EU co-funding
Acquisition
Practical support by European Commission
HOW WILL THE FUND WORK?
HOW WILL IT BE FINANCED?
British and Portuguese Defence Industries Partnering WorkshopEY team around the world
10
Canada Aerospace Defense Security and Resilience Lead
Ottawa, Canada
Derek Dobson
US Defense & National Security Lead
McLean, US
Kevin Nagel
Australian Defense Leader
Canberra, Australia
Rowan Moffitt
EMEIA Defense Leader
Oslo, Norway
Anne Grette
Germany Defense & National Security
Munich, Germany
Cornelia Gottbehuet
France Defense & National Security
Paris
Valerie Laine
UK Defense & National Security Lead
London, UK
Björn Conway
MENA Defense & Security Sector Lead
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Krishnakant Duggirala
ASEAN Defense& National Security
Singapore
Sam Wong
11
Thank you!