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BRIEF ON SAPP POWER PROJECTS by Eng. Musara Beta Chief Market Analyst SAPP Coordination Centre Zimbabwe Mining Indaba, Harare, ZIMBABWE 24-26 SEPTEMBER 2013. SAPP demand and supply situation Short Term Generation Projects Short Term Transmission Projects. KEY ISSUES. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL1
BRIEF ON SAPP POWER PROJECTS
by
Eng. Musara BetaChief Market Analyst
SAPP Coordination Centre
Zimbabwe Mining Indaba, Harare, ZIMBABWE
24-26 SEPTEMBER 2013
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL2
KEY ISSUES
1. SAPP demand and supply situation
2. Short Term Generation Projects
3. Short Term Transmission Projects
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL3
Demand and Supply Situation
No. Country Utility
Installed Capacity
[MW] As at Jan 2013
Available Capacity
[MW] Jan 2013
Suppressed Demand & Forecast Demand
Capacity Shortfall including reserves,
MW
Calculated Reserve Margin, %
1 Angola ENE 1,793 1,480 1341
2 Botswana BPC 352 322 604
3 DRC SNEL 2,442 1,170 1398
4 Lesotho LEC 72 72 138
5 Malawi ESCOM 287 287 412
6 Mozambique EDM /HCB 2308 2,279 636
7 Namibia NamPower 393 360 635
8 South Africa Eskom 44,170 41,074 42416
9 Swaziland SEC 70 70 255
10 Tanzania TANESCO 1380 1,143 1444
11 Zambia ZESCO / CEC/LHPC 1,870 1,845 2287
#REF! Zimbabwe ZESA 2,045 1,600 2267
57,182 51,702 53,833 (7,709) -4.1%
53,722 48,792 50,636 (7,079) -3.8%
TOTAL SAPP
Total Interconnected SAPP
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL4
Reserve Margins as at March 2013
Projects need to go through screening to assess readiness
-7996
-5393
-1997
1268
3662
-9000-8000-7000-6000-5000-4000-3000-2000-1000
010002000300040005000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capacity Shortfall / Surplus, MW
-4284
-2418
-115
1001
3059
-5000
-4000
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capacity Shortfall / Surplus, MWSAPP OPERATING MEMEBRS ONLY
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL5
SAPP Planned & Required Capacity
Comparison of March 2013 & Sept 2013
Delays are evident due to various reasons
Projects shifting dates due to preparedness
Capacity balance by 2017 but energy balance by 2019
This is due to low load factor plants being commissioned.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MW
Planned Capacity vs Forecast , MWAll SAPP Members
Forecast Capacity Planned
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MW
Planned Capacity vs Forecast , MWAll SAPP Members (As at Sept 2013)
Forecast Capacity Planned
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL6
Projects Commissioned in 2012
No Utility Country Name Type
Capac ity
[MW]
1 ENE Angola Lobito Thermal 30
2 ENE Angola Gove Hydro 60
3 ENE Angola Futila Thermal 70
4 ENE Angola Mabubas Hydro 25
5 ENE Angola New CFL Thermal 125
6 DRC SNEL Inga 1 Hydro 55
7 DRC SNEL Nseke Hydro 65
8 Namibia NamPower Ruacana Hydro 92
9 Mozambique EDM Ressano Gacia Gas 100
10 Tanzania TANESCO Ubungo Gas 100
11 LHPC Zambia Hydro Hydro 612 Eskom South Africa Komati Coal 303
1031
GENERATION PROJECTS
TOTAL
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL7
Committed Generation Projects – as of March 2013
3 % is Renewable Energy (Wind and Solar) from 2013 to 2016
No Country
2013 2014 2015 2016 TOTAL
1 Angola 0 645 550 2415 3,610 2 Botswana 600 - - 300 900 3 DRC 55 - 580 - 635 4 Lesotho - 25 300 - 325 5 Malawi 64 - - - 64 6 Mozambique - 150 300 300 750 7 Namibia 60 - - - 60 8 RSA 923 3,105 2,543 1,322 7,893 9 Swaziland - - - - -
10 Tanzania 60 160 500 1,110 1,830 11 Zambia 230 315 600 164 1,309 12 Zimbabwe - 300 690 900 1,890
1,992 4,700 6,063 6,511 19,266 TOTAL
NEW GENERATI ON CAPACI TY, MW
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL8
Planned Projects for 2013 - as of Sept. 2013
Some projects under commissioningA number of delays have been encountered on some projects. This is 800 MW short than initially reportedSome delays are beyond the utilities’ control.
No Utility Country Name Type
Capacity
[MW] Funding / Status
1 BPC Botswana Morupule B Coal 600 Commissioning
2 IPP Zambia Ndola Energy HFO 50 Commissioning
3 SNEL DRC Inga 1 Hydro 55 Commissioned
4 IPP Tanzania Mwanza HFO Gas 60 Under construction
5 Eskom
South
Africa Komati Thermal 101 Under construction
6 Eskom
South
Africa Solar Solar 100 Under construction
7 IPP Malawi Kapichira Hydro 64 Under construction
8 ZESCO Zambia Kariba North Hydro 180 Under construction
1210TOTAL
GENERATION PROJ ECTS -2013 TARGET
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL12
Mozambique - Malawi Utility Project Teams formed and communication
protocol set.
Mozambique Backbone – STE 4 Reports concluded and to be discussed by the
shareholders in Oct 2013. Roadmap to be done in consultation with generation
project integration (Mpanda Nkuwa)
Kafue Livingstone Upgrade Completed
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL13
Zambia - Tanzania – Kenya (4 Segments) Funding being sought by TANESCO Preliminary meeting held with EAPP on Grid Code
Interconnection requirements SAPP to initiate dialogue with EAPP to do joint studies to
assess impacts
DRC - Zambia 220kV Interconnector Work was completed on DRC side and is expected to
be competed in 2014 by CEC
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL14
ZIZABONA EOI for 3 packages received & detailed RFPs to be
submitted by 6 companies on each component.1. Transaction and Technical Advisory Services,2. Environmental and Social Impact assessment
(ESIA) for line in Zambia3. Project Coordination and Supervision
SPV to be set in Namibia Eskom and CEC invited to participate in project. Eskom technical due diligence process still underway
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS
SOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOLSOUTHERN AFRICAN POWER POOL15
CTC Project Status Tender awarded for most project components Transaction Advisory Services to be developed ZESA and Eskom Joint Technical Committees
meeting regularly SAPP CC to be invited to participate in the project
Mozambique – Tanzania Interconnector Study to be done with World Bank financing
TRANSMISSION PROJECTS STATUS