Brexit Anniversary Poll - survation.comsurvation.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/GMB-Final-Tables.pdf · Page 4 Brexit Anniversary Poll 21 Jun 2018 Table 1 Q1.By Normal Weighting Q1.If

Survation.

Brexit Anniversary Poll

Survation.

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Survation.

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Page 4

Brexit Anniversary Poll

21 Jun 2018Table 1Q1.By Normal WeightingQ1.If there were to be another general election, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is certain and 0 is would not vote, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: All Respondents

Prepared by SurvationPage 4

Prepared by Survation on behalf of Good Morning Britain

Region 122016 EU Ref Vote2017 GE VoteHH Income p.a.Education LevelAgeGenderTotal

Level 2 /NorthernYorkshire &WestEast£20,000 -£0 -ApprenticesNQ / LevelIrelandWalesScotlandEnglandHumberMidlandsMidlandsSouth WestSouth EastNorth WestNorth EastLondonEastRemainLeaveOtherSNPLDLABCON£40,000+£39,999£19,999Level 4Level 3hip / Other175+65-7455-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMale

124975886106857183145125609411744239680197331532923648826842516323320130152224168184184805724501022Unweighted Total

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

-33499523101213368*-*4*112119761428534971972629550 - would not vote-6.2%3.4%5.7%10.6%5.2%2.9%4.0%7.1%11.1%3.0%2.6%2.7%1.6%1.8%0.5%-0.4%1.3%0.1%3.1%6.1%6.4%2.4%4.9%5.7%7.6%4.9%2.7%2.8%5.1%4.4%10.8%5.6%5.0%5.8%5.4%

-1110----45*1--21--122291*38--*-57194131-2.6%1.4%1.2%----2.8%4.2%1.2%1.0%--0.5%1.3%--0.4%0.5%0.7%0.5%3.0%0.5%0.3%1.3%2.1%--0.3%-3.0%3.9%0.7%1.7%0.8%1.3%

---161-125*25-24----163711410---*36797162---1.9%1.7%-1.5%1.8%3.6%0.4%4.4%3.6%-0.4%1.0%----0.3%1.6%0.9%2.5%0.4%1.2%1.5%2.7%---0.3%1.6%3.1%6.4%1.7%1.4%1.6%

-1221*52*21164731-*92-41921516--*14710149243-2.0%2.0%2.4%0.5%5.4%2.1%0.4%1.8%1.2%1.4%4.3%3.9%1.6%0.7%1.2%-0.7%2.9%0.6%-1.3%6.5%0.6%1.1%2.0%4.2%--0.1%0.7%2.6%4.2%8.9%2.7%1.9%2.3%

21-145311*3-1-522--5152103149--26324981748.4%1.5%-1.6%5.9%3.5%1.3%0.9%0.3%2.3%-1.0%-1.2%0.6%2.6%--1.6%0.4%1.4%0.6%3.4%1.2%0.7%1.7%2.4%--1.6%3.5%1.8%1.1%3.1%1.7%1.6%1.7%

-6145322774510514193-3136923161051521-65998143814525-11.7%1.3%5.2%3.4%2.4%3.3%8.5%5.1%3.5%10.9%7.3%4.8%3.4%4.4%5.6%-5.4%3.9%1.8%2.5%6.6%5.5%3.6%4.3%6.0%5.8%-5.0%3.4%5.1%5.4%4.7%11.6%7.2%2.7%5.0%

4211623-212-511131--104210914513-132637121123614.2%4.7%0.7%1.8%2.4%3.2%-2.3%0.4%1.7%-3.9%1.1%2.8%0.7%2.5%--3.2%1.2%0.5%2.9%3.2%0.5%2.8%1.9%3.5%-0.7%2.1%1.3%3.8%1.9%5.6%2.2%2.2%2.2%

-3-31132213117312121-3101212912123811-5549921816347-6.5%-3.6%1.0%3.8%2.2%1.9%9.1%0.5%1.4%4.9%2.9%3.0%2.8%1.1%-5.2%3.1%3.4%3.4%2.6%4.2%4.3%2.6%3.0%3.0%-3.6%3.1%2.3%5.5%5.2%2.0%3.5%3.1%3.3%

4335661084742962425511281813222822617217581211203353065815.9%5.1%3.0%6.5%6.8%11.3%11.1%4.1%5.3%3.3%5.8%6.6%6.0%6.0%5.8%9.1%3.4%1.8%8.5%5.2%3.7%6.4%9.3%7.9%5.0%6.6%5.6%6.3%4.0%5.4%6.4%6.9%11.3%2.3%6.7%6.0%6.4%

1-97639551611315944303381841303223319182710818161191336508592.1%-10.2%8.8%3.8%10.5%7.3%5.7%11.2%9.7%7.1%11.2%9.0%10.8%7.0%5.3%13.7%14.0%5.5%11.9%8.7%9.1%7.6%11.3%6.8%7.3%7.4%9.4%6.5%11.9%8.9%6.8%5.1%11.3%6.8%10.0%8.4%

17296752554495061757027726627832542204422825825921814418788158205849810312297855031732163810 - certain to vote59.4%59.7%78.0%61.1%64.1%54.6%68.3%70.3%53.4%62.3%64.7%53.7%69.5%69.1%74.8%70.8%82.8%72.5%69.7%74.6%74.5%62.9%48.5%67.3%70.2%63.0%55.7%79.4%77.4%69.4%66.5%58.2%48.7%42.6%60.6%64.4%62.4%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%




284684809768572841301004113092397427592460322346336326279271120236340100123144174159157110498469967Weighted Total

-15222782619204154301235411091814-892751341166096367011264605637374416140174315Conservative-32.8%26.0%34.3%34.3%22.0%27.9%49.0%41.8%29.6%29.0%27.0%44.5%27.5%42.3%6.0%-13.5%2.6%79.5%39.8%35.5%21.6%35.5%30.1%29.7%33.0%64.0%49.0%38.7%21.5%23.2%27.9%14.8%28.1%37.2%32.5%

-1519276353222243146214026170994132668781131118842819916223865625453152157310Labour-33.6%22.2%34.0%45.7%37.2%30.3%28.8%23.8%45.5%50.7%30.9%28.2%42.7%23.2%6.0%4.4%5.2%82.4%2.4%23.3%34.6%40.0%32.4%34.9%34.1%29.2%15.8%17.6%26.5%37.4%38.9%34.4%48.3%30.6%33.5%32.0%

-155217776411633321*-3741129131528881347997175312758Liberal Democrat-2.1%6.4%6.4%1.0%8.8%9.8%8.0%4.4%3.5%2.6%12.2%3.7%8.3%4.9%0.4%-61.7%1.3%3.2%8.5%3.9%5.2%10.5%6.7%3.4%4.0%4.3%5.7%6.5%4.9%4.4%10.7%4.5%6.1%5.8%6.0%

--30----------1217-21*4-1776104412-631244-131630Scottish National--35.4%----------2.9%4.0%-87.8%0.5%1.1%-4.9%2.2%2.0%3.7%2.9%1.9%3.4%-5.0%2.3%6.8%2.7%2.6%-2.7%3.4%3.1%Party (SNP)

-7-----------433--2-2223-31-21112-347Plaid Cymru-15.0%-----------1.0%0.6%5.6%--0.5%-0.7%0.5%0.6%1.2%-1.2%0.3%-1.9%0.5%0.7%0.6%1.0%-0.5%0.9%0.7%

-1-20*14471*11-2014-31119912711-6544*212921UKIP-2.4%-2.5%0.6%1.5%5.3%5.1%5.3%0.9%0.6%0.8%0.9%-4.6%24.0%-5.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%2.7%3.4%0.4%1.7%2.9%3.2%-4.7%3.7%2.4%2.2%0.3%1.5%2.4%1.9%2.2%

-2-2511-245-1111838-1111158366312-427346161026Green-3.4%-3.0%0.9%0.8%-2.7%3.2%5.2%-8.2%1.0%4.4%0.7%14.4%-2.2%3.4%0.4%4.5%2.4%1.2%2.1%5.1%1.1%3.5%-3.1%1.3%4.3%2.2%2.6%5.0%3.2%2.2%2.7%

23--42---11---101020--1-1121036108-*51246-131427Another Party80.5%--0.5%2.1%---0.9%1.3%---2.4%2.5%33.6%--0.2%-3.4%0.6%3.8%1.0%5.3%4.1%2.4%-0.3%3.2%6.7%2.6%3.9%-2.6%2.9%2.8%

558145122216526117271940726272749475458341349681613242436232911351164Undecided19.5%10.7%9.6%18.0%15.2%26.5%22.9%5.8%20.0%11.2%16.4%20.9%20.5%10.2%16.9%9.9%7.9%11.8%8.3%14.2%13.9%16.4%20.9%12.4%11.0%20.6%20.0%15.9%10.4%16.6%13.8%22.4%14.5%26.0%22.6%10.9%16.9%

--*11-33113*-121----13342333-31313-5511Refused--0.4%1.3%-3.1%3.8%0.7%0.4%2.7%0.8%-1.2%0.5%0.3%----0.2%0.8%1.0%1.4%0.8%2.2%1.1%1.0%-2.4%0.6%1.5%0.7%2.1%-1.1%1.2%1.1%

284684809768572841301004113092397427592460322346336326279271120236340100123144174159157110498469967SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 5

Brexit Anniversary PollPrepared by Survation on behalf of Good Morning Britain

21 Jun 2018Table 2Q2.By Normal WeightingQ2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents likely to vote





243979707677365761108835108843643965324562903253132922222491092072839811613415813512782427422849Weighted Total

-13222592517193950291131391021733-862601281105189346710363595436333415130163293Conservative-32.6%27.5%36.6%37.3%23.1%28.8%51.4%45.1%32.4%32.1%28.3%46.3%28.1%43.7%6.2%-13.9%2.2%80.0%40.9%37.7%23.2%35.7%31.5%32.2%36.3%63.9%50.5%40.6%22.9%24.5%26.6%17.8%30.5%38.6%34.5%

-141724430272121264319332415694213242870106928238718416213761574439131144275Labour-36.7%21.2%34.5%45.0%36.3%31.7%28.4%23.8%48.5%55.1%30.1%28.4%42.8%23.8%4.2%4.0%5.5%83.3%2.5%22.5%36.4%41.4%32.8%34.7%34.1%29.8%16.1%18.3%27.8%38.4%42.1%35.1%47.3%30.6%34.1%32.4%



-5-----------412--1-2112-2*-211*1-135Plaid Cymru-12.5%-----------1.0%0.3%4.5%--0.5%-0.6%0.3%0.5%0.9%-1.0%0.2%-1.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%1.0%-0.3%0.8%0.6%

-1-18*14461*11-1913-31117912610-6543*211819UKIP-2.9%-2.5%0.7%1.7%5.6%5.6%5.2%1.1%0.7%0.6%1.0%-4.8%25.4%-5.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%2.5%4.1%0.5%1.8%3.0%3.5%-4.8%3.7%2.4%1.9%0.4%2.0%2.6%1.8%2.2%

-2-21*1-243-1111727-111112825629-427145121022Green-4.0%-2.9%0.5%0.9%-2.3%3.4%3.1%-9.8%1.0%4.8%0.6%13.9%-2.2%3.8%0.4%4.0%2.6%1.0%2.0%5.5%1.0%3.2%-3.1%1.3%4.2%0.7%3.2%6.5%2.9%2.3%2.6%

20--31---1*---91019--*-11273687-*31036-121223Another Party82.7%--0.4%2.2%---1.1%0.4%---2.5%2.6%36.2%--0.1%-3.6%0.7%3.1%1.0%5.3%3.6%2.5%-0.3%2.4%6.4%2.5%4.8%-2.7%2.7%2.7%

4371089181331983191533585252245423839299384615919202615178339122Undecided17.3%8.8%8.8%15.2%13.1%24.9%20.5%4.0%16.9%9.4%8.3%17.7%18.0%9.0%14.6%9.1%8.0%9.5%7.7%13.9%13.4%13.0%17.5%11.6%8.3%18.5%16.1%15.6%8.0%14.4%12.5%19.4%12.2%20.6%19.5%9.2%14.4%

--*8-22*11*-121----12232321-31112-538Refused--0.4%1.1%-3.0%2.7%0.4%0.5%1.6%0.9%-1.3%0.4%0.3%----0.2%0.8%0.6%1.1%0.7%2.4%1.1%0.4%-2.5%0.7%0.9%0.6%1.5%-1.2%0.7%0.9%

243979707677365761108835108843643965324562903253132922222491092072839811613415813512782427422849SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 6


21 Jun 2018Table 3Q2.By Normal Weighting and LTV WeightingQ2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?






203572592585350729179328968329337482251268279268252180218981672368310411413710810965339380719Weighted Total

-13222592517193950291131391021733-862601281105189346710363595436333415130163293Conservative-35.8%30.3%43.7%42.9%32.1%37.5%53.8%54.6%36.4%35.4%34.4%57.3%31.0%51.4%6.9%-15.4%2.3%93.1%47.7%43.6%28.5%40.8%35.2%40.1%43.5%75.7%56.5%47.8%26.4%30.7%30.8%22.5%38.4%42.8%40.8%

-141724430272121264319332415694213242870106928238718416213761574439131144275Labour-40.2%23.4%41.2%51.8%50.3%41.3%29.7%28.8%54.5%60.7%36.6%35.2%47.3%28.0%4.7%4.3%6.1%90.3%2.9%26.3%42.1%50.9%37.5%38.9%42.4%35.7%19.1%20.5%32.7%44.3%52.6%40.6%59.6%38.6%37.9%38.2%



-5-----------412--1-2112-2*-211*1-135Plaid Cymru-13.7%-----------1.1%0.3%4.9%--0.6%-0.7%0.3%0.6%1.0%-1.2%0.2%-1.8%0.7%0.4%0.3%1.1%-0.4%0.9%0.7%

-1-18*14461*11-1913-31117912610-6543*211819UKIP-3.2%-3.0%0.8%2.4%7.3%5.9%6.2%1.2%0.8%0.8%1.2%-5.6%27.9%-5.7%0.3%0.2%0.3%2.9%5.0%0.5%2.1%3.7%4.2%-5.4%4.3%2.8%2.4%0.4%2.5%3.3%2.0%2.7%

-2-21*1-243-1111727-111112825629-427145121022Green-4.4%-3.5%0.6%1.2%-2.5%4.1%3.5%-11.9%1.3%5.3%0.7%15.3%-2.5%4.1%0.4%4.6%3.0%1.3%2.3%6.2%1.3%3.8%-3.4%1.5%4.9%0.9%3.7%8.1%3.7%2.6%3.1%

20--31---1*---91019--*-11273687-*31036-121223Another Party100.0%--0.5%2.5%---1.3%0.5%---2.7%3.1%39.8%--0.1%-4.2%0.8%3.8%1.2%5.9%4.5%3.0%-0.4%2.8%7.4%3.2%5.5%-3.4%3.0%3.2%

203572592585350729179328968329337482251268279268252180218981672368310411413710810965339380719SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 7


21 Jun 2018Table 4Q2.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting with undecided and refused removedQ2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents likely to vote with undecided and refused removed





2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

442491064671213*3105--1131321246914305271591743029580 - would not vote12.6%7.5%2.4%5.7%11.3%7.1%5.2%7.0%5.0%10.4%3.0%2.2%0.5%0.7%2.3%7.9%--3.3%1.0%3.8%5.9%8.2%2.2%7.3%5.4%8.0%4.9%1.2%4.5%8.3%5.6%9.6%3.4%5.7%5.7%5.7%

--25--1--1*111-1--1-1232-21-*---422461--1.8%0.5%--1.8%--0.7%1.2%0.6%1.2%0.4%-1.3%--0.4%-0.3%0.5%1.1%0.8%-1.0%0.4%-0.3%---2.2%1.7%0.3%0.9%0.6%

-1-155*1115-2-13---41431011312-12-481116172-2.6%-1.8%5.6%0.4%1.5%0.6%0.7%4.7%-1.8%-0.1%0.6%---1.3%0.4%1.0%0.8%3.4%0.3%0.9%1.0%3.3%-0.9%1.2%-2.7%4.5%1.2%2.0%1.2%1.6%

--1171*-*2218319*--14-51421411-2122310118193--1.2%2.0%1.3%0.3%-0.4%1.7%1.9%1.4%6.0%2.8%0.3%2.0%0.5%--0.2%1.2%-1.3%4.7%0.7%1.1%1.6%3.1%-1.2%0.7%1.0%1.0%1.6%8.3%2.1%1.5%1.8%

22-1837--1113238---10264124-513-1236371752348.4%4.7%-2.1%3.3%7.4%--1.1%1.2%3.0%2.2%1.7%0.8%1.9%---3.1%0.5%1.6%1.3%4.2%1.4%-2.2%3.6%-0.7%1.6%1.5%3.8%1.9%5.9%3.3%1.0%2.2%

-214128514-412514134-312471420741519-427810122816445-3.7%1.4%4.8%2.6%8.7%6.5%1.5%3.1%-8.7%8.9%5.4%3.4%3.1%7.3%-5.3%3.8%1.2%2.1%3.9%6.6%2.4%2.9%6.0%5.1%-3.2%1.7%3.9%4.7%5.9%10.5%5.4%3.2%4.3%

-3216*31231-421031--766775*411-111675138216-5.6%2.0%1.9%0.4%3.9%1.1%2.0%2.5%0.8%-2.7%1.9%2.4%0.6%2.1%--2.1%1.6%1.8%2.0%2.5%1.7%0.4%1.7%3.0%-0.7%0.4%0.5%3.3%4.2%4.5%2.5%1.5%2.0%

-331631112412193-3-969588293-*2310611210227-5.5%3.2%1.9%3.6%1.0%1.1%1.2%1.7%3.5%1.4%1.7%1.5%2.3%0.8%-11.3%-2.6%1.7%2.4%1.4%2.8%2.8%1.6%3.5%0.9%-0.3%1.3%1.4%6.1%3.4%0.7%2.2%2.1%2.1%

65137434594*5222135-22112720181391312-321110128272048821.1%9.4%0.6%4.3%4.7%2.9%5.3%6.1%6.5%3.7%0.8%3.7%2.4%5.6%2.9%8.1%-2.5%6.3%3.5%2.1%5.6%6.0%4.9%7.0%5.3%3.3%-2.6%1.4%6.1%6.3%7.0%7.2%5.2%4.0%4.7%

1-749138273315822292299261922152478181395886622355792.1%-8.4%5.7%0.9%3.6%10.5%1.8%4.8%2.5%8.2%11.0%8.6%5.4%6.6%3.1%9.0%14.3%2.8%7.6%5.4%6.3%5.0%8.6%5.9%3.2%4.8%12.6%7.2%3.7%4.4%5.1%3.6%5.5%4.3%6.9%5.6%

16306859456584969102793079703173444120472422822752461652069217323887103124133102996035135870910 - certain to vote55.8%61.1%79.0%69.3%66.3%64.7%67.0%79.4%73.1%70.5%72.4%59.4%74.1%78.6%79.2%69.8%79.7%77.9%74.0%81.3%79.3%70.9%55.5%74.1%72.9%69.2%64.6%82.6%81.7%83.6%72.9%61.5%56.2%51.2%66.9%71.9%69.3%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 8


21 Jun 2018Table 5Q3.Weighted by normal weightingQ3.If there were to be another referendum on membership of the European Union, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is certain and 0 is would not vote, how likely would you be to vote?






254584809758370811331014113195400425542460316343334327273272117237338100125142168157159113494469964Weighted Total

517303603334434373431637381936129102084215133163102944410816657728178565116203209412Leave18.6%37.1%35.8%44.5%43.5%40.6%62.0%53.2%55.1%42.7%39.2%28.1%40.4%4.7%85.0%53.6%40.9%33.2%26.7%62.7%39.7%49.8%37.5%34.6%37.5%45.6%49.0%56.5%57.9%57.0%46.7%35.9%32.4%14.0%41.0%44.6%42.7%

182548379393615365253218344370372214392121091801431301616810413636445682869174228242469Remain71.8%54.6%57.2%46.8%51.7%43.0%21.7%44.5%39.1%52.1%52.5%63.1%47.0%92.4%8.7%39.9%55.2%64.1%67.2%31.8%54.0%43.8%47.5%59.4%58.4%44.0%40.1%36.2%34.9%39.8%48.9%54.5%57.5%65.7%46.0%51.5%48.7%

246694141128531012122641*191920214115525377947151523631881Undecided9.6%8.3%6.7%8.5%4.8%16.5%16.3%2.3%5.9%5.2%8.2%7.8%12.5%2.9%6.0%6.5%3.8%0.6%6.1%5.6%5.9%6.3%14.8%5.4%4.1%10.4%10.8%7.3%7.2%2.9%4.4%9.7%9.3%20.3%12.7%3.8%8.4%

--*1-------1--1--1--1-*2-----*--1-1*2Refused--0.4%0.2%-------1.0%--0.3%--2.1%--0.4%-0.1%0.6%-----0.2%--0.8%-0.3%0.1%0.2%

254584809758370811331014113195400425542460316343334327273272117237338100125142168157159113494469964SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 9


21 Jun 2018Table 6Q4.By Normal WeightingQ4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?






223979726667263781239137110863763984923582883273153002252531102112939911813515713713288435431866Weighted Total

51529335283141427039153237173452810197720612915488894110015356697874494413187196383Leave20.6%37.2%36.6%46.2%42.5%43.2%65.5%53.9%56.6%42.7%41.8%29.2%42.6%4.5%86.7%55.8%42.8%33.4%26.7%63.2%41.1%51.3%39.1%35.4%37.5%47.3%52.1%56.3%58.1%57.4%47.3%36.2%33.5%15.0%43.0%45.5%44.2%

16234634335321435494820714035034201237197104166134114151659511936425577778061206223429Remain75.1%59.2%57.7%47.3%53.7%44.6%21.5%44.7%39.6%53.1%53.7%64.5%46.5%93.1%8.5%40.1%53.2%64.3%68.4%31.9%52.8%44.7%50.6%59.6%59.1%44.7%40.7%36.3%36.0%40.6%49.2%56.3%60.6%69.6%47.4%51.7%49.5%

1144639815426991821*14161812231141721772610714411253Undecided4.3%3.7%5.3%6.3%3.8%12.2%13.0%1.4%3.8%4.3%4.5%5.3%10.9%2.4%4.5%4.1%4.0%0.3%4.9%4.9%5.7%4.0%10.1%4.4%3.4%7.9%7.2%7.4%5.9%1.7%3.6%7.5%5.0%15.4%9.4%2.7%6.1%

--*1-------1--1--1--1-*1-----*--1-1*1Refused--0.4%0.2%-------1.0%--0.3%--2.0%--0.4%-0.1%0.6%-----0.2%--0.9%-0.3%0.1%0.2%

223979726667263781239137110863763984923582883273153002252531102112939911813515713713288435431866SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 10


21 Jun 2018Table 7Q4.By Normal Weighting and LTV WeightingQ4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?






213875678636355771188735103763673794722562743112962882012401061952729211113215212612475393419812Weighted Total

51529335283141427039153237173452810197720612915488894110015356697874494413187196383Leave21.5%38.6%38.8%49.4%44.2%49.2%75.2%54.7%58.9%44.5%43.8%31.1%47.8%4.6%91.0%58.2%44.5%34.1%28.1%66.5%43.8%53.4%43.6%37.2%38.8%51.4%56.2%60.7%61.7%58.6%49.0%39.1%35.6%17.7%47.6%46.8%47.2%

16234634335321435494820714035034201237197104166134114151659511936425577778061206223429Remain78.5%61.4%61.2%50.6%55.8%50.8%24.8%45.3%41.1%55.5%56.2%68.9%52.2%95.4%9.0%41.8%55.5%65.9%71.9%33.5%56.2%46.6%56.4%62.8%61.2%48.6%43.8%39.3%38.3%41.4%51.0%60.9%64.4%82.3%52.4%53.2%52.8%

213875678636355771188735103763673794722562743112962882012401061952729211113215212612475393419812SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 11


21 Jun 2018Table 8Q4.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting with undecided and refused removedQ4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

4102434426343439694312454049292269187719613313896833610116250646277465330167215382A ‘'hard'’ Brexit,12.8%20.2%28.0%40.1%31.1%38.6%45.6%45.0%49.5%38.7%27.5%34.0%42.4%12.1%67.1%44.4%35.5%29.5%23.4%56.6%38.3%39.8%32.3%29.9%28.4%40.3%44.0%47.9%50.4%42.0%42.1%27.7%30.0%25.3%31.9%43.1%37.3%involving leaving

the EU single marketand customs union

20274734538352433524716653527092231035185106170136122154699012637335078839364231207438A ‘'soft'’ Brexit,69.8%54.0%54.7%40.2%44.4%38.7%33.0%37.5%37.3%41.9%37.8%48.6%37.3%66.9%21.2%39.9%42.9%57.9%56.7%30.7%49.0%39.2%41.1%55.3%54.8%36.0%34.1%35.1%26.1%33.5%42.4%50.1%53.2%54.9%44.2%41.5%42.9%not involving

leaving the EUsingle market andcustoms union

5131517021201615182215231985519586544447379412159801830362837302312677202Don't know17.4%25.8%17.2%19.8%24.5%22.8%21.3%17.5%13.1%19.5%34.7%17.4%20.4%21.0%11.7%15.8%21.6%12.6%19.8%12.7%12.7%21.0%26.6%14.8%16.8%23.8%21.8%16.9%23.5%24.6%15.5%22.2%16.8%19.8%24.0%15.4%19.8%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 12


21 Jun 2018Table 9Q5.By Normal WeightingQ5.Which of the following do you prefer?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

1326473993949263263662255482901102213381951261601751401576111715042496283909167237247485Leaving the EU46.0%53.0%54.4%46.4%45.8%54.4%35.5%36.1%45.0%58.3%53.5%40.9%50.3%72.0%25.2%36.7%52.5%63.4%59.8%36.5%46.0%50.4%46.9%56.6%48.5%46.7%40.7%40.1%38.7%41.7%45.5%54.1%52.0%57.5%45.3%49.6%47.4%without a mutually

agreed deal on theterms of exit wouldbe BAD for Britain

91426278222435345127953235423426916751481221068878408012841445860375234143184327Leaving the EU31.7%28.2%29.8%32.4%26.2%27.0%47.5%38.4%36.6%24.2%21.1%39.2%24.5%13.5%53.8%44.9%36.7%26.7%22.9%42.7%35.1%30.7%29.5%28.1%31.9%32.0%34.9%38.9%35.2%39.4%32.7%22.3%29.4%29.2%27.3%36.9%32.0%without a mutually

agreed deal on theterms of exit wouldbe GOOD for Britain

6914182241712222620112724599111365772666670432553902233284039331614467211Don't know22.3%18.7%15.7%21.2%27.9%18.7%16.9%25.6%18.4%17.5%25.4%19.8%25.2%14.5%21.0%18.4%10.8%9.9%17.3%20.8%18.9%18.9%23.6%15.3%19.7%21.3%24.4%21.0%26.1%18.9%21.7%23.7%18.7%13.3%27.4%13.5%20.6%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 13


21 Jun 2018Table 10Q6.By Normal WeightingQ6.Which of the following statements is closest to your view?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

714233133029344351351152303729227827661871301279496289114353626758415817168189358Brexit will be good25.4%28.4%27.0%36.5%35.6%31.9%46.6%48.7%36.2%31.0%25.2%38.8%31.2%9.2%67.1%45.6%33.9%44.1%20.1%53.9%37.4%36.5%31.6%34.5%22.4%36.3%38.8%50.5%49.2%45.2%31.8%24.9%33.2%14.9%32.1%38.0%35.0%for the UK economy

1820443133130173055431259342943318123118278151131102131638711232354767787263194200394Brexit will be bad62.7%41.0%50.5%36.4%36.9%33.1%23.0%34.4%39.4%38.6%29.8%44.4%36.0%72.9%7.6%29.8%50.9%51.4%55.8%22.5%43.4%37.9%34.1%47.3%50.2%34.9%30.4%30.4%27.8%31.6%36.8%46.5%41.2%53.7%37.1%40.1%38.6%for the UK economy

378116102111521208911337792130562955472618315981720302120207164135Brexit will make no11.9%14.3%9.2%13.6%12.4%23.7%14.4%5.5%15.0%17.9%19.0%6.7%11.8%8.2%17.7%15.2%7.0%1.4%9.1%16.3%8.3%15.8%15.9%9.5%14.6%12.4%16.0%7.1%13.4%13.3%16.6%12.5%11.2%16.7%13.6%12.8%13.2%difference to the UK

economy

-8121161310121013141113203933522492538345524164154131215272725179046136Don't know-16.3%13.3%13.5%15.2%11.3%16.0%11.4%9.3%12.5%25.9%10.1%21.0%9.7%7.6%9.3%8.2%3.1%14.9%7.3%10.8%9.8%18.4%8.7%12.8%16.3%14.8%12.0%9.6%9.9%14.8%16.1%14.3%14.7%17.2%9.1%13.3%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 14


21 Jun 2018Table 11Q7.By Normal WeightingQ7.Which of the following statements is closest to your view?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

111638227202013253524854281857423132811963127946210333609635303757524835128164292Strongly support38.2%33.3%43.8%26.5%23.4%22.6%17.4%28.3%25.4%21.5%19.4%40.1%29.9%46.0%17.1%38.7%52.2%45.8%36.5%18.2%36.7%27.1%20.9%37.2%26.6%24.0%26.0%33.0%23.4%24.7%30.9%31.1%27.5%29.8%24.4%33.0%28.6%

411141721422151126266292182807611627454737447195482618193537592812181202Somewhat support15.9%23.3%16.6%20.0%16.6%24.6%21.0%13.0%18.8%23.2%15.4%21.6%22.6%20.4%18.3%12.6%23.4%18.8%19.0%21.3%15.6%21.0%24.9%16.8%15.3%21.6%22.4%6.1%14.3%12.8%19.1%22.3%33.6%23.6%23.1%16.4%19.8%

6815156202219819208211966637447146476066382349761119263526333510580186Neither support or22.6%15.9%17.5%18.2%23.3%24.8%25.5%9.5%13.3%17.7%19.7%16.0%20.3%16.3%14.4%11.1%17.5%7.3%21.8%13.3%13.7%17.4%22.2%13.6%18.2%19.7%20.5%10.4%15.2%17.8%18.9%15.8%19.1%29.6%20.1%16.1%18.2%oppose

-3386511852111512819595-6244825352831102229191514131866583492Somewhat oppose-5.4%3.4%10.0%6.3%12.4%11.5%5.3%15.1%9.4%11.2%9.3%8.1%4.8%13.5%7.9%-9.7%7.3%13.9%7.2%10.1%9.6%11.2%7.7%8.7%7.9%18.2%11.9%9.5%7.3%11.0%3.3%4.7%11.1%6.7%9.0%

57111391561432272071182613011-9251027261284230405028374328167454108162Strongly oppose18.2%13.4%13.1%16.2%17.7%6.5%19.3%36.2%19.3%17.4%16.1%8.1%8.4%6.4%29.9%17.9%-14.2%7.7%29.5%20.6%17.6%9.3%15.3%23.5%16.1%13.5%26.4%29.2%28.9%15.2%9.4%3.7%3.6%10.3%21.6%15.8%

145781184711128710253072225132223391711253667916172210583188Don't know5.2%8.7%5.6%9.1%12.7%9.1%5.3%7.8%8.2%10.8%18.2%5.0%10.8%6.1%6.8%11.7%7.0%4.1%7.7%3.8%6.3%6.7%13.1%6.0%8.7%10.0%9.7%5.9%5.9%6.3%8.5%10.3%12.8%8.7%11.0%6.2%8.7%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 15


21 Jun 2018Table 12Q8.By Normal WeightingQ8.When the UK Government's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from the EU are complete, to what extent would you support or oppose holding a referendum asking the publicif they will accept or reject the deal?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

72028353353734405551951419027023101591204145132123104459716045676871546439195212407Once the UK leaves23.1%40.7%32.1%41.1%41.0%41.5%45.9%45.5%39.6%45.1%21.0%38.3%43.0%22.4%62.2%39.4%39.3%25.3%28.0%58.8%41.8%38.0%41.2%37.4%35.8%38.9%43.6%42.4%52.9%45.5%39.0%32.1%36.4%33.2%37.1%42.6%39.8%the EU there will be

a ‘Brexit dividend’that will help fundthe NHS

142132314293425285243165929237822093617574125146102126608710830395064737352195186381Once the UK leaves51.2%42.5%36.8%36.6%33.8%37.6%33.8%32.4%37.2%38.3%37.7%43.8%30.3%58.8%18.8%34.1%36.0%59.4%53.6%21.5%36.0%42.0%34.3%45.5%47.4%34.9%29.2%28.6%30.8%33.6%34.7%43.8%41.7%44.9%37.3%37.3%37.3%the EU there will be

no ‘Brexit dividend’that will help fundthe NHS

782719221191519321917242576831669606877697348216610031213148403826134100234Don't know25.7%16.8%31.1%22.4%25.2%20.9%20.4%22.1%23.2%16.5%41.3%17.9%26.7%18.8%19.0%26.5%24.7%15.3%18.4%19.7%22.2%20.0%24.5%17.1%16.8%26.3%27.2%29.1%16.3%20.9%26.2%24.1%21.9%21.9%25.6%20.1%22.9%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 16


21 Jun 2018Table 13Q9.By Normal WeightingQ9.The Prime Minister has recently announced that the NHS will receive an additional £384m a week by 2023. This is to be paid for partly by a ‘Brexit dividend’ of money that will no longerbe paid to the EU in membership contributions, fulfilling a key promise made by the Leave Campaign. Others have claimed that any financial gains released from leaving the EU will beoutweighed by slower economic growth and lower tax revenues, and that an increase in NHS funding will have to come through other routes such as increased taxes and borrowing.Which of the following comes closest to your view?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

633652519138218629409-6163653111240715161067516295324578I have a very good21.4%6.9%3.4%7.6%2.7%5.6%1.2%10.8%9.6%7.5%4.9%13.1%6.4%7.2%9.3%16.1%-10.5%4.9%10.4%15.3%3.3%4.1%14.2%5.9%5.8%4.3%9.3%4.5%4.8%2.9%9.4%16.7%4.0%6.2%9.1%7.6%understanding of the

Customs Union

81424194162213133333103815115991611188576969743943752582031444539402281159240I have a good29.2%27.7%27.7%22.6%19.3%24.6%17.6%15.3%23.6%29.5%24.5%28.7%15.6%28.4%22.8%27.2%45.5%29.2%26.0%21.9%27.6%28.0%14.5%33.8%29.2%20.6%15.7%18.9%24.4%29.3%24.3%23.5%22.6%19.1%15.5%31.9%23.5%understanding of the

Customs Union

82233366433629416738156036168199197231411671371501311085310116755666472655553212217429I have a limited29.7%44.9%38.4%42.6%50.4%40.7%38.7%47.2%47.8%34.2%36.9%44.9%38.0%41.6%45.8%32.3%27.0%38.5%43.2%48.3%39.4%43.3%44.0%38.8%42.2%40.5%45.5%52.2%52.1%43.2%39.3%39.2%31.1%45.3%40.5%43.6%42.0%understanding of the

Customs Union

331612591724161418641750555411503133535720204760820202820242710740147I don't know9.0%6.0%18.9%14.6%10.1%19.5%32.4%18.8%10.0%15.6%14.2%3.1%18.1%12.3%12.7%9.2%15.7%17.5%15.4%9.0%9.4%15.4%19.3%7.2%15.6%18.9%16.3%7.4%15.9%13.3%15.4%11.8%13.8%23.4%20.5%8.0%14.4%anything about the

Customs Union

-7772106637937202930332202925203687274313262516176662086I haven't heard of-13.3%8.0%8.4%12.4%6.9%8.4%3.6%5.1%7.9%8.3%5.2%20.7%7.3%7.0%5.9%11.7%3.3%6.2%8.3%7.3%5.9%12.0%3.1%5.7%10.6%11.8%12.2%2.0%4.0%13.8%9.8%9.6%5.1%12.6%3.9%8.4%the Customs Union

3133642145657113115-11473141882923-18811114251742Don't know10.7%1.1%3.6%4.1%5.1%2.6%1.7%4.3%3.8%5.4%11.2%5.0%1.1%3.2%2.5%9.3%-0.9%4.3%2.1%1.0%4.1%6.0%2.9%1.4%3.6%6.3%-1.2%5.3%4.3%6.4%6.2%3.0%4.7%3.5%4.1%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 17


21 Jun 2018Table 14Q10.By Normal WeightingQ10.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the Customs Union and how it works?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

171619286272316385334865201501452772111113113312770105467711153534556454935138200337The Customs Union61.5%31.7%22.0%33.3%31.7%26.2%21.7%44.0%38.1%30.6%19.2%48.8%20.9%37.3%33.3%46.7%30.1%35.2%34.0%37.7%38.3%36.5%23.6%37.6%36.4%30.6%30.0%50.5%41.8%30.6%30.5%27.2%28.1%30.3%26.3%40.1%33.0%guarantees the free

movement of goods,capital, servicesand labour withinthe European Unionbetween EU membercountries

25251421222712221872418697341010525548635953193567420323221392473101174The Customs Union8.4%9.4%28.9%16.5%13.7%24.2%10.0%13.8%15.7%16.2%15.8%17.8%19.3%17.1%16.8%6.6%39.1%15.9%15.8%16.0%13.8%18.3%19.7%19.0%15.0%14.1%18.1%4.0%16.1%21.6%17.5%12.8%22.2%21.0%13.9%20.3%17.0%allows EU member

states to charge thesame import dutiesto countries outsidethe EU, and member sare still able totrade freely witheach other, withoutinternal tariffs andcustoms checks atborders

3122318416182118292682819901071131780838374627334516529232933474023106116223The Customs Union is10.4%25.3%27.0%21.4%19.3%20.4%28.2%20.3%21.0%23.2%18.6%21.2%20.1%22.4%24.6%19.2%11.6%28.5%24.4%24.1%23.9%21.2%21.0%26.3%26.7%20.4%17.6%27.1%17.8%19.7%17.8%28.5%22.6%19.3%20.3%23.3%21.8%the name given to a

free trade agreementbetween EU membercountries and othercountries in whichthere are no customsduties levied ongoods travellingbetween the EU andother countries

616192473026301935341916389411016512847783831074728881261931426252483420781288Don't know19.7%33.5%22.2%28.8%35.2%29.2%40.1%21.9%25.2%30.0%46.5%12.2%39.7%23.2%25.2%27.5%19.2%20.4%25.8%22.2%24.0%24.0%35.8%17.1%21.9%35.0%34.2%18.3%24.2%28.0%34.1%31.4%27.1%29.5%39.5%16.3%28.2%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 18


21 Jun 2018Table 15Q11.By Normal WeightingQ11.Which of the following best describes the ''EU Customs Union''?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

6436648-8116121631419-918335018104081417686615325344479I have a very good21.4%8.0%3.1%7.7%5.3%9.3%-8.7%8.0%5.6%2.8%15.5%6.4%7.7%9.4%15.9%-15.1%5.5%9.6%14.4%5.0%3.5%14.4%6.6%5.4%4.6%5.9%6.5%4.2%3.5%9.0%18.1%4.0%6.5%8.9%7.7%understanding of the

single market


single market


single market


single market

-71142122-4*-1521112177832710--1469217522I haven't heard of-14.6%1.1%1.6%2.7%1.6%2.4%2.8%-4.0%0.9%-1.2%1.2%0.5%1.2%3.8%1.0%0.8%0.3%2.0%2.0%2.7%1.2%1.7%2.8%2.7%--0.6%2.2%3.6%5.4%1.6%3.2%1.0%2.2%the single market

41559157778327319206122271321301252329-571220169472269Don't know15.9%1.0%5.5%6.9%17.2%8.2%10.0%7.9%5.6%2.9%5.2%5.4%3.0%4.7%4.6%11.0%2.5%4.0%6.9%2.0%3.6%6.0%10.0%4.4%3.9%9.0%8.0%-3.9%5.0%6.6%11.8%9.1%7.9%9.0%4.4%6.8%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 19


21 Jun 2018Table 16Q12.By Normal WeightingQ12.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the single market?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

17194431228303144573710462915818325103110817214414696117529812569587374404632166227392The Single Market60.7%39.1%51.2%36.3%33.5%33.3%41.8%50.4%40.7%32.8%25.1%34.1%30.2%39.1%42.1%43.1%41.9%50.6%33.1%49.7%41.3%42.0%32.2%42.1%41.3%39.1%34.1%65.1%45.6%49.4%40.7%24.3%26.4%27.0%31.6%45.5%38.4%guarantees the free

movement of goods,capital, servicesand labour withinthe European Unionbetween EU membercountries

391315311248102822439876787310685774554368192962917153738491277100178The Single Market11.2%17.6%14.8%17.8%13.2%26.7%10.3%11.1%19.8%19.2%10.2%29.3%8.3%18.9%18.0%11.9%12.6%16.1%20.8%16.4%21.4%15.9%14.4%24.4%15.0%11.6%16.8%8.6%13.5%9.9%20.4%22.7%28.2%10.4%14.7%20.2%17.4%allows EU member

states to charge thesame import dutiesto countries outsidethe EU, and memberstates are stillable to trade freelywith each other,withoutinternal tariffs andcustoms checks atborders

26131781418714293283125907911415755563686354293977427302540373810496200The Single Market is8.4%12.6%14.7%20.8%16.0%20.3%9.5%16.5%21.0%28.5%20.0%22.8%26.2%22.3%18.1%18.1%16.2%24.9%22.9%15.8%18.2%19.6%21.2%19.5%23.0%15.7%21.0%3.4%21.6%20.1%13.5%23.8%21.1%32.2%19.8%19.3%19.5%the name given to a

free trade agreementbetween EU membercountries and othercountries in whichthere are no customsduties levied ongoods travellingbetween the EU andother countries

615172153118281926221918347995167576636678963926841042424314649433617875253Don't know19.7%30.6%19.3%25.1%37.3%19.7%38.4%22.1%18.5%19.6%44.8%13.7%35.3%19.6%21.8%26.9%29.3%8.4%23.2%18.1%19.1%22.5%32.1%14.0%20.7%33.6%28.1%22.8%19.3%20.7%25.4%29.2%24.4%30.4%33.9%15.1%24.7%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 20


21 Jun 2018Table 17Q13.By Normal WeightingQ13.Which of the following best describes the ''Single Market''?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

65454211-4103221137278-622254591635412196232103511304070I have a very good21.4%11.1%4.7%6.3%2.5%12.1%-4.8%7.4%2.3%4.7%15.6%1.4%9.2%6.2%13.5%-10.5%6.8%7.4%12.8%2.5%5.5%12.6%3.2%4.6%5.2%5.9%1.4%1.8%1.3%5.9%20.2%9.7%5.7%8.0%6.8%understanding of the

difference betweenthe Customs Unionand single market

-71412712131381722326126465741060425156395719324131529242831185692148I have a good-14.5%16.3%14.8%14.3%14.9%18.1%8.9%12.3%19.8%6.2%19.5%12.7%15.8%15.0%11.3%17.0%16.5%18.3%12.2%14.7%16.1%13.0%20.5%14.8%12.6%11.1%3.0%11.7%19.6%13.4%16.9%17.5%15.1%10.8%18.4%14.5%understanding of the






-1-307-32432281311*--9109912445183159210223931I haven't heard of-2.5%-3.5%8.3%-3.8%2.0%2.8%2.7%4.4%1.5%8.3%3.3%2.5%0.7%--2.7%2.8%2.6%2.5%4.0%1.4%3.3%2.2%4.9%3.1%0.9%3.3%4.8%1.0%5.6%1.6%4.3%1.7%3.1%either the Customs

Union or singlemarket

37-2011*2531135152-21144111162516-876412181129I think they are the9.0%13.4%-2.3%1.6%1.6%0.4%2.6%3.8%3.1%2.1%1.0%3.6%1.1%3.5%3.8%-3.3%3.4%1.3%1.3%3.2%3.7%2.2%1.7%1.8%4.4%-6.4%5.0%3.1%2.7%0.8%1.6%3.3%2.3%2.8%same

3518155211222161914131821557210665252585558282165671726173829292511566181Don't know10.7%10.3%20.4%18.1%25.1%13.7%30.2%17.9%13.4%12.2%31.1%13.4%21.7%13.7%16.6%16.7%23.4%10.7%15.9%15.0%16.7%15.9%19.5%10.2%16.8%25.9%18.2%15.8%20.6%11.4%20.9%17.4%16.5%21.8%21.9%13.3%17.7%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 21


21 Jun 2018Table 18Q14.By Normal WeightingQ14.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the difference, if any, between the Customs Union and single market?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

146783416461683186495418182843632520491620251371814173283970109I have a very good48.7%11.4%7.8%9.7%5.0%18.0%6.0%7.3%11.7%7.2%7.1%13.7%6.2%12.1%12.4%30.5%3.5%13.0%8.5%12.4%18.2%7.1%6.9%17.6%12.5%7.8%6.7%12.6%5.4%12.2%7.5%9.9%18.4%7.0%7.5%14.0%10.7%understanding of the

Irish border issue


Irish border issue


Irish border issue

-4121171115117171611424574863*48453742522113395961020262332178548133I don't know-8.8%13.7%13.6%13.5%17.2%14.7%8.6%12.1%14.3%25.3%3.1%25.1%14.2%11.0%10.7%14.1%0.7%14.8%13.1%10.6%12.1%17.3%7.7%10.7%15.6%16.0%5.6%7.8%13.3%14.1%13.6%18.3%14.4%16.3%9.6%13.0%anything about the

Irish border issue

-105497446933841524312149122128871534-54181317756864I haven't heard of-20.8%5.4%5.7%8.4%4.0%5.7%6.8%6.3%3.0%8.3%6.1%4.6%3.8%5.5%5.8%3.8%4.0%4.2%2.5%3.4%5.9%9.3%2.8%5.7%5.9%9.3%-3.7%2.8%10.0%7.7%9.7%5.9%10.6%1.7%6.3%the Irish border

issue

314529235136564191272119619132113523193341116148362460Don't know10.7%1.7%4.8%6.0%10.7%2.3%4.6%5.5%9.1%5.2%11.8%4.1%3.7%4.8%2.8%11.6%7.0%1.4%5.8%1.7%5.3%3.7%7.0%4.7%4.1%9.1%5.1%3.2%2.6%2.9%6.2%9.7%7.8%6.6%6.9%4.8%5.9%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 22


21 Jun 2018Table 19Q15.By Normal WeightingQ15.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the current Irish border issue?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

831282714561073181244441078422635373227151746338201835175054105It will make the26.6%6.0%14.2%9.5%8.6%15.4%6.5%6.9%6.8%6.1%8.3%13.5%12.8%10.9%10.2%16.7%26.8%12.7%12.9%7.7%10.2%10.6%10.8%9.7%11.9%6.7%12.5%3.0%2.5%5.6%10.9%10.5%20.0%14.8%9.6%10.9%10.2%relationship closer

72643335323432236145165536232130181232157128151137115136559412738536474696945224188412It will make the24.6%53.8%50.1%39.0%37.6%38.0%44.0%26.2%43.9%40.4%39.0%41.0%37.9%57.4%29.8%29.8%49.4%53.2%48.1%37.0%43.4%39.6%38.8%49.1%43.5%37.4%34.5%36.2%41.8%43.1%40.4%41.2%39.3%38.9%42.8%37.7%40.3%relationship more

distant

912132732520253044391247327418319-1382128901248367398211940495155423435129178307It will make no32.1%24.6%14.9%31.8%29.3%22.2%33.5%34.3%31.2%34.6%28.7%35.5%33.4%18.3%42.1%33.1%-22.3%25.1%37.0%25.9%35.7%28.0%24.3%30.9%32.7%32.3%38.3%39.0%34.4%29.9%25.1%19.6%30.3%24.6%35.8%30.1%difference to the

relationship

5818168212212282521101315547812674664714967471758762421253439371912178198Don't know16.7%15.6%20.8%19.6%24.5%24.4%15.9%32.6%18.2%18.9%24.1%10.1%15.9%13.4%17.9%20.4%23.8%11.8%13.9%18.4%20.5%14.1%22.4%16.9%13.7%23.2%20.7%22.5%16.7%16.8%18.8%23.2%21.0%16.0%23.0%15.6%19.4%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 23


21 Jun 2018Table 20Q16.By Normal WeightingQ16.If the UK leaves the Customs Union when it leaves the EU, this could mean the UK would no longer have to abide by EU regulations and would be able to conduct free trade deals withcountries outside the EU. However, this could also result in a 'hard border’ with customs checks between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. How, if at all, do you thinkBrexit will affect the relationship between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

465687432912320830363253325282727341519151159252417434083It will make the15.7%12.2%5.7%7.9%8.7%4.5%4.5%2.2%6.3%10.7%6.7%14.6%8.3%7.3%8.2%4.8%8.8%9.0%10.0%7.1%8.2%7.7%9.1%12.4%11.6%7.6%4.1%1.2%0.7%3.3%5.2%14.9%13.9%14.8%8.2%8.1%8.1%relationship closer


distant

1012182862326264255371338267919620713811381031199366428313545545660434523134192326It will make no35.5%25.2%21.0%33.3%27.7%29.2%34.8%47.7%39.1%33.1%30.1%28.8%27.3%19.5%45.1%34.2%28.5%22.0%24.8%39.9%29.8%34.2%31.2%23.9%33.6%33.1%36.7%43.0%42.6%37.5%32.9%25.8%25.5%20.1%25.5%38.7%31.9%difference to the

relationship

41119153171612192622131316576212665150565070432152711315293341362011770187Don't know15.9%21.5%22.3%17.8%20.2%18.2%15.9%21.5%18.2%19.4%30.7%9.5%17.0%14.2%14.3%21.2%26.1%10.4%15.5%14.3%16.2%14.5%23.6%15.6%16.4%20.8%19.4%12.8%11.6%19.7%18.1%24.4%20.6%17.0%22.3%14.1%18.3%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 24


21 Jun 2018Table 21Q17.By Normal WeightingQ17.How, if at all, do you think Brexit will affect the relationship between the Republic of Ireland and the UK as a whole?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

-78911311852210117641516383243363732436243410911142027165057107It will make the-15.1%9.3%10.6%15.7%12.1%10.4%5.5%15.6%8.7%1.9%12.3%5.9%10.2%11.7%9.8%14.2%13.7%9.9%12.6%10.5%10.7%10.9%15.6%4.4%9.7%9.1%9.2%7.0%7.2%7.6%12.2%15.5%13.6%9.5%11.5%10.4%relationship closer


distant

18153032334342839504716463012420230620104153114149108836010613644677367464742190196385It will make no62.3%31.0%34.5%37.6%40.1%38.3%37.8%44.1%35.6%41.5%37.9%34.5%31.2%30.7%46.5%51.1%22.6%33.1%31.8%44.1%32.9%42.9%36.4%30.0%47.7%42.5%36.9%41.7%52.8%49.2%36.7%27.5%27.0%35.6%36.2%39.3%37.7%difference to the

relationship

4817176211414263121161221766311486253666264502562681915293848371912283205Don't know15.9%15.3%19.2%20.5%24.6%15.7%19.4%29.4%22.1%18.7%39.4%8.9%22.0%18.8%14.4%18.5%17.3%12.8%19.1%15.4%19.1%17.8%21.5%18.0%20.1%24.6%18.5%18.3%11.5%19.6%20.9%28.5%21.0%16.4%23.3%16.6%20.0%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 25


21 Jun 2018Table 22Q18.By Normal WeightingQ18.How, if at all, do you think Brexit will affect the relationship between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK?






2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022Weighted Total

15173927031313216383374437145149189131111371221249093398412435565166516121164177341Northern Ireland52.1%35.2%44.6%31.5%37.1%34.4%43.7%18.9%27.3%29.3%17.5%33.2%38.6%36.0%34.2%30.1%36.4%21.7%34.0%39.5%35.3%35.8%30.1%33.5%31.2%33.7%33.8%33.7%44.1%34.2%36.0%30.8%34.6%18.2%31.4%35.5%33.4%should remain part

of the UK

12810551149171024074851551144363838384618203281219121527244275117Northern Ireland5.2%4.1%9.8%12.2%5.6%12.1%6.0%9.9%12.4%9.3%4.1%29.6%7.4%11.9%11.7%8.5%18.5%17.7%13.5%10.3%11.0%11.0%12.9%16.7%14.4%8.1%8.7%7.4%9.1%13.0%6.7%8.9%15.6%20.5%8.0%15.1%11.4%should no longer be

part of the UK

92231386364130507358203839174206279351341501591511221165910416956586685696450243205448I don't have a view32.0%45.2%35.6%45.0%42.7%46.0%40.5%57.3%52.5%51.8%46.7%28.7%41.4%43.1%47.3%45.1%35.0%58.0%41.1%43.4%45.7%43.5%41.0%41.8%46.8%41.7%45.9%53.5%45.7%44.4%46.2%41.7%36.7%42.7%46.4%41.2%43.9%– it's dependent on

the decision ofpeople from NorthernIreland

389971277121111131112362910223724283348221041436113203123227541116Don't know10.7%15.5%10.0%11.3%14.6%7.5%9.8%14.0%7.7%9.5%31.7%8.5%12.7%9.0%6.8%16.3%10.1%2.6%11.3%6.9%8.0%9.6%16.0%8.0%7.6%16.5%11.6%5.4%1.2%8.5%11.2%18.6%13.1%18.5%14.2%8.3%11.3%

2849868588589748714011342134954034355924603263463473472982781262503681051261481831671761175244981022SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Page 26


21 Jun 2018Table 23Q19.By Normal WeightingQ19.If a ‘hard border’ were to be established between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, which of the following comes closest to your view about how youwould feel about Northern Ireland?



Page I

Page Table Title Base Description Base

4 1 Q1.By Normal Weighting Q1.If there were to be another general election, on a scale of 0-10,where 10 is certain and 0 is would not vote, how likely would you be to vote?

Base: All Respondents 1022

5 2 Q2.By Normal Weighting Q2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents likely to vote 966

6 3 Q2.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting Q2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?


7 4 Q2.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting with undecided and refused removed Q2.If the General Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?


791

8 5 Q3.If there were to be another referendum on membership of the European Union, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is certain and 0 is would not vote, how likely would you be to vote?


9 6 Q4.By Normal Weighting Q4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


10 7 Q4.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting Q4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


11 8 Q4.By Normal Weighting and LTV Weighting with undecided and refused removed Q4.Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


889

12 9 Q5.By Normal Weighting Q5.Which of the following do you prefer?


13 10 Q6.By Normal Weighting Q6.Which of the following statements is closest to your view?


Page II


14 11 Q7.By Normal Weighting Q7.Which of the following statements is closest to your view?


15 12 Q8.By Normal Weighting Q8.When the UK Government's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from the EU are complete, to what extent would you support or oppose holding a referendum asking the public if they will accept or reject the deal?


16 13 Q9.By Normal Weighting Q9.The Prime Minister has recently announced that the NHS will receive an additional £384m a week by 2023. This is to be paid for partly by a ‘Brexit dividend’ of money that will no longer be paid to the EU in membership contributions, fulfilling a key promise made by the Leave Campaign. Others have claimed that any financial gains released from leaving the EU will be Which of the following comes closest to your view?


17 14 Q10.By Normal Weighting Q10.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the Customs Union and how it works?


18 15 Q11.By Normal Weighting Q11.Which of the following best describes the ''EU Customs Union''?


19 16 Q12.By Normal Weighting Q12.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the single market?


20 17 Q13.By Normal Weighting Q13.Which of the following best describes the ''Single Market''?


21 18 Q14.By Normal Weighting Q14.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the difference, if any, between the Customs Union and single market?


22 19 Q15.By Normal Weighting Q15.Which of the following best describes your understanding of the current Irish border issue?


Page III


23 20 Q16.By Normal Weighting Q16.If the UK leaves the Customs Union when it leaves the EU, this could mean the UK would no longer have to abide by EU regulations and would be able to conduct free trade deals with countries outside the EU. However, this could also result in a 'hard border’ with customs checks between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. How, if at all, do you think Brexit will affect the relationship between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland?


24 21 Q17.By Normal Weighting Q17.How, if at all, do you think Brexit will affect the relationship between the Republic of Ireland and the UK as a whole?


25 22 Q18.By Normal Weighting Q18.How, if at all, do you think Brexit will affect the relationship between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK?


26 23 Q19.By Normal Weighting Q19.If a ‘hard border’ were to be established between the Republicof Ireland and Northern Ireland, which of the following comes closest to your view about how you would feel about Northern Ireland?


Documents

Brexit Anniversary Poll - survation.comsurvation.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/GMB-Final-Tables.pdf · Page 4 Brexit Anniversary Poll 21 Jun 2018 Table 1 Q1.By Normal Weighting Q1.If