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Blue Crab Update to LivRaw Derek M. Orner NOAA Chesapeake Bay 4 November 2005

Blue Crab Update to LivRaw

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Blue Crab Update to LivRaw. Derek M. Orner NOAA Chesapeake Bay 4 November 2005. Trends in Blue Crab: Mature Females. GOAL: To protect the health of the blue crab stock and maintain the spawning stock at a sustainable level. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

Blue Crab Update to LivRaw

Derek M. OrnerNOAA Chesapeake Bay

4 November 2005

Page 2: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
Page 3: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
Page 4: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
Page 5: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
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Page 7: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM - ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS

TRACK 2: LIVING RESOURCE INDICATORCBP 8/23/05

Trends in Blue Crab: Mature Females

GOAL: To protect the health of the blue crab stock and maintain the spawning stock at a sustainable level.

STATUS: Mature female abundance has been below the long-term average for seven straight years and eleven of the past twelve years. Abundance declined in 2004 after trending upwards for three straight years from an historic low in 2000.

Sources: MD Department of Natural Resources, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Academy of Natural Science, NOAA CBSAC.

Spawning Stock Abundance

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

Spaw

ning

Fem

ale

Inde

x

Average

VIMS Trawl &Calvert Cliffs

VIMS Trawl,Calvert Cliffs &

MD Trawl

VIMS Trawl, Calvert Cliffs,MD Trawl &

Winter Dredge

Page 8: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
Page 9: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM - ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS

TRACK 2: LIVING RESOURCE INDICATORCBP 6/22/05

Trends in Blue Crab: Juveniles

GOAL: Manage blue crabs to conserve the Baywide stock, protect its ecological value and optimize the long-term use of the resource.

STATUS: It appears that recruitment continued to improve in 2004. The number of juvenile blue crabs entering the Chesapeake Bay population has stayed within ‘normal’ bounds for 12 straight years.

Sources: MD Department of Natural Resources, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, NOAA CBSAC.

Age O (<60mm) Indices

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

Juve

nile

Inde

x

Average

VIMS Trawl &Calvert Cliffs

VIMS Trawl,Calvert Cliffs &

MD Trawl

VIMS Trawl, Calvert Cliffs,MD Trawl &

Winter Dredge

Page 10: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
Page 11: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
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Page 14: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM - ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS

TRACK 2: LIVING RESOURCE INDICATORCBP 6/22/05

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

Land

ings

(mill

on p

ound

s)

Trends in Blue Crab: Commercial HarvestGOAL: Manage blue crabs to conserve the Baywide stock, protect its ecological value and optimize the long-term use of the resource.

STATUS: The 2004 harvest of approximately 60 million pounds is below the long term average and near historic lows. The 2004 fishing mortality rate did not exceed the overfishing threshold but is above the target.

Sources: Landings - National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA.. Fishing Mortality Rate - Chesapeake Bay Stock Assessment Committee (CBSAC), unweighted average of 4 surveys.

Chesapeake Bay Blue Crab Landings

00.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.61.8

2

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

Leng

th-B

ased

F Threshold: Not to be exceeded

Target: Safe Harvest Level

Average Fishing Mortality Rate

Page 15: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

Adopted Control Rule -Blue Crab fisheries

From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005

Page 16: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw
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http://hjort.cbl.umces.edu/crabs/Assessment05.html

Page 19: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005

Page 20: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005

Page 21: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

Current AR 1999 -2005 Planned AR 2006+

Page 22: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

WDS – harvest relationship

From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005

Page 23: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

Blue Crab Distribution

Winter 2001/2002Winter 1990/1991From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005

Page 24: Blue Crab Update  to LivRaw

From: Miller et.al. Stock Assessment of the Blue Crab in Chesapeake Bay 2005