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July 2015Market Commentary 03Commodity Performance BCOM 07 Roll Select 08 Historical 09Contribution to Return & Weights 10Commodity Volatility Realized 11 Implied 12 Historical Realized 13Commodity Correlation Composites 14 Singles 15 US CPI Indices 16 Country CPI 17 Country GDP 18Commitment of Traders Report Monthly Notional Change & Correlation 19 Historical Net Positions 20Commodity Inventories & Sales Monthly Change & Correlation 22 Historical Levels 23Commodity ETP Flows 25Term Structures 26BI Dashboards 28Bloomberg Cheat Sheet 29
Contact us:<Help> <Help> on the Bloomberg Professional [email protected]
TABLES & CHARTS(BCOM)BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX
MACRO AND REGULATION CHALLENGES FOR COMMODITY INVESTORS
When
Where
Highlights
Agenda8:00 Registration & Breakfast8:30 Welcome Remarks8:45 The macroeconomic outlook and impact on commodities prices
Thomas Thygesen, Economist, SEB+ Outlook for inflation+ Dollar strength+ QE & rates outlook+ Impact on commodity pricing
9:25 Commodity markets outlook: review fundamentals of commodity sectors, price performance+ Energy - pricing and market dynamics, shale industry impact+ Metals - supply and demand in light of the 'new normal' in China+ Agriculture - supply and inventory levels outlook for grains and softsRichard Mallinson, Geopolitics Analyst, Energy AspectsTom Price, Global Commodity Analyst, Morgan StanleyTracey Allen, Senior Commodities Analyst, Rabobank
10:25 Coffee Break10:40
Regulatory Framework: Evolving Regulations Across Europe and the US and their impact on processes, liquidity and market as a whole+ FTT - Financial transaction tax - impact on commodity trading+ ESMA rules and impact on UCIT funds+ IOSCO and a move towards news benchmark standards + MiFID 2 - latest revision of the markets in financial instruments directive implemented in 2007 has been revised through a recast directive (MiFID 2) and a new regulation (MiFIR) What do they mean to the commodities industry? Exemptions, scope and position limits Jonathan Jachym, Governance Relations for CMENicolas Bouveret, Investment Management for ArendtGary Campbell, Consultant, Deloitte
11:20 Recent Developments in Bloomberg Commodity Indices11:35 Panel Discussion: Commodity Investments, New Perspective
Managing commodity exposure within a changing regulatory framework, new pricing era in terms of pricing and changing asset allocation outlook. Investors, consultants and Market participants would give you a deep insight into these and other industry topics.Fiona Boal, Commodity Research Director, Fulcrum Asset ManagementGeoff Krug, Commodity Research Analyst, Albourne America LLCModerator: Victoria Hegan, EMEA, Executive Director, EMEA Commodity Investor Sales, Goldman Sachs International
12:30 Networking Reception
Tuesday 8 September 2015 08:00 — 12:30
Bloomberg City Gate House 39-45 Finsbury Square London EC2A 1PQ RSVP
Investing in commodities over the past few years has been a challenge. A glut in supply and concerns about a slowdown in global growth posed risks to asset class performance – and now regulatory changes have added further burden to the market. As new geopolitical and macroeconomic dynamics are revealed and regulatory framework takes shape, what does the future hold for commodity investment?
Join us and our market specialists to gain more insight into such topics as: >> New economic era – are low interest rates and deflation here to stay? >> OPEC’s “war” with shale and impact on oil price >> Agricultural market dynamics – are high inventories and oversupply here to stay? >> Industrial metals pricing in China’s “new normal” >> Investment impact by such regulatory initiatives as FTT, MIFID, ESMA
http://go.bloomberg.com/promo/invite/macro-and-regulation-challenges/
Commodities Fell 10.6% in July, Marking Worst Month Since 2011
• Bloomberg Commodity Index dropped 10.6% in July (lowest level since February 2002)o Worst Performers
Groups: Energy (-14.5%), Grains (-13.1%) Singles: WTI (-21.2%), HRW Wheat (-19.3%)
o Best Performers Group: Livestock (-2.2%) Single: Lean Hogs (0.45%)
o Group Contribution to Return Energy (-5.14%), Grains (-2.8%), Industrial Metals (-1.11%), Precious Metals (-0.96%),
Softs (-0.52%), Livestock (-0.11%)
• As of the end 1Q 2015, an estimated $61.9 billion was benchmarked to the Bloomberg Commodity indices, upslightly from 4Q 2014 when assets totaling $61.5 billion were tracking the indices.
Commodities suffered the biggest monthly decline in almost four years on concern that supplies are rising as demand slows, sending copper to a six-year low and oil into a bear market. The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) retreated 10.6% in July, the most since September 2011. The prospect of higher borrowing costs in the U.S. strengthened the dollar and drove gold to the lowest in five years. Brent crude’s third month of losses has fueled more cost cuts by the biggest producers including Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc. Grains including wheat, corn and soybeans had their worst monthly performance this year.
Commodities are falling out of favor with investors as demand in China, the biggest user of everything from metals to energy, is faltering. China’s benchmark stock index plunged 14.3% in July for the biggest monthly drop in six years amid the slowest economic expansion since 1990.
The dominant theme is oversupply affecting the energy complex and much of the metals sector. BCOM slumped 12% YTD, after tumbling on July 31 to 91.67, the lowest intraday level since March 2002. Commodities are losing favor with investors as returns have lagged other assets this year; the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index (BBDXY Index) advanced 6.8%, the Bloomberg USD High Yield index (BUHY Index) is up 2.6% and U.S. Treasuries returned 0.9% (BUSY Index).
Oil entered a bear market in July amid speculation that a supply glut will persist as leading members of OPEC pumped record volumes to defend market share. In the U.S., crude stockpiles are about 100 million barrels above the five-year seasonal average and output is near the highest level in more than three decades.
Copper fell to a six-year low as stockpiles tracked by LME rose to the highest level since January 2014. Gold headed for its worst monthly performance in more than two years after tumbling last week to $1,072.30 on July 24, the lowest level since February 2010.
The rout in raw materials has hurt miners, major oil companies and the currencies of commodity-producing nations. The Australian and Canadian dollars, Brazil’s real and South Africa’s rand are among the biggest decliners against the greenback in a basket of 16 major currencies this month.
In the credit market, commodity-exposed high-yield bonds suffered the worst losses since 4Q14. Energy bonds fell 4.5%, the second-worst monthly performance in five years, as spreads widened 149 bps due to a 12.2% decline in coal bond prices, a 5% fall in energy services debt and a 5% drop in exploration and production company debt.
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ENERGY (34.3% weight in BCOM) The global oil surplus increasingly looks like a problem that’ll take years rather than months to solve - and the market is pricing that in. U.S. crude futures for delivery in five years have broken below levels seen during the financial crisis. With leading OPEC members pumping at a record, supplies from elsewhere holding up and Iran close to reviving exports, the market is signaling the glut will persist. Oil capped its biggest monthly drop in almost seven years. WTI slid 2.9% on July 31, bringing the monthly drop in the Bloomberg WTI Crude Oil index to 21.2%. Sanctions on oil exports from Iran, which holds the world’s fourth-biggest crude reserves, may be lifted after a nuclear accord on July 14. China's apparent crude oil demand jumped 17% from a year earlier in June, the fastest monthly increase since November 2010. That took daily demand to a historical high of 11.6 million barrels. China is speeding up storage as futures exceed expected spot prices, and local demand appears to be growing. A 27% surge in imports accounted for 91% of growth as new storage capacity, such as the Qingdao SPR, reportedly came online. China's 1H15 natural gas demand rose 3%, the slowest in six years. The high price of Chinese gas vs. oil is prompting industrial users such as glass makers to switch back to oil, based on Bloomberg Intelligence channel checks. Demand from long-distance trucking isn't picking up and power plants have little need for gas, given the low price of coal. The slowing economy is curbing demand growth. The 1H15 oil-to-gas price ratio was about 0.97x vs. 1.8x last year, less than the 1.5x needed to make LNG economical for trucking. China's apparent demand for gasoline in 1H15 rose by 5.6 million tons, or 10.9% from the year-earlier period, the biggest jump since at least 2005. Although car sales have slowed in the last two months, vehicle ownership is still rising. The number of passenger cars may have jumped 68% since 2011 to 120.1 million in June, according to Bloomberg Intelligence estimates based on sales and a 4.9% scrap rate. China's drivers may also be traveling longer distances after a 2013 suspension of highway tolls and an extension of national roadways. China's apparent diesel demand rose 5.6% in 1H15. Including the gain in commercial stockpiles, growth may have been 1.2%, still faster than last year's 1% drop. Increased mechanization in agriculture, which consumes 8% of China's diesel, may be spurring use. Demand growth accelerated during the nation's peak planting season in March to May. Diesel's replacement with LNG in truck fleets is limited amid low oil prices, though transport needs driven by domestic coal, cement and steel output have fallen. GRAINS (22.6% weight in BCOM) Corn, which started strong in July rallying to a one-year high, fell the most in 12 months as weather boosted U.S. crop yields. U.S. corn rated 70% in good or excellent condition as of July 26, was up from 69% previous week, according to traders surveyed by Bloomberg. Rain was extremely timely for crops as they finish pollinating and begin filling kernels. Chinese farmers will harvest the most on record. The International Grains Council raised its estimate for Chinese corn production by 5 million metric tons to an all-time high of 225 million tons, according to a statement released July 30. The group also boosted its estimate for global corn output. While the worldwide crop will still be less than last year’s record, the increase from China will offset some of the decline in U.S. and European production. Corn futures in Chicago fell to the lowest in a month on expectations grain supplies will remain abundant. Farmers around the world will harvest 966 million tons of corn in the 2015-16 season, IGC said, a 0.3% increase from its June estimate. China’s corn production may climb 4.3% in the season, the IGC said. U.S. output is forecast to drop 8.1% to 332 million tons. World wheat production may fall 1.5% to 710.3 million tons, 1 million tons less than last month’s estimate, based on the IGC report. The quality of some of the first wheat harvested by U.S. farmers in 2015 is the worst in at least 17 years, according to one measure, following heavy rainfall across parts of the Midwest. A report on July 24 by U.S. Wheat Associates,
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a trade group, tracked the so-called falling number, a gauge of sprout damage in crops. The data was the worst since 1998, backing up comments from grain handlers about the condition of the soft-red winter wheat crop, which accounts for about a fifth of total domestic wheat output. U.S. farmers will produce 393 million bushels of the soft-red winter variety this year, down 14% from 2014, according to government forecasts. While the most recent government estimate is for total U.S. wheat production to reach a three-year high, the state of the winter crop shows how quickly the outlook for crops can worsen because of adverse weather. Over the past month, about three times the amount of normal precipitation fell in parts of the eastern U.S. and Mississippi River region, which grows the winter wheat, typically used in cookies and crackers. The rains have prolonged harvests and increased sprout and mold damage as plants sat in wet fields. Projected global wheat inventories jumped 8.6% from June’s estimate as China fed less of the grain to livestock, the Department of Agriculture said. Ending supplies after the harvest of this year’s crops worldwide will be 219.81 million metric tons, up from 202.4 million last month and exceeding the highest estimate in a Bloomberg survey of analysts. The agency slashed its estimates for China’s feed use, adding to projected global supplies. The agency also lowered its projection for 2016 global corn inventories by 2.7% from last month’s estimate to 189.95 million tons, as excessive heat in Europe scorches crops and acreage in the U.S. declines. Supplies in the U.S., the world’s biggest producer of the grain, at the end of the current marketing year on Aug. 31, 2016, were forecast at 1.599 billion bushels, lower than the June estimate, on a smaller anticipated crop and rising demand for ethanol. INDUSTRIAL METALS (15.5% weight in BCOM) The pain rippling through the copper market isn’t yet threatening profits for most miners, and that could mean more tears for bullish investors. Even with prices near a six-year low, about 90% of copper mines are profitable, meaning most producers have little incentive to reduce output. Prices need to fall another 24% before major companies begin cutting back, Bloomberg Intelligence estimates. As producers dig up more metal, demand for the raw material is weakening with China’s economy expanding at the slowest pace since 1990. There are some signs the mine expansion will slow. Freeport-McMoRan Inc., the biggest publicly listed copper miner, has promised a sweeping operational review, is considering spending cuts and may adjust production, it said in a statement July 28. The Freeport plan signals some capacity being taken offline, which should be good news for the copper price. Stockpiles monitored by the LME are at the highest in more than a year. Low energy prices and the decline in currencies of producing countries such as Chile against the dollar are making it cheaper to produce the metal. That means companies can still make money, even as prices keep falling. LME copper prices are down 17% this year. One of the last bull markets in commodities is over; zinc fell into a bear market amid easing supply concerns and signs of slowing demand in China, the world’s biggest user. The metal, used in steel auto parts, brass plumbing fixtures and sunscreens, has lost 12% this year, on pace for the biggest annual decline since 2011. Zinc joins other commodities in bear markets, including aluminum and lead, as China’s economy is forecast to expand at the slowest pace since 1990 this year. Prices fell in July for a third straight month, snapping a 13% gain in April. Zinc’s fortunes reversed as investors grew concerned that slower demand from China means there will be ample supplies, even as some producers cut back output and shutter aging sites. A report this month from the International Lead and Zinc Study Group showed supply outpacing demand by 143,000 tons in the first five months of 2015. PRECIOUS METALS (15.9% weight in BCOM) After drifting lower for most of 2015, gold tumbled in July, posting the biggest monthly decline in two years after slumping to the lowest since February 2010. The retreat shows how the metal has lost its appeal as a commodity and as an alternative to currencies. Prices are plunging amid mounting speculation that U.S. interest rates will climb this year, curbing the appeal of bullion because it doesn’t pay interest. At the same time, China bought less of the precious metal than analysts were expecting, and the dollar is strengthening.
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For much of the previous decade, gold prices were on the rise. Buying picked up after global central banks fought the 2008 financial crisis with unprecedented stimulus, stoking fear of accelerating inflation. Futures gained more than six-fold in 12 straight years of gains through 2012. An improving U.S. economy spurred a shift in sentiment, driving bullion into a bear market in April 2013. About 60% of respondents in a separate Bloomberg News survey of 27 traders and analysts say that the metal will post a third straight annual loss this year. That would be the worst rout since 1998, when gold was last out of favor and languished near a 19-year low.
Speculators hold a net-short position according to the most-recent data from the CFTC. That’s the first net-bearish outlook since the data begins in 2006. More than $5.7 billion has been wiped from the value of global gold ETPs in July. Investors cut holdings to about 1,539 metric tons, the smallest hoard since 2009. They have been selling for three straight months.
SOFTS (6.8% weight in BCOM)
Bloomberg Sugar index hit a 15-year low in July on speculation that the global glut will increase as the harvest accelerates in Brazil, the world’s top producer. The drop in energy prices added to bearish sentiment in sugar because Brazilian ethanol producers have less incentive to use cane to make fuel. Global sugar supplies have outpaced demand for five straight years, and beneficial weather in parts of Brazil probably will aid the harvest stalled by rain earlier in July. The index is down 24.8% YTD.
In Brazil, the biggest coffee grower, the lack of rain has stunted cherry growth on coffee trees and created “tiny” beans, the National Coffee Council said in a report July 31. Meanwhile, dryness caused by the El Nino weather pattern is affecting nations including Vietnam, the second-largest producer. The situation in Brazil is of particular concern because prices have fallen for much of this year as traders and buyers bet that there would be more rain, triggering a bigger crop. The commodity surged 50% in 2014 after a drought hurt plants, creating a supply deficit. About 53% of Brazil’s crop was collected by July 28, compared with 75% a year earlier. The dry conditions mean some growers will probably need 600 liters of beans to fill a 60kg bag, compared with the typical average of 480 liters, or 132lbs, the coffee council said. If Brazilian crops are still on trees by September when the rains typically begin, spurring the first bloom , it will hurt cherries, and first flowers for the 2016 crop will be ruined.
In Japan, the fastest-growing drinks market isn’t craft beer or fruit smoothies. It’s $1 cups of black coffee from the local 7-Eleven. Coffee sales at convenience stores surged 48% last year, the fastest-growing part of Japan’s beverage market, as $1-a-cup brews boosted consumption to a record. Japan is the world’s biggest coffee importer after the U.S. and Germany. Demand per person may soon be comparable to the U.S. and Europe. Bean and product imports reached 459,708 metric tons last year, according to roasters’ group All Japan Coffee Association. The biggest suppliers are Brazil, Vietnam and Colombia, government data show. Consumption was an all-time high 449,908 tons last year, the coffee association said.
LIVESTOCK (4.9% weight in BCOM)
The only BCOM component that posted a positive return in July was lean hogs. Hog futures climbed as hot weather in the U.S. Midwest led to smaller pigs. Pigs don’t eat as much in the heat, and with recent temperatures in the region exceeding 90F, they came in 1.4kg lighter than a year earlier. In July, weights touched the lowest since October 2013, according to USDA data.
Futures prices have been sliding, bringing the Bloomberg Lean Hogs index down 35% in the previous 12 months. Farmers expanded production amid record prices in mid-2014 in the wake of a virus that killed millions of piglets. The U.S. hog population increased 9% to 66.9 million on 1 June from a year earlier, according to the most recent USDA data. Wholesale prices are also seeing a reversal. They jumped the most in seven weeks on July 21 as good weather prompts consumers to fire up their grills and grocery stores are pushing pork that’s $1.48 cheaper per pound than beef.
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Composite Indices
Jul Jun Q2 Q1 3-Month 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearBloomberg Commodity ER BCOM -10.62% 1.73% 4.65% -5.95% -12.03% -11.53% -28.25% -36.34% -31.63% -42.39% -4.74%Bloomberg Commodity TR BCOMTR -10.62% 1.73% 4.66% -5.94% -12.01% -11.53% -28.23% -36.24% -31.42% -34.42% 57.59%
Bloomberg Commodity Spot BCOMSP -10.67% 1.98% 6.17% -4.03% -8.98% -11.25% -24.44% -31.28% -17.15% 36.07% 184.06%Bloomberg Roll Select BCOMRST -9.95% 1.76% 3.43% -5.45% -11.94% -11.16% -27.14% -32.91% -24.31% 4.94% 249.89%
1 Month Forward BCOMF1T -10.55% 1.91% 4.47% -5.57% -11.76% -11.46% -27.29% -33.24% -26.21% -16.49% 186.91% 2 Month Forward BCOMF2T -10.46% 1.73% 3.88% -5.64% -12.24% -11.56% -27.40% -34.26% -27.44% -7.18% 220.56% 3 Month Forward BCOMF3T -10.38% 1.76% 3.69% -5.41% -12.11% -11.45% -26.77% -32.98% -24.94% 1.20% 234.28% 4 Month Forward BCOMF4T -10.09% 1.75% 3.60% -5.19% -11.68% -11.16% -26.10% -31.66% -21.93% 13.24% 5 Month Forward BCOMF5T -9.86% 1.69% 3.44% -4.98% -11.40% -10.98% -25.92% -32.26% -21.90% 16.59% 6 Month Forward BCOMF6T -9.70% 1.58% 3.13% -4.93% -11.47% -10.93% -25.72% -31.87% -21.57% 20.36%
Energy BCOMENTR -14.47% -0.44% 10.92% -8.20% -12.91% -16.66% -47.31% -45.41% -57.77% -85.23% 10.26%Petroleum BCOMPETR -17.58% -2.24% 13.98% -8.46% -14.00% -20.29% -51.47% -45.51% -40.51% -62.10% 219.32%Agriculture BCOMAGTR -11.11% 12.81% 8.29% -8.82% -12.24% -3.24% -18.05% -41.11% -14.33% -2.33% -14.69%
Grains BCOMGRTR -13.04% 18.51% 10.21% -8.18% -12.01% -0.10% -11.40% -43.35% -10.23% -2.80% -25.22%Industrial Metals BCOMINTR -7.30% -4.85% -5.31% -5.32% -16.90% -18.59% -26.89% -28.29% -37.65% 9.64% 62.76%Precious Metals BCOMPRTR -6.37% -2.98% -2.55% 1.30% -7.58% -7.99% -18.70% -37.61% -11.89% 126.14% 192.34%
Softs BCOMSOTR -8.04% 2.39% 1.61% -13.70% -19.36% -13.31% -34.52% -48.07% -35.45% -36.40% -39.29%Livestock BCOMLITR -2.17% -5.41% -1.52% -9.78% -13.08% -5.30% -16.62% -5.83% -9.70% -45.30% -47.97%Ex-Energy BCOMXETR -8.48% 2.97% 1.50% -5.77% -12.46% -8.60% -20.36% -34.73% -19.22% 17.79% 36.01%
Ex-Petroleum BCOMXPET -8.01% 3.30% 1.55% -6.43% -12.59% -8.13% -22.48% -35.46% -31.59% -30.55%Ex-Agriculture BCOMXAGT -10.41% -2.29% 3.21% -4.87% -12.04% -14.57% -32.64% -34.20% -39.09% -47.60%
Ex-Grains BCOMXGRT -10.10% -1.24% 3.55% -5.47% -12.00% -13.56% -31.23% -34.19% -36.34% -43.04%Ex-Industrial Metals BCOMXIMT -11.20% 2.98% 6.63% -6.00% -10.99% -10.10% -28.63% -38.05% -30.34% -45.71%Ex-Precious Metals BCOMXPMT -11.38% 2.62% 6.06% -7.40% -12.96% -12.17% -30.06% -36.42% -34.86% -44.36%
Ex-Softs BCOMXSOT -10.80% 1.68% 4.87% -5.47% -11.57% -11.40% -27.85% -35.41% -31.56% -35.31%Ex-Livestock BCOMXLIT -11.02% 2.10% 4.98% -5.69% -11.90% -11.83% -28.93% -37.77% -32.58% -33.65%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock BCOMXALT -10.98% -2.06% 3.57% -4.43% -11.89% -15.20% -34.06% -36.37% -41.29% -48.30%S&P 500 Total Return SPXT 2.10% -1.94% 0.28% 0.95% 3.35% 1.41% 11.21% 62.55% 112.26% 110.43% 444.85%
Bloomberg US Treasury Bond BUSY 1.17% -0.95% -1.96% 1.77% 0.93% -0.21% 3.90% 2.79% 15.33%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate Bond BUSC 0.78% -1.63% -3.05% 2.23% -0.10% -1.68% 1.67% 7.84% 26.58%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate Bond BUHY -0.69% -1.42% 0.65% 2.63% 2.59% -1.68% -0.30% 17.07% 42.51%
Bloomberg Dollar Spot BBDXY 2.34% -0.94% -1.66% 6.16% 6.84% 3.70% 18.25% 20.13% 19.16% 12.77%
Single Commodity Indices
Jul Jun Q2 Q1 YTD 3-Month 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearNatural Gas BCOMNGTR -4.43% 5.93% 1.82% -11.02% -13.41% -4.54% -38.69% -46.31% -83.23% -98.72% -97.72%WTI Crude BCOMCLTR -21.24% -2.09% 17.51% -14.86% -21.21% -23.41% -56.01% -50.02% -53.28% -73.30% 142.85%
Brent Crude BCOMCOT -17.85% -3.71% 10.67% -9.27% -17.52% -23.07% -56.30% -49.81% -31.36% -43.75% 614.04%ULS Diesel BCOMHOTR -16.56% -3.51% 9.10% -4.38% -12.96% -20.96% -44.54% -42.83% -27.85% -50.06% 229.94%
Unleaded Gasoline BCOMRBTR -11.38% 1.00% 18.00% 1.01% 5.62% -9.03% -40.09% -30.55% 3.10% -20.19% 554.69%Corn BCOMCNTR -12.08% 17.74% 7.79% -7.18% -12.04% -0.65% -8.33% -54.52% -3.57% -28.41% -71.71%
Soybeans BCOMSYTR -9.35% 14.28% 9.17% -5.37% -6.35% -0.86% -12.70% -15.80% 39.45% 93.09% 331.09%Wheat BCOMWHTR -18.92% 27.52% 19.26% -13.20% -16.07% 4.05% -10.53% -53.11% -56.27% -57.72% -90.39%
Soybean Oil BCOMBOTR -10.80% 1.51% 10.66% -6.05% -7.27% -4.64% -19.34% -47.70% -38.04% -24.76% -42.11%Soybean Meal BCOMSMT -6.22% 19.16% 11.45% -3.98% 0.35% 8.07% 4.43% 16.46% 109.86% 307.56% 1489.09%HRW Wheat BCOMKWT -19.33% 19.92% 6.13% -11.07% -23.87% -3.31% -25.67% -52.27% -47.14% -29.37% -62.23%
Copper BCOMHGTR -9.62% -4.30% -4.79% -3.01% -16.54% -18.25% -27.23% -32.51% -32.81% 56.45% 209.04%Alumnium BCOMALTR -4.76% -3.46% -7.25% -4.18% -15.35% -17.92% -22.95% -30.38% -45.40% -45.46% -46.25%
Zinc BCOMZSTR -4.39% -8.78% -4.39% -4.83% -13.01% -19.02% -20.74% -7.66% -21.47% 24.95% 27.61%Nickel BCOMNITR -7.97% -5.16% -3.67% -18.54% -27.78% -21.18% -41.34% -33.80% -51.16% -11.66% 118.72%Gold BCOMGCTR -6.73% -1.51% -1.05% -0.23% -7.92% -7.64% -15.06% -33.06% -9.96% 133.94% 176.61%Silver BCOMSITR -5.36% -6.96% -6.63% 6.13% -6.21% -8.96% -28.79% -49.05% -22.18% 83.03% 170.51%Sugar BCOMSBTR -10.66% 1.01% 2.20% -17.61% -24.78% -17.98% -42.70% -65.43% -45.52% -43.11% -3.44%Coffee BCOMKCTR -5.40% 3.24% -3.85% -21.58% -28.67% -10.36% -41.80% -46.49% -52.70% -51.28% -70.24%Cotton BCOMCTTR -5.45% 4.35% 6.21% 4.26% 4.70% -6.46% 2.63% -6.05% 17.11% -21.89% -75.75%
Live Cattle BCOMLCTR -3.54% -2.11% -1.83% -0.69% -5.95% -3.64% -4.59% 9.92% 11.23% -16.17% 8.42%Lean Hogs BCOMLHTR 0.45% -10.32% -0.98% -23.73% -24.13% -7.41% -35.04% -28.36% -37.72% -74.11% -86.31%
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
PERFORMANCE: Bloomberg Commodity Indices
2015
2015
YTD
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Composite Roll Select Indices
Jul Jun Q2 Q1 YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearBCOM Roll Select BCOMRST -9.95% 1.76% 3.43% -5.45% -11.94% -27.14% -32.91% -24.31% 4.94% 249.89%
Roll Select Agriculture BCOMRAGT -10.85% 12.98% 7.60% -9.06% -12.77% -18.29% -38.55% -7.36% 39.22% 55.56%Roll Select Ex-Ags & Livestock BBURXALT -9.95% -2.10% 2.18% -3.75% -11.44% -32.52% -32.97% -34.59% -17.01%
Roll Select Grains BCOMRGRT -12.73% 18.62% 9.78% -7.79% -11.65% -11.87% -42.08% -5.67% 41.51% 38.59%Roll Select Softs BCOMRSOT -7.74% 2.66% 0.52% -15.31% -21.46% -34.52% -43.02% -24.75% -7.19% 12.30%
Roll Select Livestock BCOMRLIT -3.69% -4.70% -2.82% -6.78% -12.76% -13.99% 0.26% 5.81% 17.75%Roll Select Energy BCOMRENT -12.57% -0.59% 7.81% -6.56% -11.93% -44.53% -39.65% -47.97% -65.15%
Roll Select Ex-Energy BCOMRXET -8.44% 3.14% 1.21% -5.68% -12.59% -20.07% -32.74% -14.47% 60.97%Roll Select Petroleum BCOMRPET -15.97% -2.13% 10.26% -7.56% -14.34% -49.29% -42.15% -32.86% -25.56% 874.14%
Roll Select Industrial Metals BCOMRINT -7.11% -4.74% -4.96% -5.38% -16.46% -26.19% -26.54% -35.08% 41.59% 152.08%Roll Select Precious Metals BCOMRPRT -6.38% -2.97% -2.53% 1.36% -7.51% -18.62% -37.49% -11.44% 129.13% 200.65%
Single Commodity Roll Select Indices
Jul Jun Q2 Q1 YTD 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year 20-YearNatural Gas RS BCOMRNGT -2.78% 4.61% 0.44% -6.12% -8.33% -33.54% -33.69% -72.16% -94.58% -55.06%WTI Crude RS BCOMRCLT -17.15% -1.30% 10.68% -11.84% -19.16% -53.30% -46.17% -42.15% -33.14% 1005.59%
Brent Crude RS BCOMRCOT -15.78% -2.79% 8.15% -7.45% -15.70% -50.56% -43.41% -27.28% -15.52% 1121.57%ULS Diesel RS BCOMRHOT -15.12% -3.50% 9.11% -4.38% -11.45% -44.65% -42.25% -29.17% -28.55% 523.07%
Unleaded Gasoline RS BCOMRRBT -14.67% -1.31% 14.74% -2.61% -4.65% -42.66% -29.88% -5.02% -5.22% 807.80%Corn RS BCOMRCNT -11.28% 17.74% 7.32% -5.91% -10.41% -7.38% -55.04% -3.32% 3.64% -48.65%
Soybeans RS BCOMRSYT -9.35% 14.52% 8.59% -5.44% -6.92% -13.42% -11.08% 49.07% 137.92% 404.55%Wheat RS BCOMRWHT -19.02% 27.52% 19.26% -14.01% -16.95% -13.80% -52.21% -51.10% -16.12% -52.98%
Soybean Oil RS BCOMRBOT -10.80% 2.04% 10.73% -6.04% -7.20% -19.35% -45.94% -32.62% -6.13% -1.52%Soybean Meal RS BCOMRSMT -6.22% 19.16% 9.76% -3.98% -1.17% 2.40% 30.58% 127.01% 380.05% 1776.06%HRW Wheat RS BCOMRKWT -18.65% 19.92% 6.13% -11.28% -23.40% -25.25% -50.30% -43.38% 20.69% -9.76%
Copper RS BCOMRHGT -9.62% -4.30% -4.88% -3.01% -16.62% -27.44% -32.51% -31.58% 89.97% 352.92%Alumnium RS BCOMRALT -4.23% -3.11% -5.74% -4.37% -13.67% -20.61% -26.09% -40.91% -26.71% -13.59%
Zinc RS BCOMRZST -4.23% -8.80% -4.67% -5.03% -13.29% -20.17% -5.01% -19.33% 65.35% 104.81%Nickel RS BCOMRNIT -7.95% -5.07% -3.70% -18.37% -27.64% -41.03% -32.73% -49.19% 19.12% 278.44%Gold RS BCOMRGCT -6.73% -1.50% -1.04% -0.21% -7.90% -15.04% -33.08% -9.88% 133.21% 177.68%Silver RS BCOMRSIT -5.37% -6.94% -6.57% 6.29% -6.02% -28.51% -48.58% -20.75% 94.44% 199.65%Sugar RS BCOMRSBT -9.70% 1.55% 0.73% -21.20% -28.33% -42.02% -58.62% -34.80% 2.14% 89.48%Coffee RS BCOMRKCT -5.42% 3.43% -4.55% -19.68% -27.49% -39.98% -44.87% -46.89% -40.46% -50.38%Cotton RS BCOMRCTT -5.44% 4.35% 6.21% 3.53% 3.97% -1.59% -3.11% 32.81% 4.60% -56.76%
Live Cattle RS BCOMRLCT -3.78% -2.11% -1.83% -1.66% -7.10% -4.08% 5.17% 17.17% 21.17% 136.25%Lean Hogs RS BCOMRLHT -3.45% -9.12% -4.55% -14.65% -21.35% -28.86% -9.27% -14.17% 1.50% 45.49%
PERFORMANCE: Bloomberg Commodity Roll Select Indices
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
2015
2015
8
Bloomberg Commodity Industrial Metals Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Precious Metals Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Softs Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Livestock Subindices
PERFORMANCE: Historical ReturnBloomberg Commodity Composite Indices
Commodities vs. Equities vs. Bonds vs. USD
Bloomberg Commodity Energy Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Forward Indices
Bloomberg Commodity Group Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Grains Subindices
-100%0%
100%200%300%400%500%600%700%800%900%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
BloombergCommodity Index ER
BloombergCommodity Index TR
BloombergCommodity IndexSpotBloombergCommodity IndexRoll Select
-50%0%
50%100%150%200%250%300%350%400%450%
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomberg CommodityIndex TR
Bloomberg CommodityIndex 1 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 3 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 6 MonthForward
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
10 11 12 13 14 15
BloombergCommodity Index TR
S&P 500 Total ReturnIndex
Bloomberg USTreasury Bond Index
Bloomberg USD IGCorporate Bond Index
Bloomberg USD HYCorporate Bond Index
Bloomberg U.S. DollarSpot Index
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
-500%
0%
500%
1000%
1500%
2000%
2500%
3000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Unleaded Gasoline-200%
0%200%400%600%800%
1000%1200%1400%1600%1800%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Copper
Alumnium
Zinc
Nickel-100%
0%100%200%300%400%500%600%700%800%900%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Gold
Silver
-200%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
9
BCOM Contribution to Return (CTR) and Constituent Weights BCOM Index MEMB <GO>, PORT <GO>
Group Commodity Jul 2015 CTR31 July 2015 Actual
Weight30 June 2015
Actual WeightJuly 2015
Weight Change2015 Target
Weight Natural Gas -0.39% 9.03% 8.44% 0.59% 8.74% WTI Crude -1.95% 8.21% 9.31% -1.10% 7.84%
Brent Crude -1.53% 8.01% 8.57% -0.56% 7.16% ULS Diesel -0.68% 3.89% 4.16% -0.27% 3.76% Gasoline -0.59% 5.18% 5.22% -0.04% 3.69%Subtotal -5.14% 34.32% 35.70% -1.38% 31.19%
Corn -0.94% 7.40% 7.52% -0.12% 7.25% Soybeans -0.52% 5.51% 5.43% 0.08% 5.68%
Wheat -0.65% 3.13% 3.44% -0.31% 3.33% Soybean Oil -0.30% 2.81% 2.81% 0.00% 2.81%
Soybean Meal -0.17% 2.74% 2.61% 0.13% 2.75% HRW Wheat -0.22% 1.01% 1.12% -0.11% 1.17%
Subtotal -2.80% 22.60% 22.93% -0.33% 22.98% Copper -0.67% 7.04% 6.96% 0.08% 7.54%
Aluminum -0.21% 4.50% 4.23% 0.27% 4.59% Zinc -0.10% 2.35% 2.20% 0.15% 2.40%
Nickel -0.13% 1.64% 1.59% 0.05% 2.12%Subtotal -1.11% 15.53% 14.98% 0.55% 16.65%
Gold -0.75% 11.74% 11.22% 0.52% 11.90% Silver -0.21% 4.15% 3.92% 0.23% 4.28%
Subtotal -0.96% 15.89% 15.14% 0.75% 16.18% Sugar -0.35% 3.28% 3.28% 0.00% 4.00% Coffee -0.08% 1.73% 1.63% 0.10% 2.21% Cotton -0.09% 1.75% 1.66% 0.09% 1.51%
Subtotal -0.52% 6.76% 6.57% 0.19% 7.72% Live Cattle -0.11% 3.19% 2.89% 0.30% 3.33% Lean Hogs 0.00% 1.70% 1.77% -0.07% 1.94%Subtotal -0.11% 4.89% 4.66% 0.23% 5.27%
Total -10.6% 100% 100% 100%
Commodity Price ForecastsCPFC <GO>
Group Commodity Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16Forward 2.76 3.03 3.06 3.00Forecast 2.91 3.30 3.50 3.50Forward 48.67 49.13 51.10 52.57Forecast 57.40 62.00 64.50 67.00Forward 54.23 54.57 56.59 58.19Forecast 61.00 65.00 69.00 69.00Forward 162.65 164.44 171.81 171.81Forecast 192.90 202.00 212.00 212.00Forward 175.41 148.20 156.67 171.33Forecast 186.85 184.50 200.00 214.00Forward 385.07 383.27 393.23 400.96Forecast 394.00 392.50 415.00 405.00Forward 975.77 943.00 943.78 942.17Forecast 926.50 920.00 950.00 925.00Forward 516.68 505.83 511.29 515.79Forecast 550.00 527.00 545.00 547.50Forward 5,309 5,236 5,247 5,259Forecast 6,173 6,250 6,129 6,319Forward 1,621 1,630 1,643 1,657Forecast 1,800 1,830 1,850 1,850Forward 1,942 1,920 1,928 1,936Forecast 2,213 2,250 2,300 2,333Forward 11,162 11,056 11,093 11,127Forecast 14,125 16,018 15,750 16,000Forward 1,106 1,095 1,097 1,098Forecast 1,159 1,170 1,200 1,203Forward 14.84 14.79 14.83 14.88Forecast 15.95 16.13 16.60 17.25Forward 11.39 12.40 12.44 12.52Forecast 13.10 13.40 13.98 13.70Forward 125.35 128.94 132.28 135.13Forecast 155.00 155.00 160.00 162.50Forward 64.45 64.19 64.27 64.65Forecast 63.50 64.00 65.60 65.60
Softs
Bloomberg survey of commodity analysts
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Gasoline
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Copper
Aluminum
Coffee
Cotton
Zinc
Nickel
Gold
Silver
Sugar
Energy
Livestock
Softs
Precious Metals
Industrial Metals
Grains
10
Composite Indices
Bloomberg Commodity ER BCOM 14.25% 14.31% 14.11% 11.46% 14.02% 18.16% 15.84%Bloomberg Commodity TR BCOMTR 14.24% 14.30% 14.11% 11.46% 14.02% 18.16% 15.83%
Bloomberg Commodity Spot BCOMSP 14.22% 14.36% 14.19% 11.51% 14.08% 18.25% 15.93%Bloomberg Roll Select BCOMRST 13.40% 13.45% 13.22% 10.79% 13.33% 16.94% 14.46%
1 Month Forward BCOMF1T 14.16% 14.13% 13.80% 11.14% 13.74% 17.78% 15.27% 2 Month Forward BCOMF2T 13.97% 13.88% 13.49% 10.92% 13.53% 17.43% 14.75% 3 Month Forward BCOMF3T 13.77% 13.55% 13.08% 10.67% 13.34% 17.09% 14.32% 4 Month Forward BCOMF4T 13.47% 13.24% 12.82% 10.45% 13.12% 16.79% 5 Month Forward BCOMF5T 13.07% 12.67% 12.28% 10.07% 12.75% 16.24% 6 Month Forward BCOMF6T 13.07% 12.67% 12.28% 10.07% 12.75% 16.24%
Energy BCOMENTR 26.92% 25.78% 30.60% 22.18% 22.73% 29.26% 30.21%Petroleum BCOMPETR 31.62% 29.83% 35.12% 24.33% 25.47% 32.22% 32.31%Agriculture BCOMAGTR 16.50% 19.02% 16.46% 14.93% 18.73% 20.92% 18.32%
Grains BCOMGRTR 20.44% 24.56% 20.65% 19.12% 22.71% 25.14% 22.53%Industrial Metals BCOMINTR 22.55% 17.12% 16.86% 16.25% 19.55% 26.18% 22.21%Precious Metals BCOMPRTR 13.64% 13.95% 17.33% 19.29% 21.04% 23.34% 19.56%
Softs BCOMSOTR 17.43% 19.52% 20.61% 18.90% 21.79% 22.37% 20.50%Livestock BCOMLITR 15.68% 12.54% 14.86% 11.75% 12.95% 13.82% 14.28%Ex-Energy BCOMXETR 12.56% 11.68% 11.26% 10.83% 13.85% 16.72% 13.71%
Ex-Petroleum BCOMXPET 12.85% 12.30% 11.33% 10.90% 13.45% 16.84%Ex-Agriculture BCOMXAGT 16.12% 15.98% 16.80% 13.31% 15.23% 20.06%
Ex-Grains BCOMXGRT 12.56% 11.68% 11.26% 10.83% 13.85% 16.72%Ex-Industrial Metals BCOMXIMT 15.08% 14.61% 15.20% 12.18% 14.37% 18.88%Ex-Precious Metals BCOMXPMT 14.16% 15.31% 15.46% 12.31% 14.55% 18.48%
Ex-Softs BCOMXSOT 16.52% 16.07% 15.70% 12.19% 14.71% 19.04%Ex-Livestock BCOMXLIT 14.92% 14.92% 14.74% 11.96% 14.34% 18.75%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock BCOMXALT 16.12% 15.98% 16.80% 13.31% 15.23% 20.06%S&P 500 Total Return Index SPXT 11.67% 11.12% 12.18% 11.44% 14.99% 20.48% 19.43%
Bloomberg US Treasury Bond Index BUSY 4.53% 5.02% 4.40% 3.77% 4.23%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate Bond Index BUSC 4.39% 5.18% 4.49% 4.00% 4.59%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate Bond Index BUHY 2.85% 2.27% 3.34% 2.71% 2.83%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot Index BBDXY 5.54% 7.40% 7.28% 5.75% 6.48% 7.06%
Single Commodity Indices
Natural Gas BCOMNGTR 30.34% 36.13% 42.86% 37.95% 38.38% 44.73% 47.22%WTI Crude BCOMCLTR 35.55% 32.36% 39.82% 27.60% 28.55% 34.11% 33.81%
Brent Crude BCOMCOT 35.00% 31.34% 36.31% 24.87% 25.42% 31.51% 31.23%ULS Diesel BCOMHOTR 28.32% 28.18% 29.98% 21.63% 22.67% 30.29% 31.83%
Unleaded Gasoline BCOMRBTR 30.73% 29.60% 34.31% 25.12% 25.98% 34.39% 33.49%Corn BCOMCNTR 28.26% 28.37% 24.31% 23.79% 28.24% 30.86% 26.81%
Soybeans BCOMSYTR 21.08% 21.55% 20.99% 20.07% 21.44% 24.84% 23.74%Wheat BCOMWHTR 23.98% 36.59% 29.83% 25.47% 31.51% 33.92% 29.67%
Soybean Oil BCOMBOTR 25.76% 24.30% 22.34% 18.91% 20.12% 24.13% 23.23%Soybean Meal BCOMSMT 20.71% 23.84% 25.92% 25.00% 25.39% 28.01% 26.52%HRW Wheat BCOMKWT 17.78% 34.21% 27.79% 23.84% 28.73% 30.88% 26.91%
Copper BCOMHGTR 23.80% 18.21% 20.08% 18.43% 22.42% 31.44% 27.68%Alumnium BCOMALTR 17.93% 17.99% 17.31% 17.68% 19.58% 24.12% 20.47%
Zinc BCOMZSTR 26.36% 20.58% 19.16% 17.82% 23.44% 34.32% 27.94%Nickel BCOMNITR 47.07% 36.31% 29.60% 25.87% 28.88% 39.03% 35.40%Gold BCOMGCTR 12.60% 12.62% 15.01% 17.22% 17.99% 20.35% 17.42%Silver BCOMSITR 21.37% 20.98% 27.62% 28.31% 33.87% 36.19% 30.44%Sugar BCOMSBTR 30.73% 28.78% 25.64% 22.07% 29.94% 33.11% 31.75%Coffee BCOMKCTR 25.40% 29.49% 35.75% 35.64% 33.96% 31.63% 36.89%Cotton BCOMCTTR 13.74% 18.29% 19.39% 19.68% 27.30% 27.38% 26.07%
Live Cattle BCOMLCTR 13.26% 12.30% 15.21% 11.98% 13.08% 13.69% 14.14%Lean Hogs BCOMLHTR 30.07% 24.10% 25.10% 19.80% 20.10% 22.09% 23.88%
10-Year 20-Year
20-Year
VOLATILITY: Realized
Index Name Ticker
Index Name Ticker
3-Mon 1-Year 3-Year1-Mon
1-Mon 3-Mon 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
5-Year
11
VOLATILITY: ImpliedVCA <GO>, OVDV <GO>
TermMoneyness 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110% 90% 100% 110%
End of Jul 1% 36% 1% 1% 36% 0% 0% 37% 1%End of Jun 0% 41% 1% 1% 41% 0% 0% 38% 1%End of Jul 3% 37% -1% 1% 37% 0% 0% 37% -2%End of Jun 8% 28% 1% 2% 33% -3% 2% 33% -2%End of Jul -1% 39% -3% 0% 35% 0% 0% 36% 0%End of Jun 4% 30% 1% 1% 33% -1% 2% 33% -1%End of Jul 1% 31% 0% 0% 32% 0% 1% 31% -1%End of Jun 1% 28% 2% 0% 29% 1% 1% 30% 0%End of Jul -1% 36% 0% -3% 37% 1% -1% 34% 1%End of Jun 1% 33% 0% 0% 35% -1% 0% 33% 0%End of Jul -1% 31% 5% -1% 29% 2% -1% 27% 1%End of Jun -2% 37% 5% -1% 30% 3% -1% 27% 1%End of Jul 1% 22% 4% 0% 20% 2% 0% 19% 1%End of Jun 0% 25% 2% 0% 22% 1% 0% 19% 1%End of Jul 0% 29% 3% -1% 27% 2% -1% 26% 1%End of Jun -1% 38% 2% -1% 33% 1% -1% 29% 1%End of Jul 2% 24% 3% 1% 21% 1% 0% 20% 1%End of Jun 2% 20% 2% 1% 20% 1% 0% 18% 1%End of Jul 2% 28% 3% 0% 25% 1% 0% 22% 1%End of Jun 3% 29% 3% 1% 25% 2% 1% 22% 1%End of Jul 0% 29% 3% -1% 27% 1% -1% 25% 1%End of Jun -1% 37% 2% -1% 33% 1% -1% 28% 1%End of Jul 2% 27% 1% 1% 25% -1% 3% 25% -2%End of Jun 2% 21% -1% 2% 21% -1% 2% 21% -1%End of Jul 0% 18% 0% 0% 18% 0% 0% 18% 0%End of Jun 0% 20% 0% 0% 20% 0% 0% 18% 0%End of Jul 0% 26% 0% 0% 24% 0% 0% 26% 0%End of Jun 0% 21% 0% 0% 21% 0% 0% 21% 0%End of Jul 0% 36% 0% 0% 35% 0% 0% 35% 0%End of Jun 0% 35% 1% 0% 29% 0% 0% 28% -1%End of Jul 3% 14% -1% 2% 16% -1% 1% 16% 0%End of Jun 1% 13% 0% 1% 14% 0% 1% 15% 0%End of Jul 7% 25% 0% 3% 27% -1% 2% 27% 0%End of Jun 5% 22% 1% 4% 23% 1% 3% 24% 0%End of Jul 1% 26% 2% 1% 23% 1% 0% 23% 1%End of Jun 1% 27% 4% 1% 25% 1% 0% 22% 1%End of Jul -1% 32% 5% -1% 32% 3% -2% 31% 2%
End of Jun 0% 33% 6% -2% 34% 3% -2% 33% 2%End of Jul 2% 20% 3% 0% 20% 1% 0% 20% 0%End of Jun 0% 21% 1% 0% 21% 2% 0% 21% 1%End of Jul 4% 13% 2% 2% 14% 0% 1% 12% 0%
End of Jun 7% 13% 5% 2% 12% -1% 2% 11% -1%End of Jul 10% 20% 4% 2% 29% -2% 2% 26% -2%End of Jun 9% 18% 5% 2% 25% 0% 1% 25% -1%
Aluminum
Zinc
Nickel
Ener
gy
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Gasoline
Live
stoc
k Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
Grai
nsPr
ecio
us
Met
als Gold
Silver
Softs
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
Indu
stria
l Met
als Copper
3M 6M
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
1M
12
Bloomberg Commodity Energy Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Grains Subindices
VOLATILITY: Historical 1-Year RealizedBloomberg Commodity Composite Indices Bloomberg Commodity Forward Indices
Commodities vs. Equities vs. Bonds vs. USD Bloomberg Commodity Group Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Industrial Metals Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Precious Metals Subindices
Bloomberg Commodity Softs Subindices Bloomberg Commodity Livestock Subindices
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
BloombergCommodity Index ER
BloombergCommodity Index TR
BloombergCommodity IndexSpotBloombergCommodity IndexRoll Select
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomberg CommodityIndex TR
Bloomberg CommodityIndex 1 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 3 MonthForwardBloomberg CommodityIndex 6 MonthForward
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
11 12 13 14 15
BloombergCommodity Index TRS&P 500 Total ReturnIndexBloomberg USTreasury Bond IndexBloomberg USD IGCorporate Bond IndexBloomberg USD HYCorporate Bond IndexBloomberg U.S. DollarSpot Index
5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Natural Gas
WTI Crude
Brent Crude
ULS Diesel
Unleaded Gasoline10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Soybean Oil
Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Copper
Alumnium
Zinc
Nickel0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Gold
Silver
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Sugar
Coffee
Cotton
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
13
Bloo
mbe
rg
Com
mod
ity
Roll
Sele
ct
1 M
onth
Fo
rwar
d
3 M
onth
Fo
rwar
d
6 M
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Indu
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Bloomberg Commodity 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 85% 82% 60% 52% 52% 43% 36% 27% 76% 94%Roll Select 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 81% 61% 53% 54% 44% 36% 26% 78% 93%
1 Month Forward 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 81% 61% 52% 53% 43% 36% 27% 77% 94%3 Month Forward 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 82% 81% 62% 53% 54% 44% 36% 26% 78% 93%6 Month Forward 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 80% 81% 62% 53% 54% 46% 37% 25% 79% 92%
Energy 85% 83% 84% 82% 80% 100% 91% 22% 17% 24% 15% 9% 15% 30% 93%Petroleum 82% 81% 81% 81% 81% 91% 100% 23% 18% 29% 19% 11% 15% 34% 88%Agriculture 60% 61% 61% 62% 62% 22% 23% 100% 92% 27% 19% 58% 14% 81% 30%
Grains 52% 53% 52% 53% 53% 17% 18% 92% 100% 20% 13% 25% 8% 71% 23%Industrial Metals 52% 54% 53% 54% 54% 24% 29% 27% 20% 100% 26% 22% 19% 65% 51%Precious Metals 43% 44% 43% 44% 46% 15% 19% 19% 13% 26% 100% 19% 11% 59% 43%
Softs 36% 36% 36% 36% 37% 9% 11% 58% 25% 22% 19% 100% 21% 53% 18%Livestock 27% 26% 27% 26% 25% 15% 15% 14% 8% 19% 11% 21% 100% 30% 20%Ex-Energy 76% 78% 77% 78% 79% 30% 34% 81% 71% 65% 59% 53% 30% 100% 56%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock 94% 93% 94% 93% 92% 93% 88% 30% 23% 51% 43% 18% 20% 56% 100%S&P 500 Total Return Index 15% 16% 15% 16% 16% 14% 17% 11% 12% 17% -10% 0% 7% 10% 13%
S&P Energy 52% 53% 53% 53% 53% 57% 61% 21% 19% 24% 8% 9% 12% 27% 54%S&P Financial 10% 11% 10% 11% 12% 9% 12% 10% 12% 17% -17% 0% 4% 7% 7%
S&P Health Care 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 7% 6% -9% -5% 8% 3% 1%S&P Consumer Discretionary 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 5% 8% 9% 12% 16% -18% -2% 7% 6% 3%
S&P IT 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 4% 7% 8% 10% 14% -8% -1% 4% 8% 5%S&P Utilities -4% -3% -4% -4% -4% 0% -1% -4% 1% -9% -3% -9% 0% -7% -3%
S&P Consumers Staples 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% -3% -2% 5% 8% 9% -9% 1% 6% 4% -2%S&P Industrials 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 15% 6% 7% 14% -12% -2% 1% 5% 10%
S&P Telecommunication 12% 13% 13% 13% 14% 9% 14% 11% 14% 12% -5% 3% 9% 11% 9%S&P Materials 27% 28% 28% 28% 29% 26% 32% 14% 13% 23% 1% 5% 9% 18% 27%
Bloomberg US Treasury -14% -15% -14% -15% -15% -16% -18% -11% -10% -20% 19% -2% -4% -8% -12%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -13% -13% -13% -13% -13% -15% -16% -10% -8% -17% 17% -3% -3% -6% -12%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 12% 12% 12% 14% 15% 9% 17% 7% 5% 21% -7% 2% 10% 11% 11%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -40% -40% -40% -40% -41% -29% -31% -26% -18% -8% -36% -28% -11% -33% -36%EURUSD 26% 26% 26% 26% 27% 22% 22% 19% 15% 0% 20% 19% 5% 19% 23%JPYUSD 15% 14% 14% 15% 15% 6% 7% 7% 2% -7% 39% 17% 4% 16% 14%CADUSD 55% 56% 55% 56% 57% 48% 53% 29% 23% 20% 30% 21% 16% 38% 53%MXNUSD 36% 37% 36% 37% 37% 29% 29% 27% 21% 13% 18% 23% 15% 30% 32%GBPUSD 27% 27% 26% 27% 28% 22% 23% 16% 11% 3% 21% 17% 10% 20% 25%AUDUSD 35% 36% 36% 37% 38% 23% 26% 21% 17% 17% 30% 18% 16% 32% 32%CHFUSD 8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 0% 0% 5% 1% 7% 23% 13% 4% 15% 7%KRWUSD 25% 26% 25% 26% 28% 11% 12% 18% 13% 11% 37% 20% 1% 29% 22%CNYUSD -1% -2% -1% -3% -2% 5% 1% -12% -13% -5% 3% -1% 7% -8% 3%
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Bloomberg Commodity 100% 99% 100% 99% 99% 78% 74% 72% 65% 66% 56% 50% 25% 88% 92%Roll Select 99% 100% 99% 100% 99% 76% 73% 72% 64% 68% 58% 51% 24% 89% 92%
1 Month Forward 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 77% 74% 73% 65% 67% 57% 51% 25% 89% 92%3 Month Forward 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 75% 74% 72% 65% 68% 58% 51% 24% 89% 91%6 Month Forward 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 74% 73% 71% 64% 69% 59% 51% 23% 89% 91%
Energy 78% 76% 77% 75% 74% 100% 85% 30% 26% 35% 24% 22% 15% 40% 87%Petroleum 74% 73% 74% 74% 73% 85% 100% 31% 25% 43% 30% 25% 14% 45% 81%Agriculture 72% 72% 73% 72% 71% 30% 31% 100% 95% 35% 27% 60% 18% 84% 40%
Grains 65% 64% 65% 65% 64% 26% 25% 95% 100% 27% 22% 35% 16% 76% 33%Industrial Metals 66% 68% 67% 68% 69% 35% 43% 35% 27% 100% 45% 33% 13% 72% 69%Precious Metals 56% 58% 57% 58% 59% 24% 30% 27% 22% 45% 100% 23% 7% 66% 60%
Softs 50% 51% 51% 51% 51% 22% 25% 60% 35% 33% 23% 100% 17% 57% 33%Livestock 25% 24% 25% 24% 23% 15% 14% 18% 16% 13% 7% 17% 100% 26% 17%Ex-Energy 88% 89% 89% 89% 89% 40% 45% 84% 76% 72% 66% 57% 26% 100% 70%
Ex-Agriculture & Livestock 92% 92% 92% 91% 91% 87% 81% 40% 33% 69% 60% 33% 17% 70% 100%S&P 500 Total Return Index 37% 37% 38% 38% 39% 29% 38% 24% 19% 41% 9% 22% 12% 32% 35%
S&P Energy 53% 54% 54% 54% 54% 51% 59% 29% 23% 44% 20% 27% 13% 40% 55%S&P Financial 30% 31% 31% 32% 32% 24% 31% 20% 15% 38% 3% 21% 9% 27% 29%
S&P Health Care 26% 26% 26% 27% 27% 19% 26% 18% 14% 30% 4% 17% 11% 23% 24%S&P Consumer Discretionary 28% 29% 29% 30% 30% 22% 29% 20% 17% 36% 2% 16% 11% 25% 26%
S&P IT 32% 33% 33% 33% 34% 23% 32% 21% 17% 38% 8% 19% 12% 30% 30%S&P Utilities 18% 18% 18% 19% 19% 15% 19% 12% 10% 17% 5% 13% 4% 15% 17%
S&P Consumers Staples 24% 24% 24% 25% 25% 18% 23% 15% 13% 28% 7% 14% 10% 21% 23%S&P Industrials 35% 35% 35% 36% 37% 26% 35% 23% 18% 41% 8% 22% 11% 31% 33%
S&P Telecommunication 21% 22% 22% 22% 23% 17% 22% 14% 11% 24% 5% 14% 7% 18% 21%S&P Materials 46% 46% 46% 47% 48% 34% 43% 29% 23% 48% 21% 26% 13% 42% 45%
Bloomberg US Treasury -20% -21% -21% -21% -21% -20% -24% -15% -13% -25% 10% -10% -7% -15% -19%Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -14% -14% -15% -14% -14% -17% -20% -11% -9% -17% 13% -6% -6% -8% -13%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 22% 23% 23% 24% 25% 15% 20% 15% 12% 27% 10% 13% 5% 22% 21%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -44% -44% -44% -45% -45% -32% -36% -27% -20% -36% -35% -28% -7% -40% -43%EURUSD 36% 36% 36% 36% 37% 27% 30% 21% 17% 31% 25% 23% 5% 32% 36%JPYUSD 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% -1% -1% 2% 1% -4% 18% 4% -4% 5% 3%CADUSD 50% 50% 50% 51% 51% 41% 48% 30% 24% 39% 27% 27% 13% 42% 49%MXNUSD 37% 37% 37% 37% 38% 28% 33% 24% 18% 36% 18% 25% 12% 33% 35%GBPUSD 31% 32% 32% 33% 33% 21% 26% 20% 15% 26% 26% 19% 9% 30% 31%AUDUSD 46% 47% 46% 47% 48% 31% 38% 31% 24% 40% 33% 30% 12% 44% 44%CHFUSD 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 8% 8% 10% 7% 19% 24% 14% -2% 20% 18%KRWUSD 33% 34% 34% 34% 36% 20% 25% 24% 20% 32% 22% 20% 11% 34% 31%CNYUSD 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 7% 5% 0% 8% 8%
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Natural Gas 100% 21% 20% 20% 19% 4% 7% 5% 16% 2% 6% -3% 10% -3% 1% -6% 7% 2% 3% -3% 8% 5%WTI Crude 21% 100% 94% 90% 87% 15% 23% 5% 39% 12% 6% 30% 25% 20% 16% 16% 23% 8% 11% 18% 14% 14%
Brent Crude 20% 94% 100% 97% 93% 16% 23% 5% 38% 12% 7% 29% 25% 19% 16% 12% 20% 4% 7% 21% 11% 11%ULS Diesel 20% 90% 97% 100% 92% 18% 25% 8% 38% 14% 9% 28% 24% 19% 16% 16% 24% 6% 8% 23% 9% 11%
Unleaded Gasoline 19% 87% 93% 92% 100% 13% 21% 3% 38% 11% 5% 23% 21% 16% 17% 17% 24% 0% 8% 18% 10% 8%Corn 4% 15% 16% 18% 13% 100% 66% 62% 36% 59% 57% 21% 16% 18% 14% 11% 13% 21% 7% 13% 11% 2%
Soybeans 7% 23% 23% 25% 21% 66% 100% 37% 56% 88% 32% 22% 15% 18% 20% 8% 18% 22% 14% 27% 6% 4%Wheat 5% 5% 5% 8% 3% 62% 37% 100% 19% 32% 95% 10% 0% 1% 1% 8% 6% 20% 8% 12% 11% -3%
Soybean Oil 16% 39% 38% 38% 38% 36% 56% 19% 100% 24% 15% 22% 20% 25% 26% 17% 27% 14% 18% 24% 12% 1%Soybean Meal 2% 12% 12% 14% 11% 59% 88% 32% 24% 100% 28% 14% 10% 10% 7% 0% 9% 17% 10% 20% 3% 2%HRW Wheat 6% 6% 7% 9% 5% 57% 32% 95% 15% 28% 100% 8% -1% -1% 1% 7% 4% 17% 6% 7% 9% -3%
Copper -3% 30% 29% 28% 23% 21% 22% 10% 22% 14% 8% 100% 55% 67% 51% 21% 35% 17% 6% 24% 13% 14%Alumnium 10% 25% 25% 24% 21% 16% 15% 0% 20% 10% -1% 55% 100% 64% 48% 11% 20% 17% 5% 14% 12% 12%
Zinc -3% 20% 19% 19% 16% 18% 18% 1% 25% 10% -1% 67% 64% 100% 54% 17% 27% 21% 7% 14% 15% 16%Nickel 1% 16% 16% 16% 17% 14% 20% 1% 26% 7% 1% 51% 48% 54% 100% 11% 19% 15% 12% 21% 6% 7%Gold -6% 16% 12% 16% 17% 11% 8% 8% 17% 0% 7% 21% 11% 17% 11% 100% 81% 12% 13% 7% 10% 2%Silver 7% 23% 20% 24% 24% 13% 18% 6% 27% 9% 4% 35% 20% 27% 19% 81% 100% 13% 20% 11% 16% 8%Sugar 2% 8% 4% 6% 0% 21% 22% 20% 14% 17% 17% 17% 17% 21% 15% 12% 13% 100% 24% 18% 11% 12%Coffee 3% 11% 7% 8% 8% 7% 14% 8% 18% 10% 6% 6% 5% 7% 12% 13% 20% 24% 100% 9% 9% 15%Cotton -3% 18% 21% 23% 18% 13% 27% 12% 24% 20% 7% 24% 14% 14% 21% 7% 11% 18% 9% 100% 15% 9%
Live Cattle 8% 14% 11% 9% 10% 11% 6% 11% 12% 3% 9% 13% 12% 15% 6% 10% 16% 11% 9% 15% 100% 25%Lean Hogs 5% 14% 11% 11% 8% 2% 4% -3% 1% 2% -3% 14% 12% 16% 7% 2% 8% 12% 15% 9% 25% 100%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 0% 17% 19% 16% 13% 11% 12% 9% 6% 11% 6% 16% 16% 10% 8% -14% -2% 4% -8% 19% 4% 8%S&P Energy 18% 62% 61% 58% 52% 17% 20% 11% 25% 13% 11% 24% 25% 18% 9% 3% 14% 13% -1% 20% 9% 11%
S&P Financial -2% 12% 14% 11% 7% 10% 14% 8% 6% 13% 3% 16% 17% 13% 9% -22% -7% 6% -9% 17% 2% 6%S&P Health Care 0% 3% 4% 0% 0% 5% 6% 8% 1% 6% 5% 4% 9% 2% 5% -11% -4% -1% -9% 11% 6% 6%
S&P Consumer Discretionary -4% 7% 10% 7% 3% 11% 10% 11% 1% 10% 8% 16% 13% 7% 13% -22% -8% 1% -9% 20% 5% 6%S&P IT -4% 6% 9% 7% 6% 9% 12% 5% 5% 10% 1% 13% 14% 10% 8% -12% 1% 0% -5% 17% 1% 7%
S&P Utilities 2% -2% 1% -2% -1% 0% -3% 6% -11% -2% 6% -5% -3% -16% -10% -1% -7% -1% -15% 12% 0% 0%S&P Consumers Staples -3% -2% -1% -1% -5% 7% 1% 11% -6% 3% 9% 9% 10% 3% 2% -9% -7% 6% -8% 12% 3% 7%
S&P Industrials -2% 15% 17% 14% 12% 6% 8% 6% 3% 8% 4% 15% 12% 8% 6% -15% -5% 2% -8% 14% -2% 5%S&P Telecommunication -6% 13% 13% 14% 13% 13% 5% 16% 2% 3% 16% 9% 13% 12% 4% -6% -4% 7% -7% 19% 9% 4%
S&P Materials 1% 33% 33% 30% 25% 12% 14% 7% 13% 9% 6% 21% 21% 17% 12% -2% 5% 13% -10% 18% 7% 9%Bloomberg US Treasury -3% -18% -19% -15% -13% -7% -14% -6% -14% -12% -2% -17% -19% -15% -11% 25% 7% -2% -3% 0% -1% -6%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -5% -17% -17% -12% -11% -5% -11% -6% -13% -9% -3% -15% -18% -11% -9% 22% 6% -1% -5% 5% 0% -5%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate -11% 15% 19% 17% 16% 9% 11% -6% 10% 10% -9% 15% 21% 20% 12% -10% -2% 7% -7% 19% 10% 5%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -11% -32% -29% -31% -26% -16% -18% -13% -17% -12% -14% -11% -3% -2% -6% -38% -29% -19% -18% -28% -9% -9%EURUSD 9% 24% 20% 21% 17% 12% 11% 14% 10% 8% 14% 5% -5% -5% -1% 21% 16% 13% 10% 23% 4% 3%JPYUSD 2% 6% 5% 9% 7% 2% 1% 2% -2% 2% 4% -3% -9% -9% -5% 45% 26% 8% 18% 8% 5% 1%CADUSD 11% 54% 52% 52% 48% 18% 29% 13% 34% 17% 13% 20% 13% 11% 17% 29% 28% 11% 16% 30% 14% 11%MXNUSD 14% 30% 28% 26% 26% 16% 25% 13% 19% 18% 13% 10% 12% 9% 11% 17% 17% 17% 13% 24% 13% 11%GBPUSD 8% 25% 22% 23% 18% 7% 17% 7% 12% 12% 6% 4% 5% -3% 2% 21% 18% 14% 10% 16% 6% 10%AUDUSD 5% 27% 26% 28% 21% 15% 18% 9% 15% 12% 9% 16% 9% 13% 17% 31% 22% 12% 12% 21% 13% 12%CHFUSD 0% -1% 0% 1% -3% 3% -4% 3% 7% -8% 4% 12% 1% 4% 2% 27% 12% 14% 2% 13% 0% 6%KRWUSD 3% 13% 11% 13% 9% 12% 11% 10% 8% 9% 12% 12% 9% 5% 9% 39% 28% 16% 13% 14% 4% -3%CNYUSD 9% -1% 2% 2% 1% -11% -13% -10% -7% -10% -8% -8% 0% -9% 1% 3% 3% -13% 13% 3% 6% 5%
Nat
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Natural Gas 100% 14% 12% 13% 11% 12% 6% 11% 6% 5% 12% 2% 7% 0% 2% 0% 5% 5% 6% -2% 6% 6%WTI Crude 14% 100% 90% 85% 82% 20% 26% 18% 37% 16% 18% 43% 36% 33% 31% 25% 34% 20% 16% 22% 14% 12%
Brent Crude 12% 90% 100% 96% 91% 20% 26% 18% 37% 16% 19% 39% 31% 29% 28% 23% 32% 18% 14% 21% 11% 9%ULS Diesel 13% 85% 96% 100% 89% 20% 27% 18% 38% 18% 19% 37% 30% 28% 28% 22% 31% 18% 14% 23% 10% 10%
Unleaded Gasoline 11% 82% 91% 89% 100% 18% 23% 17% 35% 14% 18% 35% 30% 27% 27% 22% 32% 14% 13% 19% 11% 7%Corn 12% 20% 20% 20% 18% 100% 62% 68% 46% 56% 65% 18% 18% 16% 19% 15% 19% 27% 15% 24% 15% 9%
Soybeans 6% 26% 26% 27% 23% 62% 100% 50% 71% 92% 48% 28% 25% 26% 23% 19% 25% 26% 14% 25% 11% 8%Wheat 11% 18% 18% 18% 17% 68% 50% 100% 40% 43% 95% 19% 17% 16% 19% 15% 18% 24% 16% 24% 14% 7%
Soybean Oil 6% 37% 37% 38% 35% 46% 71% 40% 100% 46% 39% 34% 30% 32% 28% 23% 30% 24% 17% 30% 14% 9%Soybean Meal 5% 16% 16% 18% 14% 56% 92% 43% 46% 100% 42% 20% 18% 18% 14% 14% 18% 20% 10% 17% 8% 5%HRW Wheat 12% 18% 19% 19% 18% 65% 48% 95% 39% 42% 100% 19% 16% 15% 18% 14% 16% 23% 15% 22% 14% 7%
Copper 2% 43% 39% 37% 35% 18% 28% 19% 34% 20% 19% 100% 66% 73% 60% 39% 50% 22% 20% 25% 11% 10%Alumnium 7% 36% 31% 30% 30% 18% 25% 17% 30% 18% 16% 66% 100% 70% 56% 32% 40% 21% 17% 20% 11% 11%
Zinc 0% 33% 29% 28% 27% 16% 26% 16% 32% 18% 15% 73% 70% 100% 60% 32% 41% 20% 18% 19% 9% 9%Nickel 2% 31% 28% 28% 27% 19% 23% 19% 28% 14% 18% 60% 56% 60% 100% 24% 33% 22% 17% 23% 7% 7%Gold 0% 25% 23% 22% 22% 15% 19% 15% 23% 14% 14% 39% 32% 32% 24% 100% 82% 12% 18% 13% 7% 2%Silver 5% 34% 32% 31% 32% 19% 25% 18% 30% 18% 16% 50% 40% 41% 33% 82% 100% 16% 22% 18% 8% 5%Sugar 5% 20% 18% 18% 14% 27% 26% 24% 24% 20% 23% 22% 21% 20% 22% 12% 16% 100% 27% 24% 13% 12%Coffee 6% 16% 14% 14% 13% 15% 14% 16% 17% 10% 15% 20% 17% 18% 17% 18% 22% 27% 100% 13% 9% 9%Cotton -2% 22% 21% 23% 19% 24% 25% 24% 30% 17% 22% 25% 20% 19% 23% 13% 18% 24% 13% 100% 9% 6%
Live Cattle 6% 14% 11% 10% 11% 15% 11% 14% 14% 8% 14% 11% 11% 9% 7% 7% 8% 13% 9% 9% 100% 36%Lean Hogs 6% 12% 9% 10% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 5% 7% 10% 11% 9% 7% 2% 5% 12% 9% 6% 36% 100%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 1% 38% 35% 33% 32% 15% 19% 16% 23% 13% 17% 42% 33% 32% 29% 4% 15% 19% 10% 22% 12% 8%S&P Energy 11% 59% 56% 53% 51% 18% 22% 20% 29% 15% 21% 45% 35% 36% 31% 15% 26% 22% 14% 23% 12% 10%
S&P Financial 0% 31% 29% 28% 27% 11% 16% 13% 20% 11% 14% 39% 29% 30% 27% -1% 11% 17% 9% 20% 8% 7%S&P Health Care -1% 26% 24% 22% 21% 11% 15% 11% 17% 11% 12% 30% 25% 23% 21% 1% 9% 14% 8% 17% 11% 7%
S&P Consumer Discretionary -2% 29% 27% 25% 26% 13% 16% 15% 19% 11% 16% 36% 28% 27% 27% -2% 8% 14% 6% 18% 12% 6%S&P IT -2% 32% 29% 28% 28% 14% 18% 13% 22% 13% 14% 38% 31% 30% 27% 4% 14% 16% 8% 20% 13% 7%
S&P Utilities 1% 19% 17% 15% 16% 8% 8% 9% 9% 5% 12% 18% 14% 12% 10% 4% 6% 14% 2% 15% 5% 2%S&P Consumers Staples 0% 24% 22% 21% 20% 11% 12% 10% 14% 8% 11% 28% 22% 21% 20% 4% 10% 13% 4% 17% 8% 8%
S&P Industrials -1% 35% 32% 30% 30% 14% 19% 15% 22% 13% 16% 42% 32% 32% 29% 4% 14% 18% 10% 21% 10% 7%S&P Telecommunication 1% 21% 21% 20% 20% 8% 11% 10% 12% 8% 10% 24% 20% 19% 16% 3% 7% 14% 4% 16% 6% 5%
S&P Materials 2% 43% 40% 37% 37% 19% 22% 19% 27% 15% 21% 49% 37% 40% 34% 17% 26% 20% 14% 23% 13% 8%Bloomberg US Treasury -3% -24% -23% -21% -21% -9% -14% -11% -17% -9% -12% -26% -19% -18% -16% 15% 0% -8% -4% -10% -5% -6%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -3% -20% -18% -17% -16% -7% -10% -8% -13% -6% -9% -19% -13% -12% -10% 17% 5% -6% -2% -6% -4% -5%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate -2% 20% 20% 20% 17% 11% 15% 6% 19% 11% 7% 25% 21% 22% 21% 7% 14% 9% 7% 15% 3% 5%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -7% -36% -35% -34% -31% -16% -20% -17% -21% -15% -18% -37% -29% -27% -25% -34% -34% -19% -19% -24% -7% -6%EURUSD 8% 31% 29% 28% 26% 14% 15% 14% 17% 10% 15% 31% 26% 23% 20% 23% 25% 16% 14% 20% 4% 4%JPYUSD -1% -1% -1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% -5% 3% 1% -4% -4% -4% -4% 20% 13% 2% 6% 0% -1% -4%CADUSD 7% 48% 47% 44% 42% 19% 26% 19% 30% 18% 20% 40% 31% 30% 27% 25% 29% 18% 19% 22% 11% 10%MXNUSD 5% 33% 30% 28% 29% 14% 18% 15% 19% 14% 16% 36% 30% 26% 24% 17% 19% 18% 16% 22% 11% 9%GBPUSD 3% 27% 25% 25% 21% 11% 17% 13% 17% 12% 13% 26% 22% 21% 19% 24% 25% 11% 14% 17% 8% 7%AUDUSD 2% 38% 37% 36% 32% 19% 25% 18% 27% 19% 19% 42% 30% 32% 29% 30% 33% 22% 19% 25% 11% 9%CHFUSD 3% 7% 8% 8% 6% 5% 4% 8% 8% 2% 7% 19% 16% 12% 12% 25% 20% 11% 7% 11% -5% 3%KRWUSD 2% 25% 23% 24% 23% 14% 21% 17% 25% 16% 17% 31% 26% 26% 24% 21% 22% 13% 11% 21% 9% 9%CNYUSD 2% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 6% 2% 5% 6% 6% 4% 8% 7% 7% 0% 6% 8% 0% 0%
Curr
ency
CORRELATION: BCOM Singles vs. Equities vs. Bond vs. Currency
5-Year
Com
mod
ities
Equi
ties
Bond
1-YearCo
mm
oditi
esEq
uitie
sBo
ndCu
rren
cy
15
All i
tem
s
Core
Food
Food
at h
ome
Food
aw
ay fr
om
hom
e
Ener
gy
Ener
gy
C om
mod
ities
Fuel
Oil
Mot
or F
uel
Ener
gy se
rvic
es
Elec
tric
ity
Util
ity g
as se
rvic
e
Com
mod
ities
less
fo
od a
nd e
nerg
y
Serv
ices
less
en
ergy
serv
ices
Shel
ter
Med
ical
car
e
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Bloomberg Commodity 63% -17% 20% 23% -6% 67% 65% 63% 65% 9% -10% 28% -2% -20% -31% 4% 26%Energy 69% -3% 5% 9% -16% 76% 77% 66% 76% 9% -12% 30% 9% -9% -9% -4% 10%
Petroleum 78% 7% 7% 10% -12% 81% 83% 75% 82% -7% -13% 4% 18% -3% -12% 2% 17%Agriculture 24% -25% 15% 15% 4% 27% 24% 26% 24% 7% -13% 27% -12% -22% -41% 6% 29%
Grains 16% -20% 8% 7% 9% 18% 15% 16% 16% 4% -16% 26% -12% -16% -37% 11% 23%Industrial Metals 44% -6% 14% 16% -7% 45% 44% 47% 44% -8% -2% -9% -2% -6% -9% 5% 15%Precious Metals 36% -6% 34% 35% 6% 31% 26% 32% 26% 10% 9% 8% 11% -16% -26% 10% 10%
Softs 27% -31% 31% 36% -10% 30% 28% 35% 27% 11% -3% 22% -8% -33% -45% -4% 31%Livestock 23% -1% 26% 26% 6% 24% 23% 14% 23% 18% -1% 31% -12% 8% -3% 18% 15%
Natural Gas 6% -18% -1% 2% -13% 13% 12% 4% 12% 34% -1% 57% -13% -13% 2% -12% -5%WTI Crude 71% 5% 6% 8% -10% 75% 76% 65% 76% -4% -11% 7% 11% -1% -11% 5% 16%
Brent Crude 81% 9% 17% 20% -9% 83% 85% 81% 84% -5% -11% 5% 27% -7% -17% 1% 17%ULS Diesel 83% 5% 16% 20% -9% 85% 86% 85% 85% -7% -12% 3% 23% -10% -16% 1% 20%
Unleaded Gasoline 84% 14% 15% 18% -11% 85% 86% 79% 85% -9% -13% 2% 25% 0% -10% -3% 22%Corn 16% -18% 18% 17% 13% 17% 14% 22% 14% 4% -16% 24% -5% -19% -39% 14% 25%
Soybeans 24% -14% -4% -3% -2% 27% 25% 23% 25% 0% -12% 15% -12% -7% -24% 8% 24%Wheat 0% -25% 0% -3% 11% 4% 2% -5% 3% 8% -15% 30% -22% -15% -31% 6% 12%
Soybean Oil 38% -7% 7% 8% -1% 39% 38% 34% 38% -4% -14% 9% 1% -9% -28% -8% 36%Soybean Meal 13% -13% -7% -7% -1% 16% 15% 13% 15% 0% -10% 12% -19% -2% -16% 10% 20%HRW Wheat 11% -25% 9% 8% 8% 14% 11% 7% 11% 16% -9% 37% -14% -21% -40% 6% 16%
Copper 45% -3% 0% 4% -16% 47% 47% 51% 46% -12% -3% -16% 5% -7% -13% 8% 13%Alumnium 41% -16% 23% 24% 4% 43% 43% 43% 42% -10% -8% -6% -2% -19% -15% 0% 7%
Zinc 30% -2% 7% 8% 0% 30% 30% 31% 29% -4% 5% -12% -8% 3% 5% 3% 11%Nickel 33% -1% 33% 35% 0% 30% 28% 34% 28% 7% 3% 10% -10% 7% 0% 3% 24%Gold 27% 0% 35% 35% 12% 21% 17% 19% 17% 11% 6% 11% 15% -12% -21% 12% 7%Silver 44% -12% 29% 31% -2% 41% 36% 45% 36% 9% 11% 3% 4% -19% -28% 7% 12%Sugar 10% -22% 12% 15% -11% 14% 14% 15% 14% -1% -6% 5% 4% -31% -42% -3% 22%Coffee 24% -23% 40% 43% 1% 24% 19% 20% 19% 30% 5% 43% -11% -22% -23% -7% 14%Cotton 29% -26% 13% 17% -16% 32% 31% 51% 30% -4% -7% 1% -16% -20% -36% 4% 34%
Live Cattle 23% -12% 17% 16% 13% 25% 25% 20% 24% 9% 9% 5% -18% -1% 1% 14% 3%Lean Hogs 18% 8% 26% 29% -2% 16% 16% 5% 16% 22% -7% 44% -3% 12% -6% 16% 19%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 25% -17% -12% -10% -9% 29% 28% 39% 27% -3% -1% -4% -15% -10% 9% -7% -7%Bloomberg US Treasury -38% -7% 13% 7% 30% -40% -41% -44% -40% 8% 7% 4% 12% -19% -25% 7% -13%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -16% -9% 8% 3% 26% -17% -20% -12% -20% 10% 6% 10% 16% -24% -21% -1% -15%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 36% -5% -14% -13% -6% 42% 43% 49% 43% -8% -13% 2% 15% -17% -18% -8% 2%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -55% 5% -22% -25% 7% -56% -53% -46% -53% -12% -2% -19% -14% 18% 33% 12% -22%
All i
tem
s
Core
Food
Food
at h
ome
Food
aw
ay fr
om
hom
e
Ener
gy
Ener
gy
C om
mod
ities
Fuel
Oil
Mot
or F
uel
Ener
gy se
rvic
es
Elec
tric
ity
Util
ity g
as se
rvic
e
Com
mod
ities
less
fo
od a
nd e
nerg
y
Serv
ices
less
en
ergy
serv
ices
Shel
ter
Med
ical
car
e
Tran
spor
tatio
n
Bloomberg Commodity 68% 7% 3% 7% -14% 69% 67% 65% 66% 30% -4% 40% 2% 9% 3% 7% 17%Energy 68% 4% 9% 14% -12% 71% 69% 67% 68% 36% -4% 48% 2% 6% 1% 2% 12%
Petroleum 72% 7% 9% 12% -8% 75% 76% 70% 75% 21% -2% 29% 5% 7% 1% 5% 15%Agriculture 28% 9% -1% -1% -6% 26% 25% 23% 25% 5% -3% 10% 3% 10% 7% 8% 13%
Grains 23% 9% 1% 1% -2% 19% 19% 19% 19% 2% -3% 6% 1% 11% 10% 8% 8%Industrial Metals 42% 4% -11% -8% -15% 43% 44% 41% 43% 10% -1% 13% 3% 4% 0% 7% 6%Precious Metals 30% 4% 0% 1% -1% 29% 27% 26% 27% 11% 6% 10% 3% 4% -5% 11% 15%
Softs 26% 4% -4% -2% -14% 26% 25% 20% 25% 10% -3% 15% 5% 0% -5% 4% 18%Livestock 14% -4% 17% 21% -11% 13% 10% 7% 10% 15% 7% 15% -14% 8% 6% 9% 1%
Natural Gas 36% -4% 8% 13% -14% 39% 33% 37% 32% 45% -6% 60% -2% -1% -2% -7% 2%WTI Crude 68% 8% 10% 12% -7% 70% 71% 66% 70% 20% -1% 27% 4% 9% 3% 6% 15%
Brent Crude 71% 9% 9% 12% -9% 73% 75% 68% 74% 16% -1% 23% 7% 8% 2% 4% 15%ULS Diesel 70% 4% 12% 14% -6% 73% 73% 76% 72% 25% -1% 33% 5% 3% -3% 2% 16%
Unleaded Gasoline 78% 6% 4% 8% -12% 82% 84% 66% 83% 20% -5% 28% 8% 2% -3% 1% 13%Corn 22% 7% 5% 6% -2% 18% 17% 19% 17% 4% -4% 9% 5% 5% 6% 0% 6%
Soybeans 22% 8% -3% -2% -7% 20% 20% 20% 19% 0% 1% 2% 0% 11% 9% 7% 12%Wheat 14% 7% -1% -3% 5% 12% 12% 9% 12% 1% -4% 5% -3% 11% 12% 14% 0%
Soybean Oil 30% 14% -2% -2% -4% 25% 24% 23% 24% 4% -3% 8% 3% 16% 12% 9% 15%Soybean Meal 16% 4% -2% -1% -5% 15% 16% 15% 15% 0% 5% -1% -1% 6% 5% 4% 11%HRW Wheat 21% 9% -2% -3% 3% 20% 19% 14% 19% 6% -1% 10% 2% 9% 10% 14% 0%
Copper 41% 8% -14% -12% -12% 42% 43% 39% 42% 7% -2% 9% 8% 4% -3% 8% 9%Alumnium 39% 2% -1% 2% -10% 41% 40% 43% 39% 18% 2% 22% 0% 3% 3% 3% 4%
Zinc 23% 5% -20% -19% -16% 26% 27% 19% 27% -1% -1% 0% 7% 1% 1% 0% -1%Nickel 31% -5% -7% -2% -19% 34% 35% 28% 35% 3% -3% 7% -11% 2% -2% 9% 6%Gold 28% 2% 5% 4% 4% 27% 25% 24% 25% 12% 9% 10% 1% 4% -5% 10% 15%Silver 29% 5% -7% -5% -9% 27% 26% 26% 25% 9% 1% 10% 5% 2% -4% 10% 12%Sugar 17% 8% -6% -4% -6% 17% 15% 11% 15% 12% 3% 14% 15% -1% -4% 4% 9%Coffee 12% 5% 1% 3% -7% 12% 12% 7% 12% 3% 0% 5% 3% -1% 1% -4% 6%Cotton 27% -5% -4% -1% -19% 29% 29% 32% 28% 6% -7% 11% 0% -6% -10% 2% 19%
Live Cattle 19% -6% 19% 23% -9% 17% 15% 8% 15% 14% 10% 11% -17% 9% 10% 8% 0%Lean Hogs 6% -3% 11% 14% -9% 5% 3% 3% 3% 11% 3% 13% -9% 3% -1% 7% 1%
CORRELATION: US CPI Indices vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
20-Year
US CPI Indices
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
esUS CPI Indices
5-Year
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
esBe
nchm
arks
16
CORRELATION: World CPI vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Italy
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Russ
ia
Indo
nesi
a
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 63% 73% -27% 41% 70% 46% 21% -20% 32% 67% 72% 80% 4% 62% -18% -7% -49% 27% 84%Energy 69% 33% 7% 40% 47% 20% 25% -28% 9% 31% 26% 69% 30% 27% -54% 2% -12% 36% 64%
Petroleum 78% 58% -24% 74% 76% 63% 43% -53% 54% 46% 58% 64% 27% 62% -72% -20% -7% 58% 57%Agriculture 24% 69% -41% 42% 65% 50% 24% -22% 42% 58% 69% 57% 4% 70% -8% -10% -59% 29% 70%
Grains 16% 56% -52% 51% 62% 54% 34% -27% 53% 40% 59% 37% 15% 78% -13% -25% -56% 45% 51%Industrial Metals 44% 49% -5% -8% 28% 6% 1% 1% -10% 48% 47% 58% -16% 26% 24% 13% -47% -15% 76%Precious Metals 36% 77% -48% 41% 70% 66% 11% -7% 56% 72% 88% 57% -20% 67% -1% -36% -32% 23% 43%
Softs 27% 76% -15% 20% 58% 36% 1% -7% 18% 76% 72% 74% -15% 42% 4% 14% -50% -2% 81%Livestock 23% 13% 49% -20% 6% -10% -32% -18% -27% 44% 18% 53% 11% -21% -14% 23% 9% -41% 57%
Natural Gas 6% -14% 48% -30% -16% -51% -15% 22% -59% -3% -29% 42% 9% -39% 0% 37% -8% -15% 36%WTI Crude 71% 48% -6% 59% 63% 48% 33% -54% 36% 42% 45% 62% 29% 43% -70% -2% 1% 42% 61%
Brent Crude 81% 74% -31% 80% 86% 72% 40% -43% 63% 59% 73% 71% 14% 70% -65% -26% -15% 60% 59%ULS Diesel 83% 80% -40% 82% 91% 77% 39% -35% 67% 65% 80% 74% 8% 78% -56% -27% -23% 62% 61%
Unleaded Gasoline 84% 67% -45% 87% 87% 78% 50% -41% 74% 50% 69% 58% 19% 83% -65% -43% -18% 76% 46%Corn 16% 66% -65% 60% 72% 65% 33% -16% 64% 47% 70% 40% 6% 86% -10% -36% -54% 55% 42%
Soybeans 24% 47% -28% 48% 52% 42% 34% -38% 40% 34% 45% 38% 24% 63% -27% -8% -49% 35% 61%Wheat 0% 25% -42% 20% 30% 23% 27% -25% 25% 13% 29% 17% 18% 56% 4% -8% -55% 25% 43%
Soybean Oil 38% 83% -57% 51% 76% 64% 31% -18% 55% 62% 82% 55% -11% 78% -6% -13% -56% 36% 61%Soybean Meal 13% 11% -9% 25% 20% 19% 24% -43% 20% 9% 14% 11% 36% 40% -23% -6% -35% 16% 45%HRW Wheat 11% 49% -34% 26% 48% 32% 18% -18% 26% 41% 50% 45% 9% 59% 3% -4% -59% 22% 63%
Copper 45% 64% -32% 19% 50% 32% 22% -15% 18% 49% 62% 59% -11% 52% 7% 5% -55% 9% 76%Alumnium 41% 47% -3% -16% 21% -1% -12% 22% -15% 49% 43% 53% -33% 15% 41% 12% -42% -22% 62%
Zinc 30% -5% 39% -48% -28% -46% -28% 24% -55% 12% -8% 25% -16% -27% 41% 20% -20% -43% 45%Nickel 33% 26% 25% -26% 11% -13% -10% -7% -28% 40% 28% 54% 3% 2% 16% 17% -28% -33% 74%Gold 27% 70% -49% 40% 67% 69% 11% -13% 60% 68% 86% 49% -16% 63% -7% -45% -16% 22% 30%Silver 44% 80% -44% 37% 68% 56% 12% 2% 44% 72% 83% 64% -24% 66% 9% -18% -52% 22% 58%Sugar 10% 90% -32% 57% 78% 66% 20% -20% 56% 75% 86% 65% -12% 64% -23% -15% -38% 30% 59%Coffee 24% 47% 18% -12% 27% 9% -34% 8% -11% 74% 50% 66% -13% 9% 19% 15% -27% -34% 70%Cotton 29% 66% -29% 17% 50% 22% 20% -1% 7% 48% 53% 63% -17% 44% 13% 36% -69% 9% 81%
Live Cattle 23% -2% 56% -50% -29% -33% -72% 33% -46% 43% 1% 18% -9% -39% 47% 21% -1% -69% 26%Lean Hogs 18% 20% 20% 14% 32% 13% 19% -55% 1% 23% 23% 57% 23% 5% -59% 12% 14% 2% 56%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 25% -20% 29% -20% -24% -44% 11% 0% -47% -27% -37% 5% 18% -21% 9% 47% -28% -12% 41%Bloomberg US Treasury -38% 23% -1% -2% 17% 16% -1% -11% 12% 30% 30% 29% -10% -2% -7% -25% 5% -20% 17%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate -16% 10% -1% 8% 11% 23% -5% -37% 21% 21% 23% 16% 13% 4% -22% -29% 16% -17% 6%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 36% 1% -26% 19% 7% 23% 4% -32% 23% -8% 9% -6% 18% 21% -16% -13% 11% 9% -15%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -55% -77% 21% -59% -76% -55% -24% 22% -44% -67% -74% -83% 1% -61% 40% 16% 29% -43% -71%
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Russ
ia
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 76% 43% 1% 47% 8% 66% -36% 31% 64% 16% 33% 11% -2% 6% 12% 62%Energy 72% 29% 7% 41% -9% 59% -45% 36% 63% 14% 34% 19% 2% 20% 30% 61%
Petroleum 78% 37% 4% 49% 4% 68% -41% 30% 63% 9% 31% 12% -1% 9% 21% 63%Agriculture 46% 61% 8% 48% 39% 58% 3% 25% 35% 30% 18% 14% -4% -4% 1% 34%
Grains 43% 62% 4% 51% 35% 58% 1% 26% 29% 24% 20% 16% 2% -3% 8% 30%Industrial Metals 46% 17% -5% 15% -1% 26% -25% 1% 31% -16% 9% -9% -3% -15% -30% 36%Precious Metals 37% 21% -31% 24% 37% 48% -2% -7% 29% 14% 19% -24% -16% -34% -17% 29%
Softs 31% 30% 8% 17% 30% 29% 5% 15% 35% 34% 6% 8% -12% 2% -11% 25%Livestock 35% 34% 21% 25% -8% 24% -35% 27% 33% -3% 15% 13% -3% 9% -1% 14%
Natural Gas 51% 13% 26% 19% -21% 30% -37% 30% 48% 23% 23% 23% -1% 26% 23% 40%WTI Crude 76% 37% 8% 46% 1% 66% -42% 31% 62% 8% 30% 15% 3% 12% 19% 65%
Brent Crude 79% 33% -1% 51% 8% 67% -42% 23% 65% 6% 29% 8% -2% 7% 23% 65%ULS Diesel 79% 39% 2% 53% 10% 71% -41% 28% 66% 11% 35% 6% -8% 0% 21% 62%
Unleaded Gasoline 75% 35% -7% 48% 7% 65% -34% 28% 62% 10% 27% 9% -4% 7% 23% 55%Corn 41% 63% 4% 48% 51% 53% 12% 28% 28% 27% 26% 26% 11% 5% 14% 24%
Soybeans 32% 48% 8% 42% 22% 52% -2% 19% 22% 22% 7% 0% -15% -12% 1% 22%Wheat 40% 58% 0% 46% 19% 51% -11% 29% 27% 6% 27% 16% 13% -4% 5% 36%
Soybean Oil 48% 49% 1% 50% 29% 63% 0% 11% 34% 36% 18% -5% -6% -11% 2% 38%Soybean Meal 20% 37% 2% 35% 10% 40% -16% 16% 16% -1% 14% -5% -20% -17% 5% 17%HRW Wheat 51% 62% 9% 47% 25% 53% -10% 30% 36% 15% 31% 23% 16% 1% 2% 43%
Copper 50% 24% -7% 22% 7% 35% -19% 2% 28% -10% 13% -7% -2% -19% -30% 40%Alumnium 57% 16% 5% 27% -1% 36% -32% 1% 47% -5% 14% -12% -1% -7% -13% 48%
Zinc 19% -4% -1% -10% -11% -9% -15% -11% 3% -26% -13% -8% -9% -11% -43% 2%Nickel 22% 2% -19% -7% -15% 9% -33% 6% 25% -31% 6% -10% 2% -11% -27% 19%Gold 36% 20% -34% 24% 36% 52% -6% -3% 31% 3% 27% -29% -17% -42% -13% 31%Silver 36% 20% -22% 20% 32% 35% 0% -10% 23% 25% 6% -12% -11% -17% -19% 25%Sugar 41% 20% -18% 18% 17% 40% -10% 30% 41% 26% 35% 8% -7% 2% 9% 35%Coffee 14% 13% 43% 6% 18% -3% 1% -12% 13% 20% -38% 2% -21% 2% -35% 6%Cotton 22% 47% -3% 5% 35% 21% 24% 31% 26% 11% 18% 21% 20% -4% -18% 21%
Live Cattle 27% 25% 24% 13% -19% 20% -44% 24% 37% -8% 5% 1% -4% -2% -13% 9%Lean Hogs 31% 33% 10% 29% 4% 24% -21% 25% 22% 1% 23% 17% -8% 12% 9% 13%
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
es
CPI by Country
5-Year
CPI by CountryBC
OM
Com
posit
esBC
OM
Sin
gles
Benc
hmar
ks
20-Year
17
CORRELATION: World GDP vs. BCOM Composites vs. BCOM Singles vs. Benchmarks
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Indi
a
Braz
il
Italy
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Russ
ia
Indo
nesi
a
Turk
ey
Net
herla
nds
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 10% 79% -46% 35% 13% 19% 75% 37% 23% 69% 37% -5% 27% -35% 70% 10% 33% -59% 34%Energy 23% 28% -33% 10% 25% -22% 27% 11% -8% 64% 36% -9% -3% -28% 56% 6% -9% -31% 50%
Petroleum 29% 54% -54% 14% 13% -23% 58% 28% -20% 72% 34% -6% 26% -64% 85% 11% -2% -69% 48%Agriculture -12% 69% -53% 22% 8% 25% 67% 42% 15% 64% 15% -7% 20% -43% 60% 0% 35% -56% 23%
Grains -24% 51% -51% 2% 3% 18% 51% 44% -4% 55% -2% -11% 8% -59% 52% -1% 21% -54% 18%Industrial Metals 16% 77% -21% 58% 8% 43% 69% 31% 66% 30% 53% -12% 35% 12% 30% 15% 54% -36% 26%Precious Metals 12% 84% -23% 32% -11% 29% 81% 34% 11% 37% 18% 13% 49% -42% 63% 13% 37% -64% 0%
Softs 7% 78% -44% 47% 13% 29% 75% 28% 38% 63% 32% 1% 34% -10% 59% 2% 45% -44% 21%Livestock 20% 22% -30% 26% 22% -5% 16% -17% 24% 42% 16% -19% 19% 29% 16% -6% 2% 8% 27%
Natural Gas 5% -23% 15% -1% 27% -10% -31% -23% 10% 18% 17% -6% -39% 41% -12% -6% -13% 41% 20%WTI Crude 33% 47% -53% 20% 19% -26% 51% 22% -8% 70% 40% -7% 22% -46% 76% 9% -4% -58% 53%
Brent Crude 27% 61% -52% 13% 8% -19% 65% 27% -24% 75% 30% 1% 33% -69% 91% 9% 0% -72% 36%ULS Diesel 24% 70% -49% 19% 8% -9% 74% 31% -19% 74% 30% 3% 35% -69% 92% 11% 7% -76% 32%
Unleaded Gasoline 21% 57% -48% 2% 4% -19% 61% 32% -34% 67% 20% -2% 29% -82% 88% 12% -2% -76% 32%Corn -22% 55% -41% 0% -3% 21% 55% 45% -13% 48% -7% 1% 9% -65% 58% 0% 19% -58% 10%
Soybeans -19% 42% -59% 4% 13% 1% 44% 30% -1% 67% 8% -18% 13% -51% 52% -1% 18% -46% 27%Wheat -31% 35% -48% -1% 1% 30% 32% 45% 16% 37% -3% -25% -11% -34% 21% -4% 23% -35% 22%
Soybean Oil -3% 82% -46% 31% 0% 31% 82% 47% 17% 59% 20% 4% 33% -49% 70% 6% 44% -69% 15%Soybean Meal -27% 16% -54% -6% 11% -5% 17% 21% 1% 46% -2% -32% 6% -35% 22% -3% 10% -25% 26%HRW Wheat -21% 50% -52% 8% 6% 28% 46% 38% 17% 55% 4% -16% 0% -32% 39% -7% 26% -38% 22%
Copper 12% 88% -33% 57% 5% 40% 83% 44% 56% 44% 53% -10% 40% -13% 49% 15% 58% -58% 29%Alumnium 16% 70% -6% 55% 2% 46% 62% 28% 66% 14% 43% 2% 29% 22% 20% 12% 48% -24% 14%
Zinc 16% 26% 11% 37% 3% 25% 16% 1% 67% -9% 33% -18% 18% 51% -22% 22% 24% 18% 10%Nickel 18% 60% -27% 55% 22% 37% 52% 16% 62% 31% 54% -26% 28% 25% 20% 8% 48% -21% 36%Gold 14% 79% -17% 29% -14% 26% 77% 32% 3% 28% 15% 14% 51% -44% 60% 13% 34% -65% -2%Silver 9% 84% -30% 33% -5% 32% 81% 35% 22% 47% 21% 9% 43% -34% 61% 10% 41% -58% 3%Sugar 12% 73% -47% 22% -2% 1% 75% 25% -2% 68% 18% 20% 44% -51% 81% 6% 29% -62% 12%Coffee 9% 54% -28% 40% 12% 24% 48% 9% 41% 40% 16% -1% 26% 20% 28% 1% 27% -9% 12%Cotton -2% 75% -42% 53% 24% 44% 72% 38% 53% 63% 45% -11% 15% -3% 50% 1% 56% -44% 29%
Live Cattle 2% 3% -6% 23% 14% 19% -5% -21% 39% -2% -14% -6% 9% 60% -29% -10% 10% 45% -6%Lean Hogs 26% 29% -36% 16% 16% -24% 28% -3% -1% 59% 37% -22% 19% -15% 48% 0% -6% -30% 44%
S&P 500 Total Return Index 1% -1% -12% 36% 39% 14% 0% 14% 53% 8% 51% -22% -26% 35% -13% 13% 11% 10% 45%Bloomberg US Treasury 14% 27% 19% 4% -34% -11% 28% 2% 0% -13% 4% 41% 25% -11% 23% 20% -12% -18% -9%
Bloomberg USD IG Corporate 6% 18% -2% 0% -22% -14% 24% 11% -8% -10% 5% 29% 13% -27% 21% 11% -26% -29% 1%Bloomberg USD HY Corporate 10% 20% -31% 7% 9% 20% 25% 36% -2% 10% 13% -3% -17% -25% 19% -10% 17% -45% 22%
Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Spot -27% -66% 43% -14% -1% 14% -66% -24% 6% -72% -29% -9% -33% 51% -81% -13% -6% 58% -28%
US
Chin
a
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
UK
Fran
ce
Cana
da
Sout
h Ko
rea
Aust
ralia
Mex
ico
Spai
n
Switz
erla
nd
Bloomberg Commodity 41% 47% 12% 32% 35% 31% 50% 4% 1% 34% 39% 36%Energy 36% 12% 6% 12% 22% 18% 36% 3% -7% 21% 39% 18%
Petroleum 37% 25% 7% 17% 23% 18% 42% 6% -6% 24% 32% 27%Agriculture 12% 54% 1% 22% 22% 12% 35% -11% 3% 26% 1% 16%
Grains 7% 44% -1% 13% 15% 8% 29% -9% 5% 24% -3% 11%Industrial Metals 45% 62% 28% 53% 43% 50% 46% 15% 7% 35% 47% 60%Precious Metals 9% 64% -1% 23% 11% 14% 30% 5% 4% 21% -7% 21%
Softs 17% 45% 1% 30% 24% 17% 34% -10% -2% 24% 7% 19%Livestock 44% 14% 19% 27% 29% 28% 20% 6% 12% 31% 36% 33%
Natural Gas 27% -7% 1% 1% 11% 14% 15% -14% -11% 17% 40% 4%WTI Crude 38% 24% 7% 17% 22% 17% 41% 9% -4% 22% 35% 26%
Brent Crude 38% 27% 5% 20% 23% 20% 49% 11% -4% 25% 30% 32%ULS Diesel 33% 27% 4% 14% 18% 12% 39% 2% -9% 24% 24% 24%
Unleaded Gasoline 40% 26% 9% 21% 28% 24% 48% 4% -6% 30% 26% 31%Corn 2% 32% -4% 7% 3% 2% 15% -14% 5% 19% -13% 0%
Soybeans 9% 39% -3% 8% 17% 6% 36% -10% 4% 30% -4% 13%Wheat 7% 49% 7% 22% 24% 12% 26% 1% 2% 14% 12% 17%
Soybean Oil 11% 57% -2% 14% 17% 11% 30% -13% 10% 15% 10% 15%Soybean Meal -2% 21% -3% 6% 10% 2% 30% -3% -6% 28% -12% 13%HRW Wheat 12% 53% 4% 26% 26% 13% 28% 0% 0% 19% 16% 18%
Copper 40% 68% 24% 48% 37% 42% 45% 14% 4% 34% 36% 54%Alumnium 43% 48% 22% 46% 35% 46% 38% 6% 6% 24% 51% 52%
Zinc 45% 48% 36% 55% 41% 53% 36% 11% 8% 42% 44% 60%Nickel 44% 45% 29% 47% 49% 49% 50% 28% 12% 32% 48% 55%Gold 0% 62% -1% 15% 6% 0% 22% 11% -2% 13% -15% 12%Silver 23% 59% -1% 33% 19% 34% 39% -4% 11% 30% 8% 33%Sugar 9% 32% -2% 15% 13% 1% 19% -9% -13% 17% 0% 7%Coffee 21% 28% 2% 22% 11% 21% 25% -12% 9% 23% 13% 29%Cotton 17% 40% 12% 31% 27% 22% 34% 6% -3% 19% 3% 21%
Live Cattle 43% 18% 21% 29% 31% 35% 23% 7% 16% 27% 42% 35%Lean Hogs 33% 9% 14% 19% 21% 13% 11% 3% 5% 27% 19% 23%
20-Year
BCO
M C
ompo
sites
BCO
M S
ingl
es
GDP by Country
5-Year
GDP by CountryBC
OM
Com
posit
esBC
OM
Sin
gles
Benc
hmar
ks
18
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Commodity Futures & Options, Money ManagersCOT <GO>
Group CommodityEnd of Jul 2015
Net Position (Lots)
End of Jun 2015 Net Position
(Lots)
Notional Change ($mill, with end
of Jul 2015 price)
End of Jul 2015 Notional ($ mill)
Natural Gas -90,876 -133,994 1,216 -2,564 WTI Crude 98,933 216,152 -5,624 4,747
Brent Crude 175,902 198,693 -1,215 9,376 ULS Diesel -20,068 -4,805 -1,028 -1,352 Gasoline 13,604 17,127 -267 1,030
Total -6,918 11,237 Corn 242,801 70,606 3,229 4,553
Soybeans 62,295 67,596 -258 3,036 Wheat 5,099 14,106 -230 130
Soybean Oil -1,230 29,747 -570 -23 Soybean Meal 57,862 39,585 631 1,997 HRW Wheat -513 2,236 -69 -13
Total 2,732 9,681 Copper -25,746 -21,275 -269 -1,547
Aluminum 49,513 48,383 46 1,998 Zinc 24,572 38,394 -672 1,195
Nickel 11,503 6,575 333 778 Total -562 2,424 Gold -11,334 21,480 -3,597 -1,242 Silver -10,447 -9,138 -96 -764 Total -3,693 -2,007 Sugar -59,520 -70,238 134 -745 Coffee -22,729 -10,207 -565 -1,025 Cotton 46,214 53,414 -232 1,488 Total -662 -282
Live Cattle 27,466 76,586 -2,850 1,594Lean Hogs 21,946 12,717 293 698
Total -2,557 2,291Total -11,659 23,344
Historical Correlation
1-Year 5-Year 1-Year 5-Year 1-Year 5-Year Natural Gas 48% 25% -52% -39% 68% 48% WTI Crude -24% 43% -48% -50% 24% 57%
Brent Crude -32% 44% -23% -42% -12% 51% ULS Diesel -1% 39% -47% -36% 38% 47% Gasoline 7% 40% -16% -8% 15% 40%
Corn 32% 59% -38% -50% 50% 66% Soybeans 63% 69% -73% -58% 73% 73%
Wheat 51% 47% -64% -58% 65% 63% Soybean Oil 60% 59% -77% -62% 77% 68%
Soybean Meal 58% 54% -59% -44% 65% 60% HRW Wheat 17% 28% -39% 47% 51%
Copper 36% 51% -59% -51% 57% 58% Aluminum 10% -13% 36%
Zinc 27% -47% 59% Nickel 34% -31% 62% Gold 71% 62% -52% -45% 68% 66% Silver 28% 55% -47% -40% 47% 57% Sugar 53% 46% -66% -52% 73% 61% Coffee 57% 47% -67% -61% 76% 66% Cotton 65% 49% -54% -51% 69% 55%
Live Cattle 11% 27% 18% -10% 1% 24%Lean Hogs 23% 21% -18% -17% 24% 18%
CommodityBCOM Single Index Level vs. MM's
Long PositionBCOM Single Index Level vs. MM's
Short PositionBCOM Single Index Level vs.
MM's Net Position
Energy
Group
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
Livestock
Livestock
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Softs
19
Gasoline Corn
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Historical Money Manager's Net Position vs. BCOM Index LevelNatural Gas WTI Crude
Brent Crude ULS Diesel
Soybeans Wheat
Soybean Oil Soybean Meal
HRW Wheat
0
20
40
60
80
100
-300000
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
050000
100000150000200000250000300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
1000
-40000
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
-200000
20000400006000080000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
20
40
60
80
-400000
-200000
0
200000
400000
600000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
-150000
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
050100150200250300
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
500
1000
1500
2000
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
500
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
20
Sugar Coffee
Cotton Live Cattle
Lean Hogs
Copper Aluminum
Zinc Nickel
Gold Silver
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS REPORT: Historical Money Manager's Net Position vs. BCOM Index Level
020040060080010001200
-40000
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
200
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
020000400006000080000
100000120000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020040060080010001200
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
100
200
300
400
500
-500000
50000100000150000200000250000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020040060080010001200
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
200
400
600
800
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020406080100120
-40000-20000
020000400006000080000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
020406080100120
-40000-20000
020000400006000080000
100000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
50
100
150
200
250
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
0
20
40
60
80
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Money Manager's Net Position Index Level
21
GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATAECO17 <GO>
Group Inventory/SalesRelated Commodities
UnitEnd of Jul
2015End of Jun
2015Change
(%)DOE Natural Gas Total Inventory Natural Gas bcf 2,880 2,577 12%DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory WTI Crude mm barrels 460 465 -1%DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks WTI Crude mm barrels 58 56 2%DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory ULS Diesel mm barrels 144 136 6%DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory Gasoline mm barrels 216 217 0%USDA Corn Total Export Sales Corn thousand MT 808 833 -3%USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales Soybeans thousand MT 1,316 117 1023%USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales Wheat, HRW Wheat thousand MT 700 364 92%USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales Soybean Oil thousand MT 75 5 1311%USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales Soybean Meal thousand MT 152 264 -42%Comex Copper Total Inventory Copper thousand short ton 38 29 29%LME Copper Total Inventory Copper thousand MT 343 310 11%LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory Aluminum thousand MT 3,481 3,598 -3%LME Zinc Total Inventory Zinc thousand MT 446 465 -4%LME Nickel Total Inventory Nickel thousand MT 453 458 -1%Comex Gold Total Inventory Gold mm ounces 8 8 1%Comex Silver Total Inventory Silver mm ounces 178 183 -3%
Softs USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales Cotton thousand bales 93 132 -30%USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily Live Cattle thousand heads 96 111 -14%USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily Lean Hogs thousand heads 403 403 0%
Historical Correlation
Group Inventory/Sales 1-Year 5-YearDOE Natural Gas Total Inventory 67% 9%DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory -78% -77%DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks -84% -47%DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory -55% -21%DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory -75% -23%USDA Corn Total Export Sales 9% -33%USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales 36% -7%USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales -10% 30%USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales -3% -3%USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales -13% 18%Comex Copper Total Inventory 20% 70%LME Copper Total Inventory -74% 26%LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory 92% -14%LME Zinc Total Inventory 59% -31%LME Nickel Total Inventory -94% -60%Comex Gold Total Inventory 56% 75%Comex Silver Total Inventory -8% -78%
Softs USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales -60% -7%USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily 1% -32%USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily -19% -25%
Livestock
Livestock
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
Energy
Grains
Industrial Metals
Precious Metals
vs. BCOM Cotton Indexvs. BCOM Live Cattle Indexvs. BCOM Lean Hogs Index
vs. BCOM Natural Gas Index
vs. BCOM Unleaded Gasoline Index
vs. BCOM Copper Indexvs. BCOM Copper Indexvs. BCOM Alumnium Indexvs. BCOM Zinc Indexvs. BCOM Nickel Index
vs. BCOM Corn Indexvs. BCOM Soybeans Indexvs. BCOM Wheat Indexvs. BCOM Soybean Oil Indexvs. BCOM Soybean Meal Index
BCOM Index
vs. BCOM WTI Crude Indexvs. BCOM WTI Crude Indexvs. BCOM ULS Diesel Index
vs. BCOM Silver Indexvs. BCOM Gold Index
22
Soybeans Wheat
Soybean Oil Soybean Meal
HISTORICAL GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATA vs. BCOMNatural Gas WTI Crude
WTI Crude ULS Diesel
Gasoline Corn
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0500
1000150020002500300035004000
93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
DOE Natural Gas Total Inventory BCOM Natural Gas Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Crude Oil Total Inventory BCOM WTI Crude Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
04 06 08 10 12 14
DOE Cushing Oklahoma Crude Oil Total Stocks BCOM WTI Crude Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Distillate Fuel Oil Total Inventory BCOM ULS Diesel Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
150000
170000
190000
210000
230000
250000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
DOE Motor Gasoline Total Inventory BCOM Unleaded Gasoline Index
020406080100120140160
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA Corn Total Export Sales BCOM Corn Index
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
500
1000
1500
2000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales BCOM Soybeans Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
-500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales BCOM Wheat Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybean Oil Total Export Sales BCOM Soybean Oil Index
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
100
200
300
400
500
07 09 11 13 15
USDA Soybean Cake Meal Total Export Sales BCOM Soybean Meal Index
23
Silver Cotton
Live Cattle Lean Hogs
HISTORICAL GLOBAL COMMODITIES INVENTORIES & SALES DATA vs. BCOMCopper Copper
Aluminum Zinc
Nickel Gold
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Copper Total Inventory BCOM Copper Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Copper Total Inventory BCOM Copper Index
0
50
100
150
200
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Primary Aluminum Total Inventory BCOM Alumnium Index
050100150200250300350400
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Zinc Total Inventory BCOM Zinc Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15
LME Nickel Total Inventory BCOM Nickel Index
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Gold Total Inventory BCOM Gold Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Comex Silver Total Inventory BCOM Silver Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
07 09 11 13 15
USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales BCOM Cotton Index
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
USDA Cattle Slaughter Estimates Daily BCOM Live Cattle Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
USDA Hogs Slaughter Estimates Daily BCOM Lean Hogs Index
24
COMMODITY FUND FLOWS FOR US-LISTED ETPsXLTP FLOW <GO>
Report Period: 6/30/2015 - 7/31/2015
Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
-752.46 8,953.96 -8.40%3,313.10 4,412.79 75.08%
-2.18 1,815.72 -0.12%-8.65 43.34 -19.95%11.36 345.06 3.29%
114.57 42,236.52 0.27%2,675.74 57,807.40 4.63%
All Commodities Sector: Top 10 Creations
Ticker Name Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
USO US United States Oil Fund LP 722.81 1,288.79 56.08%OIL US iPath Goldman Sachs Crude Oil 576.12 387.30 148.75%
UWTI US VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil 468.08 104.40 448.34%DWTI US VelocityShares 3x Inverse Crude Oil 316.39 42.24 749.09%DBO US PowerShares DB Oil Fund 310.14 282.60 109.74%
COMT US iShares Commodities Select Strategy 308.03 16.52 1864.48%UCO US ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil 307.60 455.75 67.49%IAU US iShares Gold Trust 247.20 6,124.98 4.04%
UGAZ US VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas 225.85 437.20 51.66%SCO US ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 202.56 166.04 121.99%
All Commodities Sector: Top 10 Redemptions
Ticker Name Net Flows ($ mill)
Beginning Fund Market Cap
($ mill)
% of Funds Market Cap
DBC US PowerShares DB Commodity Index -744.19 4,047.93 -18.38%DJP US iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index -342.72 1,735.40 -19.75%USCI US United States Commodity Index -130.33 709.86 -18.36%GLTR US ETFS Physical Precious Metal Basket Shares -90.76 234.39 -38.72%GLD US SPDR Gold Shares -52.37 26,941.20 -0.19%JJG US iPath Bloomberg Grains Subindex -39.47 171.36 -23.03%
BCM US iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodities -38.24 71.56 -53.44%SLV US iShares Silver Trust -37.26 5,180.64 -0.72%
PALL US ETFS Physical Palladium Shares -34.17 399.07 -8.56%DBA US PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund -29.35 1,040.40 -2.82%
Sector
LivestockIndustrial MetalsPrecious Metals
Total
Broad BasedEnergy
Agriculture
25
COMMODITY FUTURES TERM STRUCTUREENERGY GROUP
GRAINS GROUP
2.53
3.54
4.55
5.5
AUG
15M
AY 1
6FE
B 17
NO
V 17
AUG
18M
AY 1
9FE
B 20
NO
V 20
AUG
21M
AY 2
2FE
B 23
NO
V 23
AUG
24M
AY 2
5FE
B 26
NO
V 26
AUG
27
Natural Gas
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
40455055606570
AUG
15DE
C 15
APR
16AU
G 16
DEC
16AP
R 17
AUG
17DE
C 17
APR
18AU
G 18
DEC
18AP
R 19
AUG
19DE
C 19
APR
20AU
G 20
DEC
20
WTI Crude
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
4550556065707580
AUG
15JA
N 1
6JU
N 1
6N
OV
16AP
R 17
SEP
17FE
B 18
JUL
18DE
C 18
MAY
19
OCT
19
MAR
20
AUG
20JA
N 2
1JU
N 2
1N
OV
21AP
R 22
Brent Crude
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
150
170
190
210
230
JUL
15
OCT
15
JAN
16
APR
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
JAN
17
APR
17
JUL
17
OCT
17
JAN
18
APR
18
JUL
18
OCT
18
ULS Diesel
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
140150160170180190200210
JUL
15SE
P 15
NO
V 15
JAN
16
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16SE
P 16
NO
V 16
JAN
17
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17SE
P 17
NO
V 17
JAN
18
MAR
18
MAY
18
Unleaded Gasoline
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
280
300
320
340
360
380
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
DEC
17
Soybean Meal
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015460
510
560
610
660
710
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
HRW Wheat
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
300
350
400
450
500
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
DEC
17
Corn
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015850
900
950
1000
1050
1100
JUL
15AU
G 15
SEP
15N
OV
15JA
N 1
6M
AR 1
6M
AY 1
6JU
L 16
AUG
16SE
P 16
NO
V 16
JAN
17
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17AU
G 17
SEP
17
Soybeans
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
450
500
550
600
650
700
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
Wheat
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015272829303132333435
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
JUL
16
SEP
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
JUL
17
SEP
17
DEC
17
Soybean Oil
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
26
COMMODITY FUTURES TERM STRUCTUREINDUSTRIAL METALS GROUP
PRECIOUS METALS GROUP
SOFTS GROUP
LIVESTOCK GROUP
220
230
240
250
260
270
JUL
15
OCT
15
JAN
16
APR
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
JAN
17
APR
17
JUL
17
MAR
18
SEP
18
MAY
19
DEC
19
Copper
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-20151500
1700
1900
2100
2300
JUL
15FE
B 16
SEP
16AP
R 17
NO
V 17
JUN
18
JAN
19
AUG
19M
AR 2
0O
CT 2
0JU
N 2
1JA
N 2
2AU
G 22
MAR
23
OCT
23
MAY
24
DEC
24JU
L 25
Aluminum
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
1000105011001150120012501300
JUL
15
SEP
15
DEC
15
APR
16
AUG
16
DEC
16
APR
17
DEC
17
DEC
18
DEC
19
DEC
20
Gold
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-201513.5
1414.5
1515.5
1616.5
17
JUL
15
SEP
15
JAN
16
MAY
16
SEP
16
JAN
17
MAY
17
DEC
17
DEC
18
DEC
19
Silver
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
10111213141516
JUL
15
OCT
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
OCT
17
MAR
18
Sugar
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015120
130
140
150
160
170
JUL
15SE
P 15
DEC
15M
AR 1
6M
AY 1
6JU
L 16
SEP
16DE
C 16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17SE
P 17
DEC
17M
AR 1
8M
AY 1
8
Coffee
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
5055606570758085
JUL
15
AUG
15
OCT
15
DEC
15
FEB
16
APR
16
MAY
16
JUN
16
JUL
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
Lean Hogs
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
130
135
140
145
150
155
JUN
15
AUG
15
OCT
15
DEC
15
FEB
16
APR
16
JUN
16
AUG
16
OCT
16
Live Cattle
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
JUL
15N
OV
15M
AR 1
6JU
L 16
NO
V 16
MAR
17
JUL
17N
OV
17M
AR 1
8JU
L 18
NO
V 18
MAR
19
JUL
19N
OV
19M
AR 2
0JU
L 20
Zinc
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-201510000
10500
11000
11500
12000
12500
JUL
15N
OV
15M
AR 1
6JU
L 16
NO
V 16
MAR
17
JUL
17N
OV
17M
AR 1
8JU
L 18
NO
V 18
MAR
19
JUL
19N
OV
19M
AR 2
0JU
L 20
Nickel
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
60
62
64
66
68
70
JUL
15
OCT
15
DEC
15
MAR
16
MAY
16
JUL
16
OCT
16
DEC
16
MAR
17
MAY
17
JUL
17
OCT
17
DEC
17
MAR
18
Cotton
30-Jun-2015
31-Jul-2015
27
BLOOMBERG INTELLIGENCE: COMMODITY DASHBOARDS BI <GO>
Crude Oil Production: BI OILS <GO> Natural Gas Production: BI NGAS <GO>
Precious Metal Mining: BI PMET <GO> Agricultural Chemicals: BI AGCH <GO>
Copper: BI COPP <GO> Aluminum: BI ALUM <GO>
BI provides analysis on several key drivers of BCOM performance; industrial and precious metals mining, oil and natural gas production, and agricultural chemicals. The dashboards include key macro data libraries and interactive charting and commentary from analysts with an average of seventeen years of experience.
28
Broad Commodities EnergyTop commodity news CTOP Top energy news ETOPCommodity markets menu <COMDTY> F9 Top oil news OTOP Global commodity prices GLCO Crude Oil Production Dashboard BI OILSCommodity playbook CPLY First Word oil NI BFWOIL Commitments of traders report COT News on oil inventories TNI OIL INV Calendar of commodity events ECO17 Oil Buyer's Guide newsletter NI OBGBRIEFCommodity arbitrage calculator CARC Pipes & Wires newsletter NI PAWSBRIEFCommodity fundamental data explorer FDM Oil market analysis BOILCommodity futures overview CMBQ Nat gas spot prices BGASSecurity finder SECF Forward European utility markets EUMCommodity data contributors & broker CDAT News on oil markets NI OILMARKET Contract table menu CTM News on OPEC NI OPEC Seasonality chart SEAG OPEC production and prices OPECCommodity curve analysis CCRV Oil markets menu OIL Commodity fair values CFVL Crude stored in tankers NOONCommodity price forecasts CPFC Refinery outages REFOCommitments of Traders Report COT Oil’s decline EXT5 Commodity maps BMAP Oil versus inflation expectations SWIFCommodity options monitor OMON Commodities charts COSY MetalsCommodity Investors menu CMNV Top metal news METT US exchange traded product fund flows ETF Precious metal dashboard BI PMETG
Base metals dashboard BI BMETCommodity Indices Metals prices and data MINE Index description BCOM Index DES Precious metals prices and rates MTL Index constituent weights BCOM Index MEMB Metals Bulletin MB Listed index futures BCOM Index CT COMEX inventories COMX Option volatility surface BCOM Index OVDV LME monitor LME Seasonality chart BCOMNG Index SEAG LME implied volatilities LMIV Commodity index futures movers FMV LME warehouse inventories LMEI Commodity index ranked returns CRR
AgricultureWeather Top agriculture news YTOP Global weather database WETR Agriculture calendar AGRI US snow monitor SNOW Agriculture spot prices AGGPEU weather & utility models EUMM Agriculture supply & demand AGSD
Crop calendar CCAL
BCOM QUICK FACTS
Weighting Bias 2/3 market liquidity and 1/3 world production No. of Commodities 20 Re-balancing Frequency Annual Roll Schedule Monthly (5 day roll) Caps/Limits Single commodity: max 15%
Single commodity and its derivatives: max 25%Related commodity groups: max 33%
First Value Date 30 December 1990
COMMODITY CHEAT SHEET FOR THE BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL® SERVICEThe data provided in this report can be easily accessed on the Bloomberg Professional® service along with numerous news and analytical tools to help you stay on top of the commodity markets.
29