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Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

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Page 1: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

Blackout Simulator

- economic after-effects of the power supply

infrastructure failing -

DIR – Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

Page 2: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

2ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

www.blackout-simulator.com

Page 3: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

3ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

www.blackout-simulator.com

Page 4: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

4ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

www.blackout-simulator.com

Page 5: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

5ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

www.blackout-simulator.com

Page 6: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

6ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

www.blackout-simulator.com

Page 7: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

7ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

Modelling the Economic Losses resulting from Power Outages

www.blackout-simulator.com

Assessing Non-Households' Economic Losses:

• The first methodological approach constitutes a model that assigns the lost value added to

every analysed economic sector, for every incorporated region, and at every hour between

1st of January 2000 and the 31st December 2017. To do so, production data4 of

businesses, industry and public administration are incorporated as central indicator of

economic activity.

• The second methodical approach of the assessment of non-households is based on a

comparison of typical damages per kWh not supplied in certain industries and sectors. This

value of lost load (VoLL) approach is capable of assigning every unit of electricity not

supplied a damage for a certain country and sector. In total 360 Values out of 57

independent studies were used to elicit sector-specific damage indicators.

Page 8: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

8ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

Modelling the Economic Losses resulting from Power Outages

www.blackout-simulator.com

Assessing Households' Economic Losses:

• For any comprehensive analysis of the household sector’s vulnerability in the case of power

outages it is necessary to include non-monetary effects alongside material losses. Thus,

blackout-simulator.com uses a class-leading survey approach with a total of 8,336

participants to evaluate European households’ willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid power

outages. This is central for assessing the majority of losses experienced by households in

the case of power outages. The interviews were carefully designed and conduced to

account for all relevant social, geographic and demographic groups of society. The entire

survey was part of the FP7 research project SESAME and conducted in every of the 27 (in

2012) member state of the European Union.

Page 9: Blackout Simulator - ERSE · Blackout Simulator - economic after-effects of the power supply infrastructure failing - DIR –Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede

Muito obrigado pela atenção!

ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos

ENTIDADE REGULADORA DOS SERVIÇOS ENERGÉTICOS

Rua Dom Cristóvão da Gama, 1, 3º

1400-113 Lisboa

Portugal

Telefone: +(351) 21 303 32 52

www.erse.pt

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