Upload
hadan
View
217
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Blackout Simulator
- economic after-effects of the power supply
infrastructure failing -
DIR – Direção de Infraestruturas e Rede
2ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
www.blackout-simulator.com
3ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
www.blackout-simulator.com
4ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
www.blackout-simulator.com
5ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
www.blackout-simulator.com
6ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
www.blackout-simulator.com
7ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
Modelling the Economic Losses resulting from Power Outages
www.blackout-simulator.com
Assessing Non-Households' Economic Losses:
• The first methodological approach constitutes a model that assigns the lost value added to
every analysed economic sector, for every incorporated region, and at every hour between
1st of January 2000 and the 31st December 2017. To do so, production data4 of
businesses, industry and public administration are incorporated as central indicator of
economic activity.
• The second methodical approach of the assessment of non-households is based on a
comparison of typical damages per kWh not supplied in certain industries and sectors. This
value of lost load (VoLL) approach is capable of assigning every unit of electricity not
supplied a damage for a certain country and sector. In total 360 Values out of 57
independent studies were used to elicit sector-specific damage indicators.
8ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
Modelling the Economic Losses resulting from Power Outages
www.blackout-simulator.com
Assessing Households' Economic Losses:
• For any comprehensive analysis of the household sector’s vulnerability in the case of power
outages it is necessary to include non-monetary effects alongside material losses. Thus,
blackout-simulator.com uses a class-leading survey approach with a total of 8,336
participants to evaluate European households’ willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid power
outages. This is central for assessing the majority of losses experienced by households in
the case of power outages. The interviews were carefully designed and conduced to
account for all relevant social, geographic and demographic groups of society. The entire
survey was part of the FP7 research project SESAME and conducted in every of the 27 (in
2012) member state of the European Union.
Muito obrigado pela atenção!
ERSE - Entidade Reguladora dos Serviços Energéticos
ENTIDADE REGULADORA DOS SERVIÇOS ENERGÉTICOS
Rua Dom Cristóvão da Gama, 1, 3º
1400-113 Lisboa
Portugal
Telefone: +(351) 21 303 32 52
www.erse.pt
9