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The BGL Industrials Insider is published by Brown Gibbons Lang & Company, a leading independent investment bank
serving middle market companies throughout the U.S. and internationally.
Insider
Industrials / Building Products
Spotlight:Window of Opportunity in Building Products Page 4
Building products is seeing M&A activity accelerate on the heels of sustained economic growth, strong consumer sentiment, low interest rates, and a corresponding rebound in the construction market. The fragmented window and door industry is among the sectors seeing a healthy uptick as participants seek consolidation opportunities to expand manufacturing footprints and capabilities, broaden product
portfolios, and enhance margins.
June 2015Brown Gibbons Lang & Company
ChicagoOne Magnifi cent Mile980 N. Michigan AvenueSuite 1880Chicago, IL 60611
ClevelandOne Cleveland Center1375 East 9th Street Suite 2500Cleveland, OH 44114
bglco.com
Environmental Services Insider
M&A and Capital Markets ActivityBuilding Products
• Building Products is seeing healthy deal fl ow on positive momentum in the construction market. Marquee deals involving corporate and private equity acquirers are indicative of an active M&A market and likely harbingers of continued consolidation.
• Ply Gem Holdings (NYSE:PGEM) acquired Simonton Windows from Fortune Brands Home & Security (NYSE:FBHS) and PGT (NasdaqGM:PGTI) acquired CGI Windows and Doors. The acquisition of Norcraft Companies by Fortune Brands Home & Security (NYSE:FBHS) and ProBuild Holdings by Builders FirstSource (NasdaqGS:BLDR) are among other notable corporate transactions.
• Private equity sponsors gained the spotlight with Altus Capital Partners (GED Integrated Solutions), Nautic Partners (Custom Window Systems), and Audax Group (Chase Doors) among the investors to add platforms in the windows and doors space. Bellwether transactions include the proposed merger of Stock Building Supply Holdings (NasdaqGS:STCK) and Building Materials Holding Corporation, Platinum Equity’s acquisition of PrimeSource Building Products, and the purchase of Hanson Building Products by Lone Star Funds.
Broad Market
• 2015 appears off to a strong start for deal making in the middle market.1 M&A volume (based on number of transactions) increased 30 percent over 1Q14 levels on 23 percent higher value.
• Private equity deal fl ow is keeping pace with 2014 levels, according to the PitchBook 2Q15 U.S. Middle Market Report, which reported that $359.7 billion was invested in 1,791 deals during the fi rst quarter. By comparison last year, total deal value was up 21 percent over 2013, while counts were up 24 percent. The middle market accounted for 78 percent of all private equity buyouts—up from the record high 72 percent logged in 2014.
• Leverage multiples experienced a modest contraction in 2015 but remain elevated in the current valuation environment. Reporting on the broader middle market2, S&P Leveraged Commentary & Data cited a median EBITDA multiple of 10.24x through the May year-to-date period—up from 9.69x in 2014. Senior debt multiples (senior debt to EBITDA) decreased to 4.86x from 5.13x in 2014.
• S&P LCD reported senior leverage of 4.66x for leveraged buyouts in the lower middle market. Purchase price multiples for the May year-to-date period increased to 8.9x and 8.8x for strategic and fi nancial buyer transactions, respectively.
1 Middle market defi ned as enterprise values between $25 million and $500 million.
2 Defi ned as issuers with EBITDA of $50M or less.
For more information on how
BGL’s Global Industrials Practice can assist
your company, please contact:
Delivering Results to the Global Middle Market
Andrew K. Petryk Managing Director & PrincipalHead: Industrials216.920.6613
Kevin H. SargentDirector & Principal216.920.6639
• Supply of capital continues to outstrip loan demand, leaving lenders dissatisfi ed with volumes during the quarter. More than 90 percent of participating lenders in Thomson Reuters LPC’s 2Q15 Middle Market Lender Outlook survey were unable to meet lending goals in 1Q15, attributing the shortfall to aggressive structures and tight pricing.
Public Equity Markets
• The public equity markets remain volatile amid uncertainty in the global economy and energy market. BGL Building Products composite indices outperformed the broader market year-to-date: Residential-Focused (10.9 percent), Commercial-Focused (9.3 percent), Distributors (7.5 percent), Aggregates and Cement (12.7 percent), and Home Builders (7.6 percent). Broader market indices rallied last week on indications of the Fed slowing rate hikes, with returns on the S&P 500 and DJIA regaining to 2.5 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively.
*As of June 19, 2015.
Operating Highlights• Total housing starts rose to an annualized level of 1.0 million units in 2014
and are forecasted to surpass 1.1 million units in 2015. Nonresidential construction is expected to see continued growth from strong commercial, industrial, and institutional demand.
• May’s positive PMI reading marked the 29th consecutive month of expansion for the U.S. manufacturing sector. The overall economy grew for the 72nd consecutive month.
• Macro indicators of economic growth, declining unemployment, and low gasoline prices are expected to buoy consumer confi dence and fuel construction spending, positives for the building products market.
Industrials Insider
The residential window and door industry is sized at
approximately $19.4 billion annually. New construction and
replacement and remodeling (R&R) expenditures drive
growth.
Window Market
New residential construction, comprising single family, multi-
family, and manufactured housing, accounts for 47 percent
of the window market. Window demand rebounded sharply
in 2012 from a 2009 low. Annual shipments grew by 6 million
units between 2011 and 2013, representing a compound
annual growth rate of 23 percent. Demand is forecasted to
grow at a CAGR of approximately 18.4 percent (in units)
between 2014 and 2016. Vinyl is projected to make up an
estimated 61 percent of all window shipments in 2016.
The replacement and remodeling (R&R) market represents
53 percent of overall demand for windows. R&R market
demand showed signs of stabilization in 2013 following
negative growth during the downturn. Demand is forecasted
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
4
19%
15%
8%
7%7%4%
4%4%
4%2%
2%
24%
Anderson
Pella
Ply Gem (w/Simon
Jeld-Wen (excl. do
Marvin
Atrium
Associated Mater
Milgard (MAS)
MI Windows & Do
PGT
Champion Window
Other
Source: Equity Research.
Other
Residential Window Market
The competitive landscape is comprised of local/regional players and national manufacturers who typically focus on branded products.
with
Building products M&A is accelerating on the heels of sustained economic growth and a rebound in the construction
market. The fragmented window and door industry is among the sectors seeing a healthy uptick as participants seek
consolidation opportunities to expand manufacturing footprints and capabilities, broaden product portfolios, and
enhance margins.
to grow 5.2 percent annually (in units) between 2014 and
2016. Vinyl market share is projected to account for 74
percent of all window shipments in 2016.
Door Market
The replacement market accounts for the largest volume
of residential door shipments with a 48 percent share,
followed by new construction (31 percent) and remodeling
(21 percent). Residential door shipments grew a modest
5.4 percent between 2011 and 2013, or 900,000 units, to
9 million units. Demand is projected to grow at a CAGR of
approximately 8.3 percent (in units) between 2014 and 2016.
Steel is projected to make up an estimated 46 percent of all
door shipments in 2016. Fiberglass continues to gain share,
increasing from 28 percent to 38 percent between 2008 and
2013, driven by product improvements, builder preference,
and greater acceptance of the material across a wide range
of applications.
New construction accounts for 71 percent of the
nonresidential market for doors, followed by remodeling
(19 percent) and replacement (10 percent). Nonresidential
door shipments grew by 8 percent between 2011 and 2013,
or 300,000 units, to 2.1 million units. Demand is forecasted
to grow 16.1 percent annually (in units) between 2014 and
2016. Aluminum market share is projected to account for 52
percent of all door shipments in 2016.
Energy Effi cient Windows and Fenestration Systems
Programs such as ENERGY STAR are encouraging residential
energy effi ciency, with growing consumer awareness
of the benefi ts of high-performance windows spurring
manufacturers to expand their product lines.
Energy effi cient windows are the predominant window being
installed today, with ENERGY STAR comprising close to 90
percent of the replacement market and 59 percent of the
market overall. More stringent energy performance criteria
for windows will take effect in January 2016, pursuant to the
ENERGY STAR Version 6.0 Residential Windows, Doors, and
Skylights Specifi cation released by the U.S. EPA.
Industrials Insider
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
5
Vinyl, 61%
Wood, Fiberglass, Other, 22%
Aluminum, 17%
Source: Ducker Worldwide.
Vinyl, 75%
Wood, Fiberglass, Other, 24%
Aluminum, 2%
9.9 9.0 7.3 7.5 6.3 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.8 7.1
1.9 1.21.0 1.0
0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
22.520.1
19.1 21.119.1 18.9 19.6 20.4 21.4 22.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015P 2016P
Uni
ts (i
n m
illio
ns)
Wood, Fiberglass, Other Aluminum Vinyl
2016 Projected Market Share
2016 Projected Market Share
2016 Projected Market Share
2016 Projected Market Share
Steel, 46%
Wood, 13%
Fiber Glass, 41%
Window Shipments for New Construction
Window Shipments for Remodeling/Replacement
7.2 5.1 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.6 5.5 6.4
4.43.3
1.9 1.7 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.64.4
5.0
13.2
9.7
6.3 6.7 6.68.6
10.612.7
15.817.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014P 2015P 2016P
Uni
ts (i
n m
illio
ns)
Wood, Fiberglass, Other Aluminum Vinyl
Residential Door Shipments
Nonresidential Door Shipments
1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5
3.42.9 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.7
7.9
6.34.5 4.8
4.2 4.34.4
4.75.1
5.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014P 2015P 2016P
Uni
ts (i
n m
illio
ns)
Wood Fiber Glass Steel
0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.10.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
1.3 1.3 1.10.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1 1.2
1.6
0.8 0.80.7
0.8 0.7 0.80.9
1.01.1
1.2
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014P 2015P 2016P
Uni
ts (i
n m
illio
ns)
Other Wood Aluminum Steel
Steel, 39%
Aluminum, 52%
Wood, 6% Other, 3%
Industrials Insider
M&A Market ActiveImproving market fundamentals point to continued
strength in the building products sector, with growing
investor appetite that is broad-based, spanning both
residential and commercial construction end markets.
The M&A market for building products saw the beginnings
of a rebound in 2012, with the pace of investment activity
accelerating as the economy strengthened. Investors
shifted from a value-oriented approach to acquisitions early
in the recovery to the full valuations observed in the market
today as companies returned to a path of profi tability and
growth.
Marquee deals announced in 2015 evidence healthy
interest from both corporate and private equity buyers. A
continued strong capital markets environment and a sense
of urgency for private equity funds to deploy capital should
propel deal fl ow in the coming months.
Historical Building Products M&A Activity
29
17
25
31
23 23 23
11
20
11
22
16
2522 23
16
23
3028
21
30
39
17
32
28
24
28
20
16
28 2826
19
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Num
ber o
f Tra
nsac
�ons
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
Cement Assets of
SELECTED RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY IN BUILDING PRODUCTS
APRIL 2015
APRIL 2015
MARCH 2015
MAY 2015
MARCH 2015
APRIL 2015
JANUARY 2015
TARGET ACQUIRER
JUNE 2015
JUNE 2015
APRIL 2015
SEPTEMBER 2014
SEPTEMBER 2014
MAY 2015
6
Industrials Insider
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ, PitchBook, Equity Research, Company Filings, and public data.
Enterprise Value: $111 million
Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.5xEnterprise Value/EBITDA: ~8x-10x
CGI is a regional manufacturer of impact-resistant aluminum- and vinyl-framed windows and doors primarily serving the Florida residential market. Products are sold under the Estate, Sentinel, and Targa brands. The deal marks the largest acquisition in PGT’s 35-year history.
With the acquisition, PGT enhances its market position by gaining a major competitor, diversifi es and broadens its product portfolio with the addition of impact-resistant doors, and expands its manufacturing footprint and capabilities. PGT’s larger scale will enable the company to more eff ectively compete against national suppliers of storm
protection systems, said PGT President Jeff Jackson.
The acquisition underscores a bullish outlook on a sustained recovery of the Florida housing market. “The acquisition of CGI Windows & Doors is consistent with our stated growth plan to acquire revenue generating products that leverage our core capabilities,” said PGT CEO Rod Hershberger. “This is an ideal acquisition for PGT, and it will provide important synergies while enhancing our leadership position within the industry.”
CGI was a portfolio company of Cortec Group, which it acquired in 2007.
September 2014
Based in Columbus, Ohio, Simonton produces ENERGY STAR-qualifi ed vinyl replacement and new construction windows and doors, including a line of impact resistant products, at manufacturing facilities in West Virginia, Illinois, and California. Prior to the acquisition, Ply Gem’s sales were comprised of 80 percent new construction and 20 percent remodeling. With the addition of Simonton, Ply Gem establishes a stronger position in the repair & remodeling market, with the sales mix divided between remodeling (52 percent of sales) and new construction (48 percent), according to Plastics News.
“The addition of Simonton Windows is in full alignment with our strategic growth plan and will better balance the mix of end markets that we serve while strengthening our core capabilities and contributing signifi cantly to revenues in the future,” said
Ply Gem CEO Gary Robinette in a company statement.
The transaction follows the 2013 acquisitions of Canadian manufacturers Mitten and Gienow Windows and Doors. Mitten produces vinyl siding and accessories. Gienow manufactures windows and doors for the residential and commercial construction markets in Canada and the eastern United States. “With [the Gienow] acquisition we took the No. 2 and No. 3 window and door manufacturers in western Canada and combined them to make a clear No. 1 and the No. 2 player in all of Canada,” said Ply Gem CFO Shawn Poe, in an interview with Plastics News.
Gienow was a former portfolio company of VKR Holding, which it acquired in 2009. Mitten was acquired by Graham Partners in 2011.
Enterprise Value: $130 million
Enterprise Value/Revenue: .43xEnterprise Value/EBITDA: ~10.0x
September 2014
“Simonton’s strength in the replace and remodel
segment of the market combined with Ply Gem’s
strength in new construction are a natural combination.
Together the companies can now offer a more
comprehensive product portfolio, benefi t from an
expanded distribution network, and have a more
effi cient national manufacturing platform.”
Chris KleinCEO, Fortune Brands Home & Security
The fragmented window and door industry is seeing a healthy uptick in M&A activity as participants seek consolidation
opportunities to expand manufacturing footprints and capabilities, broaden product portfolios, and enhance margins.
Several acquisitions have been announced during the last 12 months, including Ply Gem Holdings’ (NYSE:PGEM) acquisition
of Simonton Windows from Fortune Brands Home & Security (NYSE:FBHS) and the purchase of CGI Windows and Doors
by PGT (NasdaqGM:PGTI).
7
Industrials Insider
SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ, PitchBook, Equity Research, Company Filings, and public data.
SELECTED M&A ACTIVITY IN WINDOWS AND DOORS
APRIL 2015
AUGUST 2014
MAY 2015
MAY 2015
AUGUST 2014
AUGUST 2014
JULY 2014
JULY 2014
JULY 2014
JUNE 2014
MARCH 2014
SEPTEMBER 2013
FEBRUARY 2013
JANUARY 2013
NEW NORTH TRIM
IWM ACQUISITION
KENNER AND COMPANY
2012 INVESTMENT
2009 INVESTMENT
2012 INVESTMENT
2010 INVESTMENT
2007 INVESTMENT
2010 INVESTMENT
2010 INVESTMENT
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENT IN THE INDUSTRY
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
2013 INVESTMENT
2015 INVESTMENT
2014 INVESTMENT
2014 INVESTMENT
2008 INVESTMENT
2014 INVESTMENT
8
SEPTEMBER 2014
SEPTEMBER 2014
Industrials Insider
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
acquired by
a portfolio company of
acquired by
BGL Knows Windows Inside and Out
a portfolio company of
FinancialRestructuring
GED Integrated Solutions is a leading manufacturer of fully integrated insulating glass (IG) and window and door production systems in North America.
The company is the innovation and market share leader with the largest installed base of IG fabrication equipment in the United States, holding an estimated 49 percent market share.
Astro Shapes is a leading U.S. manufacturer of extruded aluminum products for use in the residential and commercialbuilding and construction, transportation, machinery and equipment, consumer durables, and industrial markets. The company also provides unmatched fi nishing capabilities through its electrostatic painting line and leading thermal barrier technologies, including its polyamide strip system, the fi rst of its kind in the United States.
Edgetech’s patented warm-edge insulating glass spacer systems are recognized as best-in class for energy effi ciency and durability.
The company markets its products to window and door manufacturersserving both the new construction and replacement markets in North America and internationally.
Empire Pacifi c Windows manufactures vinyl windows and patio doors for the residential and commercial construction markets throughout Oregon, Washington, California, and Nevada.
acquired by
Lumber & Building Supplies, Inc.
acquired by
acquired by
acquired
a subsidiary of
Castle HarlanPartners IV L.P.
(CHPIV)
acquired by
a subsidiary of
Kawada Industries USA
Pyramid LLC
RestructuringAdvisory
obtained
provided by
$37,000,000Replacement
DIP Credit Facility
Cerberus Partners
obtained exit financing
provided by
$30,000,000Senior SecuredCredit Facility
provided byan affiliate of
$30,000,000
Reorganized and Recapitalizedby an investment of
merged with
acquired
acquired
Admission to AIM£135 million market capitalization
£94 million raise
acquired acquired by
acquired by
acquired
acquired by
acquired
acquired by
acquired by
MinorityShareholders
divested
to
acquired by
Inpal acquired by
a portfolio company of
9
Industrials Insider
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
BarometerGrowth catalysts of improving employment and consumer
confi dence and low interest rates are providing lift to the
housing market. Real estate development is returning to
historical levels.
• Unemployment is at the lowest level since May 2008.
The unemployment rate fell to 5.5 percent in May,
down from 6.3 percent the year prior.
• Consumer optimism is high. The University of Michigan
Consumer Sentiment index averaged 94.6 during the
fi rst six months of 2015—the highest level since 2004,
according to the Survey of Consumers.
• Mortgage rates are at historical lows. Easing credit
conditions have driven mortgage rates down roughly
80 basis points from early 2014. Gradual rate increases
are anticipated in mid-2015 as the Fed increases its
target rate by ~50 basis points, according to economist
estimates.
The residential construction market gained ground in 2015
with total housing starts rising 20.2 percent to a SAAR of
1.135 million units in April—the highest level of production
since 2007—according to the NAHB. In May, total housing
starts increased 5.1 percent over 2014 levels to a SAAR of
1.036 million units.
Dodge Data & Analytics, in its 2015 Construction Outlook,
forecasts 11 percent unit growth in single family housing and
15 percent dollar growth in 2015. Multifamily is forecasted
to grow 7 percent and 9 percent in units and dollars.
10
5.8
4.6 4.74.5 4.6
5.0
5.5 5.45.6
5.8
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015P 2016P
Mill
ions
of u
nits
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015P 2016P
Tot
al H
ousin
g St
arts
(in
thou
sand
s)
Interest Rates, Annual Averages30-year Fixed
Housing Starts
Total Home Sales
Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
Source: Freddie Mac.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Source: Freddie Mac.
6.3%
6.0%
5.0%
4.7%4.5%
3.7%
4.0%4.2%
3.8%4.0%
4.9%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
May
-15
2015
P
2016
P
Industrials Insider
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
11
Barometer (continued)
The remodeling market is rebounding. Rising consumer
confi dence, appreciation in home values, and aging housing
stock are expected to fuel demand in the remodeling market,
which has outpaced the broader housing recovery according
to the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University
(JCHS). Spending levels rebounded to $300 billion in 2013,
with discretionary spending on large-ticket remodeling projects
seeing the fi rst increase since 2005. JHCS predicts the industry
could see record-level spending in 2015.
Repair and remodeling spending is expected to grow in the
coming years with increased demand for energy-effi cient and
sustainable building products and materials and accessibility
improvements for seniors.
Positive trends in the Architectural Billings Index (ABI)
and improvements in public spending support continued
momentum in the commercial construction market.
Nonresidential construction is expected to see continued
growth from strong commercial, industrial, and institutional
demand. The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reports the
highest growth in institutional activity, evidenced in March by
ten consecutive months of positive ABI readings in the sector.
The March commercial ABI reading refl ected the highest uptick
in billings of the last 18 months. Despite a dip in April, “The
fundamentals in the design and construction industry remain
very healthy,” indicated AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker,
pointing to positive trends in new project inquiries and new
design contracts, refl ective of strong underlying demand for
design activity.
Dodge Data & Analytics, in its 2015 Construction Outlook,
forecasts 15 percent and 9 percent increases in commercial
and institutional building, respectively, in 2015. Robert Murray,
Chief Economist for Dodge Data & Analytics, commented,
“The construction expansion should become more broad-
based in 2015, with support coming from more sectors than
was often the case in recent years.” He continued, “The
economic environment going forward carries several positives
that will help to further lift total construction starts. Financing
for construction projects is becoming more available,....
interest rates for the near term should stay low, and market
fundamentals (occupancies and rents) for commercial building
and multifamily housing continue to strengthen.”
27%
58%
81%
35%
67%
81%
41%
71%
85%
Older than 40 years
Older than 20 years
Older than 10 years
2011
2001
1991
$214 $228
$280
$324
$291 $281
$298
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
U.S
. Hom
e Im
prov
emen
t & R
epai
r Spe
ndin
g ($
in b
illio
ns)
Construction Spending
Repair & Remodeling Spending
Age of Owner-Occupied Housing Stock
Housing stock in the U.S. is aging, with the share of owner-occupied housing structures more than 40 years old ballooning to 41 percent in 2011 - up from only 27 percent in 1991.
The median age of a U.S. home was 35 years in 2011.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
Source: Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.
Source: National Association of Home Builders.
$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
Jan-
2007
Oct
-200
7
Jul-2
008
Apr-
2009
Jan-
2010
Oct
-201
0
Jul-2
011
Apr-
2012
Jan-
2013
Oct
-201
3
Jul-2
014
Apr-
2015
Total Construc�on Residen�al Nonresiden�al
Industrials Insider
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Opportunity
Millennials vital to the buildingproducts industry
The nation is undergoing a seismic demographic shift
as Millennials overtake Boomers as the largest living
generation, according to the Pew Research Center (PRC).
Citing statistics from U.S. Census Bureau forecasts, PRC
reported that Millennials (ages 18 to 34) are projected to
number 75.3 million in 2015, surpassing the projected 74.9
million Boomers (ages 51 to 69). By 2025, the Millennial
generation is expected to be almost 7 percent larger than
the baby boomer generation at comparable ages. Wielding
massive purchasing power, Millennials are expected to
eclipse Baby Boomers in spending power by 2018 ($3.39
trillion) according to Wakefi eld Research.
Realtor.com, in its 2015 Housing Forecast, predicts that
Millennials will account for 65 percent of fi rst-time home
buyer sales in 2015, as a growing economy increases
employment opportunities and low interest rates entice
new buyers to the market. Millennials are expected to drive
two-thirds of household formations over the next fi ve years.
Sustainability and healthy livingpoised for growth
Sustainable home improvements will be one of the fastest
growing market segments, according to the Joint Center
for Housing Studies at Harvard University. Demand for
products that promote energy effi ciency and healthy living,
particularly those addressing indoor air quality, water
conservation, or products made from rapidly renewable or
recycled materials, will continue to grow.
Participants in a March survey conducted by the American
Institute of Architects expect interest in sustainable
design to grow in the coming years, identifying energy
effi ciency (85 percent of respondents), healthy buildings
(60 percent), water effi ciency (60 percent), and renewable
energy (44 percent) among the top three priorities of
clients in fi ve to ten years.
12
Energy Effi cient Windows andFenestration Systems
Programs such as ENERGY STAR and Leadership in Energy
and Environmental Design (LEED) are encouraging energy
effi ciency in homes. More stringent state building energy
codes have contributed to the rise of residential energy
effi ciency, according to the U.S. Department of Energy,
which cited that more new homes are being constructed
to meet the targets of energy effi ciency programs. Nearly
50 percent of all home buyers cite energy effi ciency as
a primary consideration in home purchasing decisions,
reports the National Association of Realtors.
Motivated by tax incentives for energy effi ciency, more
consumers are investing in high-performance windows to
realize energy savings and lower utility bills, with growing
acceptance spurring manufacturers to expand their
product lines.
Energy effi cient windows are the predominant window
being installed today. ENERGY STAR market share was
at 59 percent nationally in 2008, according to the U.S.
Department of Energy ENERGY STAR Program Windows,
Doors, and Skylights Draft Criteria and Analysis, and close
to 90 percent in the replacement market.
Effective January 1, 2016, more stringent energy
performance criteria for windows will take effect, pursuant
to the ENERGY STAR Version 6.0 Residential Windows,
Doors, and Skylights Specifi cation released by the U.S. EPA.
Industrials Insider
13
BGL Building Products and Construction Materials indices defined on Pages 14 and 15.SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ.
Building Products Distributors Lumber and Wood Manufacturers
Aggregates and Cement Producers
Commercial-Focused Building Products ManufacturersResidential-Focused Building Products Manufacturers
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 7.4x 8.4x 7.2x 6.7x 6.2x 6.8x 7.6x 6.6x 5.7x 7.7x 10.0x 11.5x 9.4x 8.8x 8.4x 10.9x 11.2x 10.2x 9.1x 7.9x 9.2x 12.1x 10.2x 12.5x 13.8x 14.0x 12.2x 12.2x 11.3x 11.5x 10.5x 11.1x 12.7x
Revenue 1.0x 1.1x 0.9x 0.8x 0.7x 0.8x 0.8x 0.6x 0.5x 0.7x 0.9x 0.9x 1.0x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 1.1x 1.0x 0.8x 0.9x 1.1x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.3x 1.5x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 9.1x 9.7x 8.6x 7.9x 7.3x 7.1x 6.5x 6.2x 5.7x 6.4x 8.9x 8.1x 9.5x 9.6x 9.4x 11.0x 11.3x 11.0x 8.9x 10.5x 11.1x 11.4x 10.8x 11.3x 12.4x 13.0x 15.1x 13.6x 14.4x 13.6x 12.3x 13.2x 15.0x
Revenue 1.2x 1.3x 1.2x 1.0x 0.9x 0.7x 0.7x 0.5x 0.5x 0.6x 0.9x 0.8x 1.0x 1.0x 0.9x 1.2x 1.0x 1.1x 0.9x 0.9x 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.1x 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x 1.4x 1.3x 1.5x 1.6x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 7.9x 10.3x 8.0x 7.4x 8.5x 7.6x 7.0x 6.3x 6.9x 6.8x 7.7x 7.7x 11.0x 9.7x 8.7x 10.4x 9.9x 11.1x 8.6x 9.1x 10.2x 10.3x 11.1x 11.0x 12.6x 13.3x 13.7x 13.8x 12.9x 13.3x 11.8x 13.0x 13.2x
Revenue 0.5x 0.5x 0.4x 0.5x 0.5x 0.4x 0.5x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.5x 0.5x 0.7x 0.6x 0.5x 0.6x 0.6x 0.6x 0.5x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x 0.8x 0.8x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 0.9x 0.8x 0.7x 0.7x 0.8x
0.0x
0.1x
0.2x
0.3x
0.4x
0.5x
0.6x
0.7x
0.8x
0.9x
1.0x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 6.6x 7.2x 6.1x 5.8x 7.7x 8.4x 10.4x 10.4x 12.4x 11.8x 10.6x 8.3x 4.3x 12.9x 8.8x 10.2x 10.0x 10.0x 11.8x 12.6x 13.4x 15.4x 14.2x 14.2x 13.4x 9.1x 8.2x 8.9x 8.8x 10.1x 11.3x 11.8x 11.3x
Revenue 0.7x 0.8x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.7x 0.8x 0.6x 0.5x 0.6x 1.0x 1.0x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 0.8x 0.9x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.6x 1.8x 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.3x 1.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.4x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2.0x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 8.3x 8.5x 7.5x 6.8x 7.4x 7.7x 7.5x 6.2x 6.8x 7.5x 8.5x 9.2x 9.5x 9.2x 9.9x 11.0x 10.6x 9.6x 7.5x 8.0x 9.9x 9.7x 10.1x 10.6x 10.6x 10.3x 11.6x 12.0x 12.6x 11.9x 11.3x 11.3x 12.0x
Revenue 2.0x 2.0x 1.8x 1.9x 1.9x 1.9x 1.7x 1.4x 1.4x 1.7x 1.9x 1.9x 1.9x 1.9x 1.8x 1.8x 1.7x 1.7x 1.4x 1.5x 1.7x 1.6x 1.7x 1.7x 1.8x 1.7x 1.8x 1.9x 2.0x 2.0x 1.9x 1.9x 2.0x
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
EBITDA 6.4x 8.5x 11.5x 9.5x 11.3x 13.3x 24.1x 11.3x 14.2x 15.2x 13.4x 13.6x 13.4x 11.5x 14.4x 11.6x 20.4x 14.8x 13.8x 14.2x 13.7x 16.1x 15.2x 17.2x 17.5x 20.0x 17.3x 16.4x 13.4x 13.9x 13.9x 15.3x 14.5x
Revenue 0.7x 0.7x 0.6x 0.6x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x 0.8x 1.0x 1.1x 1.3x 1.0x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x 1.2x 1.3x 1.5x 1.7x 1.8x 1.7x 1.8x 1.6x 1.5x 1.5x 1.4x 1.4x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2.0x
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
25.0x
30.0x
Homebuilders
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
Relative Valuation Trends
14
Industrials Insider
NOTE: Figures in bold and italic type were excluded from median and mean calculation.(1) As of 6/19/2015.(2) Market Capitalization is the aggregate value of a firm's outstanding common stock.(3) Enterprise Value is the total value of a firm (including all debt and equity).SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ.
($ in millions, except per share data) Current % of Market Enterprise Total Debt/ TTM
Company Name Country Ticker Stock Price (1) 52W High Capitalization (2) Value (3) Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Revenue Gross EBITDA
RESIDENTIAL-FOCUSED BUILDING PRODUCTS MANUFACTURERS
American Woodmark Corp. United States NasdaqGS:AMWD 56.69 97.6% $902 $740 0.9x 10.7x 0.3x $825 18.5% 8.4%Armstrong World Industries, Inc. United States NYSE:AWI 54.75 91.4% 3,026 3,943 1.6x 10.9x 3.5x 2,477 24.1% 12.1%Gibraltar Industries, Inc. United States NasdaqGS:ROCK 20.90 97.8% 647 742 0.9x 11.6x 3.3x 872 16.2% 7.3%Griffon Corporation United States NYSE:GFF 16.03 89.7% 767 1,590 0.8x 9.8x 5.4x 2,033 23.4% 8.0%Headwaters Incorporated United States NYSE:HW 19.48 95.9% 1,437 1,932 2.3x 13.8x 4.0x 849 29.4% 16.6%James Hardie Industries plc Ireland ASX:JHX 17.95 99.4% 8,003 8,454 3.9x 17.1x 1.1x 1,657 34.9% 22.7%Masco Corporation United States NYSE:MAS 27.71 97.6% 9,632 11,971 1.4x 11.8x 3.9x 8,574 28.4% 11.8%Owens Corning United States NYSE:OC 40.08 87.7% 4,729 6,982 1.3x 9.9x 3.3x 5,205 18.4% 13.5%PGT, Inc. United States NasdaqGM:PGTI 15.15 98.7% 723 868 2.6x 16.8x 3.8x 339 30.7% 15.2%Ply Gem Holdings, Inc United States NYSE:PGEM 12.26 82.7% 833 1,865 1.1x 15.3x 8.6x 1,673 19.6% 7.3%Quanex Building Products Corporation United States NYSE:NX 20.12 92.3% 681 622 1.0x 12.9x 0.0x 604 21.1% 8.0%Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A. France ENXTPA:SGO 40.63 92.3% 22,965 30,591 0.7x 7.7x 2.7x 41,054 24.3% 9.6%The Sherwin-Williams Company United States NYSE:SHW 281.99 95.8% 26,278 28,745 2.6x 19.1x 1.7x 11,213 46.5% 13.4%Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. United States NYSE:SSD 33.93 88.8% 1,675 1,441 1.9x 11.4x 0.0x 760 45.4% 16.6%Trex Co. Inc. United States NYSE:TREX 51.97 90.0% 1,667 1,749 4.2x 19.2x 0.9x 412 36.5% 22.1%Median $27.71 92.3% $1,667 $1,865 1.4x 11.8x 3.3x $1,657 24.3% 12.1%
Mean $47.31 93.2% $5,598 $6,816 1.8x 13.2x 2.8x $5,236 27.8% 12.8%
COMMERCIAL-FOCUSED BUILDING PRODUCTS MANUFACTURERS
AAON Inc. United States NasdaqGS:AAON $23.35 92.8% $1,264 $1,221 3.4x 14.8x 0.0x $357 30.3% 23.2%Kingspan Group plc Ireland ISE:KRX 20.94 99.0% 3,692 3,852 2.0x 20.4x 1.8x 1,891 27.3% 10.0%Lennox International, Inc. United States NYSE:LII 110.35 93.2% 4,965 6,015 1.8x 15.1x 2.8x 3,358 26.7% 11.4%NCI Building Systems Inc. United States NYSE:NCS 15.72 72.5% 1,160 1,601 1.1x 20.4x 5.9x 1,437 22.3% 5.5%USG Corporation United States NYSE:USG 27.20 86.7% 3,954 5,947 1.6x 11.8x 4.8x 3,783 17.6% 12.2%Valmont Industries, Inc. United States NYSE:VMI 122.36 75.0% 2,882 3,391 1.1x 8.3x 1.9x 3,042 25.2% 13.5%Median $25.28 89.7% $3,287 $3,622 1.7x 13.3x 1.9x $2,467 26.0% 11.8%
Mean $53.32 86.5% $2,986 $3,671 1.8x 12.5x 2.3x $2,311 24.9% 12.6%
BUILDING PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTORS
Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. United States NasdaqGS:BECN 31.65 92.2% $1,571 $1,774 0.7x 13.6x 1.7x $2,399 22.9% 5.4%Bluelinx Holdings Inc. United States NYSE:BXC 0.98 66.7% 88 551 0.3x 24.5x 20.9x 1,990 11.4% 1.1%Builders FirstSource, Inc. United States NasdaqGS:BLDR 13.69 97.4% 1,359 1,731 1.1x 30.3x 7.2x 1,629 22.5% 3.5%CanWel Building Materials Group Ltd. Canada TSX:CWX 5.90 90.1% 170 369 0.5x 12.8x 6.9x 769 11.8% 3.8%Huttig Building Products Inc. United States NasdaqCM:HBP 3.10 56.9% 77 154 0.2x 12.8x 6.4x 636 19.6% 1.9%Lowe's Companies Inc. United States NYSE:LOW 69.99 91.8% 65,279 75,110 1.3x 11.4x 1.7x 56,949 34.8% 11.5%Lumber Liquidators Holdings, Inc. United States NYSE:LL 20.71 26.8% 561 537 0.5x 5.5x 0.2x 1,061 38.5% 9.2%The Home Depot, Inc. United States NYSE: HD 112.43 95.3% 146,044 160,089 1.9x 12.8x 1.3x 84,380 34.8% 14.9%Watsco Inc. United States NYSE:WSO 123.92 94.5% 4,035 4,605 1.2x 13.7x 1.0x 3,991 24.4% 8.4%Wolseley plc Switzerland LSE:WOS 41.52 97.9% 10,808 12,067 0.9x 13.5x 1.8x 13,505 28.0% 6.6%Median $26.18 92.0% $1,465 $1,752 0.8x 12.8x 1.5x $2,195 23.6% 6.0%
Mean $42.39 81.0% $22,999 $25,699 0.9x 12.0x 1.3x $16,731 24.9% 6.6%
TTM Enterprise Value / TTM Margins
Spotlight
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Relative Valuation Trends
Industrials Insider
15
NOTE: Figures in bold and italic type were excluded from median and mean calculation.(1) As of 6/19/2015.(2) Market Capitalization is the aggregate value of a firm's outstanding common stock.(3) Enterprise Value is the total value of a firm (including all debt and equity).SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ.
($ in millions, except per share data) Current % of Market Enterprise Total Debt/ TTM
Company Name Country Ticker Stock Price (1) 52W High Capitalization (2) Value (3) Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Revenue Gross EBITDA
LUMBER AND WOOD MANUFACTURERS
Canfor Corp. Canada TSX:CFP 26.19 82.0% $3,514 $4,023 1.1x 7.8x 0.8x $3,536 33.6% 14.7%Deltic Timber Corporation United States NYSE:DEL 67.91 97.3% 857 1,055 4.8x 22.3x 4.3x 220 29.7% 21.4%Louisiana-Pacific Corp. United States NYSE:LPX 17.42 93.5% 2,481 2,773 1.4x 266.7x 128.8x 1,962 8.4% 0.3%Norbord, Inc. Canada TSX:NBD 28.14 96.3% 2,402 3,004 2.1x 33.2x 6.7x 1,154 7.3% 6.2%Universal Forest Products Inc. United States NasdaqGS:UFPI 53.54 92.2% 1,070 1,270 0.5x 9.2x 1.5x 2,739 12.4% 5.0%West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. Canada TSX:WFT 67.71 86.2% 5,656 6,186 1.5x 10.3x 0.9x 4,061 34.0% 14.8%Weyerhaeuser Co. United States NYSE:WY 32.57 87.9% 16,863 21,121 2.9x 12.5x 3.2x 7,388 21.7% 22.8%Median $32.57 92.2% $2,481 $3,004 1.5x 9.8x 2.4x $2,739 21.7% 14.7%
Mean $41.93 90.8% $4,692 $5,633 2.0x 10.0x 2.9x $3,009 21.0% 12.2%
AGGREGATES AND CEMENT PRODUCERS
Boral Limited Australia ASX: BLD $6.02 90.4% $4,612 $5,499 1.2x 11.5x 3.0x $4,452 27.8% 9.2%CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. Mexico BMV:CEMEX CPO $14.75 86.4% 188,156 439,340 2.1x 11.3x 6.4x 213,791 32.7% 18.2%CRH plc Ireland ISE:CRG $26.20 97.7% 21,494 24,141 1.3x 14.3x 3.6x 18,912 29.3% 8.6%Eagle Materials Inc. United States NYSE:EXP $78.65 74.4% 3,951 4,456 4.2x 12.8x 1.7x 1,066 23.8% 28.4%Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua SAB de CV Mexico bmv:gcc * $45.49 99.4% 15,127 20,871 2.0x 10.0x 3.3x 10,358 22.8% 20.1%HeidelbergCement AG Germany DB:HEI $71.27 92.4% 13,392 20,794 1.6x 8.9x 3.6x 12,938 58.3% 16.4%Holcim Ltd. Switzerland SWX:HOLN $69.20 84.8% 22,550 34,875 1.8x 9.1x 3.1x 18,994 44.8% 19.5%Lafarge S.A. France ENXTPA:LG $59.13 88.0% 17,021 28,835 2.2x 10.6x 4.5x 12,989 23.6% 20.3%Martin Marietta Materials Inc. United States NYSE:MLM $148.25 95.0% 10,004 11,530 3.9x 17.8x 2.4x 2,931 19.9% 22.1%Titan Cement Company S.A. Greece ATSE:TITK $19.55 77.2% 1,525 2,311 1.9x 13.8x 4.9x 1,190 24.9% 13.8%Vulcan Materials Company United States NYSE:VMC $89.29 95.9% 11,845 13,730 4.5x 22.1x 3.7x 3,051 20.7% 20.4%Wienerberger AG Austria WBAG:WIE $14.17 92.8% 1,657 2,514 0.9x 8.6x 3.6x 2,862 30.1% 10.3%Median $52.31 91.4% $12,619 $17,262 2.0x 11.3x 3.6x $7,405 26.4% 18.9%
Mean $53.50 89.6% $25,945 $50,741 2.3x 11.7x 3.7x $25,295 29.9% 17.3%
HOME BUILDERS
Beazer Homes USA Inc. United States NYSE:BZH $19.25 90.2% $528 $1,917 1.3x 34.0x 30.8x $1,466 16.9% 3.4%Cavco Industries, Inc. United States NasdaqGS:CVCO $74.17 84.4% 658 621 1.1x 14.7x 1.6x 567 22.3% 7.5%DR Horton Inc. United States NYSE:DHI $27.29 93.2% 10,005 13,288 1.4x 13.3x 3.9x 9,320 20.3% 10.7%Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. United States NYSE:HOV $2.71 51.0% 397 2,441 1.1x 22.4x 21.3x 2,164 17.1% 4.7%KB Home United States NYSE:KBH $16.37 86.2% 1,505 3,885 1.5x 24.1x 18.9x 2,588 17.4% 5.8%Lennar Corp. United States NYSE:LEN $48.64 90.6% 9,708 15,742 2.0x 14.7x 6.6x 8,061 23.1% 12.1%M/I Homes, Inc. United States NYSE:MHO $24.45 96.7% 600 1,160 0.9x 12.1x 5.7x 1,243 21.0% 7.6%MDC Holdings Inc. United States NYSE:MDC $30.08 97.5% 1,469 2,126 1.2x 20.8x 8.8x 1,755 17.3% 5.8%Meritage Homes Corporation United States NYSE:MTH $45.39 91.0% 1,798 2,675 1.2x 13.0x 4.7x 2,291 20.7% 9.0%NVR, Inc. United States NYSE:NVR $1,366.71 98.5% 5,556 5,634 1.2x 11.1x 1.2x 4,598 18.6% 11.0%PulteGroup, Inc. United States NYSE:PHM $19.99 85.6% 7,288 8,177 1.4x 11.3x 2.7x 5,837 23.4% 12.3%Ryland Group Inc. United States NYSE:RYL $46.03 92.7% 2,156 3,190 1.2x 10.4x 4.5x 2,643 21.7% 11.6%Standard Pacific Corp. United States NYSE:SPF $8.88 96.6% 2,445 4,608 1.9x 13.4x 6.5x 2,445 25.5% 14.1%Toll Brothers Inc. United States NYSE:TOL $37.71 93.5% 6,641 9,507 2.3x 17.9x 6.6x 4,114 22.7% 12.5%William Lyon Homes United States NYSE:WLH $24.96 79.5% 785 1,774 1.9x 22.5x 12.6x 944 19.9% 8.4%Median $25.87 90.4% $1,064 $2,283 1.3x 14.0x 4.7x $1,960 18.9% 6.6%
Mean $30.37 86.2% $3,109 $5,147 1.3x 15.8x 4.8x $3,396 19.4% 7.2%
TTM Enterprise Value / TTM Margins
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
Relative Valuation Trends
16
Industrials Insider
Window of Opportunityin Building Products
Spotlight
Source: S&P Capital IQ.As of 6/19/2015.
By Sector
Overall Market
3% 1%
8% 6%
55%
40%
90%
73%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
S&P 500 DJIA
Retu
rns
YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5Y
11% 9% 7%
-8%
13% 8%5% 3%
39%
7%
-10%
10%
66%
87%
114%
63% 69% 68%80%
123%
228%
127%
21%
126%
-30%
20%
70%
120%
170%
220%
270%
Residential-Focused BuildingProducts
Commercial-Focused BuildingProducts
Building Products Distributors Lumber and Wood Manufacturers Aggregates and CementProducers
Home Builders
Retu
rns
YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5Y
Sector Performance
Industrials Insider
Overall M&A Activity
Middle Market M&A Activity Private Equity Transaction Activity*
Mergers & Acquisitions Activity
Trends in Valuation
Acquisition Financing Trends
Total Leverage Equity Contribution
SOURCE: Standard & Poors LCD.
SOURCE: Standard & Poors LCD.*NA: Data not reported due to limited number of observations for period.*NA: Data not reported due to limited number of observations for period. SOURCE: Standard & Poors LCD.
SOURCE: Standard & Poors LCD.
Transactions with Strategic Buyers Transactions with Financial Buyers
Transaction Count by Deal Size
Middle market enterprise values between $25 million and $500 million. Middle market enterprise values between $25 million and $500 million.
EBIT
DA
Mul
tiple
Tota
l Deb
t to
EBIT
DA
EBIT
DA
Mul
tiple
Equi
ty C
ontr
ibut
ion
(%)
Middle Market M&A Activity Private Equity Transaction Activity*
SOURCE: PitchBook.
Transaction Count by Deal Size
SOURCE: S&P Capital IQ.Based on announced deals, where the primary location of the target is in the United States.Middle market enterprise values between $25 million and $500 million.
*Buyout activity only2015 data of 3/31/2015.
119
148
125
151
106
141
156
145
107
132
148
114
58 97 96 131
100
122
141
134
120 16
616
315
413
716
016
4 235
147
161
192
199
161 21
723
125
023
2
207 21
921
4 240
207 22
221
126
819
1 207 23
311
391
120
111
197
145 16
1 234
204
168
230
226
214
176 21
118
830
720
8 227 24
8 286
233
255 32
8 355
283
6566
5963
6267 63
6336
5843
1919
26 3540
3242
5861
5563 68
5342
54 5069
3946
6079
4982
7370
60
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 ‘15
Transaction Value ($ in billions)
Num
ber o
f Tra
nsac
tions
$25M-$50M $50M-$250M $250M-$500M Transaction Value
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Num
ber o
f Tra
nsac
tions
Under $25M $25M-$100M $100M-$500M $500M-$1B $1B-$2.5B $2.5B+
8.2x
6.8x 7.
1x
9.8x
8.0x
7.6x 7.7x
8.6x 8.7x
8.4x8.
7x
9.4x
8.4x
7.6x
9.2x 9.
5x
8.9x
8.7x
9.6x10
.0x
9.1x
10.2
x
8.2x
9.5x 9.7x
9.7x
8.5x
9.1x
8.8x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
11.0x
12.0x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
<$250 million $250-$499 million $500 million+
7.2x
8.3x
6.5x 6.6x
6.3x
8.1x 8.
5x
8.2x
8.0x 8.0x
7.4x 7.
7x
7.7x
9.5x
8.5x
9.9x
9.4x
7.5x
8.5x
9.1x
8.7x
8.7x
9.9x
9.8x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
11.0x
12.0x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
<$250 million $250-$499 million $500 million+
4.8x
5.4x
4.1x3.6x
4.1x 4.3x 4.5x4.7x 4.7x 4.8x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM2015
38%
35%
46%
51%
47%
43%41% 40%
37%
41%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM2015
NA
*
NA
*
NA
*
NA
*
NA
*N
A*
NA
*
17
Global Industrials Practice
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