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If you can’t get a bigger target… Beyond TSPI : Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources of Live Fire Test Data to Determine Aerodynamics and Characterize Control Events NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition, May 14, 2014 Alan F. Hathaway Arrow Tech Associates, Inc. South Burlington, VT 05403 802-865-3460 x12 [email protected]

Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

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Page 1: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target…

Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to

Combine Multiple Sources of

Live Fire Test Data to

Determine Aerodynamics and

Characterize Control Events

NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition, May 14, 2014

Alan F. Hathaway

Arrow Tech Associates, Inc.

South Burlington, VT 05403

802-865-3460 x12

[email protected]

Page 2: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Problem:

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 2

Ground-Based Instrumentation

– Doppler Radar

– Position Radar

– KTM Optical Cameras

– Etc.

On-Board Instrumentation

– GPS

– Accelerometers

– Sun Sensors

– Etc.

• TSPI: Time, Space, Position, Information

– Will Always Be Important in Live Fire Testing

• However, We Need to Look Beyond TSPI -> Data Fusion

– How To Make Best Use of all Available Live Fire Test Data?

– Multiple Instrumentation Sources

– Instrumentation May Only Cover Portion of the Flight

• Instrumentation Signal “Drop-Out”

Solution: Data Fusion of All Sources Combined With Parameter Identification

Page 3: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Parameter Identification

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 3

• Assume: System Model has unknown parameters influencing flight (Ballistic Flight or Guided Flight)

• Objective: Determine magnitude of unknown parameters to obtain simultaneous best fit all of the test data – Obtain flight simulation that matches observed flight path and dynamic

motion with minimum errors

– Compare predicted flight motion using standard equations of motion with measured motion, differentially adjust aerodynamics to minimize differences

Parameter Identification Provides Accurate Assessment from Largest Portions of Test Data

Page 4: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Parameter Identification

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1. Process starts with the standard equations of motion and estimated initial conditions & aerodynamics

2. Develops partial differential equations for each test measurement and coefficient for a set of parametric equations

3. Performs numerical integration to obtain partial derivatives for each test measurement and coefficient

4. Differential correction equation from Taylor Expansion

5. Solves for aerodynamics & examines residuals, updates equations of motion & iterates until change in residuals is “zero”

• Using a sensitivity matrix, the most sensitive parameters “fit” first.

Parameter Identification Uses All Available Measurements

Page 5: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Analysis Procedure

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• Preliminary Analysis – Data Screening (e.g. does data have large noise?)

– Estimates of Initial Velocity & Conditions (Gun QE & Azimuth of Fire)

– Estimates of Burn-On & Burn-Off times (if needed)

– Overlapping Sectional Fits of Complete Trajectory via Equations of Motion

– Axial Force & Spin vs. Time & Mach and/or Thrust vs. Time

• Parameter Identification – Complete Parameter Identification

• Four Degree of Freedom (for ballistic flights)

• Six Degree of Freedom (w/Control Forces; w/ On-board sensors only)

Data Fusion Analysis Procedure of all Measurements

Page 6: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Examples

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 6

• 155mm Artillery

• Hydra 70 Rocket

• 120mm Mortar

• 105mm

Wide Range of Uses; Ballistic, Powered & Guided

Page 7: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Ground-Based: Radar

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 7

• Tracking Doppler Radars – Provides Radial Velocity, Azim. & Elev.

– “Behind the Gun” & “Down Range” Doppler

• Position Radar – Provides Range, Azim. & Elev.

Velocity-Time Data is Basis for Drag/Thrust Solution

Radial Velocity vs Time Fit Error 0.64 meters/sec

Page 8: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Ground-Based: Radar plus KTM

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 8

KTM Camera #2: Elev Fit Error 0.11 deg

KTM Camera #1: Elev Fit Error 0.29 deg

Simultaneous Reduction of Multiple Source of Data

Doppler Radar: Elev Fit Error 3.29 deg

Doppler Radar: Vel Fit Error 2.09 m/s

Page 9: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… On-Board: Magnetometers

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 9

Magnetometer Provides Yaw & Roll Angle Data

Page 10: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… On-Board: Accelerometers

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 10

Accelerations & Angular Rates Provide Information about Normal Force Coefficient & Dynamic Stability

Page 11: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Ground-Based: Radar plus KTM

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 11

Data Fusion Can Help Overcome Poor Test Measurements

KTM #1: Elev Fit 0.08 deg KTM #2:

Elev Fit 0.10 deg

KTM #3: Elev Fit 0.16 deg

Doppler Radar: Elev Fit 2.24 deg

Page 12: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Summary & Conclusions

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 12

• Improved Data Fusion – Combining of sensor data from disparate sources

– Improved Fit Accuracy

– Use fewer KTM cameras to reduce test cost w/equivalent accuracy

• Feedback Loops Direct from Test to Design Activity – Aerodynamics

– Stability

– Control Systems, Guidance, and Sensors

• Tools Must be Adaptable – New data sources/instrumentation

– New control systems

Data Fusion of Data from Different Sources Gathered from Live Fire Testing Can Improve Both TSPI and Aerodynamics

Page 13: Beyond TSPI: Using Data Fusion to Combine Multiple Sources ... · Parameter Identification If you can’t get a bigger target… 14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition

If you can’t get a bigger target… Contact Information

Alan F. Hathaway

Arrow Tech Associates, Inc.

South Burlington, VT 05403

802-865-3460 x12

[email protected]

14 May 2014 NDIA Joint Armaments Forum & Exhibition 13