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BEYOND COAL

BEYOND COAL Transforming America's Electric Sector · PDF fileMegawatts (MW) Declining Coal Capacity ... And Coal ash handling/disposal upgrades (by 2020) ... $73 -135 0 50

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BEYOND COAL

2012

Phase 2: Replace coal plants with clean energy (2010-2015)

Phase 1: Stop the rush to build new coal (2005-2012)• Stop 90% of all new plants• Build an anti-coal movement and infrastructure

We will win in three phases.

Phase 2: Replace coal plants with clean energy (2010-2015)• Retire 1/3 fleet (2020); reduce carbon and health impacts• Replace coal with clean energy, not natural gas• End coal exports

Phase 3: Accelerate deployment of clean energy (2015-2030)• Set up retirement of rest of coal fleet• Clean energy displaces coal

David and Charles Koch

Why coal?

318,000

338,000

358,000

Megawatts (MW)

Declining Coal Capacity (Existing Coal Capacity - Retirements and Announcements)

Since Jan 1 2010…

Duke Energy, Xcel & First Energy

TVA

AEP & San Antonio

GenOn, Dominion, LGE & Kentucky Utilities

First Energy

238,000

258,000

278,000

298,000

Jan 1 2010

Feb-10

Apr-10

Jun-10

Aug-10

Oct-10

Dec-10

Feb-11

Apr-11

Jun-11

Aug-11

Oct-11

Dec-11

Feb-12

Apr-12

Jun-12

Aug-12

Oct-12

Dec-12

Feb-13

Apr-13

Jun-13

Aug-13

Oct-13

Dec-13

Feb-14

Apr-14

Jun-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Dec-14

Feb-15

Apr-15

Jun-15

Aug-15

Oct-15

Dec-15

Megawatts (MW)

First Energy

Coal’s share is plummeting.

52%

52%53%

53%52%

51%

52%53%

52%51%

52%51%

50%

51%50%

50%49% 49%

48%

44%45%

44%

46%

48%

50%

52%

54%

Coal

sha

re o

f gen

erat

ion

44%

42%

35.9%

34%

36%

38%

40%

42%

44%

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Q1

2012

Coal

sha

re o

f gen

erat

ion

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration. Electric Power Monthly. February 2012. Released April 30, 2012. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Short Term Energy Outlook. Released May 8, 2012

Coal’s share is plummeting.

52%

52%53%

53%52%

51%

52%53%

52%51%

52%51%

50%

51%50%

50%49% 49%

48%

44%45%

44%

46%

48%

50%

52%

54%

Coal

sha

re o

f gen

erat

ion

44%

42%

35.9%

34%

36%

38%

40%

42%

44%

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Q1

2012

Coal

sha

re o

f gen

erat

ion

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration. Electric Power Monthly. February 2012. Released April 30, 2012. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Short Term Energy Outlook. Released May 8, 2012

Phase Two: We’re on track

105,423 MW by 2015

Announced & Retired: 2010 – July 2012

47,639 MW announced

6,614 MW retired

2011 Highlights

•No new coal, coal-to-gas, or coal-to-liquid plants broke ground

•Defeated new coal plants: 161 (88,147 MW) since 2002

•Announced retirements: 88 plants (37,000 MW) since 2010 – 1/3 2015 goal

•EPA issued strong mercury rule, Cross State Air Pollution Rule

•Defeated all Congressional attempts to weaken Clean Air Act

•Record amounts of clean energy installed (1.8 GW of solar alone)•Record amounts of clean energy installed (1.8 GW of solar alone)

•EPA vetoed largest mountaintop removal permit ever proposed

•Blocked Western coal export port expansions

•Campus coal plant retirements (19 out of 60 total)

•Ran hard-hitting communications campaigns

Emissions from Fossil-Fueled Power Plants as a Percent of Total U.S. Air Emissions

Why coal?

Source: U.S. EPA, “Reducing Toxic Pollution from Power Plants,” March 16, 2011, p. 6.Note: The figure includes emissions from oil-fired units as well as coal-fired, but oil-fired units account for only 1% of U.S. electric generation. Air emissions are not necessarily the major source of exposure for each of these pollutants.

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Electric Sector (2009)

Petroleum 2%

Natural Gas

Biomass/Other 1%

Why coal?

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration; March 2012 Monthly Energy Review, Table 12.6

Coal 81%

Natural Gas 17%

New coal defeated!

167 plants defeated (89,830 MW) Source: Sierra Club New Coal tracker, April 14th 2012

Age of Coal Power Plants in United States

Coal is vulnerable and the time is right

167*

*If not for the Beyond Coal Campaign 167 coal units would have been built generating over 86,000 MW

167*

New coal proposed

32 plants active (13,547 MW) Source: Sierra Club New Coal tracker, April 14th 2012

Energy efficiencyWind

How we will do it:Replace coal with clean energy

Solar

Our team of staff, volunteers, students, and allies have built this winning campaign

Our job:Show strong public support for EPA rules

EPA Rules Updates

§ Court upholds GHG rules

§ Court upholds SO2 air quality standard

§ Court upholds NOx air quality standard

19

§ Court upholds NOx air quality standard

§ EPA reconsider MATS for new sources

§ EPA delays final water intake rule until mid-

2013

2011 Highlights

REGIONAL COAL HIGHLIGHTS

•WA: TransAlta decision won the support of labor, utility, local community

• OR: Agreement to retire Boardman puts NW on a path to becoming coal freefree

• TX: Austin mayor announces he will work to make the city coal free

•MI: Defeated Consumers new coal proposal, after four year campaign

• IN: Defeated new coal plant #150 at Purdue, despite all financing and permits in place

U.S. Job Market in Solar and Wind vs. Coal Plants and Coal Mining

Wind and solar provide more, safe jobs

Source: AWEA U.S. Wind Industry Annual Market Report 2010; Solar Foundation National Solar Jobs Census 2010; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Making mountaintop removal a thing of the past

Why coal?

Export image

Stopping the expansion of coal exports

The Fayette Coal Plant

The Fayette Coal Plant

Unit 1 $241 million

Unit 2 $241 million

Unit 3 $201 million

ERCOT Cost Estimates

Unit 3 $201 million

The Fayette Coal Plant

Near Term (by 2016) Baghouses, ACI

Then… SCR catalysts to control NOx for next ozone std. (by 2020)

And… Coal ash handling/disposal upgrades (by 2020)

Likely Environmental Upgrade Expenses

And… Coal ash handling/disposal upgrades (by 2020)

And… Price on carbon for climate change control (by 2020)

Nov 2010 NREL

Nov 2010 NREL

REN

EWA

BLE

ENER

GY $109 - 124

$120 - 198

Geothermal

Fuel Cell

Solar Thermal

Coal loses as playing field leveled

Biomass Direct

$136-192

$96-248

Solar PVCrystalline Rooftop

Solar PVCrystalline Ground Mount

Solar PVThing-Film

$80 $157

$89 - 179$73

$77-150

$73-135

0 50 75 100 150 200 250 300 350 400Levelized Cost ($/MWh)

REN

EWA

BLE

ENER

GY

CON

VEN

TIO

NA

L

$58-109

Wind

Geothermal

Source: Lazard, June 2011

Gas Peaking

IGCC

Coal

$196-258

$90-134

$76-115

Energy Efficiency

$73-135

$30-79

$0-50

Nuclear

Gas Combined Cycle

$63-161

The Fayette Coal Plant

February 2012 Wind Energy - Cost Analysis

2012 Preview

•No new coal, coal-to-gas, coal-to-liquids plants break ground

•By the end of 2012, secure an additional 13,000 MW of announced retirements

•Successfully defend Mercury and Cross State Air Pollution rules

•EPA adopts greenhouse gas standards for new coal plants

•Extend federal incentives for clean energy

•Record deployment of wind, solar and geothermal (10,000 MW)

•No new coal export infrastructure constructed in Northwest and Alaska

Discussion:

- Feedback on Plan

- Next Steps