15
1 Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs Activity Report2018 Title of UNESCO Chair : UNESCO Chair on Natural Disasters Management Institution: Natural Disaster Research Institute and Natural Disaster Higher Education Institute of Applied Science and Technology Chairholder : Seyyed Abbas Jazayeri Contact person: Address and Contacts : No. 9, Shabdiz Alley, Shahid Fayyazi Str, above Parkway Cross Road, Vali-e- asr Ave, Tehran, Iran p.o.Box: 19395-4676 Phone: +98 21 - 22646963 Fax: +98 21 - 22009453 E-mail: [email protected] , Jazayeri@ ndri.ir , maryamsedghi@ ndri.ir Website: www. unescochair.ndri.ir

Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

1

Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

“Activity Report”

2018

Title of UNESCO Chair : UNESCO Chair on Natural Disasters Management

Institution: Natural Disaster Research Institute and Natural Disaster Higher Education Institute of Applied

Science and Technology

Chairholder : Seyyed Abbas Jazayeri

Contact person:

Address and Contacts : No. 9, Shabdiz Alley, Shahid Fayyazi Str, above Parkway Cross Road, Vali-e-

asr Ave, Tehran, Iran

p.o.Box: 19395-4676

Phone: +98 – 21 - 22646963

Fax: +98 – 21 - 22009453

E-mail: [email protected] , Jazayeri@ ndri.ir , maryamsedghi@ ndri.ir

Website: www. unescochair.ndri.ir

Page 2: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

2

Activities (3 activities at most)

1. Education and training ( courses / workshop / short term training)

Title:

*Conducting serial training workshops :Lessons learned from the Earthquake of, 12

November 2017 Ezgeleh , Sar –e- Pole Zahab, Kermanshah province, with an aim to

build resilience of the region to earthquake ,December 2018 till 2019.

**Holding a workshop on "Destructive earthquakes in Iran's Plateau and the disaster

risk reducing of structures" October, 2017.

***Holding a training course on “Explaining concepts of the Sendai frameworks and

opening a resiliency think tank for Hamedan municipality. September, 2017.

****Short term training course on "New technologies in seismic retrofitting", May,

2018.

Participating in UNESCO Regional Workshop on SETI in DRR in Asia and the Pacific: “Strengthening, Empowering, and Mobilizing Youth and Young Professionals in SETI for DRR” Jakarta, 6-9 November 2018

Date and place: *December 2018 till 2019, **October, 2017, ***September, 2017, ****May, 2018, Tehran,

Kermanshah

Participants: Directors and deputies of : Islamic Revolution Housing Foundation, Building and Housing Research

Center, Iranian Cultural Heritage Organization, Ministry of Education,… Governors and mayors,

also professors and students interested in research on natural disasters and issues of crisis

management, Construction, Rehabilitation and post-accident reconstruction

Brief report: The ultimate goal of this series of training workshops is assisting to prepare a national earthquake

risk reduction strategy for proper policy making and guidance with an aim to disaster risk reduction

including prediction , vulnerability reduction and endeavor to develop resistant cities against future

disasters, establishing and implementing specific programs to reduce Exposure, emergency

response, rehabilitation and reconstruction, and finally building the resilience of people and

communities against disasters . Particular emphasis must be put on areas where vital infrastructure

related to water, transportation and communications, educational facilities, hospitals and other health

facilities are located in order to ensure safety, efficiency and efficacy during and after a disaster with

due consideration to the national and international high level frameworks and documents. Key

measures must be taken in various social, economic, political and environmental dimensions In order

to enhance disaster preparedness for effective response and “Build Back Better” in recovery,

rehabilitation and reconstruction.

Page 3: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

3

2. Research

* Title:

"Risk study of high priority hazards in Bushehr province"

Duration: 2 year

Target group: Islamic Revolution Housing Foundation, Governor's Office in Bushehr, Crisis

Management Organization

Geographical coverage : Bushehr province and its counties

Brief report

The study of natural and environmental hazards is necessary for development and physical projects

planning and providing basic needs for investment.The Bushehr province, due to locating on

Zagros orogenic belt, by considering that this mountain range is one of the most active

seismotectonic zones in Iran and every year we see numerous earthquakes along this tectonic zone,

carrying out the seismic studies and earthquake hazard assessment in Bushehr is necessary and

essential. As we know, the dominant climate of the country is hot and dry and the Bushehr province

is not exception in this regard. Furthermore, his province is not safe against torrential rains because

of special situation of this province in the south of Zagros Mountains and due to low cover of

vegetation as well as its soil characteristics which has low soil permeability, great floods in the

province occur. All of these factors are causing big floods in the province. According to the above,

flooding and drought studies are among basic necessities of the province. The aim of the study in

the first phase is identification and zoaning flood, draught, and seismicity hazards in the Bushehr

province and its counties which will lead to developing zoning hazards maps and related reports.

In the second phase, studies related to summing information gathered and hazards zoning maps of

studied hazards and the analysis of natural hazards (floods, drought and earthquake) for

infrastructure vital lifelines, dams, government buildings, public, commercial and industrial,

hospital fire stations, substations, roads, bridges, water supply network, and gas supply network,

pharmaceutical and medical centers in province’s counties will be done. And preparation and

compiling the risk management action plan of studied hazards during crises will be done too.

Page 4: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

4

** Title:

"Climate change in MENA region and its impacts on Dust, flood

and drought"

Duration: 5 year

Target group:

The main objective of this proposal is to study the climate change in Iran, but in order to

accomplish this task profoundly we should consider the adjacent areas especially the

lands to the west of Iran.

Geographical coverage : MENA region (Middle East and North Africa)

Brief report:

Climate change is in fact a hazard and is scaled at the highest degree of damaging and

devastating power. The main indicators of climate change are temperature rise, sea level

rise, arctic ice melting, precipitation reduction, increasing frequency of extreme climate

conditions such as very high or cold temperatures and torrential rainfalls.

The Middle East is one of the most vulnerable areas of the world to the climate change.

Any adverse impact here affects not only the region itself but also the whole world. That

is why this area is more strategic for the world. Therefore we are trying to study the

climate change in Middle East and North Africa to show its severity and impacts and

finally provide some reasonable solutions to it.

Our framework for this research includes the following concepts and processes:

Understanding the active climate systems in MENA region,

Identifying Climate dynamics, especially the pressure systems in the region,

Climate change: definition, impacts on every land use and land cover in MENA region.

Detecting the present climate of the region and identifying the trends

Attributing the identified trends to global warming

Climate change risks and hazards in MENA region.

Modeling and simulating the future climate.

Solutions including mitigation and adaptation methods.

*** Title:

“Resilience Program in Rural Areas of Iran with Emphasis of Disaster Risk

reduction”

Duration: 2 year

Page 5: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

5

Geographical coverage : Rural areas in Iran

Brief report:

The rural areas in Iran were exposure of natural disaster in past decades and there are

important evidences in vulnerability of these areas of viewpoint: physical, economic,

social, environment and etc. Cause of this case related to high vulnerability in rural

structures, absence education in this case for dwellers in these areas, low income this area,

absence of prevention and preparedness programs in these area and etc. We try to present

a resilience program with emphasis on natural disaster risk reduction on this project. Our

target of this project is follow world programs in this subject based "Sendai Framework for

Disaster Risk Reduction in 2015".

The purpose of this study is identification and presentation of approaches in rural resilience in Iran

and using of results of this research for neighbor countries. For this purpose we need to spend these

stages:

1- Study of vulnerability of rural areas in Iran and their capacities in natural disaster

2- Plan of resilience based capacities in rural areas.

3- Implementation of plan of resilience

4- Standing supervision on Implementation of plan of resilience in regular period

Target group: Islamic Revolution Housing Foundation, Governor's Office in different

province of Iran, Crisis Management Organization,…

3. Conference/ meeting

Title:

*Co-operation in holding Sixth Conference on ” Flood Management and Engineering” 11, 12

August 2018

** 1st National Conference on ” earthquake and risk management”5,6 March 2018

***Holding the" First International Climate Change Conference" Cooperation with K. N.

Toosi University of Technology and Natural Disaster Research Institute (NDRI). March, 2017

**** Participate in the Global Geneva conference (MOBILIZING UNESCO CHAIRS FOR POLICY ACTION) and introducing UNESCO chair on Natural Disasters Management and its activities in the country, 5 to 7 July 2017.

Page 6: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

6

Date and place: 11, 12 August 2018 & 5,6 march 2018 Tehran- Iran, 5 to 7 July 2017,

Geneva ,Switzerland.

Participants : Ministries, organizations, universities and other responsible organizations in

Iran, professors and students interested in research on natural disasters specially earthquake

issues.

Brief report :

* One of the most important events and natural hazard in Iran is the flood. Due to

geographic conditions, most of place in country faces atmospheric instability and flood

problems. Occurrence of this destructive phenomenon in cities causes irreparable

damage to urban facilities, roads, buildings, agricultural lands, gardens, human casualties

every year. Therefore, holding scientific seminars and conferences in order to co-ordinate

and exchange knowledge of specialists in the field of hydrology, river engineering,

climatology, urban planning, urban management, crisis management and insurance, etc.,

in order to create an optimal model for prevention, crisis management and compensating

for the damages seems to be beneficial and effective.

** Best topics in this conference: Earthquake engineering, geology and earthquake, structures and

earthquakes topics, urban management and earthquake, public relation and earthquake.

meeting :

Visiting the Asian Disaster Reduction Center (ADRC) in Kobe, Japan, and participate in meeting with the Executive Director (ADRC) Ms. Kyoko KONDO , introducing UNESCO chair on Natural

Disasters Management and its activities in the country (IRAN), Dialogue for more communication and mutual cooperation.

Meeting with Shahbaz Khan (PhD, director and representative UNESCO regional science bureau

for Asia and Pacific) at the Geneva conference“MOBILIZING UNESCO CHAIRS FOR POLICY ACTION“ and introducing UNESCO chair on Natural Disasters Management and its activities in the country ,5 to 7 July 2017 & UNESCO Regional Workshop on SETI in DRR in Asia and the Pacific: “Strengthening, Empowering, and Mobilizing Youth and Young Professionals in SETI for DRR” Jakarta, 6-9 November 2018

Meeting with " Margherita Fanchiotti "Associate Programmer Officer at the UN

Environment/OCHA Joint Unit (disaster risk reduction and resilience section on earthscience

and geo hazard risk reduction), For the presentation of monthly earthquake forecast maps for

Iran and early warning systems.

Meeting with " Soichiro Yasukawa " program specialist section on earthsciences and Geo-

Hazard Risk Reduction SC/EES/EGR To describe the actions, Capabilities and other needs of UNESCO chair for Participation in the aftermath of the earthquake in Kermanshah province- Iran

Page 7: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

7

4. Publication and multimedia materials

( title, authors , year, language , number of pages )

*Participation in the 35rd General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, 4 to 10 September, 2016 in Trieste, Italy:

Title:

1- Seismicity of the Bushehr region with emphasis on the destructive earthquake of 2013, Kaki, in Zagros, southwest Iran-1 page

2- Investigation of the April 2013 destructive earthquake in Makran subduction zone, south-east of Iran-1 page

Authors: Maryam Sedghi, Ramak Heidari, Mohammadreza Gheitanchi, Abbas Jazayeri

year : 4-10 September 2016

language: English

** Participation in the 2017 IAG-IASPEI –Kobe, Japan 39th Joint Scientific conference (joint scientific assembly of the international association of geodesy and the international association of seismology and physics of the earth's interior) with Presentation of scientific paper :

Title: Determination of Design Spectra with considering different siteclassification, in Andisheh suburb of Bandar Abbas, South of Iran-1 page

Authors: Maryam sedghi, Ramak heidari , Abbas jazayeri , Mohamadreza Gheitanchi

year : JULY 30 ,2017- IASPEI Symposium / IASPEI02. Earthquake Hazard , Risk and Strong Ground Motion / S07. Strong ground motions and Earthquake hazard and risk

language: English

*** Participation in the 3th comprehensive conference on urban management on 15, 16 January 2018/Tehran, Iran , with Presentation of scientific paper-16 page :

Title: City Governance Challenges in Climate Change

Authors: Maryam sedghi, Bahman ahmadi tavana

year : 15, 16 January 2018/Tehran, Iran

language: Persian

Page 8: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

8

**** Participation in the 1st National Conference on ” earthquake and risk management” 5,6 March 2018/Tehran, Iran , with Presentation of scientific paper-7 page :

Title: Strong ground motion simulation of 2017 earthquake in Khorasan- Razavi province, using EGF

method

Authors: Maryam sedghi, Hesaneh mohamadi , Mohamadreza Gheitanchi, Abbas jazayeri

year : 5,6 March 2018

language: Persian

***** Participation in the Sixth Conference on ” Flood Management and Engineering” with

Presentation of scientific paper-18 page :

Title: Identification of vulnerable rural areas against flood risk Case study: Rural areas of Guilan

province

Authors: Farzaneh Nasiri Jan Agha,Mohammad ali Rahimipour Sheikhani nejad, Bahman Ahmadi

Tavana

year :2018

language: Persian

Book:

“Disaster Management in Urban Worm out Textures”

Authors: Maryam maddah, Bahman ahmadi tavana , farzaneh nasiri jan agha

year : Summer 2017

language: Persian

Booklet: Translation into Persian language of “Town watching for the purpose of disaster education”

Authors:Maryam sedghi,Hassan Azadeh, Seyyed Abbas Jazayeri ,Rezvan Khademi

Year :2017-2018

Language : Persian

Page 9: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

9

Translation into Persian language of “Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-

2030”

Authors:Behnam Saeidi-Bibielham Fakhri Bafghi,Hassan Azadeh-Bahman Ahmadi Tavana-Ali Bakhtiari-Rasool Haj Ahmadi

year :2015

language: Persian

5- Interuniversity Exchanges/ Partnerships

Scientific support of the master's degree thesis titled " Determine the thermal anomalies before

large earthquakes using Satellite Images" at the University of Shiraz.

6- Networking with the other chairs /universities / institutions

Memorandum of educational research with universities and the other UNESCO chairs and scientific hubs:

Research Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Studies, Shiraz University

The Center of Excellence for Spatial Analysis and environmental hazards of Kharazmi University

Islamic Azad University South Tehran Branch

Allameh Tabataba'i University

Malek Ashtar University of Technology (MUT)

Concluding a Memorandum of Scientific Research Cooperation with the National Crisis Management Organization.

Concluding Scientific Research Collaboration Memorandum for Cooperation between UNESCO Chair on natural Disaster Management, Iranian National Commission for UNESCO and Hamedan Municipality.

UNESCO Chair in Health Education, “Immunology, Asthma & Allergy Research

Institute (IAARI)” Tehran University of Medical Sciences

UNESCO chair on Engineering Education, Tehran University

UNESCO Chair on Clean and Renewable Energies, Science and Research Branch of Islamic Azad University

UNESCO Chair for Human Rights, Shahid Beheshti University

7. Forthcoming activities

Page 10: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

10

Annex1

List of the four coming years activities

Preparing the fault maps related to assessment and analysis of site selection of rural

areas :

Active faults generate earthquakes. Study on them seems to be very necessary to better

understand where and when future large earthquakes will occur. Knowing the location

of active faults is important so that planners and developers can avoid building houses

or other structures, which would be destroyed when the fault breaks the Earth's surface,

on the faults. Studying the faults leads to find out how quickly the stress on them is

building, as well as when the last large earthquake on them was and how often large

earthquakes are caused by them. This information together gives a general idea of how

soon to expect the next Big One on a particular fault.

Earthquakes with a Richter magnitude of between 5 to 6 in rural areas and 6 to7 in

urban areas are very disastrous. Due to the specific situation of Iran from the tectonic

viewpoint, it can be argued that all faults are seismically active in the country. So that

losses and casualties could be occurred every year specifically in rural areas. Therefore

this natural phenomenon happens in Iran and requires preparation for resisting,

identifying, and risk management.

seismic damage assessment and structures risk reduction:

Earthquake as a natural disaster could damage the lives of many people and buildings

all over the world. It can impose a huge economical burden on societies, as well. Even

if earthquake may be unpredictable, proper planning could significantly reduce the

damages. Invulnerability of the buildings needs to be evaluated. Accurate evaluation of

damage sustained by buildings during natural disaster events is critical to determine

the buildings safety and their suitability for future occupancy. A seismic damage

assessment system that analyze in

real-time the actual seismic resistance capacity and the damage level of power

plant structures has been developed.

seismic hazard studies:

Iran has a long history of seismicity and has experienced destructive earthquakes since

ancient times. As an average, earthquakes take several thousands of lives and cause

extensive damage to properties in Iran almost every year. Most damages and casualties

Page 11: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

11

occurred mainly in rural areas in the past, but it has also been observed in urban areas

in recent decades. Expansion of urbanization has increased the vulnerability against

earthquakes in Iran in recent history.

For over 25 years, seismic hazard studies have been carried out for the sites of important

structures such as dams, power plants, and unconventional structures in different parts

of Iran. In addition, some studies have also been conducted in provincial levels for

several provinces of Iran.

Although these studies are performed using different methods and different attenuation

relations, but collectively, they could be useful for the revision of the seismic hazard

zoning map following the refinements and compatibility that were made on them.

investigation of loss compensation methods for disaster stricken people:

A fair and efficient solidarity mechanism and effective insurance markets are

complementary approaches to recover from disasters. Insurance companies usually shy

away from insuring agricultural productive assets, including livestock, working

animals, tools and seeds, lured with marginal benefits elsewhere. Promoting

mechanisms for disaster risk transfer and insurance and financial protection for low

income families in rural areas has always been considered as a drawback concerning

compensation of losses inflicted to residents in poor rural areas .in order to reduce the

financial impact of disasters in these areas it has been identified necessary to address

this problem in an investigation focusing on rural areas throughout the country in order

to provide alternatives to the livelihood of the local people.

short term training courses on disaster risk reduction:

The objective of Training Programs is providing the outcomes of research and studies

that have been conducted in order to exchange information on the latest Technical and

scientific achievements for updating and promoting Technical knowledge of the

engineering society, Professionals, Engineers, Designers, Technicians an all those

involved in Housing and Building activities and last but not least Providing interaction

between the research and scientific circles and executive bodies.

In this way, the NDRI and UNESCO chair on natural disasters management has

made efforts to play its role as the effective Training Hub in the country by providing

skilled learning and advanced specialized Training Plans and Programs.

Holding a series of training workshops " Earthquake Lessons Learned, in

Kermanshah Province Occurred on November 12, 2017" in cooperation with UNESCO,

Habitat and Eco on September 6, 2018 in Kermanshah and Tehran:

Climatic, geographic and geopolitical diversity has made Iran one of the 10 most

disastrous countries in the world. The earthquake vulnerability is one of the realities of

Page 12: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

12

the life of communities and developing countries which has been always catastrophic

when it occurs in its most devastating scale. Usually, as time goes by after a catastrophic

event, only a few assessment of human casualties, financial and infrastructure losses,

and analyzes are undertaken, and the momentum for serious search for the causal

factors of disaster that the human casualties and damage emanate from them are slowly

lost ,overlooked or even faded. That is a problem we have witnessed in the past and

we may observe it not so far away.

While after the occurrence of any disaster, the lessons learned from them must

contribute to reduction in casualties and losses from future events and preparedness

have to be strengthened ahead of future recurrent disasters. The transfer of lessons

learned from past disasters to future generations and their implications for disaster risk

reduction is undoubtedly of the highest significance. he ultimate goal of this series of

training workshops is assisting to prepare a national earthquake risk reduction strategy

for proper policy making and guidance with an aim to disaster risk reduction including

prediction , vulnerability reduction and endeavor to develop resistant cities against

future disasters, establishing and implementing specific programs to reduce Exposure,

emergency response, rehabilitation and reconstruction, and finally building the

resilience of people and communities against disasters . Particular emphasis must be

put on areas where vital infrastructure related to water, transportation and

communications, educational facilities, hospitals and other health facilities are located

in order to ensure safety, efficiency and efficacy during and after a disaster with due

consideration to the national and international high level frameworks and documents.

Key measures must be taken in various social, economic, political and environmental

dimensions In order to enhance disaster preparedness for effective response and “Build

Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction.

Active tectonic studies and determination of fault limits in the southern part of central

Alborz Range :

Active tectonic refers to the tectonic processes that cause transformations in the earth

crust in a time scale and such transformations are important for human societies. Study

of active tectonic is very important in risk assessment; it is considerable significance

especially in areas with relatively large tectonic activities in the Upper Pleistocene

Holocene. Although active tectonic is slow and quiet rupture in the Earth's crust that

can damage human structures, but mostly active tectonic processes that can cause

sudden events are important. Therefore, understanding the dangers of tectonic activity

in one area can reduce sudden incidents such as earthquakes.

"Study and definition of projects needed to reduce disaster risk in the country and

region :

Page 13: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

13

Iran is a vast country and due to its specific geographical, geological, climatic and

environmental characteristics, have provided potential of occurrence of 31 disasters in

the country among all 40 known natural disasters in the world. All types of natural

disasters can cause challenges and major obstacles to sustainable development in Iran,

but more important disasters for risk management and reduction are prevalent high risk

disasters.

This project aims to study hazards with the highest potential of occurrence and damage

in the country, challenges resulting from them, laws and regulations as well as the

existing capacities and needs in the country to reduction and management these hazards

risks and priorities for respectively resources allocation. According to the needs of the

most vulnerable parts of the country against the high risk hazards, need assessment and

defining research and executive quick-impact projects with maximum efficiency in

reducing the risk of the most devastating natural disasters that have high potential of

occurrence in vulnerable areas of the country, are among other objectives of this project.

Rural planning based on sustainable development in rural at risk areas exposed

natural disasters:

Sustainable development with environment and development approach for the first time

proposed at the United Nations world commission meeting (WCED) and in the final

report of the meeting proposed. This term defined as "development that meets the

current needs so that the ability of future generations to meet their needs not be

threatened". From recent centuries with the rapid growth of industry and technology in

the world, rural areas backwardness, has been more manifested.

Iran due to locating in a mountainous and forested environment, despite having many

similarities, has the various biodiversity capacities and limitations; one of the major

constraints and obstacles of Iran is placing in natural and ecological high-risk areas.

The loss of forest cover over the past decades and expedite this process after

accelerating the use of agricultural machinery, especially in the foothills of the steep

slopes, caused reduction of concentration time of flood during heavy rains, increasing

soil erosion and runoff from it, elevation the risk of landslides and mudslides. The

relative increase of rural population in forest areas and dominate economy of this

population that is dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry as well as lack of

diversity of livelihood in these areas, are the major causes of deforestation and loss of

vegetation in these areas.

This study is an applied research. The research operations will be conducted in three

general steps:

Firstly, the recognition of the existing situation; secondly, analyzing the data. The third

step, feasibility and to develop solutions and suggestions.

Page 14: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

14

The framework of this study is analytical and relays on to policy - guidance approaches,

and parts of the spatial, feasibility and optimal establishment and planning of rural

complexes and villages at risk will be studied in this framework. Also to do studies and

analysis of samples and existing conditions in that areas of their models the Multi Class-

Maps will be used as well as the geographic information system (GIS), spatial

dispersion measure (entropy), the coefficient of spatial centrality, population potential,

accessibility coefficient, and correlation and regression coefficient.

Earthquake prediction with using of foreshocks:

Earthquake prediction is a branch of the science of seismology concerned with the

specification of the time, location, and magnitude of future earthquakes within stated

limits, and particularly "the determination of parameters for the next strong earthquake

to occur in a region. Prediction can be further distinguished from earthquake warning

systems, which upon detection of an earthquake, provide a real-time warning of seconds

to neighboring regions that might be affected.

The purpose of this study is finding of method for prediction of big earthquake with

low uncertainty. For this purpose we need to spend these stages:

Study about relation between big earthquakes and their parameters with

seismotectonic conditions and separation of seism tectonic province based seismicity

conditions

Separation between swarm earthquake and foreshocks in various

seismotectonic province with purpose of earthquake prediction

Prediction of big earthquake low uncertainty in location, magnitude and time

using foreshock parameters (Such as: Location, depth and magnitude)

Assessment of relative active tectonic in the Golestan province faults using

morphometric and paleoseismologic indices:

The Caspian (Khazar) fault, North Alborz fault, Maravehtapeh fault and Garmab fault (Takal

kooh) are major tectonic landforms in the Golestan province. According to historical and

instrumental earthquakes information, these faults have seismic records. Since these faults are

crossing mountain and its margins, in addition to Gorgan city that is near the Caspian fault, there

are many villages in the vicinity of these faults. These faults other than instantaneous movements

that lead to earthquake also have slow movements which can have an essential role in occurrence

of secondary hazards such as landslides, therefore, by using morphometric indexes, tectonic

activity in this area that is affected by Caspian and North Alborz faults and other faults, can be

studied. The results of this study, including the rate and type of activity of the Caspian, North

Page 15: Best Practices of the Iranian UNESCO Chairs

15

Alborz, Maravehtapeh, Garmab faults and their subsidiary branches can be used in the following

fields:

- Study of earthquake hazard assessment

- Determination of faults setback zones

- Determination of villages located in faults setback zones

"Risk study of high priority hazards in Bushehr province":

The Bushehr province, due to locating on Zagros orogenic belt, by considering that this mountain

range is one of the most active seismotectonic zones in Iran and every year we see numerous

earthquakes along this tectonic zone, carrying out the seismic studies and earthquake hazard

assessment in Bushehr is necessary and essential.

As we know, the dominant climate of the country is hot and dry and the Bushehr province is not

exception in this regard. Furthermore, his province is not safe against torrential rains because of

special situation of this province in the south of Zagros Mountains and due to low cover of

vegetation as well as its soil characteristics which has low soil permeability, great floods in the

province occur. All of these factors are causing big floods in the province. According to the above,

flooding and drought studies are among basic necessities of the province.

The aim of the study in the first phase is identification and zoaning flood, draught, and seismicity

hazards in the Bushehr province and its counties which will lead to developing zoning hazards

maps and related reports.

In the second phase, studies related to summing information gathered and hazards zoning maps of

studied hazards and the analysis of natural hazards (floods, drought and earthquake) for

infrastructure vital lifelines, dams, government buildings, public, commercial and industrial,

hospital fire stations, substations, roads, bridges, water supply network, and gas supply network,

pharmaceutical and medical centers in province’s counties will be done. And preparation and

compiling the risk management action plan of studied hazards during crises will be done too.