BES III: Theories & Integration

BES III: Theories & IntegrationUnderstanding Social-Ecological Heterogeneityin the Changing City-Suburban-Exurban Complex

What is theory?Conceptual construct;Goals:Understand topicExplain observationsFrame approachSynthesize casesUnify differenceGenerate expectationsHypothesesPredictionsForecasts.2

What is theory?Conceptual construct.Goals:Understand topicExplain observationsFrame approachSynthesize casesUnify differenceGenerate expectationsHypothesesPredictionsForecasts

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What is theory?Conceptual construct.Goals:Understand topicExplain observationsFrame approachSynthesize casesUnify differenceGenerate expectationsHypothesesPredictionsForecasts

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What is theory?5

What is theory?6

What is theory?7

What is theory?8

What is theory?9

What is theory?10

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IfThen

What does urban social-ecology seek to explain?12

Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity13

What are the drivers and outcomes of social-ecological heterogeneity?14Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity

Social-Ecological HeterogeneitySocialDifferentiationMaterial FlowsBiotic Potential15

Social-Ecological HeterogeneitySocialDifferentiationMaterial FlowsBiotic Potential16

What key concepts & models operationalize the drivers/outcomes?17Not an exclusive roster;Operate in Baltimore region;Relevant to sustainability;Applicable to other cities.

Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity Dynamics18SocialDifference

Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity Dynamics19SocialDifference= Mechanisms &Hypotheses

Other models and sub-theories might also apply.20

Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity DynamicsOther TheoriesOther TheoriesOther Theories21SocialDifference

22Social-Ecol. HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic Poten.LocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity DynamicsOther TheoriesOther TheoriesOther TheoriesSocialDifferencePowerLawPoliticalEcologyAncientOriginUrbanFoot-printEtc.

How do existing BES long-term data apply to the three conceptual areas?23Relate to LTER Core Areas:Primary productionFlow of inorganic matterFlow of organic matterPopulation studiesDisturbanceSatisfy Additional Core Areas for UrbanHuman land-cover change and ecosystem effects thereof;Monitor effects of human-environmental interactions, and develop appropriate social-ecological data and analysis;Integrate research with local K-12 educational systems.

Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity DynamicsLong-Term DataLong-Term DataLong-Term Data24SocialDifference

What do we learn about S-E Hetthat is unique, based on our Long-Term perspective?Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity DynamicsLong-Term DataLong-Term DataLong-Term Data25SocialDifference

How does each of the drivers relate to the other two?26How does locational choice affect:Biotic metacommunity structure and change?The stream dis/continuum structure and processes?How does the stream dis/continuum affect:Biotic metacommunity structure and change?Locational choices of households and firms?How does the biotic metacommuinty affect:The stream dis/continuum structure and processes?Locational choices of households and firms?N.B. Direct effects on each other; indirect through spatial heterogeneity.

Social-Ecological HeterogeneityMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity Dynamics27SocialDifference

How do the interactions & feedbacks work?28Mechanisms;Hypotheses.

Social-Ecological HeterogeneitySocialDifferentiationMaterial FlowsBiotic PotentialLocationalChoiceStream Dis/ContinuumMetacommunity DynamicsMechanismsMechanismsMechanismsHypothesesHypothesesHypotheses29

BES III: Theories & IntegrationUnderstanding Social-Ecological Heterogeneityin the Changing City-Suburban-Exurban Complex