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1 PROPRIETE RENAULT September 21st 2011 RENAULT Carlos TAVARES, COO

berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

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Page 1: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

1PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

RENAULT

Carlos TAVARES, COO

Page 2: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

2PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01

RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN02

03

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: GROWTH & HEADWINDS

04

05

COST REDUCTION LEVERS

GROWTH LEVERS

FCF GENERATION

Page 3: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

3PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01 GROWING TIV, RECOVERING QUICKLY AFTER 2008/2009

52 5254

56 56 56 5761

6365

6865 63

71

83

93

51

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS

100

8590 98

100109

131 148

2007 2010 2013 2016

Outside Europe

Europe

Page 4: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

4PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01 GLOBAL TIV : GROWTH PERSPECTIVES (Global Insight forecast for Total Industry Volumes in 2020)

100

300

500

700

10 30 50 70

GDP/CAP ($k)

CAR DENSITY (CARS / 1000 IN

HABITANTS)

Mature markets(N America, W Europe, Japan,

S Korea, Australia)

BRIC(Brazil, Russia, India, China)

Developing markets(E Europe, L. Amerca, Africa,

Asia-Pacific)

0

Page 5: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

5PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01 AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY HEADWINDS

EMERGING COMPETITORS

REGULATIONS & TECHNOLOGY COSTS MATURE MARKET INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY

RAW MATERIALS

140

180

220

260

300

340

Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011

Pt

Al

Pb

CuOil

Pd

100

Page 6: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

6PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01

RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN02

03

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: GROWTH & HEADWINDS

04

05

COST REDUCTION LEVERS

GROWTH LEVERS

FCF GENERATION

Page 7: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

7PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

02 RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN

2013 OBJECTIVES

� 3 million vehicles sold in 2013

� 2 billion euros cumulated operational free cash flow2011-2013

1. ENSURE THE GROUP’S GROWTH

2. GENERATE FREE CASH FLOWON A LASTING BASIS

Page 8: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

8PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

02 GROUP OPERATING MARGIN WALKDOWN: 2010-2013

€1.1bn2.8%

€2.2bn5%

0.6

1.2

2.4

0.61.1

2010 2013

Volumeimpact

Costreductions

Rawmaterials

Haircut

Haircut

NET VOLUME : €0.5m NET COST REDUCTION : €0.6m

Page 9: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

9PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01

RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN02

03

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: GROWTH & HEADWINDS

04

05

COST REDUCTION LEVERS

GROWTH LEVERS

FCF GENERATION

Page 10: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

10PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

03 OPTIMIZING FIXED COSTS

11.0%

12.5%11.8%

10.4%11.2%

10.1%11.2% 11.1% 11.1%

8.9%

6.5%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CAPEX + R&D

Cash out in % of group revenues

CAP = 9%

72% 71%

83%

>100%

62% 59%64%

>80%

0

100

2008 2009 2010 2013

Capacity utilisation – global Capacity utilisation – Europe

INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY UTILISATION

(3760 hours per year)

Page 11: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

11PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 PLATFORM, TECHNOLOGY & GLOBAL EXPANSION

LCV PLATFORMSshared with Nissan,

Daimler and GM

A PLATFORMwith Daimler

(Smart/Twingo)

B PLATFORM + M0 PLATFORM

with shared modules

C & D PLATFORMshared with Nissan

2011 2012 2013 2014 - 2016

EV INITIAL RANGE

Energy 130 dci Energy 110 Tce ….

TangiersChennai

New Alliance industrial capacityInternal combustion

AvtoVaz

Zero emission

EV RANGE EXTENSION

Page 12: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

12PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

03 VARIABLE COST REDUCTIONS

738660

282 253

579

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PURCHASING COST REDUCTIONS ALONE

(€ million impact on operating margin vs. previous period)

AVERAGE €800M PER YEAR

Page 13: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

13PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01

RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN02

03

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: GROWTH & HEADWINDS

04

05

COST REDUCTION LEVERS

GROWTH LEVERS

FCF GENERATION

Page 14: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

14PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 VOLUME GROWTH : 90% FROM OUTSIDE EUROPE

1 643

317

273

288

107

2000 2005 2010 2013

Eurasia

Asia Africa

Euromed

Americas

Europe

17% 37%27% 45%

2.4m2.5m

2.6m

3m

GROUP UNIT SALES : Renault, Dacia & Renault Samsung brands

Page 15: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

15PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 TOP LEVEL QUALITY

RENAULT 2010RENAULT 2009

RENAULT 2008RENAULT 2007

RENAULT 2006

RENAULT 2005

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 2400 2600

NUMBER OF DEFAULTS / THOUSAND

% OF BREAKDOWNS

RELIABILITY

QUALITY

Page 16: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

16PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 ROBUST PRODUCT PLAN

NEW MODEL REGIONAL INDUSTRIALIZATION FACELIFT

H2 2011 2012

EVKANGOO ZE FLUENCE ZE TWIZY ZOE

A/B TWINGOB HATCHIndia

B SEDANIndia

CLIO 4Hatch

CC-SEGMENT MODEL YEAR

FLUENCEIndia

D/E QM5/KOLEOSph2

D-SEGMENT MODEL YEARSM7KOLEOSIndia

M0 LOGAN ph2Iran

FAMILY CAR SMALL LCV

DUSTERBrazil

DUSTERRussia

DUSTERColumbia

DUSTERIndia

SANDEROColumbia

SANDERO ph2Brazil

HATCHPC VAN

KANGOO ZE FLUENCE ZE TWIZY

Clio 2 ph6Argentina

Page 17: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

17PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 AFFORDABLE TECHNOLOGY

CO2 reduction

Stop & Start

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%€/g

€/gCost of technology€ per g CO2 saved

Full HEVpetrol

Mild-HEV

COMPATIBLE WITH AVERAGE CUSTOMER VALUE IN 2013

COMPATIBLE WITH CD-SEGMENT FLEET CUSTOMER VALUE IN 2013 Plug-in

EV

50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Internal combustion engine technologies

Hybrid technologies

Electric grid technologies

Page 18: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

18PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

04 NEW WARM AND SENSUAL DESIGN

Page 19: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

19PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

01

RENAULT’S MID TERM PLAN02

03

AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: GROWTH & HEADWINDS

04

05

COST REDUCTION LEVERS

GROWTH LEVERS

FCF GENERATION

Page 20: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

20PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

Operational Free Cash Flow Operational Free Cash Flow excluding WCR evolution

(million euros)

05 FCF EVOLUTION

Page 21: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

21PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

05 DIVIDEND POLICY : RENAULT 2016

� A two level policy:

1. Pass through of dividends received from associates to Renault’s shareholdersWhat is received in year 1 will be paid in year 2

2. When the financial environment & Renault’s balance sheet permits it:A percentage of operational FCF from the Renault core business

Page 22: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

22PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

Page 23: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

23PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

ANNEXES

Page 24: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

24PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

RENAULT GROUP STRUCTURE

AB VOLVO

RCIBANQUE

RENAULTSAMSUNGMOTORS

AvtoVAZ

OTHER COMPANIESindustrial, commercial,

refinancing and cash management concerns

RENAULT S.A.S.

DACIA

NISSAN MOTOR

RENAULT SA

100 %

43.4 %

99.4 %

1.55 %

6.5 %

100 % 80.1 %25.01 %

DAIMLER AG

Renault GroupAlliance and Cooperation

Page 25: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

25PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

GROUP P&L

* with Renault VI

PUBLISHED 2000* 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010in K units

Sales 2 289 2 409 2 404 2 389 2 489 2 533 2 433 2 484 2 382 2 309 2 626production 2 348 2 375 2 344 2 385 2 472 2 516 2 385 2 659 2 421 2 199 2 599

in€ m

Revenues 40 175 36 351 36 336 37 525 40 715 41 338 41 528 40 682 37 791 33 712 38 971o/w Automotive 31 486 33 841 34 456 35 535 38 645 39 458 39 605 38 679 35 757 31 951 37 172

o/w sales financing 1 656 1 828 1 880 1 990 2 070 1 880 1 923 2 003 2 034 1 761 1 799Cost of goods and services sold -30 214 -28 240 -28 17 8 -29 273 -31 162 -32 137 -32 499 -31 408 -29 659 -26 978 -30 620

o/w Research and development expenses -2 048 -1 935 -1 143 -1 243 -1 383 -2 034 -1 963 -1 850 -1 858 -1 795 -1 834o/w SG&A -4 838 -4 538 -4 363 -4 452 -4 581 -4 918 -5 018 -4 949 -4 770 -4 382 -4 605

Operating margin 2 022 473 1 483 1 402 2 418 1 323 1 063 1 354 212 -396 1 099o/w Automotive 1 574 216 1 189 1 035 1 974 858 571 882 -275 -902 396

o/w sales financing 253 252 294 367 444 465 492 472 487 506 703Other operating income and expenses -319 231 -266 -168 -270 191 -186 -116 -329 -559 -464Operating income 1 703 704 1 217 1 234 2 148 1 514 877 1 23 8 -117 -955 635Financial expense -69 -64 -91 -71 -348 -327 61 76 441 -404 -37 6Capital gain on sale of B shares in Volvo AB 2 000

Share in net income of companies accounted for by the equity method

89 380 1 331 1 860 2 020 2 597 2 260 1 675 437 -1 561 1 289

o/w Nissan 56 497 1 335 1 705 1 767 2 275 1 871 1 288 345 -902 1 084o/w Volvo -26 71 175 240 308 384 352 226 -301 214

o/w AvtoVAZ -370 -21Current and deferred taxes -649 -67 -447 -510 -634 -331 -255 -255 -162 -148 -58Group net income 1 074 953 2 010 2 513 3 186 3 453 2 943 2 734 599 -3 068 3 490Renault net income 1 080 1 051 1 956 2 480 3 119 3 367 2 869 2 669 571 -3 125 3 420EPS 4,5 4,4 7,5 9,3 11,7 13,2 11,2 10,3 2,2 -12,1 12,7Number of shares for EPS calculation 239 798 239 998 2 59 560 265 960 265 960 255 177 256 994 258 621 256 532 257 514 269 292

workforce 166 114 140 417 132 351 130 740 130 573 126 584 128 893 130 179 129 069 121 422 122 615o/w Europe NA NA NA NA NA 107 519 93 580 87 080 83 712 76 633 74 431

BEFORE IFRS IFRS

Page 26: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

26PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

AUTOMOTIVE DIVISION CASH FLOW

in € m 2000* 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010AUTO EBIT 1 467 458 928 858 1 710 1 058 303 767 -608 -1 457 -78Depreciation & amortization 1 817 1 683 1 938 2 117 2 133 2 658 2 817 2 815 2 892 3 124 3 045AUTOMOTIVE EBITDA 3 284 2 141 2 866 2 975 3 843 3 716 3 120 3 582 2 284 1 667 2 967

Cash flow 3 027 1 290 2 919 2 806 3 798 3 589 3 288 3 616 2 373 1 386 3 074Change in WC -1 657 1 751 322 239 401 -533 -346 -26 -2 704 2 923 395Capex and R&D cost -2 289 -2 546 -2 968 -2 533 -2 823 -2 879 -3 585 -3 565 -3 385 -2 054 -1 644

CAPEX -2 253 -2 497 -2 284 -1 927 -2 035 -2 046 -2 494 -2 278 -2 260 -1 465 -978CAPITALIZED R&D -36 -49 -684 -606 -788 -833 -1 091 -1 287 -1 125 -589 -666

Others 135 -248 -155OPERATIONAL FCF -919 495 273 512 1 376 177 -508 25 -3 716 2 007 1 670

Dividends received from Nissan 99 183 267 345 383 431 456 418 0 88Dividends received from Volvo 0 77 77 208 120 158 477 258 81 0Dividends received from others excl; RCI 7 6 13 13 3 12 0 0FCF -912 600 533 856 1 929 693 94 961 -3 028 2 088 1 758

DIVIDEND PAID 183 219 258 316 383 493 684 883 1 054 0 0

IFRSBEFORE IFRSPUBLISHED

Page 27: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

27PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

RCI BANQUE KEY FIGURES

2,04%

-0,54%

-1,76%

4,44%

4,41%

1,12%

-1,09%

2004

IFRS

2.00%

-0,72%

-1,63%

4,38%

4,52%

0,98%

-1,13%

2005

IFRS

1,68%

-0,48%

-2,05%

4,10%

4,40%

0,72%

1,02%

2000

1,45%

-0,52%

-2,08%

4,05%

4,22%

0,91%

-1,08%

2001

1,61%

-0,78%

-1,95%

4.45%

4,22%

1,30%

-1,07%

2002

1.87%

-0,68%

-1,91%

4.36%

4,48%

1,12%

-1,24%

2003

2,12%

-0,61%

-1,68%

4,41%

4.46%

1.13%

-1.18%

2006

IFRS

5.40%5.17%4.58%4.50%Net banking income

-0.40%

-1.64%

-0.99%

-1.71%

-0.87%

-1.57%

-0.68%

-1.78%

Cost of risk

Operating expenses

3.35%

5.16%

1.52%

-1.28%

2010

IFRS

2.41%

4.91%

1.48%

-1.21%

2009

IFRS

2.01%

4.38%

1.30%

-1.18%

2007

IFRS

2.13%

4.35%

1.39%

-1.16%

2008

IFRS

Gross financial margin

Services and other

products

Intermediation fee

% of average performing loans

outstanding

Pre-tax income (with NRE)

Page 28: berstein ver impr - Renault2016 Global TIV (PC+LCV) IN MILLION UNITS 100 85 90 98 100 109 131 148 2007 2010 2013 2016 ... Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1

28PROPRIETE RENAULTSeptember 21st 2011

RENAULT INVESTORS RELATION CONTACT

Duncan Minto

Investor Relations

+33 1 76 84 53 09

[email protected]

Alain Meyer

Investor Relations

+33 1 76 83 05 13

[email protected]

Investor relations internet site: www.renault.com\finance