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Efficient Frontier

William J. Bernstein

The Duration of Stocks

Location: Pearly Gates

Cast of Characters: 1) Hy Defees, fund manager, late of the Churnum, Burnum, & Spurnum Group, and 2) Saint Peter

Apologies: to Charles Ellis (Investment Policy)

SP: Clue me in, Hy. No one ever told you that snowboarding and Margaritas dont mix? Too bad, such a promising young

man.

Defees: Youre telling me. The buzz is my American Hubris Capital Depreciation Fund was in line for its fifth star. Lifescruel.

SP: The news at this end ain't good either. The tally looks pretty even, can't tell you if its yea or nay. (Scratches his beard

thoughtfully.) OK, heres the deal. You either go to the place where prices are permanently high, or to the other placewhere there will soon be an 80% fall in the market, with prices staying permanently depressed.

Defees: Pretty easy choice, Im going to the realm of everlasting high valuations.

SP: You got it. Thats the first set of stairs to the left, then down. (chuckles to self) I lose more money managers that way .

Efficient Frontier http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/999/duration.ht

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