Bell ringer: Is Psychology different than common sense or intuition? What do you think?

Limitations of intuition/common sense

When Obama got elected, how many of you knew he was going to win all along?How many people have gotten a test back and got an A (or an F) and after getting it back said you knew this is what you were going to get?

How many people remember 9/11?Who thought they should have evacuated the second tower right away? Why?Who thought that people in Chicago and LA should evacuate important buildings also?

Hindsight BiasI-knew-it-all-along phenomenonThe tendency to believe, after finding out the outcome, that one had foreseen the outcome

How many of you can unscramble a word pretty

easily (like ex. below) Can you do it in under 15

seconds?WREAT=WATER

Unscramble this wordETRYN

ENTRYHarder than it looks???

Overconfidence BiasPeople have a tendency to think they know more than they doPeople think they can predict their own behavior and abilities at a level higher than they actually can

Point to rememberHindsight and overconfidence bias lead us to overestimate our intuition.Scientific Inquiry help us discern reality form illusion

Critical ThinkingPsychology and the scientific attitude prepares us to think smarterCritical thinking: the process of deciding what to believe and how to act based on a careful evaluation of the evidenceExamines assumptions, discern hidden values, evaluates evidence, assesses conclusionsCritical thinkers are constantly asking questions and thinking deeper

SummaryWrite about a time you used overconfidence or hindsight bias when believing something Write about a time you used critical thinking skills to make a decision.