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Basin Electric Power Cooperative

Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

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Page 1: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Basin Electric Power Cooperative

Page 2: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Discussion Topics

• Basin Electric Power Cooperative• Subsidiaries• Financial Ratings

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Page 3: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Who We Are

Page 4: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Basin Electric

• Operate at cost - Cooperative• Largest G&T• 3 Tier System

–Class A–Class C

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Page 5: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%
Page 6: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Membership

Basin has 141 member systems

The member distribution systems ultimately serve 3 million end use consumers

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Page 7: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Basin Electric

• Regulated by Board• 11 Districts - each elect Board

member• Input from Member Managers

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Page 8: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Subsidiaries

Page 9: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Dakota Coal Company

• Fuel supply subsidiary• Formed in 1988• Provides financing for Freedom

Mine and purchases lignite production– Does not do the mining– Mining is contracted to North

American Coal Company• Supplies lignite to Synfuels Plant,

Antelope Valley & Leland Olds• Has a division and a subsidiary

– Wyoming Lime Producers– Montana Limestone (subsidiary)

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Page 10: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

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Page 11: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Dakota Gasification Company

• Completed in 1984 (coal to natural gas facility)

• Purchased in 1988 - shared mine and facilities with Basin Electric power plants

• Annually utilizes over 6 million tons of lignite coal mined from the Freedom Mine

• Gas is shipped on the Northern Border Pipeline

• Going forward DGC will primarily be a fertilizer facility

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Page 12: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Synthetic Natural Gas,

$150.2

Naphtha, $4.9

Ammonium Sulfate, $30.3 Other, $1.5

Ammonia, $53.5

Urea, $66.5

Diesel Exhaust Fluid, $2.3

Carbon Dioxide, $21.2

Tar oil, $35.2

Phenol, $10.0 Cresylic Acid, $3.9

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Page 13: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Member Load Growth

Page 14: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,00020

00

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

2036

2038

2040

2042

2044

2046

2048

2050

MW

h

ResidentialSmall CommercialLarge CommercialOilCoalCBMEthanolBio-DieselOil PipelineIrrigationOther SalesOwn Use & Losses

29%

23%

12%

17%

28%

23%

11%

20%

Member load is diversified across several growing sectors

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Page 15: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

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Staying power of oil growth

• April 4, 1951• The Clarence Iverson Number 1• 30-miles northeast of Williston• First successful oil well in North Dakota

• Continues to be served by a Basin Electric member

Largest Basin in Western United States

• Oil production breakeven costs are rapidly decreasing due to technology such as walking rigs - what once took weeks now takes hours

• Horizontal drilling allows for as many as 28 wells on a single pad, using less than .5% of surface land.

• In 2019, 15.9k wells produced 1.44M bpd in ND, while just 442.0k bpd were produced from 47.1k wells in CA

• Once fully developed, as many as 80k wells will exist in the Bakken, the majority underground

Page 16: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

2019 ForecastComparison to National Average

1.06%

1.25%1.16%

0.30%

0.83%

0.64%

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

1.40%

Residential Commercial Total

BEPC National Average

*National Average updated 1-9-201916

Page 17: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Resource Planning

Page 18: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

18

78%62% 53%

30%

3%

9% 18%

27%

10%7%

4%13% 14%

22%

3% 10%100%

90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%

0%

2 0 1 0 2 0 2 52 0 1 5

Undefined Market

Biogas/Flamegas REG

Wind

Solar

Federal Hydro Nuclear

Oil/Diesel/Jet Fuel

Natural Gas

Coal

97%82%

70%

39%

5%

16%

6%9%

18%

7% 14%24%

100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%

0%

2 0 0 5

2 0 0 5 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 5 2 0 2 5

Undefined Market

Biogas/Flamegas REG

Wind

Solar

Federal Hydro Nuclear

Oil/Diesel/Jet Fuel

Natural Gas

Coal

Ener

gyPo

rtfo

lioCa

pabi

lity

Port

folio

Resource portfolio is increasingly diverse

Page 19: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Power Supply Planning Areas

WECC-NWPPWECC-NWPP

WECC-RMRGWECC-RMRG

MISOMISOSPPSPP

Transmission Ownershipin SPP and WECC-RMRG

regions19

Page 20: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

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Generator Management

Antelope Valley 1Antelope Valley 2Leland Olds 1Leland Olds 2Laramie River 1Laramie River 2Laramie River 3Dry ForkNeal 4Walter Scott 3Walter Scott 4Neal 4 (NIMECA)Walter Scott 4 (NIMECA)

Deer CreekCulbertsonGroton 1Groton 2Lonesome Creek 1Lonesome Creek 2Lonesome Creek 3Lonesome Creek 4Lonesome Creek 5Pioneer 1Pioneer 2Pioneer 3Pioneer 11Pioneer 12Pioneer 13Pioneer 14-16Pioneer 17-19Pioneer 20-22ArvadaBarber CreekHartzog

Duane Arnold

BaldwinBrady 1Brady 2Campbell CountyChamberlainCrosswindsCrow LakeDay CountyEdgeley HancockHyde CountyLakotaLindahlMinot Wind ProjectPrairie WindsSunflowerSuperiorWilton 1Wilton 2Crosswinds (NIMECA)Hancock (NIMECA)Culbertson Waste HeatGarvin Waste HeatHidewood Waste HeatManning Waste HeatPembrook Waste HeatSt. Anthony Waste HeatWoodland Waste HeatZeeland Waste Heat

EsthervilleMadisonSpirit Mound 1Spirit Mound 2Webster CityWisdom 1Wisdom 2NIMECA

Wisdom 2AlgonaBancroftCoon RapidsGraettingerGrundy CenterLaurensMilfordNew Hampton SpencerSumnerWest Bend

Page 21: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Member Growth

• Forecast ever changing - the Bakken• Barr Engineering forecast (sponsored by State)• Much more growth now expected• Bakken becoming the world leader (oil)• Not impacted by oil prices due to low production

costs

Page 22: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Market Dynamics

Page 23: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Regional Transmission Organization (RTO)

MARKETLOADNEEDED

MARKET PRICE

Page 24: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Ventura Gas Daily(North Hub - MN Hub)

Page 25: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

US Wind Capacity by Year

SPP Wind Statistics MW’s

SPP Current Wind Level 21,400 (+ 2GW by year end)

SPP Max Wind Output (9/30/19) 17,109

SPP Max Wind to Load Penetration Level (4/27/19) 67.28%

12/31/2020 Expected SPP Wind Level 27,750

Page 26: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

SPP Wind to Load Penetration2018 vs 2019

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

January February March April May June July August September

2018 % Penetration 2019 % Penetration

Page 27: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Renewable Growth in the West

“Pacificorp aims for 7,000 MW of new wind, solar and batteries by 2025…with an emphasis on transitioning to clean energy and retiring 16 of its 24 coal plants over the next decade…”

Page 28: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Financial Ratings

Page 29: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

Credit Ratings

Senior Secured ACommercial Paper F-1+Outlook - Stable

Senior Secured ACommercial Paper A-1Outlook - Stable

Senior Secured A-3Commercial Paper P-2Outlook - Stable

Foundation of our strength is our long-term Wholesale Power Contracts

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Page 30: Basin Electric Power Cooperativeccaps.umn.edu/documents/CPE-Conferences/MIPSYCON... · Federal Hydro Nuclear Oil/Diesel/JetFuel NaturalGas. Coal. 97%. 82%. 70%. 39%. 5%. 16%. 6%

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