Basel II Workshop One_070205

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    BASEL II

    Introduction and BackgroundIntroduction and Background

    Errol KrugerErrol Kruger

    7 February 20057 February 2005

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    AGENDA

    Banks and bankingBanks and banking

    Basel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking Supervision

    Basel IBasel I

    Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?

    ConclusionsConclusions

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    Agenda

    Banks and bankingBanks and banking

    Basel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking Supervision

    Basel IBasel IBasel I

    Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?

    ConclusionsConclusionsConclusions

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    Why do we need banks?

    Safeguard savings of general publicSafeguard savings of general public

    Financial intermediationFinancial intermediation

    From surplus econ units to deficit econ unitsFrom surplus econ units to deficit econ units

    Channel savings and provide creditChannel savings and provide credit Bridges preferences [Bridges preferences [egeg. time ]. time ]

    Pooling of funds for large scale projectsPooling of funds for large scale projects

    Payments and settlements systemPayments and settlements system

    Risk intermediationRisk intermediation

    Conclusion: Banks are very importantConclusion: Banks are very important

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    Why should banks be regulated

    Banks failBanks fail

    Free entryFree entry

    [Public interest; Fit and proper; Min capital][Public interest; Fit and proper; Min capital]

    Banks wish to survive and growBanks wish to survive and grow

    Accordingly, expose themselves to riskAccordingly, expose themselves to risk

    Importance of risk managementImportance of risk management

    Free exitFree exit [Shareholders stand last in line][Shareholders stand last in line] Avoid systemic riskAvoid systemic risk

    National goodNational good material economic benefitsmaterial economic benefits

    Market failureMarket failure to be counteractedto be counteracted

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    Ultimate regulatory goals To add value toTo add value to

    banking system; andbanking system; and financial system; andfinancial system; and

    economyeconomy

    By facilitatingBy facilitating stability and soundnessstability and soundness

    efficiency and effectivenessefficiency and effectiveness

    consumer protectionconsumer protection

    ThroughThrough

    sound corporate governancesound corporate governance

    best practice risk managementbest practice risk management

    best practice disclosurebest practice disclosure

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    SARB MissionThe achievement and maintenance of price stability

    BSD Mission

    To promote the soundness of banks through the

    effective application of international regulatory

    and supervisory standards

    Strategic imperatives

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    South African banking sector

    Registered banks 37Registered banks 37Locally controlled: 15Locally controlled: 15

    Foreign controlled (subsidiaries): 5Foreign controlled (subsidiaries): 5

    Branches of foreign banks: 15Branches of foreign banks: 15

    Mutual banks: 2Mutual banks: 2

    Total banking assets: Around R1 484.8Total banking assets: Around R1 484.8 bnbn(as at the end of November 2004)(as at the end of November 2004)

    Capital adequacy: 13,2%Capital adequacy: 13,2%

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    Distribution of total assets ofbanking sector

    November 2004

    88.0%

    3.0% 9.0%

    A1 rated banksLocal controlled A2 rated banksForeign controlled A2 rated banks

    Total Assets (as at the end of Nov 2004): R1484.8 bn

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    Key banking sector indicators

    --18,418,420.320.324.924.9Gross amount classified as doubtful andGross amount classified as doubtful andloss (loss (RRbnbn))

    --18,218,28.38.310.210.2Market value of security held (Market value of security held (RRbnbn))

    64,264,263,563,5Efficiency ratio = costEfficiency ratio = cost--toto--incomeincome--ratioratio

    (smoothed) (%)(smoothed) (%)

    5,75,71484.81484.81404.81404.8Total assets (Total assets (RRbnbn))

    14,514,51108.31108.3967.9967.9Loans and advances (Loans and advances (RRbnbn))

    12,112,11126.91126.91004.91004.9Funding related liabilities to the publicFunding related liabilities to the public

    ((RRbnbn))

    22,322,3898.0898.0734.0734.0NonNon--bank funding (bank funding (RRbnbn))

    10,210,2122.5122.5111.1111.1Capital and reserves (Capital and reserves (RRbnbn))

    13,213,212,612,6Capital adequacy (%)Capital adequacy (%)

    --16,216,213.113.115.715.7Specific provisions (Specific provisions (RRbnbn))

    3,03,03,13,1Interest margin (%)Interest margin (%)

    %%GrowthGrowth

    NovemberNovember20042004

    NovemberNovember20032003

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    Agenda

    Banks and BankingBanks and BankingBanks and Banking

    Basel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking Supervision

    Basel IBasel IBasel I

    Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?

    ConclusionsConclusionsConclusions

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    Basel Committee on BankingSupervision [BCBS] FoundedFounded

    By central bank governors of G10By central bank governors of G10

    Date: 1974Date: 1974

    Focus: Banking supervisionFocus: Banking supervision

    ObjectivesObjectives

    Adequate supervisionAdequate supervision

    No internationally active bank should escapeNo internationally active bank should escape

    supervisionsupervision Meets 4 times per yearMeets 4 times per year

    Around 30 working groups / task forcesAround 30 working groups / task forces

    Location of secretariat: Basel, SwitzerlandLocation of secretariat: Basel, Switzerland

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    BCBS

    Legal nature: Voluntary associationLegal nature: Voluntary association

    AuthorityAuthority No formal supraNo formal supra--national authoritynational authority

    Thus, pronouncements: No legal forceThus, pronouncements: No legal force

    OutputOutput series of publicationsseries of publications

    Broad supervisory guidelinesBroad supervisory guidelines

    Statements of best practiceStatements of best practice

    Desired outcomesDesired outcomes

    Convergence in approachesConvergence in approaches

    Convergence in standardsConvergence in standards

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    Agenda

    Banks and BankingBanks and BankingBanks and Banking

    Basel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking Supervision

    Basel IBasel I

    Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?

    ConclusionsConclusionsConclusions

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    Basel I Basis is capital RationaleRationale

    Foundation for economic growthFoundation for economic growth Buffer against unexpected lossesBuffer against unexpected losses

    Inadequate capital leads toInadequate capital leads to

    Disruptions,Disruptions, egeg. of payments system. of payments system

    Inefficient allocation of capitalInefficient allocation of capital

    NoteNote

    No amount of capital will protect against weakNo amount of capital will protect against weakmanagementmanagement

    Even the best management may make mistakesEven the best management may make mistakes

    and are exposed to possibility of unexpectedand are exposed to possibility of unexpectedlosseslosses

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    Basel I - Achievements CapitalCapital

    Definition of capitalDefinition of capital

    first to be internationallyfirst to be internationally

    acceptedaccepted

    Capital adequacyCapital adequacy first international benchmarkfirst international benchmark

    Regulatory capital adequacyRegulatory capital adequacy -- AcceptedAccepted

    soundness indicatorsoundness indicator Risk management orientationRisk management orientation

    Credit risk: Simple measureCredit risk: Simple measure

    Market risk: Simple and advanced measuresMarket risk: Simple and advanced measures Simple to applySimple to apply contributed to its acceptancecontributed to its acceptance

    Outcome: Basel I adopted in over 100 countriesOutcome: Basel I adopted in over 100 countries

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    What changes have occurred since

    introduction of Basel I?

    GlobalisationGlobalisation

    Physical geography not an impediment toPhysical geography not an impediment tomovement of moneymovement of money

    Growth in crossGrowth in cross--border trade, finance,border trade, finance,

    investmentinvestment Technological advancesTechnological advances

    Computing power and storageComputing power and storage

    Networks and communicationsNetworks and communications Financial engineering (development of highlyFinancial engineering (development of highly

    sophisticated/complex products)sophisticated/complex products)

    The above causes precipitated the need for change

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    Which dimensions of Basel I have

    been highlighted by foregoingchanges?

    BackwardBackward

    --lookinglooking

    based on historic informationbased on historic information

    Risk approachRisk approach

    Limited risk sensitivityLimited risk sensitivity a blunt instrumenta blunt instrument

    Not comprehensiveNot comprehensive

    Regulatory arbitrageRegulatory arbitrage

    Simplistic and staticSimplistic and static

    Does not cater for sophisticated banksDoes not cater for sophisticated banks

    Not flexible and dynamicNot flexible and dynamic

    Growing divergence between regulatory andGrowing divergence between regulatory andeconomic capitaleconomic capital

    Did not keep up with market developmentsDid not keep up with market developments

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    Outcomes of developments RiskRisk

    Evolving methodologies for measuring and managingEvolving methodologies for measuring and managing New ways to unNew ways to un--bundle and transfer riskbundle and transfer risk

    Financial derivative instrumentsFinancial derivative instruments

    SecuritisationSecuritisation

    DataData -- improvements in technology andimprovements in technology andtelecommunications speed up collection and analysistelecommunications speed up collection and analysis

    Operational risk management as new disciplineOperational risk management as new discipline[Quantifying the risk of losses from failure of internal[Quantifying the risk of losses from failure of internal

    processes and systems versus damages from externalprocesses and systems versus damages from externaldisruptions]disruptions]

    Cause: Barriers of time and geography have been lowered

    Effect: Reduced life span of existing competitive strengths

    Outcome: Tidal wave of structural change

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    Basel I 1988 Accord

    Regulatory capital ratio =Qualifying capital

    Credit risk

    exposures

    Minimum regulatory capital ratio 8%=

    Capital

    Requirements

    Qualifying

    Capital

    Risk

    Exposures

    Minimum

    Ratio

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    Basel I 1988 Accord plus 1996additions

    Regulatory

    capitalratio

    =

    Regulatory capital

    RW Credit exposure + Capital for market risk x 12.5

    Minimum regulatory capital ratio 8%=

    Minimum

    Capital

    Requirements

    Qualifying

    Capital

    Risk

    Exposures

    Minimum

    Ratio

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    Basel I

    Guarantees from nonGuarantees from non--banksbanks

    All other irrevocable facilitiesAll other irrevocable facilities

    Residential mortgage exposuresResidential mortgage exposures --

    LTVLTV 80%80%

    50%50%

    --All other counterpartiesAll other counterparties100%100%

    Irrevocable facilities with longerIrrevocable facilities with longer

    maturitymaturity

    Public Sector Bodies in RSA, CMAPublic Sector Bodies in RSA, CMA

    & OECD banks& OECD banks

    20%20%

    Guarantees from RSA Banks &Guarantees from RSA Banks &

    OECD BanksOECD Banks

    RSA Public Sector BodiesRSA Public Sector Bodies

    Sovereigns in common monetarySovereigns in common monetary

    areaarea

    10%10%

    Irrevocable facilities with shortIrrevocable facilities with short

    maturitymaturity

    --5%5%

    CollateralCollateral cash & goldcash & gold

    Guarantees by Sovereign (RSA &Guarantees by Sovereign (RSA &

    OECD)OECD)

    SovereignSovereign RSA & OECDRSA & OECD

    IntragroupIntragroup advances to banksadvances to banks

    0%0%

    Credit Risk MitigationCredit Risk MitigationExposureExposureRiskRiskWeightWeight

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    Agenda

    Banks and bankingBanks and bankingBanks and banking

    Basel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking SupervisionBasel Committee on Banking Supervision

    Basel IBasel IBasel I Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?Is Basel II appropriate for South Africa?

    ConclusionConclusionConclusion

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    Realities for SA we have bothDevelopingDeveloping

    componentcomponentDevelopedDeveloped

    componentcomponent

    TheG

    reat

    Divid

    e60% of South Africans

    dont havetransactional

    bank account

    FinMark Trust

    International Accessto Finance

    e-Banking Stokvels

    Village BanksInformation Systems

    Data warehousing Lim it ed t elephone& int ernet AccessRisk Adj usted

    Return on Capit al No exposure rat ings

    I s Basel I I Appropriate for SA???

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    Per IMF and World Bank

    AvoidAvoid adoption at all costs approachadoption at all costs approach

    Priority is to ensure financial sector safety andPriority is to ensure financial sector safety andsoundness by ensuring compliance with B I, BCP,soundness by ensuring compliance with B I, BCP,

    IAS, etc.IAS, etc.

    FSAPFSAPss and Article 4 assessmentsand Article 4 assessments

    Will not negatively score nonWill not negatively score non--adoption of B IIadoption of B II Once a country decides to adopt B II, it will beOnce a country decides to adopt B II, it will be

    assessed based on the quality of its adoptionassessed based on the quality of its adoptionplans and its implementation of B IIplans and its implementation of B II

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    Is Basel II for SA? SASA

    Emerging marketEmerging market

    Sophisticated financial sectorSophisticated financial sector

    Important regional financial centreImportant regional financial centre

    Banking is one of the most global industriesBanking is one of the most global industries

    Physical boundaries have little relevance in the bankingPhysical boundaries have little relevance in the bankingindustry [money moves anywhere at the click of a button]industry [money moves anywhere at the click of a button]

    To play this game you must play by itsTo play this game you must play by its[international/universal] rules[international/universal] rules

    Outcome: > 100 countries committed to Basel IIOutcome: > 100 countries committed to Basel II

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    Pre-conditions to Basel II

    1) Banking industry developing1) Banking industry developing

    cultureculture

    of riskof risk

    management [Pillar I]management [Pillar I]

    2) Effective supervision exists2) Effective supervision exists

    Compliance withCompliance with

    Basel Core Principles for Effective SupervisionBasel Core Principles for Effective Supervision[Pillar II][Pillar II]

    3) Market has clear rules for disclosure and moving3) Market has clear rules for disclosure and movingto greater transparency [Pillar III]to greater transparency [Pillar III]

    Source: Making diligent preparations for Basel II; Speech by Jaime Caruana at ICBS held in Madrid, 2004 09 22

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    SAs state of readiness

    LegislationLegislation

    BanksBanks

    CompaniesCompanies

    InsolvencyInsolvency

    FICA/FAIS/Etc.FICA/FAIS/Etc. AccountingAccounting

    AuditingAuditing

    Corporate governanceCorporate governance Risk managementRisk management

    DisclosureDisclosure

    Payments systemPayments system

    SupervisionSupervision

    Up to standardUp to standard

    YesYes

    YesYes

    (?) Yes(?) Yes

    YesYes IFRS compliantIFRS compliant

    IAS compliantIAS compliant

    Best practiceBest practice Best practiceBest practice

    Best practiceBest practice

    Basel CPSS compliantBasel CPSS compliant

    BCP and B I compliantBCP and B I compliant

    Area Status quo

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    Agenda

    Banks and BankingBanks and BankingBanks and Banking

    Banking in South AfricaBanking in South AfricaBanking in South Africa

    Is Basel II appropriate for South AfricaIs Basel II appropriate for South AfricaIs Basel II appropriate for South Africa

    ConclusionsConclusions

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    Conclusions Why must SA change to B II?Why must SA change to B II?

    Events have overtaken Basel IEvents have overtaken Basel I

    Material economic and other benefits [cost of capital;Material economic and other benefits [cost of capital;

    credit ratings; pursuit of robust institutions and sector]credit ratings; pursuit of robust institutions and sector]

    Is SA capable and ready to change to B II?Is SA capable and ready to change to B II?

    Infrastructural framework is in placeInfrastructural framework is in place Standards and checks and balances OKStandards and checks and balances OK

    What are the implications of B II?What are the implications of B II? Improved safety and soundnessImproved safety and soundness

    Improved governance, risk management, etcImproved governance, risk management, etc

    Forward lookingForward looking

    QIS 4 and Economic Impact StudyQIS 4 and Economic Impact Study

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    The end

    Thank you for the opportunityThank you for the opportunity