Base de Datos Analisis Trabajo Final Regresion

Año IPC DTF Depositos PIB1923 3.3256719 38.45 171.524 2101399.4233861924 3.5797459 38.84 177.665 2227797.0478521925 3.7288068 37.06 177.432 2366301.9234921926 3.8751241 36.16 179.963 24972981927 4.0522291 34.43 177.136 2629065.297761928 4.3122473 32.95 178.466 2763403.2480471929 4.3785473 33.05 179.291 2897423.6625981930 4.5198351 33.65 183.629 30541371931 4.7263559 34.52 179.767 3227471.6333011932 4.9664079 34.49 179.036 3418808.6406251933 5.1014466 34.47 176.789 3637862.6066441934 5.3462234 34.53 181.61 38565841935 5.8046845 34.63 180.988 4091688.2740021936 6.3526125 34.93 178.082 4349423.815431937 6.3462112 35.54 181.97 4620083.3630371938 6.5464831 35.64 184.705 49658831939 7.119407 30.13 187.287 5362766.4995121940 7.2076547 30.5 185.012 5805752.8710941941 7.4117369 30.92 184.456 6311753.8140261942 7.9177512 32.07 187.149 67879561943 8.5687111 30.18 187.765 7269194.9968871944 8.9960797 30.66 185.969 7760500.3751945 9.2655476 30.7 187.7 8241410.0270391946 9.8197246 33.92 185.152 88244081947 10.827181 34.64 193.92 9469976.366151948 11.719412 36.38 194.545 10175939.218751949 11.952148 32.14 190.454 10973452.527761950 12.581465 31.85 189.886 117313481951 13.699957 32.69 192.028 12507868.21661952 14.488815 33.2 194.572 13316642.805661953 15.125437 32.7 189.881 14130927.1511954 15.867744 33.91 190.192 151267181955 17.48572 34.06 192.21 16244470.743771956 18.68725 35.04 192.443 17479787.664061957 19.6988 36.37 189.308 18859903.796171958 21.003498 37.52 189.513 202281221959 22.938527 36.13 189.608 21633616.129911960 24.482273 36.23 194.691 23074565.15431961 25.612088 38.62 193.417 24682938.99661962 26.637478 36.39 190.777 261066981963 29.152513 27.97 193.244 27597148.100481964 31.371883 22.11 192.443 29261561.756841965 32.507989 27.26 193.386 30417616.936631966 33.333333 26.98 194.535 33515046

1967 36.201907 26.09 196.129 37112768.130361968 38.079062 26.02 193.162 40596393.184571969 39.474346 24.26 199.493 380889871970 40.869631 26.37 200.524 180919141971 44.680557 25.31 203.593 151705121972 46.87099 28.3 209.461 162975501973 48.283888 30.94 204.365 175106511974 50.104426 37.87 192.342 185541491975 54.214791 34.63 207.422 196815971976 57.026748 33.75 209.87 206189261977 58.325155 29.79 212.043 216882551978 59.857578 32.4 214.828 224503311979 65.17073 32.9 210.78 235919391980 68.264513 31.36 211.69 244719141981 70.895297 28.12 210.758 257131951982 72.811454 27.73 213.477 269343411983 77.513148 25.12 206.843 276718861984 81.013311 22.87 206.715 297433061985 83.669258 22.72 204.21 314715291986 85.687325 23.89 204.979 328207801987 92.432249 27.02 203.528 346160681988 97.783146 35.4 203.769 355657581989 98.566971 35.16 205.31 355310991990 100 34.58 208.538 352402811991 104.92 24.79 210.165 356916221992 106.55 17.35 209.51 360108051993 107.76 17.51 211.447 380607281994 109.23 15.49 211.725 392790491995 115.12 10.58 214.886 409755401996 116.86 11.78 213.207 419400021997 117.68 12.82 211.156 429170741998 118.79 13.14 212.874 43871331.748071999 124.12 12.86 220.023 444843322000 126.12 12.6 218.401 462923132001 127.06 11.77 215.994 46549490

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresiónCoeficiente de correlac 0.8939857147Coeficiente de determi 0.7992104581R^2 ajustado 0.7911788764Error típico 6268258.0859938Observaciones 79

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertad Suma de cuadrados

Regresión 3 11729380415480800Residuos 75 2946829457447000Total 78 14676209872927800

Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción -18293929.6613247 24100761.8419715DTF -281505.294981717 151436.989030706IPC 208872.512013698 46626.7284017446Depositos 193456.684549318 128914.108324428

IPC y Depositos

Resumen




Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción 7218675.10735851 1061488.30901791IPC 303623.277793199 18131.8283587297

Resumen




Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción -89957702.1991693 20160483.4679331DTF -619001.887796385 146924.172466342Depositos 655871.263468786 86368.892172312

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F3909793471826950 99.5084766938 4.45971478578E-02639291059432626.7

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%-0.7590602231 0.4501956071 -66305109.2398111-1.8588938989 0.0669651687 -583183.2470254

4.479673337 2.63208475E-005 115987.3059305051.5006634034 0.1376409366 -63353.3883250526

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F11514346559512300 280.405759895 2.19608062633E-027

41063159914488.2

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%6.8005224796 0.000000002 5104981.84637321

16.7453205372 2.19608063E-027 267518.19487745

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F5470454066532880 111.3041296289 2.61244711132E-02349148707103448.4

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%-4.4620806015 2.76941001E-005 -130110784.919446

-4.213070439 6.85855471E-005 -911626.7377923077.5938367041 6.57161535E-011 483852.706603839

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%29717249.917162 -66305109.239811 29717249.917161820172.657061966 -583183.2470254 20172.6570619658301757.71809689 115987.305930505 301757.71809689450266.75742369 -63353.388325053 450266.757423689

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%9332368.3683438 5104981.84637321 9332368.36834381339728.36070895 267518.19487745 339728.360708947

Superior 95% Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%-49804619.478893 -130110784.91945 -49804619.4788929-326377.03780047 -911626.73779231 -326377.037800464827889.82033373 483852.706603839 827889.820333733

IPC DTF Depositos PIB3.32567192 38.45 171.524 2101399.423.57974594 38.84 177.665 2227797.053.72880677 37.06 177.432 2366301.923.87512414 36.16 179.963 24972984.05222912 34.43 177.136 2629065.34.31224728 32.95 178.466 2763403.254.37854734 33.05 179.291 2897423.664.51983506 33.65 183.629 30541374.72635593 34.52 179.767 3227471.634.96640787 34.49 179.036 3418808.645.10144661 34.47 176.789 3637862.615.34622338 34.53 181.61 38565845.80468447 34.63 180.988 4091688.276.35261255 34.93 178.082 4349423.826.34621116 35.54 181.97 4620083.366.54648307 35.64 184.705 49658837.11940702 30.13 187.287 5362766.57.20765469 30.5 185.012 5805752.877.41173694 30.92 184.456 6311753.817.91775118 32.07 187.149 67879568.56871107 30.18 187.765 72691958.99607973 30.66 185.969 7760500.389.26554755 30.7 187.7 8241410.03

9.8197246 33.92 185.152 882440810.8271807 34.64 193.92 9469976.3711.7194118 36.38 194.545 10175939.211.9521479 32.14 190.454 10973452.5

12.581465 31.85 189.886 1173134813.6999572 32.69 192.028 12507868.214.4888151 33.2 194.572 13316642.815.1254372 32.7 189.881 14130927.215.8677436 33.91 190.192 15126718

17.48572 34.06 192.21 16244470.718.6872499 35.04 192.443 17479787.719.6987997 36.37 189.308 18859903.821.0034976 37.52 189.513 20228122

22.938527 36.13 189.608 21633616.124.4822727 36.23 194.691 23074565.225.6120883 38.62 193.417 2468293926.6374777 36.39 190.777 2610669829.1525125 27.97 193.244 27597148.131.3718829 22.11 192.443 29261561.832.5079892 27.26 193.386 30417616.933.3333333 26.98 194.535 3351504636.2019074 26.09 196.129 37112768.138.0790619 26.02 193.162 40596393.239.4743464 24.26 199.493 38088987

40.8696309 26.37 200.524 1809191444.6805566 25.31 203.593 1517051246.8709897 28.3 209.461 1629755048.2838882 30.94 204.365 1751065150.1044262 37.87 192.342 1855414954.2147908 34.63 207.422 1968159757.0267482 33.75 209.87 2061892658.3251554 29.79 212.043 2168825559.8575778 32.4 214.828 2245033165.1707305 32.9 210.78 2359193968.2645127 31.36 211.69 24471914

70.895297 28.12 210.758 2571319572.8114542 27.73 213.477 2693434177.5131476 25.12 206.843 2767188681.0133112 22.87 206.715 2974330683.6692584 22.72 204.21 3147152985.6873254 23.89 204.979 3282078092.4322488 27.02 203.528 3461606897.7831459 35.4 203.769 3556575898.5669711 35.16 205.31 35531099

100 34.58 208.538 35240281104.92 24.79 210.165 35691622106.55 17.35 209.51 36010805107.76 17.51 211.447 38060728109.23 15.49 211.725 39279049115.12 10.58 214.886 40975540116.86 11.78 213.207 41940002117.68 12.82 211.156 42917074118.79 13.14 212.874 43871331.7124.12 12.86 220.023 44484332126.12 12.6 218.401 46292313127.06 11.77 215.994 46549490

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

35000000

40000000

45000000

50000000

f(x) = 904048.627494294x - 156915274.750043R² = 0.6860436387

Chart Title

PIB

DEPOSITO

PIB

IPC PIB Resumen

3.32567192 2101399.423.57974594 2227797.05 Estadísticas de la regresión

3.72880677 2366301.92 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.8857531216

3.87512414 2497298 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.7845585924

4.05222912 2629065.3 R^2 ajustado 0.781760652

4.31224728 2763403.25 Error típico 6408054.3002138

4.37854734 2897423.66 Observaciones 79

4.51983506 30541374.72635593 3227471.63 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA

4.96640787 3418808.64 Grados de libertad

5.10144661 3637862.61 Regresión 1

5.34622338 3856584 Residuos 77

5.80468447 4091688.27 Total 78

6.35261255 4349423.826.34621116 4620083.36 Coeficientes

6.54648307 4965883 Intercepción 7218675.1073585

7.11940702 5362766.5 IPC 303623.2777932

7.20765469 5805752.877.41173694 6311753.817.91775118 67879568.56871107 7269195 Análisis de los residuales

8.99607973 7760500.389.26554755 8241410.03 Observación Pronóstico PIB

9.8197246 8824408 1 8228426.5178155

10.8271807 9469976.37 2 8305569.3043065

11.7194118 10175939.2 3 8350827.6397523

11.9521479 10973452.5 4 8395252.999699

12.581465 11731348 5 8449026.1958013

13.6999572 12507868.2 6 8527973.76254

14.4888151 13316642.8 7 8548104.0037659

15.1254372 14130927.2 8 8591002.2419645

15.8677436 15126718 9 8653706.7864727

17.48572 16244470.7 10 8726592.1426354

18.6872499 17479787.7 11 8767593.047753

19.6987997 18859903.8 12 8841912.9728306

21.0034976 20228122 13 8981112.4339972

22.938527 21633616.1 14 9147476.1517146

24.4822727 23074565.2 15 9145532.5422169

25.6120883 24682939 16 9206339.753644

26.6374777 26106698 17 9380292.8036857

29.1525125 27597148.1 18 9407086.8489036

31.3718829 29261561.8 19 9469050.970746

32.5079892 30417616.9 20 9622688.6738953

33.3333333 33515046 21 9820335.2492418

36.2019074 37112768.1 22 9950094.3214197

38.0790619 40596393.2 23 10031911.025988

39.4743464 38088987 24 10200172.076787

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1400

50000000000000

100000000000000

150000000000000

200000000000000

250000000000000

300000000000000

350000000000000

400000000000000

450000000000000

500000000000000

f(x) = - 304799895635.885x + 53120140336963.6R² = 0.0210938668

Chart Title

U2

IPC

U2

40.8696309 18091914 25 10506059.190587

44.6805566 15170512 26 10776961.333429

46.8709897 16297550 27 10847625.421595

48.2838882 17510651 28 11038700.745782

50.1044262 18554149 29 11378301.025038

54.2147908 19681597 30 11617816.632567

57.0267482 20618926 31 11811109.929872

58.3251554 21688255 32 12036491.442539

59.8575778 22450331 33 12527746.73964

65.1707305 23591939 34 12892559.188109

68.2645127 24471914 35 13199689.249439

70.895297 25713195 36 13595825.908143

72.8114542 26934341 37 14183345.851333

77.5131476 27671886 38 14652062.997167

81.0133112 29743306 39 14995101.299498

83.6692584 31471529 40 15306433.389029

85.6873254 32820780 41 16070056.51415

92.4322488 34616068 42 16743909.036768

97.7831459 35565758 43 17088857.351918

98.5669711 35531099 44 17339451.033799

100 35240281 45 18210416.879359

104.92 35691622 46 18780364.704612

106.55 36010805 47 19204005.547913

107.76 38060728 48 19627646.391214

109.23 39279049 49 20784732.157093

115.12 40975540 50 21449798.620743

116.86 41940002 51 21878787.499938

117.68 42917074 52 22431545.209817

118.79 43871331.7 53 23679547.58589

124.12 44484332 54 24533323.316078

126.12 46292313 55 24927549.961964

127.06 46549490 56 25392829.084724

57 27006025.91183

58 27945370.216318

59 28744137.577313

60 29325927.482045

61 30753471.063124

62 31816202.195733

63 32622609.608004

64 33235341.720408

65 35283257.465167

66 36907914.369188

67 37145901.966462

68 37581002.886678

69 39074829.413421

70 39569735.356224

71 39937119.522354

72 40383445.74071

73 42171786.846912

74 42700091.350272

75 42949062.438062

76 43286084.276413

77 44904396.34705

78 45511642.902637

79 45797048.783762

Suma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F

1.15143466E+016 1.15143466E+016 280.405759895 2.196080626333E-027

3.16186331E+015 41063159914488

1.46762099E+016

Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%

1061488.3090179 6.8005224796 0.000000002 5104981.84637321 9332368.3683438

18131.82835873 16.7453205372 2.19608063E-027 267518.19487745 339728.36070895

Residuos U2 IPC U2

-6127027.09443 37540461015878 3.325671924 37540461015878.4

-6077772.256455 36939315601333 3.579745943 36939315601332.9

-5984525.71626 35814548048575 3.728806765 35814548048575

-5897954.999699 34785873178475 3.875124137 34785873178474.7

-5819960.898041 33871944854729 4.052229122 33871944854729.2

-5764570.514493 33230273216564 4.312247285 33230273216563.9

-5650680.341168 31930188318066 4.378547344 31930188318065.4

-5536865.241965 30656876707675 4.519835055 30656876707674.9

-5426235.153172 29444027937519 4.726355929 29444027937519.1

-5307783.50201 28172565704214 4.966407866 28172565704214

-5129730.441109 26314134398444 5.101446607 26314134398443.4

-4985328.972831 24853504967344 5.346223377 24853504967344.3

-4889424.159995 23906468616344 5.804684474 23906468616343.9

-4798052.336285 23021306221729 6.352612548 23021306221728.7

-4525449.17918 20479690273339 6.346211163 20479690273338.9

-4240456.753644 17981473479525 6.546483065 17981473479525.4

-4017526.304174 16140517604730 7.119407023 16140517604729.5

-3601333.97781 12969606419727 7.207654688 12969606419727.4

-3157297.15672 9968525335833 7.411736938 9968525335832.91

-2834732.673895 8035709332449 7.917751182 8035709332449.46

-2551140.252355 6508316587184 8.568711071 6508316587184.05

-2189593.94642 4794321650197.9 8.996079727 4794321650197.9

-1790500.99895 3205893827240 9.265547553 3205893827240.24

-1375764.076787 1892726794977 9.819724598 1892726794977.06

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1400

50000000000000

100000000000000

150000000000000

200000000000000

250000000000000

300000000000000

350000000000000

400000000000000

450000000000000

500000000000000

f(x) = - 304799895635.885x + 53120140336963.6R² = 0.0210938668

Chart Title

U2

IPC

U2

-1036082.824437 1073467619094 10.82718067 1073467619093.63

-601022.1146792 361227582333.43 11.71941181 361227582333.427

125827.10616122 15832460644.907 11.95214787 15832460644.9065

692647.25421771 479760218775.34 12.58146499 479760218775.336

1129567.1915604 1275922040250 13.69995722 1275922040249.54

1698826.1730967 2886010366398 14.48881508 2886010366398.49

2319817.2211294 5381551939449 15.12543721 5381551939448.54

3090226.5574614 9549500176440 15.86774364 9549500176439.87

3716724.0041345 13814037322910 17.48572004 13814037322909.9

4587228.4759532 21042665090596 18.68724994 21042665090595.5

5660214.5467345 32038028715065 19.69879973 32038028715064.6

6632296.0918568 43987351450060 21.00349765 43987351450059.5

7450270.2785806 55506527223901 22.93852696 55506527223901.3

8422502.1571295 70938542586852 24.48227272 70938542586851.7

9687837.6970995 93854199245342 25.61208827 93854199245342.1

10800264.610971 116645715666985 26.63747767 116645715666985

11527091.586329 132873840439614 29.15251252 132873840439614

12517652.720068 156691629620219 31.37188294 156691629620219

13328759.584712 177655832067062 32.50798923 177655832067062

16175594.966202 261649872510605 33.33333333 261649872510605

18902351.250997 357298882816059 36.20190735 357298882816059

21816028.479959 475939098638356 38.07906193 475939098638356

18884981.452087 356642524445666 39.47434639 356642524445666

-1535732.391214 2358473977424.8 40.86963086 2358473977424.8

-5614220.157093 31519467972308 44.6805566 31519467972307.9

-5152248.620742 26545665849943 46.87098966 26545665849942.5

-4368136.499937 19080616482086 48.28388818 19080616482085.7

-3877396.209817 15034201367906 50.10442616 15034201367906

-3997950.58589 15983608887222 54.21479077 15983608887221.4

-3914397.316078 15322506348120 57.02674819 15322506348119.6

-3239294.961963 10493031850602 58.32515538 10493031850601.8

-2942498.084723 8658294978601 59.85757782 8658294978601.28

-3414086.91183 11655989441528 65.17073048 11655989441527.7

-3473456.216318 12064898086680 68.26451272 12064898086679.8

-3030942.577313 9186612906967 70.89529705 9186612906966.62

-2391586.482045 5719685901098 72.81145417 5719685901098.41

-3081585.063124 9496166501266.2 77.51314763 9496166501266.2

-2072896.195733 4296898638285 81.01331119 4296898638284.54

-1151080.608004 1324986566124 83.66925845 1324986566123.56

-414561.7204075 171861420027.21 85.68732543 171861420027.208

-667189.4651665 445141782429.11 92.43224881 445141782429.113

-1342156.369188 1801383719352 97.78314587 1801383719352.18

-1614802.966462 2607588620494 98.56697114 2607588620494.14

-2340721.886678 5478978950775 100 5478978950775.14

-3383207.413421 11446092402226 104.92 11446092402226.2

-3558930.356224 12665985280452 106.55 12665985280451.4

-1876391.522354 3520845145160 107.76 3520845145160.42

-1104396.74071 1219692160890 109.23 1219692160889.98

-1196246.846912 1431006518746 115.12 1431006518745.79

-760089.3502717 577735820396.46 116.86 577735820396.458

-31988.43806212 1023260169.6539 117.68 1023260169.65386

585247.47165577 342514603079.47 118.79 342514603079.473

-420064.3470503 176454055662.82 124.12 176454055662.815

780670.09736328 609445800917.19 126.12 609445800917.19

752441.21623768 566167783893.24 127.06 566167783893.238

Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%

5104981.8463732 9332368.3683438

267518.19487745 339728.36070895

DTF PIB Resumen


37.06 2366301.92 Coeficiente de 0.74321522

36.16 2497298 Coeficiente d 0.55236886

34.43 2629065.3 R^2 ajustado 0.5465554732.95 2763403.25 Error típico 9236804.26

33.05 2897423.66 Observacione 79

33.65 305413734.52 3227471.63 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA34.49 3418808.64 Grados de libertadSuma de cuadrados34.47 3637862.61 Regresión 1 8.107E+01534.53 3856584 Residuos 77 6.570E+015

34.63 4091688.27 Total 78 1.468E+016

34.93 4349423.8235.54 4620083.36 Coeficientes Error típico35.64 4965883 Intercepción 61102747.1 4316497.99

30.13 5362766.5 DTF -1379959.74 141568.493


30.66 7760500.3830.7 8241410.03 Observación Pronóstico PIB Residuos

33.92 8824408 1 8043294.96 -5941895.54

34.64 9469976.37 2 7505110.66 -5277313.61

36.38 10175939.2 3 9961439.01 -7595137.08

32.14 10973452.5 4 11203402.8 -8706104.78

31.85 11731348 5 13590733.1 -10961668

32.69 12507868.2 6 15633073.6 -12869670

33.2 13316642.8 7 15495077.6 -12597654

32.7 14130927.2 8 14667101.7 -1161296533.91 15126718 9 13466536.8 -1023906534.06 16244470.7 10 13507935.5 -1008912735.04 17479787.7 11 13535534.7 -9897672.1436.37 18859903.8 12 13452737.2 -9596153.1637.52 20228122 13 13314741.2 -9223052.9136.13 21633616.1 14 12900753.3 -8551329.4536.23 23074565.2 15 12058977.8 -7438894.4538.62 24682939 16 11920981.8 -6955098.8436.39 26106698 17 19524560 -1416179427.97 27597148.1 18 19013974.9 -1320822222.11 29261561.8 19 18434391.8 -1212263827.26 30417616.9 20 16847438.1 -1005948226.98 33515046 21 19455562 -1218636726.09 37112768.1 22 18793181.4 -11032681

26.02 40596393.2 23 18737983 -10496573

24.26 38088987 24 14294512.6 -5470104.6

26.37 18091914 25 13300941.6 -3830965.2225.31 15170512 26 10899811.6 -723872.413

28.3 16297550 27 16750840.9 -5777388.4230.94 17510651 28 17151029.3 -5419681.2737.87 18554149 29 15991863.1 -3483994.8734.63 19681597 30 15288083.6 -1971440.8133.75 20618926 31 15978063.5 -1847136.3429.79 21688255 32 14308312.2 818405.799

32.4 22450331 33 14101318.2 2143152.532.9 23591939 34 12748957.7 4730829.97

31.36 24471914 35 10913611.2 7946292.5728.12 25713195 36 9326657.52 10901464.527.73 26934341 37 11244801.6 10388814.6

25.12 27671886 38 11106805.6 11967759.6

22.87 29743306 39 7808701.8 16874237.2

22.72 31471529 40 10886012 15220686

23.89 32820780 41 22505273.1 5091875.02

27.02 34616068 42 30591837.2 -1330275.43

35.4 35565758 43 23485044.5 6932572.4335.16 35531099 44 23871433.2 9643612.7734.58 35240281 45 25099597.4 12013170.724.79 35691622 46 25196194.6 15400198.617.35 36010805 47 27624923.7 10464063.317.51 38060728 48 24713208.7 -6621294.6715.49 39279049 49 26175966 -1100545410.58 40975540 50 22049886.4 -5752336.3711.78 41940002 51 18406792.6 -896141.64212.82 42917074 52 8843671.61 9710477.3913.14 43871331.7 53 13314741.2 6366855.8212.86 44484332 54 14529105.8 6089820.24

12.6 46292313 55 19993746.3 1694508.6511.77 46549490 56 16392051.4 6058279.58

57 15702071.5 7889867.4658 17827209.5 6644704.4559 22298279.1 3414915.8860 22836463.4 4097877.5861 26438158.4 1233727.6462 29543067.8 200238.2263 29750061.7 1721467.2664 28135508.8 4685271.1665 23816234.8 10799833.266 12252172.2 23313585.867 12583362.5 22947736.568 13383739.2 21856541.869 26893545.1 8798076.9370 37160445.6 -1149640.5771 36939652 1121075.9972 39727170.7 -448121.695

73 46502773 -552723374 44846821.3 -2906819.3575 43411663.2 -494589.21376 42970076.1 901255.65477 43356464.8 1127867.1878 43715254.4 2577058.6479 44860620.9 1688869.06

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F8.1067E+015 95.0166291 4.3879E-0158.5319E+013

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%14.15562971 3.9554E-023 52507501.55 69697992.7 52507501.5 69697992.7

-9.747647362 4.3879E-015 -1661858.63 -1098060.86 -1661858.63 -1098060.86

u2 DTF u23.5306E+013 38.45 3.5306E+0132.7850E+013 38.84 2.7850E+0135.7686E+013 37.06 5.7686E+0137.5796E+013 36.16 7.5796E+0131.2016E+014 34.43 1.2016E+0141.6563E+014 32.95 1.6563E+0141.5870E+014 33.05 1.5870E+0141.3486E+014 33.65 1.3486E+0141.0484E+014 34.52 1.0484E+0141.0179E+014 34.49 1.0179E+0149.7964E+013 34.47 9.7964E+0139.2086E+013 34.53 9.2086E+0138.5065E+013 34.63 8.5065E+0137.3125E+013 34.93 7.3125E+0135.5337E+013 35.54 5.5337E+0134.8373E+013 35.64 4.8373E+0132.0056E+014 30.13 2.0056E+0141.7446E+014 30.5 1.7446E+0141.4696E+014 30.92 1.4696E+0141.0119E+014 32.07 1.0119E+0141.4851E+014 30.18 1.4851E+0141.2172E+014 30.66 1.2172E+0141.1018E+014 30.7 1.1018E+0142.9922E+013 33.92 2.9922E+013

1.4676E+013 34.64 1.4676E+0135.2399E+011 36.38 5.2399E+0113.3378E+013 32.14 3.3378E+0132.9373E+013 31.85 2.9373E+0131.2138E+013 32.69 1.2138E+0133.8866E+012 33.2 3.8866E+0123.4119E+012 32.7 3.4119E+0126.6979E+011 33.91 6.6979E+0114.5931E+012 34.06 4.5931E+0122.2381E+013 35.04 2.2381E+0136.3144E+013 36.37 6.3144E+0131.1884E+014 37.52 1.1884E+0141.0793E+014 36.13 1.0793E+0141.4323E+014 36.23 1.4323E+0142.8474E+014 38.62 2.8474E+0142.3167E+014 36.39 2.3167E+0142.5927E+013 27.97 2.5927E+0131.7696E+012 22.11 1.7696E+0124.8061E+013 27.26 4.8061E+0139.2999E+013 26.98 9.2999E+0131.4432E+014 26.09 1.4432E+0142.3717E+014 26.02 2.3717E+0141.0950E+014 24.26 1.0950E+0144.3842E+013 26.37 4.3842E+0131.2112E+014 25.31 1.2112E+0143.3089E+013 28.3 3.3089E+0138.0307E+011 30.94 8.0307E+0119.4293E+013 37.87 9.4293E+0134.0537E+013 34.63 4.0537E+0133.7086E+013 33.75 3.7086E+0132.8714E+012 29.79 2.8714E+0123.6703E+013 32.4 3.6703E+0136.2250E+013 32.9 6.2250E+0134.4152E+013 31.36 4.4152E+0131.1662E+013 28.12 1.1662E+0131.6793E+013 27.73 1.6793E+0131.5221E+012 25.12 1.5221E+01240095344628 22.87 53446282.9634E+012 22.72 2.9634E+0122.1952E+013 23.89 2.1952E+0131.1664E+014 27.02 1.1664E+0145.4352E+014 35.4 5.4352E+0145.2660E+014 35.16 5.2660E+0144.7771E+014 34.58 4.7771E+0147.7406E+013 24.79 7.7406E+0131.3217E+012 17.35 1.3217E+0121.2568E+012 17.51 1.2568E+0122.0081E+011 15.49 2.0081E+011

3.0550E+013 10.58 3.0550E+0138.4496E+012 11.78 8.4496E+0122.4462E+011 12.82 2.4462E+0118.1226E+011 13.14 8.1226E+0111.2721E+012 12.86 1.2721E+0126.6412E+012 12.6 6.6412E+0122.8523E+012 11.77 2.8523E+012

Superior 95,0%

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 450

100000000000000

200000000000000

300000000000000

400000000000000

500000000000000

600000000000000

f(x) = 4935104074294.4x - 62889256204521.8R² = 0.1142217612

Chart Title

u2

DTF

U2

Depositos PIB Resumen


177.432 2366301.92 Coeficiente de 0.82827751

179.963 2497298 Coeficiente d 0.68604364

177.136 2629065.3 R^2 ajustado 0.68196628178.466 2763403.25 Error típico 7735639.77

179.291 2897423.66 Observacione 79

183.629 3054137179.767 3227471.63 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA179.036 3418808.64 Grados de libertadSuma de cuadrados176.789 3637862.61 Regresión 1 1.007E+016

181.61 3856584 Residuos 77 4.608E+015

180.988 4091688.27 Total 78 1.468E+016

178.082 4349423.82181.97 4620083.36 Coeficientes Error típico

184.705 4965883 Intercepción -156915275 13686984.6

187.287 5362766.5 Depositos 904048.627 69695.5743


185.969 7760500.38187.7 8241410.03 Observación Pronóstico PIB Residuos

185.152 8824408 1 -1849238 3950637.39

193.92 9469976.37 2 3702524.65 -1474727.61

194.545 10175939.2 3 3491881.32 -1125579.4

190.454 10973452.5 4 5780028.4 -3282730.4

189.886 11731348 5 3224282.93 -595217.632

192.028 12507868.2 6 4426667.6 -1663264.36

194.572 13316642.8 7 5172507.72 -2275084.06

189.881 14130927.2 8 9094270.67 -6040133.67190.192 15126718 9 5602834.87 -2375363.24

192.21 16244470.7 10 4941975.32 -1523166.68192.443 17479787.7 11 2910578.06 727284.551189.308 18859903.8 12 7268996.49 -3412412.49189.513 20228122 13 6706678.24 -2614990189.608 21633616.1 14 4079512.93 269910.884194.691 23074565.2 15 7594454 -2974370.63193.417 24682939 16 10067027 -5101144190.777 26106698 17 12401280.5 -7038514193.244 27597148.1 18 10344569.9 -4538817192.443 29261561.8 19 9841918.88 -3530165.07193.386 30417616.9 20 12276521.8 -5488565.84194.535 33515046 21 12833415.8 -5564220.79196.129 37112768.1 22 11209744.5 -3449244.08

193.162 40596393.2 23 12774652.6 -4533242.6

199.493 38088987 24 10471136.7 -1646728.73

200.524 18091914 25 18397835.1 -8927858.73203.593 15170512 26 18962865.5 -8786926.27209.461 16297550 27 15264402.6 -4290950204.365 17510651 28 14750902.9 -3019554.93192.342 18554149 29 16687375.1 -4179506.87207.422 19681597 30 18987274.8 -5670632

209.87 20618926 31 14746382.7 -615455.536212.043 21688255 32 15027541.8 99176.1896214.828 22450331 33 16851911.9 -607441.197

210.78 23591939 34 17062555.3 417232.393211.69 24471914 35 14228362.8 4631540.97

210.758 25713195 36 14413692.8 5814429.21213.477 26934341 37 14499577.4 7134038.72

206.843 27671886 38 19094856.6 3979708.57

206.715 29743306 39 17943098.6 6739840.36

204.21 31471529 40 15556410.3 10550287.7

204.979 32820780 41 17786698.2 9810449.88

203.528 34616068 42 17062555.3 12199006.5

203.769 35565758 43 17915073.1 12502543.8205.31 35531099 44 18953825 14561221

208.538 35240281 45 20394878.5 16717889.6210.165 35691622 46 17712566.2 22883827

209.51 36010805 47 23436098.1 14652888.9211.447 38060728 48 24368172.2 -6276258.23211.725 39279049 49 27142697.5 -11972185214.886 40975540 50 32447654.8 -16150105213.207 41940002 51 27840623 -10329972211.156 42917074 52 16971246.4 1582902.64212.874 43871331.7 53 30604299.7 -10922703220.023 44484332 54 32817410.7 -12198485218.401 46292313 55 34781908.4 -13093653215.994 46549490 56 37299683.8 -14849353

57 33640095 -1004815658 34462779.2 -9990865.259 33620205.9 -7907010.8860 36078314.1 -9143973.161 30080855.5 -2408969.5162 29965137.3 -221831.28263 27700495.5 3771033.5364 28395708.9 4425071.1365 27083934.3 7532133.6966 27301810 8263947.9767 28694949 6836150.0468 31613217.9 3627063.0769 33084105 2607516.9570 32491953.2 3518851.871 34243095.4 3817632.6172 34494420.9 4784628.09

73 37352118.6 3623421.3874 35834221 6105781.0375 33980017.2 8937056.7676 35533172.8 8338158.9777 41996216.4 2488115.5878 40529849.5 5762463.4679 38353804.5 8195685.5

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F1.0069E+016 168.257015 4.6355E-0215.9840E+013

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%-11.46456138 2.5333E-018 -184169543 -129661007 -184169543 -12966100712.97139218 4.6355E-021 765267.009 1042830.25 765267.009 1042830.25

U2 Depositos U21.5608E+013 171.524 29420.48262.1748E+012 177.665 31564.85221.2669E+012 177.432 31482.11461.0776E+013 179.963 32386.68143.5428E+011 177.136 31377.16252.7664E+012 178.466 31850.11325.1760E+012 179.291 32145.26273.6483E+013 183.629 33719.60965.6424E+012 179.767 32316.17432.3200E+012 179.036 32053.88935.2894E+011 176.789 31254.35051.1645E+013 181.61 32982.19216.8382E+012 180.988 32756.656172851885320 178.082 31713.19878.8469E+012 181.97 33113.08092.6022E+013 184.705 34115.9374.9541E+013 187.287 35076.42042.0601E+013 185.012 34229.44011.2462E+013 184.456 34024.01593.0124E+013 187.149 35024.74823.0961E+013 187.765 35255.69521.1897E+013 185.969 34584.4692.0550E+013 187.7 35231.292.7117E+012 185.152 34281.2631

7.9707E+013 193.92 37604.96647.7210E+013 194.545 37847.7571.8412E+013 190.454 36272.72619.1177E+012 189.886 36056.6931.7468E+013 192.028 36874.75283.2156E+013 194.572 37858.26323.7879E+011 189.881 36054.79429835916593 190.192 36172.9969

3.6898E+011 192.21 36944.68411.7408E+011 192.443 37034.30822.1451E+013 189.308 35837.51893.3808E+013 189.513 35915.17725.0895E+013 189.608 35951.19371.5838E+013 194.691 37904.58554.5425E+013 193.417 37410.13591.1131E+014 190.777 36395.86379.6245E+013 193.244 37343.24351.4882E+014 192.443 37034.30821.5631E+014 193.386 37398.1452.1203E+014 194.535 37843.86622.7949E+014 196.129 38466.58465.2367E+014 193.162 37311.55822.1471E+014 199.493 39797.4573.9391E+013 200.524 40209.87461.4333E+014 203.593 41450.10962.6083E+014 209.461 43873.91051.0671E+014 204.365 41765.05322.5056E+012 192.342 36995.4451.1931E+014 207.422 43023.88611.4880E+014 209.87 44045.41691.7144E+014 212.043 44962.23382.2050E+014 214.828 46151.06961.0097E+014 210.78 44428.20849.9817E+013 211.69 44812.65616.2521E+013 210.758 44418.93468.3612E+013 213.477 45572.42955.8031E+012 206.843 42784.026649209117869 206.715 42731.09121.4221E+013 204.21 41701.72411.9581E+013 204.979 42016.39045.6733E+013 203.528 41423.64686.8293E+013 203.769 41521.80544.6733E+013 205.31 42152.19611.3156E+013 208.538 43488.09746.7991E+012 210.165 44169.32721.2382E+013 209.51 43894.44011.4574E+013 211.447 44709.83382.2893E+013 211.725 44827.4756

150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

f(x) = 393.2635990613x - 38507.7071192475R² = 0.999177918

Chart Title

U2

DEPOSITOS

U2

1.3129E+013 214.886 46175.9933.7281E+013 213.207 45457.22487.9871E+013 211.156 44586.85636.9525E+013 212.874 45315.33996.1907E+012 220.023 48410.12053.3206E+013 218.401 47698.99686.7169E+013 215.994 46653.408

Superior 95,0%

150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

f(x) = 393.2635990613x - 38507.7071192475R² = 0.999177918

Chart Title

U2

DEPOSITOS

U2

150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 2300

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

f(x) = 393.2635990613x - 38507.7071192475R² = 0.999177918

Chart Title

U2

DEPOSITOS

U2

IPC Depositos PIB IPC 2 Depositos 2 IPC * Depositos3.32567192 171.524 2101399.42 11.0600937 29420.4826 570.4325511076

3.57974594 177.665 2227797.05 12.814581 31564.8522 635.9955630025

3.72880677 177.432 2366301.92 13.9039999 31482.1146 661.6096420134

3.87512414 179.963 2497298 15.0165871 32386.6814 697.3789650723

4.05222912 177.136 2629065.3 16.4205609 31377.1625 717.7956577854.31224728 178.466 2763403.25 18.5954766 31850.1132 769.5895238796

4.37854734 179.291 2897423.66 19.1716768 32145.2627 785.0341317642

4.51983506 183.629 3054137 20.4289089 33719.6096 829.9727913886

4.72635593 179.767 3227471.63 22.3384404 32316.1743 849.64282624944.96640787 179.036 3418808.64 24.6652071 32053.8893 889.16579878215.10144661 176.789 3637862.61 26.0247575 31254.3505 901.87964425745.34622338 181.61 3856584 28.5821044 32982.1921 970.9276274567

5.80468447 180.988 4091688.27 33.6943618 32756.6561 1050.578233632

6.35261255 178.082 4349423.82 40.3556862 31713.1987 1131.285947762

6.34621116 181.97 4620083.36 40.2743961 33113.0809 1154.8200453196.54648307 184.705 4965883 42.8564405 34115.937 1209.1681545657.11940702 187.287 5362766.5 50.6859564 35076.4204 1333.372383154

7.20765469 185.012 5805752.87 51.9502861 34229.4401 1333.50260912

7.41173694 184.456 6311753.81 54.9338444 34024.0159 1367.139348715

7.91775118 187.149 6787956 62.6907838 35024.7482 1481.799215903

8.56871107 187.765 7269195 73.4228094 35255.6952 1608.904034273

8.99607973 185.969 7760500.38 80.9294505 34584.469 1672.991950788

9.26554755 187.7 8241410.03 85.8503715 35231.29 1739.1432757229.8197246 185.152 8824408 96.4269912 34281.2631 1818.141648743

10.8271807 193.92 9469976.37 117.227841 37604.9664 2099.606874852

11.7194118 194.545 10175939.2 137.344613 37847.757 2279.952969622

11.9521479 190.454 10973452.5 142.853839 36272.7261 2276.334371234

12.581465 189.886 11731348 158.293261 36056.693 2389.04406029

13.6999572 192.028 12507868.2 187.688828 36874.7528 2630.775385622

14.4888151 194.572 13316642.8 209.925762 37858.2632 2819.117727284

15.1254372 189.881 14130927.2 228.778851 36054.7942 2872.03314209515.8677436 190.192 15126718 251.785288 36172.9969 3017.917898392

17.48572 192.21 16244470.7 305.750405 36944.6841 3360.93024835818.6872499 192.443 17479787.7 349.21331 37034.3082 3596.23044085519.6987997 189.308 18859903.8 388.042711 35837.5189 3729.14037895421.0034976 189.513 20228122 441.146913 35915.1772 3980.435849626

22.938527 189.608 21633616.1 526.176019 35951.1937 4349.32822022624.4822727 194.691 23074565.2 599.381677 37904.5855 4766.47815731925.6120883 193.417 24682939 655.979066 37410.1359 4953.8132772226.6374777 190.777 26106698 709.555217 36395.8637 5081.81807704929.1525125 193.244 27597148.1 849.868986 37343.2435 5633.54812913631.3718829 192.443 29261561.8 984.195039 37034.3082 6037.29926901732.5079892 193.386 30417616.9 1056.76936 37398.145 6286.59000528433.3333333 194.535 33515046 1111.11111 37843.8662 6484.536.2019074 196.129 37112768.1 1310.5781 38466.5846 7100.243886666

38.0790619 193.162 40596393.2 1450.01496 37311.5582 7355.427759744

39.4743464 199.493 38088987 1558.22402 39797.457 7874.855784958

40.8696309 200.524 18091914 1670.32673 40209.8746 8195.34185853444.6805566 203.593 15170512 1996.35214 41450.1096 9096.6485606846.8709897 209.461 16297550 2196.88967 43873.9105 9817.64436476248.2838882 204.365 17510651 2331.33386 41765.0532 9867.53680707650.1044262 192.342 18554149 2510.45352 36995.445 9637.18553634854.2147908 207.422 19681597 2939.24354 43023.8861 11245.3403311457.0267482 209.87 20618926 3252.05001 44045.4169 11968.2036435958.3251554 212.043 21688255 3401.82375 44962.2338 12367.4409224759.8575778 214.828 22450331 3582.92962 46151.0696 12859.0837271365.1707305 210.78 23591939 4247.22411 44428.2084 13736.6865705468.2645127 211.69 24471914 4660.0437 44812.6561 14450.91469767

70.895297 210.758 25713195 5026.14314 44418.9346 14941.7510153272.8114542 213.477 26934341 5301.50786 45572.4295 15543.57080094

77.5131476 206.843 27671886 6008.28806 42784.0266 16033.05199542

81.0133112 206.715 29743306 6563.15659 42731.0912 16746.66662263

83.6692584 204.21 31471529 7000.54481 41701.7241 17086.09926776

85.6873254 204.979 32820780 7342.31774 42016.3904 17564.10227976

92.4322488 203.528 34616068 8543.72062 41423.6468 18812.55073602

97.7831459 203.769 35565758 9561.54362 41521.8054 19925.1738506898.5669711 205.31 35531099 9715.4478 42152.1961 20236.78484437

100 208.538 35240281 10000 43488.0974 20853.8104.92 210.165 35691622 11008.2064 44169.3272 22050.5118106.55 209.51 36010805 11352.9025 43894.4401 22323.2905107.76 211.447 38060728 11612.2176 44709.8338 22785.52872109.23 211.725 39279049 11931.1929 44827.4756 23126.72175115.12 214.886 40975540 13252.6144 46175.993 24737.67632116.86 213.207 41940002 13656.2596 45457.2248 24915.37002117.68 211.156 42917074 13848.5824 44586.8563 24848.83808118.79 212.874 43871331.7 14111.0641 45315.3399 25287.30246124.12 220.023 44484332 15405.7744 48410.1205 27309.25476126.12 218.401 46292313 15906.2544 47698.9968 27544.73412127.06 215.994 46549490 16144.2436 46653.408 27444.19764

Estadistico del modelo (punto) = nR^279*0,229813044367418.1552305

p valor 11.0704977

$=$=

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresiónCoeficiente de 0.88879663Coeficiente d 0.78995945R^2 ajustado 0.78443207Error típico 6368713.81Observacione 79

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadrados

Regresión 2 1.159E+016Residuos 76 3.083E+015Total 78 1.468E+016

Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción -26413347 24081498.6IPC 251992.698 41095.2773Depositos 182924.584 130853.536

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico PIB Residuos1 5800654.39 -36992552 6988019.06 -47602223 6982959.87 -46166584 7482812.91 -4985514.915 7010314.27 -43812496 7319126.64 -4555723.47 7486746.56 -4589322.898 8315876.88 -5261739.889 7661463.88 -4433992.25

10 7588237.35 -4169428.7111 7211234.58 -357337212 8154795.96 -429821213 8156545.72 -4064857.4514 7763040.75 -3413616.9415 8472638.43 -3852555.0716 9023404.23 -4057521.2317 9640088.16 -4277321.6618 9246172.5 -3440419.6319 9195893.67 -2884139.8520 9816021.47 -3028065.4721 10092740.1 -2823545.1522 9871901.38 -211140123 10256447.8 -2015037.73

24 9930004.48 -1105596.4825 11787758.8 -2317782.4526 12126922.4 -1950983.1927 11437225.7 -463773.19628 11491907.9 239440.12329 12165584.2 342284.00330 12829730.8 486912.03131 12132055.7 1998871.4732 12376001 2750716.9833 13152861.1 3091609.6734 13498259.3 3981528.435 13179693.9 5680209.9436 13545967.7 6682154.2637 14050958.8 7582657.338 15369777.2 770478839 15421436.5 9261502.4940 15196906.2 10909791.841 16281951.6 11315196.542 16694694.2 12566867.643 17153482.5 13264134.444 17571643.6 15943402.445 18586085.1 18526683.146 18516377.1 22080016.147 20026074.1 18062912.948 20566270.8 -2474356.8549 22087991.9 -6917479.8650 23713366.5 -7415816.4551 23137222.9 -5626571.8852 21396682.9 -2842533.8853 25190967.5 -5509370.4854 26347359.6 -5728433.655 27072043.9 -5383788.8656 27967648.1 -5517317.0957 28566045 -497410658 29512117 -504020359 30004569.7 -4291374.6860 30984799.2 -4050458.2361 30956070 -328418462 31814671.3 -2071365.2763 32025724.5 -554195.50164 32674931.7 145848.34965 34109179.5 506888.4866 35501651.3 64106.667967 35981056.4 -449957.36168 36932649.7 -1692368.7369 38470072.1 -2778450.170 38761004.6 -2750199.671 39420240.7 -1359512.68

72 39841523 -562473.98273 41903984.6 -928444.58574 42035321.5 -95319.502875 41866777.2 1050296.8176 42460753.5 1410578.2277 45111602.5 -627270.45878 45318884.2 973428.82279 45115457.8 1434032.16

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresiónCoeficiente de 0.4793882Coeficiente d 0.22981304R^2 ajustado 0.17706051Error típico 7.473E+013Observacione 79

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadrados

Regresión 5 1.216E+029Residuos 73 4.077E+029Total 78 5.293E+029

Coeficientes Error típicoIntercepción -1.876E+016 8.562E+015IPC -6.364E+013 3.372E+013Depositos 2.081E+014 9.403E+013IPC 2 -9.454E+010 3.469E+010Depositos 2 -5.768E+011 2.583E+011IPC * Deposit 3.738E+011 1.865E+011

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico U2 Residuos1 -3.294E+013 4.662E+0132 1.656E+013 6.099E+0123 1.577E+013 5.541E+0124 2.478E+013 7.471E+0105 1.488E+013 4.314E+0126 2.152E+013 -7.665E+0117 2.450E+013 -3.434E+0128 2.702E+013 6.625E+011

9 2.671E+013 -7.048E+01210 2.512E+013 -7.735E+01211 1.463E+013 -1.859E+01212 3.146E+013 -1.298E+01313 3.220E+013 -1.567E+01314 2.387E+013 -1.222E+01315 3.489E+013 -2.005E+01316 3.304E+013 -1.657E+01317 2.569E+013 -7.390E+01218 3.501E+013 -2.317E+01319 3.708E+013 -2.876E+01320 3.031E+013 -2.114E+01321 3.039E+013 -2.242E+01322 3.978E+013 -3.532E+01323 3.410E+013 -3.004E+01324 4.499E+013 -4.377E+01325 -7.985E+012 1.336E+01326 -9.204E+012 1.301E+01327 3.107E+013 -3.086E+01328 3.808E+013 -3.802E+01329 2.847E+013 -2.835E+01330 8.800E+012 -8.563E+01231 5.012E+013 -4.613E+01332 5.180E+013 -4.423E+01333 4.688E+013 -3.732E+01334 5.106E+013 -3.521E+01335 7.048E+013 -3.822E+01336 7.425E+013 -2.959E+01337 7.996E+013 -2.246E+01338 6.201E+013 -2.647E+01239 7.481E+013 1.096E+01340 8.788E+013 3.115E+01341 8.784E+013 4.019E+01342 9.630E+013 6.162E+01343 9.675E+013 7.919E+01344 9.513E+013 1.591E+01445 9.650E+013 2.467E+01446 1.079E+014 3.796E+01447 8.694E+013 2.393E+01448 8.406E+013 -7.794E+01349 7.107E+013 -2.321E+01350 5.574E+012 4.942E+01351 7.728E+013 -4.562E+01352 1.070E+014 -9.890E+01353 6.762E+013 -3.727E+01354 4.964E+013 -1.682E+01355 2.557E+013 3.418E+01256 -1.133E+013 4.177E+013

57 6.698E+013 -4.224E+01358 6.572E+013 -4.032E+01359 8.028E+013 -6.187E+01360 5.789E+013 -4.148E+01361 1.024E+014 -9.157E+01362 9.780E+013 -9.351E+01363 8.665E+013 -8.634E+01364 8.316E+013 -8.314E+01365 4.691E+013 -4.665E+01366 1.962E+013 -1.962E+01367 2.882E+013 -2.861E+01368 4.271E+013 -3.985E+01369 2.736E+013 -1.964E+01370 1.523E+013 -7.667E+01271 1.936E+013 -1.751E+01372 1.321E+013 -1.289E+01373 -4.230E+012 5.092E+01274 -2.159E+013 2.160E+01375 -4.170E+013 4.280E+01376 -3.584E+013 3.783E+01377 -3.864E+013 3.904E+01378 -5.264E+013 5.359E+01379 -7.046E+013 7.251E+013

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F681E+015 142.917447 1.7682E-026

5605E+013

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%-1.096831531 0.27617828 -74375808 21549114.2 -74375808 21549114.26.1319137994 3.5980E-008 170144.36 333841.036 170144.36 333841.0361.3979338259 0.16619975 -77692.8193 443541.988 -77692.8193 443541.988

U236845E+013

6597E+0133135E+0138554E+0131953E+0137546E+0130619E+0136859E+0136603E+0133841E+0137690E+0134746E+0135231E+013

16528E+0138422E+0134635E+0132955E+0138365E+0131826E+0126918E+0127241E+0125801E+0126038E+012

2234E+0127212E+0120634E+012085577641

573315724301583388610833255989549E+0126644E+012

55805E+0128526E+0132648E+0136512E+0134967E+0133638E+0137754E+0139024E+0148034E+0147926E+0145937E+0144192E+0143238E+0147527E+0146269E+0142244E+0128515E+0139943E+0136583E+0138000E+0123532E+0138150E+0139852E+013

04408E+0137417E+0134036E+0134159E+0134062E+0137859E+0139055E+012132653771

21271740920935931041

41096648664616265366411E+0121978E+0126360E+0124827E+012

376980570009347489

90858076120312E+0128973E+0124682270795636710135645E+012

Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F2.43299E+028 4.35643635 0.00158975.58481E+027

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%-2.191591179 0.03159966 -3.583E+016 -1.700E+015 -3.583E+016 -1.700E+015-1.887227435 0.06310548 -1.308E+014 3.567E+012 -1.308E+014 3.567E+0122.213510904 0.02998737 2.073E+013 3.955E+014 2.073E+013 3.955E+014

-2.725089876 0.00804099 -1.637E+011 -2.540E+010 -1.637E+011 -2.540E+010-2.233150176 0.02860459 -1.091E+012 -6.202E+010 -1.091E+012 -6.202E+0102.004483975 0.04872796 2142139950 7.455E+011 2142139950 7.455E+011

IPC Depositos IPC 2 Depositos 23.32567192 171.524 11.0600937 29420.4826

3.57974594 177.665 12.814581 31564.8522

3.72880677 177.432 13.9039999 31482.1146

3.87512414 179.963 15.0165871 32386.6814

4.05222912 177.136 16.4205609 31377.16254.31224728 178.466 18.5954766 31850.1132

4.37854734 179.291 19.1716768 32145.2627

4.51983506 183.629 20.4289089 33719.6096

4.72635593 179.767 22.3384404 32316.17434.96640787 179.036 24.6652071 32053.88935.10144661 176.789 26.0247575 31254.35055.34622338 181.61 28.5821044 32982.1921

5.80468447 180.988 33.6943618 32756.6561

6.35261255 178.082 40.3556862 31713.1987Superior 95,0% 6.34621116 181.97 40.2743961 33113.0809

6.54648307 184.705 42.8564405 34115.9377.11940702 187.287 50.6859564 35076.4204

7.20765469 185.012 51.9502861 34229.4401

7.41173694 184.456 54.9338444 34024.0159

7.91775118 187.149 62.6907838 35024.7482

8.56871107 187.765 73.4228094 35255.6952

8.99607973 185.969 80.9294505 34584.469

9.26554755 187.7 85.8503715 35231.299.8197246 185.152 96.4269912 34281.2631

10.8271807 193.92 117.227841 37604.9664

11.7194118 194.545 137.344613 37847.757

11.9521479 190.454 142.853839 36272.7261

12.581465 189.886 158.293261 36056.693

13.6999572 192.028 187.688828 36874.7528

14.4888151 194.572 209.925762 37858.2632

15.1254372 189.881 228.778851 36054.794215.8677436 190.192 251.785288 36172.9969

17.48572 192.21 305.750405 36944.684118.6872499 192.443 349.21331 37034.308219.6987997 189.308 388.042711 35837.518921.0034976 189.513 441.146913 35915.1772

22.938527 189.608 526.176019 35951.193724.4822727 194.691 599.381677 37904.585525.6120883 193.417 655.979066 37410.135926.6374777 190.777 709.555217 36395.863729.1525125 193.244 849.868986 37343.243531.3718829 192.443 984.195039 37034.308232.5079892 193.386 1056.76936 37398.14533.3333333 194.535 1111.11111 37843.866236.2019074 196.129 1310.5781 38466.5846

38.0790619 193.162 1450.01496 37311.5582

39.4743464 199.493 1558.22402 39797.457

40.8696309 200.524 1670.32673 40209.874644.6805566 203.593 1996.35214 41450.109646.8709897 209.461 2196.88967 43873.910548.2838882 204.365 2331.33386 41765.053250.1044262 192.342 2510.45352 36995.44554.2147908 207.422 2939.24354 43023.886157.0267482 209.87 3252.05001 44045.416958.3251554 212.043 3401.82375 44962.233859.8575778 214.828 3582.92962 46151.069665.1707305 210.78 4247.22411 44428.208468.2645127 211.69 4660.0437 44812.6561

70.895297 210.758 5026.14314 44418.934672.8114542 213.477 5301.50786 45572.4295

77.5131476 206.843 6008.28806 42784.0266

81.0133112 206.715 6563.15659 42731.0912

83.6692584 204.21 7000.54481 41701.7241

85.6873254 204.979 7342.31774 42016.3904

92.4322488 203.528 8543.72062 41423.6468

97.7831459 203.769 9561.54362 41521.805498.5669711 205.31 9715.4478 42152.1961

100 208.538 10000 43488.0974104.92 210.165 11008.2064 44169.3272106.55 209.51 11352.9025 43894.4401107.76 211.447 11612.2176 44709.8338109.23 211.725 11931.1929 44827.4756115.12 214.886 13252.6144 46175.993116.86 213.207 13656.2596 45457.2248117.68 211.156 13848.5824 44586.8563118.79 212.874 14111.0641 45315.3399124.12 220.023 15405.7744 48410.1205126.12 218.401 15906.2544 47698.9968127.06 215.994 16144.2436 46653.408

Superior 95,0%

IPC * Depositos570.4325511076635.9955630025661.6096420134697.3789650723

717.795657785769.5895238796785.0341317642829.9727913886849.6428262494889.1657987821901.8796442574970.9276274567

1050.57823363251131.28594776241154.8200453194

1209.1681545651333.37238315361333.50260911981367.13934871531481.79921590281608.90403427321672.99195078751739.14327572241818.14164874272099.60687485192279.95296962182276.33437123442389.04406029042630.77538562192819.11772728422872.03314209513017.91789839213360.93024835813596.23044085453729.14037895373980.4358496263

4349.3282202264766.4781573186

4953.813277225081.81807704895633.54812913626037.29926901696286.5900052842

6484.57100.24388666627355.42775974447874.8557849576

8195.3418585349096.64856068049817.64436476189867.53680707589637.1855363479

11245.340331144211968.2036435923

12367.44092247312859.083727133213736.686570544314450.914697667414941.751015324215543.570800936116033.051995420316746.666622631517086.099267758717564.102279761518812.550736015719925.173850683220236.7848443673

20853.822050.511822323.2905

22785.5287223126.7217524737.6763224915.3700224848.8380825287.3024627309.2547627544.7341227444.19764

Documents

Base de Datos Analisis Trabajo Final Regresion