bank rating

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    1/17

    Rating of Indian commercial banks: A DEA approach

    Asish Saha *, T.S. Ravisankar

    National Institute of Bank Management, NIBM Post Oce, Kondhwe Khurd, Pune 411 048, India

    Received 7 July 1998; accepted 25 January 1999

    Abstract

    Signicant changes have been taking place in the Indian banking scenario under the nancial sector reform initiatives

    of the Government of India and the Reserve Bank of India since the early 1990s. As the country's banking system,

    which is still dominated by the Public Sector Banks, is on the threshold of the new millennium, eciency issues are

    gradually emerging as the touchstone of success. There is an emergent need for a comprehensive framework for

    measuring eciency of Indian banks both from the point of view of the investors as also the regulators. The present

    paper, based on empirical analysis, suggests that Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) could be a suitable approach

    towards measuring the relative eciency of banks in the Indian context. 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights re-

    served.

    Keywords: Indian banks; Eciency; Productivity; Rating; Data envelope analysis

    1. Introduction

    Indian banking is passing through a major

    phase of transformation under the Financial Sec-

    tor Reform initiatives launched by the Govern-

    ment of India since the last vesix years, underthe framework provided by the Narasimhan

    Committee (1991). The major thrust during the

    rst phase of reforms beginning from April 1992

    was to ensure increasing the competitive strength

    of the system through a process of cleaning-up of

    the balance sheets of the banks from past loan-

    losses and also through infusion of fresh capital

    (from the government and/or market) in order to

    achieve the international standards of capital ad-

    equacy requirements. It is pertinent to point out at

    this stage that about 60% of the total bankingbusiness is still accounted for by the government-

    owned banks and about 25% is in the hands of the

    State Bank of India and its seven subsidiaries.

    Foreign banks and banks in the private and co-

    operative sectors account for the rest of the busi-

    ness. After reporting major set-backs in terms of

    both operating and net prot during the rst two

    years of reform, because of the stringent require-

    ments of asset-classication, income recognition

    and provisioning guidelines, most of the banks

    European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203www.elsevier.com/locate/dsw

    * Corresponding author. Tel.: +91-020-673-080; fax: +91-020-

    674-478.

    E-mail address: [email protected] (A. Saha).

    0377-2217/00/$ - see front matter 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

    PII: S 0 3 7 7 - 2 2 1 7 ( 9 9 ) 0 0 1 6 7 - 8

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    2/17

    bounced back to prot at the close of the ac-

    counting year 199596: of the 27 banks in the

    public sector as many as 24 showed operating

    prot and 19 of them also recorded net prot

    during this period. With most of the public sector

    banks showing distinct signs of improvement in

    nancial health at that time, the country's central

    bank was contemplating an initiation of a second

    phase of reform; a ve-point agenda was set out by

    the then Governor of the Central Bank. Shifting

    the emphasis of banking away from asset man-

    agement to a more generalised framework of as-

    setliability management, according high priority

    to management of credit risk, gearing up to op-

    erate in an era of deregulated interest rates, en-suring signicant improvement in customer service

    with appropriate technology and innovative ap-

    proach to housekeeping constitute the major items

    in the agenda of the second phase of reforms

    (Rangarajan, 1996). Focus of this prescription was

    to raise the country's banking and nancial system

    to global standards. This need was formalised with

    the appointment of the (second) Narasimham

    Committee (1997) with a mandate ``to chart a

    programme of banking sector reforms necessary to

    strengthen India's banking system and make itinternationally competitive...''; the committee has

    since submitted its report and a phased imple-

    mentation of some of its suggestions is under way.

    It may be noted here that some public sector banks

    have already made successful entry into the capital

    market to raise equity and the State Bank of India

    has also raised money through GDR and bond

    routes; some have also raised subordinated debts.

    Few others are also now in the queue. Market

    perception about the strength and eciency of a

    bank usually gets reected in the premiums

    charged and the response to the public issues.However, there is a need for a structured approach

    to measure eciency of banks. The present paper

    attempts to provide a framework for measuring

    and rating the relative eciency of public sector

    banks in India based on the data provided by their

    published annual reports for the period 199192 to

    199495. Two out of the 27 public sector banks

    were excluded from this analysis. In the case of

    Punjab National Bank (PNB) it was felt that with

    the merger of the New Bank of India with PNB in

    1993, the post-1993 nancial parameters of PNB

    would not reect the true picture of the Bank. In

    the case of the second bank (State Bank of My-

    sore), relevant classied data was not available for

    one of the years. Hence these two banks were ex-

    cluded from the study.

    The study has been conned to the post-re-

    forms period with 199192 as the starting point for

    two reasons one, the account reporting format

    which was changed in the previous year got sta-

    bilised during 199192; second, the prudential

    norms regarding capital adequacy, income recog-

    nition, asset classication and provisioning were

    introduced in April 1992 and their impact was

    expected to get reected in the 199293 balancesheets and prot and loss accounts of banks. As

    such, the 199192 data was considered as a

    benchmark/base year for the study. The year

    199495 was chosen as the terminal point of the

    study in order to validate the applicability and

    predictive power of the model used in the paper for

    evaluating relative eciency of Indian public sec-

    tor banks. Accordingly, the data for the subse-

    quent two years for these banks has been used to

    verify the robustness of the model on a heuristic

    basis.

    2. Issues in evaluating eciency of commercial

    banks

    The performance of any institution is often

    evaluated in terms of its eciency in the use of its

    resources. The concept of eciency is primarily an

    engineering concept, concerned at the basic stage

    with measuring the value of (a single) output for a

    given level of input. In a wider context, eciency

    management is concerned with fuller utilisation ofavailable inputs to achieve an optimum mix of

    outputs within the boundaries of feasibility in

    operations. Both capacity utilisation and quality

    of output are relevant parameters in the mea-

    surement of productivity of any decision making

    unit. This concept of productivity/eciency is also

    meaningful in the case of banking operations. In

    the literature pertaining to performance evaluation

    of banks, various measures of eciency have been

    proposed, like scale eciency, scope eciency,

    188 A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    3/17

    allocative eciency, productive eciency, techni-

    cal eciency, etc.; for details one can refer to the

    survey made by Berger et al. (1993). The present

    paper mainly deals with technical eciency of

    banks which is based on inputoutput congura-

    tions. In the context of a service industry like

    banking, technical eciency reects the degree of

    slack in the utilisation of the physical, nancial

    and human resources.

    The need to study bank eciency arises due to

    a variety of reasons. Firstly, a measure of (rela-

    tive) eciency provides a good indicator of the

    success or otherwise of a bank in a competitive

    market; in fact, it also reects the potentiality for

    failure of a banking institution. Studies reveal thatbanks which operate eciently have a better

    chance of sustaining their business in the future

    also. Berger et al. (1992) found that during the

    1980s, the high-cost banks experienced a higher

    rate of failure than more ecient banks. On the

    other hand, in a study of banks during the 1920s

    Wheelock et al. (1995) found that the less techni-

    cally ecient a bank was, greater its likelihood of

    failure. Moreover, eciency indices could also be

    used to evaluate the impact of changes in regula-

    tion and in market conditions on the performanceof banks. Further, the mechanism will also help a

    bank in identifying the areas of ineciency and

    formulating suitable strategies to improve its rel-

    ative position in the market. It can also provide a

    framework to the regulators to assess the health of

    individual banks and to work out appropriate

    interventions to prevent systemic failures (Lacasta,

    1988).

    In a globalised situation, some of the parame-

    ters that determine the competitive strength of a

    bank have been identied (McNaughton and

    Diana, 1992) as Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality,Human Resources Information, Financial Inno-

    vation, Technology and Brand equity not all of

    which are directly measurable. A single index

    which can be used to estimate the relative strength

    of a bank can be the capital adequacy ratio. Banks

    with a higher capital adequacy would be in a better

    position to expand their balance sheets, take le-

    gitimate risks (and get higher returns) and to un-

    dertake such auxiliary services like guarantee/

    underwriting, etc., with credibility in the market;

    inadequate capital can constrain all these activi-

    ties. A classic case is that of Continental Illinois

    Bank which failed due to poor asset management

    despite having good capital base, reecting man-

    agement failure. The fact that this bank could be

    turned around in a span of ten years also conrms

    that quality of management does make a dierence

    to the performance of a bank. The qualitative di-

    mensions indicated above, like induction of tech-

    nology, developing a competent workforce or

    establishing brand equity, or making waves with

    innovations do come under the broad umbrella of

    ``management''. As a commercial organisation,

    protability is also a key index of the nancial

    health of the organisation. Keeping all these fac-tors in view, a system of evaluation of banks,

    known by the acronym ``CAMEL'', was evolved

    and used by the regulatory authorities in many

    countries, these alphabets respectively represent

    Capital adequacy, Asset quality, Management,

    Earnings and Liquidity (Cole and Rebel, 1995).

    Bank of England (1997) has issued a consultative

    paper on a risk-based approach to supervision

    the RATE (Risk Assessment Tools and Evalua-

    tion) framework which has a broader perspective

    that includes CAMEL.

    3. Bank eciency measurement in Indian context

    Prior to 1969 the Indian banking scene was

    dominated by private ownership. As such, prot

    and return on investments reected the perfor-

    mance prole of banks. A large part of the bank-

    ing system was brought under direct government

    control in 1969. Nationalisation of banks brought

    with it a shift in focus towards optimising social

    benet and spatial coverage of banking serviceswith commercial viability only as a sustenance

    factor.

    The PEP Committee (1977) proposed a system

    of assessment of relative performance of banks on

    four major aspects, viz. productivity, social ob-

    jectives (spatial), social objectives (sectoral) and

    protability, in all 19 indicators were proposed.

    Similar indicators were also used by the Finance

    Ministry during 198586 to rate the performance

    of banks on a relative basis.

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 189

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    4/17

    While addressing the eciency issues in com-

    mercial banks, especially in the Indian context,

    Sukhmoy Chakravarty Committee (1985) ob-

    served, ``The concept of operational eciency of a

    bank in India is associated with such diverse as-

    pects of its operations as cost eectiveness, prof-

    itability, customer services, priority sector lending,

    mobilisation of deposits and deployment of credit

    in the rural and backward regions and so on.

    Operational eciency in Indian banking has thus

    attained a wider connotation. Precisely for this

    reason, a generally acceptable denition of the

    concept and selection of appropriate indicators are

    beset with diculties. Nevertheless, improvement

    in productivity in all aspects of banking operationshas to be pursued by banks as an important

    management objective as it vitally aects the e-

    ciency of the monetary system.''

    It is pertinent to note at this point that some of

    the performance parameters being talked about

    today in Indian banking context have been high-

    lighted even as early as 1983 by the Pendharkar

    Working Group (198283). The report stated:

    ``...there is a need for evolving a system of evalu-

    ation and rating of a bank's performance on the

    basis of certain parameters... To make the systemof supervision more purposeful and action-ori-

    ented, the broad parameters could be (i) quality of

    advances, (ii) management of cash and investment

    portfolios, (iii) management of funds, (iv) capital

    adequacy, (v) protability, (vi) internal control

    and administration, (vii) quality of management

    and (viii) compliance with the socio-economic

    objectives by the oces in India.''

    The Padmanabhan Working Group (1991) in

    its report to the Reserve Bank of India has rec-

    ommended the adoption of CAMELS rating

    mechanism with the inclusion of an additionalparameter Ssymbolising `Systems' for the purpose

    of supervision by regulators. In view of the tech-

    nical problems in measuring management e-

    ciency, quantitative studies of bank eciency have

    generally assumed that the managerial factor is

    implicitly reected in the other four factors. A

    corresponding CAEL model has been developed

    and discussed in an earlier paper by the present

    authors (Saha and Ravisankar, 199596). How-

    ever, CAEL rating is essentially an indicator of

    the nancial condition of a bank at a particular

    point in time, rather than of its performance e-

    ciency. Also, only a few of the nancial ratios used

    in this methodology reect productive eciency,

    in terms of output/input relationships. This ap-

    proach as such does not give a composite picture

    of (productive) eciency, that reects the multiple

    input-output situation prevalent in the banking

    context.

    Ahluwalia (1985) has pointed out that in the

    context of service sector in India one needs to look

    at the broader concept of total factor productivity,

    which is used to explain not merely the (produc-

    tive) eciency of labour or capital but also the way

    the management combines these and other factorsto enhance the output of the unit. The productive

    eciency in this approach is measured as the ratio

    of weighted output by weighted input, with

    weights assigned to various inputs and outputs on

    a heuristic basis. In this paper we use the `frontier

    model' approach to measure bank eciency,

    wherein the weights are determined using opti-

    mality considerations.

    4. Quantifying bank eciency and data envelopmentanalysis

    A variety of techniques have been used to study

    the eciency of commercial banks. It is found that

    estimates of eciency are sensitive to the choice of

    technique. It is also found that dierent studies of

    commercial bank eciency often reach contradic-

    tory ndings. This may however be due to the fact

    that there are dierences in the manner in which a

    banking institution is modelled. Some researchers

    view banks as producers of loans and deposit ac-

    counts (Sherman and Gold, 1985) and measureoutput either by the number of transactions or by

    the number of accounts serviced (Production Ap-

    proach). Others have argued that output of banks

    should be measured in terms of the value of loans

    and inputs are various costs of labour, capital,

    operations, deposits and other resources (Piyu

    Yue, 1992) (Intermediation Approach). Unlike the

    production approach, which focuses on operating

    cost and ignores interest expense, in the interme-

    diation approach both operating and interest ex-

    190 A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    5/17

    penses are included in the analysis (Berger et al.,

    1987).

    Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) computes

    the eciency of a bank in transforming inputs into

    outputs in relation to its peer group. Charnes et al.

    (1978) rst developed the DEA approach based on

    the concept of technical eciency of Farrel (1957).

    ``DEA in essence is a linear programming tech-

    nique that converts multiple inputs and outputs

    into a scaler measure of eciency. This conversion

    is accomplished by comparing the mix and volume

    of services provided and the resources used by

    each bank compared with all other banks. Each

    bank is evaluated against a hypothetical bank with

    an identical output mix that is constructed as acombination of ecient banks. DEA identies the

    most ecient banks in a population and provides a

    measure of ineciency for all others. The most

    ecient banks are rated to have an eciency score

    of one, while the less ecient institutions score

    between zero and one. Though DEA does not give

    a measure of optimal eciency, it however dier-

    entiates the least ecient banks from the set of all

    banks. Thus, the ecient institutions calculated

    using DEA establish the best practice frontier''

    (Siems and Thomas, 1992). Brown and Gardner(1995), in their exploratory analysis of European

    banking strategies, have used the DEA approach

    to provide another relative eciency measure

    which is also referred to as `competitive advantage'

    or `cost/revenue eciency'.

    The mathematical formulation of the (relative)

    eciency measure for a bank in a group of banks

    would be as follows.

    Let us assume that there are p banks in the

    group and that there are n output variables and m

    input variables for a bank. Let Yjk and Xik re-

    spectively denote the jth output and the ith inputfor the kth bank j 1Y 2Y F F F Y nY i 1Y 2Y F F F YmYk 1Y 2Y F F F Yp. The relative eciency Ek of thekth bank is then dened as

    EK

    nj1 VjkYjkmi1 UikXik

    Y 1

    where, Vjk is the weight placed on jth output and

    Uik is the weight placed on ith input of the kth

    bank and

    jVjk

    iUik for all k.

    The eciency score of a bank will depend

    upon the choice of these weights. In the tradi-

    tional basic eciency measure, the weights are

    assumed to be uniform across the input and

    output variables, i.e. Vjk 1/n for all j and Uik1/m for all i, for all banks k 1Y 2Y F F F Yp. Thisspecication does not take into account the likely

    variations in the intensity of contributions to ef-

    ciency made by dierent input variables; simi-

    larly for outputs. DEA, however, selects the

    weights that maximize each bank's eciency score

    under the conditions that no weight is negative,

    that any bank should be able to use the same set

    of weights to evaluate its own eciency ratio, and

    that the resulting eciency ratio must not exceedone. That is, for each bank, DEA will choose

    those weights that would maximise the eciency

    score in relation to other banks. In general, a

    bank will have higher weights on those inputs that

    it uses least and on those outputs that it produces

    most.

    The DEA model for a specic bank can be

    formulated as a linear fractional programming

    problem, which can be solved if it is transformed

    into an equivalent linear form in which the bank's

    input and output weights are treated as the deci-sion variables. A complete DEA solution would

    require one such linear program to be solved for

    each bank. In the present study covering 25 banks,

    for the kth bank k 1Y 2Y F F F Y 25, the problemcorresponding to maximisation of Ek as dened in

    Eq. (1) above can be transformed into the fol-

    lowing equivalent LP problem:

    Maximise Ek n

    j1

    VjkYjkY

    subject to the constraints

    am

    i1

    UikXik 1Y

    bn

    j1

    VjkYjkm

    i1

    UikXik6 0Y

    c UikP 0Y i 1Y 2Y F F F YmY

    d VjkP 0Y j 1Y 2Y F F F Y nY

    em

    i1

    Uik n

    j1

    VjkX

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 191

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    6/17

    In the above formulation, the choice of input/

    output variables in the banking context is crucial.

    However, there is a considerable debate in the

    relevant literature regarding this choice; for de-

    tails see Brown and Gardner (1995). Also, there is

    the other consideration of whether these input/

    output parameters should be treated as `stock' or

    `ow' variables (Resti Andrea, 1997). In practice,

    however, researchers have generally been forced

    (due to data non-availability) to rely on stock

    measures of output/input for most purposes. The

    real value of bank deposits and loans have been

    widely used as key input and output (stock) pa-

    rameters. Although there is less controversy in

    respect of measuring bank inputs, there are stillcontentious issues. Labour (total man hours em-

    ployed or total number of sta) and the real (or

    constant) value of physical capital (usually the

    book value of premises, furniture and equipment

    deated by a price index) are generally accepted

    as `obvious' inputs required to produce bank

    outputs. There is less agreement, however, about

    treating the real or constant value of loanable

    funds (core deposits plus purchased funds) as an

    input. Humphrey (1991) concludes: ``... the ve

    appropriate inputs are labour, capital, demanddeposits, small time and savings deposits, and

    purchased funds.''

    The choice of input and output variables would

    necessarily depend on the nature and the thrust

    areas of banking in the country concerned as the

    role played by the banking system is dictated by

    the needs of the society and the state of the

    economy and the expectations of the Govern-

    ments. The choice of the inputoutput variables in

    the present study are primarily guided by these

    considerations.

    5. Analysis and ndings

    DEA analysis, was carried out in two stages.

    Initially certain key input and output variables

    which can be used to evaluate relative eciency of

    Indian commercial banks were identied. At the

    rst stage the frontier model a basic form of DEA

    was considered, using at a time, one input (a) and

    two outputs (b1, b2) amongst the identied vari-

    ables; herein the solutions are obtained graphically

    (Siems and Thomas, 1992).

    In the second stage an attempt was made to

    quantify the relative eciency of banks in the form

    of a total weighted output by total weighted input.

    The weights were obtained for each bank by

    solving a linear objective function using DEA as

    specied earlier in the paper.

    5.1. Stage I

    Initially, the following four input variables and

    eight output variables were used in the present

    study to evaluate the eciency levels of banks. Thechoice of variables was essentially guided by the

    thrust areas of Indian banking in the post-na-

    tionalisation period.

    In the post-nationalisation era, expansion and

    geographical coverage of banking services was

    sought to be achieved by creating an extensive

    network of branches. In view of this, `branch' be-

    comes the nodal point, and is, therefore, consid-

    ered as an input variable. Also, since most of the

    banking operations in India are still carried out

    manually with little use of technology, `sta' be-

    comes an essential input variable. The other twovariables reect the running cost of operations.

    The output parameters essentially reect the

    major components of the balance sheet and prot

    and loss account of Indian banks. Even though

    spread ( interest income interest expenditure)includes interest income in its calculation, it is

    considered as an output of the intermediation

    process and treated as a separate variable. Work-

    ing funds reect the size dimension of the balance

    sheet.

    Input variables Branch (number of branches),

    sta (number of employees),

    establishment expenditure,

    non-establishment expenditure

    (excluding interest expendi-

    ture).

    Output variables Deposits, advances, invest-

    ments, spread, total income,interest income, non-interest

    income and working funds.

    192 A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    7/17

    Taking one input (a) and two outputs b1 and b2from the above set of variables, the two basic ef-

    ciency ratios b1/a and b2/a were calculated for

    each of the 25 banks and represented as points (b1/

    a, b2/a) in a two-dimensional graph; the 25 banks'

    names are listed serially in Appendix A. The piece-

    wise linear curve joining the outermost points (and

    enveloping the entire set of points) corresponds to

    the `eciency-frontier' for this particular inputs

    outputs combination. The banks appearing on the

    boundary are considered to be the relatively more

    ecient ones (in the usage of the input a for pro-

    ducing the outputs b1 and b2).

    For each of the specied inputs, relevant and

    meaningful combinations of the outputinput ra-tios were chosen, and the corresponding graphs

    (40 out of the possible 112 combinations) were

    plotted. Illustratively, four of these graphs corre-

    sponding to March 31, 1995, are presented in

    Appendix B. The ndings at this stage indicate

    that bank number 8 is consistently appearing on

    almost all these frontiers of eciency. In few cases,

    this bank alone dened the frontier. Among other

    banks, banks 3 and 13 are positioned more fre-

    quently on these ecient frontiers; Banks 10 and

    21 also appeared in few frontiers of eciency. Theanalysis at this stage shows that there is a natural

    clustering amongst the banks into groups, viz. the

    banks on/around the frontier, the banks far away

    from the frontier and the mid-way banks. For

    example, banks numbered 5, 15, 21, 22, 24 were, in

    general, farthest from the eciency frontiers in the

    charts included in the appendix and are being the

    least ecient ones in the group. It may be noted

    that the Reserve Bank of India appointed teams

    which worked out revival strategies for three of

    these banks (5, 22 and 24) in the year 1995. Nev-

    ertheless, in the year 1996 and 1997 these threebanks continued to be furthest from the eciency

    frontier on the same input/output combinations.

    However, Bank-5 improved its relative position

    and moved closer to the frontier involving net

    prot parameter. Similarly, banks numbered 12,

    16, 20, 23, 18 are the mid-way banks. These 5

    banks continued to be in the same mid-way posi-

    tion in the subsequent two years also in the same

    parameter combinations. However these banks

    also improved their prot performance and moved

    closer to the prot frontiers. Thus, even this basic

    approach is apparently able to provide a reason-

    able rating framework for the Indian banks in

    restricted sense. The above discussion also indi-

    cates that only a two-way input/output combina-

    tions fails to give an integrated picture of total

    eciency. A further renement in measuring rel-

    ative eciencies of the banks is therefore achieved

    using DEA methodology, as presented below.

    5.2. Stage 2 (DEA approach)

    In quantifying eciency, the input parameters

    included at this stage were interest expenditure(X1), establishment expenditure (X2), non-estab-

    lishment expenditure (excluding interest expendi-

    ture) (X3), and xed assets (X4). The output

    parameters included were deposits (Y1), advances

    (Y2), investments (Y3), non-interest income (Y4),

    spread (Y5) and total income (Y6). For the kth

    bank k 1Y F F F Y 25, the variables will be desig-nated X1kY X2kY F F F YX4k and Y1kY Y2kY F F F Y Y6k.

    The choice of variables in this stage from

    among the ones listed earlier is dictated by the

    consideration of parity in the units of measure-ment of the variables and also to ensure unique-

    ness in the representation of parameters. Among

    the earlier set of input variables, `employees' and

    `branch' are measured as numerals but in the new

    set they are reected in monetary terms as estab-

    lishment expenditure (employees' cost) and non-

    establishment expenditure and xed assets (capital

    cost of the physical set-up) together reecting the

    capital, maintenance and the operational cost.

    Interest expenditure is essentially the direct cost of

    generating the deposit output and hence is treated

    as an additional input variable. While choosing theoutput variables from the earlier set we have

    omitted `interest income' and `working funds'.

    This is in view of the fact that `interest income' is

    just the dierence of `total income' and `non-in-

    terest income'. Moreover, in Indian banking con-

    text, especially for the Public Sector banks, the

    ratio of working funds to deposits have generally

    remained constant.

    As there were 25 banks included in the study,

    25 linear programs were solved using `Solver' in

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 193

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    8/17

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    9/17

    the MS-Oce EXCEL-Version 5.1 for each of the

    years 1992, 1993, 1994 and 1995.

    Scenario summaries presented in the rst part

    of the Tables 13 and Table 4 provide the input

    and output weights that maximised the eciency

    score of each bank for 1992, 1993, 1994 and 1995.

    The eciency scores of each bank (for these years)

    including the relative eciency scores of the other

    banks are presented in the second part of the Ta-

    bles 13 and Table 4.

    For example, the input and output weights that

    maximised the eciency score of Bank 1 (for 1995)

    are as follows:

    X11 1.37, Y11 0.01, Y51 0.24,

    X21 0.01, Y21 0.01, Y61 0.01,X31 0.01, Y31 0.01,X41 0.01, Y41 1.12.From the result in this run, one can infer that

    interest expenditure does not contribute signi-

    cantly to the eciency of the bank. On the other

    hand, in comparison to other outputs, Bank-1 is

    more ecient in producing the outputs non-inter-

    est income and spread.

    Maximum eciency score of Bank-1 in 1995

    was 0.70 (the rst diagonal element in Table 4)

    and at that stage the eciency scores of otherbanks (the rst row o-diagonal elements in Ta-

    ble 4) were as follows:

    The above result shows that despite a built-in

    bias towards Bank-1 in the choice of weights, there

    are many banks which have achieved higher e-

    ciency score with the same weighting pattern. Ef-

    fectively this would imply that in 1995 Bank-1 is

    situated in the lower end of the eciency spectrum

    Bank-2 0.82 Bank-14 0.74Bank-3 0.85 Bank-15 0.87Bank-4 0.82 Bank-16 0.90Bank-5 0.76 Bank-17 0.84Bank-6 0.87 Bank-18 0.77Bank-7 0.76 Bank-19 0.86Bank-8 1.00 Bank-20 0.77Bank-9 0.78 Bank-21 0.78

    Bank-10 0.71 Bank-22 0.76Bank-11 0.93 Bank-23 0.79Bank-12 0.74 Bank-24 0.67Bank-13 0.82 Bank-25 0.87

    Table1(Continued)

    ALLA

    ANDBOBBOIBO

    M

    CANCBICORPDENAINDIN

    DOIOB

    OBCPSB

    SBBJSBH

    SBI

    SBP

    SBS

    SBT

    SYNDUCOUNIU

    TDVIJ

    SYND

    0.6

    3

    0.6

    4

    0.6

    7

    0.6

    3

    0.63

    0.5

    1

    0.5

    3

    0.7

    9

    0.6

    6

    0.5

    90.75

    0.6

    4

    1.0

    0

    0.6

    2

    0.7

    9

    0.8

    3

    0.74

    0.7

    9

    0.6

    8

    0.6

    6

    0.6

    9

    0.6

    1

    0.7

    10

    .61

    0.6

    0

    UCO

    0.5

    8

    0.6

    1

    0.6

    5

    0.6

    2

    0.58

    0.7

    4

    0.6

    1

    0.7

    6

    0.6

    0

    0.5

    70.72

    0.6

    6

    1.0

    0

    0.5

    7

    0.7

    5

    0.8

    4

    0.72

    0.7

    5

    0.6

    1

    0.6

    1

    0.6

    6

    0.6

    5

    0.6

    60

    .57

    0.5

    2

    UNI

    0.6

    3

    0.6

    4

    0.6

    7

    0.6

    3

    0.63

    0.5

    0

    0.4

    2

    0.7

    9

    0.6

    6

    0.5

    90.76

    0.6

    4

    1.0

    0

    0.6

    2

    0.7

    9

    0.8

    3

    0.74

    0.8

    0

    0.6

    8

    0.6

    6

    0.6

    9

    0.6

    1

    0.7

    10

    .61

    0.6

    0

    UTD

    0.5

    8

    0.6

    2

    0.5

    4

    0.4

    8

    0.64

    0.7

    1

    0.6

    2

    0.8

    1

    0.6

    5

    0.4

    70.69

    0.5

    8

    1.0

    0

    0.6

    1

    0.7

    2

    0.8

    0

    0.63

    0.7

    5

    0.5

    4

    0.5

    8

    0.6

    5

    0.5

    2

    0.7

    20

    .62

    0.5

    2

    VIJ

    0.6

    4

    0.6

    5

    0.6

    8

    0.6

    5

    0.65

    0.4

    6

    0.3

    8

    0.8

    0

    0.6

    8

    0.6

    10.77

    0.6

    5

    1.0

    0

    0.6

    3

    0.8

    1

    0.8

    4

    0.76

    0.8

    2

    0.7

    1

    0.6

    8

    0.7

    0

    0.6

    2

    0.7

    20

    .62

    0.6

    2

    Inputwts:X

    i;Outputwts:Y

    j;X1:Interest

    ExpenditureWt.

    X2:EstablishmentExpenditureWt.

    X3:Non-EstablishmentExpenditureWt.

    X4:FixedAssetsWt.

    Y1:DepositsWt.

    Y2:AdvancesWt.

    Y3:InvestmentWt.

    Y4:Non-interestIncomeWt.

    Y5:SpreadWt.

    Y6:TotalIncomeWt.

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 195

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    10/17

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    11/17

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    12/17

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    13/17

    amongst the 25 banks included in the study. This

    relative position of Bank-1 amongst this group of

    banks is also corroborated by the score obtained

    by the said bank in relation to others in the DEA

    runs for those banks as evident from Table 4. A

    comparison of the scores obtained by Bank-1

    across the years 1992 and 1995 also give an indi-

    cation that many Banks have moved ahead of

    Bank-1 during this period.

    In essence, results indicate that Bank-1 has

    used the input X11 (interest expenses) least and

    has produced its outputs Y41 (spread) and Y61(Total Income) the most and these in turn have

    enabled the bank to attain its maximum eciency

    score of 0.70. At that stage, Bank-8 was the mostecient with a score of 1.00. Since one Bank

    (Bank-8) has already reached the eciency score

    of 1 in this case, it is clear that Bank-1 cannot

    improve its score beyond 0.7 by choosing higher

    output in any other combination of input/output

    weights.

    The diagonal elements of the 25 25 matrices

    of eciency scores as presented in Tables 13 and

    Table 4 provide the maximum score achieved by

    each bank in the DEA. Table 4 summarises the

    above-cited maximum eciency score achieved byeach bank in 1992, 1993, 1994 and 1995. It can be

    seen from the tables that, barring few exceptions,

    most of the banks have generally improved their

    eciency scores over these years. The net increase

    in eciency of relevant banks between 1992 to

    1995 ranged between 0.06 to 0.30, with 4 banks

    gaining less than 0.1; 9 banks gaining between 0.1

    to less than 0.15; 5 banks gaining between 0.15 to

    less than 0.2 and another ve gaining by 0.2 and

    above. Of the remaining two banks, one (Bank-13)

    lost 0.14 in terms of its maximum eciency be-

    tween 1992 and 1995 and in the case of otherbanks there was no net change in eciency score

    during this period. These changes in the maximum

    eciency score over the years have also obviously

    changed their relative eciency positions. It is seen

    that the relative order of importance of input and

    output parameters have changed over the years for

    most of the banks, indicating a possible shift in

    their focus. For example, in the case of Bank-13,

    the key (greater used lower weight) input pa-rameters and key (highest produced higher

    weight) output parameters have moved as shown

    below:

    A comparative prole of the key input param-

    eters (ones with lower input weights) and key

    output parameters (ones with higher output

    weights) over the years for all banks taken to-

    gether is presented below in their order of impor-tance in terms of frequency of occurrence:

    The above two tables show that the banks ingeneral have also shifted their attention towards

    more or less the same parameters as Bank-13, in-

    dicating that the competition element became

    more prominent over these years. This could be

    the reason why the relative eciency score of

    Bank-13 declined during this period.

    It is also interesting to note that the input

    variable X1 (interest expenses) in the case of the

    banks under study, which was signicant in 1992

    in determining the eciency score, lost its impor-

    tance in the subsequent years. To the contrary, X2,

    X3 and X4 became signicant input parameters. Ofthe output parameters, Y4 (Non-interest Income)

    and Y5 (Spread) were more signicant during

    1993, 1994 and 1995. Y1 was signicant in 1992, Y6was signicant in 1992 and also in 1994 in the case

    of few banks, and Y3 was signicant in some cases

    in 1993.

    From this analysis, it is found that Bank-8 has

    been consistently appearing at the higher-end of

    the relative eciency scale (in fact, it gradually

    strengthened its relative eciency position over the

    Year Key inputs Key outputs

    1992 X1, X2, X4 Y6, Y11993 X2, X3, X4 Y5, Y31994 X2, X3, X1 Y4, Y5, Y21995 X2, X3, X4 Y4, Y5, Y2

    Key input

    variables

    Year Signicant output

    variables

    X1, X4 1992 Y6, Y1

    X2, X3, X4 1993 Y4, Y5 and Y3

    X2, X3, X4 1994 Y5 and Y2, Y

    4, Y

    6

    X2, X3, X4 1995 Y4 and Y5, Y

    2

    relatively less signicant in terms of weights.

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 199

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    14/17

    years). The contributing variables, as revealed by

    the DEA analysis, were the achievement of the

    bank in generating superior non-interest income

    (Y4) in 1995, Spread (Y5) and Total Income (Y6) in

    1994, Non-interest income and spread in 1993 and

    Total Income in 1992.

    In order to verify the relative importance of

    the signicant input and output parameters as

    presented above, an attempt was made to maxi-

    mise the eciency score of Bank-1 using only

    the signicant inputoutput variables, namely,

    X3 and X4 and Y2, Y4 and Y5 and constraints in

    line with what was specied in Eq. (1) (of Sec-

    tion 4). No feasible solution however could be

    achieved satisfying all the constraints. Perhapsthis means that all the identied parameters are

    relevant and essential for the analysis, even

    though some of them may not show signicance

    in isolation.

    6. Summary and conclusions

    The forces of change that are sweeping the

    banking system worldwide have signicantly in-

    creased the range, volume and potential impact ofrisks being faced by banks. In the current phase

    of globalisation and economic liberalisation, In-

    dian banking cannot remain isolated and be im-

    mune to the rapid changes that are taking place

    in the international banking arena. Through the

    reform initiatives of the Government of India and

    the Reserve Bank of India, Indian banking in-

    dustry is gradually emerging from an era of veiled

    secrecy, in terms of disclosures in their balance

    sheets and prot and loss accounts, to a period of

    transparency as per international standards.

    Further, entry of new private sector banks andforeign banks, besides adding to competition, is

    also likely to facilitate the process of globalisa-

    tion. It is hypothesised that a new banking

    structure is in the ong in which each commer-

    cial bank will have to redene its competitive

    business position in the market and evolve suit-

    able corporate strategies (including comprehen-

    sive risk management processes) to achieve the

    same. As pointed out earlier, the second Nar-

    asimhan Committee (1997) was expected to

    ``Chart a Programme of Banking Sector Reforms

    necessary to strengthen India's banking system

    and make it internationally competitive taking

    into account the vast changes in the international

    nancial markets and technological advances and

    experiences of other developing countries in

    adapting to such changes and to make detailed

    recommendations in regard to banking policy,...,

    supervisory... dimensions''. This clearly implies

    that eciency issue is going to assume greater

    signicance at individual bank's level and also at

    the supervisory authority level so as to gain better

    understanding of the various facets of the new

    banking business.

    The present paper has attempted to addressthe above issue in the Indian banking context and

    has advocated the use of DEA approach in

    evaluating the relative eciency of Indian com-

    mercial banks. The results of the analysis indicate

    that, barring few exceptions, the public sector

    banks have in general improved their eciency

    scores over the years 1992 to 1995. Inspite of this

    there are few banks like United Bank of India,

    UCO Bank, Syndicate Bank and Central Bank of

    India continued to be at the lower end of the

    relative eciency scales during the study period.Some of them continue to be in tight spot even

    today. On the other hand, it is found that banks

    like Corporation Bank, Oriental Bank of Com-

    merce, State Bank of India, Canara Bank, State

    Bank of Hyderabad, Bank of Baroda and Dena

    Bank have consistently been among the relatively

    more ecient banks. It is interesting to note that

    following ve among these banks have success-

    fully tapped the capital markets: State Bank of

    India (December 1993), Oriental Bank of Com-

    merce (October 1994), Dena Bank (October

    1996), Bank of Baroda (December 1996) andCorporation Bank (September 1997). Their equity

    issues have all commanded sizeable premia and

    have subsequently traded much above the initial

    oer price since their listing. This indicates that

    the ndings of the present DEA study are con-

    sistent with the market perceptions about these

    banks.

    The present study has mainly conned itself to

    the Public Sector banks primarily because they

    account for about 85% of the Indian commercial

    200 A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    15/17

    banking business. Under the present globalisation/

    liberalisation eorts of the Indian economy, the

    ownership composition of the Indian banking

    system may undergo substantial changes in the

    coming years. At that stage similar study may have

    to be done on a wider spectrum. However, the

    preceding discussion essentially supports the con-

    tention of this paper that DEA methodology is

    useful and suitable for rating the eciency of In-

    dian banks.

    Acknowledgements

    The authors would like to express their sincere

    thanks to the anonymous referees for their

    Fig. 1.

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 201

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    16/17

    valuable suggestions on an earlier version of the

    paper.

    Appendix A

    Appendix B

    See Fig. 1.

    References

    Ahluwalia, I., Shanker Q.F.R. (Eds.), 1985. Low productivity

    and high cost the managerial challenge, Tata McGraw-

    Hill, New Delhi, 5661.

    Berger, A.N., Humphrey, D.B., 1992. Measurement and

    eciency issues in commercial banking, In: Z. Griliches

    (Ed.), Output Measurement in Services Sector. University of

    Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 245279.

    Berger, A.N., Hunter, C.W., Timme, S.G., 1993. The eciency

    of nancial institution: A review and preview of research

    past present and future. Journal of Banking and Finance,

    17, 221249.Berger, A.N., Hanweck, G.A., Humphrey, D.B., 1987. Com-

    petitive viability in banking: Scale, scope and product mix

    economies. Journal of Monetary Economics 501520.

    Brown, Z.M., Gardener, E.P.M., 1995. Bancassurance and

    European banking strategies: An exploratory analysis using

    DEA of the concept and treatment of ``Relative Eciency'',

    Research Papers in Banking and Finance, RP 95/20,

    Institute of European Finance.

    Bank of England, 1997. A risk based approach to supervision

    (the RATE Framework). A consulative paper by the Bank

    of England.

    Charnes, A., Coopers, W.W., Rhodes, E., 1978. Measuring the

    eciency of decision making units. European Journal of

    Operational Research 2 (6), 429444.Cole, Rebel, A., 1995. FIMS: A new monitoring system for

    banking institutions. Federal Reserve Bulletin 81 (1), 115.

    Farrell, M.J., 1957. The measurement of productive eciency.

    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 120A, 253281.

    Humphrey, D., 1991. Productivity in banking and eects from

    deregulation. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of

    Richmond 77 (2).

    Lacasta, I., 1988. Risk and recent evolution of banking system:

    A case study of Spain. Research Paper in Banking and

    Finance, RP 88/9, Institute of European Finance.

    McNaughton, D., 1992. Banking institutions in developing

    markets, Vol. 1, Building Strong Management and Re-

    sponding to Change (Washington, DC).

    Narasimhan Committee, 1991. Report of the Committee on the

    Financial System, Government of India.

    Padmanabhan Working Group, 1991. Report of the working

    group to review the existing system of inspection of banks.

    Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India.

    PEP Committee, 1977. Report of the productivity, eciency

    and protability, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India.

    Pendharkar Working Group, 198283. Report of the working

    group to review the existing system of inspection of banks.

    Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India.

    Piyu, Y., 1992. Data envelop analysis and commercial bank

    performance: A primer with applications to Missouri

    Banks, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 74 (1), 3145.

    Rangarajan, C., 1996. Towards Second Phase of BankingReform, Central Bank of India Economic Bulletin, No. 2.

    Resti, A., 1997. Linear programming and econometric methods

    for bank eciency evaluation, Research Paper in Banking

    and Finance, RP97/1, Institute of European Finance.

    Saha, A., Ravisankar, T.S., 1995. Assessing relative strength of

    banks in managing risk: An Indian evidence, prajnan, vol.

    XXIV, No. 4, National Institute of Bank Management,

    Pune, India, pp. 461474.

    Second Narasimhan Committee, 1997. Committee on Banking

    Sector Reform. Gazette of India Extraordinary Notica-

    tion, Part II, Sec 3(ii), Ministry of Finance, Government of

    India.

    No. of

    Banks Legends Name of the Banks

    1 ALLA Allahabad Bank

    2 AND Andhra Bank

    3 BOB Bank of Baroda

    4 BOI Bank of India

    5 BOM Bank of Maharastra

    6 CAN Canara Bank

    7 CBI Central Bank of India

    8 CORP Corporation Bank

    9 DENA Dena Bank

    10 IND Indian Bank

    11 INDO State Bank of Indore

    12 IOB Indian Overseas Bank

    13 OBC Oriental Bank of Commerce

    14 PSB Punjab & Sind Bank

    15 SBBJ State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur

    16 SBH State Bank of Hyderabad

    17 SBI State Bank of India

    18 SBP State Bank of Patiala19 SBS State Bank of Saurashtra

    20 SBT State Bank of Travancore

    21 SYND Syndicate Bank

    22 UCO UCO Bank

    23 UNI Union Bank of India

    24 UTD United Bank of India

    25 VIJ Vijaya Bank

    202 A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203

  • 7/29/2019 bank rating

    17/17

    Sherman, H.D., Gold, F., 1985. Bank branch operating

    eciency: Evaluation with data envelope analysis. Journal

    of Banking and Finance 9, 297316.

    Siems, Thomas F., 1992. Quantifying management's role inbank survival, 1st Quarter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas,

    Economic Review, January 1992, 2941.

    Sukhmoy Chakravarty Committee, 1985. Report of the com-

    mittee to review the working of the monetary system.

    Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai, India.

    Wheelock, D.C., Wilson, P.W., 1995. Evaluating the eciency ofcommercial banks: Does our view of what banks do matter?

    Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 77 (4), 3952.

    A. Saha, T.S. Ravisankar / European Journal of Operational Research 124 (2000) 187203 203