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Gasol plc2nd Indaba Natural Resources Day20th – 22nd October 2008
… the Africa-focused gas independent
Notice
The content of this presentation has not been approved by an authorised person within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”). Reliance on the information contained in this presentation for the purposes of engaging in any investment activity may expose the investor to a significant risk of losing all of the property or assets invested. Any person who is in any doubt about the investment to which this presentation relates should consult a person duly authorised for the purposes of FSMA who specialises in the acquisition of shares and other securities.
The information in this presentation is subject to updating, revision and amendment. The information in this presentation, which includes certain information drawn from public sources does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities in Gasol plc (the "Company") in any jurisdiction or any other body corporation or an invitation or an inducement to engage in investment activity under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract therefore. This presentation does not constitute an invitation to effect any transaction with the Company or to make use of any services provided by the Company. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or any assumptions made as to its completeness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by the Company, any of its subsidiaries or any of its advisers, officers, employees or agents, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or in any revision of the presentation or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers and, save in the case of fraud, no responsibility or liability is accepted (and all such liability is hereby excluded for any such information or opinions). No liability is accepted by any of them for any such information or opinions (which should not be relied upon) and no responsibility is accepted for any errors, misstatements in or omissions from this presentation or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents.
The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
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Any financial projection and other statements of anticipated future performance that are included in this presentation or otherwise furnished are for illustrative purposes only and are based on assumption by the Company's management that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties and may prove to be incomplete or inaccurate. Actual results achieved may vary from the projections and the variations may be material. Variations in the assumptions underlying the projections may also significantly affect projected results. This presentation has not been examined, reviewed or compiled by the Company's independent certified accountants. No representation or warranty of any kind is made with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the financial projections or other forward-looking statements, any assumptions underling them, the future operations or the amount of any future income or loss.
By attending / reading the presentation you agree to be bound by these provisions.
Slide 2
Contents
1. 3 key messages
2. The business environment
3. Access to gas
4. Executing our strategy
5. Deliverables
6. Summary
Slide 3
Gasol has:
• access to gas• is executing its strategy• has identified key milestones
We are on track to aggregate and deliver 5 million tonnes of LNG in 6 years time.
3 Key Messages1. Introduction
Slide 4
Slide 5
2. The Business Environment
… attractive commercial outlook
Slide 5
Gas, and particularly LNG, is an exciting sector2. Business Environment
Sources: (1) International Energy Agency: World Energy Outlook 2007 ; (2] CERA ; (3) Flower LNG Associates, November 2007
Slide 6
Strong Global Prices
e.g., in the US, the Henry Hub natural gas spot price is expected to range between $7-10 per MMBtu in 2008 and $10-12 per MMBtu in 2009 (2)
Combined with Supply Issues
• due to decline in indigenous supplies, consuming countries are more dependent on imports
• due to security of supply concerns, consuming countries want to diversify their gas supplies
• there are challenges to build new pipelines
• supply sources are increasingly more distant from demand
LNG accounts for approximately 84% of the increase in total inter-regional trade (1)
The Gulf of Guinea is an increasingly significant supply source
2. Business Environment
Slide 7
(1) Source: Wood Mackenzie.
Text
The Gulf of Guinea:-
1. has a significant reserves base
2. is geographically ideally-positioned to meet the increase in demand
3. has proved its ability to deliver reliably substantial gas to the global market
There is an increased role for independents
Space for Gas IndependentsNew niche gas independents can now compete – offering LNG expertise – by forming partnerships along the gas chain
Traditional LNG Model• LNG value-chain dominated by the Majors• Majors offered expertise, technology and strong Balance Sheets
Recent LNG Model• The National Oil Companies have sought to realise the benefits of resource-
ownership but have been constrained by people and finance• Barriers to competition which protected the Majors have broken down• “Demand holders” (utilities, industry) are seeking to go up the chain
2. Business Environment
Slide 8
Slide 9
3. Access to Gas
… key to viable LNG projects
Slide 9
Our strategy is grounded in 3 differentiating factors
1. Strong Board and management team
2. Established partnerships
3. Focus on aggregating currently-flared gas and gas from marginal fields
Slide 10
3. Access to Gas
Our experienced management …
Chairman
Dr Rilwanu Lukman KBE, Legion d’Honneur
Former OPEC President and Secretary General ; Hon Advisor on Strategy & Energy Affairs to HE Nigerian President ; Chairman, Afren plc
… has specialist advice
... and is supported by an effective team
A strong Board…
Theo Oerlemans
Non-Executives
Executives
Haresh KanabarCharles OsezuaPaul BiggsOsman Shahenshah
Rachel EnglishChief Financial Officer
Pwc logo
Soumo BoseChief Executive
Ethelbert CooperFounder of Afren plc;Founder, African Gas Development Corporation
Slide 11
3. Access to Gas
… has established strong partnerships along the gas value chain
MarketsPipelinesUpstream Liquefaction plant
Shipping
Slide 12
Accessing small-scale reserves
Developing pipelines to aggregate the gas to a single point
Applying appropriate size/technologies
Working in collaboration with Teekay and others
Selling to high-value export markets and developing domestic markets
3. Access Gas
and is focused on currently flared gas and gas from marginal fields3. Access to gas
Slide 13
• aggregating small-scale reserves for delivery to conventionally-sized facilities; or• using innovative technology such as floating LNG (> 1 tcf)
Slide 13
Source: IHS West Africa; Angola, Cameroon, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Ivory Coast and Nigeria.
Slide 14
… a portfolio of business opportunities
4. Executing our strategy
Slide 14
Upstream access – right of first refusal to Afren gas
Gasol has an exclusive right of first refusal to acquire natural gas from Afren plc providing access to gas in Gulf of Guinea
Slide 15
4. Executing our strategy
Nigeria – Formation of a Gas Aggregation Company
Anambra BasinAnambra Basin
South East NigeriaSouth East Nigeria
Gasol, with its strategic partners, is working to develop, collect and monetise gas for domestic and export purposes in line with the Nigerian Government’s 2008 Gas Master Plan
Slide 16
4. Executing our strategy
Typical LNG development and timeline
Slide 17
Upstream development 1.00
Aggregation 1.00
LNG Plant3.00
Shipping 0.80
Regasification & Pipelines
0.55
Total 6.35
Cost$/mmbtu
FID1 - 3 years (1) 3 - 4 years (1)
Operation
Gas Asset Development
Gas Aggregation
Pre-FEED & FEED
Financing Construction
Prove up gas
Charter Agreements
Securing Access to Regas
Notes1: Floating LNG anticipated to be quicker than conventional LNG. Timelines assume gas gathering system constructed simultaneously with LNG plant.
4. Executing our strategy
Pipeline Construction
Equatorial Guinea – marketing gas
Slide 18
Gasol is working in Joint Venture with Sonagas to develop gas from the Zafiro field (the gas is currently flared)
4. Executing our strategy
Slide 19
Gasol has formed a strategic alliance with EDF, with the objective of assessing opportunities in the Gulf of Guinea, (excluding Nigeria), and identifying gas projects.
Gulf of Guinea– identifying project opportunities
4. Executing our strategy
Foundation Operations
LNG: Operations Phase
Portfolio of Gas Projects
... the premier Africa-focused gas independent
Gasol offers potential and growth
LNG : Implementation Phase
FLNG FID – 2009 Conventional LNG FID – 2011
Gasol 2008
Business Development Phase
4. Executing our strategy
Slide 20
Near-term focus Long-term goals
Upstream Access
Other Regional Initiatives
Equatorial Guinea
Nigeria –Gas Aggregation
Progress in our business development activities – marked by progress against clear yearly deliverables – will be reflected in near-term share price appreciation.
Slide 21
5. Deliverables
…a clear path to success
Slide 21
Financial Year 2009
Commitment Delivered to date
1. Strengthen the Board • Appointment of Theo Oerlemans as Non-Executive Chairman
• Appointment of Rachel English as CFO
✓
2. Acquire African LNG ✓
3. Broaden Partnerships • EDF• Teekay Corporation
✓
4. Project advances • German/Nigerian Government Agreement signed/ JV project given flagship status
✓
Slide 22
5. Deliverables
...and significant project progress
Slide 23
Commitment FY 2009
1. Nigeria • Further strengthen local relationships e.g.• MoU with Federal Republic of Nigeria
• Secure Regional Aggregator status
• Secure sufficient gas supply
2. Equatorial Guinea • Secure rights to gas
We are on track to deliver 1 FLNG by 2012 and 1 conventional LNGby 2015
5. Deliverables
Slide 24
6. Summary
…the premier Africa-focused gas independent
Slide 24
Summary
• Gas is an exciting sector and offers niche opportunities for independents
• Gasol is focused on aggregating stranded gas and gas from marginal fields in the Gulf of Guinea region of West Africa, primarily by developing LNG projects.
• Gasol is securing access to gas and has identified a series of business development activities which will provide long-term growth.
• Gasol is an exciting “ground floor” opportunity
We aim to be the premier Africa-focused gas independent
Slide 25
26
Appendices
Slide 26
2. Consideration satisfied in the form of Gasol shares based on:-– relative value of Gasol and African LNG businesses– maintaining existing shareholder’s economic interest in African LNG
3. AFGAS became the majority shareholder in the Enlarged Group (63%)
Acquisition of African LNG
1. Gasol secured control of African LNG with equity stake increasing from 20% to 100%
Slide 27
Specific business opportunities
• Upstream access - right of first refusal to market the gas assets of Afren plc
• Nigerian Gas Aggregation project working with E.ON Ruhrgas AG
• Rights to market gas from Equatorial Guinea
Appendix
Corporate Structure
100% 75% 75%
Liquefaction, shipping, regasification and marketing
of LNG
Gas gathering, pipelines, and other infrastructure
Gas infrastructure and other gas activities in Nigeria
AFGAS Nigeria Ltd
Gasol plc
Slide 28
AFGAS IL AfLNG
Appendix
Major Shareholders
Shares held (m) % of issued shares
African Gas Development Corporation 497.4 63.00
Synergy Asset Management Limited 75.0 9.04
Gasol Employee Benefit Trust 50.6 6.10
Blue Star Capital plc 21.6 2.61
Standard Life 20.4 2.46
Afren plc 19.4 2.34
Artemis 14.0 1.69
Credit Agricole Asset Management SGR 12.5 1.51
African Dawn Equity Partners 10.0 1.21
Gaia Resources Fund 8.0 0.97
Bradshaw Asset Management 5.5 0.75
Slide 29
Appendix
• An AIM-listed Africa-focused exploration and production independent
• Strong Management team led by Dr Rilwanu Lukman (Chairman) and Osman Shahenshah (CEO)
• Current portfolio of 17 assets in 7 African countries – Nigeria, Gabon, Congo Brazzaville, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Angola and the Joint Development Zone of Nigeria - Sao Tome & Principe JDZ
• Production target of15,000-20,000 barrels of oil per day met in 2008
• Strategic alliance agreement in August 2006 gave Gasol right of first refusal to liquefy and market Afren’s gas assets
Afren plc
Appendix
Slide 30