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AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being”--Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions in the Universe (Since the Big Bang)” Neutrino

AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

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Page 1: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

AY250: Neutrino Transients

Wherein

“The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being”--

Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions in the Universe (Since the Big Bang)”

Neutrino

Page 2: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Disclaimer !

• I am not a weak physicist; I am a weak astrophysicist; sort of. I don’t study neutrinos.

• I am a OoM theorist (cover your wallet).• I am discussing a field with 19 particles detected.• Stop me to ask questions. I probably stopped you.

!

Page 3: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Discussion Overview• Neutrino Physics Review (Astrophysics Perspective)

– Why Neutrinos as Probes of the Universe?– Gamma-Ray/Cosmic-Ray/Neutrino Connection

• Transient Neutrino Sources– Stellar Core-Collapse (Neutron Star Formation)*– Gamma-Ray Bursts*, Giant Magnetar Flares*– Neutron Star X-Ray Binaries– Blazars*, Microquasars, Supernova Remnants

• Neutrino Observatories– Past: Kamiokande I/II*, IMB*, AMANDA*, SNO, LVD– Present: IceCube*, KamLAND, Baikal(NT-200), Super-K– Future: SNO+, ANTARES, NEMO, NESTOR, UNO?

Low or “Nuclear” or “Human Accelerator” Energies High or “Nature Accelerator” Energies

Page 4: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Neutrino Review for Astrophysicists

• Postulated by Pauli (1930), “Popularized” by Fermi (1933), Experimentally Confirmed by Cowan/Reines (1950s)– “ghost” particle invented to carry away energy in decay

• Only Confirmed Solely Weakly Interacting Particles– “Fundamental” Leptons (spin 1/2)

• Fermi-Dirac Statistics with ~ 0 mass threshold

– 3 Flavors (Electron, Muon, Tau)

• e, , (and corresponding antineutrinos)

• Flavor Oscillations (Vacuum or Matter)– Observed ≠ Source-Produced Flavor – Mostly Ignored in Astrophysics

• Probably Smoothes to 1:1:1 Ratio

n ⇒ p + e− + ν e

Page 5: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Why Neutrinos? Physics & Astrophysics!

Physics-Solar Model (Nuclear Physics/Convection/B Fields, ENUC ~ 1-10 MeV)

-Beyond Standard Model (e.g., Neutrino Oscillations, Sterile Neutrinos)

-Dark Matter (Primordial WIMP Annihilation, EWIMP ~ 10 GeV-10 TeV)

-Tests of Special/General Relativity (e.g., weak equivalence principle)

Both Low and High Neutrino Energies Interesting!

Page 6: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Why Neutrinos? Physics & Astrophysics!

Physics-Solar Model (Nuclear Physics/Convection/B Fields, ENUC ~ 1-10 MeV)

-Beyond Standard Model (e.g., Neutrino Oscillations, Sterile Neutrinos)

-Dark Matter (Primordial WIMP Annihilation, EWIMP ~ 10 GeV-10 TeV)

-Tests of Special/General Relativity (e.g., weak equivalence principle)

Astrophysics-Probe Photo-Inaccessible Environments (e.g., Core-Collapse SNe) -

*Complementary to Gravitational Wave Detectors

-In Principle Observable STRAIGHT to the End of the Universe *Cosmology/AGN/GRB *Gamma Rays Absorbed, Cosmic Rays Deflected and Absorbed

-Tracks Particle Acceleration (Cosmic Ray Connection, ECR > GeV)

*Where do the ultra-high energy cosmic rays come from?

Both Low and High Neutrino Energies Interesting!

Page 7: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Relevant Neutrino-Matter Interactions: In Earth Detectors, Core Collapse Supernovae &

Astrophysical Particle Accelerators • Electron Scattering

•Directional Information

(e,μ ,τ ) + e− →ν (e,μ ,τ ) + e−

ν (μ ,τ ) + e− → (μ,τ ) + ν e

σe /σ T ~ 10−20 Eν

mec2

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

Page 8: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Relevant Neutrino-Matter Interactions: In Earth Detectors, Core Collapse Supernovae &

Astrophysical Particle Accelerators

σn /σ T ~ 10−20 Eν

mec2

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟2

, MeV < Eν < GeV

• Electron Scattering•Directional Information

• Nucleon Absorption (Core Collapse)

(e,μ ,τ ) + e− →ν (e,μ ,τ ) + e−

ν (μ ,τ ) + e− → (μ,τ ) + ν e

e + n → p + e−

ν e + p → n + e+€

σe /σ T ~ 10−20 Eν

mec2

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

Page 9: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Relevant Neutrino-Matter Interactions: In Earth Detectors, Core Collapse Supernovae &

Astrophysical Particle Accelerators

σn /σ T ~ 10−20 Eν

mec2

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟2

, MeV < Eν < GeV

• Electron Scattering•Directional Information

• Nucleon Absorption (Core Collapse)

• Photohadronic Pion Cascade (Shocks)

•Threshold Energy: e.g.

(e,μ ,τ ) + e− →ν (e,μ ,τ ) + e−

ν (μ ,τ ) + e− → (μ,τ ) + ν e

e + n → p + e−

ν e + p → n + e+

E p Eγ ' > 12 mΔ

2 − mp2

( ) ~ (500 MeV)2

σe /σ T ~ 10−20 Eν

mec2

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

Cosmic Ray Acceleration => Neutrino Flux

Page 10: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Neutrino Sky

Taken from Smoot Online

• Thermal BB Relic Neutrinos (E ~10-4 eV) – Hopelessly Undetectable (Z-Bursts?)

• SN Core Collapse Relic Neutrinos (E ~1 MeV)

– Bound Supernova / Star Formation Rate– Constrain Cosmology?

– Still ~ 1 OoM Below Detection Ability

Page 11: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Neutrino Sky

Taken from Smoot Online

• Thermal BB Relic Neutrinos (E ~10-4 eV) – Hopelessly Undetectable (Z-Bursts?)

• SN Core Collapse Relic Neutrinos (E ~1 MeV)

– Bound Supernova / Star Formation Rate– Constrain Cosmology?

– Still ~ 1 OoM Below Detection Ability • Atmospheric Neutrinos • “Diffuse” CR Interaction Emission

– Cosmogenic Emission– Gas (Galactic, Star-Forming Galaxies)

• Big Bang Relics– Primordial Black Holes, Topological Defects– WIMP Annihilation

Page 12: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Neutrino Sky

Taken from Smoot Online

• Thermal BB Relic Neutrinos (E ~10-4 eV) – Hopelessly Undetectable (Z-Bursts?)

• SN Core Collapse Relic Neutrinos (E ~1 MeV)

– Bound Supernova / Star Formation Rate– Constrain Cosmology?

– Still ~ 1 OoM Below Detection Ability • Atmospheric Neutrinos • “Diffuse” CR Interaction Emission

– Cosmogenic Emission– Gas (Galactic, Star-Forming Galaxies)

• Big Bang Relics– Primordial Black Holes, Topological Defects– WIMP Annihilation

• SN Core Collapse Point Sources (E ~ 10 MeV)

– Limited to Local Universe

• Potential Cosmic Ray Acceleration Sites• What We Haven’t Thought Of

Page 13: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Part I: Low Energy Core Collapse Neutrinos

Page 14: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernovae Theory: A Brief Pre-History (Before Neutrinos, <1960)

• Neutron Stars Might Exist! - Landau, 1932, 1937: NS Core Powers the Sun?

- Gulag-Saving Measure?

- Got Oppenheimer et al. Interested

Cas A (Chandra)

Page 15: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernovae Theory: A Brief Pre-History (Before Neutrinos, <1960)

• Neutron Stars Might Exist! - Landau, 1932, 1937: NS Core Powers the Sun?

- Gulag-Saving Measure?

- Got Oppenheimer et al. Interested

• SNe Beget Neutron Stars? - Baade & Zwicky, 1934: ESN ~ GMCH

2/RN ??

- All SN Types Clumped

- No Neutrino Connection

Cas A (Chandra)

Page 16: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernovae Theory: A Brief Pre-History (Before Neutrinos, <1960)

• Neutron Stars Might Exist! - Landau, 1932, 1937: NS Core Powers the Sun?

- Gulag-Saving Measure?

- Got Oppenheimer et al. Interested

• SNe Beget Neutron Stars? - Baade & Zwicky, 1934: ESN ~ GMCH

2/RN ??

- All SN Types Clumped

- No Neutrino Connection

• B2FH Onion Skin Model- Widely Popularized Non Big-Bang Nucleosynthesis

- No Iron Core Emphasis, Connection to MCH

- 254Cf Powers Light?

Cas A (Chandra)

Page 17: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernova Neutrinos: Modeling & The Standard Model (>1960)

• Chiu (1961): Neutrinos Control Collapse Dynamics– Weak Interaction Controls MacroDynamics!

• Colgate & White (1961): First Numerical Simulations - Neutrino Transport Ad Hoc (1053 erg SNe!)- >100 MeV Neutrinos (~Gravitational Binding Energy), ~10 ms Infall Timescale

PNS

Page 18: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernova Neutrinos: Modeling & The Standard Model (>1960)

• Chiu (1961): Neutrinos Control Collapse Dynamics– Weak Interaction Controls MacroDynamics!

• Colgate & White (1961): First Numerical Simulations - Neutrino Transport Ad Hoc (1053 erg SNe!)- >100 MeV Neutrinos (~Gravitational Binding Energy), ~10 ms Infall Timescale

• Improved Physics! Glashow,Salam,& Weinberg (1968): Neutral Current Weak Interactions

• Neutrinos are Trapped! (1970s) - Optically Thick ProtoNeutron Star Forms- ~10 MeV, ~1-100 s Diffusion Timescale- Dynamics Independent of Supernova Mechanism

PNS

Neutrinos are Trapped in HERE!

Page 19: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core-Collapse Supernova Neutrinos: Modeling & The Standard Model (>1960)

• Chiu (1961): Neutrinos Control Collapse Dynamics– Weak Interaction Controls MacroDynamics!

• Colgate & White (1961): First Numerical Simulations - Neutrino Transport Ad Hoc (1053 erg SNe!)- >100 MeV Neutrinos (~Gravitational Binding Energy), ~10 ms Infall Timescale

• Improved Physics! Glashow,Salam,& Weinberg (1968): Neutral Current Weak Interactions

• Neutrinos are Trapped! (1970s) - Optically Thick ProtoNeutron Star Forms- ~10 MeV, ~1-100 s Diffusion Timescale- Dynamics Independent of Supernova Mechanism

• SNe Don’t Explode! (1980s-NOW) - ProtoNeutron Star Neutrinos May Re-Energize Supernova Shock (Bethe & Wilson 1985)???

PNS

Neutrinos are Trapped in HERE!

Page 20: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Theoretical Argument for ~10 seconds of Detectable ~10 MeV Neutrinos

Kelvin - Helmholtz ProtoNeutron Star Cooling

Egrav ~ GM 2 /R, tdiffuse ~ (R /c)τ nν

Lν ~ Egrav / tdiffuse ~ 4πR2σTS4

Radiative Transfer ⇒ Ts4τ ν ~ TC

4

TC ~ 60M1.4 M sun

1/ 2R30km−1 MeV

σ nν ~ 10−44 (Eν ,C /mec2)2cm2, Eν ,C ~ 3kT, M ~ (4π /3)R3ρ

τ ν ~ ρ /mn( )σ nν R ~ 104 −105 M1.4 M sun

2R30km−4

Eν ,S ~ 3kTS ~ 3kTC /τ ν1/ 4 ~ 15 MeV

Lν ~ 3×1052 R30km2 erg/s

tdiffuse ~ (R /c)τ ν ~ 10R30kms

F⊕ ~ Lν /4πD2, Ne,H20 ~ (Vρ H 20 /mp )

N⊕ ~ tdiffuse (F⊕ / Eν )σ νnNe,H20 /6 ~

~ Ebind /6(σ νn / Eν )Ne,H20 ~ 20(V /kton)M1.4 M sun

2R30km−1 D50kpc

−2

“The Supernova is only a sideshow to the main event: Neutron Star Birth” - A. Burrows

Page 21: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Theoretical Argument for ~10 seconds of Detectable ~10 MeV Neutrinos

Kelvin - Helmholtz ProtoNeutron Star Cooling

Egrav ~ GM 2 /R, tdiffuse ~ (R /c)τ nν

Lν ~ Egrav / tdiffuse ~ 4πR2σTS4

Radiative Transfer ⇒ Ts4τ ν ~ TC

4

TC ~ 60M1.4 M sun

1/ 2R30km−1 MeV

σ nν ~ 10−44 (Eν ,C /mec2)2cm2, Eν ,C ~ 3kT, M ~ (4π /3)R3ρ

τ ν ~ ρ /mn( )σ nν R ~ 104 −105 M1.4 M sun

2R30km−4

Eν ,S ~ 3kTS ~ 3kTC /τ ν1/ 4 ~ 15 MeV

Lν ~ 3×1052 R30km2 erg/s

tdiffuse ~ (R /c)τ ν ~ 10R30kms

F⊕ ~ Lν /4πD2, Ne,H20 ~ (Vρ H 20 /mp )

N⊕ ~ tdiffuse (F⊕ / Eν )σ νnNe,H20 /6 ~

~ Ebind /6(σ νn / Eν )Ne,H20 ~ 20(V /kton)M1.4 M sun

2R30km−1 D50kpc

−2

“The Supernova is only a sideshow to the main event: Neutron Star Birth” - A. Burrows

Detectable with 1000 tons of water!

Page 22: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

1980s Water Cerenkov “Proton Decay Experiments”

• Japanese Zinc Mine (Shielding from Cosmic Ray Muons)

• Volume: ~2 ktons• 1000 PMTs• Detector Efficiency:

– ~66% at 10 MeV, ~90% at 15 MeV

• Salt Mine in Ohio• Volume: ~6 ktons• 2048 PMTs• Detector Efficiency:

– ~10% at 20 MeV, ~60% at 40 MeV

Kamiokande (I & II)

Irvine. Michigan. Brookhaven (IMB)

Page 23: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Core Collapse Neutrino Predictions on Feb 22., 1987

•Stage 1: Prompt Deneutronization (~30 ms, ~1051 ergs of e’s)

•Stage 2: Shock Breakout (~10 ms, ~1051 ergs of e’s)

•Stage 3: Accretion Luminosity (<1 s, Depends on SN Mechanism)

•Stage 4: ProtoNeutron Star Cooling (~10 s, ~1053 ergs; all flavors) Log t (ms)

Page 24: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

“On Detecting Stellar Collapse with

Neutrinos” (A. Burrows 1984)

Core Collapse Neutrino Predictions on Feb 22., 1987

•Stage 1: Prompt Deneutronization (~30 ms, ~1051 ergs of e’s)

•Stage 2: Shock Breakout (~10 ms, ~1051 ergs of e’s)

•Stage 3: Accretion Luminosity (<1 s, Depends on SN Mechanism)

•Stage 4: ProtoNeutron Star Cooling (~10 s, ~1053 ergs; all flavors) Log t (ms)

IMB Upgrades PMTs Late 1986

Page 25: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

"The chances of a neutrino actually hitting something as it travels through all this howling emptiness are roughly comparable to that of

dropping a ball bearing at random from a cruising 747 and hitting, say, an egg

sandwich.” --Douglas Adams

Page 26: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

SN1987A in LMC!

Page 27: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

SN1987A in LMC!

~3 Hours Before Robert McNaught’s LMC Plates (20 Hours Before Ian Shelton’s Discovery)

Page 28: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Neutrinos from SN1987A•19 Neutrinos Total

•11 Kamiokande, 8 IMB, (5 Mt. Blanc?)

•Probably All Electron Antineutrinos

•No Directional Information

•One Scattering Event?

•Fermi-Dirac Black Body T~3-5 MeV

•Diffusion Process Confirmed (R~20 km)

•Definite Proof of Neutron Star Birth

•No Black Hole Signature (No Pulsar to Date Though!)

•Insufficient to Extract SN Mechanism

•Constraints on Electron Neutrino Mass (<14 eV, 95%)

•No KII/IMB Synchronization!!!, Still Limited by Intrinsic Emission Time

e + p → n + e+

Page 29: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Future of Core Collapse Neutrino Detection• Present/Future Detectors

LARGER CERENKOV VOLUME = BETTER STATISTICS– Super-K (32 kton volume)

• ~4,000 Neutrinos for Galactic SN at 10 kpc

– Amanda (Only Because Short Timescale)• ~20,000 Neutrinos for Galactic SN at 10 kpc• Galactic SN Rate Upper Limit ~4/year

– Enough Scattering Events for Direction?MULTI-FLAVOR– e.g., KamLand (~70 NC Reactions), OMNIS?

Page 30: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Future of Core Collapse Neutrino Detection• Present/Future Detectors

LARGER CERENKOV VOLUME = BETTER STATISTICS– Super-K (32 kton volume)

• ~4,000 Neutrinos for Galactic SN at 10 kpc

– Amanda (Only Because Short Timescale)• ~20,000 Neutrinos for Galactic SN at 10 kpc• Galactic SN Rate Upper Limit ~4/year

– Enough Scattering Events for Direction?MULTI-FLAVOR– e.g., KamLand (~70 NC Reactions), OMNIS?

• New Tools– SUNG (Supernova Neutrino Generation Tool) – SNEWS (Lets Get Organized)

• Things to Learn– SN Explosion Mechanism (Accretion Shock Luminosity) – Breakout Signature? Currently Unlikely– With Next SN Will We Learn More About SNe or Neutrino Physics?

Page 31: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

SNEWS: Supernova Neutrino Early Warning System

International Collaboration of SN Neutrino-Sensitive InstrumentsSuper-K, LVD, SNO(+), AMANDA(IceCube)

GOALS: (1) Act as a Prompt Alert (and Localization) for Galactic SNe (2) Improve Sensitivity Through Multiple Telescopes

- Improve Small-Number Statistics- Eliminate Costly False Warnings

MEANS: (1) Computer Correlates “Warnings” from SNEWs Members

- “Warning” Designation on Group-to-Group Basis, > 1 False Warning/Week ==> Elimination from SNEWs

(2) Emails Astronomical Community (Sign Up Online!)- Optical/X-ray/Radio Pointings Hours Earlier than any SN to Date- < 1 False Warning / Century

Page 32: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Part II: High Energy, “Nature Accelerator” Neutrinos

Page 33: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Antartic Muon And Neutrino Detector Array• 677 PMTs in Cylinder (D = 200m)

1500 - 1900 m Depth Under Ice• Primarily Looks “Down” For Muons

Created by Muon Neutrinos (~20 Reconstruction)– Huge “Down-Going” CR Muons

Background– Electrons, Taus Produce Cascades– Water Vs. Ice:

Scattering/Absorption Length

• Energy Threshold ~50 GeV– But ~1 MeV For Huge Brief Flux (SNe)– Calibrated To Atmospheric Neutrinos– Low Background at E > TeV

• No Astrophysical Detections (Diffuse or Point Source)– Mostly Atmospheric Neutrinos Observed– BATSE GRB Coincidence Search -

None Observed/None Expected

• Integrated to IceCube in 2005

L. Kopke

Page 34: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

AMANDA RESULTS

Hardtke et al.

Page 35: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Cosmic Beam Dumps & the Gamma-Ray/Cosmic-Ray Connection

,Neutron Stars, and any Shocks

CR + -Ray ==> Neutrino

-Ray ==> CR Acceleration

Neutrino ==> CR Acceleration!

, baryons

Halzen & Hooper

4:3, E=4E

Page 36: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Cosmic Beam Dumps & the Gamma-Ray/Cosmic-Ray Connection

,Neutron Stars, and any Shocks,

CR + -Ray ==> Neutrino

-Ray ==> CR Acceleration

Neutrino ==> CR Acceleration!

, baryons

Halzen & Hooper

TWO APPROACHES TO FINDING SOURCES OF HIGH ENERGY NEUTRINOS:

(1) Follow the Gamma-Ray Photons

(2) Look Where YOU THINK Particle Acceleration is Happening In the Universe and Test Your Hypothesis

Page 37: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

Page 38: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Page 39: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Good Bet; Bright TeV Sources. Bet on Radio Quasars

Page 40: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Good Bet; Bright TeV Sources. Bet on Radio Quasars

Maybe; Only PWNe (TeV Sources) If Ion Component

Page 41: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Good Bet; Bright TeV Sources. Bet on Radio Quasars

Maybe; Only PWNe (TeV Sources) If Ion Component

Probably; If CRs Really Accelerated as Advertised

Page 42: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Good Bet; Bright TeV Sources. Bet on Radio Quasars

Maybe; Only PWNe (TeV Sources) If Ion Component

Probably; If CRs Really Accelerated as Advertised

Good Bet; TeV Flux Plausibly Hadronic

Page 43: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Chuck Dermer’s “Best-Bet Astrophysical Neutrino Sources”

• Solar Flares

• Blazars: PKS 0208-512, PKS 0528+134, NRAO 530, 3C279, PKS

1622-297

• Pulsars/PWNe: 1706-44, Crab, Vela, Geminga • SN Remnants: W44, IC 443, Gamma Cygni

• Microquasars: LS 5039, LSI +61 303

• GRBs (Successful and “Failed”)

• Giant Magnetar Flares• Unidentified EGRET Sources (In and Out of Galactic Plane)

The Universe is NOT Transparent to > TeV Energies, So Extrapolate Known SEDs (Compton GRO-TeV)

Gamma-Ray Fluences > 10-4 ergs cm-2

NO; Spectrum Too Soft

Good Bet; Bright TeV Sources. Bet on Radio Quasars

Maybe; Only PWNe (TeV Sources) If Ion Component

Probably; If CRs Really Accelerated as Advertised

Good Bet; TeV Flux Plausibly Hadronic

Good Bet; Depends Sensitively on Baryon Fraction/Lorentz Factor

Page 44: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Whipple Detection of Blazar TeV Photon Bursts

Kerrick et al. 1995

But Are These The Result of 0 Decay?

Page 45: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Cosmic Ray Spectrum

UHECRs Only Directional for 1019 eV < E < EGZK, D < 100 Mpc

OMG Particles!

Page 46: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Are AGN the Source of UHECRs?

SMBH Jets ==> E > EGZK Cosmic Rays ==> AGN Source!€

EMAX ~ eΓGMBH

κ es

~ 1021 Γ

10

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

L

LED

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

1/ 2MBH

109 Msun

⎝ ⎜

⎠ ⎟

1/ 2

eV

•Nature’s Particle Accelerators Must Be Able To Confine Particles Inside Larmor Radius

Page 47: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

GRBs or “Failed GRBs” Also Can Produce UHECRs

Neutrino-Cooled Accretion

Narayan & Quataert

•Black Hole Mass ~109 Smaller

• Mass/Energy Accretion Rate ~1010-15 Larger

•Lorentz Factor ~10 Larger

•EMAX ~102-5 Larger

GRBs’ More Powerful Explosions Make Up For Smaller Size

Neutrinos (or Lack Thereof) Would Tell Us About “Fireball” Content of GRBs or AGN Jets

Page 48: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

The Case for Kilometer-Scale Neutrino Observatories• At km3 ~100 TeV Atmospheric Neutrinos Don’t Limit Detection• Threshold For Detecting Neutrino Sources with Luminosities ~ Largest in

Universe (AGN / GRBs)• Detectable Fluences Match High Energy Gamma-Ray ~10-100 Point Sources• Sensitive to Waxman-Bahcall “Diffuse” Limit in ~1 Year

Page 49: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions
Page 50: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions
Page 51: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions
Page 52: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

IceCube

• AMANDA’s BIG BROTHER: 1 km3 of Ice • 4800 PMTs on 80 Strings• ~10 Angular Resolution to Muon Neutrinos • IceTop Air Shower Array to

Veto Downgoing Muons• Digitized/Time-Stamped at

Each PMT • Easily Reach Waxman/Bahcall

Diffuse Bounds & Begin to

Probe Point Sources• ~10 GRB Neutrinos Predicted

(Borderline!)

• Started Deploying 2005;• Construction Finished ~2011

Page 53: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions
Page 54: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

L. Kopke

Page 55: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

TeV-PeV Neutrinos from Giant Magnetar Flares?

-Ray Energetic Burst (~1044-1047 ergs)

• Durations: ~0.1-1 s (Longer Soft Tail)

• Rate: ~1/Decade • A Young Galactic

Magnetar’s Crustal Failure?

• “mini-GRB”

Courtesy K. Hurley/ S. Boggs (RHESSI)

SGR 1806-20 December 27,2004 Flare: “Brightest Cosmic Transient Ever”

(Ioka et al. 2005)

But how much like a GRB? - Bulk Acceleration and Shocks???

SGR Giant Flares

Page 56: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

TeV-PeV Neutrinos from Giant Magnetar Flares? Critical Question: Baryon-Loaded or Not?

• Adiabatic Expansion, Acceleration, Non-Thermal Shocks

• Radio Emission Calorimetry ==> Baryons in Outflow

• Some Previous Flares May Be Nonthermal

• Short GRBs are Non-Thermal - Some may be SGRs

• MAYBE DETECTABLE

• Prompt Emission Just a Thermal Photospheric Breakout

• Also Consistent with Radio Calorimetry?

• Hurley et al. Claim Thermal Emission

• NOT DETECTABLE

If < 30, AMANDA saw 1 neutrino; IceCube should see 1 from even weak SGR Giant Flare => Test Baryon-Loaded Hypothesis!

Baryon Rich Baryon Poor

Page 57: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Optical Follow-Up of Neutrino Transients• Some Astrophysical Neutrino Sources May Be Burst-Like

– Long-Duration GRBs and “Failed GRB” SNe (dt ~ 1-100 s)– Probable Electromagnetic Counterparts

• IceCube & other km3 arrays => Marginal Detections Expected– Need to Extract Signal from Atmospheric Neutrino Background

(~100 day-1 total, but only 1000(10) year-1 above 10(100) TeV)

Kowalski & Mohr (2007)

Page 58: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Optical Follow-Up of Neutrino Transients• Some Astrophysical Neutrino Sources May Be Burst-Like

– Long-Duration GRBs and “Failed GRB” SNe (dt ~ 1-100 s)– Probable Electromagnetic Counterparts

• IceCube & other km3 arrays => Marginal Detections Expected– Need to Extract Signal from Atmospheric Neutrino Background

(~100 day-1 total, but only 1000(10) year-1 above 10(100) TeV)

• Look for Temporal (~100s), Angular Coincidences (~20)– 3 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~10-4 year-1(Own-Merit Detection- Identify Source)– 2 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~2 year-1 (Many False Positives)$$$

– 1 Neutrino: Only Meaningful If Identified with SNe < 20 Mpc

• Single High Energy GRB Neutrinos Rare***

Kowalski & Mohr (2007)

Page 59: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Optical Follow-Up of Neutrino Transients• Some Astrophysical Neutrino Sources May Be Burst-Like

– Long-Duration GRBs and “Failed GRB” SNe (dt ~ 1-100 s)– Probable Electromagnetic Counterparts

• IceCube & other km3 arrays => Marginal Detections Expected– Need to Extract Signal from Atmospheric Neutrino Background

(~100 day-1 total, but only 1000(10) year-1 above 10(100) TeV)

• Look for Temporal (~100s), Angular Coincidences (~20)– 3 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~10-4 year-1(Own-Merit Detection- Identify Source)– 2 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~2 year-1 (Many False Positives)$$$

– 1 Neutrino: Only Meaningful If Identified with SNe < 20 Mpc

• Single High Energy GRB Neutrinos Rare***• PROBLEM: Neutrino Detector Monitors ~ Full Hemisphere ---

Electromagnetic Telescopes Have Limited FOV– Few Expected Detectable Sources - Can’t be Picky!

Kowalski & Mohr (2007)

Page 60: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Optical Follow-Up of Neutrino Transients• Some Astrophysical Neutrino Sources May Be Burst-Like

– Long-Duration GRBs and “Failed GRB” SNe (dt ~ 1-100 s)– Probable Electromagnetic Counterparts

• IceCube & other km3 arrays => Marginal Detections Expected– Need to Extract Signal from Atmospheric Neutrino Background

(~100 day-1 total, but only 1000(10) year-1 above 10(100) TeV)

• Look for Temporal (~100s), Angular Coincidences (~20)– 3 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~10-4 year-1(Own-Merit Detection- Identify Source)– 2 Neutrino Coincidence Rate: ~2 year-1 (Many False Positives)$$$

– 1 Neutrino: Only Meaningful If Identified with SNe < 20 Mpc

• Single High Energy GRB Neutrinos Rare***• PROBLEM: Neutrino Detector Monitors ~ Full Hemisphere ---

Electromagnetic Telescopes Have Limited FOV– Few Expected Detectable Sources - Can’t be Picky!

• SOLUTION: ToO Optical Follow-Up to Neutrino Trigger– 2 m Class Telescope, 10 FOV, – SNe$$$ (~2-3 Times Sensitivity - Might Make a Big Difference)– GRBs*** (Even Bigger Payoff, Meaningful Provided You Look >100 TeV)

Kowalski & Mohr (2007)

Page 61: AY250: Neutrino Transients Wherein “The Most Tiny Quantities of Reality Ever Imagined by a Human Being” --Fred Raines Meet “The Most Powerful Explosions

Neutrinos, they are very small.

They have no charge and have no (sic) mass

And do not interact at all.

The earth is just a silly ball

To them, through which they simply pass,

Like dustmaids down a drafty hall

Or photons through a sheet of glass.

They snub the most exquisite gas,

Ignore the most substantial wall, . . .

—From John Updike’s “Cosmic Gall”