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Energy NEWS | Price forecasts | Country Reports | Analyses | Power and trading data | Auctions | Carbon market | Tenders
B a l k a n E n e r g y . c o m
Covering: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey
Market Arbitration Profits
SPOT Market Prices (all prices in EUR/MWh); Rise - Green, Drop - Red
*Day ahead prices - day ahead capacity
Current wholesale prices
MIN - BG MAX - IT
37.7 37.7 - 40 40 - 42 42 - 46 46 - 48 48 - 50 50 - 52.5 52.5
based on 2 last day-ahead average price
36
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40
42
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46
48
0
20
40
60
80
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
HUPX, Hungary
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
10
20
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60
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
EEX, Germany
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
07.02. 06.02. 05.02. 04.02. 03.02.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change
Hungary 45.71 48.96 46.73 31.97 37.79 37.75 47.13 24.8%
Germany 47.23 47.12 45.11 33.56 40.28 31.19 46.48 49.0%
Austria 48.70 50.38 46.97 33.75 38.80 31.82 48.68 53.0%
Slovenia 47.23 46.24 45.10 33.56 40.28 39.56 46.19 16.8%
Romania 37.23 44.30 46.38 22.00 33.68 37.25 42.63 14.4%
Bulgaria 35.15 40.31 44.36 27.07 35.67 38.22 39.94 4.5%
Croatia 50.01 53.39 50.94 33.29 37.64 39.64 51.45 29.8%
Serbia 36.13 47.16 45.23 30.82 37.59 39.44 42.84 8.6%
Greece 50.59 53.05 49.76 47.28 46.03 53.95 51.13 -5.2%
Turkey 38.19 42.18 41.32 31.82 37.81 40.23 40.56 0.8%
Italy 52.05 52.93 49.75 44.26 44.42 48.43 51.58 6.5%
07.02. 06.02. 05.02. 04.02. 03.02.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change
Hungary 57.09 58.34 54.73 35.98 42.62 45.50 56.72 24.6%
Germany 54.22 54.21 52.87 34.78 44.85 37.58 53.77 43.1%
Austria 57.08 58.63 54.31 36.46 43.24 37.98 56.67 49.2%
Slovenia 54.22 54.21 52.87 34.78 44.85 47.56 53.77 13.0%
Romania 43.88 54.82 54.73 23.94 42.57 45.51 51.14 12.4%
Bulgaria 39.82 48.44 55.43 29.21 39.11 46.49 47.90 3.0%
Croatia 59.59 61.75 59.01 37.11 42.85 47.66 60.11 26.1%
Serbia 43.24 55.55 53.30 34.50 41.53 45.77 50.70 10.8%
Greece 51.51 54.89 52.82 49.59 50.28 55.16 53.07 -3.8%
Turkey 40.20 45.04 44.17 29.91 39.54 42.92 43.13 0.5%
Italy 58.01 58.54 54.42 47.70 47.76 53.09 56.99 7.3%
07.02. 06.02. 05.02. 04.02. 03.02.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change
Hungary 34.34 39.58 38.72 27.97 32.95 30.00 37.55 25.2%
Germany 40.24 40.03 37.34 32.34 35.72 24.81 39.20 58.0%
Austria 40.32 42.12 39.64 31.04 34.36 25.65 40.69 58.6%
Slovenia 40.23 38.26 37.33 32.34 35.72 31.56 38.61 22.4%
Romania 30.57 33.78 38.02 20.06 24.79 28.99 34.12 17.7%
Bulgaria 30.48 32.19 33.29 24.94 32.23 29.95 31.98 6.8%
Croatia 40.44 45.03 42.87 29.47 32.44 31.63 42.78 35.3%
Serbia 29.03 38.76 37.16 27.14 33.66 33.11 34.98 5.7%
Greece 49.67 51.20 46.69 44.98 41.77 52.74 49.19 -6.7%
Turkey 36.18 39.32 38.47 33.73 36.08 37.55 37.99 1.2%
BASEWorkweek average
PEAKWorkweek average
Workweek averageOFFPEAK
07.02. 06.02. 05.02. 04.02. 03.02.
WED TUE MON SUN SAT
B -3.16 -1.73 -0.62 -1.93 -1.25
AT > HU P -0.15 -0.69 -0.11 -0.66 -0.91
O -6.16 -2.77 -1.12 -3.21 -1.60
B -1.68 1.53 1.25 -1.74 -2.74
DE > HU P 2.71 3.74 1.32 1.02 -2.51
O -6.08 -0.68 1.18 -4.51 -2.96
B 1.35 -2.84 -1.71 1.54 2.46
HU > SI P -3.02 -4.24 -1.95 -1.22 2.22
O 5.72 -1.45 -1.46 4.30 2.71
B 4.13 4.31 4.17 1.27 -0.18
HU > HR P 2.34 3.30 4.27 1.11 0.22
O 5.92 5.32 4.07 1.42 -0.57
B -9.58 -1.80 -1.50 -1.15 -0.21
HU > SR P -13.86 -2.78 -1.43 -1.48 -1.11
O -5.31 -0.82 -1.56 -0.83 0.70
B -2.78 -7.16 -5.88 0.27 2.64
HR > SI P -5.37 -7.54 -6.22 -2.33 2.00
O -0.20 -6.77 -5.54 2.87 3.28
BASE
* BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia)
Power and trading data
07.02.2018
Full report available in SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY
Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
HUPX February 2018
forecast available
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
2
Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
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Futures (EEX Germany, HUPX Hungary)
0
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60
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
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Wh)
BSP, Slovenia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
62
64
66
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70
72
74
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0
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50
60
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
OPCOM, Romania
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
0
10
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01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
IBEX, Bulgaria
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0
20
40
60
80
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
CROPEX, Croatia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
0
20
40
60
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
SEEPEX, Serbia
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
175
180
185
190
195
200
205
0
10
20
30
40
50
01.02. 02.02. 03.02. 04.02. 05.02. 06.02. 07.02.
Trad
ed v
olum
e (G
Wh)
EPIAS, Turkey
Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak
-10.00
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
29.01. 30.01. 31.01 01.02. 02.02. 05.02. 06.02.
Spread DE/AT - HUPX | March 2018
Spread DE/AT - HUPX | March 2018 (AVG=-3.39)
B 0.17 489 0.31 463 0.38 464 0.16 526
AT > HU P 0.16 486 0.39 461 0.54 461 0.18 521
O 0.18 493 0.23 466 0.21 466 0.13 531
B 0.04 1,924 0.07 1,423 0.07 1,423 0.05 1,303
HU > HR P 0.01 1,973 0.03 1,487 0.03 1,488 0.03 1,302
O 0.07 1,875 0.10 1,359 0.10 1,359 0.07 1,305
B 0.17 1,853 0.12 1,934 0.04 1,924 0.05 1,761
HR > SI P 0.15 1,853 0.11 1,990 0.01 1,973 0.02 1,761
O 0.18 1,853 0.13 1,878 0.07 1,875 0.08 1,761
B 0.00 1,347 0.00 1,243 0.05 1,274 0.00 1,398
SI > HR P 0.01 1,347 0.00 1,210 0.09 1,226 0.00 1,429
O 0.00 1,347 0.00 1,275 0.00 1,322 0.00 1,367
B 5.02 222 1.15 480 0.97 388 0.31 550
BA > HR P 7.22 207 0.92 498 0.56 408 0.19 586
O 2.82 238 1.38 462 1.39 368 0.42 514
B 0.00 1,044 0.00 939 0.00 819 0.00 853
HR > BA P 0.00 1,045 0.00 941 0.00 820 0.00 851
O 0.00 1,043 0.00 937 0.00 818 0.00 855
B 0.00 547 0.00 475 0.00 456 0.00 455
BA > ME P 0.00 535 0.00 473 0.00 461 0.00 453
O 0.00 559 0.00 478 0.00 450 0.00 458
B 0.00 435 0.00 390 0.00 293 0.00 212
ME > AL P 0.00 426 0.00 387 0.00 296 0.00 208
O 0.00 445 0.00 394 0.00 291 0.00 215
B 19.09 180 5.53 172 5.43 56 8.47 39
AL > GR P 2.70 222 0.26 208 3.26 70 9.59 39
O 35.49 139 10.79 136 7.60 42 7.36 39
B 0.00 216 0.00 211 0.00 201 0.00 201
GR > TR P 0.00 216 0.00 211 0.00 201 0.00 201
O 0.00 216 0.00 211 0.00 201 0.00 201
B 6.00 23 6.97 23 6.60 12 5.14 19
TR > GR P 6.63 21 6.45 21 6.70 12 6.64 16
O 5.36 24 7.49 24 6.50 11 3.64 21
B 0.59 527 0.83 495 0.84 518 0.51 549
GR > IT P 0.77 509 1.22 477 1.42 490 0.25 558
O 0.41 546 0.44 514 0.27 545 0.77 540
B 2.37 472 2.56 505 2.62 481 2.13 451
IT > GR P 1.54 491 0.75 523 0.38 508 3.06 442
O 3.20 454 4.37 486 4.86 455 1.20 460
B 0.00 1,292 0.00 1,218 0.00 1,111 0.00 1,043
HU > SR P 0.00 1,294 0.00 1,244 0.00 1,141 0.00 1,089
O 0.00 1,291 0.00 1,192 0.00 1,080 0.00 997
B 0.00 860 0.01 966 0.10 964 0.00 1,022
SR > HU P 0.00 860 0.02 904 0.15 852 0.00 1,023
O 0.00 860 0.01 1,027 0.05 1,076 0.00 1,021
Auctions
Daily 07.02.
WED
06.02.
TUE
05.02.
MON
04.02.
SUN
Daily Auctions (all prices in EUR/MWh, volumes in MWh AVG)
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
3
Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
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Danube level, relevant for hydro generation in 4 HPPs with 2,740 MW output: Djerdap 1 (SR), Djerdap 2 (SR), Iron
Gates 1 (RO), Iron Gates 2 (RO)
* Measurement location near Belgrade, taking into account Sava river and its tributaries
-1
2 1
-1 -1
3
5 5 5 5
-2
0
2
4
6
7.2. 8.2. 9.2. 10.2. 11.2.
Budapest, Hungary
-3
2 2 0
2
5
9
12
8 6
-5
0
5
10
15
Bucharest, Romania
0
3 4
2 0
10 12
11
6 5
0
5
10
15
Sofia,
Bulgaria
2
4
1 0
1
9
7 8
7 6
0
2
4
6
8
10
Belgrade, Serbia
1 1
-1 -1 -1
2
5 5 4
6
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Zagreb,
Croatia
9
12 10
12 10
18 18 18 16 16
0
5
10
15
20
Athens, Greece
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Danube water level (cm)
Current level Long term averageLong term MAX Forecast
2 4
1 3 3
12
15 13
9 9
0
5
10
15
20
Skopje, Maced.
-9.00
-6.00
-3.00
0.00
3.00
29.01. 30.01. 31.01 01.02. 02.02. 05.02. 06.02.
Spread: DE/AT Week 07 - HUPX Week 07
Spread: DE/AT Week 07 - HUPX Week 07 (AVG=-2.5)
Weather forecast (Celsius)
34.0036.0038.0040.0042.0044.0046.0048.00
29.01. 30.01. 31.01 01.02. 02.02. 05.02. 06.02.
DE/AT Week 07
DE/AT Week 07
36.00
38.00
40.00
42.00
44.00
46.00
48.00
29.01. 30.01. 31.01 01.02. 02.02. 05.02. 06.02.
HUPX Week 07
HUPX Week 07
Off-peak Peak
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Bulgaria, Romania, Greece - 07.02.
Bulgaria Romania Greece
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Croatia - 07.02.
Croatia
Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication
Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM
4
Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info
This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday
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Disclaimer: All rights reserved by the Publisher: Balkan Energy—SEE Energy Assessment d.o.o. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or in any other
way copied as a whole or partially without written permission of the Publisher. This includes internal distribution.
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176
551
667
66
86
-362
575
197
551
166
213
307
-164
380
-102
-20
186
299
16
-241
-205
231
311
334
18
-56
-125
282
456
673
138
175
-494
632
340
526
89
240
324
-162
303
-37
-33
173
300
0
-319
-192
217
281
326
-73
-57
-116
-600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800
AT > SI
HR > SI
IT > SI
AT > HU
HR > HU
HU > SR
BA > HR
SK > HU
UK > HU
RO > HU
SR > HR
BA > SR
BA > ME
RO > SR
BG > RO
BG > SR
BG > MK
SR > MK
SR > AL
SR > ME
ME > AL
AL > GR
MK > GR
BG > GR
BG > TR
GR > TR
GR > IT
Power flows (MW, last 7 days Hourly AVG, - D+1 schedules)
BASE PEAK
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