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Media enquiries
Daniela Ritorto +61 8 8116 5167 / +61 (0) 455 319 770 [email protected]
Investor enquiries Andrew Nairn +61 8 8116 5314 / +61 (0) 437 166 497 [email protected]
Santos Limited ABN 80 007 550 923
GPO Box 2455, Adelaide SA 5001 T +61 8 8116 5000 F +61 8 8116 5131 www.santos.com
Page 1 of 2
3 December 2019
Santos upgrades 2025 production target to 120 mmboe
Santos today lifted its 2025 production target further to 120 million barrels of oil equivalent
(mmboe), more than double 2018’s output.
The new target, up from 100 mmboe set in 2018, represents a cumulative annual growth rate
in production of over 8% to 2025.
Speaking at the company’s Investor Day in Sydney, Santos Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Kevin Gallagher said the successful execution of Santos’ Transform-
Build-Grow strategy since 2016 has the company positioned for disciplined growth and
sustainable shareholder returns.
“Our strategy has been to establish a disciplined low-cost operating model that delivers
strong cash flows through the oil price cycle. Our 2019 forecast free cash flow breakeven oil
price is now ~US$29 per barrel,” Mr Gallagher said.
“The recently announced acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ interests in northern Australia and
Timor-Leste1 will further reduce our breakeven oil price and deliver operating interests in
long-life, low-cost conventional natural gas assets and strategic LNG infrastructure.”
“We are now positioned for disciplined growth leveraging existing infrastructure in all five of
our core assets, which we believe will deliver 120 mmboe by 2025.”
This disciplined growth portfolio includes:
Barossa LNG – targeting FID around the end of Q1 2020
Dorado liquids – targeting FEED-entry Q2 2020
PNG LNG expansion – targeting FEED-entry in 2020
GLNG ramp-up to ~6.2 mtpa sales from 2020
Cooper Basin production growth.
Mr Gallagher said Santos was well positioned to fund growth out of operating cash flow and
debt while maintaining gearing levels within the company’s target range through the major growth phase, with rapid de-gearing expected thereafter.
“Natural gas is forecast to supply a quarter of the world’s total energy demand by 2040. Through our Energy Solutions business, we are investing in projects to lower emissions and
assessing the significant potential for carbon capture and storage in the Cooper Basin,” Mr Gallagher said.
1 Completion of the acquisition is expected in the first quarter of 2020 and is subject to third-party consents and regulatory approvals.
ASX / Media Release
Santos Limited ABN 80 007 550 923
GPO Box 2455, Adelaide SA 5001 T +61 8 8116 5000 F +61 8 8116 5131 www.santos.com
Page 2 of 2
Guidance
Santos has narrowed 2019 production guidance to 74-76 mmboe (previous 73-77 mmboe)
and sales volumes guidance to 93-95 mmboe (previous 90-97 mmboe).
2019 upstream unit production cost guidance is lowered to $7.25-7.50/boe (previous $7.25-
7.75/boe). Capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $1 billion (previous
$950 million to $1,050 million) including major growth.
Guidance 2019 2020
Base business
Base business
(excl COP
acquisition)1
COP acquisition
(after expected
25% sell-down)2 Total
Production 74-76 mmboe 73-80 mmboe 6-7 mmboe 79-87 mmboe
Sales volumes 93-95 mmboe 93-100 mmboe 6-7 mmboe 99-107 mmboe
Capex – Base
Capex – Major growth3
~$950 million
~$50 million
~$950 million
~$500 million
Unit production costs $7.25-7.50/boe To be provided at 2019 full-year results in February
1 Completion of the acquisition is expected in the first quarter of 2020 and is subject to third-party consents and regulatory approvals. 2 Assumes completion of the ConocoPhillips acquisition and expected 25% sell-down to SK E&S both occur on 31 March 2020. 3 Major growth comprises Barossa in 2019 and Barossa, Dorado and PNG LNG train 3 in 2020. Assumes sell-down of Barossa to Santos’
targeted 40-50% interest range in 2020.
Production in 2020 is expected to increase to between 79-87 mmboe, comprising
73-80 mmboe from the base business (excluding the ConocoPhillips acquisition and
expected 25% sell-down to SK E&S) and 6-7 mmboe net from the acquired assets after the
sell-down.
Completion of the ConocoPhillips acquisition is expected in the first quarter of 2020, subject
to third-party consents and regulatory approvals. At completion of the acquisition and
expected 25% sell-down to SK E&S, Santos’ interest in Bayu-Undan and Darwin LNG will be
43.4% (11.5% pre-transactions). Santos’ incremental 31.9% interest would add
approximately 6-7 mmboe production in 2020, assuming completion of both transactions
occurs on 31 March 2020.
Capital expenditure in 2020 is expected to include approximately $950 million sustaining
capex in the base business (including all onshore drilling, asset sustaining capex, exploration
and corporate) and approximately $500 million major growth capex for Barossa, Dorado and
PNG LNG expansion. Barossa major growth capex assumes sell-down to Santos’ targeted 40-50% interest range.
Live webcast
A live webcast of the Investor Day will be available on Santos’ website at www.santos.com
from 9:00am AEDT today.
Kevin Gallagher
Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer
Santos 2019 Investor Day
3 December 2019
Disclaimer and important notice
Santos 2019 Investor Day
This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production results, gas commercialisation, development progress, operating results, engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in various countries, approvals and cost estimates.
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to United States currency, unless otherwise stated.
Underlying profit, EBITDAX (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, depletion, exploration, evaluation and impairment) and free cash flow (operating cash flows, less investing cash flows net of acquisitions and disposals and major growth capex, less lease liability payments) are non-IFRS measures that are presented to provide an understanding of the performance of Santos’ operations. The non-IFRS financial information is unaudited however the numbers have been extracted from the financial statements which have been subject to review by the Company’s auditor.
This presentation refers to Santos’ acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests announced on 14 October 2019. Completion of the acquisition is subject to third-party consents and regulatory approvals. This presentation also refers to estimates of petroleum reserves and contingent resources. Refer to slides 64-66 in the Appendix for cautionary statement regarding reserve and resource estimates.
2
Agenda
Session 1 Topic Presenter Title
9:00 Welcome Andrew Nairn Head of Investor Relations
9:05 Driving shareholder value Kevin Gallagher Managing Director & CEO
9:45 Offshore Brett Darley Executive Vice President Offshore Oil & Gas
10:15 Onshore David Banks Executive Vice President Onshore Oil & Gas
10:45 Morning Tea
Session 2
11:10 Midstream and Energy Solutions Naomi James Executive Vice President Midstream Infrastructure
11:25 Marketing, Trading & Commercial Petter Undem Executive Vice President Marketing, Trading & Commercial
11:40 Finance and Capital Management Anthony Neilson Chief Financial Officer
12:00 Strategy and wrap-up Kevin Gallagher Managing Director & CEO
12:25 Q&A Kevin Gallagher Managing Director & CEO
12:45 Lunch All
Driving shareholder valueKevin GallagherManaging Director & CEO
Compelling value propositionConsistent execution of the Transform Build Grow strategy has delivered a high-graded portfolio of five core long-life asset hubs. Our goal is to drive shareholder value through:
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Focused exploration, acquisitions, farm-outs and disposals
Strong stable cash flows
Energy Solutions to lower emissions
Utilisation of balance sheet to support strategic growth
Disciplined Operating Model
Sustainable dividend policy
Targeting production of 120 mmboe by 2025
Brownfield growth building on existing infrastructure
5
Transform Build Grow
Clear and consistent strategy since 2016
+ Develop low-risk, brownfields growth prospects across the core portfolio
+ Pursue strategically aligned, value accretive acquisition opportunities
+ Leverage facilities and infrastructure operations strategic capability
+ Maximise margin through M&T business
+ Diverse and balanced portfolio of five core, long-life natural gas assets
+ Robust balance sheet
+ Lowest cost onshore operator in Australia
+ Disciplined, low cost operating model, portfolio free cash flow breakeven at ≤$40/bbl oil price
Grow
Build
Transform
+ Execute and bring on-line growth opportunities
across the core portfolio
+ Focused exploration strategy to identify new
high-value targets and unlock future core assets
+ Generate new revenue through low-carbon Energy
Solutions projects
Santos 2019 Investor Day 6
Disciplined Operating Model
Santos’ disciplined Operating Model provides the framework to drive value
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Disciplined capital management
Portfolio & portfolio rulesAsset lifecycle
Exploration
Development
Production
Marketing
Diversified portfolio of five core long-life, natural gas asset hubs
Disciplined criteria
Returns to shareholders
Replace reserves and resources
Debt repayment
1. Portfolio free cash flow breakeven at ≤$40/bbl oil price, pre-major growth
2. Each core asset free cash flow positive at ≤$40/bbl oil price, pre-major growth
3. Gearing 20-30% through the cycle, pre-major growth. Up to ~35% including major growth
PNGWestern Australia
CooperBasin
Northern Australia
Queensland & NSW
Fund major growth
7
Safety and environment
Injury frequency rates vs activity levels
Rate per million hours worked
Santos 2019 Investor Day
No of onshore wells
+ As activity levels continue to rise, implementation of Santos’ Safety strategy is focused on improving capability and learning
Santos is committed to being the safest oil and gas operator in Australia and preventing harm to people and the environment
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
YTD Oct-19
2014 2015 20172013 20182016 ≥Moderate harm frequency rate(LHS)
No of onshore wells drilled (RHS)
Lost time injury frequency rateLTIFR (LHS)
Expect to drill ~500 onshorewells in 2019 (RHS)
+ Process Safety focus has delivered a decrease in loss of containment incidents in 2019
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
YTD Oct-1920162015 201820172013 2014
Loss of containment incidents
Tier 2Tier 1
Count of Tier 1 and Tier 2
8
Forecast to generate >$1 billion in free cash flow in 2019
Disciplined Operating Model drives strong free cash flow
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Free cash flow$million
1,006
618
206
20172016
>$1 bn
2018 2019F
>385%
Free cash flow defined as cash flows from operating activities (including hedging) less cash flows from investing activities (excluding asset divestitures and acquisitions and major growth projects).
9
2016 – 19 FORECAST FREE CASH FLOW
>$2.8 billion
2019 FORECAST FREE CASH FLOW BREAKEVEN
$29 per barrel
2019 FORECAST FREE CASH FLOW YIELD
~9%
Natural gas and sustainability
Santos has a long-term aspiration of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 and in 2020 will release its third annual Climate Change Report consistent with TCFD guidelines
Santos 2019 Investor Day 10
+ Dedicated Environment, Health, Safety and Sustainability Board Committee is responsible for monitoring and reviewing climate change risks
+ Climate change is incorporated into Santos’ enterprise risk management processes and practices
Climate change governance & risk managementResilience and opportunity in a lower carbon future
+ Natural gas provides reliable, affordable and cleaner energy and is expected to grow in both absolute terms and in market share out to 20401
+ Natural gas combined with carbon capture and storage provides the best opportunity to achieve large-scale emissions reductions at low abatement cost
Community and social initiatives Local employment and education Working with landholders
+ 235 people employed in the communities where we operate in 2019
+ Over 800 employment and training opportunities have been created for Indigenous Australians in the past 10 years
+ 21 Community business partners working with local landholders
+ Over 2,000 active land access agreements are in place across our operations
+ More than $77 million in revenue to farmers in the past 5 years
+ In 2019 we have invested over $3 million in our communities
+ Santos supports more than 140 community organisations
Strong and enduring community relationships are fundamental to our social license to operate
1 International Energy Agency 2018 World Energy Outlook.
Acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ interests in northern Australia & Timor-Leste1
Secures operating interests in Darwin LNG, Bayu-Undan, Barossa and Poseidon. On track for completion in 1Q 2020
Santos 2019 Investor Day
1Completion of acquisition subject to third-party consents and regulatory approvals.
11
Operatorship of strategically located LNG infrastructure hub
LNG expansion potential with nearby world-class gas resources
Strengthens existing offshore and LNG operating capability
Clear pathway to Barossa FID around end-1Q 2020
Creates larger business with significant growth opportunities
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Consistent execution of strategy has transformed Santos
Santos today versus 2015
Portfolio simplified and high-graded
Focused on operating positions across5 core asset hubs
Long-life, low cost assets
Balance sheet supportive of growth
Building on existing infrastructure around core assets
Operatorship of strategically located domestic and LNG hubs
Value creation from synergies and operatorship
Targeting lower risk, higher returns from upstream brownfield growth projects
Energy Solutions business to offset emissions and generate new sources of revenue
Transform Build Grow strategy has materially improved the portfolio and positioned the company for disciplined growth
2
4
5 1
2019
5
7
2015
120
58
2015 2025target
80% core asset hubs now Santos operated1
Production1
mmboe
30%of core assets operated
80% of core assets operated
1 Refer slide 14 for cautionary statements on 2025 production target.
1 Following completion of acquisition of ConocoPhillips interests in northern Australia
12
Platform for growth
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Disciplined Operating Model delivering increased portfolio optionality
Santos operated asset hubs
+ Dorado FEED targeted for 2Q 2020. Initial oil production rate capacity 75-100 kbbl/d2
+ Advance opportunities to access new markets for gas resources utilising spare capacity and existing infrastructure
+ Grow production to 17-19 mmboe3 by 2025
+ Carbon capture and storage (CCS)
+ GLNG sales expected ~6.2 mtpa4 from 2020
+ Secure agreement to access GLNG capacity
+ Identify new resource opportunities
+ EIS decision for Narrabri expected 1Q 2020
+ Barossa backfill to Darwin LNG FID targeted for end-1Q 2020
+ ~3.7 mtpa DLNG capacity
+ Complete ConocoPhillips acquisition 1Q 2020
+ Finalise P’nyang farm-in
+ Targeting FEED entry for PNG LNG expansion in 2020
+ ~2.7 mtpa Train 3 PNG LNG capacity
Western Australia Cooper Basin QLD & NSW
Non-operated asset
PNGNorthern Australia1
131 Santos’ acquisition of ConocoPhillips northern Australia interests is subject to third-party consents and regulatory approvals. 2 Gross production rate subject to concept select and front-end engineering and design. 3 Santos share. 4 LNG sales volume plus gas diverted to domestic market.
Targeting portfolio production of 120 mmboe by 2025
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Disciplined growth from new upstream projects leveraging existing infrastructure. Target increased to 120 mmboe reflecting higher equity in Barossa and stronger Dorado
+ New 2025 production growth target reflects
+ Stable production from the base business as onshore growth more than offsets Bayu-Undan end of field life
+ A higher equity share in the Barossa project post the acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests
+ Dorado oil flow tests indicating the field is capable of producing at the higher-end of expectations
+ Major growth projects include >550 mmboe of 2C resource
+ Targeting free cash flow breakeven oil price ~$25/bbl in 2025
+ Additional growth opportunities include Narrabri, McArthur, Petrel-Tern-Frigate and the greater Bedout Basin
Production growth to 2025mmboe
This chart should not be construed as production guidance from the Company now or into the future. Potential production is subject to a range of contingencies which may affect performance, including necessary permits, regulatory requirements and Board approvals.
Major growth projects included are Barossa (assumes targeted sell-down to Santos ~45% interest) backfill to Darwin LNG, Dorado oil development 75,000 bbl per day gross (Santos 80% interest) and 1 x 2.7 mtpa PNG LNG T3 expansion train (Santos 13.5% interest). Subject to completion of ConocoPhillips acquisition and P’nyang farm-in.
74-76 mmboe
120
74-76
2019 2025
>8% CAGR
14
Dorado
Barossa
PNG LNG T3
Major Growth Projects
Base Base
Offshore DivisionBrett DarleyExecutive Vice President Offshore Oil & Gas
Offshore Division – Western Australia
High quality portfolio of operated production and near field development and exploration assets
Strong operating performance
+ Integrated operations across Varanus Island, Devil Creek and Macedon domestic gas hubs
+ High margin with premium to Brent oil production across Van Gogh and Pyrenees
Future exploration and development
+ Low development cost, high return tie-back opportunities to existing domestic infrastructure
+ Oil infill opportunities in Van Gogh and Pyrenees
+ Dorado major growth development
+ Material exploration opportunities across Carnarvon and Bedout basins
Santos 2019 Investor Day 16
North West Shelf
+ Ullage at Varanus Island (3-train) and Devil Creek (2-train)
facilities: 610 TJ/d combined capacity
+ Devil Creek power optimisation project commissioned
+ Exploration opportunities proximal to existing gas
infrastructure
+ Evaluating opportunities to expand into new markets
including exporting gas to neighbouring regions and east
coast markets
+ Small-scale LNG (0.5 to 1.0 mtpa) feasibility study
commenced with Clough
Operated gas infrastructure has excess plant capacity and offshore deliverability to meet new domestic contracts and new market opportunities
Gas supply growth and market opportunities
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Nearfield Tiebacks
17
Western Australia - gas and oil tieback opportunities
Near field tieback and infill opportunities across the gas and oil business offer low-cost, short cycle investment options
Santos 2019 Investor Day 18
+ Installation of inlet compression to maintain offshore deliverability
+ Recovers low pressure reserves from John Brookes
+ Targeted for 2021 start-up
Pyrenees infill Phase 4
+ High uptime and further water handling debottlenecking
+ Select phase studies and further definition underway
+ Combination of side-tracks and new drill options
Spartan subsea tieback
+ Single well subsea development
+ Backfill into Varanus Island
+ Targeted for 2022 startup
Van Gogh infill Phase 2
+ Phase 2 infill program currently being planned
+ Three dual laterals targeting undrained parts of the field
+ First oil targeted for late 2021
Varanus Island compression project
+ Preferred development concept is an initial phase of oil and condensate
development followed by future phase of gas export
+ Recoverable liquids resource 158 mmbbl 2C gross, 126 mmbbl 2C STO net
+ Low CO2 resource, with gas injection in support of enhanced oil recovery
+ Shallow water depth allows for simple wellhead platform (WHP) and FPSO
development
+ 8 to 10 platform wells at start-up (including gas injection wells)
+ FEED targeted for 2Q 2020
+ Based on new build FPSO:
+ Estimated initial gross oil production rate expected to be
between 75-100 kbbl per day1
+ Estimated gross capex to first oil expected to be between
$1.9 - 2.2 billion1
+ FPSO re-deployment and lease options under consideration could reduce
capex
Successful appraisal programme has de-risked development options for the field. Preferred concept is FPSO and wellhead platform development, targeting FEED in 2Q 2020
Dorado development
Santos 2019 Investor Day
1 Subject to concept select and detailed front-end engineering and design.
19
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Bedout sub-basin exploration potential
Controlling position around the world class Dorado discovery
+ Dorado discovery proves a world class liquids-rich petroleum system with high quality reservoirs
+ Sparsely explored permits contain multiple play types, some of which remain untested
+ Focus on extension of Lower Triassic Dorado play in shallow water southern part of permits
+ Low cost exploration drilling
+ Excellent economics for shallow-water tie-backs to a future Dorado hub
+ Santos has a controlling operated position in the basin, augmented by recent capture of WA-541-P
+ Commitment to acquire 2,950km2 of new 3D seismic and drill three wells within three-year primary term
+ Planned 2020-2021 work program includes seismic acquisition and drilling Pavo-1 and Apus-1 subject to joint-venture approval
Dorado
20
Offshore Division – Northern Australia & Timor-Leste
Reliable LNG production performance from DLNG and liquids production from Bayu-Undan.Further infill drilling under assessment to extend Bayu-Undan production
Strong operating performance and reliability
+ Reliable Bayu-Undan and Darwin LNG plant performance and safety record with high availability
+ Over 700 cargoes delivered to date
+ Liquids production in 2019 is dominated by highly successful 2018 infill drilling program
+ Active program of well interventions in 2019 has maximised offshore well deliverability, maximised liquids production and minimised water production
Future development opportunities
+ Production enhance opportunities continue to be pursued to extend end of field life
+ Another phase of infill drilling under assessment to extend Bayu-Undan production and maximise DLNG utilisation
Santos 2019 Investor Day 21
Barossa development
Barossa project advancing towards FID with a number of material contracts awarded
+ Project has been de-risked and being advanced for FID around end-1Q 2020
+ Advanced stages of finalising LNG SPA
+ Field development plan is a gas/condensate FPSO with an initial phase of 6 subsea wells and export pipeline tie-back to existing Darwin pipeline, supplying backfill to DLNG
+ Major contracts awarded, with Modec FPSO selection offering lower carbon footprint through innovative design
+ Resource upside within Barossa and Caldita tieback (20km south of Barossa FPSO) present opportunity to extend development
+ Capex to first gas estimated to be~$4.7 billion (gross)
Santos 2019 Investor Day 22
+ Significant discovered resource base supports Darwin LNG expansion and
major growth beyond Barossa
+ Opportunity to consider resource aggregation to deliver gas to Darwin
and access LNG expansion or domestic NT / east coast markets
+ Petrel, Tern & Frigate: Seismic survey commenced
+ Crown-Lasseter & Greater Poseidon: Opportunity for joint development
+ McArthur Basin: Appraisal campaign planned for 2020
Discovered resource base offers opportunity for expansion at Darwin LNG and access to Northern Territory and east coast markets
Northern Australia & Timor-Leste resource
Santos 2019 Investor Day 23
Santos acreage Raw gross 2C resource Net 2C resource
Barossa ~5.1 tcf 2,600 PJ
Petrel-Tern-Frigate ~2.6 tcf 970 PJ
Browse Basin1 ~2.8 tcf 850 PJ
Greater Poseidon ~2.1 tcf 880 PJ
McArthur Basin Multi-tcf potential
1 Includes Lasseter, Crown, Burnside, Argus2 Resource estimates as at 31 December 2018NOTE: Barossa and Greater Poseidon resources are subject to completion of Santos’ acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests.
Advancing projects and opportunities to reduce carbon footprint for existing and future operations. Savannah burning will be an important offset program for Barossa
Low carbon emission initiatives
Devil Creek power project Darwin LNG battery bank Savannah burning abatement
+ Battery project to reduce power generation carbon emissions by 20%
+ Lower fuel gas consumption and operating costs
+ Project expected to complete mid-2020
+ Replacing existing power generation turbines with higher fuel efficiency ones to result in a 25% reduction in power generation carbon emissions
+ Carbon credits generated as project is registered with the Emission Reduction Fund
Santos 2019 Investor Day
+ Project established 2007 with more than 2 million tonnes of CO2 offset resulting in:
+ Increased biodiversity and return of threatened species
+ Protected cultural sites and supported 300 indigenous jobs
+ Delivered IPCC accredited offsets
+ Barossa offset strategy includes an expansion of savannah burning abatement
24
Offshore Division
Santos 2019 Investor Day
High quality portfolio of operated production and near field development and exploration assets
Portfolio of high quality, low-cost near-field gas and oil tieback opportunities
Conventional low-cost of supply growth through Barossa and Dorado
Strong cash margin, low-cost operating business
25
Onshore DivisionDavid BanksExecutive Vice President Onshore Oil & Gas
Integrated onshore business with market optionality
Onshore assets connected to domestic gas markets and strong Asian demand for LNG
Santos 2019 Investor Day 27
South Nicholson
Amadeus
McArthur
Cooper Narrabri
Surat & Bowen
Australia’s lowest cost onshore operator
+ Growth self-funding within the low cost disciplined Operating Model
+ Driving capital efficiency to unlock additional resources
Cooper Basin high value swing producer
+ Targeting >150% reserve replacement in 2019
GLNG 6 mtpa run-rate target achieved in October 2019
+ Now expecting ~6.2 mtpa from 2020 due to strong upstream field performance
Narrabri EIS decision expected 1Q 2020
+ 100% gas earmarked for the domestic market
Northern Territory + Strong exploration and appraisal inventory
Horizontal well program in 2020 expected to deliver greater efficiencies and unlock further resources
Cooper Basin targeting >150% reserve replacement in 2019
Santos 2019 Investor Day
2P reserves replacement ratioTargeting >150% RRR in 2019%
Wells drilled Targeting 6 horizontal wells in 2020No of wells per year
0
50
100
150
20172016 2019F2018
5%
72%
32%
2019F
~110
2020F2018
~95
2017
60
2016
85
40
2P undeveloped reserves
Prospective resource
2C contingent resource
0
20
15
10
5
2016
15.7
2019F2015
15.1
2018 2025F2017
14.4
15.5
Production
ProductionTargeting ~17-19 mmboe by 2025
mmboe
28
~70% average well conversion rate 2C to 2P1
1 Average annual appraisal well success rate over 2016-18
Improved capital efficiency to unlock additional resources
Low cost operations and advances in drilling technology delivering greater efficiencies
Santos 2019 Investor Day 29
2.352.372.59
4.20
4.80
2016 1H192017
-51%
2015 2018
Cooper Basin well cost1
$million
1Vertical and deviated gas development wells (drill stimulate complete)
+ Driving down $/boe development cost
+ Potential to unlock oil and previously uneconomic contingent gas resources
+ 6 pilot horizontal drills in 2020 (subject to JV approvals)
Underbalanced drilling ‘UBD’Horizontal drilling program
+ UBD drilling enhances reservoir deliverability
+ Project cycle time improvement –stimulation not required
+ Opportunity to infill depleted fields to increase recovery
+ Australia’s lowest cost onshore operator
+ Expect to drill 90-110 wells per annum between 2020-25
Cooper Basin growth
Significant opportunities to increase production and drive value
Santos 2019 Investor Day 30
Moomba South appraisal expected to result in reserve upgrade at year-end
+ Expect to drill 8-well pilot development program in 2020 to validate optimal field development plan
+ Granite Wash upside. Expect to drill 2 vertical appraisal wells in 2020
Optimisation and reliability program expected to grow production
+ Increase reliability through fewer, centralised, standardised, modular compressors
+ Electric drive compression to reduce fuel gas use
+ Expected to deliver an additional 5-7 TJ/d
Significant Barrolka Durham Downs development program
+ 12 development wells drilled in 2019
+ Underbalanced drilling campaign unlocking higher initial rates
Barrolka
Durham Downs
Moomba South
Successful NFE and oil program
+ NFE program delivering high rate wells
+ Watkins project success a significant contributor to 2019 oil production
+ EOR Tirrawarra horizontal well test planned for 2020
2.9 ~3
2019F2018
Cooper oil production (net)
mmboe
WatkinsProject
CooperOil
GLNG 6.2 mtpa annualised sales expected from 2020
Strong upstream field performance delivered 6 mtpa annualised sales run-rate in October
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Strong upstream well delivery and performance
+ Roma East first gas February 2019 and new compression hub online March 2019
+ Next phase of development sanctioned ~250 wells
+ Arcadia production growing and dewatering as expected
+ Compression hub delivered within12 months. ~15% cost improvement1
Exploration – new sources of equity growth
+ Queensland acreage releases
+ New Santos / Shell JV (ATP 2040 & 2045), >1600km2, multi-TCF prospective tight gas resource
+ Successful bidder for 2 blocks in Roma; ATP award anticipated in 2020
+ Active pursuit of 2020 releases
31
Roma East production continues to buildAverage weekly sales gas rate TJ/d
Roma West sales gas
Production
Roma East sales gas
1 Compared to Scotia facility installed on a $/horsepower installed basis
587554
YE 2019F
~630
YE 2017 YE 2018
GLNG equity gas production continues to ramp-upTJ/d gross
GLNG cost out and efficiencies drive accelerated development plan
Days - development drillingAverage days rig release to rig release
2.63.03.6
5.3
6.3
11.3
Roma East (2018)
-77%
Roma East last 10 well rolling avg.
Roma-3A (2017)
Roma-2A (2015)
Roma-2B (2016)
Roma Phase 1 (pre 2015)
Well cost performance delivered at long-term target activity pace
Santos 2019 Investor Day 1 Drill, complete, connect
+ Right rigs, experienced crews
+ High volume, sequential and repeatable
scope
+ Technical limit focus
+ Cost improvement framework and
culture
+ Relentless focus on lowering well cost
+ Expect to drill 350-400 wells per annum
between 2020-25
0.80.9
1.6
5.2
3.2
Roma-3A (2017)
Roma-2B (2016)
0.85
Roma East (Jul 2019)
Roma East (2018)
-84%
Roma-2A (2015)
Roma Phase 1 (pre 2015)
Mean time between failureYears (Roma)
Well cost1
$million per well
2.0
1.7
1.4
0.9
0.5
~3.0
Jan-20F
+500%
Jan-19Jan-16 Jan-18Jan-15 Jan-17
+ Driving down operating cost of
growing production
+ Mature solids mitigation strategies
+ Proven new well design
+ Pursuit of new MTBF improvement
technologies 32
Leveraging the low cost disciplined Operating Model to deliver additional growth opportunities
Eastern Queensland growth
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Maximising value using our regional expertise and low cost Operating Model
+ Towrie block (west of Arcadia)
+ Rapid, low-cost commercialisation, leveraging nearby GLNG infrastructure
+ Exploration drilling in Tardrum (ATP 685)
+ Testing scheduled for early 2020
+ Appraisal drilling in Warrinilla (PL 451) targeting Mantuan tight gas sands
+ Potential for 2C booking from attractive secondary Bandanna coal seam target
+ Planning for Mahalo development
33
Strong demand for natural gas in New South Wales
Narrabri gas project
Santos 2019 Investor Day
100% of Narrabri gas earmarked for the domestic market
+ Gas supply MOUs signed with Perdaman, Brickworks and Weston Energy
+ Near-term supply to local industry
+ Current Narrabri production supplies Wilga Park Power Station
EIS approval process nearing completion
+ EIS determination expected 1Q 2020
Appraisal plans defined
+ Ready to drill
+ Commenced appraisal planning in support of 150 TJ/d phased development
+ Application of Santos’ disciplined low-cost operating model leveraging onshore development experience to create additional value
34
Wilga Park Power Station capacity 22MW
Multi-TCF shale gas plays targeting LNG export and domestic market opportunities
McArthur-Beetaloo and South Nicholson projects
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Opportunities
+ Shale gas prospective resource with proven flow
+ Stacked targets: Lawn Hill and Riversleigh shales (South Nicholson) & Velkerri A, B & C shales (McArthur)
+ Potential off-take routes north and east
McArthur / Beetaloo project
+ 75% equity and operator of EP161
+ Multi-TCF OGIP play potential
+ Tanumbirini-1 4-stage stimulation complete and well on flow-back
South Nicholson project
+ 70% equity and operator of 6 permits (subject to farm-in, regulatory approval)
+ Multi-TCF OGIP play potential
+ Play fairways and permits straddle QLD and NT border
Environmental approvals / monitoringTanumbirini-1 DFIT, 4-stagestimulation and flow-back
Tanumbirini-1 extended flow testDrill, stimulate and flow test two horizontal wells
2020
2019
McArthur-BeetalooStudies and planning
800 km 2D seismicExploration core holesStimulated pilot wellsSouth Nicholson
2020
2021+
35
Integrated onshore business with market optionality
Onshore assets connected to domestic gas markets and strong Asian demand for LNG
Santos 2019 Investor Day 36
South Nicholson
Amadeus
McArthur
Cooper Narrabri
Surat & Bowen
Domestic, GLNG and Darwin LNG routes to market
Leveraging our disciplined, low-cost Operating Model to grow our business
Low-cost, cash generative, short cycle business
Midstream Infrastructure and Energy SolutionsNaomi JamesExecutive Vice President Midstream Infrastructure
Midstream Infrastructure and Energy Solutions
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Focused on unlocking value and increasing returns from our unique portfolio of assets
Increase utilisation
Support expansion around our core asset hubs
Run assets more efficiently and at lower cost
+ Unique portfolio of oil, gas, LNG assets
+ Focussed cost management and improved reliability
+ Maximise utilisation of existing infrastructure including third party use
+ Additional capacity available at low incremental cost
+ Building partner alignment to increase existing utilisation
+ Growth potential in gas and LNG infrastructure
38
Transition to low carbon future + Energy Solutions business to offset emissions and generate new sources of revenue
A unique portfolio of processing, storage, transport and liquefaction assets with existing unutilised capacity and expansion opportunities to match indigenous and third party demand
Portfolio of strategic infrastructure assets
GLNG
60%
Gas processing plant
Liquids plant
DLNG
80%
MOOMBA
80%
Varanus Island
65%Devil Creek:
55%
PORTBONYTHON
85%
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Gas capacity: 400 TJ/dOil & condensate capacity:
20 mmboe paGas storage capacity: 70 PJ
LNG plant
Current capacity utilisation
LNG capacity: 8.6 mtpaGas storage capacity: 54 PJ
Varanus Island: 390 TJ/dDevil Creek: 220 TJ/d
Moomba & Pt Bonython DLNG
LNG capacity: 3.7 mtpaApprovals for up to 10 mtpa
Varanus Is & Devil Creek
GLNG
39
Utilisation of Moomba and Port Bonython is at multi-year highs, with further growth potential and building partner alignment to increase LNG utilisation
Unlock value through improved efficiency
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Moomba DLNGPort Bonython GLNG
Positioning Cooper midstream for long term operations
+ Focus on utilising and expanding capacity limits in both Port Bonython and Moomba plants
+ Well established third-party processing business
+ Strategically important underground storage – largest in Australia
+ Positioning Moomba as hub for future Cooper Basin and Northern Territory growth, and carbon capture and storage
Building partner alignment to increase LNG utilisation
+ GLNG partner support for a framework to access unutilised capacity
+ Barossa and DLNG partners working to finalise the processing agreement for Barossa gas to support an FID decision in 1Q 2020
+ DLNG environmental approvals in place for expansion up to 10 mtpa capacity
40
Santos’ operatorship of strategic infrastructure enables low-cost and low-carbon future gas development
Future natural gas infrastructure
Santos 2019 Investor Day 41
LEGACY MODEL FUTURE STATE
Greenfield projects ► Low risk, low-cost brownfield projects, backfill
Fully integrated upstream & downstream assets ► Multi-user, open access infrastructure
Large scale ‘mega project’ developments ► Modular, scalable infrastructure solutions
Capital recovered from single project ► Relocatable and reusable infrastructure
Long term off-take contracts ► Access to multiple more liquid markets
Significant investment pre-FID ► Self-funding appraisal and early stage development
Take or pay commitments for infrastructure ► Infrastructure providers taking upstream & market risk
Domestic over-capacity:customers pay for usage only
► Domestic under-capacity:customers pay to secure capacity as well as usage
Carbon abatement or offset to meet baseline targets ► Low-carbon Energy Solutions projects
Energy Solutions low-carbon emission initiatives
Over 100,000 tonnes of annual CO2 emissions reduction delivered, with many more opportunities identified
Santos 2019 Investor Day 42
Solar-powered beam pumps
+ 23 wells expected to be converted to solar power and batteries by YE 2019
+ Beam pump generator OPEX and fuel consumption eliminated
+ A further 34 wells to be converted in 2020
GLNG refrigerant compressor seal recovery
+ 8 skids installed to recover seal gas from each liquefaction refrigerant compressor circuit
+ Reduced flaring recovered 0.7 TJ/d of refrigerant gas and reduced emissions by 13,000 tonnes of CO2 annually
Moomba Heat Recovery Steam Generator project
+ Utilises waste heat from power generation to produce steam for the Moomba gas plant
+ Will reduce boiler fuel gas consumption by 1 TJ/d and emissions by 17,000 tonnes of CO2 annually
Port Bonython solar installation
+ 2MW solar array integrated within a brownfield site
+ Contract award to start up 9 months
+ Represents over 6% of electricity used at the plant, with potential to expand
Cooper Basin Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
CO2 transmission pipeline
CO2 capture
MOOMBA FACILITY OPTIONALITYCentral, Della, Tirrawarra
Injection wells
Scalable opportunity up to ~20 mtpa CO2 storage potential
Santos 2019 Investor Day 43
Targeting 2020 FEED on 1.7 mtpa CCS project
Cooper Basin uniquely placed for CCS
+ Existing separated industrial CO2 source – Moomba gas plant
+ Long-term experience with gas injection
+ Depleted reservoirs with proven rock seal
+ Pre-FEED completed on modular components for phase 1 CO2 plant
+ Santos is collaborating with Occidental Petroleum (OXY), a world-leader in CO2 injection
Potential value uplift+ Offset emissions from other projects through carbon credits
+ Hydrogen industry expressing interest in CCS
Midstream Infrastructure and Energy Solutions
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Focused on unlocking value and increasing returns from our unique portfolio of assets
Increase utilisation
Support expansion around our core asset hubs
Run assets more efficiently and at lower cost
44
Transition to low carbon future
Marketing, Trading & CommercialPetter UndemExecutive Vice President Marketing, Trading & Commercial
Diversified and balanced portfolio providing strong, sustainable revenue with 35% of sales volumes sold at fixed-priced contracts
Santos sales overview
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Sep-19 YTD RevenueUS$m
LNG$1,163m
Liquids$939m
Domgas $902m
Crude oil
DLNG
PNG LNG
GLNG
West Coast
East Coast
Condensate & Naphtha
LPG
$3,004million
Domestic Gas Strong infrastructure position and multiple delivery points Supplied 207PJ of sales gas and ethane YTD Sept 2019 Portfolio realised average domestic gas price YTD Sept 2019 at
US$4.35/GJ
Liquids High value, low sulphur portfolio trading at premium to Brent Portfolio realised oil price YTD Sept 2019 US$71.4/bbl, a
~10% premium to Brent
LNG Portfolio realised LNG price YTD Sept 2019 US$10/mmBtu Minimal exposure to volatile spot prices with >95% of volumes
in mid or long-term oil linked contracts
46
Strong global LNG demand growth driven by Asia
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Lower risk brownfield LNG growth projects, which leverage existing infrastructure, are well placed to meet contestable LNG demand
Forecasts for global LNG demand in 2030 have been revised upwards by ~20% in past 4 years
+ ~9% p.a. LNG demand growth experienced in period 2015-18
+ Asian region forecast to make up 65% of global LNG growth to 2030
Santos positioned as a regional Asian supplier
+ Strong relationships with long-term Asian customers and joint-venture partners
+ Some price review discussions on existing contracts continue with buyers, but are limited by contract terms
+ Santos’ equity LNG sales expected to grow to ~5 mtpa by mid-2020s
Source: Wood Mackenzie LNG Tool Q3 2019
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
20202015 20302025 2035
OperationalDemand Under Construction
Global LNG demand growthmtpa
47
+ >300mtpa of LNG supply from ~40 proposed projects chasing this market opportunity
+ Not all projects will eventuate
+ Low cost of supply brownfield projects are well placed
Supporting Domestic Gas Supply
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Santos is a leading supplier of Australian domestic gas
48
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2019 2021 202320222020 2024
Domestic Demand
Production from anticipated projects
Production from existing and committed projects
AEMO East Coast Gas Supply & Demand ForecastPJ
Source: AEMO GSOO 2019
+ Santos to supply ~70PJ of gas in 2019, approximately 14% of demand
+ AEMO forecasts no domestic market shortfall until ~2024
+ Recent gas sales contracts to major industrial customers: Orica, OneSteel and Adelaide Brighton
+ Santos continuing to invest in several east coast gas supply opportunities and 100% of the Narrabri Gas Project gas committed to the domestic market
East coast gas market
West coast gas market
+ Santos to supply ~140PJ of gas in 2019, >35% of demand
+ Currently balanced market but new supply required from mid-2020s to meet demand
+ Long term industrial contracts with major industrial customers: Yara, Citic Pacific Mining and Alcoa
+ 12-year Alcoa contract for 120 TJ/d commences mid-2020 at favourable pricing
Finance & Capital ManagementAnthony NeilsonCFO
Financial discipline
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Strong financial and operating performance driving shareholder value
Continued cost out and efficiency gains
Balance sheet supportive of growth strategy
Record underlying earnings and free cash flow
+ Free cash flow $852 million for the first nine months of 2019
+ 2019 forecast free cash flow breakeven reduced to ~$29 per barrel1
+ 2019 unit production cost guidance lowered to $7.25-7.50 per boe including all shutdowns and PNG earthquake recovery costs
+ Disciplined Operating Model driving operated asset unit production costs lower
+ Gearing ratio expected to be ~35% following completion of the acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests
+ Gearing of ~25-30% expected during 2021-24 capex growth phase, post expected sell-down of interests in Barossa and Darwin LNG to between 40-50%2
+ Rapid de-gearing expected from 2025 onwards1 Free cash flow breakeven is the average annual oil price at which cash flows from operating activities (including hedging) equals cash flows from investing activities. Forecast methodology uses corporate assumptions. Excludes one-off restructuring and redundancy costs, and asset divestitures and acquisitions.2 Assumes $65 per barrel flat real oil price.
50
Our Operating Model in action
2019 upstream unit production cost guidance lowered to $7.25-7.50 per boe including all shutdown and PNG earthquake recovery costs
Santos 2019 Investor Day
DISCIPLINED
OPERATING
MODEL
+ Core portfolio free cash flow breakeven
at ≤$40/bbl oil
price through the oil price cycle
+ Each core asset free cash flow positive at
≤$40/bbl, pre-
major growth spend
1 Normalised for impact of planned major maintenance shutdown and PNG earthquake; 2 Vertical and deviated gas development wells (drill stimulate complete); 3 Drill, complete, connect
8.68 7.639.32 8.17 7.91
5.83 5.77 5.32
10.19
1H19
-25%
-9%
1H192017
-15%
1H19 201820182017 2017 2018
Western Australia production cost$/boe
Cooper Basin production cost$/boe
Queensland & NSW production cost$/boe
2.352.372.59
4.20
1H192016 2017
-44%
2018
Cooper Basin well cost2
$million
Roma well cost - GLNG3
$million
0.90
1.60
3.20
0.83
-74%
Roma East (Jul 2019)
0.85
Roma-2A (2015)
Roma East (2018)
Roma-2B (2016)
Roma-3A (2017)
8.078.45 8.05
2017
-8%
1H192018
7.37
2016
Total unit production cost$/boe
$7.62 normalised1
$7.27 normalised1
51
Diversified and balanced portfolio providing strong free cash flow
Strong free cash flow generation
Santos 2019 Investor Day
+ Portfolio sales volumes balanced between
+ CPI-linked gas contracts – ~35% of 1H19 sales volumes
+ Oil-linked liquids and gas contracts – ~65% of 1H19 sales volumes
+ 12-year Alcoa contract in Western Australia commences mid-2020 for an initial supply of 120 TJ/day at favourable pricing
+ 2019 forecast free cash flow breakeven ~$29 per barrel
+ Forecast 2019 free cash flow yield ~9%1
+ Free cash flow $852 million YTD 30 September 2019
+ On track for >$1 billion free cash flow for the full-year
Free cash flow$million
1,006
618
206
20172016
>$1 bn
2018 2019F
>385%
1 Free cash flow defined as cash flows from operating activities (including hedging) less cash flows from investing activities (excluding asset divestitures and acquisitions and major growth projects).
52
2019 production guidance narrowed to 74-76 mmboe and sales volumes to 93-95 mmboeAcquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests to drive production higher in 2020
Production and sales volumes
Santos 2019 Investor Day
73-80
2020F
6-7
79-87
2019F
74-76
Production volumes guidancemmboe
+ 2019 production guidance narrowed to 74-76 mmboe
+ Major WA gas customer unplanned outage in Nov-Dec 2019
+ Factors influencing 2020F production
+ Acquisition of ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests and targeted sell-down to SK expected to deliver incremental production of 6-7 mmboe post completion1
+ Stronger production expected from GLNG indigenous fields
+ Higher gas production in Western Australia following commencement of Alcoa contract in mid-2020
+ Ningaloo Vision FPSO planned shipyard maintenance commencing April 2020
+ 2020 sales volume guidance 93-100 mmboe excluding ConocoPhillips acquisition and sell-down to SK E&S
+ 99-107 mmboe post-completion1
6-7 mmboe range assumes incremental 31.9% Santos interest in Bayu Undan / Darwin LNG post
completion1
73-80 mmboe range assumes 11.5% Santos interest in Bayu
Undan / Darwin LNG pre completion of the acquisition of
ConocoPhillips’ northern Australia interests
1 Assumes completion of both ConocoPhillips acquisition and expected 25% sell-down to SK E&S on 31 March 2020.
53
2019 capex guidance ~$1 billion.Base business sustaining capex expected to be stable at $0.9-1.0 billion per annum to 2025
Capital expenditure
Santos 2019 Investor Day
500
2019F
1,450
~950
1,00050
~950
2020F
Capital expenditure guidance$ million
1 Major growth includes Barossa, Dorado & PNG expansion
Major growth1Base business
+ Base business sustaining capex stable year on year at $0.9-1.0 billion to 2025
+ Includes Cooper Basin and Queensland drilling, Western Australia, Northern Australia and PNG sustaining capex, exploration and corporate
+ Expect to drill 90-100 wells in the Cooper Basin and 350-400 wells across GLNG per annum
+ 2020F major growth capex ~$500 million includes Barossa (~45% Santos interest), Dorado and PNG expansion
Capex guidance by asset (Santos share)
Major growth capex assumes ~45%
interest in Barossa post sell-down to
Santos’ targeted 40-50% range
WesternAustralia
Cooper Basin
QLD & NSW
NorthernAustralia
PNG
2020 Dorado FEED, Van Gogh
infill and Spartan capex ~$60 million
Sustaining capex
~$300 million per annum 2020-25
SustainingGLNG capex
~$200 million per annum 2020-25
Barossa capex ~$2.1 billion to
first gas1
Darwin LNG life extension capex ~$260 million2
Train 3 capex ~$300-400
million over 3 years; ~60-70% expected to be project financed
54
1 Barossa assumes sell-down to Santos’ targeted ~45% interest.2 DLNG after expected 25% sell-down to SK E&S.
Strongly value accretive acquisition
Acquisition of ConocoPhillips northern Australia assets
Santos 2019 Investor Day
+ Effective date 1 January 2019
+ Purchase price of $1.39 billion plus a contingent $75 million on Barossa FID
+ Expected to complete 1Q 2020 subject to third party consents and regulatory approvals
+ Financials will only be impacted post completion in 2020
+ Net funding requirement expected to be approximately $775-825 million post the benefit of cash
flows generated from the acquired business from the effective date of 1 January 2019 to completion
with customary adjustments and proceeds realised from expected sell-down to SK E&S
PURCHASE PRICE & EFFECTIVE DATE
+ Targeting combination synergies of $50-75 million per annum (pre-tax)
+ Leverage experience from Quadrant acquisition which has delivered $50-60 million run-rate per
annum in synergies
+ Removal of duplication from acquisition of existing JV partner and operator
+ Optimise operations across the combined asset footprint
+ Corporate and overhead savings
+ Full synergy potential to be assessed during integration
+ Opportunity to create value through strategic partnering and portfolio optimisation
MATERIAL COMBINATION
SYNERGIES
55
Diversified and balanced portfolio delivering strong margins
All assets free cash flow positive at <US$40/bbl and EBITDAX margins >50%
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Cooper Basin
Qld& NSW
PNG WA Nth AustNth Aust
(pro-forma)2
SantosSantos(pro-
forma)2
Totalrevenue$million
568 522 328 437 85 321 2,043 2,279
EBITDAX$million
291 321 283 314 50 197 1,260 1,407
EBITDAX margin
51% 61% 86% 72% 59% 61% 62% 62%
Pro-forma 2019 First-half results summary1
1 Corporate segment not shown2 Assumes STO interest in Bayu Undan / DLNG of 43.4% post sell-down to SK E&S
+ Diversified and balanced portfolio
+ Northern Australia pro-forma 2019 first-half results post ConocoPhillips acquisition:
+ Revenue up by $236 million
+ EBITDAX up by $147 million
+ EBITDAX margin 61%
+ All assets free cash flow positive at <US$40/bbl
+ All assets have EBITDAX margins >50%
56
Pro-forma net debt $4.5 billion and ample liquidity of $2.8 billion after including ConocoPhillips acquisition
Pro-forma debt and liquidity
Santos 2019 Investor Day
+ Strong free cash flows. Pro-forma net debt of $4.5 billion (includes $750 million ConocoPhillips acquisition facility and $359 million AASB 16 Lease liabilities) as at 30 June
+ Pro-forma gearing ratio ~35% (including AASB 16) assuming acquisition occurred as at 30 June
+ Ample liquidity retained:
+ $795 million in cash
+ $1,970 million in committed undrawn debt facilities
+ Flexibility to optimise the broader Santos asset portfolio through strategically aligned farm-outs and disposals
+ S&P Global Ratings affirmed Santos’ BBB- (stable) long-term issuer credit rating on 13 October 2019 noting that the company’s current balance sheet capacity can accommodate the ConocoPhillips acquisition
1,316 795
-3,391 -3,919
-1,474 -1,397
-2,020 -1,970
Cash Drawn debt
PNG LNG (non-recourse) Undrawn debt
31 Dec 2018
Pro-forma30 Jun 20191
Cash, debt and undrawn debt facilities $million
1 Pro-forma drawn debt includes acquisition purchase price (including Barossa FID contingent payment), derivatives and $359 million AASB 16 Lease liabilities standard adopted 1 January 2019
57
Disciplined capital management
+ De-gearing supported by Santos’ strong free cash flow profile and through a potential sell-down of interests in the acquired ConocoPhillips assets
+ Gearing of ~25-30% expected during 2021-24 capex growth phase, post expected sell-down of interests in Barossa and Darwin LNG to Santos’ targeted 40-50% interest
+ Major growth capex and dividend to be fully-funded from operating cash flow and debt
+ Dividend to be maintained through the major growth capex phase, consistent with the sustainable dividend policy
+ Rapid de-gearing expected from 2025 onwards
+ Gearing of <35% expected to be maintained during capex growth phase at US$60/bbl oil price even in the event of no sell-downs of northern Australia interests
+ Flexibility to optimise the broader Santos asset portfolio through strategically aligned farm-outs and disposals
Targeting medium term gearing ratio of 25-30%, with sufficient flexibility to address all future capital expenditure requirements and maintain sustainable dividend
Stable cash flows underpin strong de-leveraging and liquidity
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Gearing post growth funding and dividends1
Net debt / (Net debt + Equity)
Projected gearing profile assumes FID for PNG LNG expansion, Barossa backfill to DLNG, Dorado oil and
sell-down of interests in the acquired assets
1 Assumes US$65 per barrel flat real oil price and full-year of ownership of the acquired interests in 2019.
~35%
~25-30%
Pro-formaat completion
2021-24 capex growth phase, post targeted sell-down to 40-50% interest
Before expected sell-down to SK E&S. In the event of no sell-down, gearing of <35% expected to be maintained
during capex growth phase
58
$750 million committed acquisition debt to be repaid with sell-down proceeds or refinanced post completion in 2020
Pro-forma drawn debt maturity profile
Santos 2019 Investor Day
0
300
600
900
1,200
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Committed Acquisition Finance Bank term loans
Reg-S Bond Long-term notes
ECA supported loan facilities PNG LNG project finance
¹ Pro-forma assuming acquisition occurred on 30 June 2019. Excludes leases and derivatives.
Pro-forma drawn debt maturity profile1
264
209
994
490
317
989
253
124
$million
815
0
300
600
900
1,200
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Committed Acquisition Finance Bank term loans
Reg-S Bond Long-term notes
ECA supported loan facilities
180
60
812
277
68
770
18
$million
815
Pro-forma drawn debt maturity profile excluding PNG LNG project finance1
Bridge f
aci
lity
600 600
Senior unsecured72%
$3.6 bn
PNG LNG project finance (non-
recourse)28%
$1.4 bn
Breakdown of drawndebt facilities1
+ Weighted average term to maturity ~4.9 years
$750 million acquisition debt expected to be refinanced via bank term loan, bond markets or repaid
with sell-down proceeds
$750 million acquisition debt expected to be refinanced via
bank term loan, bond markets or repaid with sell-down proceeds
59
Strategy & Wrap-UpKevin GallagherManaging Director & CEO
Transform Build Grow
Clear and consistent strategy since 2016
+ Develop low-risk, brownfields growth prospects across the core portfolio
+ Pursue strategically aligned, value accretive acquisition opportunities
+ Leverage facilities and infrastructure operations strategic capability
+ Maximise margin through M&T business
+ Diverse and balanced portfolio of five core, long-life natural gas assets
+ Robust balance sheet
+ Lowest cost onshore operator in Australia
+ Disciplined, low cost operating model, portfolio free cash flow breakeven at ≤$40/bbl oil price
Grow
Build
Transform
+ Execute and bring on-line growth opportunities
across the core portfolio
+ Focused exploration strategy to identify new
high-value targets and unlock future core assets
+ Generate new revenue through low-carbon Energy
Solutions projects
Santos 2019 Investor Day 61
2020 strategic priorities
Business focus aligned to the core strategy
Santos 2019 Investor Day
FID Barossa
Complete COP acquisition and realise synergies
Complete P’nyang farm-in and PNG LNG expansion into FEED
Optimise portfolio through aligned acquisitions, farm-outs and disposals
Deliver GLNG sales of ~6.2 mtpa
Dorado into FEED
62
Appendix
Disclaimer and important notice
Santos 2019 Investor Day
This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production results, gas commercialisation, development progress, operating results, engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in various countries, approvals and cost estimates.
Notes on reserves and resources statements
The estimates of petroleum reserves and contingent resources have been prepared in accordance with the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) sponsored by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE).
All estimates of petroleum reserves and contingent resources reported by Santos are prepared by, or under the supervision of, a qualified petroleum reserves and resources evaluator (QPRRE). Unless otherwise stated, references in this presentation to reserves (other than pro forma statements incorporating ConocoPhillips reserves) are as at 31 December 2018, as contained in the Santos 2018 Annual Report.
Information on petroleum reserves and contingent resources quoted in this reserves statement is rounded to the nearest whole number. Some totals may not add due to rounding.
Conversion factors: 1PJ of sales gas and ethane equals 171,937 boe; 1 tonne of LPG equals 8.458 boe, 1 barrel of condensate equals 0.935 boe; 1 barrel of crude oil equals 1 boe.
Unless otherwise stated, all references to petroleum reserve and contingent resource quantities in this presentation are Santos’ net share. Reference points for Santos’ petroleum reserves and production are defined points within Santos’ operations where normal exploration and production business ceases, and quantities of produced product are measured under defined conditions prior to custody transfer. Fuel, flare and vent consumed to the reference points are excluded. Petroleum reserves are aggregated by arithmetic summation by category and as a result, proved reserves may be a very conservative estimate due to the portfolio effects of arithmetic summation. Petroleum reserves are typically prepared by deterministic methods with support from probabilistic methods.
Cautionary statement regarding reserve and resource estimates
64
Disclaimer and important notice
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Notes on reserves and resources statements – Barossa
The estimates of petroleum reserves and contingent resources in the presentation are based on and fairly represent information and supporting documentation prepared by, or under the supervision of Mr Nick Pink who is an employee of Santos and a member SPE. Mr Pink meets the requirements of QPRRE as defined in Chapter 19 and rule 5.41 of the ASX Listing Rules and consents to the inclusion of this information in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
Notes on reserves statements – Poseidon
Information on the reserves in this presentation relating to the Poseidon assets is based on an independent assessment conducted by RISC Advisory as at 31 December 2018. The audit was carried out in accordance with the SPE Reserves Auditing Standards under the supervision of Mr Peter Stephenson, an employee of RISC Advisory and a member of the SPE and SPEE. Mr Stephenson meets the requirements of QPRRE as defined in Chapter 19 and rule 5.41 of the ASX Listing Rules and consents to the inclusion of this information in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation. Mr Stephenson is independent with respect to ConocoPhillips and Santos.
Cautionary statement regarding reserve and resource estimates
65
Disclaimer and important notice
Santos 2019 Investor Day
Cautionary statement regarding Dorado contingent resources estimatesDorado is located in WA-437-P in which Santos is operator and holds an 80% interest. Dorado-1 confirmed the basis of the discovery by demonstrating the existence of a significant quantity of potentially moveable hydrocarbons in the Caley, Baxter Crespin and Milne reservoirs by sampling, testing and logging procedures. Dorado-2 successfully appraised the down-dip extent of the field and reaffirmed the basis of discovery and updated estimates of moveable hydrocarbons with further sampling, testing and logging. Dorado-3 successfully flow tested the primary Caley oil reservoir in the Dorado field and results may alter the estimates contained herein.
In estimating the contingent resources, standard industry techniques combining geophysical and geological modelling and interpretation with reservoir engineering modelling have been applied. 2019 compositional simulation studies have modelled miscible flood with LPG rich gas injection. This provides a gas handling solution and has had a positive impact on the Caley oil recovery factor range and condensate recovery from secondary gas reservoirs (Baxter, Crespin and Milne). There is remaining uncertainty in some of the input parameters and these have been incorporated in the range of outcomes. The key contingencies to prevent classification of reserves are completion of the appraisal program, final development plan and investment decision. Following the Dorado-3 appraisal well, all results will be analysed and expected recoverable volumes reassessed and incorporated into the year-end 2019 annual reserves and resources statement. Firm intention to progress the project will be based on the results of the appraisal program and confirmation of the development concept. Fuel, flare and vent has not been excluded.
Santos prepares its petroleum reserves and contingent resources estimates in accordance with the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) sponsored by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE). Unless otherwise stated, all references to petroleum reserves and contingent resources quantities in this presentation are Santos’ net share. Reference points for Santos’ petroleum reserves and production are defined points within Santos’ operations where normal exploration and production business ceases, and quantities of produced product are measured under defined conditions prior to custody transfer. Petroleum resources are typically prepared by deterministic methods with support from probabilistic methods.
Conversion factors: 1PJ of sales gas and ethane equals 171,937 boe; 1 tonne of LPG equals 8.458 boe; 1 barrel of condensate equals 0.935 boe; 1 barrel of crude oil equals 1 boe.
All estimates of petroleum reserves and contingent resources reported by Santos are prepared by, or under the supervision of, a qualified petroleum reserves and resources evaluator (QPRRE). References in this presentation to Dorado contingent resources represent an interim estimate as at 30 June 2019. Estimates will be updated as part of the Santos annual reserves process as at 31 December 2019. The estimates of petroleum contingent resources for Dorado in this presentation are based on and fairly represent information and supporting documentation prepared by, or under the supervision of Mr Nick Pink who is a full time employee of Santos and a member of Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE). Mr Pink meets the requirements of QPRRE as defined in Chapter 19 and rule 5.41 of the ASX Listing Rules and consents to the inclusion of this information in the form and context in which they appear in this presentation.
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