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    F402/560

    Assignment 3aSpring 2014

    NAMES:

    INSTRUCTIONS:

    Write the names of everyone on the team for this assignment in the spaces above.

    Compute the answers to the questions and place your answers in the red-outlined

    answer boxes which are provided for each question.

    For the multiple choice questions, place a border around the letter of your answer,

    like this. (Your border does not have to be red; use any color you want.)

    B.

    Please do NOT insert or delete columns in the spreadsheet. And please do NOTchange any column widths.

    For the calculations on the VF Corp. financial statements, please show all your

    work and calculations on that second worksheet.

    Keep all the calculations for each year in the same column.

    Round dollar amounts to whole dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Be sure to put the correct sign on all cash flows: Income, cash inflows and values bein

    added get a positive sign; expenses, cash outflows and values being subtracted get a

    negative sign.

    When you have finished, then email your completed spreadsheet, as an attachment, to

    course email address. Only one upload per team.

    The course email address is:

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    [email protected]

    INSTRUCTIONS, continued:

    You may use the blank space to the right of the questions on this sheet to make calcul

    if you wish. You may use a hand calculator, if you must, but please try to use Excel for

    all these calculations.

    There are a total of 11 questions. Make sure you find and answer all 11 questions,

    and make all the calculations required on the VFC worksheet.

    Scoring is as follows.

    Questions 1 10 are worth 3 points each.

    Question 11, the VF spreadsheet, is worth 30 points.

    Total points possible = 60. (Your score on this assignment will be converted to a perce

    QUESTIONS

    1. Use the following information to estimate the overall average cost of debt at this firm.

    Show your answer as a percent with two decimal places.

    INCOME STATEMENT

    Sales 120,000 Debt 16000Operating costs (99,000) Equity 13000

    Interest expense (1,240) Value 29000

    Income before tax 19,760

    Provision for tax (6,916) Weights

    Net income 12,844 D/V 0.55172414

    E/V 0.44827586

    BALANCE SHEET

    Cash 2,000

    Operating assets 50,000Total assets 52,000

    Accounts payable 15,000

    Notes payable 4,000

    Long-term debt 16,000

    Deferred taxes 4,000

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    Shareholders' equity 13,000

    Total liabilities & equity 52,000

    Answer:

    2. Suppose the ROIC for a company, before the adjustment for operating leases, is 19%,

    invested capital (before the adjustment for operating leases) of $450,000. The present

    of operating leases was $190,000, both at the beginning of the year and at the end of

    year (same for both). What will be the ROIC after the adjustment for operating leases?

    Assume the company's cost of debt is 5%.

    Show your answer as a percent with two decimal places.

    Answer:

    3. If the market risk premium is 6%, what is the cost of equity, according to the CAPM, fo

    firm with a beta of 0.88? Assume the risk-free rate is 3.5%.

    Show your answer as a percent with two decimal places.

    Answer:

    4. The market risk premium is also called the equity risk premium (ERP). It is the differen

    between the returns on the stock market and the return on government bonds (assum

    be a risk-free rate). For years, many analysts have assumed the market risk premium (

    ERP) is approximately 6%. So when the risk-free rate is 3%, the expected return in the

    equity markets should be about 9%. When the risk-free rate is 5%, the expected avera

    return on stocks should be about 11%.

    Recent research has called into question that 6% figure. A recent article in The Econodescribed recent research which put the ERP closer to 5.2% in the United States. A link

    that Economistarticle is provided on the course website for Assignment 3.

    Read the article and answer questions 5 through 7.

    5. The research depicted in Chart 1 shows that the return on American equities for the 12

    period 2000-2011 was approximately what percent?

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    A. 4.0%

    B. 6.0%

    C. 0.0%

    D. -5.4%

    E. -7.6%

    6. According to the article, when share valuations are high, future returns are likely to be:

    A. high

    B. low

    C. volatile

    D. stable

    E. zero

    7. Given the present state of dividend yields and expected dividend growth, one research

    predicted a future real rate of return on equities in the U.S. of 4%. That still implies an

    equity risk premium of at least 4%, since:

    A. most investors still expect a risk premium of at least 4%.

    B. equities have become less risky over time.

    C. real returns on most government debt are now zero or negative.

    D. government debt is no longer risk-free.

    E. many pension funds expect an 8% rate of return.

    8. Selected balance sheet values from a company are shown below. The company's cost o

    is 5.7%. Its stock price is $14 per share, with a beta of 1.2. There are 75,000 shares

    outstanding. Assuming a risk-free rate of 4%, calculate the company's WACC according

    the procedure to be used in F402/F560.

    Accounts payable 26,000

    Short-term debt 93,000Long-term debt 375,000

    Deferred taxes 9,000

    Shareholders' equity 620,000

    Answer:

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    9. Shown below are the levered betas for five companies, and their debt-to-equity ratios.

    this information, what would you say is the required rate of return for industry risk in t

    industry? That is, if an average company in this industry has no debt, what should be it

    of capital? Using the procedure given in class, compute your best estimate of the requir

    rate of return purely for industry risk in this industry. That is, find the median unlevere

    beta, and then compute the CAPM assuming a risk-free rate of 3.5%.

    Company Name D/E Beta

    BorgWarner Inc. 10.46% 1.42

    Dana Holding Corporation 62.60% 2.31

    Lear Corp. 20.86% 1.24

    TRW Automotive Holdings Corp. 25.60% 2.13

    Visteon Corporation 23.90% 1.46

    Show your answer as a percent with two decimal places.

    Answer:

    10. Use the technique described in class to fill in the blank cells and balance the balance sh

    shown below. Your balance sheet must continue to balance, even if I change the amou

    PP&E or the amount of net income.

    2011 2012

    Cash & mktbl securities 400

    Accounts receivable 2,400 2,500

    Inventory 5,200 5,400

    Total current assets 8,000

    PP&E 8,800 9,100

    Deferred taxes 500 500

    Other assets 900 1,200

    Total assets 18,200

    Accounts payable 2,200 2,310

    Accrued expenses 1,100 1,100

    Short-term debt 1,700

    Total current liabilities 5,000

    Long-term debt 2,000 1,900

    Deferred taxes 600 600

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    Other liabilities 1,400 900

    Shareholders' equity 9,200

    Total liabilities & equity 18,200

    Sales revenue 20,000 21,000

    Net income 1,500 1,650

    Dividends 400 420

    11. Historical data for VF Corp. are shown on the next worksheet in this file. For this

    assignment, add two sets of calculations to this spreadsheet.

    First, compute an estimated cost of capital. To do this, you should research in appropri

    places to determine a cost of debt and a cost of equity. Then compute the WACC. To

    determine these items, be sure to do the following:

    Show several data points to support your estimated cost of debt and your

    estimated beta. These data points could be, for example, numbers for

    comparable companies.

    In a column to the right of, and close to, your numbers, note the sources

    for the major pieces of data you have used to make your estimates. Type

    a short phrase into a cell in that column, on the same line as the number,

    to provide the source for that number.

    Show an estimate of the levered beta for VF. Go through the process we

    did in class, to use betas from VF and from other similar companies inorder to find a median unlevered beta. Then lever that median back up

    using VF's debt-to-equity ratio. Use this estimated levered beta as one of

    your data points to estimate a beta for VF.

    Show clearly how you calculated the weighted average cost of capital.

    Second, for each year, calculate the appropriate ratios for all relevant accounts on the i

    statement and the balance sheet. These ratios could be percents of sales, or percents

    some other appropriate base.

    Format these ratios as decimal fractions with two decimal places. In a column to the right of, and close to, your numbers, note the base for

    your ratio: Percent of sales, or percent of debt, or percent of assets, or

    whatever you used.

    Include the ratios for the present values of the operating leases and for

    dividends as a percent of sales.

    Show these ratios in the same form as the income statement and balance

    sheet, just like the examples which we looked at in class and which are

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    posted on the course website.

    You do not need to compute ratios for accounts which will not be forecast.

    Don't forget to recompute the present values of the operating leases

    by using a cell reference to your new cost of debt.

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    VF CORPORATION

    Consolidated Balance Sheets

    December 2008 2009

    In thousands

    ASSETS

    Current assets

    Cash and equivalents 381,844 731,549

    Accounts receivable 851,282 776,140

    Inventories 1,151,895 958,639

    Deferred income taxes 96,339 64,959

    Other current assets 171,650 101,275

    Total current assets 2,653,010 2,632,562Property, plant and equipment 642,727 614,178

    Intangible assets 1,366,222 1,535,121

    Goodwill 1,313,798 1,367,680

    Other assets 458,111 324,322

    Total assets 6,433,868 6,473,863

    LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY

    Current liabilities

    Short-term borrowings 53,580 45,453Current portion of long-term debt 3,322 203,179

    Accounts payable 435,381 373,186

    Accrued liabilities 519,899 473,971

    Total current liabilities 1,012,182 1,095,789

    Long-term debt 1,141,546 938,494

    Other liabilities 722,895 626,295

    Commitments and contingencies

    Stockholders equity:

    Preferred Stock, no shares outstanding 0 0

    Common Stock 109,848 110,285

    Additional paid-in capital 1,749,464 1,864,499

    Accumulated other compr income (loss) (276,294) (209,742)

    Retained earnings 1,972,874 2,050,109

    Total equity attributable to VF Corporation 3,555,892 3,815,151

    Noncontrolling interests 1,353 (1,866)

    Total stockholders equity 3,557,245 3,813,285

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    Total liabilities and stockholders equity 6,433,868 6,473,863

    VF CORPORATIONConsolidated Statements of Income

    Year Ended December 2008 2009

    In thousands

    Net sales 7,561,621 7,143,074

    Royalty income 80,979 77,212

    Total revenues 7,642,600 7,220,286

    Costs and operating expenses

    Cost of goods sold (4,283,680) (4,025,122)

    Marketing, administrative and general expense (2,419,925) (2,336,394)Impairment of goodwill and intangible assets 0 (121,953)

    Total costs and operating expenses (6,703,605) (6,483,469)

    Operating income 938,995 736,817

    Interest income 6,115 2,230

    Interest expense (94,050) (85,902)

    Other income (expense), net (2,969) 1,528

    Income before income taxes 848,091 654,673

    Income taxes (245,244) (196,215)

    Net income 602,847 458,458Net (income) loss attrib to noncon interests (99) 2,813

    Net income attributable to VF Corporation 602,748 461,271

    Dividends paid 255,235 261,682

    Invested Capital, operating approach

    Accounts receivable 851,282 776,140

    Inventories 1,151,895 958,639

    Other current assets 171,650 101,275

    Property, plant and equipment 642,727 614,178

    Intangible assets 1,366,222 1,535,121

    Goodwill 1,313,798 1,367,680

    Other assets 458,111 324,322

    Accounts payable (435,381) (373,186)

    Accrued liabilities (519,899) (473,971)

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    Other liabilities (722,895) (626,295)

    Total invested capital 4,277,510 4,203,903

    Invested Capital, financing approach

    Short-term borrowings 53,580 45,453

    Current portion of long-term debt 3,322 203,179

    Long-term debt 1,141,546 938,494

    Total stockholders equity 3,557,245 3,813,285

    Cash and equivalents (381,844) (731,549)

    Deferred income taxes (96,339) (64,959)

    Total invested capital 4,277,510 4,203,903

    NOPAT, operating approach

    Operating income 736,817

    Income taxes (196,215)

    Reverse tax effects of nonoperating items:

    Interest income 892

    Interest expense (34,361)

    Other income (expense), net 611

    Change in deferred taxes 31,380

    NOPAT 539,124

    NOPAT, financing approach

    Net income attributable to VF Corporation 461,271

    Reverse nonoperating items, after tax:

    Net (income) loss attrib to noncon interests (2,813)

    Interest income (1,338)

    Interest expense 51,541

    Other income (expense), net (917)

    Change in deferred taxes 31,380

    NOPAT 539,124

    Preliminary assumptions:Cost of debt 5%

    Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) 8%

    Adjustments for Operating Leases

    Year Ended December 2008 2009

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    Future noncancelable lease payments:

    First year 170,300 179,700

    Second year 148,500 159,400

    Third year 127,600 131,200

    Fourth year 98,700 107,100

    Fifth year 84,400 95,200

    Thereafter 214,700 226,400

    Present value at cost of debt 714,653 760,705

    Implied interest at cost of debt 35,733 38,035

    Invested capital, unadjusted for leases 4,277,510 4,203,903

    Add present value of operating leases 714,653 760,705

    Adjusted invested capital 4,992,163 4,964,608

    NOPAT, unadjusted for leases 539,124

    Add implied interest after tax 22,821

    Adjusted NOPAT 561,946

    Historical performance measures

    Year Ended December 2008 2009

    NOPAT, adjusted for operating leases 561,946

    Invested capital, adjusted for oper leases 4,992,163 4,964,608

    ROIC 11.3%

    FCF 589,500

    EVA (NOPAT - capital charge) 162,573

    EVA (Beginning capital x spread) 162,573

    Operating profit margin (NOPAT as % of sales revenue) 7.8%

    Asset intensity (Beginning invested cap as % of sales rev) 69.1%

    ROIC = Operating margin x (1 / asset intensity) 11.3%

    Investment rate (IR) = Increase in capital / NOPAT -4.9%

    Sales growth rate -5.5%g = Growth rate in invested capital -0.6%

    g = ROIC x IR -0.6%

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    2010 2011 2012

    792,239 341,228 597,461

    773,083 1,120,246 1,222,345

    1,070,694 1,453,645 1,354,158

    68,220 106,717 140,515

    121,824 166,108 135,104

    2,826,060 3,187,944 3,449,583602,908 737,451 828,218

    1,490,925 2,958,463 2,917,058 Treat this as an operating item.

    1,166,638 2,023,460 2,009,757 Treat this as an operating item.

    371,025 405,808 428,405

    6,457,556 9,313,126 9,633,021

    36,576 281,686 12,5592,737 2,744 402,873

    510,998 637,116 562,638

    559,164 744,486 754,142

    1,109,475 1,666,032 1,732,212

    935,882 1,831,781 1,429,166

    550,880 1,290,138 1,346,018

    0 0 0

    107,938 110,557 110,205

    2,081,367 2,316,107 2,527,868

    (268,594) (421,477) (453,895)

    1,940,508 2,520,804 2,941,447

    3,861,219 4,525,991 5,125,625

    100 (816) 0

    3,861,319 4,525,175 5,125,625

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    6,457,556 9,313,126 9,633,021

    2010 2011 2012

    7,624,599 9,365,477 10,766,020

    77,990 93,755 113,835

    7,702,589 9,459,232 10,879,855

    (4,105,201) (5,128,602) (5,817,880)

    (2,574,790) (3,085,839) (3,596,708)(201,738) 0 0 Treat this as an operating item.

    (6,881,729) (8,214,441) (9,414,588)

    820,860 1,244,791 1,465,267

    2,336 4,778 3,353

    (77,738) (77,578) (93,605)

    4,754 (7,248) 46,860

    750,212 1,164,743 1,421,875

    (176,700) (274,350) (335,737)

    573,512 890,393 1,086,138(2,150) (2,304) (139) Treat this as a financial item.

    571,362 888,089 1,085,999

    264,281 285,722 333,229

    773,083 1,120,246 1,222,345

    1,070,694 1,453,645 1,354,158

    121,824 166,108 135,104

    602,908 737,451 828,218

    1,490,925 2,958,463 2,917,058

    1,166,638 2,023,460 2,009,757

    371,025 405,808 428,405

    (510,998) (637,116) (562,638)

    (559,164) (744,486) (754,142)

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    (550,880) (1,290,138) (1,346,018)

    3,976,055 6,193,441 6,232,247

    36,576 281,686 12,559

    2,737 2,744 402,873

    935,882 1,831,781 1,429,166

    3,861,319 4,525,175 5,125,625

    (792,239) (341,228) (597,461)

    (68,220) (106,717) (140,515)

    3,976,055 6,193,441 6,232,247

    820,860 1,244,791 1,465,267

    (176,700) (274,350) (335,737)

    934 1,911 1,341

    (31,095) (31,031) (37,442)

    1,902 (2,899) 18,744

    (3,261) (38,497) (33,798)

    612,640 899,925 1,078,375

    571,362 888,089 1,085,999

    2,150 2,304 139

    (1,402) (2,867) (2,012)

    46,643 46,547 56,163

    (2,852) 4,349 (28,116)

    (3,261) (38,497) (33,798)

    612,640 899,925 1,078,375

    2010 2011 2012

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    188,200 274,900 298,000

    157,300 220,100 256,200

    130,700 181,700 213,500

    109,100 154,400 164,400

    94,500 116,400 136,400

    215,000 254,300 277,900

    759,054 1,026,396 1,150,118

    37,953 51,320 57,506

    3,976,055 6,193,441 6,232,247

    759,054 1,026,396 1,150,118

    4,735,109 7,219,837 7,382,365

    612,640 899,925 1,078,375

    22,772 30,792 34,504

    635,411 930,717 1,112,879

    2010 2011 2012

    635,411 930,717 1,112,879

    4,735,109 7,219,837 7,382,365

    12.8% 19.7% 15.4%

    864,911 (1,554,012) 950,351

    238,243 551,908 535,292

    238,243 551,908 535,292

    8.2% 9.8% 10.2%

    64.5% 50.1% 66.4%

    12.8% 19.7% 15.4%

    -36.1% 267.0% 14.6%

    6.7% 22.8% 15.0%-4.6% 52.5% 2.3%

    -4.6% 52.5% 2.3%

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