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Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets and Equilibrium 2 Linear Asset Pricing 3 Complete Markets 4 Span 5 No Arbitrage and Asset Pricing

Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

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Page 1: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Asset Markets in General Equilibrium

Econ 2100 Fall 2018

Lecture 25, November 28

Outline

1 Asset Markets and Equilibrium2 Linear Asset Pricing3 Complete Markets4 Span5 No Arbitrage and Asset Pricing

Page 2: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Asset Markets in General Equilibrium

An asset is completely characterized by its return vector rk ∈ RS

rs is the dividend paid to the holder of a unit of rk if and only if state s occurs.

The return matrix R is an S ×K matrix whose kth column is the return vectorof asset k.

q ∈ RK+ are the asset prices.zi ∈ RK are consumer i’s holdings of each asset.Consumer i’s budget constraints areasset markets︷ ︸︸ ︷K∑k=1

qkzki ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸time −1

and

spot markets︷ ︸︸ ︷L∑l=1

plsxlsi ≤L∑l=1

plsωlsi + p1sK∑k=1

zki rsk for each s︸ ︷︷ ︸time 1

or

q · zi ≤ 0 and p · xi ≤ p · ωi + Rziwhere we normalized p1s = 1.

Page 3: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Set

What do budget sets look like?Normalizing p1s = 1, one can write i’s budget set as

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

The second part of the budget set defines S inequalities

p1 · (x1i − ω1i )...

ps · (xsi − ωsi )...

pS · (xSi − ωSi )

≤z1i r11 + ...+ zki rk1 + ...+ zKi rK 1

..z1i r1s + ...+ zki rks + ...+ zKi rKs

..z1i r1S + ...+ zki rkS + ...+ zKi rKS

.

where each ps ∈ RL

Rzi represents the ‘financial income’attainable by a consumer who choosesportfolio zi .

For a fixed R, the set of all possible values for Rzi determines the possibleincomes available to the consumer. As R changes so does this set.

Page 4: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Set

What do budget sets look like?Normalizing p1s = 1, one can write i’s budget set as

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

The second part of the budget set defines S inequalities

p1 · (x1i − ω1i )...

ps · (xsi − ωsi )...

pS · (xSi − ωSi )

≤z1i r11 + ...+ zki rk1 + ...+ zKi rK 1

..z1i r1s + ...+ zki rks + ...+ zKi rKs

..z1i r1S + ...+ zki rkS + ...+ zKi rKS

.

where each ps ∈ RL

Rzi represents the ‘financial income’attainable by a consumer who choosesportfolio zi .

For a fixed R, the set of all possible values for Rzi determines the possibleincomes available to the consumer. As R changes so does this set.

Page 5: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Set

What do budget sets look like?Normalizing p1s = 1, one can write i’s budget set as

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

The second part of the budget set defines S inequalities

p1 · (x1i − ω1i )...

ps · (xsi − ωsi )...

pS · (xSi − ωSi )

≤z1i r11 + ...+ zki rk1 + ...+ zKi rK 1

..z1i r1s + ...+ zki rks + ...+ zKi rKs

..z1i r1S + ...+ zki rkS + ...+ zKi rKS

.

where each ps ∈ RL

Rzi represents the ‘financial income’attainable by a consumer who choosesportfolio zi .

For a fixed R, the set of all possible values for Rzi determines the possibleincomes available to the consumer. As R changes so does this set.

Page 6: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Set

What do budget sets look like?Normalizing p1s = 1, one can write i’s budget set as

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

The second part of the budget set defines S inequalities

p1 · (x1i − ω1i )...

ps · (xsi − ωsi )...

pS · (xSi − ωSi )

≤z1i r11 + ...+ zki rk1 + ...+ zKi rK 1

..z1i r1s + ...+ zki rks + ...+ zKi rKs

..z1i r1S + ...+ zki rkS + ...+ zKi rKS

.

where each ps ∈ RL

Rzi represents the ‘financial income’attainable by a consumer who choosesportfolio zi .

For a fixed R, the set of all possible values for Rzi determines the possibleincomes available to the consumer. As R changes so does this set.

Page 7: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Radner Equilibrium with Asset MarketsDefinition

A Radner equilibrium with asset markets is given by assets prices q∗ ∈ RK , spotprices p∗s ∈ RL in each state s, portfolios z∗i ∈ RK , and spot market plans x∗si ∈ RLfor each s such that:

1 for each i , z∗i and x∗i solve

maxzi∈RK ,xi∈RSL+

Ui (xi )

subject toK∑k=1

q∗k zki ≤ 0 and p∗s · xsi ≤ p∗s · ωsi +K∑k=1

p∗1szki rsk

2 all markets clear; that is:I∑i=1

z∗ki ≤ 0 andI∑i=1

x∗si ≤I∑i=1

ωsi for all s and k

The definition is familiar, but there are two new objects: the optimal portfolioand the equilibrium asset prices.What can one say about them? What do we know about q∗?

Page 8: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Radner Equilibrium with Asset MarketsDefinition

A Radner equilibrium with asset markets is given by assets prices q∗ ∈ RK , spotprices p∗s ∈ RL in each state s, portfolios z∗i ∈ RK , and spot market plans x∗si ∈ RLfor each s such that:

1 for each i , z∗i and x∗i solve

maxzi∈RK ,xi∈RSL+

Ui (xi )

subject toK∑k=1

q∗k zki ≤ 0 and p∗s · xsi ≤ p∗s · ωsi +K∑k=1

p∗1szki rsk

2 all markets clear; that is:I∑i=1

z∗ki ≤ 0 andI∑i=1

x∗si ≤I∑i=1

ωsi for all s and k

The definition is familiar, but there are two new objects: the optimal portfolioand the equilibrium asset prices.What can one say about them? What do we know about q∗?

Page 9: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Radner Equilibrium with Asset MarketsDefinition

A Radner equilibrium with asset markets is given by assets prices q∗ ∈ RK , spotprices p∗s ∈ RL in each state s, portfolios z∗i ∈ RK , and spot market plans x∗si ∈ RLfor each s such that:

1 for each i , z∗i and x∗i solve

maxzi∈RK ,xi∈RSL+

Ui (xi )

subject toK∑k=1

q∗k zki ≤ 0 and p∗s · xsi ≤ p∗s · ωsi +K∑k=1

p∗1szki rsk

2 all markets clear; that is:I∑i=1

z∗ki ≤ 0 andI∑i=1

x∗si ≤I∑i=1

ωsi for all s and k

The definition is familiar, but there are two new objects: the optimal portfolioand the equilibrium asset prices.What can one say about them? What do we know about q∗?

Page 10: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets

DefinitionAn asset structure R is complete if rank R = S .

ExampleThere are S different Arrow securities; then

R =

1 0 .. .. 00 1 0 .. 00 0 1 .. 0.. .. .. .. ..0 .. .. 0 1

which is the identity matrix and therefore has rank S .

Example

There are three states, so S = 3, and R =

1 0 01 1 01 1 1

which has full rank.

Page 11: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets

DefinitionAn asset structure R is complete if rank R = S .

ExampleThere are S different Arrow securities; then

R =

1 0 .. .. 00 1 0 .. 00 0 1 .. 0.. .. .. .. ..0 .. .. 0 1

which is the identity matrix and therefore has rank S .

Example

There are three states, so S = 3, and R =

1 0 01 1 01 1 1

which has full rank.

Page 12: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets

DefinitionAn asset structure R is complete if rank R = S .

ExampleThere are S different Arrow securities; then

R =

1 0 .. .. 00 1 0 .. 00 0 1 .. 0.. .. .. .. ..0 .. .. 0 1

which is the identity matrix and therefore has rank S .

Example

There are three states, so S = 3, and R =

1 0 01 1 01 1 1

which has full rank.

Page 13: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets

DefinitionAn asset structure R is complete if rank R = S .

ExampleThere are S different Arrow securities; then

R =

1 0 .. .. 00 1 0 .. 00 0 1 .. 0.. .. .. .. ..0 .. .. 0 1

which is the identity matrix and therefore has rank S .

Example

There are three states, so S = 3, and R =

1 0 01 1 01 1 1

which has full rank.

Page 14: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Completing Markets with Options

Spanning and Options

Consider the European Call Option on asset r = (r1, r2, r3, r4) at strike price c .

The return vector of this call option is

r (c) = (max {0, r1 − c} , ..,max {0, r4 − c})Let r = (4, 3, 2, 1), consider three options given by r (3.5), r (2.5), and r (1.5).

The return matrix given by these four assets

R =

4 0.5 1.5 2.53 0 0.5 1.52 0 0 0.51 0 0 0

which has full rank.

So even if there is only one asset and four states (so that K < S whichobviously would imply rank R < S), one can have complete markets byintroducing three call options: derivatives can complete markets.

Page 15: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Completing Markets with Options

Spanning and Options

Consider the European Call Option on asset r = (r1, r2, r3, r4) at strike price c .

The return vector of this call option is

r (c) = (max {0, r1 − c} , ..,max {0, r4 − c})Let r = (4, 3, 2, 1), consider three options given by r (3.5), r (2.5), and r (1.5).

The return matrix given by these four assets

R =

4 0.5 1.5 2.53 0 0.5 1.52 0 0 0.51 0 0 0

which has full rank.

So even if there is only one asset and four states (so that K < S whichobviously would imply rank R < S), one can have complete markets byintroducing three call options: derivatives can complete markets.

Page 16: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Completing Markets with Options

Spanning and Options

Consider the European Call Option on asset r = (r1, r2, r3, r4) at strike price c .

The return vector of this call option is

r (c) = (max {0, r1 − c} , ..,max {0, r4 − c})Let r = (4, 3, 2, 1), consider three options given by r (3.5), r (2.5), and r (1.5).

The return matrix given by these four assets

R =

4 0.5 1.5 2.53 0 0.5 1.52 0 0 0.51 0 0 0

which has full rank.

So even if there is only one asset and four states (so that K < S whichobviously would imply rank R < S), one can have complete markets byintroducing three call options: derivatives can complete markets.

Page 17: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Completing Markets with Options

Spanning and Options

Consider the European Call Option on asset r = (r1, r2, r3, r4) at strike price c .

The return vector of this call option is

r (c) = (max {0, r1 − c} , ..,max {0, r4 − c})Let r = (4, 3, 2, 1), consider three options given by r (3.5), r (2.5), and r (1.5).

The return matrix given by these four assets

R =

4 0.5 1.5 2.53 0 0.5 1.52 0 0 0.51 0 0 0

which has full rank.

So even if there is only one asset and four states (so that K < S whichobviously would imply rank R < S), one can have complete markets byintroducing three call options: derivatives can complete markets.

Page 18: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Completing Markets with Options

Spanning and Options

Consider the European Call Option on asset r = (r1, r2, r3, r4) at strike price c .

The return vector of this call option is

r (c) = (max {0, r1 − c} , ..,max {0, r4 − c})Let r = (4, 3, 2, 1), consider three options given by r (3.5), r (2.5), and r (1.5).

The return matrix given by these four assets

R =

4 0.5 1.5 2.53 0 0.5 1.52 0 0 0.51 0 0 0

which has full rank.

So even if there is only one asset and four states (so that K < S whichobviously would imply rank R < S), one can have complete markets byintroducing three call options: derivatives can complete markets.

Page 19: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 20: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 21: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 22: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 23: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 24: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 25: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 26: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

SpanRemarkThe crucial feature of an asset structure is the wealth it can generate.

This is the set of all incomes that can be achived constructing some portfolio:Range R =

{w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}When two return matrices have the same range (i.e. they ‘span’the samewealth levels) they yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Proposition

Suppose prices q∗ ∈ RK and p∗ ∈ RLS and plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and z∗ ∈ RKIconstitute a Radner equilibrium for an asset structure with S × K return matrix R.Let R̂ be an S × K̂ second asset returns structure. If Range R = Range R̂, then x∗

is also an equilibrium allocation for the economy that has R̂ as its asset matrix.

The proof has two steps.First, show that the two budget sets corresponding to R and R̂ are the same.Second, find portfolios z such that∑

i

zi = 0 and mi = [p∗1 · (x∗1i − ω1i ) , .., p∗S · (x∗Si − ωSi )]T

= R̂zi

This is question 3 in Problem Set 13

Page 27: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Constraints

Remember, i’s budget set is:

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

where we normalized p1s = 1.

The set of income levels that can be achieved using some portfolio is:

Range R ={w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}This is a linear space.

By the previous proposition, if two return matrices have the same range they‘span’the same wealth levels and yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Page 28: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Constraints

Remember, i’s budget set is:

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

where we normalized p1s = 1.

The set of income levels that can be achieved using some portfolio is:

Range R ={w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}This is a linear space.

By the previous proposition, if two return matrices have the same range they‘span’the same wealth levels and yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Page 29: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Constraints

Remember, i’s budget set is:

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

where we normalized p1s = 1.

The set of income levels that can be achieved using some portfolio is:

Range R ={w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}This is a linear space.

By the previous proposition, if two return matrices have the same range they‘span’the same wealth levels and yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Page 30: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Budget Constraints

Remember, i’s budget set is:

Bi (p, q,R) =

xi ∈ RLS+ :there is zi ∈ RKsuch that

q · zi ≤ 0and

p · (xi − ωi ) ≤ Rzi

where we normalized p1s = 1.

The set of income levels that can be achieved using some portfolio is:

Range R ={w ∈ RS : w = Rz for some z ∈ RK

}This is a linear space.

By the previous proposition, if two return matrices have the same range they‘span’the same wealth levels and yield the same equilibrium allocation.

Page 31: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 32: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 33: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 34: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 35: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 36: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Complete Markets and SpanPropositionAssume the asset markets are complete. Then

1 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI and prices p∗ ∈ RLS++ constitute anArrow-Debreu equilibrium. Then, there are asset prices q∗ ∈ RK++ andportfolio choices z∗ = (z∗1 , .., z

∗I ) ∈ RKI such that: z∗, q∗, x∗, and spot prices

p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s form a Radner equilibrium.2 Suppose consumption plans x∗ ∈ RLSI , portfolio plans z∗ ∈ RKI and pricesq∗ ∈ RS++ and spot prices p∗s ∈ RS++ for each s constitute a Radnerequilibrium. Then, there are S strictly positive numbers (µ1, .., µS ) ∈ RS++such that the allocation x∗ and the state-contingent commodities price vector(µ1p

∗1 , .., µSp

∗S ) ∈ RLS form an Arrow Debreu Equilibrium.

When asset markets are complete, agents are effectively unrestricted in theamounts of trades they can make across states. Then, the Radner equilibriumwith assets is equivalent to an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium.

Because we can always set p1s = 1, each multiplier is interpreted as the valueat time 0 of a dollar at time 1 in state s.

Prove this as Question 4 in Problem Set 13.

Page 37: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 38: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 39: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 40: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 41: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 42: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 43: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

ArbitrageArbitrageAn abitrage opportunity is the possibility to make strictly positive profits at no risk.

Under what conditions on asset prices such opportunities do not exist?

Definition

Asset prices q̂ ∈ RK satisfy absence of arbitrage if there does not exists a z ∈ RKsuch that

q̂ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

q̂ are sometimes called no-arbitrage prices.

This can be interpreted as

q̂ · z ≤ 0︸ ︷︷ ︸affordable portfolio

, Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0︸ ︷︷ ︸strictly positive profits for sure

No arbitrage means there does not exists an affordable portfolio that yieldsnon-negative returns in all states and strictly positive returns in some state.

Preferences are nowhere to be seen in this definition.

Page 44: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage imposes restrictions on prices.

No arbitrage and pricesLet

R =

1 1 11 1 01 0 0

so that Rz =

z1 + z2 + z3z1 + z2z1

Here, no arbitrage implies that if z1 > 0 then q1 > 0. Why?

Can always pick z2 and z3 equal to zero.

This result generalizes beyond the example.

Page 45: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage imposes restrictions on prices.

No arbitrage and pricesLet

R =

1 1 11 1 01 0 0

so that Rz =

z1 + z2 + z3z1 + z2z1

Here, no arbitrage implies that if z1 > 0 then q1 > 0. Why?

Can always pick z2 and z3 equal to zero.

This result generalizes beyond the example.

Page 46: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage imposes restrictions on prices.

No arbitrage and pricesLet

R =

1 1 11 1 01 0 0

so that Rz =

z1 + z2 + z3z1 + z2z1

Here, no arbitrage implies that if z1 > 0 then q1 > 0. Why?

Can always pick z2 and z3 equal to zero.

This result generalizes beyond the example.

Page 47: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage imposes restrictions on prices.

No arbitrage and pricesLet

R =

1 1 11 1 01 0 0

so that Rz =

z1 + z2 + z3z1 + z2z1

Here, no arbitrage implies that if z1 > 0 then q1 > 0. Why?

Can always pick z2 and z3 equal to zero.

This result generalizes beyond the example.

Page 48: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage imposes restrictions on prices.

No arbitrage and pricesLet

R =

1 1 11 1 01 0 0

so that Rz =

z1 + z2 + z3z1 + z2z1

Here, no arbitrage implies that if z1 > 0 then q1 > 0. Why?

Can always pick z2 and z3 equal to zero.

This result generalizes beyond the example.

Page 49: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 50: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 51: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 52: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 53: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 54: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Arbitrage and Asset Prices

No arbitrage and prices

Fact

If rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (all assets have non-negative, non-zero, returns), thenno arbitrage implies qk > 0 for all k.

Think of the portfolio z defined as

zk > 0 and zk ′ = 0 for all k ′ 6= k.The portfolio returns are

Rz = rskzk for s = 1, ..,S

this must be strictly positive in some state.

Therefore, the only way to avoid arbitrage is for the price of asset k to bestrictly positive.

Thus no arbitrage imposes

q · z = qkzk > 0since we already have Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0.

Page 55: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

Theorem

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone.Then, any q∗ ∈ RK that is part of a Radner equilibrium satisfies no-arbitrage.

Under simple restrictions on assets and preferences, equilibrium impliesabsence of arbitrage.

Intuitively, arbitrage implies some money is left on the table.

Given the effi ciency properties of equilibirum, this should not happen.

This is similar in spirit to the First Welfare Theorem.

Page 56: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

Theorem

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone.Then, any q∗ ∈ RK that is part of a Radner equilibrium satisfies no-arbitrage.

Under simple restrictions on assets and preferences, equilibrium impliesabsence of arbitrage.

Intuitively, arbitrage implies some money is left on the table.

Given the effi ciency properties of equilibirum, this should not happen.

This is similar in spirit to the First Welfare Theorem.

Page 57: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

Theorem

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone.Then, any q∗ ∈ RK that is part of a Radner equilibrium satisfies no-arbitrage.

Under simple restrictions on assets and preferences, equilibrium impliesabsence of arbitrage.

Intuitively, arbitrage implies some money is left on the table.

Given the effi ciency properties of equilibirum, this should not happen.

This is similar in spirit to the First Welfare Theorem.

Page 58: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

Theorem

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone.Then, any q∗ ∈ RK that is part of a Radner equilibrium satisfies no-arbitrage.

Under simple restrictions on assets and preferences, equilibrium impliesabsence of arbitrage.

Intuitively, arbitrage implies some money is left on the table.

Given the effi ciency properties of equilibirum, this should not happen.

This is similar in spirit to the First Welfare Theorem.

Page 59: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

Theorem

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone.Then, any q∗ ∈ RK that is part of a Radner equilibrium satisfies no-arbitrage.

Under simple restrictions on assets and preferences, equilibrium impliesabsence of arbitrage.

Intuitively, arbitrage implies some money is left on the table.

Given the effi ciency properties of equilibirum, this should not happen.

This is similar in spirit to the First Welfare Theorem.

Page 60: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 61: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 62: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 63: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 64: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 65: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 66: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 67: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No Arbitrage and Equilibrium Asset Prices

We want to show that there cannot be arbitrage in equilibrium.

Proof.Suppose not; then, q∗ is an equilibrium and there exists a portfolio z such that

q∗ · z ≤ 0, Rz ≥ 0, and Rz 6= 0

Suppose an individual buys some amount of this portfolio:

it doesn’t cost her anything, since q∗ · z ≤ 0;given Rz ≥ 0 and Rz 6= 0, this action strictly increases her ‘financial’income(all columns of R are positive and no entry is negative).

Hence, she can relax her budget constraint.

Because preferences are strictly monotone, she will increase her utility by usingthis additional income to buy more of some goods on the spot markets.

This contradicts the assumption that q∗ is an equilibrium.

Page 68: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 69: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 70: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 71: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 72: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 73: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 74: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Equilibrium and Linear Asset PricesTheorem (Martingale Pricing)

Assume rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero),and suppose preferences are strictly monotone. Then, for any q∗ ∈ RK that is partof a Radner equilibrium, we can find non-negative numbers µs ≥ 0 which satisfy

[q∗]T = µ · Ror q∗k =

∑Ss=1 µs rsk for all k.

What does this equality imply?Prices are a linear combination of dividends.

Suppose there is an asset which pays a constant amount in all states: that isrsk = c for all s.

Normalize the price of this asset to be c , so that

c =S∑s=1

µsc ⇒ 1 =S∑s=1

µs

Thus, equilibrium asset prices must equal an expected value of their returns.

The ‘probability’used to compute the expected value is the same for all assets.

Page 75: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

Since we have already shown that equilibrium implies no-arbitrage, to provethe Martingale Pricing Theorem we only need to prove the following lemma.

Lemma

Suppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

The proof follows from convexity of the set of no arbitrage portfolios.

The main step uses the separating hyperplane theorem, and should remind youof the proof of the welfare theorems.

Separate the positive orthant from the set of incomes that can be obtainedgiven a no-arbitrage (equilibirum) price vector.

Page 76: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

Since we have already shown that equilibrium implies no-arbitrage, to provethe Martingale Pricing Theorem we only need to prove the following lemma.

Lemma

Suppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

The proof follows from convexity of the set of no arbitrage portfolios.

The main step uses the separating hyperplane theorem, and should remind youof the proof of the welfare theorems.

Separate the positive orthant from the set of incomes that can be obtainedgiven a no-arbitrage (equilibirum) price vector.

Page 77: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

Since we have already shown that equilibrium implies no-arbitrage, to provethe Martingale Pricing Theorem we only need to prove the following lemma.

Lemma

Suppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

The proof follows from convexity of the set of no arbitrage portfolios.

The main step uses the separating hyperplane theorem, and should remind youof the proof of the welfare theorems.

Separate the positive orthant from the set of incomes that can be obtainedgiven a no-arbitrage (equilibirum) price vector.

Page 78: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

Since we have already shown that equilibrium implies no-arbitrage, to provethe Martingale Pricing Theorem we only need to prove the following lemma.

Lemma

Suppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

The proof follows from convexity of the set of no arbitrage portfolios.

The main step uses the separating hyperplane theorem, and should remind youof the proof of the welfare theorems.

Separate the positive orthant from the set of incomes that can be obtainedgiven a no-arbitrage (equilibirum) price vector.

Page 79: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 80: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 81: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 82: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 83: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 84: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 85: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 86: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 87: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 88: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 89: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 90: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 91: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Convex SetsAssume no row of R is zero (there is no state where all assets yield zero).

This is without loss of generality because if such a row existed, one can pick anarbitrary µs for that row.

Pick a no arbitrage price vector q̂ ∈ RK

Given q̂, consider the following set

V ={v ∈ RS : v = Rz for some z ∈ RK with q̂ · z = 0

}This is the set of ‘financial’incomes attainable with ‘zero cost’portfolios.V is a convex set (prove it as an exercise).Note that if v ∈ V , then −v ∈ V

one can always ‘reverse’all trades in z and q̂ · (−z) = − (q̂ · z) = 0.

Furthermore, 0 ∈ V .

Since q̂ · z = 0, no-arbitrage implies the financial income from z cannot bestrictly positive (Rz ≤ 0).Thus, V can intersect the S-dimensional non-negative orthant only at 0:

V ∩{RS+\ {0}

}= ∅.

Graph these sets.

Page 92: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 93: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 94: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 95: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 96: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 97: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Separation

Since V and{RS+\ {0}

}are convex, and the origin ({0}) belongs to V , we can

apply the separating hyperplane theorem at 0.

By separating hyperplane theorem, there exists a nonzero µ′ ∈ RS such thatµ′ · v ≤ 0 for each v ∈ V

andµ′ · v ≥ 0 for each v ∈ RS+.

Notice that µ′ ≥ 0;if not, µ′ < 0 and for some v ∈ RS++ one would have µ′ · v < 0 contradictingseparation.

Because v and −v are in V we have

µ′ · v ≤ 0 and µ′ · (−v) = −(µ′ · v) ≤ 0Since µ′ ≥ 0, these two inequalities imply µ′ · v = 0.

Page 98: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 99: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 100: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 101: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 102: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 103: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 104: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Proof of Lemma: Linear Pricing

Consider the row vector µ′ · R ∈ RK .

We need to show that q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R.

Because R has all nonnegative entries (and no zero row) and µ′ ≥ 0, we haveµ′ · R ≥ 0T and µ′ · R 6= 0T .

Suppose q̂T is not proportional to µ′ · R (there exists no real number α > 0such that q̂T = α(µ′ · R)) and find a contradiction.

If this is the case, there exists a z̄ such that q̂ · z̄ = 0 (z̄ is ortogonal to q̂) andµ′ · Rz̄ > 0.Let v̄ = Rz̄ ; then v̄ ∈ V and µ′ · v̄ > 0 contradicting separation (µ′ · v = 0 foreach v ∈ V ).

Thus, q̂T is proportional to µ′ · R and q̂T = αµ′ · R for some real numberα > 0.

If we let µ = αµ′ we get the result q̂T = µ · R concluding the proof of theLemma.

Page 105: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

We have proved the following

LemmaSuppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

Notice that all we need for linear pricing is no-arbitrage.

There are no restrictions on preferences for the Lemma!

The connection with equilibrium is made by adding strictly monotonepreferences.

Page 106: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

We have proved the following

LemmaSuppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

Notice that all we need for linear pricing is no-arbitrage.

There are no restrictions on preferences for the Lemma!

The connection with equilibrium is made by adding strictly monotonepreferences.

Page 107: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

We have proved the following

LemmaSuppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

Notice that all we need for linear pricing is no-arbitrage.

There are no restrictions on preferences for the Lemma!

The connection with equilibrium is made by adding strictly monotonepreferences.

Page 108: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

No-Arbitrage Implies Linear Asset Prices

We have proved the following

LemmaSuppose rk ≥ 0 and rk 6= 0 for all k (return vectors are nonnegative and non zero).If asset prices q ∈ RK satisfy the no-arbitrage condition, then there exists a vectorµ ∈ RS+ such that

qT = µ · R

Notice that all we need for linear pricing is no-arbitrage.

There are no restrictions on preferences for the Lemma!

The connection with equilibrium is made by adding strictly monotonepreferences.

Page 109: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 110: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 111: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 112: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 113: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 114: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Linear Pricing at Work

Implications of Linear PricingSuppose there is an asset that delivers one unit of good 1 in all states:

r1 = (1, .., 1)

Let q be a no-arbitrage price vector and normalize q1 = 1.

If µ satisfies qT = µ · R, we have

µ = (µ1, .., µS ) ≥ 0 andS∑s=1

µs = µ · r1 = q1 = 1

Hence, for all assets different from asset 1,

qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≥ mins rsk and qk =S∑s=1

µs rsk ≤ maxs rsk

Intuitively, prices must be between the lowest and highest dividend.

Page 115: Asset Markets in General Equilibriumluca/ECON2100/2018Class/lecture_25.pdf · Asset Markets in General Equilibrium Econ 2100 Fall 2018 Lecture 25, November 28 Outline 1 Asset Markets

Final Exam

Friday, December 7, at 9am.

Three Hours Long.

Open Class Handouts.

Cumulative: covers everything.

Focuses more on topics after midterm.

Exercises and proofs as usual.

The material in the last class (next Monday) will not be part of the final.

Next Wednesday, Yunyun will use the class time to have one last recitation.