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Assessment of drought impacts: results of a
dialogue with stakeholders
Patrick Mushove and Emmanuel Matsika, Miombo Network/Project
AF38
Relevant Research Issues
•On-farm management practices under changed climate
•Appropriate crop varieties and livestock breeds under changed climate
Case study approach-Zambia
• Semi-structured questionnaire and informal interviews
• 22 respondents in Ndola Rural district (agro-ecological zone III)
• 26 respondents in Choma district (agro-ecological zone II)
• Rainfall data for period 1980/81 to 2001/2002
Case study approach-Zimbabwe
• Semi-structured questionnaire
• Sample size of 214 households from 11 of Buhera District’s 32 wards
• Rainfall data for period 1960/61 to 2001/2002
RESULTS
• Farmers estimate that drought frequency is up from 1 in 5-10 years to 1 in 5 years
• Small-scale, poor farmers are more vulnerable to droughts than the wealthier large-scale farmers
• Farmers attribute the shortening of rainfall seasons to climate variability
Masvingo Dekadal Rainfall
0
50
100
150
200Ju
l
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
n
Feb Mar
Apr
May Jun
Month
Mill
imet
res
2001/2002 Season Normal
Rainfall Anomalies
Problems and Solutions
• Bureaucracy in accessing rural farmers’ agricultural production data (Zw)
• Strengthen networking and stakeholder engagement
• Lack of reliable meteorological data at local level
• Promote establishment of low cost rainfall stations and improve farm records