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Is Buffalo Resilient?
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Assessing Resilience in Buffalo, New
York
A Vignette in Resilience
Is Buffalo Resilient?
Resilience = the ability to
anticipate, prepare for, respond to and recover from a shock
or stress
Performance, e.g., of the economy, infrastructure, civic engagement, environment
Resilience
Non-resilience
Time
Shock, Stress
A Resilience Model
Methods: Linking Assets to Success and Resilience Resilience =
f (assets and endowments
Natural features, human capital, industry mix, political structure, social capital, legal context, demographics…
Actors, policies, institutions, culture
+ response)
Actors
business universities
laborelected
officials
cdcs
ethnic/ racial groupsfaith-based orgs.
Institutionsfiscal rules/tax systems
state law & relations
federal
law &
relations
local
political
norms
Policiessocial policy
workforce development
transporta
tion
policy
land use
regulation
sCulture
regional
identity
values, norms
priorities
history/ stories
Response Elaborated
So, I repeat, is Buffalo
resilient?
(A delay tactic….) Of which system, over what time, to
which challenge?
Resilience = the ability to
anticipate, prepare for,
respond to and recover from
a shock or stress
A reminder…
preparation
phase
performance phase
Performance: population change, job change, income change, poverty change
Chronic Shocks, Stresses
Buffalo Metro Economic Resilience
“Performance Phase,” 1970-2000
1970
1980
1990
2000
Manufacturing peers (n=14)
Rustbelt peers (n=17)
New York peers (n=9 or 10)
Buffalo Metro Economic Resilience
“Preparation Phase,” 1970-2000
Weak
Strong
Performance
Weak Strong
Preparation
Not resilient, Neglectful
Resilient, by
intention
Resilient, but
Ephemeral
Not resilient, but Nice
Try
Is Buffalo Resilient? Finally, An Answer
Three Conclusions2. Resilience
research is full of challenges: conceptual, methodological, analytical
3. Resilience research is full of promise: links assets, interventions and outcomes, many under local control
Assessing Resilience in Buffalo, New
York