38
Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu [email protected] 850-474-3494

Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu [email protected] 850-474-3494

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data

Zhiyong [email protected]

Page 2: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Background

• Tropospheric aerosols: liquid or solid particles suspended in the air• Natural sources: sea-spray uplift, soil-dust uplift, volcanic eruptions,

natural biomass burning, plant material emissions, and meteoric debris.

• Anthropogenic sources: fugitive dust emissions, biomass burning, fossil fuel combustion, and industrial sources.

• Fine mode aerosol: <=2μm (homogeneous nucleation and emissions from combustion and biomass burning).

• Course mode: > 2 μm (sea-spay, natural soil dust, and fugitive soil dust).

Page 3: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Aerosol Optical Depth

• Aerosol optical depth (AOD): or aerosol optical thickness, the optical depth due to extinction by the aerosol component of the atmosphere.

• The total optical depth is comprised of molecular optical depth (due to scattering), gaseous optical depth (due to absorption), and cloud and aerosol optical depths (due to scattering and absorption).

• Molecular optical depth depends only upon surface pressure and wavelength.

• For a clear sky the optical depths due to gaseous absorption can be calculated for each wavelength allowing the aerosol optical depth to be separated by satellite remote sensing.

• Fine AOD: the part of the total AOD contributed by fine aerosols.

Page 4: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Health Effects of Fine Aerosol Particles

• Although most regulations of air pollution focus on gases, aerosol particles cause more visibility degradation and possibly more health problems than do gases (Jacobson, 2002).

• PM2.5 causes the most severe health problems, e.g., cardiopulmonary problems, respiratory illness, and premature death.

• For the use of public health assessment, particulate matter ground monitoring data often lacks spatially complete coverage.

• Some studies have found that AOD calculated from satellite remotely sensed imagery are positively correlated to ambient PM concentrations.

Page 5: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

• Onboard NASA Satellites Terra & Aqua

– Launched 1999, 2002

– 705 km polar orbits, descending (10:30 a.m.) & ascending (1:30 p.m.)

• Sensor Characteristics

– 36 spectral bands ranging from 0.41 to 14.385 µm

– Cross-track scan mirror with 2330 km swath width

– Spatial resolutions:

• 250 m (bands 1 - 2)

• 500 m (bands 3 - 7)

• 1000 m (bands 8 - 36)

– 2% reflectance calibration accuracy

MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)(MODIS)

Page 6: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Pixel-level (level-2) products– Cloud mask for distinguishing clear sky from clouds.– Cloud radiative and microphysical properties.– Cloud top pressure, temperature, and effective emissivity.– Cloud optical thickness, thermodynamic phase, and effective radius– Aerosol optical properties Optical depth over the land and ocean Size distribution (parameters) over the ocean– Atmospheric moisture and temperature gradients– Column water vapor amount

Gridded time-averaged (level-3) atmosphere product. Daily, 8-day, and monthly products (1° 1° equal angle grid).

MODIS Atmosphere ProductsMODIS Atmosphere Products

Page 7: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

MONITORING AND FORECASTING OF AIR QUALITY: AEROSOLSMONITORING AND FORECASTING OF AIR QUALITY: AEROSOLS

Annual mean PM2.5 concentrations (2002)derived from MODIS AODsAnnual mean PM2.5 concentrations (2002)derived from MODIS AODs

van Donkelaar et al. [JGR 2007]

Page 8: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Objective and Methods of the Study

• Objective: use of aerosol data derived from satellite remote sensing

as an air pollution indicator to assess the health effect of particulate

matter

•Methods

- Assess MODIS level 2 hourly AOD against EPA hourly PM2.5

monitoring data.

- Use MODIS Level 3 yearly mean fine AOD to explore relationship

b/w fine AOD and EPA PM2.5 annual summary data.

- Map comparison, and spatial statistical modeling.

Page 9: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Disease Data

• Low birth weight (by county)

- CDC WONDER Online Database.

- Counts of all birth weights and low birth weights (< 2,500 gram).

- Each birth record represents one living baby.

- Year born: 2004.

- Gestational age at birth: 37-39 weeks.

- Counties with a total population less than 100,00 report births under “Unidentified counties” and thus, were excluded from analysis.

• Stroke mortality 1999-2005 (by county) (ICD-10 code: I64)

- CDC WONDER Online Database.

- Total population, death count, age-adjusted rate (using the census 2000 standard population).

- “Unreliable” data removed from the analysis.

Page 10: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Assess MODIS level 2 hourly AOD against EPA PM2.5 monitoring data

120 AOD images used, covering March 1 – October 31

Page 11: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 12: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 13: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 14: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 15: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 16: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Pm2.5 = 7.916+0.032AODR square = 0.5960Adjusted R square = 0.5957P < 0.001

Page 17: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

MODIS Level 3 Fine AOD

• Monthly mean AOD, 2003-2004.• Monthly mean fraction of AOD in the fine mode. • Fine mode AOD were calculated by multiplying

monthly mean AOD by fine fraction. • Yearly mean fine AODs calculated by averaging

the monthly mean. However, winter months (11, 12, 1, 2) data were not used due to unsuccessful retrieval of data for parts of northern regions covered by snow and ice (the land “deep blue” algorithm relies on dark targets).

Page 18: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 19: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 20: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 21: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 22: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 23: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 24: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 25: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

PM2.5 = 7.303+0.047 FAOD

R2 = 0.667

Adjusted R2 = 0.665

P < 0.001

Page 26: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

RMSE = 2.76 ug/m3

PM2.5 = 7.303+0.047 FAOD

Page 27: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 28: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Low birth weight rate vs. fine AOD

Page 29: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Spatial Autocorrelation

Uni-variate Moran’s I:

mean rate in neighbors vs. low birth

weight rate.

Bi-variate Moran’s I: Average Low birth weight in neighbors vs. fine AOD

Page 30: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Bivariate LISA Cluster Map

LISA - Local indicators of spatial autocorrelation

Page 31: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Statistical Modeling of Low Birth Weight Rate and Fine AOD -Spatial Lag Model

Page 32: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494
Page 33: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Age-adjusted Stroke Mortality Rate vs. Fine AOD

Page 34: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Spatial Autocorrelation

Age adjusted stroke mortality rate vs. mean rate in the neighbors.Mean age-adjusted stroke mortality rate in the neighbors vs. fine AOD.

Page 35: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Bi-variate LISA Cluster Map

Page 36: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Statistical Modeling of Age Adjusted Stroke Death Rate and Fine AOD - Spatial Lag Model

Page 37: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

Conclusions• U.S. southeast-east regions have higher fine AOD values

than west-northwest regions.• Significant positive relation between AOD and PM2.5 in

Eastern US.• Significant positive relation b/w PM25 and Fine AOD.• Low birth weight rate and age adjusted stroke mortality

rate show similar spatial pattern as fine AOD.• There are positive association between fine AOD and low

birth weight as well as stroke.• Satellite measurement of AOD could directly be used as

an air pollution indicator for public health effect assessment in the lack of ground monitoring data.

Page 38: Assessing Health Effects of Particulate Matter Using MODIS Aerosol Data Zhiyong Hu zhu@uwf.edu 850-474-3494

This study is a component of the "Assessment of Environmental Pollution and Community Health in Northwest Florida" supported by U.S. EPA Cooperative Agreement Award X-9745002 to the University of West Florida. The content of this report are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the U.S. EPA.

Acknowledgements