Asia Sentinel - Taking on Thailand s Myths

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    Sentinel - Taking on Thailands myths http://www.asiasentinel.com/index2.php?option=com_content&

    12/6/2007

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    Taking on Thailands myths

    DANIEL TEN KATE

    06 December 2007

    A new academic journal speaks plainly about Thaksins fall, royal power and supposedlyignorant rural voters

    Celebrations for King Bhumibol Adulyadejs 80th birthday

    on Wednesday once again displayed his tremendous

    popularity among Thais, many of whom wore yellow and

    pink to express their adoration for a monarch who has

    ruled Thailand for more than 61 years.

    They also served as a reminder that the king has turned

    one year older, and cannot live forever. Recently the

    ageing Bhumibol spent nearly a month in the hospital for

    stroke-like symptoms, adding to longstanding fears about

    his health and raising questions about the eventual

    succession, presumably to his son Crown Prince Maha

    Vajiralongkorn.

    Although the massive show of support from the Thaipeople represents a genuine love for the king among many, behind the grateful tears, fawning

    songs and gushing news accounts is a palpable uncertainty over what the future holds. The

    palace has spent decades building up the king into a god-like figure, which has created the

    prospect of a massive power vacuum that cant be discussed openly in Thailand due to strict

    lese majeste laws.

    These taboo issues are laid bare in a new collection of academic articles in a special issue of

    Journal of Contemporary Asia, a well-regarded Asian studies journal. This collection serves as

    required reading for anyone who wants to read an objective analysis of recent Thai political

    events that differs substantially from the sycophantic reports found in the countrys two

    English-language dailies. The journal is primarily geared towards an academic audience,

    according to editor Kevin Hewison, an Asian Studies professor at the University of North

    Carolina, but a limited number of copies will be made available in Thailand, particularly at the

    International Conference of Thai Studies in January.

    With Thais heading to the polls on December 23 in the first parliamentary elections since the

    September 2006 coup, the journal offers a new lens through which to view telecom tycoon

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    Thaksin Shinawatras unprecedented election victories and subsequent ouster by royalist

    factions of the military. While its impossible to note all the insights in this collection, the

    complementary pieces serve to repudiate two key myths that still get repeated constantly in

    Thailand: 1) The palace somehow sits above politics and 2) rural voters dont know whats

    good for them.

    Descending from above

    In kicking off the volume, historian Thongchai Winichakul minces no words in discussing how

    the palace adeptly turned what seemed like a defeat during the 1932 revolution into an

    advantage. After absolute monarchy was overthrown, he argues, the palace sought to assert a

    political role in the new democracy precisely through staying above politics, a position it

    maintains to this day.

    The monarchys political role in Thai democracy is not well understood because of the

    common misconception that the monarchy is above politics, the University of Wisconsinprofessor writes, adding: Because of the misconception and censorship, the monarchy, whose

    unabated political experience since the 1950s was probably superior to other political actors in

    Thailand, has been able to escape the attention, let alone scrutiny, by most observers and

    scholars.

    This position on top of Thai politics has helped the palace to carefully build up its prestige

    through the revival of royal rituals that celebrated even the most minor achievements,

    meaning that Thais who are currently sixty years old or younger grew up under the pervasive

    aura of an unprecedented royal cult, Thongchai writes.

    In particular, he singles out the move to designate the kings birthday as Fathers Day, at

    which the monarch gives a televised speech in which he cryptically takes the countrys

    politicians to task. The birthday speech becomes a ritual to display the hierarchy of moral

    authority and to reaffirm the monarchys place above the normal realm of politics, Thongchai

    writes. At the same time, the ritual draws the public to identify themselves with the moral

    authority of the king. It is one of the cleverest political rituals, with the impact probably many

    times that of an electoral campaign.

    At this years speech, Bhumibol stressed that the country needs to remain united. It takes a

    good coordination of both legs to walk well, he said, according to the Bangkok Post. I mean

    when one puts ones foot in front, the other foot behind must stand on the ground properly.

    By doing this alternately, we can move forward and will not fall over. Likewise, without unity,

    the country would fall. Physically speaking, when we fall, we could break our bones. If we do

    not take care of our country, it could fall into disaster.

    Although the royal rituals may seem symbolic and innocuous, they pack a tangible political

    punch. As Ukrist Pathmanand of Chulalongkorn University and Michael Conners of Australias

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    La Trobe University point out in separate papers, the notion that Thaksin somehow

    disrespected Bhumibol through ignoring or downplaying key rituals that supported the royalist

    ideology gave the generals an opening to forcibly remove a leader who had won an

    unprecedented 19 million votes just 18 months earlier.

    Ukrist writes, Given their limited political power base and their apparent lack of political ideas

    and ambition, it was certainly daunting for this group of royalist military to confront Thaksin,

    who at that time had strong control of parliament, the media, the bureaucracy, provincial

    governors, police, significant sections of the military, and the solid support of the masses,

    especially in rural areas. Yet the emergence of the royalist military was possible with the

    support of a royalist ideology that maintained a stronghold throughout the anti-Thaksin

    campaigns from the end of 2005.

    The constant royal ceremonies, nightly royal newscasts and publicity about the kings good

    works have all built up the belief that Thais could ask the monarch for anything, including

    Thaksins removal. The coup and its widespread acceptance may have demonstrated the

    palaces strength, but it also greatly affected its standing, especially among supporters ofThaksins social and economic policies, writes Conners.

    Interestingly, while the book spends a great deal of time discussing Bhumibol, it doesnt

    mention Vajiralongkorn by name. Ukrist makes a passing comment about how many

    well-informed Bangkokians talked of Thaksin having taken on many of the profligate crown

    princes larger expenditures, thus suggesting the two are allies. He also dismisses the juntas

    thinking that a royalist army commander would ensure that the succession period will be

    peaceful: This transition period will depend more on the personality of the present king

    because, in fact, the monarchy in Thailand is not institutionalized; it has been built up around

    the personal charisma that has been created for the incumbent king.

    Hewison builds upon this in his article, which opens as a review of journalist Paul Handleys

    banned book The King Never Smiles. The 2006 coup, he argues, has blatantly exposed the

    palaces political role, and has blurred the lines between appropriate criticism and lese

    majeste. This could put the palace in a precarious role if the next king is not as popular as

    Bhumibol.

    The problem for the king and his advisers is that they have now placed the monarchy at the

    center of ongoing political struggles, Hewison writes. This is a risky strategy and means thateverything royal now has a political meaning. As such, nationalist strategies with the king at

    their center have become de rigueur. Symbols of the monarchy yellow shirts and the

    sufficiency economy are also symbols of loyalty to the military-backed government and any

    criticism is a dangerous if not unpatriotic act.

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    Thaksins challenge

    As authors Pasuk Phongpaichit and Chris Baker note, Thaksin was an unlikely candidate to

    become Thailands first populist leader. The telecom billionaire originally formed his party in

    1998 to rescue Thai businesses from the financial crisis and restore economic growth. His

    populism came after he recruited leftist 1970s student leaders to help form his policies, and

    they came up with debt relief, universal health care and village loan funds policies that have

    been at the center of Thailands political troubles ever since.

    The success of Thaksins policies, combined with gobs of money that allowed him to

    essentially buy a huge coalition among lawmakers of the poor, heavily populated northeast

    region, led him to stunning election victories in 2001 and 2005. He was certain to win by a

    hefty margin yet again in November 2006, prompting the generals to oust him before that was

    possible.

    Hewison notes that Thaksins wide support among the rural poor put him in direct competition

    with the palace for the hearts and minds of the masses.

    Far from urging a return to the farm and being content with rural sufficiency, Thaksins

    policies emphasized getting ahead, producing for the market and promoted

    entrepreneurialism, he writes.

    While most every author acknowledges that Thaksins welfare policies proved successful, they

    also say that his use of the increased popularity from those policies to neuter independent

    agencies as well as impose seemingly conflicting policies on privatization and free trade

    combined to bring about his eventual downfall.

    Thaksin pursued a lot of policies that were basic tenets of neo-liberalism with considerablevigor, and contradicted the social contract he offered to the poor, write Oliver Pye and

    Wolfram Schaffar of Bonn University. These contradictions gradually unfolded in the course of

    his premiership. Not, as often criticized by neo-liberal ideologues, between unsustainable

    state-funded projects and fiscal prudence, but between Thaksins ambitious capitalist

    restructuring of economic and social relations in the interest of big business, and the interests

    of his popular base.

    Throughout the course of the move to oust Thaksin, Bangkok academics and anti-Thaksin

    leaders routinely labeled rural poor voters as ignorant. After the coup, junta leader Sonthi

    Boonyaratglin said that many Thais still lack a proper understanding of democracy and

    some have yet to learn about discipline.

    Andrew Walker, an anthropologist with The Australian National University, writes that there is

    little the rural electorate can do to shake off this persistent [negative] image. He argues,

    however, that rural Thais vote for leaders according to a set of localized values. Vote-buying,

    which certainly takes place, should be put into the broader context of the array of material

    assistance that is expected of political representatives and other well-resourced people seeking

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    to demonstrate their social standing, he writes.

    Far from being a uniform group of mindless drones, rural voters engage with various

    competing local figures in a range of political contests, and choose the leaders that most

    reflect their values. Among other things, Walker writes, these values include choosing leaders

    that are considered local; that bring home financial gains to local communities; and prove

    competent at running an administration.

    Moreover, rural voters often think on a level that is different from the love-hate, all-or-nothing

    relationship Bangkok had with Thaksin, according to Somchai Phatharathananunth from

    Mahasarakham University in northeastern Thailand. He cites the reluctance of farmers to join

    anti-Thaksin movements led by NGOs even though they had worked together for years.

    From the NGO perspective, farmers refused to join the anti-Thaksin protest because they

    were unable to look beyond the short-term material benefits of the populist policies, Somchai

    wrote, adding that the aid workers then tried to supply the farmers with correct information

    so they could understand the long-term damage of Thaksins policies.

    Such a view implied that there could only be one political line taken towards Thaksin, and to

    be politically correct farmers had to adopt that line, Somchai writes. Such a thing was not

    going to happen because it ran counter to many farmers way of thinking. Farmers do not

    adopt totalistic views towards things or persons; they deal with them in a pragmatic way. They

    judged Thaksin on an issue-by-issue basis. As a result, whether Thaksin was good or bad

    depended on the issue at hand.

    And indeed, though opposing Thaksin on certain issues, many rural voters still saw him deliver

    them real benefits, much more so than any Thai government had done in the past. Thaksin

    quickly turned his campaign promises into reality, cementing and expanding the political

    support he formed when he convinced regional old-school northeastern politicians to join his

    Thai Rak Thai party.

    While the policies were severely criticized as a new form of vote-buying by many NGO leaders

    and academics in Bangkok, farmers viewed the policies as the distribution of resources to the

    countryside that helped farmers to address their needs, Somchai writes. They insisted that

    the rural poor were as entitled to access the government budget as were the urban rich.

    Election to w hat end?

    All of this provides telling insights into the upcoming December 23 election. Although the

    coup-makers have had more than a year in power to educate the population about the evils

    of populism and unify the country, they appear to have failed on both counts.

    Every party has adopted populist measures that are similar, if not identical, to the ones

    implemented by Thai Rak Thai. Even key anti-Thaksin financier Prachai Leophairatana who

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    this week announced he was resigning as leader of the Matchimathippitai party after being

    sentenced to three years in prison for share manipulation four years ago had unveiled a

    populist platform that went well beyond anything Thaksin proposed.

    This reveals that either all parties are now pandering to a group of ill-informed voters, or the

    claims that Thaksins policies would lead the country to financial ruin were greatly

    exaggerated. Indeed, as the king mentioned in his speech on Tuesday, there is no need to be

    stingy when the governments finances are in order. Whether the money should be spent on

    more tanks or more health care will be for the elected leaders to decide.

    Two more key facts about this election are that its being held under a new junta-drafted

    constitution that limits the political space and that it doesnt involve Thaksin or his party, which

    a military-appointed court dissolved early this year in a legally dubious decision. These facts

    are interesting primarily because coup apologists argued correctly that elections were not the

    only essential part to a democracy; other democratic institutions needed to be functioning

    properly to ensure a free and fair result and administration. Unfortunately, Thailand is about to

    have another election in which the institutions that provide checks and balances have beencorrupted. Nearly half of the next Senate will be appointed, royalist judges are in control of

    key independent bodies and many northeastern provinces that formed Thaksins old base are

    still under martial law. This time, its not Thaksin who is to blame, but the military junta and

    royalists who assumed power after the coup.

    Whether or not rural voters will elect PPP, a proxy party for Thaksin loyalists, remains to be

    seen. Certainly a PPP victory will signal a repudiation of the coup group and lead to rumors

    about yet another putsch. Whats more crucial, perhaps, is to see if after the election

    politicians of all stripes can formulate a set of democratic rules and institutions that can unify

    the country and withstand an assault from any competing group of power-hungry elites.

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