ASF - Capital Markets in Indonesia

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    Indonesia Market Reportby

    Association of Indonesian Securities

    CompaniesLily Widjaja, Chairperson

    Osaka, September 2011

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    Highlights

    Economic Performance

    Capital Market Performance Regulatory Developments

    Industry Developments & Challenges

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    Indonesian Central Bank

    Intere st Rate

    -

    2.00

    4.00

    6.00

    8.00

    10.00

    12.00

    14.00

    Jan-

    08

    May-

    08

    Sep-

    08

    Jan-

    09

    May-

    09

    Sep-

    09

    Jan-

    10

    May-

    10

    Sep-

    10

    Jan-

    11

    May-

    11

    Sep-

    11

    %

    Indonesia Inflation - CPI

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    %yoy

    Economic Performance

    4.79

    6.75

    Source : Indonesia Central Bank Source : BPS-

    Statistic Indonesia

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    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    Jan-03

    Jul-0

    3

    Jan-04

    Jul-0

    4

    Jan-05

    Jul-0

    5

    Jan-06

    Jul-0

    6

    Jan-07

    Jul-0

    7

    Jan-08

    Jul-0

    8

    Jan-09

    Jul-0

    9

    Jan-10

    Jul-1

    0

    Jan-11

    Jul-1

    1

    ABC

    Economic Performance

    S&P Rating -

    Indonesia

    Moodys Rating -

    Indonesia

    Capital inflow to Indonesia has strengthened exchange rate and increased

    foreign

    exchange reserve.

    On April 2011 Indonesias rating was upgraded by S&P to BB+ (one level below

    investment grade).

    Earlier on January 2011, Moodys increased

    the rating to Ba1.

    Exchange Rate vs. Foreign Exchange Reserve (Jan-2008

    Aug-2011)

    -

    20.00

    40.00

    60.00

    80.00

    100.00

    120.00

    140.00

    1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7 10 1 4 7

    2008 2009 2010 2011

    (USDB

    illion)

    -

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    IDR/US

    Foreign Exchange Reserve Exchange Rate

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    Jan-03

    Jul-0

    3

    Jan-04

    Jul-0

    4

    Jan-05

    Jul-0

    5

    Jan-06

    Jul-0

    6

    Jan-07

    Jul-0

    7

    Jan-08

    Jul-0

    8

    Jan-09

    Jul-0

    9

    Jan-10

    Jul-1

    0

    Jan-11

    Jul-1

    1

    ABC

    B-

    CCC+

    CCC

    B+

    BB-

    BB

    BB+

    BBB-

    BBB

    BBB+

    B

    B3

    Caa1

    B1Ba3

    Ba2

    Ba1

    Baa3

    Baa2

    Baa1

    B2

    Source : Indonesia Central Bank

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    IDX Composite

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    0 4- J an - 10 0 4- Ma r -10 0 4- Ma y -10 0 4- J ul - 10 0 4- S ep -10 0 4- No v -10 0 4- J an - 11 0 4- M ar - 11 0 4- Ma y- 11 0 4- J ul -11 0 4- S ep -11

    Capital Market Performance Stock Market

    Trading Value, Listed Issuers and Market Capitalization in 2011 increased compared to 2010.

    Composite Index record high 4,193 on 1 August 2011.

    On 23 September 2011, the Composite Index was at 3,426.34 (7.48% vs. 2010).

    2009 2010 Aug

    2011

    Total Trading Value (IDR

    billion)

    975,135 1,176,237 861,306

    Average Trading Value per

    Day (IDR billion)

    4,046 4,801 5,284

    10.1%

    Composite Index

    High 2,534.36 3,786.10 4,193.44

    Low 1,256.11 2,475.57 3,346.06

    Close 2,534.36 3,703.51 3,841.73

    Listed Issuers 398 420 432

    Market Capitalization

    (IDR billion)

    2,019,375 3,247,097 3,468,309

    6.81%

    46.1%

    7.48%

    4,193 (1 Aug 2011)

    Source: IDX

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    Capital Market Performance 20 Most Active Brokerage Houses in Total Value Jan-Aug11

    Rank Name Total

    (IDR-trill)

    %

    1 Credit Suisse Securities Indonesia 125.13 7.26

    2 JP Morgan Securities Indonesia 94.11 5.46

    3 CIMB Securities Indonesia 87.94 5.11

    4 Deutsche Securities Indonesia 85.12 4.94

    5 Kim Eng Securities 83.32 4.84

    6 Bahana Securities 73.37 4.26

    7 CLSA Indonesia 71.11 4.13

    8 UBS Securities Indonesia 67.17 3.90

    9 Macquarie Capital Sec. Indonesia 61.75 3.58

    10 e-Trading Securities 57.36 3.33

    Source : IDX

    Rank Name Total

    (IDR-trill)

    %

    11 Mandiri Sekuritas 55.19 3.20

    12 OSK Nusadana Sec. Indonesia 47.14 2.74

    13 Merrill Lynch Indonesia 44.74 2.60

    14 Danareksa Sekuritas 42.15 2.45

    15 Ciptadana Securities 39.26 2.28

    16 Indo Premier Securities 38.51 2.24

    17 Net Sekuritas 28.25 1.64

    18 BNI Securities 27.36 1.59

    19 Valbury Asia Securities 25.83 1.50

    20 UOB Kay Hian Securities 24.78 1.44

    Total of 20 Firm 1,179.58

    % of Total Transaction 68.48

    Total Transaction 1,722.61

    20 amongst 118 active brokerage houses

    accounted for 68% total value transactions(11 of these top 20 brokers are foreign

    houses, accounted for 46% total value

    transactions).

    Total 25 foreign brokers accounted for 55%

    total value transactions.

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    Capital Market Performance Bond Market

    The total transactions of the

    bonds has increased

    significantly for the past two

    years.

    Government Bond holds the

    majority of the total bond

    volume transaction and

    outstanding.Bond O utstanding Value (Rp-trill)

    515

    609670

    757840

    436

    535 582

    641704

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*

    * 2011 only consis t of Jan-Aug

    Total Bond (Rp-trill) Govt Bond (Rp-trill)

    Source : IDX

    excluding non IDR dominated Corporate bond

    Series -

    Issued 2010 2011*

    Government 81 86

    Corporate 245 281

    Total Value Transaction Bond (Rp-trill)

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*

    * 2011 only consist of Jan-Aug

    -

    10.00

    20.00

    30.00

    40.00

    50.00

    60.00

    70.00

    80.00

    90.00

    100.00

    Total Govt and Corp Bond (Rp-trill) Corporate Bond

    Source : IDX

    * 2011 only consist of Jan-Aug

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    Regulatory Developments

    Revised Regulations introduced end of 28 December

    2010 to be effective 1 February 2012:

    Internal Control for Securities Company (4 Departments revised

    to 6 Functions, incl. Compliance and Risk Management)

    Adjusted Net Working Capital (single haircut to various haircuts,

    and ranking liabilities risk-based capital)

    Safety of Securities Deposited with Securities Company

    Segregated Funds Account for Clients at Payment Bank,

    in addition to Securities Sub-Account for Clients at

    Central Securities Depository Surveillance System to monitor irregular transactions

    BCP to ensure business continuity

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    Regulatory Developments

    Single Investor Identification (SID) and Trading-ID

    AKSes Card Facility Investor Protection Fund

    Integration of Securities Company Back Office withSecurities Central Depository

    Straight Through Processing

    KYC and Anti-Money Laundering

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    Industry Developments & Challenges

    Direct Market Access

    On-line Trading and Mobile Trading Brokers Competition & Anti-Monopoly

    Brokerage fee

    Underwriting fee Licensed Professionals

    Professional Exams Board

    Capital Markets School

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    Industry Developments & Challenges

    Education and Training Advanced Education for Directors

    KYC and Anti-Money Laundering Training

    Securities Company Information System Clients

    Employees

    Securities Companies

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