ASE NEOCommittee

Tom Jones

tj@space-explorers.org

ASE CongressScotland

20 Sep 07

Future ASE Work on the NEO Hazard

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ASE Future Work on NEOs

Overview

• ASE NEO Committee Fund-raiser• ASE NEO Workshops• ASE UN Reporting• NEO Exploration Opportunities • ASE Outreach on NEO Issue

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ASE NEO Fundraiser

• Jan 2007• Chabot Science Center

• Oakland, California USA • Organized by Schweickart

and Turnage• ASE members attending:

• Leonov, Avdeev, Dunbar, Schweickart, Chang-Diaz, Schirra, Carpenter, Prunariu, Bobko, Hughes-

Fulford,Jones

• Results: $ 132,000 to fund ASE NEO workshop series

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE NEO Workshop Series

• Series of 4 workshops to address NEO decisions• ASE Panel on Asteroid Threat Mitigation (PATM)• Principals selected for expertise and independent

professional status• Not associated with government space agencies

or corporate interests• List• Task: draft Program, guide formal delivery to UN,

provide pathways to international institutions, governments, space agencies

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List of Invited Principals

• Dr. V.S. Arunachalam, Chairman, Center for Study of Science, Technology and Policy• Dr. Roger-M. Bonnet, President, Committee on Space Research (COSPAR)• Ambassador James George, Retired, Canada• Dr. Tomifumi Godai, former President, International Astronautical Federation• Ambassador Peter Jankowitsch, Retired, Austria• Dr. Nandasiri Jasentuliyana, President, International Institute of Space Law• Dr. Sergei Kapitza, Russian Academy of Sciences• Mr. Paul Kovacs, Executive Director, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction• Ambassador Walther Lichem, former Austrian ambassador to Canada• Dr. John Logsdon, Director, Space Policy Institute, GWU• Dr. Gordon McBean, ICSU Planning Gp. on Natural and Human-Induced Env. Hazards• Lord Martin Rees, President, The Royal Society• Dr. Karlene Roberts, Professor, Haas School of Business• Dr. Roald Sagdeev, Professor, University of Maryland• Dr. Michael Simpson, President, International Space University• Sir Crispin Tickell, Director, Policy Foresight Program, James Martin Institute, Oxford• Jim Zimmerman, President, International Astronautical Federation• Dr. Sergio Camacho-Lara, Director, UN Office for Outer Space Affairs Invited Observers • Dr. Richard Crowther, Rutherford-Appleton Laboratory• Mr. Richard Tremayne-Smith, Chairman, COPUOS Action Team 14 (NEO)

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE NEO Workshop Series

• Series of 4 workshops to address NEO decisions• ASE Panel on Asteroid Threat Mitigation (PATM)• Principals selected for expertise and independent

professional status• Not associated with government space agencies

or corporate interests• List• Task: draft Program, guide formal delivery to UN,

provide pathways to international institutions, governments, space agencies

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE update to COPUOS: February 2007

• ASE presented a summary of our workshop process• Stated our intention to present a draft Program

in February 2009. • This effort was recognized by Action Team 14

(dealing with NEOs) • COPUOS is now officially aware of our effort• ASE’s PATM Program submission is now part of

COPUOS projected NEO initiative.

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE NEO Workshop 1 – May 2007

• International Space Univ., Strasbourg, France• Educate Panel Principals on basic NEO facts• World-class experts delivered tutorials to give all

Panel members common hazard understanding• Subjects: NEO basics, orbital dynamics, detection

programs, deflection, impact effects, space law, UN committee functions, disasters

• Approval of plan for preparation of draft Program

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE NEO Workshop 2 – September 2007

• Sibiu, Romania Host: Dorin Prunariu• PATM created first draft of our NEO Decision-

Making Progam• Similar to “Mission” or “Flight Rules,” “Red Book” • Issues addressed: NEO detection, data

exchange, communication, disaster planning, new NEO “entity” to handle NEO planning at UN, indemnification, UN NEO “actor”, costs

• Panel developed roadmap for submission and publication of our NEO Decision Program

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ASE NEO Committee Future Activities

• ASE status report to UN STSC of COPUOS in February 2008, Vienna

• ASE NEO Workshop 3 – April 2008, Costa Rica• Complete drafting of NEO Program• Edit for priority issues, content, clarity

• ASE status report to UN COPUOS, June 2008• ASE NEO Workshop 4 – September 2008

• Final edits, adoption of Program• Signatures, public announcement

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

ASE NEO Committee -- Communications

• No release of Program content to press before Sep 2008 (end of Workshop 4)

• Post-Workshop 4: ASE NEO Program communication effort• World space agencies via ASE members• Non-governmental institutions (IAF,

COSPAR)• UN Action Team 14, COPUOUS, General

Assembly• Published articles and lectures• Internet, Video and film

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Future ASE NEO Committee Members?

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Upcoming “Dawn” Mission to Asteroid Belt

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Dawn and Hayabusa

Tunguska Centennial: June 30, 2008

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Peru: Possible Impact????

~100 meters (ISS at 12A.1 Stage)

540 meters

Asteroid Itokawa, ISS, and CEV OrionAsteroid Itokawa, ISS, and CEV Orion

JAXA, NASA

CEV Orion

~17 m(cross section)

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ASE Future Work on NEO Hazard

Events to watch

• Workshop progress• http://www.space-explorers.org/committees/NEO/neo.html• Spacecraft mission developments• Press coverage (e.g. Tunguska, Peru)

• Special thanks to ASE’s Andy Turnage for his tireless efforts in support of the ASE NEO effort

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ASE:

Turning NEO Hazard into Opportunity

NEO Itokawa (535x294 m diameter) imaged by JAXA Hayabusa mission