Upload
lyxuyen
View
217
Download
2
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Arvind’s Revenue is expected to grow at
CAGR of 17% to Rs. 10,000 cr by March 31, 2016
Arvind- A Changing Picture
About 36% of Arvind’s Revenue will come from its fast
growing B 2 C Business
5400
6600
8500
10000
3000
5000
7000
9000
11000
2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenue CAGR 17%
While Textile will continue to be significant part of Arvind’s Revenue, Arvind’s non denim business will
grow very rapidly
Textiles 68%
Brands &
Retail 29%
Others
3%
Revenue Mix 2013
Textiles 59%
Brands &
Retail 36%
Others
5%
Revenue Mix 2016
45% 33%
55% 67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2012 2016
Textile Revenue
Other Textiles
Denim
32% 20%
68% 80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2012 2016
Total Revenue
Revenue from others
Denim
Arvind- A Changing Picture
– Re-investment of Operating Cash Flows
– Cash flows from divestment of real-estate
• cash flows expected over next 5 years is Rs. 900 crores – Cash flows more or less equally spread every year.
– Scale Advantage
10.50%
13% 12%**
14%
16% 17%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROCE
**Earnings reduced due to strike in Q1-2013
1.30
1.05 1.00
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
2011 2012 2013
Debt: equity
Arvind- A Changing Picture
While Arvind’s revenue may double over 3 years, its ROCE and
leverage position is likely to significantly improve due to
Product Brands ( Licensed) Retail Brands
Product Brands (Owned)
JV Brand
Arvind has an Unmatched Portfolio of Owned & Licensed Brands and Retail Formats in the Fashion Industry
Aspirers (106)
Middle Class
Globals (3)
Affluent
Strivers &
Seekers (61)
Upper
Middle Class
Value Retail
Bridge to Luxury
Premium Brands
Income Pyramid in 2015 (households mn.)
India 1
India 2
Arvind Portfolio Caters to Addressable Market of 170 Mn Households
Arvind’s pursuit of Multi-Brand, Multi-Price Point and Multi-Channel Strategy over the last 5 years has grown the Business at a CAGR of 38%
Arvind has one of the best Distribution Strengths in the Apparel Industry
No. of Counters / Doors
No. of Retail Stores in India No. of Towns Retail Space
Department Store Counters India Middle East South Africa
Multibrand Outlets: India
730
700
50 63
656
150 1.3 Mn. Sq. ft.
No. of Retail Stores – International Dubai South Africa
5
2
Competition
Now Future
Louis Philippe
Van Heusen
Allen Solly
Brooks Brothers
Pink
Kenneth Cole
Balanced Portfolio with Future Growth Drivers
Keep the Portfolio always
Future Ready
Premium Menswear No. 1
Apparel Specialty Retail
Arvind has already taken leadership position in Premium Menswear market
Best Portfolio in the Industry
Propose to add one large international brand in near future
Kids wear No. 1
Arvind has already taken leadership position in Premium Kids-wear market
International Brands Leverage Can Make Us No. 1
Competition
Now & Future
Denim & Youth
Arvind has some white spaces in youth and denim market
Bridge to Luxury Department Store
Premium Department Store
Fast Fashion Specialty Retail
Value
Discount
Kids
Youth
Arvind
Will be Among the Top 5 Players in the Apparel Retail Landscape
Family
India’s Retail play- Now & in future
Leveraging these strengths Arvind is geared to be a Rs. 5000 Crs Brands & Retail Business over the Next Five Years
Arvind Plans to Achieve This through a Combination of
1. Organic Growth
Current Business: Rs. 1600 Crs
2. Inorganic Growth
Acquisition
New Brand Launches
Joint Ventures
Rs. 2000 Crs
Rs. 3000 Crs
Arvind’s Earnings :At Inflection Point
Arvind’s earnings likely to improve
substantially over next 3
years
• Textile Margins to improve as multiple product groups become large
• Apart from denim, woven fabrics, garments and technical textile to scale up rapidly
• Margin improvement • Consistency
• Brands business attaining maturity stage leading to
• Improved operating leverage resulting in margin improvement
• Mega Mart retail chain stabilising after the
derailment caused by imposing of excise duty
• Real-estate revenue and profits likely to kick in from next FY
Near term outlook is positive
Cost of increase in borrowing may significantly get off set by reduction in interest cost
Depreciation to increase at a lower pace than EBIDTA
PBT to sharply improve
Scale advantage
MegaMart margins steadily improving
Currency hedge almost getting over
Real-estate profits likely to kick in
EBIDTA margin may marginally
improve
Capacity expansion in woven fabrics completed
Garment plant in Bangladesh being set up
Established brands to continue growth momentum
Several new brands and retail formats acquired
Revenue growth @ 20% +
FY 2014
Arvind Likely to Outperform Market
Unique opportunity to ride Indian consumption and Indian Manufacturing Story
• Largest portfolio of domestic & foreign licensed apparel brands • One of the largest yet very flexible fabric manufactures in the
world • Large land bank available for monetization to fund growth • Highly talented and committed professional management team
According to some analysts, Arvind is likely to outperform the market
• Based on their 2014 forecast, Arvind is currently trading at: • EV/EBIDTA multiple of 5.2 • PAT Multiple of 7 and • Book Value multiple of 0.9
Arvind may get re-rated
• Share of B 2 C business, which trades at 15-20 times EV/EBIDTA
multiple is increasing • Arvind’s textile business is more robust than ever before with
several product groups gaining size and contributing significantly to revenue and profits