Digital revolution: are we ready?Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

14th Global Symposium for Regulators (GSR): Capitalizing on the potential of the digital world

The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.

20141994

1st 22months

of video on the internet per

second

5-10h use of multiple

screens

1.5m people start using mobile for the 1st time

1b+people on

social media

183bemails sent

1/2bphotos uploaded

3000petabytes of IP traffic

A day in the [digital] world

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

History of the future

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Volu

mes

, B

Internet born

One to many to any: ICTs from happy few to the masses

Mainframe (1 computer, many people)PC (1 person, 1 computer)Digital native computing (1 person, many screens)Internet of everything

www

Mobile broadband,smartphones, tablets

Mass wearables

Artificialintelligence

Social Media

Connected car

Cognitive computing

Internet of things

Growing digital

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

Traditional IP traffic

1994

Billi

ons,

use

rs

IP tr

affic

, exa

byte

s/m

onth

0

1

0

50

100

150

200

250

2

3

4

5

6

7

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014*2016*2018*2020*

Internet users

Fixed broadband

Cloud IP traffic

Social media active users

Mobile broadband subs

Fixed bb, 10

Mobile bb, 32

Unconnected,58

Digital haves vs. have-nots,2014 %

Growth in internet usage

A selfie of the ICT sector today

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

Operator 1IP core network

Convergedfixed/mobile

network

Operator 2IP core network

Convergedfixed/mobile

network

Office/homeWiFi

Smart phone,tablet or laptop

Fibre ringFibre ring

3G/4GWiMax mastWiMax Street box

Point to point backhaulInterconnection

3G/4GWiMax mast

Radioproduction

TVproduction

OTTservice

providersMass storage

Office/homeWiFi

Office/homeWiFi

The sky is the limit

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION

ENABLERS NEW VALUE PROPOSITIONS

INHIBITORS

CompeteInnovateIntegrate

CloudBig data

MobileSocial Media

Online payments

SimplificationDiversificationImmersion

PrivacyData protection

New monopolies

AgilityScalabilityDigital skillsLock-in

Who’s got the power?

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

Consumer

New usage patterns

Doing more online

Multiple screens

More time spent online

Direct demand for new services

Smarter devices

Higher speeds

Mobile

More services and content

More affordable

6 shades of regulation

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

Policy & regulation

Who regulates?

ICT / competition /data protection

regulator

When?

Ex ante vs ex post

What?

Pricing, QoS,spectrum

Where?

At the national, regional, international level

How?

Light touch, self- & co-regulation,

ADR

Who to regulate?

Telcos, netcos, OTT

Digital futures

Digital revolution: are we ready? | Mario Maniewicz, Chief, Infrastructure, Enabling environment and ICT applications, ITU/BDT

Agility, Creativity Global flows

Trust Openness & Sharing

Thank you!