13
Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political alienation among Australian voters Ian Watson ONLINE APPENDIX for chapter in : Public Opinion, Political Oratory and Media Audiences: New Perspectives on Australian Politics, eds. Bridget Griffen-Foley and Sean Scalmer, MUP, 2017.

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Page 1: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny?Populism and political alienation

among Australian votersIan Watson

ONLINE APPENDIXfor chapter in :

Public Opinion, Political Oratory and Media Audiences:New Perspectives on Australian Politics,

eds. Bridget Griffen-Foley and Sean Scalmer, MUP, 2017.

Page 2: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 2

AB1

AB2

AB3

AB4

AB5

ASIA1

ASIA2

ASIA3 ASIA4

ASIA5

CARE1

CARE2

CARE3

DIFF1

DIFF2

DIFF3DIFF4

DIFF5

EEO1

EEO2

EEO3 EEO4

EEO5

EQUAL1

EQUAL2

EQUAL3

EQUAL4

EQUAL5

GOVSELF1

GOVSELF2

GOVSELF3

GOVSELF4

INT1

INT2 INT3

INT4

JOBS1

JOBS2

JOBS3 JOBS4

JOBS5

LAND1

LAND2

LAND3

LAND4

LAND5

MIGCRIM1

MIGCRIM2

MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4

MIGCRIM5

MIGCULT1

MIGCULT2

MIGCULT3

MIGCULT4

MIGCULT5

MIGECO1

MIGECO2

MIGECO3

MIGECO4

MIGECO5

MIGEEO2

MIGEEO3

MIGEEO4

MIGEEO5

MIGFIT1

MIGFIT2

MIGFIT3MIGFIT4

MIGFIT5

MIGNUM2

MIGNUM3

MIGNUM4

MIGNUM5

MIGOPEN1

MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3

MIGOPEN4

MURD1

MURD2

MURD3MURD4

MURD5

PAP1

PAP2

PAP3

PAP4RACE1

RACE2

RACE3

RACE4

RAD1

RAD2 RAD3

RAD4

SATDEM1

SATDEM2

SATDEM3

SATDEM4

SENT2

SENT3

SENT4

SENT5SYSTEM1

SYSTEM2

SYSTEM3SYSTEM4

SYSTEM5TARIF2

TARIF3

TARIF4

TARIF5TAX2

TAX3TAX4

TAX5

THINK1

THINK2

THINK3 THINK4

THINK5TV1

TV2 TV3

TV4

VOTE1

VOTE2VOTE3

VOTE4

VOTE5

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

AB Govt help for Aborigines

ASIA Closer links Asia

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

EEO Women EEO

EQUAL Redistribute income wealth

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGFIT Migrants should fit in

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

MURD Death penalty for murder

PAP Followed election papers

RACE Ethnicity race self image

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TARIF tariffs to protect industry

TAX High tax people dont work

THINK Parties care people think

TV Followed election tv

VOTE Would vote not compulsory

Figure A1 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2 (AES 1998)

Page 3: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 3

AB1

AB2

AB3

AB4

AB5

ASIA1

ASIA2

ASIA3ASIA4

ASIA5

CARE1

CARE2

CARE3

DIFF1

DIFF2

DIFF3DIFF4

DIFF5

EEO1

EEO2

EEO3EEO4

EEO5

EQUAL1

EQUAL2

EQUAL3

EQUAL4

EQUAL5

GOVSELF1

GOVSELF2

GOVSELF3

GOVSELF4

INT1

INT2 INT3

INT4

JOBS1

JOBS2

JOBS3JOBS4

JOBS5

LAND1

LAND2

LAND3

LAND4

LAND5

MIGCRIM1

MIGCRIM2

MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4

MIGCRIM5

MIGCULT1

MIGCULT2

MIGCULT3

MIGCULT4

MIGCULT5

MIGECO1

MIGECO2

MIGECO3

MIGECO4

MIGECO5

MIGEEO2

MIGEEO3

MIGEEO4

MIGEEO5

MIGFIT1

MIGFIT2

MIGFIT3MIGFIT4

MIGFIT5

MIGNUM2

MIGNUM3

MIGNUM4

MIGNUM5

MIGOPEN1

MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3

MIGOPEN4

MURD1

MURD2

MURD3MURD4

MURD5

PAP1

PAP2

PAP3

PAP4RACE1

RACE2

RACE3

RACE4

RAD1

RAD2 RAD3

RAD4

SATDEM1

SATDEM2

SATDEM3

SATDEM4

SENT2

SENT3

SENT4

SENT5SYSTEM1

SYSTEM2

SYSTEM3SYSTEM4

SYSTEM5TARIF2

TARIF3

TARIF4

TARIF5TAX2

TAX3TAX4

TAX5

THINK1

THINK2

THINK3THINK4

THINK5TV1

TV2 TV3

TV4

VOTE1

VOTE2VOTE3

VOTE4

VOTE5

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

AB Govt help for Aborigines

ASIA Closer links Asia

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

EEO Women EEO

EQUAL Redistribute income wealth

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGFIT Migrants should fit in

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

MURD Death penalty for murder

PAP Followed election papers

RACE Ethnicity race self image

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TARIF tariffs to protect industry

TAX High tax people dont work

THINK Parties care people think

TV Followed election tv

VOTE Would vote not compulsory

Figure A2 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 2 (AES 1998)

Page 4: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 4

● ●●●●

●●●

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

●●●●●●

●●●●●

AB Govt help for Aborigines

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGFIT Migrants should fit in

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

RACE Ethnicity race self image

●1 2 3 4 5

Figure A3 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Race and ethnicity (AES 1998)

Page 5: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 5

●●

●●

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

●●●

●●

EQUAL Redistribute income wealth

MURD Death penalty for murder

SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers

TARIF tariffs to protect industry

TAX High tax people dont work

●1 2 3 4 5

Figure A4 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Economics and Crime (AES 1998)

Page 6: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 6

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3

DIM

EN

SIO

N 1

●1 2 3 4 5

●●●●●

●●●●

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

PAP Followed election papers

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TV Followed election tv

Figure A5 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 1: Alienation and apathy (AES 1998)

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

● ● ● ●University Other qualification Vocational No post−school

Figure A6 Cloud of individuals, by educational qualifications (AES 1998)

Page 7: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 7

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><

−−

− W

EA

KE

R

ST

RO

NG

ER

−−

−>

● ● ● ● ●A lot better A little better About the same A little worse A lot worse

Figure A7 Cloud of individuals, by self-assessed financial circumstances (AES 1998)

●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

● ● ●Not at all worried Somewhat worried Very worried

Figure A8 Cloud of individuals, by fear of unemployment (AES 1998)

Page 8: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 8

AB1

AB2

AB3 AB4

AB5

ASIA1

ASIA2

ASIA3

ASIA4

ASIA5

CARE1

CARE2

CARE3

DIFF1

DIFF2 DIFF3

DIFF4

DIFF5

EEO1

EEO2

EEO3

EEO4

GOVSELF1

GOVSELF2

GOVSELF3

GOVSELF4INT1

INT2

INT3

INT4

JOBS1

JOBS2

JOBS3

JOBS4

JOBS5

LAND1

LAND2

LAND3LAND4

LAND5

MIGCRIM1

MIGCRIM2

MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4

MIGCRIM5

MIGECO1

MIGECO2

MIGECO3

MIGECO4

MIGECO5

MIGEEO1

MIGEEO2

MIGEEO3

MIGEEO4

MIGEEO5

MIGNUM1

MIGNUM2

MIGNUM3

MIGNUM4

MIGNUM5

MIGOPEN1

MIGOPEN2 MIGOPEN3

MIGOPEN4

MIGOPEN5

MURD1

MURD2

MURD3MURD4

MURD5

PAP1

PAP2

PAP3

PAP4RAD1

RAD2RAD3

RAD4

SATDEM1

SATDEM2

SATDEM3

SATDEM4

SENT2

SENT3

SENT4

SENT5

SYSTEM1

SYSTEM2

SYSTEM3

SYSTEM4

SYSTEM5TAX1

TAX2

TAX3

TAX4

TAX5

THINK1

THINK2

THINK3

THINK4

THINK5

TV1

TV2

TV3

TV4

VOTE1

VOTE2

VOTE3

VOTE4

VOTE5

WEB1

WEB2

WEB3 WEB4

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

AB Govt help for Aborigines

ASIA Closer links Asia

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

EEO Women EEO

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

MURD Death penalty for murder

PAP Followed election papers

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TAX High tax people dont work

THINK Parties care people think

TV Followed election tv

VOTE Would vote not compulsory

WEB Followed election web

Figure A9 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2 (AES 2013)

Page 9: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 9

AB1

AB2

AB3AB4

AB5

ASIA1

ASIA2

ASIA3

ASIA4

ASIA5

CARE1

CARE2

CARE3

DIFF1

DIFF2 DIFF3

DIFF4

DIFF5

EEO1

EEO2

EEO3

EEO4

GOVSELF1

GOVSELF2

GOVSELF3

GOVSELF4INT1

INT2

INT3

INT4

JOBS1

JOBS2

JOBS3

JOBS4

JOBS5

LAND1

LAND2

LAND3LAND4

LAND5

MIGCRIM1

MIGCRIM2

MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4

MIGCRIM5

MIGECO1

MIGECO2

MIGECO3

MIGECO4

MIGECO5

MIGEEO1

MIGEEO2

MIGEEO3

MIGEEO4

MIGEEO5

MIGNUM1

MIGNUM2

MIGNUM3

MIGNUM4

MIGNUM5

MIGOPEN1

MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3

MIGOPEN4

MIGOPEN5

MURD1

MURD2

MURD3MURD4

MURD5

PAP1

PAP2

PAP3

PAP4RAD1

RAD2RAD3

RAD4

SATDEM1

SATDEM2

SATDEM3

SATDEM4

SENT2

SENT3

SENT4

SENT5

SYSTEM1

SYSTEM2

SYSTEM3

SYSTEM4

SYSTEM5TAX1

TAX2

TAX3

TAX4

TAX5

THINK1

THINK2

THINK3

THINK4

THINK5

TV1

TV2

TV3

TV4

VOTE1

VOTE2

VOTE3

VOTE4

VOTE5

WEB1

WEB2

WEB3WEB4

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3

DIM

EN

SIO

N 2

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

a

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AB Govt help for Aborigines

ASIA Closer links Asia

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

EEO Women EEO

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

MURD Death penalty for murder

PAP Followed election papers

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TAX High tax people dont work

THINK Parties care people think

TV Followed election tv

VOTE Would vote not compulsory

WEB Followed election web

Figure A10 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 2 (AES 2013)

Page 10: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 10

● ●●●

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●1 2 3 4 5

●●●●

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AB Govt help for Aborigines

JOBS Migrants take jobs

LAND Aboriginal land rights

MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime

MIGECO Migrants good for economy

MIGEEO Migrant EEO

MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust

MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open

Figure A11 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Race and ethnicity (AES 2013)

Page 11: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 11

●●

●●

−0.5

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1.0

−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3

DIM

EN

SIO

N 1

●1 2 3 4 5

●●●●●

●●●●

CARE Care which party wins

DIFF No difference who vote for

GOVSELF Govt look after selves

INT Interest in politics

PAP Followed election papers

RAD Followed election radio

SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy

SYSTEM Parties make system work

TV Followed election tv

Figure A12 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 1: Alienation and apathy (AES 2013)

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

● ● ● ●University Other qualification Vocational No post−school

Figure A13 Cloud of individuals, by educational qualifications (AES 2013)

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Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 12

●●

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●

●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><

−−

− W

EA

KE

R

ST

RO

NG

ER

−−

−>

● ● ● ● ● ●Managers Professionals Trades Clerical/sales/service Machinery Labourers

Figure A14 Cloud of individuals, by occupation (AES 2013)

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

● ● ● ● ●Bottom Second Middle Fourth Top

Figure A15 Cloud of individuals, by income quintile (AES 2013)

Page 13: Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny? Populism and political ... · WEB1 WEB2 WEB3 WEB4-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0-0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 DIMENSION 1 DIMENSION 2 a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 13

●●●●

<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>

<−

−−

WE

AK

ER

S

TR

ON

GE

R −

−−

>

●●●●

<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><

−−

− W

EA

KE

R

ST

RO

NG

ER

−−

−>

● ● ● ● ●A lot better A little better About the same A little worse A lot worse

Figure A16 Cloud of individuals, by self-assessed financial circumstances (AES 2013)