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Are the PUPs Pauline’s Progeny?Populism and political alienation
among Australian votersIan Watson
ONLINE APPENDIXfor chapter in :
Public Opinion, Political Oratory and Media Audiences:New Perspectives on Australian Politics,
eds. Bridget Griffen-Foley and Sean Scalmer, MUP, 2017.
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 2
AB1
AB2
AB3
AB4
AB5
ASIA1
ASIA2
ASIA3 ASIA4
ASIA5
CARE1
CARE2
CARE3
DIFF1
DIFF2
DIFF3DIFF4
DIFF5
EEO1
EEO2
EEO3 EEO4
EEO5
EQUAL1
EQUAL2
EQUAL3
EQUAL4
EQUAL5
GOVSELF1
GOVSELF2
GOVSELF3
GOVSELF4
INT1
INT2 INT3
INT4
JOBS1
JOBS2
JOBS3 JOBS4
JOBS5
LAND1
LAND2
LAND3
LAND4
LAND5
MIGCRIM1
MIGCRIM2
MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4
MIGCRIM5
MIGCULT1
MIGCULT2
MIGCULT3
MIGCULT4
MIGCULT5
MIGECO1
MIGECO2
MIGECO3
MIGECO4
MIGECO5
MIGEEO2
MIGEEO3
MIGEEO4
MIGEEO5
MIGFIT1
MIGFIT2
MIGFIT3MIGFIT4
MIGFIT5
MIGNUM2
MIGNUM3
MIGNUM4
MIGNUM5
MIGOPEN1
MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3
MIGOPEN4
MURD1
MURD2
MURD3MURD4
MURD5
PAP1
PAP2
PAP3
PAP4RACE1
RACE2
RACE3
RACE4
RAD1
RAD2 RAD3
RAD4
SATDEM1
SATDEM2
SATDEM3
SATDEM4
SENT2
SENT3
SENT4
SENT5SYSTEM1
SYSTEM2
SYSTEM3SYSTEM4
SYSTEM5TARIF2
TARIF3
TARIF4
TARIF5TAX2
TAX3TAX4
TAX5
THINK1
THINK2
THINK3 THINK4
THINK5TV1
TV2 TV3
TV4
VOTE1
VOTE2VOTE3
VOTE4
VOTE5
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
AB Govt help for Aborigines
ASIA Closer links Asia
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
EEO Women EEO
EQUAL Redistribute income wealth
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGFIT Migrants should fit in
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
MURD Death penalty for murder
PAP Followed election papers
RACE Ethnicity race self image
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TARIF tariffs to protect industry
TAX High tax people dont work
THINK Parties care people think
TV Followed election tv
VOTE Would vote not compulsory
Figure A1 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2 (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 3
AB1
AB2
AB3
AB4
AB5
ASIA1
ASIA2
ASIA3ASIA4
ASIA5
CARE1
CARE2
CARE3
DIFF1
DIFF2
DIFF3DIFF4
DIFF5
EEO1
EEO2
EEO3EEO4
EEO5
EQUAL1
EQUAL2
EQUAL3
EQUAL4
EQUAL5
GOVSELF1
GOVSELF2
GOVSELF3
GOVSELF4
INT1
INT2 INT3
INT4
JOBS1
JOBS2
JOBS3JOBS4
JOBS5
LAND1
LAND2
LAND3
LAND4
LAND5
MIGCRIM1
MIGCRIM2
MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4
MIGCRIM5
MIGCULT1
MIGCULT2
MIGCULT3
MIGCULT4
MIGCULT5
MIGECO1
MIGECO2
MIGECO3
MIGECO4
MIGECO5
MIGEEO2
MIGEEO3
MIGEEO4
MIGEEO5
MIGFIT1
MIGFIT2
MIGFIT3MIGFIT4
MIGFIT5
MIGNUM2
MIGNUM3
MIGNUM4
MIGNUM5
MIGOPEN1
MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3
MIGOPEN4
MURD1
MURD2
MURD3MURD4
MURD5
PAP1
PAP2
PAP3
PAP4RACE1
RACE2
RACE3
RACE4
RAD1
RAD2 RAD3
RAD4
SATDEM1
SATDEM2
SATDEM3
SATDEM4
SENT2
SENT3
SENT4
SENT5SYSTEM1
SYSTEM2
SYSTEM3SYSTEM4
SYSTEM5TARIF2
TARIF3
TARIF4
TARIF5TAX2
TAX3TAX4
TAX5
THINK1
THINK2
THINK3THINK4
THINK5TV1
TV2 TV3
TV4
VOTE1
VOTE2VOTE3
VOTE4
VOTE5
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
AB Govt help for Aborigines
ASIA Closer links Asia
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
EEO Women EEO
EQUAL Redistribute income wealth
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGFIT Migrants should fit in
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
MURD Death penalty for murder
PAP Followed election papers
RACE Ethnicity race self image
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TARIF tariffs to protect industry
TAX High tax people dont work
THINK Parties care people think
TV Followed election tv
VOTE Would vote not compulsory
Figure A2 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 2 (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 4
● ●●●●
●
●●●
●
●
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
●●●●●●
●●●●●
AB Govt help for Aborigines
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGCULT Migrants celebrate Aust herit
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGFIT Migrants should fit in
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
RACE Ethnicity race self image
●1 2 3 4 5
Figure A3 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Race and ethnicity (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 5
●
●●
●●
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
●●●
●●
EQUAL Redistribute income wealth
MURD Death penalty for murder
SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers
TARIF tariffs to protect industry
TAX High tax people dont work
●1 2 3 4 5
Figure A4 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Economics and Crime (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 6
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
●
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3
DIM
EN
SIO
N 1
●1 2 3 4 5
●●●●●
●●●●
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
PAP Followed election papers
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TV Followed election tv
Figure A5 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 1: Alienation and apathy (AES 1998)
●●●●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
● ● ● ●University Other qualification Vocational No post−school
Figure A6 Cloud of individuals, by educational qualifications (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 7
●●●●
●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><
−−
− W
EA
KE
R
ST
RO
NG
ER
−−
−>
● ● ● ● ●A lot better A little better About the same A little worse A lot worse
Figure A7 Cloud of individuals, by self-assessed financial circumstances (AES 1998)
●●●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
● ● ●Not at all worried Somewhat worried Very worried
Figure A8 Cloud of individuals, by fear of unemployment (AES 1998)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 8
AB1
AB2
AB3 AB4
AB5
ASIA1
ASIA2
ASIA3
ASIA4
ASIA5
CARE1
CARE2
CARE3
DIFF1
DIFF2 DIFF3
DIFF4
DIFF5
EEO1
EEO2
EEO3
EEO4
GOVSELF1
GOVSELF2
GOVSELF3
GOVSELF4INT1
INT2
INT3
INT4
JOBS1
JOBS2
JOBS3
JOBS4
JOBS5
LAND1
LAND2
LAND3LAND4
LAND5
MIGCRIM1
MIGCRIM2
MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4
MIGCRIM5
MIGECO1
MIGECO2
MIGECO3
MIGECO4
MIGECO5
MIGEEO1
MIGEEO2
MIGEEO3
MIGEEO4
MIGEEO5
MIGNUM1
MIGNUM2
MIGNUM3
MIGNUM4
MIGNUM5
MIGOPEN1
MIGOPEN2 MIGOPEN3
MIGOPEN4
MIGOPEN5
MURD1
MURD2
MURD3MURD4
MURD5
PAP1
PAP2
PAP3
PAP4RAD1
RAD2RAD3
RAD4
SATDEM1
SATDEM2
SATDEM3
SATDEM4
SENT2
SENT3
SENT4
SENT5
SYSTEM1
SYSTEM2
SYSTEM3
SYSTEM4
SYSTEM5TAX1
TAX2
TAX3
TAX4
TAX5
THINK1
THINK2
THINK3
THINK4
THINK5
TV1
TV2
TV3
TV4
VOTE1
VOTE2
VOTE3
VOTE4
VOTE5
WEB1
WEB2
WEB3 WEB4
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
AB Govt help for Aborigines
ASIA Closer links Asia
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
EEO Women EEO
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
MURD Death penalty for murder
PAP Followed election papers
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TAX High tax people dont work
THINK Parties care people think
TV Followed election tv
VOTE Would vote not compulsory
WEB Followed election web
Figure A9 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2 (AES 2013)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 9
AB1
AB2
AB3AB4
AB5
ASIA1
ASIA2
ASIA3
ASIA4
ASIA5
CARE1
CARE2
CARE3
DIFF1
DIFF2 DIFF3
DIFF4
DIFF5
EEO1
EEO2
EEO3
EEO4
GOVSELF1
GOVSELF2
GOVSELF3
GOVSELF4INT1
INT2
INT3
INT4
JOBS1
JOBS2
JOBS3
JOBS4
JOBS5
LAND1
LAND2
LAND3LAND4
LAND5
MIGCRIM1
MIGCRIM2
MIGCRIM3MIGCRIM4
MIGCRIM5
MIGECO1
MIGECO2
MIGECO3
MIGECO4
MIGECO5
MIGEEO1
MIGEEO2
MIGEEO3
MIGEEO4
MIGEEO5
MIGNUM1
MIGNUM2
MIGNUM3
MIGNUM4
MIGNUM5
MIGOPEN1
MIGOPEN2MIGOPEN3
MIGOPEN4
MIGOPEN5
MURD1
MURD2
MURD3MURD4
MURD5
PAP1
PAP2
PAP3
PAP4RAD1
RAD2RAD3
RAD4
SATDEM1
SATDEM2
SATDEM3
SATDEM4
SENT2
SENT3
SENT4
SENT5
SYSTEM1
SYSTEM2
SYSTEM3
SYSTEM4
SYSTEM5TAX1
TAX2
TAX3
TAX4
TAX5
THINK1
THINK2
THINK3
THINK4
THINK5
TV1
TV2
TV3
TV4
VOTE1
VOTE2
VOTE3
VOTE4
VOTE5
WEB1
WEB2
WEB3WEB4
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
AB Govt help for Aborigines
ASIA Closer links Asia
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
EEO Women EEO
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
MURD Death penalty for murder
PAP Followed election papers
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SENT Stiffer sentences lawbreakers
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TAX High tax people dont work
THINK Parties care people think
TV Followed election tv
VOTE Would vote not compulsory
WEB Followed election web
Figure A10 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 2 (AES 2013)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 10
● ●●●
●
●●
●
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 1
DIM
EN
SIO
N 2
●1 2 3 4 5
●●●●
●●●●
AB Govt help for Aborigines
JOBS Migrants take jobs
LAND Aboriginal land rights
MIGCRIM Migrants increase crime
MIGECO Migrants good for economy
MIGEEO Migrant EEO
MIGNUM Num migrants into Aust
MIGOPEN Migrants make Aust more open
Figure A11 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 1 and 2: Race and ethnicity (AES 2013)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 11
●●
●
●●
●
●
●
−0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
−0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0DIMENSION 3
DIM
EN
SIO
N 1
●1 2 3 4 5
●●●●●
●●●●
CARE Care which party wins
DIFF No difference who vote for
GOVSELF Govt look after selves
INT Interest in politics
PAP Followed election papers
RAD Followed election radio
SATDEM Satisfaction with democracy
SYSTEM Parties make system work
TV Followed election tv
Figure A12 Cloud of Categories, dimensions 3 and 1: Alienation and apathy (AES 2013)
●●●●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
● ● ● ●University Other qualification Vocational No post−school
Figure A13 Cloud of individuals, by educational qualifications (AES 2013)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 12
●●
●●●●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●
●●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><
−−
− W
EA
KE
R
ST
RO
NG
ER
−−
−>
● ● ● ● ● ●Managers Professionals Trades Clerical/sales/service Machinery Labourers
Figure A14 Cloud of individuals, by occupation (AES 2013)
●●●●
●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●●●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
● ● ● ● ●Bottom Second Middle Fourth Top
Figure A15 Cloud of individuals, by income quintile (AES 2013)
Ian Watson: Online Appendix for PUP Chapter Page 13
●●●●
●
<−−− PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE −−−>
<−
−−
WE
AK
ER
S
TR
ON
GE
R −
−−
>
●●●●
●
<−−− LESS ALIENATED MORE ALIENATED −−−><
−−
− W
EA
KE
R
ST
RO
NG
ER
−−
−>
● ● ● ● ●A lot better A little better About the same A little worse A lot worse
Figure A16 Cloud of individuals, by self-assessed financial circumstances (AES 2013)